Endemic- occurrence of expected number of cases among a group of people over time Incidence- # of new cases in a population Prevalence- # of cases in a population (per 10,000 or 100,000) Outbreak- more cases of a particular disease than expected in a given area over a given time Epidemic- large numbers of people over geographic area distribution affected with the same disease Pandemic- an epidemic spanning a very wide area Vector- an animal intermediate that transmits a pathogen to humans Virulence- Degree or intensity of pathogenicity of an organism Compromised host- host with lowered resistance to infection Nosocomial infection- an infection that is traced back to a hospital Infectivity - capacity to cause infection in a susceptible host Pathogenicity - capacity to cause disease in a host Virulence - severity of disease that the agent causes to host Case definition- The onset of ____ (symptoms) in a _____ (person) at ____ (time and place) Confirmed- diagnosis by lab verification Probable- many factors point to diagnosis, but no lab verification Suspected- some factors point to diagnosis Reservoir- site that harbors pathogenic organisms (human, animal, soil) Morbidity rate- # sick divided by # exposed Mortality rate- # dead per 100000 population Case Fatality rate- # dead divided by # sick Modes of transmission: droplet (through air, flu, TB, SARS, hantavirus), blood (sexual or injected, HIV, hepatitis), direct contact (touching, leprosy, chicken pox), oral-fecal (contaminated water, cholera, giardia), vector (spread by animal, malaria, lyme disease) AIDS- acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, spread by blood/ sexually, attacks immune system Tuberculosis- caused by bacteria, cough, fever, fatigue, weight loss, treated by antibiotics, attacks respiratory system or other parts of body Malaria- caused by protozoan, spread by mosquitoes (anopheles), cyclic fever and chills 2 Triads: Person, Place, Time; Agent, Host, Environment Index Case: The first case in an outbreak Virus: Viruses are small, much smaller than bacteria. They are not composed of cells. Viruses have 2 basic components: DNA or RNA covered in protein. Viruses can only reproduce inside the cells of other living organisms (rabies, AIDS, SARS, ebola, measles) Bacteria: Bacteria have 1 cell and no nucleus. DNA and ribosomes float in the cell. They have flagella to help them swim. They have no cell organelles. Gram + bacteria have a strong cell wall with peptidoglycan and a capsule. Bacteria also have pili that help stick. (E. coli, streptococcus, diptheria, MRSA, lyme disease) Shapes: spherical (cocci) Arrangements: staph (clumps) Rod (bacilli) Strep (chain) Spiral (spirilla or spirochete) Immunity Inherited-develops before birth, inborn Acquired-Active/natural-exposed to antigen naturally Passive/natural-milk, placenta Active/artificial-injections, vaccines of antigens Passive/artificial-injections of antibodies Lines of defense 1. Skin and secretions- acts as initial barrier, mucus catches pathogens, enzymes kill pathogens 2. Inflammatory response- injury/tissue damage releases chemical signal, blood flow increases: heat, redness, pain, swelling 3. Phagocytosis- ingests and destroys microorganisms: neutrophils, macrophages 4. Natural killer cells- kills tumor cells and infected cells with viruses 5. Interferon- infected cell makes protein and releases into bloodstream, interferes with reproduction Epidemiology Study of health of population Uses scientific method Studies distribution and causes of disease in human populations Attempts to control these diseases investigates health concerns in relation to disease 1) Prepare for field work- Research disease, prepare to travel, make arrangements with personal contacts 2) Establish the existence of an outbreak- compare current number of cases to previous cases, use health records, documents, etc. 3) Verify diagnosis- Review clinical and laboratory results for the cases, interview patients 4) Define and identify cases- establish case definition, have clinical info, characteristics of the people, place, time, etc. 5) Describe and orient the data in terms of person, place, and time- use epi curve to describe how many cases at what time 6) Develop hypotheses- consider disease, interview people who are ill, try and notice what certain characteristics make people have the disease 7) Evaluate hypotheses- compare with established fact, use statistics, use case-control or cohort studies 8) Refine Hypotheses- study environment, use data for more insight 9) Control and Prevention measures- immunization, medicine, isolation, carry out as soon as possible 10) Communicate findings- Oral briefing for local health authorities, written report for archives ____________________________________________________________ Cohort Study- used for outbreaks in small, well-defined populations, moves forward or backward from exposure Disease? Yes No Exposed (A) (B) Unexposed (C) (D) Attack Rate- exposed A/(A+B) unexposed C/(C+D) Relative Risk- [A/(A+B)]/[C/(C+D)] Relative Risk> 1: more likely Relative Risk<1: possible protective effect 0-----------------------1------------------------ Possible protective effect More likely Case control Study- used when groups are not well-defined compares people with the disease to people without, works backward Exposed Case Controls ↓ Patients Yes (A) (B) No (C) (D) Odds ratio: (A x D)/(B x C) A= number of case patients exposed B= number of control people exposed C= number of case patients unexposed D= number of control people unexposed Cholera- Vibrio Cholerae (oral-fecal) Campylobacter Enteritis- campylobacter jejuni (oral- fecal) Chicken Pox- varicella zoster (droplet and direct contact) Chlamydia- Chlamydia trachomatis (sexually) E. coli- Escherichia coli (oral-fecal) Malaria-plasmodium (vector, anopheles mosquito) MRSA- staphylococcus aureus (direct contact) SARS-coronavirus (droplet) Leprosy-mycobacterium leprae (direct contact) Schistosomiasis- schistosoma (oral/contact with water) Shingles-herpes zoster (contact, droplet) Strep throat-streptococcus(droplet) Tuberculosis- mycobacterium tuberculosis (droplet) Tetanus-clostridium tetani (contact) Ebola-filoviridae (contact/blood) Athlete’s foot- tinea pedis (contact) Jakob- Cruztfelt- prion(ingestion) Tapeworm- nematode (ingestion) Hepatitis- hepatitis a, b, c virus (a: oral fecal, b: sexually) Giardia- giardia lamblia (direct contact) Study design Case-control Cohort Crosssectional Experimental or Trial Strength Good for rare disease or long latency, examine multiple exposures from a single outcome; less expensive and quicker to conduct than cohort study Examining multiple outcomes for a single exposure; examine rare exposures (such as asbestos but not for rare disease); can calculate the incidence of disease (while case control cannot); best technique for an outbreak in a small, well defined population; most accurate observational study Relatively short duration; can study several outcomes; least expensive Most scientifically sound; best measure of exposure Weakness Possible error in recalling past exposure (Recall Bias). Possible time-order confusion Not good for rare diseases; costly in time and resources; possible loss to follow up over time; factor, which may be many years in the past or may be seen as socially (un)desirable Since exposure and disease status are measured at the same point in time, it may not always be possible to distinguish whether the exposure preceded or followed the disease. Time consuming and Expensive; Unethical for Harmful Exposures Hill’s criteria Types of epidemic Point source - An epidemic in which all cases are infected at the same time, usually from a single source or exposure. Continuous source - An epidemic in which the causal agent (e.g. polluted drinking water, spoiled food) is infecting people who come into contact with it, over an extended period of time. Person-to-Person (a.k.a. Propagated) - An epidemic in which the causal agent is transmitted from person to person, allowing the epidemic to propagate Path of infection Reservoir: Susceptible Host: Portal of Entry: Portal of exit: Koch’s postulates 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Collect samples from different people Grow contents on Petri dishes Look for similar organisms from each of the patients Inoculate suspect organism into healthy animal Wait for symptoms to occur Isolate organism from diseased animals 1. Strength of Association - relationship is clear and risk estimate is high 2. Consistency - observation of association must be repeatable in different populations at different times 3. Specificity - a single cause produces a specific effect 4. Alternative Explanations - consideration of multiple hypotheses before making conclusions about whether an association is causal or not 5. Temporality - cause/exposure must precede the effect/outcome 6. Dose-Response Relationship - an increasing amount of exposure increases the risk 7. Biological Plausibility - the association agrees with currently accepted understanding of biological and pathological processes 8. Experimental Evidence - the condition can be altered, either prevented or accelerated, by an appropriate experimental process 9. Coherence - the association should be compatible with existing theory and knowledge, including knowledge of past cases and epidemiological studies