Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM Current Score QUESTION 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 POINTS –/10 –/9 –/6 –/2 –/2 –/8 –/4 –/4 –/4 –/1 –/1 –/2 TOTAL SCORE –/53 0.0% Due Date SAT, NOV 12, 2022 12:00 PM EST Request Extension Assignment Submission & Scoring Assignment Submission For this assignment, you submit answers by question parts. The number of submissions remaining for each question part only changes if you submit or change the answer. Assignment Scoring Your last submission is used for your score. https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 2 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 1. [–/10 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.1.001. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER Consider the accompanying data on flexural strength (MPa) for concrete beams of a certain type. 9.7 5.8 6.8 6.5 9.0 11.6 7.8 9.7 7.4 7.8 7.7 7.4 7.7 8.7 8.9 11.3 6.8 6.3 6.3 8.1 7.0 7.3 7.9 7.2 7.0 10.7 11.8 (a) Calculate a point estimate of the mean value of strength for the conceptual population of all beams manufactured in this fashion. [Hint: Σx i = 220.2.] (Round your answer to three decimal places.) MPa State which estimator you used. s ̂p s/x x (b) Calculate a point estimate of the strength value that separates the weakest 50% of all such beams from the strongest 50%. MPa State which estimator you used. x s/x s https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 3 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM ̂p (c) Calculate a point estimate of the population standard deviation 𝜎. [Hint: Σx i 2 = 1868.74.] (Round your answer to three decimal places.) MPa Interpret this point estimate. This estimate describes the center of the data. This estimate describes the linearity of the data. This estimate describes the bias of the data. This estimate describes the spread of the data. Which estimator did you use? s/x ̂p s x (d) Calculate a point estimate of the proportion of all such beams whose flexural strength exceeds 10 MPa. [Hint: Think of an observation as a "success" if it exceeds 10.] (Round your answer to three decimal places.) (e) Calculate a point estimate of the population coefficient of variation 𝜎/𝜇. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) State which estimator you used. s ̂p https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 4 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM x s/x 2. [–/9 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER Consider the accompanying data on flexural strength (MPa) for concrete beams of a certain type. 5.6 7.2 7.3 6.3 8.1 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.8 6.5 7.0 6.3 7.9 9.0 9.0 8.7 7.8 9.7 7.4 7.7 9.7 8.0 7.7 11.6 11.3 11.8 10.7 The data below give accompanying strength observations for cylinders. 6.6 5.8 7.8 7.1 7.2 9.2 6.6 8.3 7.0 8.4 7.7 8.1 7.4 8.5 8.9 9.8 9.7 14.1 12.6 11.5 . , Y n. Suppose that the X i's constitute a random sample from a distribution with mean 𝜇 1 and standard Prior to obtaining data, denote the beam strengths by X 1, . . . , X m and the cylinder strengths by Y 1, . . deviation 𝜎 1 and that the Y i's form a random sample (independent of the X i's) from another distribution with mean 𝜇 2 and standard deviation 𝜎 2. (a) Use rules of expected value to show that X − Y is an unbiased estimator of 𝜇 1 − 𝜇 2. E(X − Y) = E(X) − E(Y) = 𝜇 1 − 𝜇 2 E(X − Y) = E(X) − E(Y) nm E(X − Y) = E(X) − E(Y) E(X − Y) = = 𝜇1 − 𝜇2 2 = 𝜇1 − 𝜇2 E(X) − E(Y) = 𝜇 − 𝜇 1 2 E(X − Y) = nm E(X) − E(Y) = 𝜇 1 − 𝜇 2 Calculate the estimate for the given data. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 5 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM MPa (b) Use rules of variance to obtain an expression for the variance and standard deviation (standard error) of the estimator in part (a). = 𝜎X2 + 𝜎Y2 V(X − Y) = V(X) + V(Y) 𝜎22 + = n1 𝜎X − Y = V(X − Y) 𝜎22 = + n1 Compute the estimated standard error. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) MPa (c) Calculate a point estimate of the ratio 𝜎 1/𝜎 2 of the two standard deviations. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) (d) Suppose a single beam and a single cylinder are randomly selected. Calculate a point estimate of the variance of the difference X − Y between beam strength and cylinder strength. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) MPa 2 3. [–/6 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS DEVORESTAT9 6.1.007. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 6 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM (a) A random sample of 10 houses in a particular area, each of which is heated with natural gas, is house. The resulting observations are 138, 148, 103, 122, 109, 125, 99, 147, 118, 84. Let 𝜇 denote the selected and the amount of gas (therms) used during the month of January is determined for each average gas usage during January by all houses in this area. Compute a point estimate of 𝜇. therms (b) Suppose there are 14,000 houses in this area that use natural gas for heating. Let 𝜏 denote the total amount of gas used by all of these houses during January. Estimate 𝜏 using the data of part (a). therms What estimator did you use in computing your estimate? nx s ̂p s/x (c) Use the data in part (a) to estimate p, the proportion of all houses that used at least 100 therms. (d) Give a point estimate of the population median usage (the middle value in the population of all houses) based on the sample of part (a). therms What estimator did you use? x s s/x ̂p https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 7 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 4. [–/2 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.1.008. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER In a random sample of 160 components of a certain type, 56 are found to be defective. (a) Give a point estimate of the proportion of all such components that are not defective. (b) A system is to be constructed by randomly selecting two of these components and connecting them in series, as shown here. The series connection implies that the system will function if and only if neither component is defective (i.e., both components work properly). Estimate the proportion of all such systems that work properly. [Hint: If p denotes the probability that a component works properly, how can P(system works) be expressed in terms of p?] (Enter your answer to four decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 8 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 5. [–/2 Points] DETAILS MY NOTES 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.1.009. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER Each of 145 newly manufactured items is examined and the number of scratches per item is recorded (the items are supposed to be free of scratches), yielding the following data: Number of scratches per item 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 15 33 40 29 14 6 4 4 Observed frequency distribution with parameter 𝜇. Let X = the number of scratches on a randomly chosen item, and assume that X has a Poisson (a) Find an unbiased estimator of 𝜇 and compute the estimate for the data. [Hint: E(X) = 𝜇 for X Poisson, so E(X) = ?] (Round your answer to two decimal places.) standard error. [Hint: 𝜎 X 2 = 𝜇 for X Poisson.] (Round your answer to three decimal places.) (b) What is the standard deviation (standard error) of your estimator? Compute the estimated 6. [–/8 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS DEVORESTAT9 6.1.011. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER Of n 1 randomly selected male smokers, X 1 smoked filter cigarettes, whereas of n 2 randomly selected female smokers, X 2 smoked filter cigarettes. Let p 1 and p 2 denote the probabilities that a randomly selected male and female, respectively, smoke filter cigarettes. (a) Show that https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 9 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM (X 1/n 1) − (X 2/n 2) is an unbiased estimator for p 1 − p 2. [Hint: E(X i) = n ip i for i = 1, 2.] 1 n1 E X1 n1 − X2 n2 = E − 1 n2 E 1 n1 = − 1 n2 = p1 − p2 (b) What is the standard error of the estimator in part (a)? (c) How would you use the observed values x 1 and x 2 to estimate the standard error of your estimator? https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 10 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 11/9/22, 9:41 PM You would put them directly into the formula to obtain the estimate of the standard error. You would use them to estimate the necessary quantities and then put these into the formula. There is not enough information. You can not use the observed values to estimate the standard error of your estimator. (d) If n 1 = n 2 = 210, x 1 = 138, and x 2 = 165, use the estimator of part (a) to obtain an estimate of p 1 − p 2. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) (e) Use the result of part (c) and the data of part (d) to estimate the standard error of the estimator. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 11 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 7. [–/4 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.2.020. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER A diagnostic test for a certain disease is applied to n individuals known to not have the disease. Let X = the number among the n test results that are positive (indicating presence of the disease, so X is the number of false positives) and p = the probability that a disease-free individual's test result is positive (i.e., p is the true proportion of test results from disease-free individuals that are positive). Assume that only X is available rather than the actual sequence of test results. (a) Derive the maximum likelihood estimator of p. ̂p = If n = 20 and x = 7, what is the estimate? ̂p = (b) Is the estimator of part (a) unbiased? Yes No (c) If n = 20 and x = 7, what is the mle of the probability (1 − p) 5 that none of the next five tests done on disease-free individuals are positive? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 12 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 8. [–/4 Points] DETAILS MY NOTES 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.2.022.MI. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER Let X denote the proportion of allotted time that a randomly selected student spends working on a certain aptitude test. Suppose the pdf of X is f(x; 𝜃) = (𝜃 + 1)x 𝜃 0 0≤x≤1 otherwise where −1 < 𝜃. A random sample of ten students yields data x 1 = 0.86, x 2 = 0.90, x 3 = 0.49, x 4 = 0.95, x 5 = 0.94, x 6 = 0.73, x 7 = 0.79, x 8 = 0.65, x 9 = 0.79, x 10 = 0.92. (a) Use the method of moments to obtain an estimator of 𝜃 1 1+X −1 1 X−1 −2 1 1+X 1 X−1 −1 1 1−X −2 Compute the estimate for this data. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 13 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign (b) Obtain the maximum likelihood estimator of 𝜃. Σln(X i) n −n Σln(X i) 11/9/22, 9:41 PM −1 −1 Σln(X i) n n Σln(X i) Σln(X i) −n Compute the estimate for the given data. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 14 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 9. [–/4 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.2.025. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER The shear strength of each of ten test spot welds is determined, yielding the following data (psi). 400 385 373 389 362 375 358 367 409 415 (a) Assuming that shear strength is normally distributed, estimate the true average shear strength and standard deviation of shear strength using the method of maximum likelihood. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) average psi standard deviation psi welds will have their strengths. [Hint: What is the 95th percentile in terms of 𝜇 and 𝜎? Now use (b) Again assuming a normal distribution, estimate the strength value below which 95% of all the invariance principle.] (Round your answer to two decimal places.) psi Use the given data to obtain the mle of P(X ≤ 400). [Hint: P(X ≤ 400) = Φ((400 − 𝜇)/𝜎).] (c) Suppose we decide to examine another test spot weld. Let X = shear strength of the weld. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) You may need to use the appropriate table in the Appendix of Tables to answer this question. https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 15 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 10. [–/1 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.2.030. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER parameter 𝜆. The experimenter then leaves the test facility unmonitored. On his return 24 hours later, At time t = 0, 22 identical components are tested. The lifetime distribution of each is exponential with still in operation (so 8 have failed). Derive the mle of 𝜆. [Hint: Let Y = the number that survive 24 the experimenter immediately terminates the test after noticing that y = 14 of the 22 components are exponentially distributed. This relates 𝜆 to p, so the former can be estimated once the latter has been.] hours. Then Y ~ Bin(n, p). What is the mle of p? Now notice that p = P(X i ≥ 24), where X i is (Round your answer to four decimal places.) = 11. [–/1 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS DEVORESTAT9 6.SE.037. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER When the sample standard deviation S is based on a random sample from a normal population distribution, it can be shown that 2/(n − 1) Γ(n/2)𝜎/Γ((n − 1)/2) Use this to obtain an unbiased estimator for 𝜎 of the form cS. What is c when n = 22? (Round your E(S) = answer to four decimal places.) https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 Page 16 of 17 Chapter 6 Point Estimation Fall 2022 - Mat 301 Fall 2022, section 97/98/99, Fall 2022 | WebAssign 12. [–/2 Points] MY NOTES DETAILS 11/9/22, 9:41 PM DEVORESTAT9 6.SE.502.XP. ASK YOUR TEACHER PRACTICE ANOTHER A sample of 20 students who had recently taken elementary statistics yielded the following information on brand of calculator owned. (T = Texas Instruments, H = Hewlett Packard, C = Casio, S = Sharp): C S T S T H C C S T S S H T T H H T C S (a) Estimate the true proportion of all such students who own a Texas Instruments calculator. (b) Of the 6 students who owned a TI calculator, 2 had graphing calculators. Estimate the proportion of students who do not own a TI graphing calculator. Submit Assignment Home Save Assignment Progress My Assignments Request Extension Copyright © 1998 - 2022 Cengage Learning, Inc. All Rights Reserved https://www.webassign.net/web/Student/Assignment-Responses/last?dep=30507440 TERMS OF USE PRIVACY Page 17 of 17