LEAN SIX SIGMA IE Elective 2 TOPIC 4: ANALYZE PHASE OUTLINE ▪ Visually Displaying Data (Histogram, Run Chart, Pareto Chart, Scatter Diagram) ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Detailed (Lower Level) Process Mapping of Critical Areas Value-Added Analysis Cause and Effect Analysis (a.k.a. Fishbone, Ishikawa) Affinity Diagram Data Segmentation & Stratification Verification of Root Causes Determining Opportunity (Defects & Financial) for Improvement Analyze Phase Review 2 Analyze Phase Analyze Phase is the statistical analysis of the problem statement. The goal of this phase is to find and validate the root causes of business problems and ensure that improvement is focused on causes, rather than symptoms. 3 1. Visually Displaying Data Histogram, Run Chart, Pareto Chart, Scatter Diagram, etc. Visually Displaying Data Variation Classification collecting data After for analysis, charts and graphs are effective Data Type tools to provide visual clues to process problems. Transforming spreadsheets of numbers into revealing visuals allows the LSS team to easily communicate and interpret findings. Selecting the right charts and graphs provides the LSS team with valuable insights about the causes of process issues. 5 Process Variation & Representation Tools Data Type Variation Classification Discrete Data Continuous Data Variation for a period of time Bar Diagram Pie Chart Pareto Chart Histogram Box Plot Scatter Plot Variation over time Run Chart Control Chart 6 Bar Diagram A bar diagram is a graphical representation of attribute data. It is constructed by placing the attribute values on the horizontal axis of a graph and the counts on the vertical axis. 7 Pie Chart A pie chart is also a graphical representation of attribute data. The “pieces” represent proportions of count categories in the overall situation. Pie charts show the relationship among quantities by dividing the whole pie (100%) into wedges or smaller percentages. 8 Pareto Chart Pareto Chart is a data display tool for numerical data that breaks down discrete observations into separate categories for the purpose of identifying the "vital few". 9 Histogram A histogram is a graphical representation of numerical data. It is constructed by placing the class intervals on the horizontal axis of a graph and the frequencies on the vertical axis. 10 Box Plot A box plot summarizes information about the shape, dispersion, center of process data and also helps spot outliers in the data. The box plot can be interpreted as follows: Box – represents the middle 50% values of the process data. Median – represents the point for which 50% of the data points are above and 50% are below the line. Q1 – represents the point for which 25% of the data points are above and 75% are below the line Q3 – represents the point for which 75% of the data are above and 25% are below in the line Aestrix – represents an outlier and is a point which is more than 1.5 times the inter-quartile range (Q3-Q1) in the data. Lines – These vertical lines represent a whisker which joins Q1 or Q3 with the farthest data-point but other than an outlier. 11 Box Plot Example A call center process where Average Handle Time (AHT) of the calls is compared between Team Leads of the process The variation is highest for TL1 and for the rest it is much smaller. This indicates that the associates working under TL1 need training or some other help which will reduce the variation and bring the overall AHT under control. 12 Scatter Plot A scatter plot is often employed to identify potential associations between two variables, where one may be considered to be an explanatory variable (such as years of education) and another may be considered a response variable (such as annual income). Scatter plots are similar to line graphs in that they use horizontal and vertical axes to plot, large body of, data points. 13 Scatter Plot Scatter plots have a very specific purpose. ▪ They show how much one variable is affected by another variable and this relationship is called as their correlation. ▪ The closer the data points come when plotted to making a straight line, higher is the correlation between variables. ▪ If the data points make a straight line going from the origin out to high x- and y-values, then the variables are said to have a positive correlation. ▪ If the line goes from a high-value on y-axis down to a high-value on xaxis, the variables have negative correlation. 14 Run Chart A run chart is a line graph of data plotted over time. By collecting and charting data over time, trends or patterns in the process can be identified. Because they do not use control limits, run charts cannot tell you if a process is stable. 15 Control Chart Control chart is a graph used to study how a process changes over time. Data are plotted in time order. It always has a central line for the average, an upper line for the upper control limit, and a lower line for the lower control limit. By comparing current data to these lines, you can draw conclusions about whether the process variation is consistent (in control) or is unpredictable (out of control, affected by special causes of variation). 16 2. Detailed (Lower Level) Process Mapping of Critical Areas Detailed (Lower Level) Process Mapping of Critical Areas Variation Upon the identification of critical Classification Data Type areas in a process, it is important to map the process in detail compared to the process mapping done in the Measure Phase. In this way, the critical areas of the process are seen at the micro level. 18 3. Value-Added Analysis Value-Added Analysis Variation Classification Value-Added Analysis is a technique for improving a process Data Type by enhancing attributes that are important to a customer. It adds another dimension of discovery by looking at the process through the eyes of the customer to uncover nonvalue-adding steps and the cost of doing business. 20 Value Stream Mapping Variation A Value Stream Map (VSM) visually displays the flow of steps, delays and Classification information required to deliver a product or service to the customer. Data Type It allows analysis of the Current State Map in terms of identifying barriers to flow and waste, calculating Total Lead Time and Process Time and understanding Work-In-Process, Changeover Time, and Percent Complete & Accurate for each step. It combines process data with a map of the value-adding steps to help determine where waste can be removed. 21 Value Stream Map Data Type Variation Classification 22 VSM Example Data Type Variation Classification 23 4. Cause and Effect Analysis (Fishbone/Ishikawa Diagram, Why Analysis, etc.) Cause and Effect Diagram Cause and Variation Effect Diagram is also known as the Fishbone/Ishikawa Classification Diagram. Data Type This is a visual tool used to brainstorm the probable causes for a particular effect to occur. The causes for this effect or problem is generated through team brainstorming and are captured along the bones of the fish. The causes generated in the brainstorming exercises by the team will depend on how closely the team is related to the problem. 25 Cause and Effect Diagram Typically the causes are captured under predetermined categories such as 6M’s or 5M’s and a P asVariation given below: Classification Data Type Machine/Equipment: Tools used to execute the process Material: Information and forms needed to execute the process Nature/Environment: Work environment, market conditions, and regulatory issues Measure: Process measurement Method/Process: Procedures, hand-offs, input-output issues People/Management: People and organizations 26 Cause and Effect Diagram Example Capturing the root causes of High Turn Around Time (TAT) Data Type Variation Classification 27 Why Analysis Variation Classification analysis is an iterative Why Data Type activity. process or a simple question asking The purpose behind why analysis is to get the right people in the room discussing all of the possible root causes of a given defect in a process. Many times teams will stop once a reason for a defect has been identified. 28 Why Analysis Example ▪ Why does the Home finance loan application process take more than 10 working days to arrive at the decision of “Credit Worthy”? Because many application received especially by Post have fields that are either not clear or left blank. ▪ Variation Why do we have applications that have blank fields? Classification Because Data Type the customer did not fill out the details. ▪ Why did the customer not fill the details? Because they were not clear. ▪ Why were they not clear? Because the direction was not clear. ▪ Why were the direction not clear? Because many of the customers never read them. ▪ Why did they not read them? Because the print was too small. 29 5. Affinity Diagram Affinity Diagram Variation An Affinity Diagram is an analytical tool used to organize many ideas into Classification subgroups Data Typewith common themes or common relationships. The method is reported to have been developed by Jiro Kawakita and so is sometimes referred to as the K-J method. By organizing the ideas into “affinity groups,” it is much easier to visualize the commonality and plan for and address the challenges to the Six Sigma approach. 31 Affinity Diagram Example 1 Several members of a small company have just returned from a workshop on the methods of Six Sigma. On the trip back from the seminar, the group engaged in a vigorous discussion of the challenges they would confront if they attempted toVariation implement the Six Sigma approach. One person quickly jotted down the listClassification of challenges they generated. The list of brainstormed Data Type challenges is given below. 32 Affinity Diagram Example 1 An affinity diagram organizes the previous list based upon common themes or relationships. For example, an affinity diagram for this example might look as follows. Data Type Variation Classification 33 Affinity Diagram Example 2 Step 1: First, write down the problem. Then quietly put ideas, data, etc. on cards, pieces of paper, or Post-it notes. The operative word is quietly. This is not like a typical brainstorming session where people are very vocal about their ideas. We want this to be a quiet exercise so that no one person(s) biases the other team member’s ideas. Data Type Variation Classification 34 Affinity Diagram Example 2 Step 2: Quietly put into homogeneous groupings. Data Type Variation Classification 35 Affinity Diagram Example 2 Step 3: Affinity Heading Develop affinity heading cards. For example, there is a homogeneous grouping for human resources related items. There is another grouping for the training department. Another grouping deals with general processing. One grouping has to do with billing. And, the last Variation grouping addresses employee empowerment. The heading cards will be placed on top of Classification each of the homogeneous groupings. Data Type 36 Affinity Diagram Example 2 Step 4: Put the groupings into the order of the process. Variation For instance, Classification when employees get hired, they first start off with human resources. Data TypeThe human resources department deals with employee empowerment. And you have the process itself – that goes in the middle. Billing usually comes late in the game. And finally, training is something that involves all employees on an ongoing basis so the team chose to put it in last position. 37 5. Data Segmentation & Stratification Data Segmentation Data segmentation is a process used to divide a large group into Variation Classification smaller, logical categories for analysis. Some commonly Data Type segmented entities are customers, data sets, or markets. For example, you may collect the cause of defects of a process and place the data into a pareto chart. The pareto chart then displays the segmentation: type A defects are 50%, type B defects are 30% and type C defects are 10%. These are possible ways to segment the data. 39 Data Stratification Variation Data stratification is a technique used to analyze/divide a universe Classification Type ofData data into homogeneous groups (strata) often data collected about a problem or event represents multiple sources that need to treated separately. It involves looking at process data, splitting it into distinct layers (almost like rock is stratified) and doing analysis to possibly see a different process. 40 Data Stratification For instance,Variation you may process loans at your company. Once you stratify by loan size (e.g. less Classification than 10 million, greater than 10 million), you may see that the Data Type central tendency metrics are completely different which would indicate that you have two entirely different processes. Maybe only one of the processes is broken. Stratification is related to, but different from, Segmentation. A stratifying factor, also referred to as stratification or a stratifier, is a factor that can be used to separate data into subgroups. This is done to investigate whether that factor is a significant special cause factor. 41 6. Verification of Root Causes ? How do we verify root causes? 43 Hypothesis Testing HypothesisVariation testing tells us whether there exists statistically Classification between the data sets for us to consider significant difference Data Type that they represent different distributions. For continuous data, hypothesis testing can detect difference in average and difference in variance. For discrete data, hypothesis testing can detect difference in proportion defective. 44 Hypothesis Testing Steps in Hypothesis Testing: Step 1: Determine appropriate Hypothesis test Variation Step 2: State Classification the Null Hypothesis Ho and Alternate Hypothesis Ha Data3:Type Step Calculate Test Statistics / P-value against table value of test statistic Step 4: Interpret results – Accept or reject Ho Mechanism: Ho = Null Hypothesis – There is No statistically significant difference between the two groups Ha = Alternate Hypothesis – There is statistically significant difference between the two groups 45 Types of Hypothesis Testing Data Type Variation Classification 46 Types of Hypothesis Testing Examples Normal Continuous Y and Discrete X Data Type Variation Classification Non-normal Continuous Y and Discrete X 47 Types of Hypothesis Testing Examples Variation Continuous Y and Continuous X Data Type Classification Discrete Y and Discrete X 48 7. Determining Opportunity (Defects & Financial) for Improvement Determining Opportunity of Improvement Variation Classification Data root Typecauses are validated, the team at this point must be able After to determine and pinpoint critical area of focus and take into account the opportunities for defect reduction and potential savings/cost avoidance. The LSS team must not proceed to the Improve phase empty handed. 50 8. Analyze Phase Review Analyze Phase Overview: https://bit.ly/2SC0vSF https://bit.ly/3jJtujd Videos Value Stream Mapping: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkk0hkunfcE 52 References Six Sigma Study Guide Six Sigma Daily https://goleansixsigma.com/ https://www.isixsigma.com/ https://www.sixsigma-institute.org/ 53