2/15/2016 Reliability and Maintenance Management Failure Distributions and Reliability Measures Dr. Hazem Smadi Reliability…. overview • Reliability is the probability that a component or system will perform a required function for a given period of time when used under stated operating conditions. • Notes: - Reliability is a “time” oriented quality characteristic. - Reliability is concerned with the life of a system from success/failure point of view. - Reliability is a probability which is a function of time. - The random variable used to measure reliability is the “time”-tofailure random variable, T. • How to measure reliability? 1 2/15/2016 Reliability Function • Reliability is the probability that a system will function over some time period t. • Let T = “time”-to-failure random variable, reliability at time t is the probability that T is greater than or equal to t: R(t) = P(T ≥ t), t ≥ 0 • Properties: 0 R(t) 1; R(0) = 1; 𝐥𝐢𝐦 𝑹 𝒕 = 𝟎, 𝒕→∞ monotonically non-increasing • Two interpretations: R(t) is the probability that an individual item is functioning at time t. R(t) is the expected fraction of the population that is functioning at time t for a large population of items. • Other names: Survival Function -- Biostatistics Complementary CDF CDF and PDF 2 2/15/2016 R(t), F(t), and f(t) Hazard Function 3 2/15/2016 Hazard Function Hazard Function 4 2/15/2016 Plots of R(t), F(t), f(t), h(t) for Normal Distribution Relationships Among R(t), F(t), f(t), and h(t) 5 2/15/2016 Relationships Among R(t), F(t), f(t), and h(t) Bathtub Curve 6 2/15/2016 Bathtub Curve Bathtub Curve 7 2/15/2016 Summary Statistics of Reliability Expected Life 8 2/15/2016 Median Life and Bα Life Mode and Variance 9 2/15/2016 Conditional Reliability 𝑅 𝑡 𝑇0 = 𝑃 𝑇 > 𝑇0 + 𝑡 𝑇 > 𝑇0 } = 𝑅 (𝑇0 + 𝑡) 𝑅 (𝑇0 ) End of Chapter 2 10