Dependent Variable: URATE Method: ARMA Maximum Likelihood (BFGS) Date: 02/17/23 Time: 10:20 Sample: 1960Q1 2012Q4 Included observations: 212 Convergence achieved after 5 iterations Coefficient covariance computed using outer product of gradients Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C AR(1) AR(2) SIGMASQ 6.084676 1.640403 -0.677992 0.060439 0.567983 0.037382 0.038594 0.004660 10.71278 43.88180 -17.56745 12.97102 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood F-statistic Prob(F-statistic) Inverted AR Roots 0.976700 0.976364 0.248197 12.81314 -5.540748 2906.359 0.000000 .82-.07i Mean dependent var S.D. dependent var Akaike info criterion Schwarz criterion Hannan-Quinn criter. Durbin-Watson stat .82+.07i 6.081981 1.614394 0.090007 0.153339 0.115604 1.967838