Economic Costs, Economic Profits Dr. Abdullah Al Bahrani www.abdullahalbahrani.com dr.albahrani@uky.edu Summer 2021 Cost Theory: accounting costs vs. economic costs Opportunity Cost—the most important intuition you can develop for running a business ice cream shop • Total revenue from sale of goods = • Explicit costs of operating the business: cost of goods sold taxes and utilities rent • Accounting profit = $25,000 $80,000 $40,000 $5,000 $10,000 Additional information • The owner works full time in the shop and doesn’t pay themself a salary. They used to work as a mechanic and earned $24,000 per year. • Owner and their spouse have $40,000 tied up in the business at any point in time—working capital. They took that money out of an investment account where they earned 5% per year. • The owner had to buy a computer ($3,000) and install carpeting ($5,000) when They opened the business. Both of these have an expected life of 4 years, at which point they will both have to be replaced. If you were the owner, what would you do? • Accounting profits = $25,000 • How much would you have at the end of the year if you were not operating this shop and instead pursued your next best alternative? • Implicit costs: • opportunity cost of his time = $24,000 • foregone interest on investment = $2,000 • economic depreciation (annualized) = $2,000 Economic Profits • Economic profits = Total Revenue – total explicit costs – total implicit costs • $80k - $55k - $28k = -$3,000 • You are doing $3,000 worse than his next best alternative!! • You would be better off working as a secretary, earning interest on your investments, and not putting money into carpet and a computer that wear out. What would you pay for this business if the owner wants to retire and sell it? • If you currently work as a mechanic earning $24,000 per year? • answer: nothing—you’re better off staying in your current job • If you are earning $18,000 per year working at Jimmy John’s delivering sandwiches? • Hint: calculate the economic profits you would earn if you quit JJ’s and bought the owner out. Opportunity Costs • Whenever we talk about costs in this class we will talk about the cost including the opportunity cost. • This includes the cost of labor. • what the workers could earn working somewhere else. • As well as the cost of capital. • The return the capital could earn invested somewhere else. 8 Own vs. Rent You currently pay $10,000 per year in rent for a $100,000 house, which you are considering purchasing. You can qualify for a loan of $80,000 at 9% if you put $20,000 down on the house. To raise money for the down payment, you would have to liquidate stock earning a 15% return. Neglect other concerns, like closing costs, capital gains, and property taxes. • Is it better to rent or own? • 80,000×9%+20,000×15% = $10,200 > $10,000 • Suppose that you can deduct mortgage interest from federal taxes, and you are in the 25% tax bracket. Is it better to rent or own? • 80,000×9%×75%+20,000×15% = $8,400 < $10,000 Sunk Cost • Another type of economic cost is Sunk Cost. • Sunk Cost • • Expenditure that has been made and cannot be recovered. Should not influence a firm’s decisions. 10 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? • Next, consider fixed costs and variable costs. • Total output is a function of variable inputs and fixed inputs. • Therefore, TC = FC + VC 11 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? • Fixed Cost (FC) • Does not vary with the level of output • Variable Cost (VC) • Cost that varies as output varies 12 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? • It is important to understand the distinction between fixed costs and sunk costs. • Fixed Cost • Cost paid by a firm that is in business regardless of the level of output. Short run concept • Sunk Cost • Cost that has been incurred and cannot be recovered 13 Fixed Costs • Examples of Fixed Costs Include: • Rent—A dentist must pay the rent on his office regardless of the number of patients she sees • Insurance • Licenses fee—Dentist must also pay a yearly fee for her license which does not vary with the number of patients • Interest on debt 14 Variable Costs • Costs that vary with the amount of output you produce include: • • • • Wages Electricity Fuel materials • In general, anything we need more of to produce more output 15 Examples: Are these costs fixed or variable? • Payments to your accountants to prepare your tax returns. • Electricity to run the candy making machines. • Fees to design the packaging of your candy bar. • Costs of material for packaging. Costs in the Short Run • Marginal Cost (MC) is the cost of expanding output by one unit. Since fixed cost has no impact on marginal cost, it can be written as: DVC DTC MC = = DQ DQ 17 Costs in the Short Run ØAverage Total Cost (ATC) is the cost per unit of output, or average fixed cost (AFC) plus average variable cost (AVC). This can be written as: TFC TVC ATC = + Q Q 18 Short-run Total Cost Total 400 Cost ($) Total Cost is the vertical sum of TFC and TVC. TC TVC Total variable cost increases with output. Its shape reflects the law of diminishing returns. 300 200 100 Total fixed cost does not vary with output TF C 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Output 19 Important concepts RE short-run cost curves • Shape of AFC curve: “spreading one’s overhead” • Shape of AVC curve: can you see the law of eventually diminishing marginal returns at work? • Shape of the MC curve: can you see the output at which diminishing returns set in? • Shape of the Short-run ATC curve: Always U-shaped!! • SRATC = SRAFC + SRAVC [shape of AFC + shape of AVC => shape of ATC] EXAMPLE 4: ATC and MC When MC < ATC, ATC is falling. $175 When MC > ATC, ATC is rising. $150 $125 Costs The MC curve crosses the ATC curve at the ATC (and AVC) curve’s minimum. ATC MC $200 $100 $75 $50 $25 $0 0 1 2 3 4 Q 5 6 7 Long-Run Cost Curves • Long-Run total costs (LTC) shows how costs change with output when we vary all inputs • Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) is given by: LTC LAC = Q • Long-Run Marginal Cost is given by: DLTC LMC = DQ 24 Long-Run Cost Curves • The shape of these curves depends on whether the production function exhibits increasing, constant, or decreasing returns to scale. 25 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) • Constant Returns to Scale • If input is doubled, output will double, and average cost is constant at all levels of output. • LAC curve will be a flat line. • Increasing Returns to Scale • If input is doubled, output will more than double and average cost decreases at all levels of output. • LAC curve is downward sloping. 26 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) • Decreasing Returns to Scale • If input is doubled, the increase in output is less than twice as large and average cost increases with output. • LAC curve is upward sloping. 27 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) • In the long-run, firms initially experience increasing returns to scale at low output and then decreasing returns to scale at higher output and therefore long-run average cost is “U” shaped • Evidence suggests that it may “L” be shaped 28 Long-Run Average Cost and Long-Run Marginal Cost Cost ($ per unit of output LMC LAC Minimum efficient size is the firm size where long-run average cost is at a minimum A At Q* firm is operating at the minimum efficient size Q* Quantity of Output 29 Choosing a plant size: Long-run average costs and the firm’s planning curve • Now let’s get serious about opening up a fast-food restaurant near the UK campus. You find a location and choose a franchise chain. You set up a meeting with company representatives, at which they open a briefcase and pull out some spreadsheets and blueprints which contain the following information: • [see next slide] • Then they ask you: How many customers do you envision yourself wanting to serve each day? • Answer #1: Duh? • Answer #2: Well, I’ve done some demand forecasting and I envision serving roughly X meals per day. Long-Run costs with economies and diseconomies of scale Cost (€ per unit of output SATC1 SATC2 SATC3 A B C 400 800 1000 Output The LRAC curve and economies of scale • Given sufficient time to plan and execute, firms can vary all inputs optimally for whatever scale of operation they desire. • So in reality, firms can choose from many different plant sizes. The LRAC curve is the envelope of all the SRATC curves associated with each different plant size. • The LRAC curve tells us the minimum possible average total cost for producing each output level. • The shape of the LRAC curve tells us how per unit costs change as the firm changes the scale of its operations. How ATC Changes as the Scale of Production Changes Economies of scale: ATC falls as Q increases. ATC LRATC Constant returns to scale: ATC stays the same as Q increases. Diseconomies of scale: ATC rises as Q increases. Q Returns to Scale • Important to note that decreasing returns to scale is not the same as the law of diminishing returns. • The law of diminishing returns is a short-run concept and tells us that marginal output will fall as we add more of one input holding the other input fixed. • Decreasing returns to scale is a long-run concept and says that output goes up by less than twice as much when we double all inputs. 34 Minimum Efficient Scale (MES) • How big does the firm have to be in order to produce the product as cheaply as possible? • We call the scale of operations (Q) at which the LRAC curve reaches its minimum level of cost the Minimum Efficient Scale, or MES. • Firms operating at a smaller scale could lower their per unit costs by increasing their scale. Firms operating at a sub-optimal scale will be at a competitive disadvantage relative to firms that have attained MES. • MES, market demand, and the number of firms in a competitive market? How many fast-food restaurants are there in Lexington? In Nicholosville? Why?