Outline 1. 1 Modelling discrete and continuous quantities 2. 2 Cumulative distribution functions 3. 3 Independence 4. 4 Families of discrete probability distributions 5. 5 Families of continuous probability distributions 6. 1 The expected value 7. 2 Raw and central moments / the variance 8. 3 Skewness and excess kurtosis 9. 4 Chebyshev’s Inequality 10. 5 Jensen’s Inequality 11. 1 The moment generating function 12. 2 Linear transformations and sums 13. 3 Distribution of the maximum and minimum 14. 1 Cumulants 15. 2 Cumulants of sums 16. 3 The Central Limit Theorem 17. 4 Approximating distributions via the CLT 18. 5 Proof of the CLT 19. 1 Transformations of random variables 20. 2 Simulation using the inverse transform method 21. 1 Discrete random variables 22. 2 Continuous random variables 23. 3 Independence 24. Expectations of functions 25. 1 Conditional probability functions 26. 2 Conditional densities 27. 3 Conditional expectation 28. 4 Conditional variance 29. COVARIANCE AND CORRELATION 30. 1 The tower law of conditional expectations 31. 2 Conditional and unconditional variance 32. 3 Conditioning functions of X and Y 33. 1 Compound random variables 34. 2 Generating functions of compound random variables