PROJECT REPORT MARKET OPPORTUNITY FOR FLEXIBLE SOLAR MODULES -BY CA ABHISHEK SHAH 1 CONTENTS 1) SOLAR PV MARKET a) b) c) d) e) 2) FLEXIBLE LIGHT WEIGHT SOLAR a) b) c) 3) Global Market US Market Opportunity for India in US Market Applications WAAREE’s FLW a) b) c) d) 5) What is FLW? How is it Different? Advantages of FLW MARKET OF FLW a) b) c) d) 4) A Brief About Solar Global Market Decreasing Generation Cost Increasing Efficiency Solar in 2050 About Waaree SWOT Analysis Major Competitors Key challenges Conclusion 2 SOLAR PV MARKET BRIEF ABOUT THE SOLAR PV INDUSTRY Rising concerns about climate change, the health effects of air pollution, energy security and energy access, along with volatile oil prices in recent decades, have led to the need to produce and use alternative, low-carbon technology options such as renewables. Solar PV has been one of the pioneering renewable technologies over the decades. The total installed capacity of solar PV exceeded 1 Terawatt globally in 2022. By 2024, almost 33 percent of the world’s electricity is forecast to come from IN D E X renewables, with solar photovoltaic (PV) accounting for almost 60 percent (or at least 697 gigawatts) of expected growth The evolution of the solar PV industry so far has been remarkable, with several milestones achieved in recent years in terms of installations (including off-grid), efficiency, flexibility, cost reductions and technological advancements, as well as establishment of key solar energy associations. Solar power will clearly continue to be an essential renewables option in the coming decades. 3 SOLAR PV MARKET GLOBAL MARKET According to the latest research study, the demand for global Solar PV Market size & share was valued at approximately USD 161.15 Billion in 2021 and is expected to reach a value of around USD 394.34 Billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 8.8% during the period 2022 to 2030. Asia Pacific is expected to dominate the solar power market share, with most of the demand arriving from China and India. The region clearly kept its strong leadership in 2021, representing 58% of the global solar power generation capacities. The Solar Energy Market is likely to grow the highest in Asia Pacific IN D E X 394.34 400 200 161.15 0 2021 2030 2021 2030 region followed by Europe and the US. The top 5 countries to dominate the market are China, US, Japan, Germany and India. Much of the world’s solar demand between 2024- 2026, 55%, will come from the top three solar markets: China, the United States and India. 4 SOLAR PV MARKET COST FACTOR Solar’s success story over other technologies has many reasons, but a key factor is its steep cost reduction curve over the last decade, which has made solar the global cost leader (see Fig.). While the cost of solar has been lower than fossil fuel generation and nuclear for several years, it is also now lower than wind in many regions around the world. The latest Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) analysis, version 15.0, published in October2021 by US investment bank Lazard, shows how the downward trip of utility-scale solar cost has progressed by a further 3% compared to the previous year. The spread with conventional generation technologies is widening, considering that the cost of gas and nuclear went up. Solar’s cost decrease has truly been extraordinary: compared to 2009, solar power generation cost has decreased by 90%. SOLAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION COST IN COMPARISON WITH OTHER POWER SOURCES 2009-2021 300 250 USD/MWh 200 167 150 108 100 60 38 36 50 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Solar CCGT Wind Coal 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nuclear IN D E X 5 SOLAR PV MARKET EFFICIENCY FACTOR Solar panel efficiency is a measurement of a solar panel’s ability to convert sunlight into usable electricity. Solar panel efficiency over time has steadily increased from an average of 15% in 2012 to more than 20% in 2022 . There’s also hope for a big increase in solar panel efficiency in the near future, as researchers at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory broke the solar cell efficiency record by creating a silicon solar cell with a high efficiency of 39.2% IN D E X 6 Major Milestones achieved by the solar industry 1941 1963 • First silicon monocrystalline cell is created • Mass production of solar cells begins 1973 1954 • International Solar Energy Society is formed • The first solar building “Solar One” is constructed and running on a hybrid supply of solar thermal and solar PV power. 1985 2012 • The University of South Wales achieves 20% efficiency for silicon cells • The world’s cumulative PV electricity capacity surpasses 100 gigawatts (GW) 2010 • Global average solar PV auction price: 241 USD/MWh 2015 • The Global Solar Council, the International Solar Alliance and Solar Power Europe are formed KEY MILESTONES IN SOLAR INDUSTRY 2016 • First solar plane flight around the world 2022 • Global installed solar capacity exceeded 1 Terawatt 2017 • 4.5 million jobs in solar energy sector • Global PV capacity ~400 GW Solar PV is one of the fastest-growing, most mature and cost-competitive renewable energy technologies. IN D E X 7 SOLAR PV MARKET OUTLOOK 2050 Solar, along with wind energy, would lead the way in the transformation of the global electricity sector. Solar PV power, supplying 32% of total electricity demand, will represent over a tenfold rise in the solar PV share of the generation mix by 2050 compared to 2019 levels. Solar PV would have the largest installed capacity expansion by 2050 Renewables set to be the dominant electricity source Installed Electricity Capacity Mix 3% 5% 8% 66% 52% 97% 15% 34% 8% 32% 11% 2019* Solar Wind 2050** Green Scenario Hydro Other Renewables Other Fossil Fuels * New Energy Outlook 2020 (NEO 2020) by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BloombergNEF) ** New Energy Outlook 2021 (NEO 2021) by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BloombergNEF) IN D E X 8 FUTURE OF SOLAR Flexible, Lightweight (FLW) Solar Modules IN D E X 9 FLW MODULE WHAT IS FLW? • Flexible solar panels are exactly what they sound like - solar panels that are pliable and portable. • They are Flexible and Light, Ideal for Curved Surfaces The flexible solar panels adapt to different surface shapes, unlike conventional panels with sturdy rectangular bodies. They are slim and light as well, unlike conventional solar panels. • With their lightweight design and easy installation process, they can be used for several applications IN D E X 10 FLW MODULE DIFFERENCE • Flexible solar panels work just like your traditional rigid solar panels and many are made with the same type of photovoltaic silicon solar cells. However, flexible solar panels are made with solar cells that are over 300 times thinner than those used in traditional solar panels, allowing them to be extremely lightweight and more flexible. • Unlike traditional solar panels, a flexible panel's surface isn't covered by a protective glass or metal. Instead, it's covered by a polymer known as ETFE, which can bend easily. This keeps the panel as thin and light as possible and allows the cells to remain malleable. Traditional solar panels IN D E X Flexible solar panels 11 FLW MODULE ADVANTAGES OF FLW? ✓ More Flexible ✓ Light Weight ✓ Low installation cost ✓ They are simple to set up ✓ Can fit in odd places and overcome structural issues ✓ Portable power solution ✓ Some niche requirement like in flexibility required by nature ✓ They don’t require high upkeep to work at their best ✓ Freedom of Integration 3X Lighter compared to Aluminum farmed glass panels IN D E X Durable and Weather Resistant Up to 30 of Flexibility Easy to install using Grommet holes or adhesives 12 MARKET OF FLW Identifying the Market Opportunity IN D E X 13 MARKET OF FLW MODULES CURRENT SCENARIO Companies in the photovoltaic (PV) industry are focusing on developing flexible solar panel technology as a promising substitute to the traditional rigid photovoltaic systems. As the technology is developing, flexible solar panels are getting more efficient, and their prices are reducing. Factors such as the growing focus on finding clean energy sources for power generation and the increasing demand for mobile and lightweight PV systems are driving the market growth for flexible solar panels. Flexible solar panels can be used for numerous applications and many uses are yet to be uncovered. IN D E X 14 MARKET OF FLW MODULES GLOBAL MARKET The global Flexible Solar Panel market size was valued at USD 464.31 million in 2020 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 7.1% during the forecast period, reaching USD 914.07 million by 2030. The estimated market size is likely to increase as more and more applications of FLW modules are uncovered. The largest market for flexible solar panels is in the AsiaPacific region, followed by North America and Europe. The Asia-Pacific region is expected to grow at the highest CAGR due to the increasing demand for renewable energy in countries such as China, India, and Japan. IN D E X 15 MARKET OF FLW MODULES USA MARKET Solar Distribution TOP 5 States – California , Texas , North Carolina , Florida , Arizona FLW Market The flexible solar panel market in the USA is expected to grow significantly over the next few years, with a projected CAGR of 16.5% from 2021 to 2028 The USA market for flexible solar panels is rapidly growing due to the increasing demand for renewable energy and the development of new technologies in the solar industry. The US government is also providing support for the development of renewable energy, including solar energy, through various policies and initiatives. IN D E X 16 MARKET OF FLW MODULES OPPORTUNITIES FOR INDIA IN USA India has a significant opportunity in the US solar market, which is one of the largest and fastest-growing solar markets in the world. The United States has set a target to achieve 100% clean energy by 2035, and solar power is expected to play a crucial role in achieving this goal. India has emerged as a major player in the global solar market, with the world's third-largest installed capacity of solar power. India's experience in developing and implementing solar projects can be leveraged in the US market, where India can provide cost-effective solutions for solar installations. OPPORTUNITIES to CAPITALIZE – FLW market USA will be one of the largest consumer of FLW panels considering various applications and their demand Growing tensions between China and US trade relations and implementation of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act among others Growing awareness Consumers in the USA IN D E X North America is the largest market for RVs – a prominent application of FLW modules Government Support where buyers are incentivised for using Renewable Energy Increasing tariffs on import of Solar modules from South-East Asian countries amongst 17 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 1. MARINE VEHICLES The global Electric Marine Vehicles market is estimated to be around $4.2 Billion as on 2022 and is expected to reach $7.2 Billion by 2028. In case of Transport Marine Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Cargo Container Ships b) Ro-Ro boats In case of Passenger Marine Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Cruise b) Ferry boats c) Personal Boats / Yacht d) Water Sports In case of Non-Transport Marine Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Fishing Boats b) Supply Vessels c) Warships IN D E X 18 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 2. RECREATIONAL VEHICLES The global Recreational Vehicles market is estimated to be around $60 Billion as on 2021 and is expected to reach $88 Billion by 2027. In case of Recreational Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Various types of Trailers b) Motorhomes c) Caravans IN D E X 19 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 3. ROOFTOPS FLW modules help to overcome the structural difficulties faced and provide flexible and low weight solution to installing solar on Rooftops In case of Industries / Commercial Rooftops, FLW panels can be used in: a) Low-Load Bearing Roofs b) Curved Roofs c) Glass Roofs d) Waterproof Membrane Roofs IN D E X 20 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 3. ROOFTOPS FLW Solar panels can also be used for Residential rooftops FLW Solar panels can also be used for Other custom rooftops requirements IN D E X 21 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 4. COMMERCIAL TRANSPORTS FLW Solar Modules provide greener, efficient and costfriendly alternative to energy generation for various commercial transport vehicles In case of Passenger Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Buses and Coach b) School Buses c) Trains IN D E X 22 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 4. COMMERCIAL TRANSPORTS In case of Transport Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Light Weight Trucks b) Cold Storage Trucks c) Box Trucks d) Tractors e) Heavy-Duty Trucks f) Cargo Trains IN D E X 23 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 5. DEFENCE Defence sector is considered to be one of the early adapter and largest consumer of Flexible modules. a) Man-Portable Solar Modules FLW modules are lightweight, durable, can be carried in the rucksack, and recharge batteries reducing the weight and expense of batteries in the field. IN D E X 24 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 5. DEFENCE b) Basing Solar Modules Basing Solar Modules help power Command Centers, IT Equipment, and various Electronics IN D E X 25 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 5. DEFENCE c) Vehicle Solar FLW modules can be used as an alternative energy generator to power military vehicles without occupying large space. Also, they are light weight IN D E X 26 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 6. PORTABLE SOLUTIONS One of the key reasons for rise in demand for FLW Modules is its Portable feature. a) Camping, Hiking IN D E X 27 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 6. PORTABLE SOLUTIONS b) Personal Use – Anytime-Anywhere IN D E X 28 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 7. OTHER APPLICATIONS a) GOLF CARTS b) FOOD TRUCKS IN D E X 29 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 7. OTHER APPLICATIONS c) E-RICKSHAWS d) E-CYCLES IN D E X 30 WAAREE’s FLW Capability and Opportunity India’s Largest Solar Panel Manufacturer IN D E X 31 THE WAAREE SCENARIO ABOUT THE WAAREE GROUP The Waaree Group boasts to be India’s Largest Solar Panel Manufacturer having manufacturing capacity of 12 GW's at its plants in Surat and Umbergaon in Gujarat. #1 Waaree holds a dominant position in the Indian Solar PV Market and is on the track to become Strategic Global Player. Waaree has its presence in over 380 locations nationally and 20 countries internationally. ✓ Proven track record of manufacturing high quality and technologically advanced PV modules ✓ First & only manufacturer with NABL accredited lab ✓ New lines capable of manufacturing modules based on latest Mono PERC Technology ✓ 40+ Global certifications & regular stringent third party audits IN D E X 32 THE WAAREE SCENARIO FLW CAPABILITIES Waaree is committed towards Continuous Improvements and Innovations since its establishment. Identifying the vast and unexplored opportunities of Flexible Solar Modules, Waaree is ready to tap the Global Flexible Solar Module Market with its expertise of 33+ years and State of the Art Manufacturing. Waaree has invested more than 7 years in R&D and also entered into a Strategic Partnership to understand the product, technology and the market. At present, Waaree is capable of providing 100% customized panels which are light weight and flexible. Waaree uses the Mono PERC technology in its FLW panels which provide enhanced performance even in low-light conditions. Waaree’s FLW modules are suitable for various applications and prove to be a cost-efficient and greener alternative to energy generation. Waaree’s Flex Panels are: • • • • 12% more efficient than conventional solar cells. 30 degree flexible 3 times lighter compared to Aluminum framed glass panels Durable and Resistant IN D E X 33 WAAREE’s FLW SWOT ANALYSIS IN D E X S W O T 34 THE WAAREE SCENARIO SWOT ANALYSIS – FLW Strengths List Analysis VAST INDUSTRY EXPERIENCE Waaree’s 33 years+ experience in the Solar PV Market will provide it an edge over competitors to capture the FLW market STATE OF ART INFRASTRUCTURE Experienced and skilled staff, modern infrastructure ensures Qualitative Output COST-EFFECTIVE SOLUTION Due to its scale and size, Waaree is able to offer price better than its competitors OTHER KEY STREGHTHS of WAAREE: • • • • • Strong Brand Name globally Ability to Customize as per any requirement Enhanced Production Capacity to meet new demands Strong Capital base and Financial muscle Motivated skill-force and Highly Experienced Management IN D E X 35 THE WAAREE SCENARIO SWOT ANALYSIS – FLW Weakness List Analysis DEPENDENCE ON USA PARTNER Till date, Waaree is heavily depended on Merlin Solar for sales restricting itself from fully capitalizing the market opportunity NO SALES/MARKETING TEAM FLW Department does not have a specialized Sales or Marketing team NOT READY FOR INDIAN MARKET Being Solar leader in India will not help Waaree as the FLW product is not fit for the Indian market presently OTHER WEAKNESSES of WAAREE: • • • • • Waaree specializes in B2B but FLW segment will require B2C approach in terms of marketing and design to grow the product Product design needs to be more attractive and trendy No strong US base to capture potential market there Lower durability of FLW modules ( 5 to 10 years) compared to traditional panels Customization affects Scalability IN D E X 36 THE WAAREE SCENARIO SWOT ANALYSIS – FLW Opportunity List Analysis LOW COMPETITION FLW Module segment is still an untapped and growing market with fewer competitors, improving chances to capture the market INCREASING GREEN AWARENESS Increasing Global awareness for green energy is creating endless potential for the Solar industry GOVERNMENT SUPPORT Governments across the world are incentivizing adoption of Solar amongst the people OTHER OPPORTUNITIES for WAAREE: • • • FLW modules can be used for numerous applications, many are yet to be discovered Countries are looking for alternatives to CHINA strengthens India’s position to lead the manufacturing front Waaree can take benefit from the continuous R&D happening across the globe to make Solar power more efficient and portable IN D E X 37 THE WAAREE SCENARIO SWOT ANALYSIS – FLW Threats List Analysis CONSTANT CHANGES The new CIGS and Perovskite cells are more efficient and flexible than MONO Perc. Also, it is difficult to keep pace with constant changes GREEN ENERGY IS NOT SO GREEN The one downside to solar technology is that it contains many of the same hazardous materials as electronics POST PANDEMIC RECESSION Supply chain constraints post pandemic and upcoming recession may drive costs and affect demand OTHER THREATS to WAAREE: • • • • • Constant Price Fluctuations Heavy Marketing costs need to be incurred to capture Global Market Multiple applications will make it difficult to identify and capture Target market Increasing Tariffs by Foreign governments will increase Costs Problems in Flexibility, Durability and Efficiency post dissolution of Merlin partnership IN D E X 38 WAAREE’s FLW Competitors in the Market IN D E X 39 THE WAAREE SCENARIO COMPETITION IN THE FLW MARKET 1. RENOGY Location : California , USA Manufacturing unit : Thailand USP Popular B2C brand in the US Specializes in DIY Kits 2. HANERGY THINFILM POWER Location : China Manufacturing unit : China USP Its subsidiaries are MiaSole, Alta Devices (major FLW players) 3. POWERFILM SOLAR Location : Iowa , USA Manufacturing unit : USA USP Partnership with US Military and NATO alliances 4. FLISOM USP Roll to Roll processed Location : Switzerland Manufacturing unit : Switzerland panels IN D E X 40 THE WAAREE SCENARIO COMPETITION IN THE FLW MARKET 5. ENECOM Location : Italy Manufacturing unit : Italy USP Specializes in Agro robotics and innovative products 6. MPOWER TECHNOLOGIES Location : New Mexico, USA Manufacturing unit : USA and Netherlands USP Partnership with NASA, majorly involved in Space projects 7. F-WAVE Location : Japan Manufacturing unit : Japan USP BIPV Decorative films 8. AMBERWAVE Location : Massachusetts , USA Manufacturing unit : USA IN D E X USP Rooftops and aerial vehicles 41 THE WAAREE SCENARIO COMPETITION IN THE FLW MARKET OTHER PLAYERS IN D E X 42 WAAREE’s FLW KEY CHALLENGES IN D E X 43 THE WAAREE SCENARIO KEY CHALLENGES While flexible solar panel market is on its way to growth, there are also several key challenges that need to be addressed. 1 Lower Efficiency – FLW modules are yet to reach the efficiency level of Traditional Rigid Panels. Ongoing Research and Innovations have proven better results but answer to when these new cells come to market remains unknown 2 3 IN D E X The potential market for FLW Modules is in USA and Europe but not India. Shipping customized panels within competitive prices will remain a key challenge as Costly – While traditional panels cost $0.35 per Watt, FLW panels cost $1 per Watt, which makes substitution of Glass panels surreal in the near future. 44 THE WAAREE SCENARIO KEY CHALLENGES Scalability Issues – FLW Modules have multiple applications which require customization. Even within the applications, products do not have standard sizes. Scalability and exponential growth remain in question Though the Market and Application uses seem lucrative, determining Actual Benefit, Use, Target market, Target Application is Uncertain and may affect forecasts. 5 Less Durable – FLW modules are less durable than the glass panels. Their life 5 to 10 years compared to 25 to 30 years for glass panels. They can be torn, punctured, or scratched more easily, which can affect their performance and reduce their lifespan. IN D E X 4 6 45 CONCLUSION THE WAY AHEAD…… The Global Solar market will be experiencing unparalleled and significant growth in the coming years due to various factors such as government incentives, declining costs of solar panel installations, and increasing awareness and demand for renewable energy sources. The rising popularity of portable and lightweight solar panels among various end-use industries such as automotive, aerospace, and construction will drive the market growth for FLW Modules. Increasing investments in the development of advanced technology and the adoption of favorable government policies and regulations to encourage the use of renewable energy sources are further expected to boost the market's growth. IN D E X 46 CONCLUSION THE WAY AHEAD…… Keeping in view the issues and challenges involved, a thorough plan needs to be prepared. FLW market will only be captured through intensive marketing of targeted applications. Considering the present scenario, finding applications which will provide bulk orders (eg. Defense sector) is a way to go ahead. However, in the coming years, the efficiency is expected to get better and costs to reduce for the light weight cells making FLW Market attractive and bigger. With this, new and new applications will be discovered where Solar can be replaced as energy source. Few Potential Applications will be Solar Bonnet (EV), Solar in space satellites, Solar Cargo Boxes. Solar will be the most important renewable energy which will help attain the Climate Goals and reduce CO2 emissions. Flexible Portable panels will play an essential role in this The Flexible solar panel market presents lucrative opportunities for market players in the coming years, and the market is expected to witness significant growth during the forecast period. It is time for India and Waaree as well to seize the opportunity of a growing industry and become a dominant Global Leader. IN D E X 47