Article Teens in Rice County Are More Interdependent and Think More Holistically Than Nearby Wheat County Social Psychological and Personality Science 1-11 ª The Author(s) 2018 Article reuse guidelines: sagepub.com/journals-permissions DOI: 10.1177/1948550618808868 journals.sagepub.com/home/spp Xiawei Dong1,2, Thomas Talhelm3 , and Xiaopeng Ren1,2,4,5 Abstract China’s smallest province Ningxia sits in North Central China. Surrounded by herding cultures to the north and wheat farmers to the south, Qingtongxia is a small outpost of rice farming fed by the Yellow River. We test the hypothesis that rice-farming cultures are more interdependent by comparing high school students from Qingtongxia (N ¼ 190) to students in a nearby wheat district, Yuanzhou (N ¼ 223). Comparing two nearby counties provides a natural test case that controls for third variables. Students in the rice county thought more holistically, treated a close friend better than a stranger, and showed lower implicit individualism. Students in the rice area showed more relative perception than students from the wheat areas on the practice trials of the framed line task, but differences were nonsignificant on the main trials. Differences between teenagers—born after the year 2000— suggest that rice–wheat differences continue among China’s next generation. Keywords rice, culture, China, farming, agriculture China’s smallest province is Ningxia in dry North Central China (Figure 1). To the south and east is China’s historic wheat and millet center, the site of Xi’an, China’s ancient capital. To the north and west are grasslands and Mongolian herders. But tucked in amid these wheat farmers and herders is a small pocket of rice districts. With water from the Yellow River, farmers there have enough water to fill rice paddies. This geography carves a stark contrast between nearby districts. To the south, Yuanzhou (“Yoo-en-joe”) devoted 0% to rice from 1949 to 1990 (Online Supplemental Figures S1 and S2; Guyuan Local Chronicles Office, 1993). To the north, 90% of the farmland in Qingtongxia District (“Ching-tong-shah”) was on a rotational rice paddy system from 1941 to 1990 (Qingtongxia Local Chronicles Office, 2004). Based on the availability of irrigation water from the Yellow River, about a third of the farmland in any given year plants paddy rice, and almost all farmers have frequent experience farming rice. This study takes advantage of this natural contrast to test whether areas that farmed rice have tighter, more interdependent cultures than wheat areas. Rice Farming Our model of rice farming argues that this particular type of farming encourages tight, reciprocal ties because paddy rice requires irrigation networks and intensive labor (Talhelm & Oishi, 2018; Talhelm et al., 2014). Anthropologists embedded in rice cultures from Japan to West Africa have found that rice farmers exchange labor and manage irrigation networks in the village (Bray, 1986). The idea is that these practices push cultures to become more focused on tight, duty bound relationships over time. In contrast, wheat farming requires about half as many man hours as rice (Buck, 1935, p. 302; Fei, 1945, p. 214). Wheat farmers do exchange labor, but the need is smaller, and the obligation less strict (Talhelm & Oishi, 2018). Wheat is also different from rice because wheat often relies on rainfall rather than human irrigation. Thus, wheat farmers have less need to coordinate and rely on other people. A recent study found that (1) people in Northern China are more individualistic and think more analytically than people in Southern China and (2) these differences fall along the lines of where people farmed rice versus wheat (Talhelm et al., 2014). Yet there are many differences between Northern and 1 CAS Key Laboratory of Behavioral Science, Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 2 Department of Psychology, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 3 University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Chicago, IL, USA 4 Department of Psychology, Renmin University, Beijing, China 5 Laboratory of the Department of Psychology, Renmin University, Beijing, China Corresponding Author: Xiaopeng Ren, Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, No. 16 Lincui Road, Beijing 100101, China. Email: renxp@psych.ac.cn 2 Social Psychological and Personality Science XX(X) Figure 1. Ningxia province is located in North Central China—farther north than the rice–wheat border. But because the Yellow River cuts across the north of the Province, Qingtongxia District (left) grows a significant amount of paddy rice, unlike the drier wheat district of Yuanzhou. Southern China. How do we know that rice and wheat caused these differences? The earlier study addressed this question by doing a more focused comparison of rice–wheat differences along central China’s rice–wheat border (Talhelm et al., 2014, p. 606). However, even though that comparison was more focused, it still stretched 2,000 km from Sichuan to Shanghai. Comparing larger samples from two nearby counties in Ningxia provides a much cleaner control over third variables. Ningxia (“ning-shah”) also provides a starker comparison. Along China’s central rice–wheat border, even in the wheatmajority counties, many counties farm 10%, 20%, or 30% rice. In Ningxia, the wheat representative is truly a nonrice county: Yuanzhou devotes no farmland to rice (Statistical Bureau, 1985, 1994; Statistical Bureau Ningxia, 2014). Of course, two areas will never be completely equal on all control variables. Yet Qingtongxia and Yuanzhou provide an interesting test case because the remaining differences on two important variables lead to the opposite prediction from our prediction based on rice (Table 1). Modernization Perhaps the most widely accepted theory of culture is modernization theory. Modernization theory argues that, as cultures become wealthier and more modernized, they become more individualistic (Greenfield, 2009; Inglehart & Baker, 2000). In Ningxia, the rice county has a gross domestic product (GDP) per capita almost 3 times higher than the wheat county (Table 2).1 Thus, modernization theory would predict that the rice county is more individualistic. Climatic Demands Van de Vliert has argued that extreme climates push people to be more collectivistic, to band together against the climate (Van De Vliert, Yang, Wang, & Ren, 2013). In China, Van de Vliert quantified climate demands as the average temperature deviation from 22 C. Using Van de Vliert’s climate and wealth metric, the wheat county has higher climatic demands than the rice county (Table 2). Van de Vliert also argues that wealth helps buffer people from harsh environments. That means that the effect of climate should be weaker in wealthy places. Collectivism should be the strongest in places with both lower income and demanding climates. In Ningxia, the wheat county has a harsher climate and less wealth. Although these districts are near each other, the difference in climate is not small. If we compare these districts to Van de Vliert’s province rankings in China, the wheat district’s climatic demands score would rank it near the top of collectivism—3rd of 31 provinces in collectivism (Van De Vliert et al., 2012, Table 5). In contrast, the rice county’s score would rank it 24th. Thus, climatic demands would predict that the wheat county should be more collectivistic. In sum, Qingtongxia and Yuanzhou offer a test case that naturally contrasts the predictions based on rice farming with predictions from modernization and climatic demands. Other Models of Culture In Online Supplemental Material, we sketch out other important historical variables that might cause cultural differences. Previous research has shown that herding cultures tend to be more individualistic (Goldschmidt, 1971; Uskul, Kitayama, & Nisbett, 2008), although herding makes up only a small Dong et al. 3 Table 1. In Ningxia, Rice Farming Leads to Opposite Prediction From Modernization. Table 2. Demographic Comparison Between Rice and Wheat Districts. District Qingtongxia Yuanzhou Percent Rice Farmland Climate Demands Average Income (Yuan) GDP per Capita (Yuan) Population Density (km2) Percent Han Chinese 37 0 57.0 60.6 31,275 29,050 47,620 18,778 114.6 119.6 79.9 52.1 Note. Climate demands ¼ 2 (|T1 22.0| þ |T7 22.0|; T1 ¼ average temperature in January; T7 ¼ average temperature in July). Income refers to average wage of employed persons in urban private units. Rice data are from 1949 (Qingtongxia Local Chronicles Office, 2004); other data are from the Ningxia Statistical Yearbook 2014 (Statistical Bureau Ningxia, 2014). GDP ¼ gross domestic product. percentage of the agricultural economy in both counties. Researchers have argued that areas with more infectious diseases are more collectivistic (Fincher, Thornhill, Murray, & Schaller, 2008). Good county-level data are hard to find, but what little data are available show higher rates of diseases in Yuanzhou, which would work against our hypothesis. Supplemental Section 1 covers alternative predictors in more detail. However, it is important to point out that a natural test case like this is most suited for minimizing variance in third variables rather than for estimating their effect size. Thus, these comparisons are best thought of as ruling out these alternative models as confounds rather than disproving the models in general. An Isolated Rice Area in Northern China Qingtongxia is an interesting natural test case for one more reason. Qingtongxia and a few nearby counties form an isolated rice island sitting in a sea of wheat and herding.2 Is it possible for rice farming to influence culture even when that rice farming is confined to a small area surrounded by herders and wheat farmers? One shortcoming of the previous findings is that they compared a rice area covering roughly half of Han China (Talhelm et al., 2014). In such large areas, rice cultures can reinforce each other by spreading customs, dialects, and even institutions within the cultural region. For example, if one rice village hits upon the cultural practice of reciprocal labor exchange, that behavior could spread more easily to other nearby rice communities. In that way, being surrounded by other rice communities could theoretically amplify the effect of rice farming on culture. But what happens when most of the neighbors are herders and wheat farmers? Do their different customs and social styles dilute the impact of rice farming? Comparing this isolated rice culture allows us to test this question. 4 Social Psychological and Personality Science XX(X) Table 3. Demographic Characteristics for Rice and Wheat Samples. Site Qingtongxia (Rice) Yuanzhou (Wheat) N Mean Age (SD) Female (%) Family Income per Person 4,000 RMB/Month (%) Parents’ Education High School (%) 190 223 15.6 (.63) 15.5 (.73) 49.4 56.1 77.7 87.9 93.8 80.6 Note. Participants reported their parents’ highest education attainment from 1 (elementary school or less) to 6 (master’s or above). Participants reported family monthly income from 1 (1,000 RMB or less) to 10 (50,000 RMB or more). Could the Differences Be a “Minority Group Effect?” Although Qingtongxia is an isolated rice area, this isolation is in rice farming only. Qingtongxia is not physically isolated from the rest of Ningxia Province. For example, there are no mountains or deserts separating it from the nearby population centers of Yinchuan and Zhongwei. If Qingtongxia were more strictly isolated, it could raise the possibility that Qingtongxia is more collectivistic because it is a small out-group in the larger province. Yet, in the experience of one of our researchers who grew up in Ningxia, there is little sense of in-group Qingtongxia versus out-group Ningxia. However, some people do seem to have a subtle sense that the culture there is a bit different from other places in Ningxia. As in any study trying to locate causality behind cultural differences—where we cannot randomly assign entire cultures to farm rice for generations—causality cannot be determined in a single study. Instead, the findings in Ningxia should also be considered against the backdrop of a bigger set of studies. If the rice–wheat differences in Ningxia are solely an artifact of being a small group amid a larger group, that would not explain the previous differences between Northern and Southern China as a whole (Talhelm et al., 2014). The large rice area of Southern China has traditionally had a larger population than the wheat areas and is the complete opposite of an isolated bloc. counties seem to be a result of the external environment and not active choice. However, this study cannot rule out the possibility that people have chosen to move to farming areas that are more consistent with their cultural style. Method We tested 413 high school students (53.2% female) in Ningxia: 190 participants in Qingtongxia (rice) and 223 participants in Yuanzhou (wheat). Participants ranged from 14 to 18 years old (average ¼ 15.5). Students filled out the questionnaires on pencil and paper as an in-class activity. Online Supplemental Material displays all of the original materials. The study design received institutional review board approval and approval from teachers. Students were told that participation was not required. Participants reported parental education from elementary school to master’s or above, family monthly income, and family subjective socioeconomic status (SES) from 1 (upper class) to 5 (lower class). These are not developed areas. Most students’ parents had a high school education or less (86.8%), and most students (94.9%) rated their SES as “middle” or lower. In line with the statistics showing the rice area has higher GDP per capita, students from the rice area reported significantly higher family income than students from the wheat region (p < .001). Table 3 shows more demographic details. Measurement Selection and Power Is Reverse Causality a Problem? One external problem with trying to understand cultural differences is reverse causality. Particularly with two counties so close to each other, how do we know that people in the rice county weren’t more interdependent to begin with and so chose to farm rice? If so, interdependence would cause rice farming, not the other way around. Fortunately, with rice farming, it is fairly easy to know whether people in an area could grow rice or not. The answer depends on the environment. Does the area have the right soil, warm enough weather, and sufficient water? The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (2010) quantifies these environmental factors in its Global Agro-Ecological Zones database. This database uses soil, slope, climate data from 1961 to 1990 to calculate a crop suitability index for wetland rice. Qingtongxia scored 55.5, which is similar to Jiangsu province (a rice province). Yuanzhou scored 0. Thus, the rice-farming differences between the two The sample size had the ability to detect small effects (Cohen’s d ¼ 0.20) at 80% power. In choosing measures, we specifically selected measures that avoid the documented problems with using self-reports to measure cross-cultural differences (Heine, Lehman, Peng, & Greenholtz, 2002; Peng, Nisbett, & Wong, 1997). The sociogram, triad, and framed line task are all behavioral tasks, and all have been previously used to document East–West differences. The loyalty/nepotism task is the closest to a self-report measure, although this task does not ask people to rate their values. Instead, it asks them how they would behave in specific, concrete situations. This type of task fits with the evidence of Peng and colleagues (1997), who found that using scenarios to measure cultural differences was more reliable than abstract self-report questions. Cultural Thought Style We measured cultural thought style using the 14-item picture version of the triad task (Ji, Zhang, & Nisbett, 2004). In each Dong et al. 5 Figure 2. Rice farming and cultural thought style. (a) In the pictorial triad task, participants see a focal item (such as a cow) and choose whether it should be paired with another item that belongs in the same abstract category (chicken) or an item that shares a functional relationship (grass). (b) Participants in the rice county chose more relational pairings. The graph controls for gender differences. Bars ¼ 95% CIs. triad, participants see a focal object (such as a cow) and choose which of two objects (chicken or grass) to pair with it (Figure 2). One item belongs to the same abstract category (cows and chickens are animals), and one item shares a functional relationship (cows eat grass; these are also called “relational” or “holistic” pairings). We scored the triad as the percentage of relational pairings. Previous research has found that people in China choose more relational pairings than Americans (Ji et al., 2004). Perceptual Style Participants completed the framed line task, a measure of perceptual style that differs across cultures (Kitayama, Duffy, Kawamura, & Larsen, 2003). In this task, participants have to draw lines that either take into account the relationship of the line to the frame as a whole (relative task) or ignore the frame (analytic/absolute task; Online Supplemental Figure S3). Participants took three practice trials and six trials of each version on pen and paper. Previous research has found that people in interdependent cultures tend to have more “relative bias” (more error in the absolute task than the relative task) than people in independent cultures (Kitayama et al., 2003). Implicit Individualism We used the sociogram task to measure implicit individualism (Kitayama, Park, Sevincer, Karasawa, & Uskul, 2009). In the task, participants draw their social network with circles to represent the self and friends. Prior studies have found that Americans (and people from the wheat areas of China) draw the self larger than they draw friends (Kitayama et al., 2009; Talhelm et al., 2014). We measure self-inflation as the size of the self-circle minus the average size of the circles for the friends (Figure 3). Loyalty/Nepotism The loyalty/nepotism task measures whether participants treat friends better than they treat strangers for the same behavior (Wang, Leung, See, & Gao, 2011). Participants read scenarios about doing a business deal with a friend or a stranger who was either honest or dishonest in the deal (Figure 4). Then, the participant can use money to reward the honesty or punish the dishonesty from 0 to 1,000 RMB (US$145). The friend and stranger scenarios are identical except for whether the other person is a friend or stranger. Participants read the four scenarios in a fixed order: honest friend, dishonest friend, honest stranger, and dishonest stranger. The main outcome measure was whether they treated the friend differently from how they treated the stranger ([reward friend punish friend] [reward stranger punish stranger]). This could be seen (1) positively as loyalty to the friend or (2) negatively as nepotism by treating the friend better than the stranger. Analysis We analyzed the triad task using a generalized linear mixedeffects model with a binomial link in the program R. Because the triad task is a series of binary choices (categorical or relational), it is best analyzed as a series of binomials. To calculate the effect size of the triad task, we used Nagelkerke R2 (or change in R2 after adding the key variable), which is the equivalent of the R2 in a least squares regression. For the loyalty/ nepotism task, the sociogram task, and the framed line task, we compared the two counties using independent samples t tests, as well as regressions that controlled for demographic variables, with rice coded as wheat ¼ 0 and rice ¼ 1. 6 Social Psychological and Personality Science XX(X) Figure 3. Rice farming and implicit individualism. (a) In the Sociogram task, participants draw circles to represent the self and friends. Researchers then measure the size of the self versus the size of the friends. The calculation takes the average of all friends measured at the longest diameter. (b) People in the rice county self-inflated less. Bars ¼ 95% CIs. Figure 4. Rice farming and loyalty/nepotism. (a) In the loyalty–nepotism task, participants imagine going into a business deal with a friend or a stranger. Participants get a chance to reward an honest friend/stranger or punish a dishonest friend/stranger. (b) Participants in the rice county showed a larger difference in how they treated friends versus strangers than people in the wheat county. Bars ¼ 95% CIs. Results Rice–Wheat Differences Cultural thought style. People in the rice county chose more relational pairings in the triad task, B ¼ 0.28, p < .001, 95% CI [0.15, 0.41], r ¼ .22 (Figure 2). Participants in the rice county selected 80% relational pairings versus 75% in the wheat county. Implicit individualism. People in the rice county also self-inflated less than people in the wheat county, t(1, 389) ¼ 3.62, p < .001, d ¼ 0.37, 95% CI [0.57, 0.17] (Figure 3). Comparing the circles for self and friends separately, participants in the two counties drew the self in similar sizes, t(1, 389) ¼ 0.15, p ¼ .881, d ¼ 0.02, 95% CI [0.22, 0.18]. But participants in the rice county drew friends larger than participants in the wheat county, t(1, 389) ¼ 3.98, p < .001, d ¼ 0.41, 95% CI [0.29, 0.61]. Loyalty/Nepotism. Students in the rice area show a larger friend– stranger distinction than students in the wheat area, t(1, 398) ¼ 2.74, p ¼ .006, d ¼ 0.27, 95% CI [0.07, 0.47] (Figure 4). Some researchers have argued that “in-group love” does not necessarily entail “out-group hate” (Halevy, Bornstein, & Sagiv, 2008). Thus, we tested whether rice–wheat differences were Dong et al. driven by rewarding, punishing, or both. People in the rice county showed more in-group “love” than people in the wheat county (reward friend reward stranger), t(1, 398) ¼ 10.97, p < .001, d ¼ 1.10, 95% CI [0.89, 1.31]. They also punished the outgroup more (punish friend punish stranger), t(1, 399) ¼ 3.08, p ¼ .002, d ¼ 0.31, 95% CI [0.51, 0.11]. Thus, people in the rice county showed both “love” toward an honest friend and “hate” toward a dishonest stranger. Perceptual style. We analyzed framed line task relative bias as (average absolute task error relative task error). Thus, relative bias represents holistic perceptual style. People in the rice county showed more relative bias on the framed line task practice questions, t(1, 397) ¼ 3.99, p < .001, d ¼ 0.40, 95% CI [0.20, 0.60], but this difference mostly disappeared on the later questions, t (1, 393) ¼ 0.34, p ¼ .731, d ¼ 0.03, 95% CI [0.16, 0.23]. We found that error on two trials with large frames had an outsized influence on the results. With six relative trials, each trial should represent about 16.7% of the total relative error. However, the two relative trials with the largest frames accounted for 51.4% of the total error. To more equally weight the trials, we divided errors by the correct answer to get ratios. Calculated as error ratios, rice– wheat differences remained on the practice questions, t(1, 397) ¼ 5.09, p < .001, d ¼ 0.52, 95% CI [0.32, 0.73], and the difference on the main trials was now marginal, t(1, 393) ¼ 1.37, p ¼ .171, d ¼ 0.14, 95% CI [0.06, 0.34]. It is possible that the differences in the practice questions were a fluke or that previous findings of cultural differences on the framed line task do not replicate (Hakim, Simons, Zhao, & Wan, 2016). Another possible explanation for why differences decreased on later questions is that people have baseline differences in attention to the background, but asking them in item after item to compare the line to the background could get them into the habit of paying more attention to the background. In Online Supplemental Material, we analyze trial-by-trial error and find that rice–wheat differences were largest when participants switched from the relative task to the absolute task but decreased after four trials (Supplemental Section 9.1). Thus, there is some evidence for habituation. Rice–Wheat Differences Compared to China as a Whole The results showed cultural differences between nearby rice and wheat districts similar to China’s overall rice–wheat differences. How big is the difference between these two counties compared to Northern and Southern China as a whole? We compared differences in thought style, the main variable in the previous study (Talhelm et al., 2014). Rice–wheat differences in thought style in Ningxia were about 20% smaller than between Northern and Southern China as a whole (comparing regression coefficients of a categorical rice–wheat variable B ¼ 0.382 for China as a whole and B ¼ 0.309 within Ningxia). Although there are several differences between these two studies, one explanation could be that the rice difference between these two counties 7 (0% vs. 37% farmland devoted to rice) is smaller than Northern and Southern China (13% vs. 68%). Potential Confounds Gender. The wheat sample had more women (56%) than the rice sample (49%). Prior studies have found that women sometimes score higher on cultural measures of collectivism than men, so this would work against the proposed rice–wheat differences (Talhelm et al., 2014, 2015). Similar to prior findings, women chose more relational pairings than men, B ¼ 0.28, p < .001, 95% CI [0.16, 0.41], r ¼ .22. Rice–wheat differences remained after controlling for gender, B ¼ 0.31, p < .001, 95% CI [0.18, 0.44], r ¼ .23. Men had more relative bias than women on the framed line task (p ¼ .020), but rice–wheat differences were similar controlling for gender. There were no significant gender differences in self-inflation or loyalty/nepotism (ps > .22). Parental education. Prior studies have found that people with higher education think less holistically (Talhelm et al., 2015). Students whose parents had completed more education chose fewer relational pairings, B ¼ 0.11, p < .001, 95% CI [0.17, 0.05], r ¼ .19. Rice–wheat differences remained after controlling for parental education, B ¼ 0.25, p < .001, 95% CI [0.12, 0.38], r ¼ .18. Students with more educated parents had less relative bias on the framed line task, r ¼ .11, p ¼ .035. Rice–wheat differences were similar controlling for parental education. Parental education was not related to self-inflation or loyalty/nepotism (ps > .74). Family income. Prior studies have found that people of higher SES think less holistically (Na et al., 2010). Students from wealthier families chose fewer relational pairings, B ¼ 0.08, p < .004, 95% CI [0.13, 0.02], r ¼ .14. Controlling for family income, rice–wheat differences persisted, B ¼ 0.34, p < .001, 95% CI [0.21, 0.47], r ¼ .25. Family income was not related to selfinflation, loyalty/nepotism, or the framed line task (ps > .18). Age. A study in the United States found that older participants think less holistically (Talhelm et al., 2015). In our sample, older students thought more holistically, B ¼ 0.10, 95% CI [0.00, 0.19], p ¼ .039, r ¼ .10. Controlling for age, rice–wheat differences were significant, B ¼ 0.26, p < .001, 95% CI [0.20, 0.39], r ¼ .20. Age was not related to self-inflation, loyalty/ nepotism, or the framed line task (ps > .31). Social status. There was no relationship between self-rated social status and holistic thought, B ¼ 0.01, p ¼ .776, 95% CI [0.08, 0.10], r ¼ .01. However, people of higher status showed marginally less relative bias on the framed line task, B ¼ 1.77, p ¼ .06, 95% CI [3.58, 0.04], r ¼ .10. Rice–wheat differences were similar controlling for social status. Social status was unrelated to self-inflation and loyalty/nepotism (ps > .65). In sum, rice–wheat differences remained after controlling for several demographic variables. Tables 4–8 find that 8 Social Psychological and Personality Science XX(X) Table 4. Holistic Thought Regressions for Rice. Variable Table 6. Differences in Self-Inflation. B SE Z p 95% CI Model 1 Age Female SES Family income Parental education .05 .28 .14 .07 .12 .05 .07 .05 .03 .03 1.02 4.29 2.57 2.46 3.42 .309 <.001 .010 .014 <.001 .05 .15 .03 .13 .18 .15 .41 .24 .02 .05 Model 2 Age Female SES Family income Parental education Rice .05 .29 .15 .11 .08 .31 .05 .07 .05 .03 .03 .07 0.97 4.45 2.86 3.52 2.37 4.40 .331 <.001 .004 <.001 .018 <.001 .05 .16 .05 .17 .15 .17 .15 .42 .26 .05 .01 .45 B SE b t p Model 1 Age Female SES Family income Parental education 0.44 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 .60 .77 .63 .36 .41 .04 .01 .01 .02 .02 0.74 0.14 0.17 0.34 0.33 .457 .891 .862 .735 .739 Model 2 Age Female SES Family income Parental education Rice 0.42 0.01 0.22 0.23 0.48 2.91 .59 .76 .62 .36 .41 .81 .04 .02 .02 .04 .07 .19 0.72 .473 0.01 .994 0.36 .718 0.63 .529 1.16 .246 3.61 <.001 Variable 95% CI 1.62 1.40 1.34 0.82 0.94 0.73 1.62 1.24 0.58 0.66 1.58 0.73 1.48 1.49 1.44 0.99 0.49 0.95 1.29 0.33 4.49 1.33 Note. “Rice” is coded as 1 ¼ Qingtongxia and 0 ¼ Yuanzhou. Socioeconomic status (SES) is self-reported family SES from 1 (upper class) to 5 (lower class). Students reported their parents’ highest educational attainment from 1 (elementary school or less) to 6 (master’s or above). Note. “Rice” is coded as 1 ¼ Qingtongxia and 0 ¼ Yuanzhou. Socioeconomic status (SES) is self-reported family SES from 1 (upper class) to 5 (lower class). Students reported their parents’ highest educational attainment from 1 (elementary school or less) to 6 (master’s or above). Table 5. Differences in Loyalty/Nepotism. Table 7. Framed Line Task Regressions for Rice. Variable Model 1 Age Female SES Family income Parental education B SE b t p 0.41 0.44 0.43 0.34 0.13 .41 .53 .43 .25 .28 .06 .04 .06 .08 .03 1.01 0.84 1.02 1.37 0.47 .313 .400 .311 .173 .642 95% CI Variable B SE b t p 95% CI 0.39 0.59 0.40 0.82 0.42 Model 1 Age Female SES Family income Parental education 0.63 2.80 2.15 0.54 1.07 1.02 1.31 1.07 0.61 0.69 .03 .61 .538 2.62 1.37 .11 2.14 .033 5.37 0.24 .12 2.00 .047 4.25 0.04 .05 .88 .380 0.66 1.74 .09 1.55 .121 2.41 0.28 Model 2 Age 0.41 .41 .05 1.01 .315 1.21 0.39 Female 0.39 .53 .04 0.75 .454 1.42 0.63 SES 0.38 .43 .05 0.89 .377 1.21 0.46 Family income 0.19 .25 .05 0.75 .455 0.31 0.69 Parental education 0.01 .28 .00 0.04 .971 0.55 0.57 Rice 1.17 .56 .11 2.10 .037 0.08 2.26 Model 2 Age Female SES Family income Parental education Rice 0.63 2.85 2.22 0.68 1.20 1.15 1.02 1.31 1.08 0.64 0.70 1.39 .03 .62 .534 2.63 1.36 .11 2.17 .031 5.42 0.28 .12 2.06 .040 4.33 0.11 .06 1.07 .285 0.57 1.92 .09 1.70 .090 2.58 0.18 .04 .83 .407 3.87 1.57 Note. “Rice” is coded as 1 ¼ Qingtongxia and 0 ¼ Yuanzhou. Socioeconomic status (SES) is self-reported family SES from 1 (upper class) to 5 (lower class). Students reported their parents’ highest educational attainment from 1 (elementary school or less) to 6 (master’s or above). Note. “Rice” is coded as 1 ¼ Qingtongxia and 0 ¼ Yuanzhou. Relative bias represents holistic perceptual style in the framed line task. Relative bias ¼ (average error on the absolute task average error on the relative task error). Socioeconomic status (SES) is self-reported family SES from 1 (upper class) to 5 (lower class). Students reported their parents’ highest educational attainment from 1 (elementary school or less) to 6 (master’s or above). 1.21 1.48 1.27 0.15 0.67 rice–wheat differences remain while controlling for these demographics simultaneously. Controlled Comparison Discussion We found that students in the rice county thought more holistically were more loyal/nepotistic toward friends and selfinflated less than students in a nearby wheat county. This is despite the fact that the rice county is situated in Northern China near areas that herd and farm wheat. The results of this study suggest that—at least sometimes—rice cultures can appear even when they are isolated in drier regions, surrounded by wheat farmers and herders. This study builds on prior research by presenting a more controlled test comparison of nearby rice and wheat areas. Of course, any natural comparison of cultural differences cannot prove that rice and wheat caused these differences. However, comparing nearby counties helps control for third variables like history of invasion, warfare, and natural disasters. In the end, accumulated evidence over time from different locations can give more clarity about whether rice areas are culturally different from areas with other historical subsistence styles. Dong et al. 9 Table 8. Framed Line Task (Practice Questions) Regressions for Rice. Variable B SE b t Model 1 Age 0.34 .30 .06 1.17 Female 0.05 .38 .01 0.14 SES 0.47 .31 .09 1.52 Family income 0.29 .18 .09 1.61 Parental education 0.18 .20 .05 0.88 p 95% CI .244 .890 .130 .108 .378 0.23 0.80 1.08 0.06 0.57 0.92 0.69 0.14 0.64 0.22 Model 2 Age 0.34 .30 .06 1.18 .240 Female 0.00 .38 .00 0.00 .999 SES 0.42 .31 .09 1.37 .172 Family income 0.12 .19 .09 0.67 .505 Parental education 0.02 .20 .20 0.10 .919 Rice 1.35 .40 .18 3.39 <.001 0.23 0.74 1.02 0.24 0.42 0.57 0.92 0.74 0.18 0.49 0.38 2.13 Note. “Rice” is coded as 1 ¼ Qingtongxia and 0 ¼ Yuanzhou. Relative bias represents holistic perceptual style in the framed line task. Relative bias ¼ (average error on the absolute task average error on the relative task error). Socioeconomic status (SES) is self-reported family SES from 1 (upper class) to 5 (lower class). Students reported their parents’ highest educational attainment from 1 (elementary school or less) to 6 (master’s or above). Contrasting Rice With Alternative Theories Although this study compares two similar areas, it also intentionally compares two counties that are in the opposite direction on important variables for alternative theories. For example, modernization theory argues that wealthier, more modernized areas should be more individualistic (Greenfield, 2009; Inglehart & Baker, 2000). People in the rice area were less individualistic, even though the area is 3 times wealthier than the wheat area. More Individual-Level Controls One weakness of the prior rice study in China was that it controlled for many province-level variables, but it had few individual-level control variables like parental education and income. This study measured more individual variables and found that rice–wheat differences are robust to these family characteristics. Rice and the Future of Culture These students in Ningxia should not be considered farmers, since it is rare for children to farm in China nowadays. However, these areas were overwhelmingly agricultural in recent history. In 1949, over 90% of the labor force was in agriculture (Statistical Bureau Ningxia, 1985). Even as recently as 1985 (when these students’ parents were growing up), 82% of labor was in agriculture. Thus, it is likely that many students’ parents or grandparents are or were farmers. Studies have found evidence that cultural differences based on historical subsistence style continue to into the modern era, even in places where most people no longer practice that subsistence style and instead work in modern industry (Alesina, Giuliano, & Nunn, 2013). The earlier rice–wheat study tested college students, most of whom have never farmed in their lives. As another example, Nisbett and Cohen (1996) found evidence that areas of the United States settled by people from Scots Irish herding cultures have more lenient attitudes toward honor violence and higher rates of honor violence. That’s despite the fact that these differences were measured in the 1990s, long after most American southerners had stopped herding. Rice Culture: Evoked, Transmitted, or Both? Some evolutionary psychologists have drawn a distinction between evoked culture and transmitted culture (Barkow, Cosmides, & Tooby, 2015). Transmitted culture happens when culture passes between people through social learning. For example, people mimic others around them, or parents teach their children cultural patterns. In contrast, evoked culture happens when the environment triggers inborn evolutionary modules. For example, some researchers have argued that seeing signs of disease triggers a system of built-in responses, such as rejecting outsiders (Schaller & Park, 2011). The argument is that humans all around the world have this built-in system, but the hot environments around the equator tend to have more diseases. Thus, hot environments activate this system more often, and these cultures become more closed to outsiders. In this way, different environments evoke different human evolutionary modules, thus producing cultural differences. Our model of rice culture includes some elements that are common in evoked culture. The physical environment to grow rice (rainfall, soil, and temperature) is a necessary part of rice farming, and environmental variables like these are a common element in many examples evoked culture. Cooperating with others in the face of labor challenges might be a built-in evolutionary module. Rice farming could check these boxes of evoked culture. Yet digging deeper, the picture gets more complicated. Norenzayan (2006) has argued that, “although evoked and transmitted culture are theoretically distinct processes, it is notoriously difficult to disentangle the two” (p. 126). We think the same is true of rice. Although rice farming may check a few boxes of evoked culture, many features of rice farming fit with transmitted culture. For example, rice farmers used advanced techniques like transplanting and technologies like wooden “dragon’s backbone” pumps (Talhelm & Oishi, 2018, Figure 3.3). These could only have been learned through accumulated experience and passed on socially rather than built in by evolution or learned individually. Even the rice plant is a form of technology. By selecting different strains of rice, humans have been able to extend the natural reach of rice into colder northern regions (Vaughan, Lu, & Tomooka, 2008). Over time, rice farming has grown into a complex cultural process, fitting with Richerson and Boyd’s (2005) description of accumulated culture: “The single most important adaptive feature of culture is that it allows the gradual, cumulative assembly of adaptations over many 10 Social Psychological and Personality Science XX(X) generations—adaptations that no single individual could evoke on his or her own” (p. 45). Rice Differences in the Modern World This Ningxia sample is the youngest we have ever tested for rice–wheat differences. The fact that these differences appear among China’s next generation hints that these differences are continuing over time. Only future studies can say how long these deep-rooted cultural patterns will live on as China continues to modernize. Authors’ Note This study reports all measures, conditions, and data exclusions. No “failed” study was attempted and then later withheld from reporting in this line of work. All original materials are reported in the Supplemental Materials. Original data are available at the Open Science Framework, excluding identifying information. Xiawei Dong, Xiaopeng Ren, and Thomas Talhelm designed the research; Xiawei Dong collected the data; Thomas Talhelm and Xiawei Dong analyzed the data; Thomas Talhelm and Xiawei Dong wrote the article; and Xiaopeng Ren sponsored the research. Declaration of Conflicting Interests The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. Funding The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. ORCID iD Thomas Talhelm http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0954-5758 Supplemental Material The supplemental material is available in the online version of the article. Notes 1. Some researchers have argued that gross domestic product is not the best measure of modernization (Inglehart & Norris, 2003). 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Thomas Talhelm is an Assistant Professor of Behavioral Science at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Thomas has lived in China for five years as a Princeton in Asia fellow, a freelance journalist, and a Fulbright scholar. Xiaopeng Ren is an Associate Professor of the Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing. His research focuses on individualism/collectivism within and between cultures and the mechanisms underlying it. Handling Editor: Will Gervais