POLITICAL ECONOMY Chapter 6 Political Economy • The field that applies economic principles to the analysis of political decision-making. • Political economy models assume that people view government as a mechanism for maximizing their self-interest. We examine direct democracies and how well they translate the preferences of their citizens into collective action. 6-2 I. Direct Democracy • Democratic societies use various voting procedures to decide on public expenditures. 1. Unanimity • Let’s begin with the concept of unanimity • With unanimity everyone must agree on the level of public service desired Lindahl Prices • If we could design tax prices to charge of each resident, perhaps we could obtain unanimity in the desired level of public good to provide • This is the concept of Lindahl prices, named after Erik Lindahl in the early 20th century Feasibility of Unanimity Rules in Reaching Equilibrium • Like the market outcome, one can prove that the allocation is Pareto efficient. • Practical problems – It assumes people vote sincerely. Strategic behavior may prevent people from reaching the Lindahl equilibrium. – Finding the mutually agreeable tax shares may take a lot of time. Unanimity rules often lead to situations in which no decisions are made. 6-5 2. Majority Rule • More typically we rely on majority rule in a democracy • In this case, the level of public good supported by the majority of residents is the quantity that is provided Direct Democracy Majority Voting Rules • Majority voting rule – one more than half of the voters must favor a measure for it to be approved • Given the voter preferences to the right, “B” always wins against opponents Voter Choice Brad Jen Angelina First A C B Second B B C Third C A A – However, majority voting does not always yield clear-cut results 6-7 Majority Voting Does Not Always Yield ClearCut Results: Double- vs. Single-Peaked Preferences • Voting Paradox – Community preferences can be inconsistent even though individual’s preferences are consistent – Given new preferences at the right: • A vs. B → A wins • B vs. C → B wins • A vs. C → C wins • Agenda Manipulation – Process of organizing order of votes to ensure a favorable outcome • Cycling – when paired voting on more than two possibilities goes on indefinitely without a conclusion ever being reached Voter Choice Brad Jen Angelina First A C B Second B A C Third C B A 6-8 Majority Voting Does Not Always Yield ClearCut Results: Double- vs. Single-Peaked Preferences • A peak in an individual’s preferences as a point at which all the neighboring points are lower. – single-peaked preferences: if, as she moves away from her most preferred outcome in any and all directions, her utility consistently falls. – double-peaked preferences: if, as she moves away from the most preferred outcome, utility goes down, but then goes up again. • If all voters’ preferences are single peaked, no voting paradox occurs. • When issues cannot be ranked along a single dimension, multipeaked preferences are also a serious possibility. Graphing Preferences Utility Single-peaked preferences Jen Double-peaked preferences Brad Angelina A B C Missiles 6-10 Practical Importance of DoublePeaked Preferences: Examples • Can occur with availability of private substitutes for a publicly provided good – Example: public park vs. private country club • Can occur with issues that can’t be ranked along single dimension – Example: abortion clinic vs. adult bookstore vs. Army recruitment office 6-11 3. Median Voter Theorem • Half the voters want more of the good than the median voter, and half want less. • As long as preferences are single peaked, the outcome of majority voting reflects the median voter preferences Direct Democracy The Median Voter Theorem • Assume five voters are deciding how large a party to give together, and each of them has single-peaked preferences over party sizes. • Huey’s preference of $150 spending would prevail in majority voting 6-13 4. Logrolling • The process of representatives trading votes with one another is called logrolling • Proponents: – Trading votes leads to efficient public good provision just as trading commodities leads to efficient provision of private goods. – Its potential for revealing the intensity of preferences and establishing a stable equilibrium. Direct Democracy Logrolling I: Welfare Improved • Suppose a community is considering three projects, a hospital, a library, and a swimming pool. The community has three voters, Melanie, Rhett, and Scarlet. A minus sign indicates a net loss; that is, the costs exceed the benefits. 6-15 Direct Democracy Logrolling I: Welfare Improved • If each project is voted on separately, none is adopted even though each yields positive net benefits. • With vote trading social welfare is improved. (Melanie and Rhett, Library and hospital) 6-16 Direct Democracy Logrolling II: Welfare Lowered • With vote trading, some or all of the projects will pass, which is inefficient. • A majority of voters can form a coalition to vote for projects that serve their interests, but whose costs are borne mainly by the minority. 6-17 Direct Democracy Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem • “Reasonable” collective decision-making should be logical and respect individuals’ preferences • Criteria – It can produce a decision whatever the configuration of voters' preferences – It must be able to rank all possible outcomes – It must be responsive to individuals’ preferences – It must be consistent – Independence of irrelevant alternatives – Dictatorship ruled out 6-18 Direct Democracy Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem • Unfortunately, all conceivable voting schemes have some potential for being unfair or producing a paradoxical result • Meaning of theorem is that a fair, consistent rule is not necessarily impossible to find, but it is not guaranteed a society will find one • Buchanan’s critique: Despite being inconsistent, majority rule has other benefits – it allows a sort of jockeying back and forth among alternatives. • Arrow’s theorem implies social welfare functions are useless, but most economists believe they provide valuable insights – Most economists believe that a social welfare function can be used to draw out the implications of alternative sets of value judgments. 6-19 II. Representative Democracy • Government is done by people. Realistic political economy models must study the goals and behavior of the people who govern. II. Representative Democracy Elected Politicians 6-21 Implications of the Median Voter Model • Assume voters rank all positions on the basis of whether they are “conservative” or “liberal.” Because all voters have single-peaked preferences and want to maximize utility, each supports the candidate whose views lie closest to his/her own. – The candidate who adopts the median position (M) will defeat the candidate who adopts the position away from the median (S) • Two-party systems tend to be stable because they stake out positions near center • Replacement of direct referenda by representative system has no effect on outcomes 6-22 Other Factors Influencing Voting • Non-single-dimensional rankings – cause median voter theorem to fall apart • Ideology – assumes that politicians are simple vote maximizers, but they may care about more than just winning elections. Ideology can play an important role. • Personality – voters’ decisions depend only on issues may be unrealistic. 6-23 Other Factors Influencing Voting • Leadership – Politicians provide leadership. Leadership can change election outcomes occurs when a politician’s policies actually change the composition of his/her constituency. • Decision to vote – ignores the costs of acquiring information and voting. A fully informed voter evaluates the suitability of a candidate’s platform, the probability that the candidate will be able and willing to keep his/her promises, and so forth. 6-24 Representative Democracy Public Employees • Function of bureaucrats – Implement policy – Provide technical expertise in the design and execution of programs and policies – Provide “institutional memory” – Provide accurate documentation to ensure • Equal treatment for eligible citizens • Prevent corruption • Perhaps increasing power and their own perks 6-25 Representative Democracy Special Interests • Establishment of Special Interest Groups – Source of Income: Capital or Labor – Size of Income – Source of Income: Industry of Employment – Region – Demographic and Personal Characteristics 6-26 Representative Democracy Special Interests • Rent-seeking – induces the government to restrict the output in their industry, which leads to higher prices, allowing producers to earn rents. – can use up resources • lobbyists spend their time influencing legislators and bureaucrats, • consultants testify before regulatory panels, • advertisers conduct public relations campaigns. – does not represent a mere lump-sum transfer; it is a measure of real resources used up to maintain a position of market power. • The deadweight loss associated with rent-seeking is the sum of rents+dwl. 6-27 Representative Democracy Other Actors • Judiciary • Journalists • Experts 6-28 Explaining Government Growth Ratio of government expenditures to Gross Domestic Product Year Canada Switzerland United Kingdom 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 9.5 11.4 16.1 18.9 23.1 22.1 29.7 36.0 41.6 48.8 41.1 44.1 n.a. n.a. n.a. 15.9 19.2 19.9 17.7 21.3 29.3 30.3 35.1 34.2 14.4 12.7 26.2 26.1 30.0 39.0 31.9 41.8 45.2 41.1 36.8 50.5 Sources: Pommerehne (1977); OECD (2012a) 6-29 Explaining Government Growth • Citizen Preferences: G = f(P, I) G=Median voter’s demand of public sector goods & services P=Price of public sector goods and services I=Income – Only 40% of the growth in US public budgets can be explained. – More is going on than a simple median voter story can explain. • Marxist View – The public sector must expand to absorb private excess production. – The historical facts seem to contradict this analysis. – Its explicit recognition of the links between the economic and political systems as sources of government growth. • Chance Events – After the external shock (Wars, recessions) disappears, higher levels continue to prevail because of inertia. 6-30 Explaining Government Growth • Changes in Social Attitudes – Widespread television advertising creates unrealistically high expectations, leading to a “Santa Claus mentality” • people lose track of the fact that government programs do have an opportunity cost. • Income Redistribution – Government grows because low-income individuals use the political system to redistribute income toward themselves. • Politician can attract voters whose incomes are at or below the median by offering benefits that impose a net cost on those whose incomes are above the median. – As the difference between the median and average income grows, so too does the amount of government-sponsored redistribution • the more that income is concentrated at the top, the greater the potential benefits to the median voter of redistributive transfers. – Transfer programs that benefit different income classes can exist simultaneously, so these various views of government redistribution are not necessarily mutually exclusive. 6-31