Advanced Courses - Course 4 Welcome to Crypto Crew University! Crypto Trading Made Simple. Risk Disclaimer *Trading cryptocurrency is very risky and is not suitable for all investors. It’s extremely likely you will sustain a loss of some, or all of your initial investment and therefore you should only invest what you’re willing to lose. Everything taught in Crypto Crew University Courses is for educational purposes only and should not be used as financial advice. Always speak with a professional financial planner before making any financial decisions. Steve and Crypto Crew University are not held responsible for any financial losses that occur in your account.* Overview of CCU Advanced Courses: 1. 2. 3. We’re going to cover the Fib, Bollinger Bands, Elliott Wave Theory, Key Chart patterns, MACD, Stochastic RSI, Trends and overall which ones are the most accurate as well as Steve’s Daily Chart Routine We’re going to discuss strategies for Day Traders, Swing Traders, Long-Term Investors and the Hybrid Strategy – all using each of the above Finally, we’ll add one distinct and highly important piece to our strategy that we’ve been building since the Beginner Course Overall Course Goals: 1. Get comfortable then confident with the most important Indicators on Earth 2. Understand how to use each indicator as well as a strategy for each specific indicator 3. Understand Day Trading, Swing Trading, Long Term Investing and the Hybrid Strategy – all using these popular indicators 4. Further development of the Hybrid Strategy – adding a key missing piece Course 4 – Overview 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. What is MACD How to use MACD When to use MACD What other indicators to pair with MACD How accurate is MACD Quiz Homework WEBSITE: www.CryptoCrewUniversity.com WEBSITE EMAIL: info@CryptoCrewUniversity.com EMAIL SOCIAL MEDIA (Follow) ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 1. What is MACD The MACD indicator is a trend momentum indicator. MACD is an acronym for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. The indicator was developed by Gerald Appel and is discussed in his book, The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Trading Method. Needless to say over 30 years later, the MACD remains one of the most popular indicators in technical analysis. Settings: 1 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 1 a. Three Parts to MACD: 1. MACD Line – Blue Fast line(top uptrend, bottom downtrend) 2. Signal Line (trigger line) – Green gives us signals to buy and sell (Slow Line) Moving average of MACD so it’s smoother 3. Histogram – Red + green – as approaches 0 signals potential crossover. When positive it’s an uptrend. When negative it’s a downtrend. Tells us how big or how small the move is. The bars are red when it’s below 0 (downtrend) and green when above 0 (uptrend). 1 b. Key Points: 1. Bearish below 0 RED 2. Bullish above 0 GREEN 1 c. Common confusions with MACD: 1. The two lines that are drawn are NOT moving averages of the price. Instead, they are the moving averages of the DIFFERENCE between two moving averages 2 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 2. How to use MACD 2 Main Ways to Use MACD 1. Crossovers - The most important signal of the MACD is when the signal line crosses the MACD up or down. When the MACD falls below the signal line, it is a bearish signal, which indicates that it may be time to sell. Conversely, when the MACD rises above the signal line, the indicator gives a bullish signal, which suggests that the price of the crypto is likely to experience upward momentum. Many traders wait for a confirmed cross above the signal line before entering into a position to avoid getting “faked out” or entering into a position too early. DEMO. While the MACD may provide many cross signals, you do not want to act on every signal. 3 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 2. Divergence - Moving Average Convergence Divergence - indicator is popular among traders and analysts, yet few really understand it. Divergence on the MACD is one of the ways the indicator is used and takes two forms. When the price of a crypto is moving one direction and the MACD in the other, that’s divergence. This type of signal is supposed to warn of a reversal. Another type of divergence is when the price makes a new high (or a new low), but the MACD doesn’t. Traditionally this indicates the price is losing momentum and prime pickings for a reversal. When the price diverges from the MACD, it signals the end of the current trend. For example, a price that is rising and a MACD indicator that is falling could mean that the rally is about to end. Conversely, if a crypto is falling and the MACD is rising, it could mean that a bullish reversal could occur in the near-term. Traders often use divergence in conjunction with other technical indicators to find opportunities. 4 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 5 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 3. When to use MACD Day traders and long term investors typically will not use the MACD. It’s generally used more for swing traders, and used as a tool for Hybrid traders. It gives buy and sell signals each time the lines cross. The histogram tells us when the cross will happen (whether it’s close or not). The histogram measures how close the lines are to moving together. The histogram at 0 means the lines have crossed which gives us our signal. It’s also significant to use the MACD for a cross above 0 (bullish) or below 0 (bearish). 6 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 Day Traders – See below for the 5 minute chart Please note on the below chart that the MACD crossed typically 2 bars after the Stoch RSI and typically took the MACD several extra bars to trigger the trade at 0. To Buy: 1. Have Stochastic oversold with a cross (previous courses rules) 2. MACD cross at or below 0 To Sell: 1. Have Stochastic RSI Overbought with a cross (previous courses rules) 2. MACD cross at or above 0 7 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 Swing Traders – Below is the 4 hr chart for swing traders. To Buy: 3. Have Stochastic oversold with a cross (previous courses rules) 4. MACD cross at or below 0 To Sell: 3. Have Stochastic RSI Overbought with a cross (previous courses rules) 4. MACD cross at or above 0 8 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 Investors – Investors typically focus on the weekly or monthly charts. However, as you can see in the picture below, the MACD is useless. As the time frames go up, the MACD issues are more apparent. Again, I personally just use as a tool but it would take a high level of customization to get the speed relative to crypto. DEMO The Hybrid Trader: I typically use the MACD as a tool and specifically for divergence spotting’s. It’s highly important to understand the MACD, how it functions and how it’s different than the other indicators. For me personally, it’s speed does not match well with the natural cycles of crypto, therefore I do not trade with it but instead use it as a tool in my toolkit. 9 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 Quiz 1. What is the MACD used for? 2. What types of traders use the MACD and which don’t and why? 3. What is divergence? 4. What time frames can you see divergence on? 5. What can you use to spot divergence? 6. What is the histogram used for in the MACD? 7. What is hidden divergence and how is it different than regular divergence? 8. How do you know if divergence will make the price go up or down? 9. Do long term investors use MACD? Why or why not? 10. What does Steve use the MACD for? 1. ______________________________________________________________ 2. ______________________________________________________________ 3. ______________________________________________________________ 4. ______________________________________________________________ 5. ______________________________________________________________ 6. ______________________________________________________________ 7. ______________________________________________________________ 8. ______________________________________________________________ 9. ______________________________________________________________ 10. ______________________________________________________________ 10 ADVANCED COURSES Course 4 HOMEWORK 1. Practice MACD on 3-5 different coins – first understand the 3 components – fast line, slow line and histogram 2. Next look for crosses on the 3-5 coins and identify which ones fit buy and sell signals – pair with Stochastic RSI to confirm – did you find false signals? 3. Make master list of vocab with this course and all previous courses 4. Understand the false signals with MACD, compare these false signals to other indicators in this course, what do you notice? 5. Practice finding divergence on at least 3 charts – what do you notice? 1. __________________________________________________________________________________ 2. __________________________________________________________________________________ 3. __________________________________________________________________________________ 4. __________________________________________________________________________________ 5. __________________________________________________________________________________ 11