CLINICAL THERAPEUTICSWOL. 20, NO. 4, 1998 Predictors of Medication Adherence in the Elderly Rajesh Balkrishnan, MS Pharm Divisions of Evaluative North Carolina Policy and University of and Pharmaceutical Carolina at Hill, Chapel ABSTRACT As average life expectancy increases, so do the incidence of chronic diseases and the number of persons receiving longterm drug therapy. Thus elderly patients’ noncompliance with medication regimens has the potential for sweeping medical and economic consequences and is likely to become increasingly important in the design of disease-management programs for this population. The author conducted a MEDLINE@ search of the English-language literature for the years 1962 to 1997 to identify articles conceming predictors of medication compliance in the elderly. A descriptive analysis of this literature indicated that there remains some uncertainty about the reasons for noncompliant medication-taking in the elderly. Clear associations have been established between elderly patients’ medication adherence and race, drug and dosage form, number of medications, cost of medications, insurance coverage, and physi- 764 and cian-patient communication. However, the findings are inconsistent with regard to the effects of patients’ age, sex, socioeconomic status, living arrangement, comorbidities, number of physician visits, and knowledge, attitudes, and beliefs about health. Until the results of further comprehensive studies are available, the current knowledge should be considered when designing and implementing disease-management programs for the elderly. Key words: medication adherence, elderly, predictors, patient compliance. INTRODUCTION Medication adherence can be defined as the extent to which a person’s medicationtaking behavior coincides with medical advice. 1 Complete medication adherence occurs when the patient follows the physician’s instructions completely. Possible signs of nonadherence include failure to fill prescriptions, loss to follow-up, and the absence of serum drug concentrations 0149.2918/98/$19.00 R. BALKRISHNAN on laboratory testing. Partially compliant patients take incorrect doses of their drugs regularly or correct doses more or less often than prescribed.2 Studies have reported medication adherence rates in the elderly that range from 26% to 59%.3” Medication adherence is likely to be increasingly important in the management of disease in this population. As average life expectancy increases, so will the incidence of chronic diseases and the number of patients receiving long-term drug therapy. The medical and economic consequences of elderly patients’ nonadherence to drug therapy may include lack of drug efficacy, treatment failure, disease progression, emergence of resistant bacteria, medication overdose, otherwise avoidable hospitalizations, and unnecessary medical expenses.7 Some of the economic consequences of medication nonadherence in the elderly are suggested by the results of a study by Co1 et aL3 who interviewed patients and their families in 315 consecutive admissions of elderly patients to an acute care hospital in 1987 and found that approximately 11% of the admissions were related to medication noncompliance. The investigators estimated that 28% of all admissions in this population were drug related and 40% were the result of medication nonadherence. The mean cost per admission associated with medication nonadherence in this study was $2150. In a meta-analysis by Sullivan et al8 that included several studies of elderly patients, 5.3% of hospital admissions in 1986 were related to medication nonadherence, at a cost of $8.5 billion in direct hospital costs. The elderly tend to have more chronic conditions than others and thus receive prescriptions for a greater number of med- ications. Many of the changes of aging are known to adversely affect medication adherence. Studies have shown that elderly patients may have more difficulty following medical advice; are less likely to ask for clarification of the physician’s instructions; tend to be less active in selfcare; and are more susceptible to the physical, social, and psychological consequences of nonadherence.3,9,10 Disease, or care, management programs are comprehensive care packages offered to managed care organizations by pharmaceutical companies and include a combination of drugs, medical devices, diagnostic aids, patient education programs, and outcomes research. Patient education programs encourage medication adherence to improve patient outcomes and reduce unnecessary costs resulting from the adverse clinical consequences of noncompliance, particularly noncompliance with drug regimens for chronic conditions. To be effective, disease-management interventions in the elderly must take factors affecting medication adherence into account, including known factors that may influence and predict medication-taking behavior. This understanding could then become the cornerstone of an effective patient education program. The purpose of this paper is to identify and examine factors that have the potential to enable or disable medication adherence in elderly patients. LITERATURE REVIEW To identify studies that examined predictors of medication adherence in the elderly, the author conducted a MEDLINE@ search of the English-language literature from 1962 to 1997. Both “and” and “or” searches were performed using the fol- 765 CLINICAL THERAPEUTICS’ lowing key words: patient compliance, aged, cooperative behavior, patient acceptance of health care, drug prescription, and drug utilization. Searching by alternative terms such as “medication adherence” led back to “patient compliance.” The reference lists of the articles identified were used to find additional articles, and the key words of all articles were used to perform further MEDLlNE searches. All studies that described predictors of medication adherence and nonadherence in the elderly were reviewed for three types of information: (1) the factors affecting medication adherence; (2) clinical features associated with variations in medication adherence; and (3) methods used to quantify the effect of each predictor of adherence. Meta-analytic methods were not used to aggregate study findings because of the diversity of the study designs, measures of clinical end points, and medical conditions studied. Fourteen studies were identified and are included in the present review.3”*g-18 FACTORS PREDICTING MEDICATION ADHERENCE The published literature investigates the relationship between elderly patients’ nonadherence with drug therapy and various demographic, medical, behavioral, economic, social, and medication- or medical practice-related variables. Some of the demographic variables studied include age, race, sex, income level, occupation, education level, social class, and marital status. Medical variables that have been studied include severity and duration of illness, number of comorbid conditions, frequency of use of medical services, and patient satisfaction with health-care provider and quality of care. Medication- related variables examined include type of medication, drug-delivery system, therapeutic regimen, and adverse effects. Economic variables include type of insurance coverage and costs of drugs and medical care. Behavioral variables include physician-patient interaction, patients’ knowledge about their medical condition, selfreported compliance, and attitudes and beliefs about health. The present review examines selected variables separately, although in most cases it is the interaction of several factors that allows prediction of elderly patients’ medication-adherence behavior. Demographic Variables Age was not an important predictor of medication adherence in most of the published studies. However, in a prospective study of 220 randomly selected hospitalized, chronically ill elderly patients, Schwarz et al6 reported that 68% of 53 patients aged 275 years made medication errors, compared with 57% of 123 patients aged ~75 years. More recently, Coons et al” found no relationship between age and medication adherence in 1028 older adults who were interviewed about their medication-adherence behavior. Sharkness and Snow’* reported similar results in a study of 125 hypertensive veterans. However, a recent study by Monane et all3 employing data from 4068 New Jersey Medicaid enrollees demonstrated that advanced age (285 years) was associated with good compliance (280%) (odds ratio [OR] = 2.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.72-2.60). Race has been shown to be significantly associated with medication adherence in the elderly. In the retrospective cohort study by Monane et al, I3 white race was signifi- R. BAJ_MUSHNAN cantly associated with better medication adherence (OR = 0.55 for blacks; 95% CI, 0.44-0.68). In their study of veterans’ views on hypertension and compliance, Sharkness and Snow’* also found white race to be significantly associated with better medication adherence (P = 0.10). Schwarz et a1,6 studying a randomly selected population of chronically ill elderly patients, found that virtually identical numbers of males and females made medication-taking errors. Similarly, no relationship between medication adherence and sex was found by Coons et al” in a population of elderly adults taking various prescription medications or by Monane et alI3 in a cohort of elderly outpatients taking antihypertensive medication. Only Co1 et al3 in their study of 315 elderly inpatients, reported a significant association between sex and medication adherence, finding that elderly females were 3.3 times more likely than elderly males to be hospitalized for complications resulting from medication nonadherence (P = 0.04). As to other demographic variables, Coons et al” reported that nonadherence in older adults was significantly associated with higher socioeconomic status (P < 0.01). Co1 et al3 found that compared with persons aged >65 years who were eligible for Medicaid, the risk of hospitalization as a result of nonadherence was lower (OR = 0.002) among those having a high income level ($15,000-$20,000) and was greatly increased (OR = 8.3) among those at a middle income level ($lO,OOO-$15,000) (P = 0.02). These investigators also reported that nonadherence rates were significantly higher in elderly persons living alone, although Coons et al” did not find living alone to be a predictor of medication nonadherence. Medical Variables Coons et al” found no association between elderly patients’ self-reported physical health and medication adherence. However, they did find a highly significant inverse relationship between psychological stress and medication adherence (P < 0.01). Sharkness and Snow’* reported that elderly patients having more than one chronic illness requiring the use of multiple drugs were more likely to believe themselves in need of treatment and therefore were more likely to be adherent to their medication regimens than those requiring therapy with only one drug. Similar findings were reported by Monane et all4 in their study of 7247 outpatients aged 65 to 99 years who were receiving Medicaid. However, in another study,15 the same group found that patients taking multiple agents for the same condition were as likely to be compliant as those taking single agents but that patients who were prescribed multiple medications for separate conditions showed significantly poorer compliance (OR = 0.8 for >8 prescriptions; 95% CI, 0.7-0.9). These findings were not supported by the results of German et al5 and Coons et al,” who found no relationship between number of comorbidities and medication adherence. Medication-Related Variables Monane et all5 taking thiazide users as their reference group in a cohort of elderly hypertensive patients, found a significantly greater likelihood of medication adherence among users of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (OR = 1.9; 95% CI, 1.6-2.1) calcium channel blockers (OR = 1.7; 95% CI, 767 CLINICAL THERAPEUTICS” 1S-2. l), and beta-adrenergic blockers (OR = 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.7). Sclar et all6 have shown that using a sustained-release formulation of antihypertensive therapy in Medicaid recipients would improve adherence to therapy and result in significant cost savings. Similarly, other studies17-19 have shown that use of sustainedrelease formulations results in significant decreases in health-care service utilization and costs (P < 0.05). Co1 et al3 found that the greater the number of medications prescribed for elderly patients, the greater the medication nonadherence (P = 0.02). Similar results were obtained by Coons et al,” who showed that nonadherence among the elderly was significantly associated with greater numbers of prescribed medications (P = 0.008). However, Sharkness and Snow12 found that patients who took more than one hypertensive medication were less likely to depart from the prescribed regimen than were those taking only one drug (P = 0.02). They also reported that patients who were taking other medications for comorbid conditions were more compliant with their antihypertensive therapy. Sclar et all9 reported that patients who are initially prescribed an antihypertensive medication requiring once-daily or weekly dosing rather than multiple daily doses have infrequent changes in their therapeutic regimens and far lower use of concomitant therapy for blood pressure control (6% of patients taking once-daily therapy, compared with 11% to 16% of patients taking multiple daily doses; P < 0.05). Skaer et a120~21 have shown that the use of pharmacy-based value-added utilities such as prescription-refill reminders and unit-of-use packaging significantly improves adherence. 768 Economic Variables Soumerai et a122demonstrated that limiting reimbursement for effective drugs puts low-income elderly patients at increased risk of institutionalization in nursing homes. Co1 et al3 found that higher monthly medication costs were generally associated with higher rates of nonadherence in the elderly. These investigators found that elderly patients who thought that their medications were expensive had a much higher rate of nonadherence (37.9%) than did those who did not think their medications were expensive or did not express an opinion (19.6%) (P = 0.03). Co1 et al3 also reported that 52% of elderly patients who did not have prescription drug coverage were likely to depart from a prescribed regimen, compared with 3 1% of those who had such coverage (P = 0.04). Soumerai et a12*reported that limiting reimbursement to three drugs in elderly Medicaid recipients was associated with an increased risk of admission to nursing homes (relative risk [RR] = 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-4.1) and hospitalization (RR = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-1.6). This effect was absent when the cap was discontinued. Physician-Patient Interaction Co1 et al3 found that the greater the number of physicians patients saw regularly, the greater the number of hospital admissions associated with medication nonadherence (P = 0.07). Monane et ali5 reported that medication adherence was significantly better in patients who had more physician visits (OR = 2.2 for eight or more recent visits; 95% CI, 1.8-2.5). In a study involving 46 practicing physicians and 357 patients with diabetes mellitus or congestive heart failure, Hulka R. BALKRISHNAN et a123 found that neither patient characteristics nor severity of disease had an influence on the occurrence of medication errors. In the patients with congestive heart failure, good communication of instructions and information by the physician was associated with low levels of all types of medication error (P < 0.05). Patients’ Health-Related and Beliefs Knowledge Patients’ knowledge and beliefs about health have been shown to affect their medication-taking behavior. Sharkness and Snow12 reported that male veterans who knew they would require lifelong treatment for hypertension were 1.3 times less likely to depart from the prescribed regimen than were those who did not know this (P = 0.04). Since publication of the study by Becker and Maiman in 1975,24 the Health Belief Model has frequently been used to explain medication adherence behavior. According to this model, there are certain sociobiological determinants of patient compliance, including health beliefs, health-related motivations, perceptions of the psychological and other costs of the recommended action, and aspects of the physician-patient relationship. The model is used to account for compliance in general, although it is not specific for medication adherence. According to Cramer,2 “no convincing model for predicting medication adherence has been developed. The poor and inconsistent correlation between compliance and health beliefs suggests that the research focus should be shifted from the prediction of compliance problems to their identification and the development of ways to improve compliance.” DISCUSSION Although many studies have been published since, one still has to agree with Becker and Maiman that “patient compliance has become the best documented, but least understood, health behavior.“24 The present review of the published literature confirms that there is an association between medication adherence and race, drug and dosage form selected, number of medications, cost of medications, insurance coverage, and physician-patient communication. However, the findings on the effects of age, sex, socioeconomic status, living arrangement, comorbidity, contact with physician, and health knowledge and beliefs are inconsistent. Although it has not been proved empirically, medication adherence seems essential to the success of any disease-management program. Thus the design and development of any disease-management program for the elderly must take into account the factors that clearly affect medication adherence. Some of these factors, such as the choice of drug or dosage form and physician-patient communication, are more amenable to control through patient education than are ones such as insurance coverage and cost of medication. In particular, the elderly nonwhite population should be targeted by patient-education programs to improve medication adherence. CONCLUSIONS Our understanding of medication adherence in the elderly is still incomplete. As this review demonstrates, no single factor predicts medication adherence in the elderly, and multiple predictors and their interactions need to be examined more carefully. The role of several potential 769 CLINICAL THERAPEUTICS’ predictors of adherence behavior remains unexplained or unclear. There is a need for more research in this area to help design disease-management programs that specifically aim educational interventions at the elderly patients who are most likely to be noncompliant. Improved adherence should, in turn, lead to improved health outcomes. Address correspondence to: Rajesh Balkrishnan, MS Pharm, Division of Pharmaceutical Policy and Evaluative Sciences, of School North CB#7360, of Pharmacy, Carolina Beard Hall, at University Chapel Chapel Hill, Hill, NC 27599-7360. REFERENCES 6. Schwarz D, Wang M, Z&z L, et al. Medication errors made by elderly, chronically ill patients. Am J Public Health. 1962; 52:2018-2029. 7. Greenberg RN. Overview of patient compliance with medication dosing: A literature review. Clin Thel: 1984;6:592-599. 8. Sullivan SD, Kreling DH, Hazlet TK. 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