Econometrics, Econ 20 Professor Ethan Lewis Formula Sheet and Tables This formula sheet is for your reference on the exam. This is the only course material you should reference during the exam. 1. Mean and Variance Rules. Suppose π & π are random variables, and π & π & π are constants. Then: Mean: πΈ[ππ+ππ+π] = ππΈ[π]+ππΈ[π]+π Variance: πππ[ππ+ππ+π] = π) πππ[π] + π ) πππ[π] + 2πππΆππ£(π, π) If X & Y are independent = π) πππ[π] + π ) πππ[π] 2. In a bivariate regression Yi = β0 + β1Xi + ui OLS estimates of coefficients are given by: bˆ0 = Y - bˆ1 X bˆ1 = Cov( X i , Yi ) Var( X i ) 3. If the multivariate model Yi = b 0 + b1 X 1i + b 2 X 2i + ... + b K X Ki + ui is estimated by OLS, then the “jth” slope (where 0< j £K) is given by bˆ j = Cov (r ji , Yi ) Var (r ji ) Where rji are the residuals from an OLS regression of X ji on the rest of the X’s in the regression (that is, bˆ is the slope from a bivariate regression of Y on r ). This i j ji is also known as the Frisch-Waugh theorem. (The intercept, as always, is given by bˆ0 = Y - bˆ1 X 1 - bˆ2 X 2 - ... - bˆ K X K .) 4. If the multivariate model Yi = b 0 + b1 X 1i + b 2 X 2i + ... + b K X Ki + ui is estimated by OLS, then the standard error on the “jth” slope (where 0< j £K) is given by: ( ) se bˆ j = s (N - 1) var(x j )(1 - R 2j ) …where s is the root MSE, N is the sample size, and R 2j is the R2 from an OLS regression of xj on the rest of the X’s in the regression. 5. The F-statistic for testing linear restrictions on coefficients is given by: F - stat = Formula Sheet (R (1 - R ) 2 - Rrestricted Q (N - K - 1) 2 unrestricted 2 unrestricted ) Page 1 of 4 Quiz #5 Econometrics, Econ 20 Professor Ethan Lewis …where “Q” is the number restrictions, and “K” is the total #of X’s (that is, in the unrestricted regression). 6. If the true population model is given by Yi = b 0 + b1 X 1i + b 2 X 2i + controls + ui and ~ ~ you estimate Yi = b 0 + b1 X 1i + controls + u~i and X2 and X1 are linearly related by the ~ relationship X 2i = d 0 + d 1 X 1i + controls + ei , then your OLS estimate of b1 will satisfy: ~ˆ b1 = bˆ1 + bˆ2dˆ1 …where coefficients with a “hat” are estimated by OLS. 7. In a test of a single null hypothesis that a given bj = 0, it is always the case that the F-statistic for this test exactly equals the square of the corresponding t-statistic (F-stat = t-stat2). This is also true of the relevant critical values. 8. OLS estimates of π5 = β8 + β9 π5 + u5 where π5 suffers from classical measurement error such that π5 = π5∗ + π5 , where π5∗ is the “true” X and π5 is the reporting error (with π5 uncorrelated with all variables besides π5 ), we have that, ignoring other B9 = ππ½9 , where the attenuation factor π = sources of omitted variables bias, ππππ π½ ∗ [ ∗ ∗ π£ππ(π5 )⁄ π£ππ(π5 ) + π£ππ(π5 )] = π£ππ(π5 )⁄π£ππ(π5 ). 9. In a bivariate regression Yi = β0 + β1Xi + ui estimated using Zi as an instrument for Xi, HIJ(K,L) HIJ(K,L) HIJ(M,L) the slope estimate is given by π½E FG = = P . HIJ(M,L) JNO(L) JNO(L) 10. When the validity conditions for valid instrumental variables (IV) estimates are met, the standard error on the difference between IV and OLS slope estimates is given by ) ) Qπ πSπ½EFG T − π πSπ½EVWX T where π πSπ½EFG T and π πSπ½EVWX T are, respectively, the standard errors on IV and OLS slope estimates. Statistical tables appear on the attached pages. Formula Sheet Page 2 of 4 Quiz #5 Econometrics, Econ 20 Formula Sheet Professor Ethan Lewis Page 3 of 4 Quiz #5 Econometrics, Econ 20 Professor Ethan Lewis Degrees of Freedom Denominator Numerator Large 1 Large 2 Large 3 Large 4 Large 5 Large 6 Large 7 Large 8 Large 9 Large 10 Large 11 Large 12 Large 13 Large 14 Large 15 Large 16 Large 17 Large 18 Large 19 Large 20 Large 30 Large 40 Large 50 Large 60 Large 70 Large 80 Large 90 Large 100 Large 110 Large 120 Large 130 Large 140 Large 150 Large 160 Large 170 Large 180 Large 190 Large 200 … Large 1000 Formula Sheet Page 4 of 4 Significance Level 1% 5% 10% 6.637 3.842 2.706 4.607 2.997 2.303 3.784 2.606 2.084 3.321 2.373 1.945 3.019 2.215 1.848 2.804 2.099 1.775 2.641 2.011 1.717 2.513 1.939 1.671 2.409 1.881 1.632 2.323 1.832 1.599 2.249 1.790 1.571 2.187 1.753 1.546 2.132 1.721 1.525 2.083 1.693 1.505 2.040 1.667 1.488 2.002 1.645 1.472 1.967 1.624 1.458 1.935 1.605 1.445 1.907 1.588 1.432 1.880 1.572 1.421 1.697 1.459 1.342 1.592 1.394 1.295 1.523 1.350 1.263 1.473 1.318 1.240 1.435 1.293 1.222 1.404 1.274 1.207 1.379 1.257 1.195 1.358 1.244 1.185 1.340 1.232 1.176 1.325 1.222 1.169 1.311 1.213 1.162 1.299 1.205 1.156 1.288 1.197 1.151 1.279 1.191 1.146 1.270 1.185 1.141 1.262 1.180 1.137 1.254 1.175 1.134 1.248 1.170 1.130 1.108 1.075 1.058 Quiz #5