PREFACE The BMGF funded project “Stress Tolerant Rice for Africa and South Asia (STRASA)” aims primarily at targetting three major stresses- submergence, drought and salinity in South Asia. In order to tackle the problem of submergence due to flash flooding, a submergence tolerant gene SUB1 has recently been incorporated by IRRI in several popular rice varieties of South and Southeast Asia. These varieties can survive two weeks of complete submergence and still produce a high yield. In India, Swarna-Sub 1, the first variety with SUB1 gene incorporated in the mega rice variety Swarna (MTU 7029), was first released in the year 2009. Subsequently, Sambha Mahsuri-Sub1 was released by the State Variety Release Committee of Uttar Pradesh in 2013. Another variety, IR64-Sub1 has been identified through All India Co-ordinated Rice Improvement Programme (AICRIP) for release, whereas Ciherang-Sub1 has been nominated for AICRIP testing. Realizing the potential of Swarna-Sub1 and other Sub1 varieties in increasing rice production in the submergence- prone rice growing areas of eastern India and Andhra Pradesh, Govt. of India has been supporting their dissemination through National Food Security Mission (NFSM) and Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India (BGREI) programme by distributing seed minikits (5 kg seeds packets) since Kharif 2010. Assam, with a net sown area of approx. 2.4 million ha and a rice area of about 2.5 million ha (both kharif and rabi seasons taken together), has a rice productivity below the national average (1.73 t/ha compared to national 2.12 t/ha in 2009-10), despite having good alluvial soils. This is due to the frequent spells of floods and droughts occurring in the state. An estimated 0.475 million ha area (about 19% of the net sown area) in the state is chronically flood-prone. Another 94,000 ha area is chronically drought-prone. The Page 1 state kharif rice yield during 2009-10 was 1.66 t/ha which had been reduced to 1.29 tonnes/ha during the severe flood year of 2007-08. Even during the last kharif season (2012), several districts were affected by flood. IR 64 is a popular rice variety in several districts of Assam and IR64- Sub1 can help in increasing the rice productivity of these flood-prone areas. In order to ensure that the seeds of Swarna - Sub1, IR64-Sub1 and other Sub1 varieties, through NFSM, BGREI programme and other sources, are distributed only in the targeted environments where its full potential can be harnessed, a study using Satellite Remote Sensing technique was carried out to identify areas where submergence of about two weeks or less duration occurs. Flood area information from Radarsat of different dates for the past four years (2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010) collected from National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC) website were analyzed and villages, revenue circles and districts identified using GIS. The present report covers all the 21 flood-prone districts of Assam (Baksa, Barpeta, Bongaigaon, Cachar, Chirang, Darrang, Dhemaji, Dibrugarh, Golaghat, Goalpara, Hailakandi, Jorhat, Kamrup, Karimganj, Lakhimpur, Marigaon, Nagaon, Nalbari, Sibsagar, Sonitpur and Udalgiri). The report covers 6997 villages spread over 93 revenue circles of these 21 districts, and would be helpful in targeted dissemination of Sub1 rice varieties by the Government of Assam. Feedback on this report will be very much appreciated. U.S.Singh A.N.Singh D.D.Sinha Page 2 C ONTENTS Page No. Preface 1 Contents 2 List of Tables, figures and maps 5 Introduction 9 Flooding and submergence in rice and its impact 11 Characteristics of new submergence-tolerant rice varieties 12 Methodology of site suitability analysis 13 Submergence-prone areas suitable for targeted dissemination 14 Summary list of revenue circles and districts suitable for dissemination of submergence-tolerant rice 18 List of Villages suitable for dissemination of submergence-tolerant rice in different districts Barpeta (incl. Baksa) 21 Bongaigaon (incl. Chirang) 27 Cachar 29 Darrang (incl. Udalgiri) 37 Dhemaji 40 Dibrugarh 49 Page 3 Golaghat 62 Golapara 64 Hailakandi 66 Jorhat 68 Kamrup 76 Karimganj 84 Lakhimpur 91 Marigaon 101 Nagaon 109 Nalbari 120 Sibsagar 122 Sonitpur 132 Revenue circle maps showing location of suitable villages 133 Acknowledgement References Appendix 1 226 Page 4 List of tables, figures and maps Page no. Table 1 Crop area and farm families affected due to flood in Assam (2007-13) 11 Table 2 Summary list of submergence-prone revenue circles and districts List of submergence-prone villages for targetted dissemination of Sub1 rice varieties 18 15 Map 2 Flow chart showing the methodology of site suitability analysis Location of districts for targetted dissemination of Sub 1 rice varieties in Assam Submergence-prone areas suitable for targetted dissemination of Sub1 rice varieties in study districts of Assam Map 3 Site suitability of villages in Baghor revenue circle, Barpeta district 133 Map 4 Site suitability of villages in Bajali revenue circle, Barpeta district 134 Map 5 Site suitability of villages in Barnagar revenue circle, Barpeta district 135 Map 6 136 Map 7 Site suitability of villages in Barpeta revenue circle, Barpeta district Site suitability of villages in Kalgachiya revenue circle, Barpeta district Map 8 Site suitability of villages in Sarupeta revenue circle, Barpeta district 138 Map 9 139 Map 10 Site suitability of villages in Bijni revenue circle, Bongaigaon district Site suitability of villages in Srijangram revenue circle, Bongaigaon district Map 11 Site suitability of villages in Katogora revenue circle, Cachar district 141 Map 12 Site suitability of villages in Lakhipur revenue circle, Cachar district 142 Map 13 Site suitability of villages in Shilachar revenue circle, Cachar district 143 Map 14 Site suitability of villages in Sonai revenue circle, Cachar district 144 Table 3 Figure 1 Map 1 21 10 16 137 Page 5 140 Map 15 Site suitability of villages in Udarband revenue circle, Cachar district 145 Map 16 Site suitability of villages in Dalgaon revenue circle, Darrang district Site suitability of villages in Mangaldoi revenue circle, Darrang district Site suitability of villages in Pathorighat revenue circle, Darrang district 146 149 Map 20 Site suitability of villages in Sipajhar revenue circle, Darrang district Site suitability of villages in Dhakuakhana revenue circle, Dhemaji district Map 21 Site suitability of villages in Dhemaji revenue circle, Dhemaji district 151 Map 22 Site suitability of villages in Jonai revenue circle, Dhemaji district Site suitability of villages in Sissibargaon revenue circle, Dhemaji district 152 Site suitability of villages in Subansiri revenue circle, Dhemaji district Site suitability of villages in Chabua revenue circle, Dibrugarh district Site suitability of villages in Dibrugarh East revenue circle, Dibrugarh district Site suitability of villages in Dibrugarh West revenue circle, Dibrugarh district 154 Site suitability of villages in Moran revenue circle, Dibrugarh district Site suitability of villages in Naharkatiya revenue circle, Dibrugarh district Site suitability of villages in Tengakhat revenue circle, Dibrugarh district Site suitability of villages in Tingkhong revenue circle, Dibrugarh district Site suitability of villages in Bokaghat revenue circle, Golaghat district Site suitability of villages in Dargaon revenue circle, Golaghat district Site suitability of villages in Golaghat revenue circle, Golaghat district Site suitability of villages in Khumtai revenue circle, Golaghat district 158 Site suitability of villages in Matia revenue circle, Golapara district Site suitability of villages in Rangjuli revenue circle, Golapara district Site suitability of villages in Algapur revenue circle, Hailakandi district Site suitability of villages in Hailakandi revenue circle, Hailakandi district 166 Map 17 Map 18 Map 19 Map 23 Map 24 Map 25 Map 26 Map 27 Map 28 Map 29 Map 30 Map 31 Map 32 Map 33 Map 34 Map 35 Map 36 Map 37 Map 38 Map 39 Map 40 147 148 150 153 155 156 157 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 167 168 169 Site suitability of villages in Jorhat East revenue circle, Jorhat district 170 Page 6 Map 41 Site suitability of villages in Jorhat West revenue circle, Jorhat district 171 Map 42 Site suitability of villages in Majuli revenue circle, Jorhat district 172 Map 43 Site suitability of villages in Toek revenue circle, Jorhat district 173 Map 44 Site suitability of villages in Titabor revenue circle, Jorhat district 174 Map 45 175 Map 48 Site suitability of villages in Boko revenue circle, Kamrup district Site suitability of villages in Chamaria revenue circle, Kamrup district Site suitability of villages in Chandrapur revenue circle, Kamrup district Site suitability of villages in Chhayagaon revenue circle, Kamrup district Map 49 Site suitability of villages in Goreswar revenue circle, Kamrup district 179 Map 50 Site suitability of villages in Hajo revenue circle, Kamrup district 180 Map 46 Map 47 176 177 178 Map 53 Site suitability of villages in Kamalpur revenue circle, Kamrup district Site suitability of villages in Nagarbara revenue circle, Kamrup district Site suitability of villages in North Guwhati revenue circle, Kamrup district Map 54 Site suitability of villages in Palasbari revenue circle, Kamrup district 184 Map 55 Site suitability of villages in Rangia revenue circle, Kamrup district 185 Map 56 Site suitability of villages in Sonapur revenue circle, Kamrup district Site suitability of villages in Badarpur revenue circle, Karimganj district Site suitability of Villages in Karimganj revenue circle, Karimganj district Site suitability of Villages in Nilambazar revenue circle, Karimganj district Site suitability of Villages in Pathakandi revenue circle, Karimganj district Site suitability of villages in Ramkrishna Nagar revenue circle, Karimganj district Site suitability of villages in Bihpura revenue circle, Lakhimpur district Site suitability of villages in Dhakuakana revenue circle, Lakhimpur district Site suitability of villages in Kadam revenue circle, Lakhimpur district Site suitability of villages in Naobaicha revenue circle, Lakhimpur district 186 Map 51 Map 52 Map 57 Map 58 Map 59 Map 60 Map 61 Map 62 Map 63 Map 64 Map 65 181 182 183 Page 7 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 Map 73 Site suitability of villages in Narayanpur revenue circle, Lakhimpur district Site suitability of villages in North Lakhimpur revenue circle, Lakhimpur district Site suitability of villages in Subansiri revenue circle, Lakhimpur district Site suitability of villages in Bhuragaon revenue circle, Marigaon district Site suitability of villages in Laharighat revenue circle, Marigaon district Site suitability of villages in Marigaon revenue circle, Marigaon district Site suitability of villages in Mayong revenue circle, Marigaon district Site suitability of villages in Mikirbheta revenue circle, Marigaon district Map 74 Site suitability of villages in Dhing revenue circle, Nagaon district 204 Map 75 Site suitability of villages in Hojai revenue circle, Nagaon district 205 Map 76 Site suitability of villages in Kampur revenue circle, Nagaon district 206 Map 77 Site suitability of villages in Lanka revenue circle, Nagaon district 207 Map 78 Site suitability of villages in Nagaon revenue circle, Nagaon district 208 Map 79 Site suitability of villages in Raha revenue circle, Nagaon district 209 Map 80 Site suitability of villages in Rupahi revenue circle, Nagaon district 210 Map 81 Site suitability of villages in Samaguri revenue circle, Nagaon district 211 Map 82 Site suitability of villages in Barbhag revenue circle, Nalbari district 212 Map 83 Site suitability of villages in Barkhetri revenue circle, Nalbari district 213 Map 84 Site suitability of villages in Amguri revenue circle, Sibsagar district 214 Map 85 215 Map 86 Site suitability of villages in Dimow revenue circle, Sibsagar district Site suitability of villages in Mahmora revenue circle, Sibsagar district Map 87 Site suitability of villages in Nazira revenue circle, Sibsagar district 217 Map 88 Site suitability of villages in Sibsagar revenue circle, Sibsagar district 218 Map 89 Site suitability of villages in Sonari revenue circle, Sibsagar district Site suitability of villages in Bishwanath revenue circle, Bishwanath district Site suitability of villages in Dhekiajuli revenue circle, Bishwanath district Site suitability of villages in Gohpur revenue circle, Bishwanath district Site suitability of villages in Helem revenue circle, Bishwanath 219 Map 66 Map 67 Map 68 Map 69 Map 70 Map 71 Map 72 Map 90 Map 91 Map 92 Map 93 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 Page 8 216 220 221 222 223 Map 94 Map 95 district Site suitability of villages in Na-Daur revenue circle, Bishwanath district Site suitability of villages in Tezpur revenue circle, Murshidabad district 224 225 Site suitability analysis of submergence-prone areas in Assam for dissemination of Sub 1 rice varieties 1. Introduction The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF) –supported project “Stress Tolerant Rice for Africa and South Asia (STRASA)” is being implemented by the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI) in seven eastern India states- Assam, Bihar, Chhatisgarh, Jharkhand, Odisha, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal. Assam, with a geographical area of 7.843 Mha and a population of 31.17 million (2011), is the largest among the seven northeastern states of India. Rice is grown on about 2.55 Mha (average of triennium ending 2011-12), and is the staple food of about 90% population of the state. The rice productivity of the state is below the national average (1.80t/ha compared to national 2.18 t/ha in triennium ending 2010-11), despite having fertile alluvial soils and good rainfall conditions. This is due to the frequent spell of floods and sometimes occurrence of drought in the state. An estimated 0.5 Mha rice area in the state is chronically flood-prone and another 0.1 Mha drought-prone. Rice yield in the flood-prone ecosystem is low and crop failure is common due to abnormal flooding and uneven distribution of rainfall in this ecosystem. In order to tackle the problem of submergence due to flash flooding, a submergence tolerant gene SUB1 has recently been incorporated by IRRI in several popular rice varieties of South and Southeast Asia. These varieties can survive two weeks of complete submergence and still produce a high yield. In India, Swarna-Sub 1, the first variety with Page 9 SUB1 gene incorporated in the mega rice variety Swarna (MTU 7029), was released in the year 2009. Subsequently, Sambha Mahsuri-Sub1 was released by the State Variety Release Committee of Uttar Pradesh in 2013. Another variety, IR64-Sub1 has been identified through All India Co-ordinated Rice Improvement Programme (AICRIP) for release, whereas Ciherang-Sub1 has been nominated for AICRIP testing. Few other popular rice varieties of the country with SUB1 gene are also in the process of release. Swarna and IR-64 are popular rice varieties in several districts of Assam and SwarnaSub1, IR-64 Sub1 and other Sub1 varieties can help in increasing rice productivity of the flood-prone areas of the state. Realizing the potential of Swarna-Sub1 and other Sub1 varieties in increasing rice production in the submergence- prone rice growing areas of eastern India and Andhra Pradesh, Govt. of India has been supporting their dissemination through National Food Security Mission (NFSM) and Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India (BGREI) programmes by distributing seed minikits (5 kg seeds packets), and conducting large scale cluster demonstrations. In order to ensure that the seed distribution and cluster demonstration of Swarna - Sub1 and other Sub1 varieties, through NFSM, BGREI programme and other sources, are taken up only in the targeted environments where its full potential can be harnessed, a study using satellite remote sensing technique was carried out to identify areas where submergence of about two weeks or less duration occurs. Flood area information from Radarsat of different dates for the past four years (2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010) collected from National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC) were analyzed and villages, revenue circles and districts identified using GIS. The present report covers the 21 flood-prone districts of Assam viz., (Baksa, Barpeta, Bongaigaon, Cachar, Chirang, Darrang, Dhemaji, Dibrugarh, Golaghat, Goalpara, Hailakandi, Jorhat, Kamrup, Karimganj, Lakhimpur, Marigaon, Nagaon, Nalbari, Sibsagar, Sonitpur and Udalgiri). (Map 1). Map 1. Location map of Districts for Targetted Dissemination of Sub1 Rice Varieties in Assam Page 10 2. Flooding and submergence in rice and its impact Assam has a long recorded history of floods. The flood in Assam is caused by two major rivers- the mighty Brahmaputra in the north and Barak in the south. Flood in the state causes a huge destruction and loss to the economy, which is largely agrarian. Flood frequency and severity: Flood in Assam has been reported to increase after the 1950 earthquake which created extensive landslides in the adjoining hills and rise in the bed load of river Brahmaputra. Between 1951 to 2000, floods occurred in Assam in 1954, 1962,1966,1972,1974,1977,1978,1984,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994 ,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999 and 2000 (source: www.aasc.gov.in). The number of villages affected by floods between 1982 to 1999 has been reported to exceed 5000 in 1987, 1988, 1991, 1993, 1996, 1997, 1998 and 1999. In the year 1988, about 8700 villages were affected by flood. A large extent of cropland is affected by floods in Assam. The crop area and number of farm families affected in recent years is provided in Table 1. Table 1. Crop area and farm families affected due to flood in Assam (2007-13) Year 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Area affected (Mha) 0.455 0.315 -0.187 0.161 0.530 No. Farm families affected (million) 1.577 0.756 -0.495 0.342 1.238 Remarks Drought year Page 11 Floods in the state are caused by high rainfall occurring in the area and also due to water brought by the rivers from the upper catchments. Flooding and submergence of varying durations occur during the monsoon season. Flood can begin at the onset of monsoon in June to early October every year but the timing, severity and frequency vary from year to year. Moderate to severe flooding occurs every 2 to 3 years, even though mild flooding ( for 2 to 3 days) is common every year (Deka and Gauchan, 2012). Depending on the severity, number of days of submergence and crop stage during the flood, there may be complete or partial loss of yield in rice. 3. Characteristics of new submergence-tolerant rice varieties Following are some of the submergence-tolerant rice varieties with SUB 1 gene, recently released/ under advance stage of testing in India, and their characteristics: Swarna- Sub1 (IR 05F102), a rice variety developed by IRRI and released and notified by the Govt. of India for flash flood-prone areas of eastern India and other states in 2009, can tolerate complete submergence of about 14 to 17 days. This variety has all other characteristics of Swarna (also known as Sona Mahsuri or Nati Mahsuri), except for the submergence tolerance and the lighter husk colour of its grain. Swarna is one of the most popular high yielding (4.5-7t/ha), long duration (155 days maturity) variety of India and is also grown in several areas of Assam. Swarna-Sub1 can be a good replacement in Swarna growing area, where flash flooding is a problem. On an average Swarna-Sub1 offers yield advantage of 1-2 t/ha over Swarna under flooded condition. IR64-Sub1 (IR07F102), a variety in the process of release, is medium duration (125-130 days maturity) with long slender (fine) grain. IR64 is a popular variety in some districts of Assam and hence IR64-Sub1 can be good replacement in flood-prone areas of those districts. The yield is 4-4.5 t/ha. Sambha Mahsuri-Sub1, a variety released for flood-prone areas of Uttar Pradesh and other states in 2013, is a semi-dwarf (82-85cm plant height), medium duration variety (145 days maturity) and has a fine grain quality. This variety has also all the characteristics of Sambha Mahsuri, a popular variety in several states of India and has the Page 12 additional advantage of submergence tolerance of about two weeks. The yield is 5.5- 6 t/ha. Ciherang- Sub1, a variety under advanced stage of testing in India and may be released soon, has submergence tolerance better than Swarna- Sub1 and Sambha-Sub1. The grain quality is fine and the yield is also high. Besides the above rice varieties, CR 1009- Sub1 is also under the process of release. The above Sub1 incorporated varieties can tolerant complete submergence of about two to three weeks as described above. Thereafter, the water should recede. In areas where submergence occurs for longer duration and where water depth of about 25-30 cm or more remains stagnant even after flood recession, regeneration of the plant may not be possible. Hence such areas should be avoided. 4. Methodology of Site suitability analysis for targeted dissemination of submergence-tolerant rice 4.1 Data and maps: The following data and maps were used for site suitability analysis: i) Radarsat based flood maps of different dates from National Remote Sensing Center ( NRSC), Hyderabad. ii) Rice growing areas map from IRRI (Gumma et al., 2011) iii) Village, revenue circle and district boundary maps from Assam Administrative Atlas (Census of India, 2001) 4.2 Methodology: All the available Radarsarsat-2 SAR data based flood maps of the study districts for the years 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 were downloaded from NRSC website and georeferenced. Since for the dissemination of Swarna Sub1 rice, the area selected should have a water inundation period of 15 days or less, maps of four flood years (2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010) were accordingly selected and digitized for analysis. The list of available flood layers and utilized for analysis is given in Appendix 1. In each flood year, map Page 13 showing area with less than 15 days of submergence was prepared based on flood maps of different dates and then integrated for all the four years using GIS. The submergence area map was overlaid onto kharif rice map taken from Gumma et al. (2011) to prepare Swarna-Sub1 potential area map. For the village level information, revenue circles map of all the study districts were collected from the Assam Administrative Atlas of the Department of Census, Government of India (2001). These maps were scanned, geo-referenced and digitized. The Swarna-Sub1 potential area layer and village layer were brought in the same projection and overlaid to find out the villages suitable for growing Swarna-Sub1. The villages having only small inundated area (about 10% or less) were excluded from the final village data base. The detailed methodology flow chart is given in Fig. 1. 5. Submergence-prone areas suitable for targeted dissemination Based on the methodology described in the previous section, a map showing submergence-prone areas suitable for targetted dissemination of Sub1 rice varieties in 21 districts of Assam has been prepared (Map 2). 6. List of villages, revenue circles and districts suitable for dissemination of submergence-tolerant rice Based on the methodology described in Fig. 1, the list of villages suitable in each revenue circle of the 21 submergence-prone districts for the dissemination of submergence tolerant varieties has been prepared. In the 93 revenue circles of 21 districts, where seeds of these varieties can be distributed, 6697 villages have been identified. Table 2 provides the summary list of submergence-prone revenue circles in the districts and Table 3 provides the complete list of villages selected for targetted dissemination. 7. Revenue circle maps showing location of suitable villages Revenue circle-wise maps showing the villages selected for targetted dissemination of submergence tolerant rice varieties are provided in this report (Map 3 to 95). These maps show the location of villages that are suitable for dissemination of submergence-tolerant rice varieties. Page 14 Flood layer 1 Year 1 (2007) Flood layer 2 Year 2 (2008) Flood layer 3 Year 3 (2009) Flood layer 4 Year 4 (2010) Permanent water body / wetland layer Permanent water body / wetland layer Permanent water body / wetland layer Permanent water body / wetland layer Flood duration of 15 days or less Flood duration of 15 days or less Flood duration of 15 days or less Flood duration of 15 days or less Rice area layer (WS) Swarna Sub-1 Potential Area Map District, blocks and revenue circle boundary layer Villages / Revenue Circle / Districts suitable or Swarna-Sub1 Dissemination Page 15 Fig.1 Methodology for Targetted Dissemination of Swarna-Sub1 and other Sub1 rice varieties Rice area layer (WS) Swarna Sub-1 Potential Area Map District, blocks and village boundary layer Villages / Blocks / Districts for Swarna-Sub1 Dissemination Page 16 Acknowledgement Authors acknowledge funding support from Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for the STRASA project under which the study was taken up. We also acknowledge National Remote Sensing Center (NRSC), Hyderabad for making Radarsat-2 based flood inundation maps available on their website. References Census of India (2001). Administrative Atlas, Assam. Directorate of Census Operation, Assam, 361p. Deka, N. and Gauchan, D. (2012) Pattern of adoption of improved rice varieties and farm-level impacts in stress-prone rainfed areas of Assam, India. In Pandey, S, Gauchan D, Malabayabas M, Bool-Emrick M., varieties and farm-level impacts in stress-prone rainfed area in South Asia. Los Banos (Philippines); International Rice Research Institute. 318p. Gumma, M.K., Nelson, A., Thenkabil, P.S. and Singh, A. N. (2011) Mapping rice areas of South Asia using MODIS multitemporal data. J. Appl. Remote Sens.5, 053547 (online on Sept1, 2011) Page 17