BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY & SCIENCE, PILANI WORK INTEGRATED LEARNING PROGRAMMES Digital Part A: Content Design Course Title Quantitative Methods Course No Merge Credit Units 4 Credit Model Instructor InCharge Sachin Gupta Course Objectives (CO) CO-1 To provide an understanding of concepts and techniques of Business Statistics CO-2 To provide an understanding of concepts and techniques of Management Science CO-3 To Provide an understanding of data analysis and its interpretation CO-4 Using computer software to solve Business Statistics and Management Science problems. Textbooks (T) T-1 (Business Statistics) T-2 (Management Science) Reference Books (R) R-1 Bruce L. Bowerman, Richard T. O’ Connell and Emily S. Murphee, Business Statistics in Practice. fifth edition. Tata Mcgraw-Hill. 2010. Frederick S. Hiller, Gerald J. Lieberman, Bodibrata Nag, Preetam Basu. Introduction to operations research. Ninth edition. Tata McGraw Hill. 2012. Ken Black. Business Statistics. Fifth edition. Wiley. 2010. (for Business Statistics) R-2 (for Business Statistics) R-3 (for Management Science) R-4 (for Management Science) Amir D Aczel, JayavelSounderpandian, PalanisamySaravanan and Rohot Joshi. Complete Business Statistics. Seventh edition. McGraw Hill. 2012 Fredrick S Hillier and Mark S Hillier. Introduction to Management Science. Fourth edition. McGraw Hill. 2015. Barry Render, Ralph M Stair, Michael E Hanna and TN Badri. Quantitative Analysis for Management. Tenth edition. Pearson Education. 2011. Content Structure Part-I: Business Statistics 1. Data and Statistics 1.1 Applications in Business and Economics 1.2 Data 1.3 Data Sources 1.4 Descriptive Statistics 1.5 Statistical Inference 1.6 Computers and Statistical Analysis 2. Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Presentations 2.1 Summarizing Qualitative Data 2.2 Summarizing Quantitative Data 2.3 Cross Tabulation and Scatter Diagrams 3. Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures 3.1 Measures of Location 3.2 Measures of Variability 3.3 Measures of Shape, Relative Location and Detecting Outliers 3.4 Exploratory Data Analysis 3.5 Measures of Association between Two Variables 4. Probability 4.1 Basic probability concepts 4.2 Conditional probability 4.3 Bayes’ Theorem 5. Discrete probability distributions 5.1 Probability distribution for a discrete random variable 5.2 Binomial distribution 5.3 Poison distribution 6. Continuous Probability distribution 6.1 Uniform probability distributions 6.2 Normal probability distribution 7. Sampling and Sampling Distributions 7.1 Simple Random Sampling 7.2 Point Estimation 7.3 Introduction to Sampling Distribution 7.4 Sampling Distribution of the Mean 7.5 Sampling Distribution of Proportion 7.6 Properties of Point Estimators 7.8 Other Sampling Methods 8. Interval Estimation 8.1 Confidence interval estimation for the mean (σ known) 8.2 Confidence interval estimation for the mean (σ unknown) 8.3 Determining sample size 8.4 Confidence interval estimation for the proportion 9. Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing 9.1 Hypothesis testing methodology 9.2 Z test of Hypothesis for the mean (σ known) 9.3 t test of Hypothesis for the mean (σ unknown) 9.4 Z test of Hypothesis for the proportion 10. Two-Sample Tests 10.1 Comparing means of two independent populations 10.2 Comparing means of two related populations 10.3 Comparing two population proportions 11. Inferences about Population Variances 11.1 Inferences about a Population Variance 11.2 Inferences about Two Population Variances 12. Tests of Goodness of Fit and Independence 12.1 Goodness of Fit Test: A Multinomial Population 12.1 Test of Independence 13. Experimental Design and ANOVA 13.1 An Introduction 13.2 ANOVA and the Completely Randomized Design 14. Simple Linear Regression 14.1 Simple Linear Regression Model 14.2 Least Square method 14.3 Coefficient of Determination 14.4 Model Assumptions 14.5 Testing for Significance 14.6 Computer Solution 15. Multiple Regression 15.1 The Multiple Regression Model and the least square estimates 15.2 R square and the adjusted R square 15.3 The Overall F test 15.4 Dummy Variable Regression 16. Time Series Forecasting 16.1 Time series component and model 16.2 Time series Regression model, Forecasting Errors 16.3 Exponential smoothing model 16.4 Introduction to Auto-regression model Part-II: Management Science 17 An Introduction to Linear Programming 17.1 A simple optimization problem 17.2 Graphical solution procedure 17.3 Extreme points and the optimal solution 17.7 Special cases 17.6 General Linear Programming Notation 17.7 Solving LP using Excel Solver 18. Transportation Problem 18.1 Transportation Model 18.2 Feasible solution 18.3 Optimal Solution 19. Assignment Problem 19.1 Assignment Problem 19.2 Hungarian Method Learning Outcomes (LO) LO-No Learning Outcome LO-1 The student should be able to formulate and solve problems related to topics covered in this course. LO-2 The student should be able to solve the problems using Microsoft Excel. Part B: Learning Plan Academic Term Course Title Course No Lead Instructor Second Semester 2018-2019 Quantitative Methods PDMM ZC417 / CGMB ZC431 Sachin Gupta Live Session 1 Content Reference Topic Pre CH 1 Data & Statistics Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 1 (T1) Watch Video Recordings During CH 1 Introduction, Data & Statistics Chapter 1 (T1) Post CH 1 Data & Statistics Solve selected textbook problems Topic Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapters 1, 2, 3 (T1) Watch Video Recordings Type Live Session 2 and 3 Type Content Reference Pre CH 2, 3 During CH 2, 3 Descriptive Statistics Descriptive Statistics 2, 3 Descriptive Statistics Solve selected textbook problems Content Reference Topic Pre CH 4,5 Probability, Discrete random Variable Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 4; Watch Video Recordings During CH 4,5 Probability, Discrete random Variable Chapter 4,5 (4.1 – 4.3) (T1) Post CH 4,5 Probability, Discrete random Variable Solve selected textbook problems Post CH Chapters 1, 2, 3 (T1) Live Session 4 Type Live Session 5 Type Content Reference Pre CH 6 During CH 6 Post CH 6 Topic Continuous Random variable, Probability Distributions Continuous Random variable, Probability Distributions Continuous Random variable, Probability Distributions Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 5 (T1) and Chapter 6 (T1); Watch Video Recordings Chapter 6 (6.1, 6.2, 6.4) (T1) Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 6 Type Content Reference Pre CH 7,8 During CH 7,8 Topic Sampling and Sampling Distributions, Confidence Interval Sampling and Sampling Distributions, Confidence Interval Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 7 (T1); Watch Video Recordings Chapter 7,8 (7.1 to 7.8) (T1) Post CH 7,8 Sampling and Sampling Distributions, Confidence Interval Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 7 Type Content Reference Pre CH 9 During CH 9 Post CH 9 Topic Hypothesis Testing Hypothesis Testing Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 8 and 9 (T1); Watch Video Recordings Chapter 8 (8.1 and 8.4) (T1), Chapter 9 (9.1 – 9.5) (T1) Hypothesis Testing Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 8 Content Reference Topic Study/HW Resource Reference Pre CH 10 Two Sample Tests Read Chapter 10 (T1) During CH 10 Two Sample Tests Chapter 10 (10.1 – 10.4) (T1) Post CH 10 Two Sample Tests Solve selected textbook problems Topic Inference about Variances, Test of Goodness of Fit & Independence Inference about Variances, Test of Goodness of Fit & Independence Study/HW Resource Reference Type Live Session 9 Type Content Reference Pre CH 11,12 During CH 11,12 Read Chapter 11,12 (T1) Chapter 11,12 (T1) Inference about Variances, Test of Goodness of Fit & Independence Post CH 11,12 Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 10 Type Content Reference Pre CH 13 During CH 13 Topic Study/HW Resource Reference Simple regression Analysis Simple regression Analysis Read Chapter 13 (T1) Chapter 13 (T1) Simple regression Analysis Post CH 13 Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 11 Type Pre CH Content Reference 14,16 Topic Multiple Regression analysis, times series Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 14,16 (T1); Watch Video Recordings 14,16 During CH 14,16 Post CH Multiple Regression analysis, Time series Multiple Regression analysis, time series Chapter 14,16 (13.1 – 13.2) (T1) Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 12 Type Pre CH Content Reference 3,4 3,4 During CH 3,4 Post CH Topic Linear Programming Graphical solution Linear Programming Graphical solution Linear Programming Graphical solution Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 3,4(T2); Watch Video Recordings Topic Linear Programming Simplex method Linear Programming Simplex method Linear Programming Simplex method Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 5(T2); Watch Video Recordings Chapter 3,4(T2) Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 13 Type Pre CH Content Reference 5 5 During CH 5 Post CH Chapter 5(T2) Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 14 Content Reference Topic Pre CH 8 Transportation Problem Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 8(T2); Watch Video Recordings During CH 8 Transportation Problem Chapter 8(T2) Post CH 8 Transportation Problem Solve selected textbook problems Topic Study/HW Resource Reference Read Chapter 8(T2); Watch Video Recordings Type Live Session 15 Type Content Reference Pre CH 8 During CH 8 Assignment Problem Assignment Problem Chapter 8(T2) Assignment Problem Post CH 8 Solve selected textbook problems Live Session 16 Content Reference Topic Study/HW Resource Reference Pre CH 18 Introduction to Queuing Models Notes During CH 18 Introduction to EOQ Model Notes Post CH 18 Introduction to project management Notes Type Evaluation Scheme: Legend: EC = Evaluation Component; AN = After Noon Session; FN = Fore Noon Session No Name Type Duration Weight Day, Date, Session, Time EC-1 Quiz-I Online 5% Quiz-II 5% Experiential 15% Learning EC-2 Mid-Semester Test Closed Book 2 hours 30% 21st September 2019, 10hrs – 12hrs EC-1 Comprehensive Open Book 3 hours 45% 30th November 2019, 09hrs – 12hrs Exam Syllabus for Mid-semester examination (Closed Book): Topics in Session Nos. 1 to 8 Syllabus for End-semester examination (Open Book): All topics in Session Nos. 1 to 16. Experiential Learning: There will be one assignment which will focus on Descriptive Statistics. Important links and information: Elearn portal: https://elearn.bits-pilani.ac.in Students are expected to visit the Elearn portal on a regular basis and stay up to date with the latest announcements and deadlines. Contact sessions:Students should attend the online lectures as per the schedule provided on the Elearn portal. Evaluation Guidelines: 1. EC-1 consists of either two Assignments or three Quizzes. Students will attempt them through the course pages on the Elearn portal. Announcements will be made on the portal, in a timely manner. 2. For Closed Book tests: No books or reference material of any kind will be permitted. 3. For Open exams: Use of books and any printed / written reference material (filed or bound) is permitted. However, loose sheets of paper will not be allowed. Use of calculators is permitted in all exams. Laptops/Mobiles of any kind are not allowed. Exchange of any material is not allowed. Book 4. If a student is unable to appear for the Regular Test/Exam due to genuine exigencies, the student should follow the procedure to apply for the Make-Up Test/Exam which will be made available on the Elearn portal. The Make-Up Test/Exam will be conducted only at selected exam centres on the dates to be announced later. It shall be the responsibility of the individual student to be regular in maintaining the self-study schedule as given in the course handout, attend the online lectures, and take all the prescribed evaluation components such as Assignment/Quiz, Mid-Semester Test and Comprehensive Exam according to the evaluation scheme provided in the handout.