1 Article 1 GLOBALISATION ~Essence and fundamentals~ 1. Definition and overview Globalisation is a process of interaction and integration [RESULT] among the people, companies, and governments of different nations [ROLEPLAYERS], a process driven by international trade and investment and aided by information and telecommunication technology [METHODS]. This process impacts on the environment, on culture, on political systems, on economic development and prosperity, and on human physical well-being in societies around the world. It’s about the ‘big picture’. The world has seen a transformation from the “Industrial revolution” to the “Information revolution”. Distinguishing the current wave of globalisation from earlier ones is that today globalisation is “faster, farther, cheaper, and deeper.” Globalisation is about worldwide economic activity - about open markets, competition and the free flow of goods, services, capital and knowledge. A critical question, however, is whether the current global world economy is merely “more” international, or is it more than that (truly global)? This is a very debatable issue. Many refer to GLOBALISATION as being a multi-dimensional process. It’s true, but what does this mean? It means that not only is globalisation driven by multiple forces (trade, investment and technology), it is also guided by the ideologies and influences of various fields: economics (neoliberalism & capitalism), politics (democracy & Americanisation) and social sciences (humanism & individualism) and judicial systems (human rights). Additionally, contemporary globalisation is in a transitory phase, moving form postmodernism and internationalisation (1970s and 80s) to neopostmodernism and possibly globalism (1990s and 2000s). As a matter of great global concern, globalisation is inscribed with contradictions: it offers opportunities & threats; wealth & poverty; answers (tech.) & new questions (e.g. ethical); imperialism & globality. All these factors (and others) are what makes globalisation a multi-dimentsional process. It is continually evolving and redefining itself. It is an open-ended conception and might lead anywhere – depending on how all these factors above will cause change in the world, and how people (humankind) will react to all this. The new economy can be defined as the combination of three inter-related CHARACTERISTICS that cannot function without each other. Firstly, it is an economy in which productivity and competitiveness are based on knowledge and information. Knowledge and information have always been very important but they are now more important than ever in the sense that new information and communication technologies allow info and knowledge to be processed and distributed throughout the entire realm of productive activity (eg. Internet). Thus, productivity is generated through knowledge and information, powered by information technology. Secondly, this new economy is a global economy. A global economy does NOT mean that the entire world is one single economic system. In fact, in terms of jobs, most jobs are not global, they operate in local, regional and national labour markets at the level of planning. But most jobs, if not all jobs, are influenced by what happens in this global core of the economy. In more precise terms, the global economy is that particular economy which has the capacity to work as a unit in real time, on a planetary scale. This capacity refers fundamentally to its core activities, not to everything. This capacity is, thirdly, technological, organisational and institutional. Technological capacity refers to its ability to structure the entire planet through telecommunictions and informational systems (global web of interconnectedness). It has organisational capacity because the firms and networks working in this economy organise themselves to be active globally, both in terms of the supplies they receive and the markets they look for. It is also based on institutional capacity which basically means deregulation and liberalisation, which opens up the possibility for this economy to operate globally. In that sense governments are the main globalisers by creating the institutions of the new economy throughout the world. After that they lose control……. Given all this, it is essential to recognise that globalisation entails a qualitative transformation of the international world economy. 2. Background The world economic and political system is experiencing its most profound transformation since emergence of the international economy in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. The end of the Cold War, the collapse of the Soviet Union, a stagnant yet enormously rich Japan, the reunification of Germany and its consequent return as the dominant power in Western Europe, and the rise of China and Pacific Asia are influencing almost every aspect of international affairs. And more recently, the 2 terrorist-attacks on 11 September 2001 (9/11) in Washington and New York, and also the Madrid train-bombings (3/11) in 2004, and most recently, the Underground-bombings in the heart of London on 7 July 2005 (7/7). Changes originating in earlier decades have also become more prominent; these developments include the technological revolution associated with the computer and the information economy and the redistribution of economic power from the industrialized West to the rapidly industrializing and crisis-riven economies of Pacific Asia. The worldwide shift to greater reliance on the MARKET in the management of economic affairs, and what many call the "retreat of the STATE," are integrating national economies everywhere into a global economy of expanding trade and financial flows. As the global economy is becoming highly integrated, some believe that markets have become, or are becoming, the most important mechanism determining both domestic and international affairs. This financial revolution has linked national economies closely to one another, significantly increased the capital available for developing countries, and, in the case of the East Asian emerging markets, accelerated economic development. However, as a large portion of these financial flows is short-term, highly volatile, and speculative, international finance has become the most vulnerable and unstable aspect of the global capitalist economy. The immense scale, velocity, and speculative nature of financial movements across national borders have made governments more vulnerable to sudden shifts in these movements. Governments can therefore easily fall prey to currency speculators. Whereas for some, financial globalisation exemplifies the healthy and beneficial triumph of global capitalism, for others the international financial system seems "out of control" and in need of improved regulation. Although there is general agreement on the increased importance of the market and of globalisation, there is intense controversy over the role of economic factors in the determination of international economic affairs and over the likelihood of cooperation versus conflict. Never before in history has CAPITALISM been the only economy on the planet, as it is now – to a large extent. This, combined with global DEMOCRACY, highlights the growing similarity and reconcilableness of economic and political systems around the world. In the years since the Second World War, and especially during the past two decades, many governments have adopted free-market economic systems, vastly increasing their own productive potential and creating myriad new opportunities for international trade and investment. Governments have also negotiated dramatic reductions in barriers to commerce (tariffs & quotas) and have established international agreements to promote trade in goods, services, and investment. Technology has been the other principal driver of globalisation. Advances in IT and telecommunications have dramatically transformed economic life. Consumers, investors and business now have valuable new tools for identifying and pursuing economic opportunities. The end of the Cold War in 1989 and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 sparked an international debate on the nature of the "new world order" – a “new age/phase” George Bush proclaimed to be “dawning” upon the world. Even a couple of years before this, Margaret Thatcher announced the TINA-proclamation (There Is No Alternative). Both of these declarations refer to the growing speed and intensity of globalisation on the economic, political and social fronts. Indeed, it seems like the world is in for tremendous change and there seem to be no going back to a global system in which each country is an island. The undeniable global trends of integration, interaction and interdependence are uniquely intertwined (with growing intensity) in the current global capitalist system. Countries around the world realise more than ever that they need each other in order to generate more economic growth and prosperity. However, globalisation is deeply controversial as it means different things to different people. There’s a gap between the ‘rich’ and the ‘poor’, the ‘haves’ and the ‘have nots’, the ‘winners’ and the ‘losers’, those ‘included’ and those ‘excluded’. It is important to note that globalisation does not integrate everybody. In fact, it currently excludes more people on the planet but at the same time, affects everybody. Globalisation has stimulated entrepreneurship and empowered people and countries in a position to participate in the process. This is not the case for the poorest nations. They need technical and financial assistance to acquire the tools to join the process of globalisation. This requires a major joint effort on their part and on the part of the international community. By all indications, the international community needs to act to reduce the debt burden of the poorest countries and to improve market access for their exports. Apparently,crucial to enabling the benefits of globalisation to spread to all mankind, is the maintenance of peaceful conditions between and within sovereign states. ☞☞Some ‘scary’ stats: ☞☞ Some 3 billion people – or half of humanity – live on $2 per day. The GDP of the poorest 48 nations (i.e. a quarter of the world's countries) is less than the wealth of the world's three richest people combined. 3 86% of the world’s resources are consumed by the world’s wealthiest 20%. 20% of the population in the developed nations, consume 86% of the world’s goods. About 0.13% of the world’s population controlled 25% of the world’s assest in 2004. 51% of the world’s wealthiest bodies are corporations. The number of children in the world living in poverty is about 1 billion (every second child). The 48 poorest countries account for less than 0.4 of global exports. Nearly a billion people entered the 21st century unable to read a book or sign their names. SUMMARY OF THE GREAT GLOBALISATION DEBATE: Sceptics Concepts Internationalisation not globalisation Regionalisation Power The nation-state rules Globalists One world, shaped by highly extensive, intensive and rapid flows, movements and networks across regions and continents Erosion of state sovereignty, autonomy and legitimacy Intergovernmentalism (IGOs) Decline of nation-state Rise of multilateralism Culture Resurgence of nationalism and Emergence of global popular culture national identity Erosion of fixed political identities Hybridisation Economy Inequality Development of regional blocs Global informational capitalism Triadisation The transnational economy New imperialism A new global division of labour Growing North-South divide Growing inequality within and across societies Irreconcilable conflicts of interest Erosion of old hierarchies Order International society of states Multilayered global governance Political conflict between states inevitably persists Global civil society Global polity International governance and geopolitics Communitarianism Cosmopolitanism 4 As indicated in the Summary on the previous page, the debate about globalisation stretches further than just the mere question of ‘global equality’ and poverty. Although this is may be the ‘hot topic’ in the debate, there are a number of other areas of concern which affect people around the world in adverse ways – even those living in the same country. [1]People are concerned about the actual meaning of globalisation and its implications, [2]they are concerned about the changing nature of global governance and state sovereignty, [3]and also about the ‘global economic reality’ which is ‘brought upon’ by globalisation, [4]and then they also feel threatened in terms of their cultural identity. All of these are different reactions to the forces of globalisation (METHODS) and all of them deserves merit as they directly and indirectly affect people all over the world’s daily lives. 3. Theories The two underlying ideologies supporting globalisation is NEOLIBERALISM and CONVERGENCE THEORY. Firstly, neoliberalism is essentially about making trade between nations easier. It is about freer movement of goods, resources and enterprises in a bid to always find cheaper resources, to maximise profits and efficiency. To help accomplish this, neoliberalism requires the removal of various controls deemed as barriers to free trade (eg. tariffs, regulations and capital controlls). The goal is to be able to to allow the free market to naturally balance itself via the pressures of market demands; a key to successful market-based economies. The main points of neoliberalism includes: • • • • • The rule of the market – freedom for capital, goods and services, where the market is selfregulating allowing the “trickle down” notion of wealth distribution. It also includes the deunionising of labor forces and removals of any impediments to capital mobility, such as regulations. The freedom is from the state, or government. Reducing public expenditure for social services, such as health and education, by the government. Deregulation, to allow market forces to act as a self-regulating mechanism. Privatisation of public enterprise (from water to even the Internet). Changing perceptions of public and community good to individualism and individual responsibility. Secondly, the theory of convergence stresses the growing homogeneity (similarity) of economic activities, cultures, habits, life-styles and thinking-patterns of people around the world. It is the idea that societies move toward a condition of similarity – that they converge in one or more respects – and that differences among societies decrease over time. Some refer to it as a global conciousness that is emerging; awakening people around the world to become more aware of the fact that everyone (whether they know or choose it or not) is part of the “GLOBAL VILLAGE”. There are 4 basic FORCES of convergence: i. Economic trade: Trade has been a force for convergence of disparate groups both within and without territorial boundaries even among hunter-gatherer societies before the rise of agriculture. Modern globalisation has now created worldwide bourgeois and working classes sharing the same interests and conditions without national distinctions, and has (to some degree) "deminished” the peculiar individuality of the various nationalities. In addition, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays a hugh role in introducing new products and services to foreign communities (eg. McDonalds opening up in Indonesia and SA, etc.). ii. Political consolidation: Political consolidation into nationality groups has constituted the pinnacle of modern convergence. However, the next step can already be ascertained in the slow increase in the number, scope and authority of international, regional and global coalitions and institutions (such as the IMF, UN, Worldbank, and WTO). iii. Technological development: In modern times, advances in transportation have facilitated migration. Mass transportation and communications further break down barriers and tend to tie disparate groups together. Via the Internet, for example, people are introdused to other cultures and traditions and can even become part of ‘virtual communities’ through ‘chat-rooms’ where ideas could be shared. All this could contribute to ‘global cultural adjustment’. iv. Religion/Spirituality: Even religion has been a force for convergence. Although well aware that fundamentalist forces within modern religions are still influential and serve to differentiate "true believers" from "others," today, "universalist" religions are forces for convergence irrespective of national and cultural boundaries. The reason why 5 religion (or spirituality) is of such significance is that it creates a ‘believe-system’ and people generally act according to their ‘believe-systems’. In recent times greater emphasis have been placed on common values which serves humanity arguably the best – of which the most prominent example is human rights (eg. UN declaration on Human Rights). Convergence is a "process," not a "result." It can occur with respect to certain factors and in certain places while remaining wholly absent from others. However, many particular instances of divergence are still clearly evident. 4. International institutions of Global governance A core part of understanding globalisation is the realisation that there are a number of different institutions at work in the global environment which, from a governance point of view, serves as a stimulus for global economic integration. These institutions forms part of the global web of interconnection created to enhance economic and political cooperation between the countries of the 1 world. They are among the most important authoritative roleplayers in the Global governance structure. Note that most of these institutions are not directly linked to each other and may work together on diverse grounds. i. Multilateral institutions: In the aftermath of World War II in 1944, besides the United Nations (UN), the important international economic organisations created at the conference held at Bretton Woods were the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), now known as the World Bank. The IBRD-World Bank was established to help finance the reconstruction of war-torn Europe and the development of the poorer countries of the world. The IMF mandate was to regulate an international monetary system based on convertible currencies to facilitate global trade while leaving sovereign governments in charge of their own monetary, fiscal, and international investment policies. Significantly, the effort to establish the International Trade Organization (ITO) ended in failure, leaving the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) as its surviving remnant. But all that was more than 50 years ago. The IMF has now become the "point person" for efforts to "liberalize," or deregulate the international economic system. The World Trade Organisation (WTO) was created in 1995, by the passage of the provisions of the "Uruguay Round" of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). Prior to the Uruguay Round, GATT focused on promoting world trade by pressuring countries to reduce tariffs. But with the creation of the WTO, this corporateinspired agenda was significantly ratcheted up by targeting so-called "non-tariff barriers to trade"—essentially any national or local protective legislation that might be construed as impacting trade. The WTO is an international organization of 134 member countries that is a forum for negotiating international trade agreements and the monitoring and regulating body for enforcing agreements. The WTO is among the most powerful international bodies on earth. It is rapidly assuming the role of global government, as 134 nation-states, including the U.S., have ceded to its vast authority and powers. The WTO represents the rules-based regime of the policy of economic globalisation. The central operating principal of the WTO is that commercial interests should supersede all others. In terms of the origin of all these Bretton Woods institutions (183 member countries), one must remember that they were created to enhance economic coordination amongst states as a way to ensure economic renewal, prosperity, and peace. This signified a prominent shift in approach to global economic management, moving away from one which was based on ad-hoc bilateral cooperative arrangements, in the form of gentlemen’s agreements primarily amongst central banks in the major economies, to one which was centred on a formalised multilateral system. ii. 1 The United Nations (UN): The original central role envisaged for the UN in global economic affairs remains unfulfilled. From the outset, major ‘multilateral’ developments in the economic sphere took Global governance refers to a process of political and economic co-ordination among governments, intergovernmental and transnational agencies (both public and private), and multilateral institutions. It works towards common purposes or collectively agreed goals, through making or implementing global or transnational rules, and managing trans-border problems. 6 place outside the UN framework. This has been an intentional move as the G7 (without Russia during the Cold War) have preferred to work through mainly the Bretton Woods institutions where they can extend full control. Although an institutions of immense importance in international affairs, the UN agencies are viewed more as a fora where opinion polls are taken on issues of global interest than as a fora where hard decisions are made and implemented. iii. Inter-governmental organisations (IGOs) and NGOs: In the last fifty years there has been a phenomenal expansion in the number, jurisdiction and global impact of IGOs; that is, international bodies brought into being by formal agreements between governments. At the global level there has been an explosive growth in the number of IGOs – from 37 in 1909 to almost 300 in 1999 – whose activities mirror the functional responsibilities of national government departments, embracing everything from finance to flora and fauna. What distinguishes the major IGOs from more informal cooperative arrangements is usually that the former have a ‘cafeteria and a pension scheme’; namely, they have some kind of autonomous legal personality. Moreover, membership of such organisations has been increasing such that most now have almost universal coverage. And in addition, there are clearly a multiplicity of high-level working groups of officials, summits, conferences and congresses and much informal contact and coordination exists. For instance, a century ago, few international summits were held; today there are in excess of 4 000 annually. Alongside this global polity is a developing infrastructure of transnational civil society. The plethora of Non-governmental Organisations (NGOs), transnational organisations (from the International Chamber of Commerce to the Catholic Church), advocacy networks (from the Women’s Movement to “Nazis on the Net”) and citizens’ groups play a significant role in mobilising, organising, and exercising people-power across national boundaries. The explosion of ‘citizen diplomacy’ constitutes a rudimentary transnational civil society, in other words, a political and economic arena in which citizens and private interests collaborate across borders to advance their mutual goals or to bring governments, corporations and the formal institutions of global governance to account for their activities. iv. The Group of 8 (G8): The G8 includes the USA, Japan, Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Canada and in categorised terms Russia. It is often regarded as a kind of ‘global directorate’ since it brings together the leaders of the world’s most economically (and militarily) powerful states whose collective decisions or veto can have a critical influence on the global agenda and the politics of global governance. It is considered to be a selective IGO with limited membership. The G8 acts as the engine of current global economic governance, using its influence to provide direction and to set the agenda for global governance, and is to some degree, undermining the role of the UN in general. It has no secretariat, headquarters, rules of operation nor legal/formal powers. Yet its actions have consequences on a global level and therefore its legitimacy and representation is facing increasing challenge. Other ‘bodies’ of the G8 is the G77 or the G20 or the G15 where different “combinations” of the developing countries are included in global decision-making processes. The G8 has significant influence over setting the global agenda on economic policies, and establishing the policy margins in which discussion will take place. The G8’s influential position within global governance is reflected in its ability to create new bodies (ie. FSF, G20) and to determine which existing bodies (usually the Bretton Woods institutions and WTO) will deal with certain issues. Within these institutions, the agenda is reinforced as the same countries hold the balance of power in them as in the G8. 5. A last word… Economic globalisation is a process by which markets and production in different countries are becoming increasingly interdependent due to the dynamics of trade in goods and services, and flows of capital and technology. It is not a new phenomenon but the continuation of developments that have been in train for some considerable time. Advances in communication and transportation technology, COMBINED with free-market ideology, have given goods, services, and capital unprecedented mobility. Human societies across the globe have established progressively closer contacts over many centuries, but recently the pace has dramatically increased. Jet airplanes, cheap telephone service, email, computers, huge ocean-going sailing vessels, instant capital flows, all these have made the world more interdependent than ever. Multinational corporations (MNCs) manufacture products in many countries and sell to consumers around the world. Northern countries want to open world markets to their goods and take advantage of abundant, cheap labour in the South, policies often 7 supported by Southern elites. They use international financial institutions and regional trade agreements to compel poor countries to ‘integrate’ by reducing tariffs, privatising state enterprises, and relaxing environmental and labour standards. The results have enlarged profits for investors but offered pittances to labourers, provoding a strong backlash from civil society. Money, technology and raw materials move ever more swiftly across national borders. Along with products and finances, ideas and cultures circulate more freely. As a result, laws, economies, and social movements are forming at the international level. Many economists, politicians, academics, and journalists treat these trends as both inevitable and (on the whole) welcome. But for billions of the world’s people, business-driven globalisation means uprooting old ways of life and threatening livelihoods and cultures. This implies that intense political and economic disputes will continue over globalisation’s meaning and its future direction. QUESTIONS 1. In terms of the definition of globalisation and also the formation of the new global economy, firstly explain what is meant by the ‘big picture’ and secondly, how all the different parts/components are interrelated. 2. There seems to be some controversy about the global pro’s and con’s of globalisation. Explain the validity of this debate in the context of current global changes. (Also, provide your own opinion). 3. In what ways do the theories of Neoliberalism and Convergence (all their dimensions) help create a global framework within which the process of globalisation could function? 4. How would you qualify and describe the role of institutions of global governance in enhancing the process of globalisation? Also, why do you think this (role) is important to them and to the rest of the world? 5. Given the fact that globalisation is a process which makes the world more interdependent, what implications could this have in terms of future changes in the global economy? VRAE 1. In terme van die definisie van globalisering en ook die totstandkoming van die nuwe globale ekonomie, verduidelik eerstens wat bedoel word met die ‘big picture’ en tweedens, hoe al die verskillende dele/komponente interverwant is. 2. Dit wil voorkom asof daar ‘n mate van kontroversie bestaan rakende die globale voor- en nadele van globalisering. Verduidelik die geldigheid van hierdie debat in die konteks van huidige globale veranderinge. (Gee ook u eie mening.) 3. Op watter wyses help die teorieë van Neoliberalisme en “Convergence” (al hul dimensies) om ‘n globale raamwerk te skep waarin die proses van globalisering kan funksioneer? 4. Hoe sou u die rol van globale bestuursinstellings kwalifiseer en beskryf met betrekking tot die bevordering van die proses van globalisering? Voorts, hoekom dink u is hierdie (rol) so belangrik vir hulle en vir die res van die wêreld? 5. Gegewe die feit dat globalisering ‘n proses is wat die wêreld meer interafhanklik maak, watter implikasies kan dit inhou in terme van toekomstige veranderinge in die globale ekonomie? 8 Article 2 GLOBALISATION ~Major driving forces~ 1. Introduction A key to understanding globalisation is being aware of the fact that it is a process which is DRIVEN by a number of factors. Obviously there must be a reason why people from around the world see it as an opportunity to cooperate and have contact with each other. Besides the social need to interact there is also the economic need to make profit and experience financial gain on a win/win basis. Therefore, in accomodating these needs, people have created (for centuries) “networks of interaction” which one might call the driving forces of globalisation. More specifically these driving forces are mainly TRADE, INVESTMENT and TECHNOLOGY. They are the main cogs in facilitating the process of globalisation as they can be considered as both the cause and the result of globalisation. With the process of globalisation finding momentum in the late nineteenth and twentieth century, more emphasise was being placed on the role of trade, investment and technology in creating a global web of interconnectedness. Given this, what is especially important here is understanding how these driving forces are interrelated. That means: how they impact on each other and what their combined effect is in creating a framework for global economic integration. The reason for this is because the main factors that drive the process of economic integration exert not only independent influences but also interact in important and complex ways. 2. Trade A major dimension of globalisation is the transformation of international trade. Dating back from the earliest centuries when tea-trade ‘routes’ were established and the trading activities of Marco Polo seven centuries ago, trade was always seen as the FIRST move by mankind to seek opportunities beyond its realm of habitual experience. International trade has continued to grow but it is affected fundamentally by two elements or trends that one has to consider: The first trend is the transformation of the COMPOSITION of international trade. Communities and raw materials are increasingly displaced as sources of value by manufactured goods and manufactured goods are being displaced by advanced services. And within manufactured goods you have a growing discrepancy between low value added, low-tech manufactured goods and high-value added, high-tech manufactured goods, which is the heart of international trade today. The second trend is that the developing countries’ SHARE of international trade has increased quite substantially. Obviously the intertrade of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) (or first world) countries still accounts for the bulk of international trade. Actually at this point, OECD countries which have 19% of the world’s population account for about 74% of the world’s total export of goods and services. So the notion that we have a development of trade in the developing countries is true vis-á-vis the importance of this trade in developing countries – but it’s not true that developing countries now represent a substantial share of OECD countries. It must be highlighted that the value that trade adds to a country fundamentally depends on what is being traded, for whom, and at what price? If you trade cocoa and coffee and cotton against microchips and advanced business services, you might not be in such a great business. Especially in this regard, African and also South American countries are still way behind other developing countries such as East Asia (not to mention the industrialised countries). Whereas African countries mainly produce labour-intensive agricultural goods for exports, East Asia specialise in producing manufactured goods and services, thereby earning much MORE with their exports. Something different is the fact that there has been a major debate on whether international trade is creating regions (trading blocs) in the world, such as the European Union or South America (Mercusur), the United States, Canada and Mexico forming NAFTA, or Asian Pacific countries forming the ANSEAN-group, or even SADC-countries; or whether on the contrary, it is creating a global economy; or both. Well, to some degree it is neither. Instead, there are networks of trade. In other words, the European Union, for example, is not simply a ‘trading bloc’ – it is one economy. Remember, that’s what has changed. You have one central bank and one currency (the euro), you have one economy (resulting from one monetary system). 9 Returning to the discussion about the trends, economists traditionally tend to focus on trade in goods and, to a lesser extent, services as the key mechanism for integrating economic activities across countries and as a critical channel (but not the only important one) for transmitting disturbances between national economies. Indeed, in the economic theory of international trade (specifically the Hecksher-Ohlin theory), trade in goods is seen as a substitute for mobility of factors of production. Under certain restricted conditions, which do not apply completely in practice, the theory says trade in the outputs of production processes may be an essentially perfect substitute for mobility of factors, with the result that factor returns are equalized internationally – i.e., factor price equalization is achieved – without the necessity for factors to move internationally to achieve this equalization. If the conditions for factor price equalization did apply, there would be no economic benefit from international mobility of factors of production. Full economic efficiency could be achieved exclusively through trading outputs. A key reason why the conditions for factor price equalization do not fully apply is because of barriers to trade in outputs that effectively prevent the equalization of relative output prices at different locations. These barriers take two forms: natural barriers to trade in the form of transportation costs and also costs of information about product prices and availabilities at different locations; and artificial barriers to trade arising from tariffs, quotas, and other public policy interventions. In general, the higher are the barriers to trade, the lower will be the degree of international integration through trade, and conversely. Thus, it is relevant to consider what has been happening to barriers to trade as a means of assessing what has been happening to international economic integration through this important channel. Gradually, as sailing vessels became larger and piracy and other hazards to ocean-borne commerce were reduced, ocean-borne shipping costs did decline significantly and longerdistance trade expanded as a result. Nevertheless, well into the 1800s, transportation costs remained an important natural barrier to global trade. The invention and development of steam-powered iron th ships during the second half of the 19 century further reduced the costs of ocean shipping. By the end of the century, the cost of shipping a ton of cargo across the Atlantic was probably less than one-fifth of what it had been at the start of the century. This REDUCTION in shipping costs contributed importantly to the expansion of world trade and to the range of products participating in that trade. Artificial barriers to trade in the form of import tariffs and other public policy interventions have a very long history. No doubt, there has always been some interest in such measures as means of providing protection to domestic producers from foreign competition. Raising revenue for the state probably th remained the most important reason for the imposition of tariffs until the 19 century. In the United States, in particular, tariffs were generally the most important source of revenue for the federal government up to World War I. Despite the continuing importance of revenue as a reason for imposing tariffs, it appears that interest in these measures as a means of providing protection to domestic producers increased as natural barriers to trade from transportation costs declined and as the revolution in manufacturing technology created important new competitive threats to more traditional and higher cost producers. Economic globalisation has been propelled by political, economic, and technological developments. The compression of time and space by advances in communications and transportation has greatly reduced the costs of international commerce while both the industrialised and industrialising economies have taken a number of initiatives to lower trade and investment barriers. Eight rounds of multilateral trade negotiations under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), the principal forum for trade liberalisation, have significantly decreased trade barriers. Since World War II, the world economy has enjoyed a remarkable era of prosperity that has spread quite broadly, but NOT universally, across the globe. Over the past five decades, real world GDP has risen at somewhat more than a 4% annual rate, with real GDP in developing countries (as a group) growing in per capita terms at about the same pace as the industrial countries. The RESULT has been that real living standards, as measured by real per capita GDP, have improved on average about three-fold in just half a century. During this era of remarkable economic growth, world trade in goods and services has expanded at nearly double the pace of world real GDP. As a result the volume of world trade in goods and services (the sum of both exports and imports) rose from barely one-tenth of world GDP in 1950 to about ⅓ of world GDP in 2000. By this measure – and by others as well – there has indeed been an increase in the degree of global economic integration through trade in goods and services (especially financial services) during the past half century. The two fundamental factors that appear to have driven this increasing global economic integration are ①continuing improvements in the technology of transportation (eg. air cargo and trucking and rail) and ②communication (eg. voice, text, and data) and a very substantial, progressive reduction in artificial barriers to international commerce resulting from public policy interventions. Costs of 10 technology have dramatically declined in the past half century. The postwar era has lead to a drastic reduction in artifical barriers to trade. During the past 20 years there has been a significant MOVE by most economically important developing countries to liberalise their trade regimes. It is possible that levels of protection for domestic manufacturing industries in especially industrial countries have declined by as much as 90% since World War II. This is obviously an enormous accomplishment in the direction of public POLICIES that seek to secure the benefits of a more efficiently integrated world economy. However, the resort to voluntary export restraints and other non-tariff interventions in more recent years is still a difficulty. Given this, the conclusion remains that the massive reduction in artificial barriers to trade and the substantial, although quantitatively less significant, reduction in natural barriers to trade in the postwar era contributed very importantly to increasing globalisation…☜ 3. Investment In understanding the supportive role of international investment with regards to globalisation, one first needs to recognise the meaning and distinction between two primary types of international investment: foreign direct investment (FDI) and international portfolio investment. Firstly, FDI means that a company is spesifically opening up a subsidiary or branch in one or more countries. It implies the investment of physical capital such as machinery, building material, etc. Examples of this is a factory being opened up by a manufacturing company (like Toyota in Amanzimtoti) and a McDonald’s branch in Bloemfontein, for instance. Usually in the case of FDI, the labour of the country invested in (host country) is used in the production process. The second type of international investment is portfolio investment. This occurs when investors from around the world invest in foreign capital markets. For instance an American investor buying shares on our JSE and vice versa. Note that at the HEART of the process of globalisation is the emergence of global financial markets, the integration of capital markets and money markets, in a interlinked global financial system that works as a unit in real time. The keen interest in FDI is part of a broader interest in the forces propelling the ongoing integration of the world economy in the form of globalisation. Together with the more or less steady rise in the world's trade-to-GDP ratio, the increased importance of foreign-owned production and distribution facilities in most countries is cited as tangible evidence of globalisation. FDI is also viewed as a way of increasing the efficiency with which the world's scarce resources are used. A recent and specific example is the perceived role of FDI in efforts to stimulate economic growth in many of the world's poorest countries. More importantly, FDI, very little of which currently flows to the poorest countries, can be a source not just of badly needed capital, but also of new technology and intangibles such as organisational and managerial skills, and marketing networks. FDI also affects trade flows through the transfer of technology, as well as through its role as a stimulus to competition, innovation, savings and capital formation. This then, helps with greater job creation and economic growth. Along with major REFORMS in domestic policies and practices in the poorest countries, this is precisely what is needed to turn-around an otherwise pessimistic outlook. There are many reasons why FDI has become a much-discussed topic. One is the dramatic (fivefold) increase in the annual global flow between 1985 and 1995, from around $60 billion to an estimated $315 billion, and the resulting rise in its relative importance as a source of investment funds for most countries. Stocks of FDI, in turn, have been growing and estimates suggest that the sales of foreign affiliates of multinational corporations (MNCs) exceed the value of world trade in goods and services (the latter was $6,100 billion in 1995). A comparison of flows of FDI and flows of international portfolio investment for the period 1988-94 reveals that the average annual flows of the two types of international investment were more or less equal during 1988-90, after which portfolio investment began three years of rapid growth that brought it to a level ($630 billion in 1993) more than double that of FDI. A sharp slowdown in the growth in portfolio investment in 1994 then narrowed the gap somewhat (data on portfolio investments for 1995 are not yet available). A secondary category of international financial flows, and one of particular importance to many developing countries, is official development finance. In 1994, when the flow of international portfolio investment was about $350 billion and the flow of FDI $230 billion (in both cases to all destinations), the OECD countries (or rich countries) provided about $60 billion of official development finance, of which about $50 billion went to developing countries and the remainder to the transition economies. In 1995, inflows of FDI into the non-OECD area totalled an estimated $112 billion. Of this, approximately $65 billion went to Asia, and another $27 billion to Latin America (including Mexico). The remaining $20 billion was divided almost equally between transition economies in Europe on the one hand, and Africa and the Middle East on the other. Nearly one-third of the 20 leading host economies for FDI during 1985-95 are developing economies. China is in fourth place, with Mexico, Singapore, Malaysia, Argentina, Brazil and Hong Kong also on the list. The question remains: Where is Africa? 11 With regards to international portfolio investment, capital markets in developing countries too are becoming more closely integrated with markets in the rest of the world, although they have progressed far less in that direction than the industrial countries. Though it is still way too early to speak of a single, global capital market where most of world saving and wealth are auctioned to the highest bidder and where a wide range of assets carry the same risk-adjusted expected return, the world is fast moving in that direction. None of this, however, implies that authorities should be indifferent to the potential prudential and systemic risks that may be associated with the trend toward global capital market liberalisation and innovation. The message should NOT be to try and halt financial liberalisation and the international integration of capital markets but rather to accompany that liberalisation and integration WITH a strengthening of the supervisory framework that permits the attendant risks to be properly priced and that encourages risk management programs to be upgraded. IN SUM, the global interdependence of financial markets is the result of a number of developments: 1. The deregulation of financial markets and the liberalisation of cross-border transactions. The global impact of the stockmarket crash in October 1987 in London and the collapse of the East Asian Tigers in 1997 are good examples of this. 2. The existence of a technological infrastructure, including advanced telecommunications, Internet, interactive information systems and powerful computers capable of high-speed processing of models required to handle the complexity of transactions (eg. electronic trading). By building electronic networks at the core of the global financial markets, we are in a process in which savings are mobilised and invested constantly from anywhere to anywhere. 3. The connectedness results also from the nature of financial products such as derivatives. Derivatives are synthetic securities that combine everything (products) that can be combined, from any market to any market. 4. Market valuation firms such as Standard and Poor (S&P) or Moody’s are very powerful elements for the integration of financial markets by establishing certain rules and certain criteria, and enforcing them. For example, once Moody’s says something in the market, it happens, not because that is the reality, but because Moody’s has said it. 5. The increasing role of international financial institutions such as the IMF make sure that the criteria used by S&P and Moody’s actually work, as rules of the ‘game’. Thus, if you want to be in the global ‘club’, you have to accept these rules or else not only will you (as a country) not receive a loan, you will be judged and considered an unreliable market. To this end, what we have is a new, exiting kind of system with countless opportunities and risks. Global financial markets is now highly integrated, interdependent and at the same time, unstable in their processes. If capital markets and currencies are interdependent, so are monetary policies and interest rates, and therefore, so are economies everywhere. Capital flows become more global and increasingly autonomous, at the same time, vis-á-vis the actual performance of the economies. 4. Technology Some call it “the fifth factor of production”. Without technology the world would defitely not have been the same place. Widespread fascination with technical ingenuity and growing capabilities has been a consistent focus of attention: from the emergence of the ‘computer age’ in the 1950s and 60s, through the ‘microchip revolution’ in the 1970s, to the Internet-based ‘superhighway’ and ‘information society’ of the 1980s and 90s, on to twenty-first century Internet-enabled ‘e-everything’ digitised globalisation. Reality is becoming more exotic than fantasy! Virtual companies, etc. The Internet became the first truly GLOBAL knowledge network. For most people, the future that’s emerging seems awesome and daunting all at the same time. Well, in fact we are heading toward an extreme future where change occurs much faster than any of us realise – as if time itself is on fastforward. It’s time we start thinking “out of the box”. It all STARTED with the “mathematication of logic” when the giant leap was made from the Industrial Revolution to the Information Revolution. The future, coming closer every nanosecond, will furthermore be marked by innovations that will startle even the most imaginative among us. Walking, talking, smiling Robots. The elimination of most disease by genetic therapy. Virtual business that lives on the Net. Digital TV that supports interaction. Virtual reality worlds that rival reality with their authenticity. This millennium, spesifically, will be built upon technological miracles and they will seem extreme to those of us who are alive now. This technology revolution will redefine how we live and work, love and play, create and destroy. Until now, we have lived our lives marking time mostly by personal changes – finishing high school, further studies, our first job, and marriage. No more. The oncoming change catalysed by emerging technology will realign culture, reshape economies, turn science upside down, release countless innovations, and transform every human endeavor (for good or bad). 12 The beginning stages of the technological revolution that the world is currently experiencing is centered mainly around information and communication and transport technologies. At the same time the Internet is the epitome and the most powerful medium of this revolution. Under the impulse of new technologies and flexible forms of organisation and management we are witnessing the formation of a new economy, characterised by rising productivity growth and global competition. Technology is behind key transitions in the very foundations of our society. The prospects are for a acceleration of this economic dynamism in core economies as well as in selected areas of the developing world. As an essential dimension of globalisation, the selective globalisation of science and technology, is the critical factor that is “fanning the globalisation-flame”. They are absolutely critical components of especially the production process and, not only that, of the capacity for development of societies as well. Technology are the MAIN CONTRIBUTOR to the global web of interconnection as it fascilitates the architecture of the process of globalisation. Without advancement in technology the costs of trade would not be able to decrease and international investment not be able to take place in real time on a planetary scale. Technology are globally integrated in the sense that all major research centres have connections to developing countries. In this regard two things need to be mentioned: ①…There is an extraordinary concentration of science and technology and particularly information technology, research and development, in the leading economies. ②…While there is a high degree of concentration in specific research centres, their networks are interactive and therefore you have the ability to diffuse technological capacity to a number of developing countries, while at the same time being connected to the centres of information processing. A good example is Silicon Valley. A key CHARACTERISTIC of the new global economy is that it is organised in networks (interconnected nodes). These networks are decentralised networks that are within the large corporations. Small and medium businesses connect to each other, forming networks, and these small networks connect to these decentralised networks of the corporation, forming a network of networks – and supported by technology. Consequently, increasingly many of these networking operations are online, in terms of management, selling and production. People from around the world are fascinated by e-commerce over the Internet. Interestingly, 80% of economic transactions over the Internet are currently business to business, not business to consumers. The real essence of what’s happening on the business side is that the actual production system is being produced online. Accordingly, the new technological basis of the global economy is the Internet. The Internet is not simply one more technology. Many consider it to be the equivalent of electricity and of the electrical engine of industrialisation. With the emergence of the ‘online market’, it must be remembered that the application of science and technology to production processes and products toward the end of the nineteenth century, even then, provided an irresistible motive for the geographic expansion of markets. However, at this point in time, it is the cost and risk of technology rather than the need for larger production runs that are the primary motivation for the transnational integration of markets. Over time this is expected to change as technology will in all probability prove itself more reliable and costeffective. Interestingly, technologies have become so complex and rapidly changing that even industry leaders cannot master them internally. In light of this, the world economy is increasingly electronically integrated and digital. Networks, especially transnational networks, are creatures of the information age held together by information technology. Computers, facsimile machines, high-resolution monitors, and the Internet are the “threads” of the global web of the emerging electronically networked world economy. More important, markets are migrating from geographic space to cyberspace as e-commerce grows in both the business-to-business and the business-to-consumer spheres. Finally, physical products are becoming digital services, data transmitted electronically over the Internet. We are entering an era in which information in the form of electronic cash (or cashless society) will be routinely exchanged for information in the form of a digital book, symphony, photograph, or computer program, etc. In short, we face a DUAL REVOLUTION: the migration of markets from geographic space to cyberspace, and the morphing of products from real “atoms” to digital “bits”. Both render geographically defined national markets and economic governance rooted in territorial jurisdiction problematic. At the advent of the st 21 century, national markets are losing meaning as the discrete units of the world economy, as the scale of technology is fusing them into a larger whole. The transition to electronic networks and to cyberspace also affects the structure of the world economy. Networks are inherently interdependent, diminish all sorts of boundaries, and are constructed relationally, so that the concept of a center may lose meaning. Electronic information technology facilitates the integration of geographically dispersed operations and allows networked coordination to replace ownership and hierarchy as a primary mode of control. One result is the emergence of flexible networks replacing production by a single large firm. Hierarchical, 13 vertically integrated transnational firms have “fragmented” into “diverse” networks reintegrated through information technology. And in addition, the trend has already started that hierarchical enterprises are being replaced by alliance capitalism. In this regard, one must remember that networks are a manifestation of the bluring of the boundary between the factory and the marketplace and that, especially global networks, are both real and virtual. The emergence of networks as a basic mode of organisation of international economic transactions may be of more profound importance than increases in the scale of technology. ☞☞☞In ☞☞☞ turning to the impact of telecommunications and transportation technology, the crucial element to recognise is the fact that combined impact of technology on all fronts is what is making the running of the globalisation-process more smoothly. Technology seems to be the answer to everyone’s (including individuals, the corporate sector and the government) operational headaches – and in some ways also the cause as network failures in many cases disrupt people’s productivity. However, almost everyone will agree that the way to the future is via technological advancement. For communications, the situation is particularly promising due to the ongoing technological revolution. COSTS of communication, domestic and international, have fallen rapidly; and these declines also seem likely to continue. International trade surely benefits from improvements in communications. The areas likely to benefit the most are those that rely particularly heavily on communications, with financial services being an important example. The rapid reductions in the costs of storing, accessing, analyzing, and communicating information are both dramatically reducing the costs of producing virtually all existing forms of financial services and creating new products and services which would have been prohibitively expensive with older technologies. As a result of these technological advances, the costs of processing and communicating all forms of information have been all declining very rapidly. Of specific importance is the fact that most of these changes have also been taking place at the international level in response to the principal driving force – technology. This implies that we have strong reason to expect an increasing degree of capital market integration in the future. Information and communications costs are a natural barrier to integration of capital markets and financial services – just as transportation costs are for trade in physical goods. As these costs come down, integration should increase. Thus, the communication of economically relevant information and technology is an important mechanism through which economic activities in different parts of the world affect each other. The recent and continuing advances in communications promise to have profound effects on innovation across a very broad spectrum and on a global scale. We are seeing the beginnings of this now. Combined with advancement in all forms of technology, it promises to be a profound force driving global economic integration in the future. Given this, the real impact of technology lies in “tech convergence”. The convergence of leading-edge technology will be the single most powerful driver of change for the next 100 years. As all userfriendly technologies are becoming more digital and wireless in its use, more connected to the web and more in tune with satelite connections, they are converging in order to be used simultaneously and without ‘distraction’. This will be the trend of the future and one will see more and more the use of, for instance, cellphones for online purposes, household equipment such as refrigerators connected to the web and also online-orientated ‘virtual reality’ applications. Half of all the products that will be sold in the next 5 years haven’t even been invented yet. DNA databases are doubling every 8 months. Bandwidth is doubling every 10 months. E-commerce sales are growing by 100 percent every 6 months. The Net is doubling every 90 days. This is just a taste of the oncoming, rapid changes. The power-shift that technology is causing in our social and industrial landscape is redefining the underlying assumptions of business, commerce and culture. This shift will effectively realign economic and social boundaries. Traditional systems, from the distribution of goods to the nature of entertainment to the very economics of supply and demand, will be unrecognizable in the 21st Century. In light of this, it is important to assess what’s at stake for businesses, as well as how the quality of our lives will be affected. Learning what the new rules of change are, will provide an essential EDGE for competitiveness in the future. Having the wrong worldview about the impact of leading-edge technology would be disastrous for any business leader – the price paid for his/her “awareness-gap”. Of vital importance for any person looking to survive all this change, on a business or personal level, is designing a viable strategy. Becoming aware of all the cool new technologies, the impact on customers, and the emerging business models is all grist for the mill. We need to be able to use all this radical thinking about what’s coming to formulate a strategy to apply to our business and our lives. A holistic view of the interconnectedness among the new technologies, markets and customers will help build this strategy. That perception is fundamental to using technology to leverage future opportunities in this rapidly shifting global economy. In the end, we are all architects of tomorrow. 14 A new development policy based on technological innovation and diffusion seems to be the appropriate tool for development in the Information Age. All this sounds like techno-fantasy, when the pressing problems are hunger, sanitation, epidemics, basic stuff. In fact, it is through technology-led development that we can leap-frog stages of the development process to provide efficiently for human needs, because only productivity, competitiveness, educated labour and efficient management can overcome, in a stable pattern of economic growth, the obstacles that exist today for countries to engage in a sustainable development process. Clearly, the prospect is that the process of GLOBALISATION – which is being driven by essentially irresistible forces of technological advance – will take place through voluntary means. People around the world will decide to participate – through trade, through movements of people and capital, and through accessing information and taking advantage of new technologies – because they see the benefit to them of such participation. Without a doubt, technology's promise is here today and will march forward. It will have widespread effects across the globe. Yet, the technology revolution will not be uniform in its effect and will play out differently on the global stage. There will be no turning back, however, since some societies will avail themselves of the revolution, and globalisation will thus change the environment in which each society lives. QUESTIONS 1. Explain how the type of changes that occurred in international trade over time (especially in the last 50 years) contributed to the process of globalisation, and to people and companies’ awareness of the fact that the world is greater (with more opportunities) than only the country where they live. 2. Given the global influence of international trade, give your opinion on (the debate) whether it is fair, just and beneficial to a country if governments from around the world interfere in intl. trade through tariffs, quotas and non-tariff barriers to trade. 3. Do you think that the extent to which FDI increased over the last couple of decades has placed MNCs in a much stronger position (how, why)? And do you think that this trend is good for the global economy as a whole or only for certain countries – or is it not good at all? 4. Given the massive escalation of technological usage, do you think that the ‘Technological revolution’ is providing the world with more problems or more solutions – why? 5. Give a thorough explanation on how the three driving forces of trade, investment and technology are interrelated; and how their combined impact facilitates increased globalisation. VRAE 1. Verduidelik hoe die tipes veranderinge wat oor tyd plaasgevind het (veral in die laaste 50 jaar) bygedra het tot die proses van globalisering, en tot mense en maatskappye se bewustheid van die feit dat die wêreld groter is (met meer geleenthede) as slegs die land waar hulle bly. 2. Gegewe die global invloed van internasionale handel, gee jou opinie oor (die debat) of die regverdig, billik en voordelig is vir ‘n land as owerhede van reg oor die wêreld inmeng in internas. handel d.m.v tariewe, kwotas en nie-tarief hindernisse tot handel. 3. Dink u dat die mate waarin FDI toegeneem het oor die afgelope paar dekades MNCs in ‘n baie sterker posisie geplaas het (hoe, hoekom)? En dink u dat hierdie tendens goed is vir die globale ekonomie of net vir sekere lande – of glad nie goed is nie? 4. Gegewe die massiewe eskalasie van die gebruik van tegnologie, dink u dat die ‘Tegnologie revolusie’ die wêreld van meer probleme of meer oplossings voorsien – hoekom? 5. Gee ‘n deeglike verduideliking van hoe die drie dryfkragte van handel, investering en tegnologie interverwant is aan mekaar; en hoe hul gekombineerde impak toenemende globalisering fasiliteer. 15 Article 3 GLOBALISATION ~Key roleplayers~ 1. Introduction Globalisation is both affected and guided by specific roleplayers. Among many participants in the process there are three categories that stand out: individuals, governments and multinational corporations (MNCs). People around the world are starting to become aware of the fact that they are part of a larger whole. In almost all spheres of life, the realisation that the world is a set of related systems, is beginning to dawn upon the human race. Different aspects of modern society is interconnected in a much higher degree than was the case 50 or 60 years ago. What we are witnessing is a profound shift in the way individuals, governments and MNCs participate in the global economy. As markets increase (globally) individuals are starting to make use of consumption-options in foreign countries – for instance, the options provided by e-commerce. Governments are realising that their ability to control/monitor the economic activities of their citizens have weakened as the scale of cross-border transactions are increasing by the minute. MNCs increasingly make use of “global opportunities” by both creating new markets in foreign countries and utilising cheaper resources abroad in order to give them a competitive edge. How the roles of these players change over the next decade or two will determine to what extent globalisation is connecting the world into a “global village”. 2. Individuals We live in a world where the speed of almost everything is increasing – from mainstream production to the collection and processing of data to millions of everyday electronic transactions, etc. The use of technologies such as the Internet, cellphones, debit and credit cards, smart cards, digital satelite connections, etc., are becoming as normal as breathing. The present-day world social order is considered to be in a ‘transitory phase’ evolving towards a higher-level system of organisation and structural complexity. The global technology revolution is seen as the primary driving force behind these changes. When changes improves people’s quality of life, it is always good, but it also poses positive and negative concerns in terms of what direction the world is heading and how it is affecting the fabric of society (people’s quality of life). From an economic point of view this is very important because it affects people’s spending patterns (the individual as a consumer) which then impacts on production cycles. If one considers the impact of e-commerce for instance, you realise that markets are rapidly expanding globally and that consumers will make use of any technology in order to meet their needs – at the lowest price of course. Now more than ever: The CONSUMER is king! A central question is therefore being raised: Are we seeing a ‘new social order’ emerging? With a younger generation (the leaders of tomorrow) more “in tune” with the latest technology-applications, this does seem to be the case. The question is just: What is the extent of this new social order that seem to be emerging? Well, only time will tell. Although the individual is just one roleplayer in the global economy, he is the pivot around which all other roleplayers such as governments and companies operate. Of course, when one speak of individuals one must keep in mind that people (individuals) from around the world is affected differently by global forces. In this case one can think of the difference in living conditions between a person living in the USA and someone living in a poor African country. While the American’s main concern is being able to buy online (luxury), the African’s main concern might be getting a drink of water for the day (survival). One change which is beginning to stand out in this “computer age” is the WAY people interact. Whereas television has become entertainment for profit, the Internet as an electronic forum through which public opinion can be regenerated as citizens engange in rational argument. Whenever computer mediated communication (CMC) becomes available to people, virtual communities emerge, reflecting ‘a hunger for community’ in the context of the demise of the public sphere in people’s lives. The Internet allows open, interactive, access – as opposed to the one-to-many nature of broadcasting systems. On the Net one can have truly global electronic communities, and new forms of participation, community and democracy. The Internet can reduce travel, save time, and extend the geography of human community as a substitute for face-to-face communication, or permit communication among people who might never have an opportunity to meet face-to-face. It is expected that in 2020 the majority of the world may be connected to the ‘planetary nervous system’, making cyberspace an unprecedented medium for civilisation 16 In Korea, for instance, Samsung is already starting to implement the use of a ‘fully digitilised house’. With this technology all elements of the home electronic environment will be part of a network which is linked up to the home PC. Entertainment and information is two areas where the potential of this new technology will especially come to the fore. There is already a number of products which could, with the help of wireless technology, ‘stream’ information from a home PC to the TV-set and MP3 or CD player. With the new technology this content/data could be ‘streamed’ to a mobile device. And also, as multimedia hand-devices develop with the growing high-resolution screens and advanced videofunctionality, this portable electronic devices will be able to use the advantages of high-speed 3Gdigital cordless networks. This includes technology such as CDMA2000 EV-DO and EV-DV which can allow bandwiths of up to three megabite per second. A further ‘application’ of the information provided by IT is its use in assisting to make good investment decisions. Investment is certainly one of the primary decisions continually being made by individuals. An astonishing trend the past 10 years is the growth in the scale and complexity of domestic and specifically international investment. An integral part of making an investment decision is having enough information available in terms of both quantity and quality. The Internet has brought a whole new dimension in this regard – especially to the individual INVESTOR (the Information Age). On an unprecedented scale, investors in these modern times have access to detailed analytical information regarding companies, their stock-returns, their products and even their directors. With the Internet and personal compunters (PCs) at any individual’s disposal, a person can inexpensively make use of complex programs and investment tools which analyses stock-prices and –options, bond-prices and also stock exchanges around the world on a 24 hour basis. An investor can, via the Internet, invest in companies which he/she has never seen before and might be on the other side of the globe while having information regarding each and every activity in that company. Another primary economic function of most individuals is their participation in the WORKFORCE. Companies and other working institutions are placing more and more emphasise on technology and the global marketplace. In this era of globalisation it has become their primary focus in order to gain a competitive edge over their competitors. Undoubtedly, the overall workforce already needs to contribute and understand an increasingly interdisciplinary activity. Just as computer skills are becoming more important today, a basic capability to work with or use new materials and processes involving biology and micro/nanosystems will likely be required. Not only will new skills and tools be needed, but already a fundamental paradigm shift in the way people work and live are starting to take place because of the technology revolution. The requirements for participating in the generation of products and services are changing. As technology becomes more interdisciplinary, education and training must change to enable workers to participate. This is why education should emphasise a larger component of breadth across disciplines to give at least a fundamental understanding of multiple disciplines. Businesses will likely need to spend more resources on continued training across their workforce. For the individual, his role as consumer, investor and worker is under pressure to adapt to a new environment in which rapid changes are at the order of the day. This is the case not just for people living in First World countries but also for those living in the Third World. Because if they don’t change and adapt, they will be part of the growing gap between them and the advanced economies. They will stagnate (economically) and be left behind. Managing change in both people’s personal lives and their professional lives has become the crucial factor in determining how successful people adjust to the pace of change in this world of “turbo-capitalism”. 3. Governments Globalisation undoubtedly has some serious implications for governments. But interestingly enough, the role of governments in this process is kind of contradicting in the sense that they both ‘lead’ and ‘pay the price’ for globalisation. In first looking at how they ‘pay the price’, the central issue is the impact of globalisation on the sovereignty and autonomy of nation-states. The sovereign power and autonomy of national governments is being redefined; the sovereignty and autonomy of governments is locked into a multilayered system of governance. In this system, states no longer use sovereignty simply as a legal claim to supreme power but, rather, as a resource to be drawn upon in negotiations with transnational and international agencies and forces. States deploy their sovereignty and autonomy as ‘bargaining chips’ in multilateral and transnational negotiations, as they collaborate and co-ordinate actions in shifting regional and global networks (shared governance). The right of most states to rule within circumscribed territories – their sovereignty – is not on the edge of collapse; however, the practical nature of this entitlement – the actual capacity of states to rule – is changing its shape and form. What we are witnessing is a form of asymmetry of geographic scope that is emerging as economic units (markets) expand in space well beyond the limits of political units (national territories governed by nation-states). 17 In this account, globalisation involves a historic shift in power away from national governments and national electorates toward more complex systems of regional and global governance. As a result, political and economic decision-making (through policies) as becoming more transnational and global; and the regional and global deployment of political power is becoming a routine feature of a more uncertain and unruly world. Clearly, the role, power, authority and function of the national government is being transformed by globalisation. A power shift is underway as political authority and power are diffused above, below and alongside the state. A NEW kind of state is slowly emerging and, with it, a new public philosophy of governance which recognises the changed global context of political and economic action. The command and control state of the past is being displaced by the reflexive or network state. The reflexive state seeks to reconstitute its power (in terms of strategic co-ordination of resources and networks of power) at the intersection of global, regional, transnational and local systems of rule and governance. In this context, it makes more sense to speak about the transformation or reconfiguration of state power than its erosion. In this sense, the government can (in this globalising world) be viewed as a “space of flows”. The internationalisation of government activity and the transnationalisation of societies imply that power (political and economic) and politics flow through, across and around territorial boundaries. Economic and political activity and the ‘business of governing’ have become stretched across frontiers such that a distinctive form of global politics is emerging. In the ‘global neighbourhood’ all politics, understood as the pursuit of power and justice, is ultimately global politics. The same applies to economics where economic policy-making is becoming increasingly global in focus and more regional by implication. However, it must still be remembered that, at a minimum, states will still be responsible for any number of critical functions: for the welfare of their citizens, for basic social and physical infrastructure, and for insuring economic viability, albeit in a very different context. When one briefly considers, in the second instance, government’s role in ‘leading’ the globalisation process, it becomes clear that it’s almost like a two edged sword as the leader always pays the highest price. As the most generally accepted ‘authoritative body’ in the global environment, it makes sense that if globalisation was something most countries wanted to achieve for the “common good” of all, then governments was (and is) the most equipped ‘entity’ to initiate the process. They are arguably the main GLOBALISERS. Although there are very powerful multilateral intitutions (like the IMF, Worldbank and WTO) and very strong MNCs operating around the world, it is nation-states that holds the key for the world to become truly global. It is they that must take the lead for global cooperation and integration, and allow their economies to be opened up for international economic and political activity. If they decide to ‘close’ their economies or not to take part in multilateral negotiations, no-one can stop them from doing so – they make their own decisions. At least this was the case before so many international agreements were established. However, especially with the growing importance of capitalism and democracy, the world is now structured in such a way that this ‘closed’ approach would be very detrimental to a country because they will pay the price for being excluded from the rest of the world. Clearly, no country is an (isolated) island anymore. 4. Multinational companies (MNCs) Among the 100 largest economies in the world, 52 of them are companies. Despite the limited nature of corporate globalisation, MNCs and FDI are very important features of the global economy. The increasing importance of MNCs has profoundly altered the structure and functioning of the global economy. These giant firms and their global strategies have become major determinants of trade flows and of the location of industries and other economic activities around the world. Most of their investment is in capital-intensive and technology-intensive sectors. These firms have become central in the expansion of technology flows to both industrialised and industrialising economies. As a consequence, multinational firms have become extremely important in determining the economic, political, and social welfare of many nations. Controlling much of the world's investment capital, technology, and access to global markets, such firms have become major players NOT ONLY in international economics, but in political affairs as well. An important question to ask is: Why do firms expend the effort required to invest abroad, rather than staying home and producing for export and/or licensing their technology to foreign companies? Researchers have examined this issue for almost 40 years. There is now a degree of consensus that an MNC typically is the outcome of three interacting circumstances. FIRST, the firm owns assets that can be profitably exploited on a comparatively large scale, including intellectual property (such as technology and brand names), organisational and managerial skills, and marketing networks. The ‘technology-asset’, especially, can be seen as a driving agent for the internationalisation of the operations of such firms. The technology may center on products or on processes. However, the real advantage possessed by certain firms may not be a given technology, but rather the capacity to consistently innovate such technologies. SECOND, it is more profitable for the production to take place in different countries than to produce in and export from the home country exclusively. The 18 rationale behind this is that in order to be competitive in foreign markets, the service provider must have a physical presence in those markets. Indeed, the fact is that most cross-border trade in services has been propelled by FDI. Whereas with manufactured goods, FDI often follows trade, in services it is more often the other way around. THIRD, the potential profits from "internalising" the exploitation of the assets are greater than from licensing the assets to foreign firms and are sufficient to make it worthwhile for the firm to incur the added costs of managing a large, geographically dispersed organisation. What really has happened in the world in the last twenty years is that the core of production of goods and services in every sector has been internationalised through transnational networks of production, distribution and management – the result of MNC-activities in the global economy. MNCs and their ancillary networks only employ a fraction of the global labour force but they account for 30% of global GDP and ⅔ of international trade, of which, about half is trade within the same corporation and its ancillary networks. In other words, what we consider to be internationalisation of the economy through trade is in fact the consequence of the internationalisation of the production process through networking. If one includes FDI, the picture becomes even clearer. There are mainly two forms of FDI when discussing MNCs. Firstly, vertical FDI. This is where a firm locates different stages of production in different countries. These types of investment are typically seen as the result of differences across countries in input costs. An MNC involved in an extractive industry, where the endowment of natural resources is concentrated in certain countries, is an obvious example. Another is the case in which a firm locates a certain labour-intensive stage of its production chain in a country with low labour costs, while at the same time locating production stages requiring substantial amounts of “human capital” in a nation where highly skilled workers are in relatively abundant supply. In other words, the firm, in an effort to minimise production costs, establishes production sites in a number of nations, and uses trade as a means of supplying demand for particular products - including inputs - in particular markets. The other main category of advantages from multinational operations gives rise to horizontal FDI, where similar types of production activities take place in different countries. Motivations behind this type of FDI are, for instance, that transport costs for products with high weight/value ratios may render local production more profitable; that certain products need to be produced in proximity to consumers (e.g. McDonald’s burgers); that local production makes it easier to adjust to local product standards; and that local production yields better information about local competitors. The FDI may also be driven by trade barriers, either existing measures – “tariff-jumping” FDI – or with the intention of reducing the probability of future protectionist measures, the so-called "quid pro quo" FDI. When people talk about MNCs, they usually refer to a small number of usual suspects, ten, twelve corporations. Well, in fact, at the moment there are 53 000 MNCs with 415 000 subsidiaries, so it’s a much wider network than is commonly believed. A network which, in addition, is completely networked within itself. So there are MNCs, highly decentralised in terms of their departments and markets, but these units of MNCs are connected with each other. Then you have small and medium business networks that work together, cooperate together, export and also link to multinational corporations. And in addition, this system is often linked to the informal sector in developing countries. So you have a layer and network structure that goes from the heart of the corporate centres to the shanty towns of those processing paper and debris for the paper mills, for example in Kali, Colombia. Many FEAR that MNCs have too much power in that they are in “control” of most of the driving forces of globalisation: trade, investment and technology. Although specific companies can never be in actual control of the process of globalisation, it may be granted that MNCs, to some degree, do “steer” the direction the world is going as they are able to boast about being involved in the largest number of activities related to global trade, investment and technology. A fear that might deserve more merit is the possibility that MNCs might “manipulate” governments by promising them investment in exchange for “more accomodating” policies. This imply that if countries want MNCs to invest in their economies, then they need to change certain policies that could restrict these companies from making ‘optimal profit’. These fears and others have led to a strong backlash from both civil society and governments on the way these companies operate. It is uncertain whether this (fear) has helped to curb the dominance of these companies in the global economy as most countries is in desperate need of their investment and job-creation. The irony about the the current situation in the world economy is that it has created a “free” capitalist society which is vulnerable to “manipulation” by profit-seekers. 19 QUESTIONS 1. Give your opinion on the following statement: “How the roles of these roleplayers (individuals, MNCs, governments) change over the next decade or two will determine to what extent globalisation is connecting the world into a ‘global village’”. 2. Given the impact of globalisation on individuals, do you really think that, generally, people’s economic behaviour (spending patterns & mechanisms, investment, etc.) and life styles are adjusting to the opportunities and threats presented by the new global economy, or do you think it’s a mith? 3. Explain this notion that ‘the role of governments in the globalisation process is kind of contradicting’. – How can this be and in what way? Do you agree with the rationale behind this? 4. It is said that the ‘global dominance’ of MNCs is becoming an increasing threat to the equal distribution of resources around the world. Do you think that MNCs are more harmful to the global economy or more benefitial, or does it strike a balance of pro’s and con’s? 5. In terms of future expectations, do you think that the 3 roleplayers mentioned in this article will cause globalisation to become more widespread (‘global’) or to become more centralised within the rich countries? -(You can treat the roleplayers either seperately or interlinked in your answer.) VRAE 1. Gee jou opinie oor die volgende stelling: “Hoe die rolle van hierdie rolspelers (individue, MNCs, owerhede) verander oor die volgende dekade of twee sal bepaal tot watter mate globalisering die wêreld saamvoeg in ‘n ‘global village’”. 2. Gegewe die impak van globalisering op individue, dink jou regtig dat, in die algemeen, mense se ekonomiese gedrag (bestedingspatrone & meganismes, investering, ens.) en lewenstyle aanpas by die geleenthede en bedreigings wat gebied word deur die nuwe globale ekonomie, of dink jou dis ‘n mite? 3. Verduidelik die aanname dat ‘die role van owerhede in die globaliseringsproses is soort van teenstrydend’. – Hoe kan dit wees en op watter wyse? Stem u saam met die rasionaal hieragter? 4. Daar word gesê dat die ‘globale dominansie’ van MNCs ‘n toenemende bedryging word vir die gelyke verdeling van hulpbronne reg oor die wêreld. Dink jou dat MNCs meer skadelik tot die globale ekonomie is of meer voordelig, of is daar ‘n balans tussen die voor- en nadele? 5. In terme van toekomsverwagtinge, dink jou dat die 3 rolspelers wat in die artikel genoem is sal veroorsaak dat globalisering meer wydverspreid (‘globaal’) raak of dat dit meer gesentraliseerd raak binne die ryk lande? -(Jou kan die rolespelers hetsy apart of gesamentlik (interlinked) in jou antwoord gebruik.) 20 Article 4 GLOBALISATION ~Specific results~ 1. Introduction The results/outcomes generated by globalisation in the world economy can also be considered as the factors that “react” in a reciprocal way to the forces of globalisation by reinforcing the original results, namely: greater interaction, cooperation and integration. Before going into the detail of these “results”, a very important distinction needs to be made: the difference between an international world economy and a global economy. The former is constructed through the mutual interconnection or crossborder integration of national economic spaces, while the latter is an economy with the capacity to work as a unit in real time on a planetary basis. An international economy links distinct national markets; a global economy fuses national markets into a coherent whole. This is where the meaning of globalisation takes further shape: globalisation is the process of development where the world progress from a ‘condition’ of international world economy to a ‘condition’ of global economy. A further important aspect to consider when talking about greater interaction, cooperation and integration in the world economy, is that the GAP is not so much between the ‘rich’ and the ‘poor’ countries anymore, but rather between those ‘included’ and those ‘excluded’. Thus, rather than living in a world divided between rich and poor (an old feature of human societies), we are entering a NEW world characterised by a cleavage between those who are ‘in’ and those who are ‘out’ of the new system of wealth and power. As one of the drawbacks of capitalism, finding a solution for this gap is st one of the most pressing challenges of the 21 century and will be the deciding factor in terms of guiding the world toward a better place for ALL. 2. Global interaction, cooperation and integration The current wave of globalisation coincides strongly with the transnationalisation of economic and political activity. Transnationalisation refers to “the growth of contacts, networks and organisations which link people, businesses and communities across national boundaries.” Through the liberalisation of policies and regulations, governments are paying more attention to greater cooperation – especially on the international scene. The corporate world is also much more focussed on creating global networks and alliances through cooperation than in the past. As everyone is starting to recognise the benefits of creating and utilising the global market place, a (global) environment that is ‘open’ to greater interaction and cooperation is starting to EMERGE. The stretching of social relations seems to be associated with an intensification of flows and networks of interaction and interconnectedness that transcend geographic boundaries. The increased density of interaction across the globe implies that the impacts of events are felt more strongly than before. So, for example, physical distance no longer works quite so effectively to dull the sensation when events like famines, wars or economic breakdowns happen on the other side of the world. The increasing extent and intensity of global interactions is changing the geography of the relationship between the local and the global. As social relations stretch there is an increasing interpenetration of economic and social practices, bringing apparently distant cultures and societies face to face with each other at LOCAL level, as well as on the GLOBAL stage. While Coca-Cola, McDonald’s or Hollywood movies are obvious examples of the ways in which one culture’s expressions (the US) are exported to other countries, the process works the other way too. What is happening is apparently distant cultures and societies that come face to face with each other at local level, creating increased diversity. If you focus on the government-level (of international relations), what is emerging is a form of “complex interdependence” among countries, regions and various economic and political partnerships. Complex interdependence has three main CHARACTERISTICS which include: Multiple channels connect societies, including: inflormal ties between governmental elites as well as formal foreign office arrangements; informal ties among non-governmental elites (face to face and through telecommunications); and transnational organisations (such as multinational banks or MNCs). These channels can be summarised as interstate, transgovernmental, and transnational relations. These actors are important not only because of their activities in pursuit of their own interests, but also because they act as transmission belts, making government policies in various countries more sensitive to one another. As the scope of governments’ domestic activities has broadened, and as corporations, banks, and trade unions have made decisions that transcend national boundaries, the domestic policies of 21 different countries impinge on one another more and more. Transnational communication reinforce these effects and so does parallel developments in global issues – from environmental regulation to control over technology. The agenda of interstate relationships consists of multiple issues that are not arranged in a clear or consistent hierarchy or order of importance. This absence of hierarchy among issues means, among other things, that military security does not consistently dominate the distinction between domestic and foreign issues as it is becoming more and more BLURRED. Issues on energy, resources, environment, population, the uses of space and the seas become of similar importance. Inadequate policy coordination on these issues involves significant costs. Different issues generate different coalitions, both within governments and across them, and involve different degrees of conflict. For instance, when there are multiple issues on the agenda, many of which threaten the interests of domestic groups but do not clearly threaten the nation as a whole, the problems of formulating a coherent and consistent foreign policy increase. Military force is not used by governments toward other governments within a region, or on the issues, when complex interdependence prevails (minor role of military force). It may, however, be important in these governments’ relations with governments outside that region or on other issues. Military force could, for instance, be irrelevant to resolving disagreements on economic issues among members of an alliance, yet at the same time be quite important for that alliance’s political and military relations with a rival regional bloc. Moreover, force is often not an appropriate way of achieving other goals (such as economic and ecological welfare) that are becoming more important. Even in many (minor) situations of conflict which still exists around the world, the recourse to military force seems less likely now than at most times during the century before 1945. The limited usefulness of conventional force to control socially mobilised populations has been shown by the United States’ failure in Vietnam as well as by the rapid decline of colonialism in Africa. It is clear that the global priority of ‘keeping peace’ have become much more important for most countries over the last decades as they believe that ‘peace’ will lead to ‘prosperity’. When considering the global scenario, world economic integration entails policy convergence in a wide variety of fields. It is not only private-sector production that needs to be internationally competitive, but also public-sector production. In fact governance itself is increasingly subject to global standards of best practice. Economic globalisation has hightlighted the need for effective transnational policy coordination. In fields such as the environment, human rights, financial-market regulations, trade policies, and taxation, national policies are no longer sufficient and efficient instruments for achieving optimal outcome. In effect, in a world of integrated economies, national policies can have substantial negative externalities. A clear division of roles and responsibilities among the global, national, and sub-national spheres of government is needed to ensure optimal outcome. Worldwide economic integration has highlighted glaring shortcomings in global public policy coordination. In effect, transnational and national governments have shown an inability to cope with the rapidity and requirements of global integration. Clearly, there is a need for a fundamental intellectual paradigm shift towards governance of a global society, accompanied by appropriate institutional restructuring. The structure of the global economy is characterised by the combination of an enduring architecture and a variable geometry. The architecture of the global economy features an asymmetrically interdependent world, organised around three major economic regions (known as the TRIAD) and increasingly polarised along an axis of opposition between productive, information-rich, affluent areas, and impoverished areas, economically devalued and socially excluded. Between the three dominant regions, Europe, North America, and the Asian Pacific, the latter appears to be the most dynamic yet the most vulnerable because of its dependence upon the openness of the markets of other regions. However, the intertwining of economic processes between the three regions makes them practically inseparable in their fate. Around each region an economic hinterland has been created, with some countries being gradually incorporated into the global economy, usually through the dominant regions that are their geographic neighbours: North America for Latin America; the European Union for Eastern Europe, Russia, and the South Mediterranean; Japan and the Asian Pacific for the rest of Asia, as well as for Australia and New Zealand, and maybe for the Russian Pacific, Eastern Siberia and Kazakhstan; Africa, while still dependent on ex-colonial economic networks, seems to be increasingly marginalised in the global economy; the Middle East is, by and large, integrated into the global networks of finance and energy supply, although highly dependent on the avatars of the world’s geopolitics. 22 As indicated by Table 1 below, there are within all these regions, various forms of regional integration, called regional groupings, that join forces on policy coordination, and increased trade and capital flows, etc. The table provide examples of regions that interact with each other and in the process, become more inderdependent. Table 1: Major regional groupings Region Acronym Date of formation European Union (from Treaty of Rome in 1957 to Maastricht Treaty in 1993) EU Association for Southeast Asian Nations ASEAN 1967 Organisation of East Caribbean States OECS 1981 Economic Community of West African States ECOWAS 1983 Arab Maghreb Union AMU 1989 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation APEC 1989 South African Development Community SADC 1992 Common Market for East and Southern Africa COMESA 1993 North American Free Trade Agreement NAFTA 1994 Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa CEMAC 1994 South American Common Market MERCOSUR 1995 African Union AU 2002 1957-1993 As a special application, the example of AFRICA and more specifically, the African Union (AU), can be taken to indicate the activities and processes inherent in regional integration. This will highlight the importance of regional integration as an intermediate step toward the integration of developing countries into the world economy. After the inaugural Summit of the African Union in July 2002 in Durban, the world started to take note of a new future for Africa – lead by the New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD) initiative. As it replaced the Organisation for African Unity (OAU), the AU was loosely modelled on the European Union (EU). In short, its objectives include achieving African unity, encouraging international cooperation and achieving a better life for the peoples of Africa. While the African Union seeks to broaden African cooperation through the development of an economic community and an African Court of Justice, the NEPAD offers a PLAN to deepen this cooperation through the promotion of shared values and standards. Hence, the African Union aims to realise economic and political integration on the African continent. With closer economic integration, each African country has an interest in ensuring that appropriate policies are followed in its partner countries. This could be achieved by increased coordination of national policies within a regional context. Throughout the continent, African governments are coming together to coordinate their policies, and virtually all countries are now members of regional organisations – including the AU. Efficient regional cooperation allows the economies of Africa to OVERCOME the disadvantage of their relative small size and, by providing access to larger markets, to realise economies of scale. The obligations of membership in some of these organisations also make it easier for each individual country to achieve further progress in regulatory and judicial reform (especially with regards to the protection of human rights and stopping armed conflicts), to rationalise payments facilities and to relax restriction on capital transaction and investment flows, and to develop a mutual economic infrastructure (as in SADC). Enhancing trade links among African countries naturally also strengthens their ability to participate in global trade and could lead toward further progress toward nondiscriminatory multilateral trade liberalisation. It is essential that these efforts feature the coherent implementation of appropriate structural and macroeconomic policies designed to improve economic efficiency and create the conditions for greater integration into the world economy. Such policies can justify the optimistic view of what is now being called the beginning of an “African renaissance.” 23 While it is true that the slow pace of their integration into the world economy has sheltered most African economies from the most violent effects of the financial crises of the 1990s, the reverse of the coin is that Africa is NOT able to reap the full benefits of globalisation – a process that could increase the resources available for the productive investment that Africa needs so badly. The success of the European Union since the 1950s attests to the advantages of regional integration. It is essential that developing countries realise that they cannot escape globalisation, and therefore should not try to avoid it. Poverty is persistent in many countries (especially African) but in some major countries such as China and India it has been reduced substantially in the last 10 years. For most of the past three decades, East Asia has demonstrated the advantages of an outward-looking, liberalised economy. However, the Asian crisis has shown that economic oppennes is NOT ENOUGH. Sound macroeconomic policies, unfailing transparency, a stable and rational regulatory and incentive framework, tariff reduction and harmonisation, labour market reform, investment incentive and tax system harmonisation, robust financial systems accompanied by effective supervision mechanisms, and good governance in the public and private sectors are also required to TAKE full advantage of globalisation and to PREVENT further economic marginalisation. Regional cooperation can serve as a vehicle for nondiscriminatory liberalisation of multilateral trade and integration into the globalised economy. If properly conceived, regional integration offers many advantages for developing countries. Three of them are: Closer trading links between partner countries that would strengthen their capacity to participate in world trade. A regional approach in key structural areas enables participating countries to pool their resources and avail themselves of regional institutional and human resources in order to attain a level of technical and administrative competence that would not be possible on an individual basis. The regional approach also allows countries to assert their interests from a STRONGER and more confident position in the international arena. The conditions and obligations associated with participation in an ambitious reform program within a regional organisation also facilitate the work of the domestic authorities in implementing politically difficult measures, such as lowering tariffs or instituting wide-ranging reforms of the regulatory and judicial systems. Regional surveillance and the dialogue between the various partners help reduce the risks of macroeconomic slippage, resulting in a more stable, predictable environment – clearly an essential factor for the private sector to flourish and the attraction of more investment. The challenge of the future will be to ensure that regional organisations are perceived as effective vehicles for the integration of African countries into the world economy, providing mutual support to their members in their reform efforts. Such organisations should not be considered as defensive mechanisms, intended to ward off the “negative” aspects of globalisation. Common regional objectives should seek to push through reforms in the areas of legal and regulatory frameworks, financial sector restructuring, labour and investment code reform, and exchange and trade liberalisation that seek to attain international standards as quickly as possible. The pace of progress should be what is feasible, not what is comfortable for the slowest member. The QUESTION for Africa is: “What is needed to achieve these objectives?” In brief, the answers seem to be: 1. Enough political will to adhere to regional integration objectives and to give them priority over domestic considerations. 2. A resolute effort made to achieve greater intitutional and economic policy convergence. This implies ambitious, but feasible, timetables for instituting reforms. 3. Strong, efficient regional institutions are required. They should be authorised to develop appropriate policies independent of national interests without, however, losing sight of each member’s particular situation. The move to the market by nearly all countries around the world is beyond doubt a truly global phenomenon. It draws on a stock of ideas and recent experience shared around the world. The processes of change – particularly privatisation, deregulation, and capital and trade liberalisation – are largely common ones, refined over time to a professional craft by their political champions and expert practitioners. As countries anchor themselves in a world of open and connected markets, they are to a 24 significant degree transferring control of the commanding heights from the traditional state apparatus to the dispersed intelligence of the market. And the extraordinarily fast flow of information, made possible by the rapid diffusion of accessible technologies, has helped reinforce the sense of common momentum. Yet that feeling should not be overstated. For despite the common features, each country and region is executing its move to the market according to its own political and economic history and perception of the national interest. In the postreform world that is now emerging, each major region faces specific challenges in reconciling the increasingly complex demands of global participation with the realities of its OWN history, politics, economics, and culture – all the things that make up the experience and living memory of individuals and nations. Each area, then, will grapple in this world after reform with its own agenda for the new century. As the withdrawal of the state from the commanding heights opens new perspectives and opportunities, it also conditions success on understanding the regional dynamics. Indeed, the growing connection of markets means that these regional agendas will feed back ever more directly into the workings of the world economy. The future of the postreform world, and certainly the future health and credibility of markets, will thus be SHAPED not only by technology and other global forces but also by how different regions come to grips with their particular challenges. QUESTIONS 1. Firstly, explain the difference between an ‘international world economy’ and a ‘global economy’, and secondly, explain where globalisation fits into all this. 2. What exactly is this ‘gap’ they are referring to (pg. 18) and why is it important to close the gap? 3. How is global interaction, cooperation and integration stimulated in the world economy, what is driving it, and how is it put into practice? 4. Discuss the structure of the world economy and identify the main characteristics. 5. The African Union (AU) was established in 2002. What was the motives behind this, and was it really necessary when there are numorous other regional groupings (SADC, ECOWAS, COMESA) already in operation? VRAE 1. Verduidelik eerstens die verskil tussen ‘n ‘internasional wêreld ekonomie’ en ‘n ‘globale ekonomie’, en tweedens, verduidelik waar globalisering in al hierdie goed inpas. 2. Wat presies is hierdie ‘gaping’ waarna verwys word (bl. 18) en hoekom is dit so belangrik om hierdie gaping toe te maak? 3. Hoe word globale interaksie, samewerking en integrasie gestimuleer in die wêreld ekonomie, wat dryf dit en hoe word dit in die praktyk toegepas? 4. Bespreek die struktuur van die globale ekonomie en identifiseer die belangrikste eienskappe. 5. Die Afrika Unie (AU) is gestig in 2002. Wat was die motiewe hieragter, en was dit regtig nodig wanneer daar verskeie ander regionale groeperinge (SADC, ECOWAS, COMESA) is? 25 Article 5 GLOBALISATION ~Impacts and special applications~ 1. Globalisation and Africa Current global economic and political shifts, with their contradictory tendencies, pose a great challenge to the African continent. Africa is ill-prepared to adjust itself simultaneously to complex global dynamics, new opportunities, and the management of internal and external threats. The global economic boom of the past decade and a half has completely bypassed Africa, and the continent has the lowest human development index of any region in the world. This situation is in stark contrast to that of the industrialised countries, which have benefited enormously from globalisation, and to a lesser extent, parts of East Asia and Latin America as well. Although these countries have shared most of the benefits, Africa’s exclusion also poses a serious threat to global stability in the form of possible extremist activities that might flow out of the wars and poverty that continue to plague the continent. Although a much-debated issue, Africa has in no unreal terms, felt the effects of being marginalised from the global economy. Africa’s position in the new global economy is unique, for while being integrated into that the global economy, it is marginalised at the same time. This raise the question of HOW Africa is integrated – not very efficiently. Africa’s marginal position in the new global hierarchy, however, provides a compelling stimulus to reorganise its political systems and economies, to defend Africa’s sovereignty, and to strengthen the continent’s capacity to become more assertive in international affairs. To complain about the negative effects of global forces without taking the necessary counter-measures at national and regional levels, will do little to ease the pain of marginalisation. As Africa entered the twenty-first century, it faced mounting challenges. Widespread poverty, rapid population growth, ecological degradation, large-scale unemployment, fragile political institutions and weak public administration still hamper the continent’s quest for economic and social transformation. The process of economic globalisation further compounds these problems. It is, however, essential to make it clear that it is not globalisation as such which is causing the gap between Africa and the developed nations. Most of the problems Africa are currently facing existed even before the economic integration of the world economy found momentum through increased trade and investment and technological breakthroughs. However, the difference, due to this momentum, the past decade or two has been of such a nature that the conditions in the world economy is in fact working against Africa as a result of the problems it is experiencing. Thus, maybe worsening them but not causing them.☜☜☜ While the global economy has been extraordinarily productive and, on average, has increased standards of living measured by all kinds of indicators in the last twenty years, in the world at large, this process is extraordinarily uneven. This is why African uneasiness about globalisation is not without justification. The continent is no stranger to globalisation and its deleterious effects. The present globalisation process, much like nineteenth-century globalisation under colonialism, could again end up leaving the continent permanently marginalised unless African governments redirect their efforts to manage it successfully to their own advantage. For Africa, this is an absolute necessity if the continent wants to avoid a repeat of the degrading and inhumane treatment its peoples received from the colonial state and capitalist forces. The globalisation of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries should not be allowed to leave behind the same terrible economic, political and social legacies. The continued marginalisation of Africa from the globalisation process is not only morally reprehensible and a serious threat to global stability, but is ultimately to the disadvantage of developed states. For globalisation to be compatible with the recovery of Africa’s economy, the regulatory procedures and policies governing world trade have to be restructured to end the blatantly discriminatory practices which damage Africa and her peoples. Globalisation has the POTENTIAL to support and stimulate Africa’s economic recovery. But for that potential to be achieved, the conditions under which Africa participates need to be fundamentally changed. Having said that, African countries must, on the other hand, be prepared to manage globalisation to their own advantage. This should be realised through the adoption of key reforms at national and regional levels. The challenge for African policy-makers is to go beyond the simple approach to Africa’s development: namely, should it be state-led or market-driven. There certainly is no simple solution to Africa’s economic and social crises. By implication, both state and market approaches are relevant, providing they take into account the particular circumstances of each African country. What is needed in Africa today are more ‘common sense’ approaches that open up NEW avenues for increased productivity, by laying the conditions for development through improved governance, increased 26 investment in education and infrastructure, and improved access of the poor to productive assets and information. A ‘common sense’ approach to eradicating poverty will require political stability and rule-based political order mediated by an impartial and independent judiciary, with particular emphasis on transparency, accountability, and greater citizen participation in decision-making. Dogmatic faith in either planning or markets will simply NOT do. With regards to closing the ‘gap’, most African countries start off with challenging handicaps in vital areas: inadequate productive and entrepreneurial skills base, inadequate science and technology infrastructure, and weak government institutions. Building the state’s capacity is, however, only one aspect of capacity-building which needs serious attention in Africa. Capacity-building at all levels is the heart of a strong developmental progress. In order for the African continent to move forward on the road to prosperity, the centre of attention should be state capacity building (e.g. improving their ability to make, monitor and manage policies) as well as strengthening the judiciary and also capacities in the private sector (e.g. better research and development initiatives). Even at local level, education and training should be of paramount importance to EQUIP people to become more productive. Therefore, within the context of capacity-building, ways should be explored to reverse Africa’s marginalisation and to examine key areas of reform that must be undertaken quickly as a precondition for Africa’s successful inclusion into the global economy. These broad-based political and sector-based reforms should serve as the building blocks for Africa’s ‘renaissance’. However, the ability of Africans to successfully manage Africa’s integration into the global economy will depend, among others, on three primary changes in attitudes and thinking patterns: Decolonising the African mindset: This aspect is two-fold. On the one hand, Africans should stop thinking that the West owes them something because of the continent’s colonial past. On the other hand, the ‘beggar mentality’ should cease. The first mark of an independent Africa is political leadership which finds its expression in taking responsibility for its own actions or inactions. Quality leadership in each African country should mean that Africans stand up and take credit when things are done right AND also accept responsibility for any wrongdoings. Becoming ‘tech-wise’: Although most of the technological forces driving globalisation have bypassed Africa, the way forward is NOT by asking for preferential treatment. The way forward is through investing in education, and in basic research and development. Thereby building necessary capacities. Becoming assertive in international negotiations: What Africans must do now is to STOP complaining about how unjust the international system is and instead become more assertive in future negotiations and fundamentally reform the current international rules that perpetuate uneven development. This will also require African leadership in the G77 and in other forums, in order to set out a solid Third World position in major areas of international negotiation. Although it may sound like harsh words, Africa must realise that “drastic action is needed for a drastic situation”. The fact is; the world is not listening to us (on our terms) anymore. We need to start proving that we can find “African solutions for African problems”. Globalisation is a process that rewards the adaptable and productive countries and punishes those who are inadaptable and unproductive – no matter what the reasons are or whether they deserve merit or not. As a process that both connects and stimulates awareness of connection, globalisation dissolves the autonomy of actors and practices in contemporary world order. In this process of relativisation, all units engaged in globalisation are constrained to assume a position and define an identity relative to the emerging global whole. In the end, a guided embrace of globalisation with a commitment to a fair degree of resistance through pre-emptive national or regional development strategies and economic policy coordination, is what is NEEDED. This will mean fully exploiting investment and trade opportunities made available by economic globalisation while taking the necessary measures, such as capital controls and expanded South-South trade, to shield Africa’s economies from the negative effects of market shifts. In the final analysis, the SOLUTIONS to Africa’s economic and political crises can only be found within Africa. Although it is true that a joint effort from both Africa and the rest of the world is necessary for an African recovery, Africa cannot determine what the developed nations can do about its situation. However, what it can determine is what it can do for itself. African countries must be prepared to develop alternative formulations and conditions under which to engage themselves in beneficial global economic exchanges. Africa can and must compete in a rapidly changing global environment. To get to this stage, African governments must work hard to OVERCOME the obstacles it is challenged with. Adressing its internal problems in a timely fashion is an absolute necessity if the dream of the ‘African 27 Renaissance’ is to become a reality, and if Africa is to become a serious and respected participant in the global economy. Africa’s experience with globalisation is actually part of the bigger (global) debate about inequality and globalisation’s exclusionary effects. Because globalisation is in fact a very uneven process which benefits the rich countries more, poorer countries pay the price for missing out on export revenues and becoming integrated with rich countries. A very important QUESTION is whether this situation is sustainable? Can the world afford to have such unfairness and unevenness over the long run. The argument is made by the rich countries that the Third World might benefit via the ‘trickle-down’ effect and in the meantime, charity should smooth the transition to the new world. But is this really the solution? The notion that the current system can proceed forever, while excluding ⅔ of mankind, is simply naïve. Let’s say that the ‘trickle-down’ theory works (which is highly unlikely), the whole matter here is the TIME frame. If it works in 5 years, all right, but if it works in 20 or 30 years the fight against social exclusion will make the system not only economically and technologically unsustainable, but socially and politically untenable (shaky). 2. The role of networks and alliances The new global economy is a very different system which replaces the old notions of North and South, developed and developing or under-developed, with the notion of networks – global networks. These global networks articulate and disarticulate so that at the same time we have a world made of global networks and local societies which certainly are relatively independent of these networks, but at the same time they all suffer or enjoy the consequences of these global networks. In other words globalisation does not integrate everybody. In fact, it currently excludes most people on the planet but at the same time, affects everybody. The new economy is organised in networks throughout the world. Networks could be described as “social units with relatively stable patterns of relationships over time.” MNCs, IGOs, NGOs and many institutions/organisations (e.g. civil groups) using the Internet as their operational base are all mutually inclusively and/or exclusively examples of networks around the globe. These networks which have a technological and organisational basis have ONE particular quality: most of them search for everything that is valued or can be valued according to the criteria of the networks, in most cases money-making, to integrate into these networks, and discard from these networks everything that has no value from the point of view of these networks. So it’s a very lean, efficient system of including and excluding at the same time and it works for firms, it works for labour, for management, for regions, for cities, for just about everything. Relationships are increasingly networked rather than hierarchical with both individuals and organisations enmeshed in complex, polygamous worldwide webs. Multiple and competing loyalties result. Increasingly, network metaphors are used to describe the emerging world economy: a SHIFT from standardised mass production to flexible production, from vertically integrated, large-scale organisations to disaggregation of the value chain and horizontally networked economic units. Hierarchical enterprises are being replaced by alliance capitalism. Networks are a manifestation of the blurring of the boundary between the factory and the marketplace. The information revolution is a critical factor in the emergence of networks as a mode of organisation of the world economy. Global networks are both real and virtual; in fact, many combine elements of both. It is argued that international networks of firms and subunits of firms are the basic organisational form of the “informational/global” economy, and that the actual operating unit becomes the business project, enacted by a network. Ford, General Motors, and Chrysler have announced an agreement to move virtually all their purchasing activity to the Internet. Covisint is an online business-to-business electronic commerce network which will handle US$ 80 billion in annual purchasing with more than 30 000 suppliers and, eventually, a US$ 300 billion extended supply chain. As with other business-to-business networks, users will be able to create marketplaces, take part in auctions, and complete purchases “with the click of a mouse.” By mid-2001 Covisint had grown to manage transactions which amounted to 13% of the “Big Three’s” annual procurement. It is clear that the Internet is the primary medium for facilitating the formation of networks. While global networks such as Covisint are revolutionary, they are but hybrid interim steps TOWARD true informational networks. As products are digitalised – for example software, electronic books, and music – global networks will involve exchanges of information for information, services for various versions of electronic cash that take place entirely in cyberspace. It is important to understand the networked world economy in terms of a complex web of transactions rather than a series of dyadic or triadic cooperative arrangements between firms. A large MNC may well be involved in tens if not hundreds of alliances linking various parts of its organisation with others. These webs could be characterised as multilateral rather than bilateral, and polygamous rather than monogamous. 28 Networks have a number of CHARACTERISTICS that affect the nature of international integration and interdependence. More specifically; they are a form of “collective action” involving cooperative relationships, in which the actors implicitly agree to forgo the right to pursue their own interests at the expense of others. Network relationships are inherently or “implicitly” interdependent. networks cause formal boundaries to disintegrate; vertical, horizontal, and spatial. It becomes difficult if not impossible to define organisational boundaries, to establish where one firm stops and another begins. networks are relational: individual attributes are less important than position in determining organisational power and outcomes. Thus, power is a function of position in the network. And as a corollary, networks have no center. The emergence of global networks signals the replacement of integrated transnational hierarchies by a cooperative and reciprocal organisation of economic transactions. The basic unit and venue of production become ambiguous. The most important flows across transnational networks are intangible: knowledge and information. Given the emergence of electronic global networks, neither territoriality nor mutually exclusive geographic organisation retain relevance. Thus, by implication, the transition to electronic networks and to cyberspace signals a major alteration in the structure of the world economy. In the same way and in combination with global networks, strategic alliances are shaping a whole new world. There has already been a SHIFT in the global economy: from capitalism to ‘alliance capitalism’. Strategic alliances are relevant for two reasons. First, in many instances they are an indicator that the scale of technology – the cost, risk, and complexity of research and development – has grown to the point where it is beyond the reach of even the largest and most global firms. Second, alliances are a manifestation of the emergence of a networked global economy; they represent a change in the mode of organisation of international economic transactions. It is reported that alliance-generated sales among the Fortune 1000 grew from less than 2% in 1980 to 19% by 1996 and a further 35% by 2002. This reveals a dramatic growth over the last two decades. The vast majority of alliances are TRIAD-based; most studies find that over 90% of all agreements are between firms from North America, Europe, and Japan. Alliances also tend to be concentrated in a limited number of industries: typically automobiles and high-tech sectors such as pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, aerospace, IT, and new materials. A single firm in these industries often enters into very large numbers of alliances: in the last half of the 1990s, IBM formed about 800 alliances, AT&T 400, and Hewlett Packard 300. The motivations for strategic alliances are complex and varied. One motivation is clearly global market access; the need to compete simultaneously in all major markets, or at least in all the legs of the TRIAD. However, the most important motivation for alliance formation is the increasing cost, risk, and complexity of technology. Even the world’s largest and most international firms can no longer “bet the company” on the next generation of semiconductors or jumbo jets; in many industries the cost of a competitive R&D budget has risen to the point where it is no longer possible to “go it alone”. And, in addition, technologies have become so complex and rapidly changing that even industry leaders cannot master them internally. The need for cooperation, therefore, has to be understood in the light of attempts made by companies to cope with the complexity and the interrelatedness of different fields of technology and their efforts to gain time and reduce uncertainty. Alliances represent a transformation of the mode of organisation of international economic transactions from hierarchically structured MNCs to networks. At a deeper level, the material foundations of society, space and time are being transformed, organised around the space of flows and timeless time. Beyond the metaphorical value of these expressions a major hypothesis is put forward: dominant functions are organised in networks pertaining to a space of flows that links them up around the world. These networks converge into meta-networks. A networkbased social structure is a highly dynamic, open system, susceptible to innovating without threatening its balance. Networks are appropriate instruments for a capitalist economy based on innovation, GLOBALISATION, and decentralised concentration; for work, workers, and firms based on flexibility, and adaptability; for culture of endless deconstruction and reconstruction; for a polity geared towards the instant processing of new values and public moods; and for a social organisation aiming at the suppression of space and the annihilation of time. However, the social construction of new dominant forms of space and time develops a meta-network that switches off nonessential functions, subordinate social groups, and devalued territories. By so-doing, infinite social distance is created between this meta-network and most individuals, activities, and locales around the world. Not that people, locales, 29 or activities disappear. But their structural meaning does, subsumed in the unseen logic of the meta-network where value is produced, cultural codes are created, and power is decided. The new social order, the network society, increasingly appears to most people as a meta-social disorder. Namely, as an automated, random sequence of events, derived from the uncontrollable logic of markets, technology, geopolitical order, or biological determination. 3. Toward the future Although nobody knows exactly what the future has in store, it is clear that the same rule will apply as st was always the case: “The only constant is change”. The difference in this 21 century, however, is that the ‘pace’ is faster than ever – and increasing. If the period of 1914 to 1991, including two World Wars and a Cold War, was considered to be the “age of extremes”, the technology-driven world of this new century could be called the “age of shocks or miracles” – depending on how you interpret it. The innovations and changes facilitated by all forms of technology is bound to reshape not only the world we live in, but also our thought-‘paradigms’ – the way people see the world. In this new globally interconnected world, old ways of thinking and mindsets will have to make way for new ones as technological breakthroughs and the growing awareness of “global interconnectivity” will cause people to replace their old “lenses of understanding” with new ones. They will look at the world differently. As more and more activities (e.g. business, social interaction, sport and political decision-making) will take place on a planetary scale, people will start realising how interdependent the world has become. Technology will play a crucial part in this. A new reality is emerging. The term globalisation, which describes a process, has largely been overtaken by a conditon – a globality, a world economy in which the traditional and familiar boundaries are being surmounted or made irrelevant. Globalisation, therefore, entails the technologically driven expansion of the scope of markets well beyond the limits of even the largest national territories, the replacement of markets and hierarchies by relational networks as the mode of organisation of international economic transactions, and the migration of markets to cyberspace. Globalisation signifies the emergence of a post-modern world economy that is not consistent with a modern, territorially defined, international political system. Because of this asymmetry, a singular, territorially based authority is increasingly becoming problematic. States are no longer the sole sources of legitimate authority; in fact we face a world of overlapping and ambiguous “authorities” which may shift as the context changes. MNCs and markets are one source of authority in the international system and NGOs and other civil society groups another. The prospect is that this trend will continue, defining the way people and organisations (of both the private and public sector) participate in the new global economy, and reconstructing people’s ideologies about who they are, what they are capable of and where they fit in. The structure of the global system is evidently changing. As geographic borders become irrelevant, global integration takes shape in the form of a transnational global economy, and more and more global networks are created via technology, a very serious question is surfacing and will, in future, become a most debated “hot topic”. It will have profound impact on a cultural/social-level as well as on 2 a political and economic level. The Big Question is: Are we moving towards one world, with ultimately one government, one political and economic system and a global social identity – e.g. global citizens in the global village? If not, then what else, and why? [Class discussion] The emergence of an electronically networked global economy may herald an analogous transition to a post-modern political-economic system. A system which is characterised by vastly different worlds for different people. Those included and those excluded, those who enjoy the benefits and those who pay the price for being unproductive and unadaptable, and those going forward and those being left behind. It already is a strange, strange world we live in (Master Jack)... On the one hand we have statistical evidence of the simultaneous development of an extraordinary, creative, innovative, productive economy at the heart of the planet, not just in the North but in networks between North and South. And on the other hand, discarded from these productive networks, the notion of the increase in the social exclusion of a large proportion of the people on the planet – an increase in polarisation. Well, correlation doesn’t mean causality, so it’s not necessarily clear who or what is responsible. Perhaps the attention should move to finding more solutions in terms of social inclusion, instead of only trying to find the source of the (exclusion-)problem. This may in future be the crucial “paradigm shift” that paves the way for greater global equality and could prevent the problems associated with social exclusion from erupting into full scale global structural imbalances. As a new world, a new society, a new tomorrow is dawning upon the people of the world, ‘uncertainty’ is strangely intertwined with ‘exitement’. In this globalising world people are exited about the prospects of technological advance and new opportunities being created, BUT they are also uncertain about how 2 This question should be the chief end of our concern about the future of the world. 30 they will fit into that picture. Will they have work, what will be required of them, what will happen to their children? All these issues place the emphasis once more on the one key that people have for the future: awareness. Being aware of change. It means understanding the nature of the changes that are taking place, reading the trends and being prepared for whatever the future may bring. Few people are really aware of the profound changes in the global environment and how it will impact on them. Being aware of change will beyond doubt provide the much needed ‘edge’ for the future. QUESTIONS: 1. Summarise and give your opinion on the debate about ‘Globalisation and Africa’. And, what can Africa learn out of current and past experiences? 2. Given this situation, what would be your recommendation for Africa? 3. Networks and alliances have become a primary feature of the current global economy. By discussing their impact, also indicate to what extent they might be able to manipulate economic activities around the world, or might not (if you disagree)? 4. In terms of future expectations, what do you think the world would look like in 20 years’ time and what would be the primary features of the global economy by then? 5. Summarise what you have learned with regards to the ‘big picture’, including: globalisation, global economic interdependence, and the ‘global village’. VRAE: 1. Som op en gee jou opinie oor die debate rakende ‘Globalisering en Afrika’. En, wat kan Afrika leer uit huidige en vorige ondervindige? 2. Gegewe hierdie situasie, wat sal jou aanbevelings vir Afrika wees? 3. Netwerke en alliansies het ‘n integrale deel van die huidige global ekonomie geword. Deur hul impak te bespreek, dui ook aan to watter mate hulle in staat kan wees om ekonomiese aktiwiteite te manipuleer reg oor die wêreld, of dalk nie (as jy nie saamstem nie)? 4. In terme van toekomsverwagtinge, hoe dink u sal die wêreld lyk oor 20 jaar en wat sal dan die primêre eienskappe van die globale ekonomie wees? 5. Som dit op wat jy geleer het van die ‘big picture’, insluitend: globalisering, globale ekonomiese interafhanklikheid, en die ‘global village’. Die einde3 3 Note that this document (including all five articles) was written in popular writing style and emphasis were given in the text as a way to guide the student and to keep it exciting for the reader. A full list of references is provided at the end of this document. LIST OF REFERENCES 31 4 Abedian, I. and M. Biggs (1998) Economic Globalisation and Fiscal Policy. 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