Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila MONTES, Tracy Lianne Marie P. BA History 2-3 Prof. Daisy G. Villarante The Contemporary World Assessment 2 Contemporary situation by applying both World System Theory and Dependency Theory Is the Philippines a progressive or regressive country? The Philippines is considered a third-world country wherein people are incapable of sustaining resources and remain under the control of different well-developed countries in the world. Before becoming a democratic country, the Philippines suffered from colonization by three countries: Spain, the United States of America, and Japan. They manipulated the country and exploited our natural resources due to the extreme acquisition of lands for the purpose of accumulating proprietors’ wealth and power. Even after slavery became prevalent, Filipinos were forced to work despite hazardous or unhealthy conditions. As the Duterte administration entered office in 2016, they highlighted some of his notable accomplishments in infrastructure development as the country continues to face global challenges. Duterte has pushed the different government agencies to continue programs started by the Aquino Administration, from Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) to the Build, Build, Build (BBB) program, which resulted in the construction of several infrastructures and services nationwide and is intended to ease the congestion of heavy traffic in Metro Manila and improve rural development. Despite his key accomplishments, his controversial anti-drug campaigns led to a worse situation. The country’s efforts to eradicate prohibited drugs have resulted in countless human rights violations that have become bloody and violent as unknown individuals lost their lives. Another thing was that President Duterte laid his hands on China to improve the economy. In his most recent issue, he strangely deviated from his prepared remarks and addressed the nation about the ongoing disputes with China in the South China Sea. And when the pandemic began to alter people’s lifestyles, the Philippines suffered a slew of socio-economic and political problems due to the inadequate preparedness for the COVID-19 response. The question would be, is the Philippines becoming a progressive country or remaining a regressive country? For various reasons, the Philippines has been one of the countries in the world that have struggled with hunger and widespread poverty under this present administration. This is validated Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila by the deterioration and decline in most socioeconomic and political development that has been evidenced in the last four years. It has dropped in several aspects, such as competitiveness with other countries; economic freedom; failure in eradicating corruption practices in the government; and even the failure to uphold the rules of the law, wherein wealthy and powerful people are always favored and more protected than poor ones who are suffering behind bars. Following the rule of his predecessor, former President Benigno Simeon Aquino III, his presidency began in 2016 with a 7.1% economic increase. Economic expansion dropped by a percentage point in 2019, from 7.1% in 2016 to 6.1% in 2019. The growth in the subsequent years slowed to 6.9% in 2017 and 6.3% in 2018. The economic pediment began with a serious trade deficit and a reduction in foreign investment. During the present administration, trade deficits increased as imports rose by an average of 14% from 2016 to 2019, while exports only expanded by 5% on average. It surged to a record 50.02 billion dollars in 2018, before declining slightly to 41.98 billion dollars in 2019, which represented 11.61% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and 21.84 billion dollars in 2020. Although a significant share of imports was credited to resources or materials for infrastructural development, this situation was aggravated by huge shipments of consumer goods. In 2020, economic development dropped by -9.6% as expected. It was caused by an overall slowdown in the trade as a result of the coronavirus outbreak, as well as initiatives to gradually ease tight quarantine restrictions. In 2021, the Philippines remained in a recession as the economy shrank again by 4.2% because of inflation and the increase in unemployment and underemployment brought by the widespread health crisis. Furthermore, the government debt as President Duterte took office in 2016 was P5.9 trillion. However, by the end of 2021, it had accumulated P11.7 trillion in debt. On March 4, 2022, the Bureau of Treasury (BTr) reported that the latest outstanding debt had reached a new high of P12 trillion for the first quarter of 2022 and a record of P1.67 trillion in the budget deficit, or 8.6% of the GDP, higher than P1.37 trillion in 2020. Yet, it was lower than just the targeted 9.3%. This enormous budget deficit was inflicted by massive public expenditures to combat long-term pandemics and insufficient tax collections. Prior to the pandemic, the government’s public infrastructure spending had already exceeded almost a trillion pesos in charges. This shows clear evidence that the huge response is very frugal, especially in the public health and educational Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila systems. Debt-driven programs have become more bloated as the Philippines has pushed more debt and overspent funds for other economic activities, despite the fact that the economy is deteriorating, with unemployment and underemployment rates increasing, unexpected inflation, and the agricultural and industrial sectors still facing persistent challenges that affect the economic cycle. There are other social and economic problems in the Philippines that negatively affect the economy and need to be addressed. Poverty remains one of the prevalent issues that the Philippines is facing. As Filipinos are more reliant on agriculture for income and there is inequality in wealth distribution, about 17.6 million Filipinos struggle to access basic resources. They cannot afford to have enough food and a poor quality of education leads to young people being uneducated, unemployed, and may suffer from discrimination due to financial inability. Moreover, corruption is still prevalent and an obstacle to good governance that limits economic growth. Corruption has been proven in numerous cases and is prevalent across the state apparatus. Even before the pandemic, some Philippine politicians misused their power by systematically siphoning off vast amounts of public funds into their accounts for personal interests. Instead, they must focus on solving current problems rather than stealing public funds, which would affect marginalized and unprivileged individuals and the country itself more. Unemployment is another persistent problem encountered by many Filipinos because of the government’s incompetence and lack of support. That is why many Filipinos opt to work abroad as a means of survival and to have better opportunities than in our country. According to Albert (2020), the unemployment rate climbed to 17.7% during the first quarter of 2020 and declined to 10% during the second quarter and 8.7% during the third quarter of the same year. The instability of the unemployment rate highlights three premises: First, most Filipinos would not be able to return to their previous jobs. Second, most Filipinos are unable to re-enter the labor market. And third, some of them have a lesser chance of finding a stable job due to the pandemic. These current circumstances have brought me to my viewpoint that the government’s inability to provide concrete, humane, and efficient measures led to the crucial re-opening of businesses, which caused unemployment and, subsequently, a massive economic recession. Business establishments like fast-food restaurants, grocery stores, and pharmacies continued to thrive Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila because they sell goods that people require to survive, while recreational areas and amusement parks remained closed. Six months after stringent lockdowns were imposed in the previous year, the country is already recuperating, and some businesses are permitted to operate. However, the pandemic is still having a detrimental effect on small and micro-businesses. As a result of these declines, GDP dropped by 0.7% and is expected to shrink by 16.9% and 11.5%, respectively, in the second and third quarters of 2020 (Albert, 2020). The Philippines' dependency on foreign investment is the last major issue in economic progress. Filipinos prefer to purchase and support international items over local products. But our reliance on foreign investments and loans can have a severe impact in the future with the current state of the country’s government. This is associated with theories of global inequality known as "The Dependency Theory," which explains how developed and developing nations are linked in world relations. Well-developing countries like the Philippines are still dependent on wealthy countries like the United States and China, while well-developed and powerful countries have the ability to influence and dominate poor countries. It is always in the Filipino’s mindset that products made by other countries have a higher quality than ours, even though they have the same resources to create a product, but they sell it at an expensive price and without knowing the fact that Filipinos are skilled and knowledgeable enough to produce their own good-quality products. Immanuel Wallerstein initiated these two theories of global inequality in order to understand the subversive. The "Dependency Theory" was developed and can be used as an approach to rationalizing the existing division between well-developed and undeveloped countries and understanding economic underdevelopment that emphasizes the conceptual limits imposed by the international political and economic structure. "World System Theory", on the contrary, suggests that wealthy countries benefit other countries while citizens in poor countries are exploited. This theory, as per Wallenstein, was divided into three international categories of areas or countries: core, semi-peripheral, and peripheral. Cores are classified as "social elites" or powerful countries that can benefit most from the world economy and exploit other welldeveloping countries for labor and raw materials. They are also developed countries with strong and competent governments and highly intellectual and skilled individuals. Semi-peripheries are "middle-class countries" that are exploited by core countries, but they can also exploit Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila peripheral countries. In other words, these semi-peripherals both have the classification of core and peripheral countries. He suggested that the way a country is integrated into a capitalist system determines how economic development takes place in the country. and peripherals that are considered "third world countries". These countries have weak and incompetent governments and are being manipulated by core countries. Wallenstein noticed that countries that have been exploited ever since are typically on the periphery. The relationship between America and the Philippines is a perfect example of this theory. Since then, the United States has colonized the Philippines to introduce the American system of education and industrial development. During their colonization, they saw the Filipinos as unskilled, lazy, and incapable of becoming industrialized because it was predominantly an agricultural country. Perhaps it is true that, despite having an abundance of raw materials, this country lacks sufficient skills, expertise, and advanced technology to make high-quality products. They were constrained to sell their goods at a low price or export them to other nations as an outcome of the inability to strengthen modernization. Therefore, the Philippines remained a backward or weak country that was being manipulated. With the recent presidential election results, the Marcoses are presumably back in the country's highest position to gain power and authority. We know the fact that the Marcoses have a history of tyranny and corruption for their lavish lifestyle. And when they return to power for their personal gains, they will have made efforts in an attempt to manipulate history and change the narrative to absolve themselves of the cruelty they inflicted without being held accountable. But most people still chose to vote for Marcos because of the greatest legacy from his father, Marcos Sr., and they wanted to live an abundant life as they had experienced during his father’s administration. We can’t blame the masses for voting for the dictator’s son since they are the victims of disinformation and black propaganda brought by the Marcos machinery. Unless the government takes measures to rectify the current predicament, the Philippines will remain a regressive country. This brings up the problem that the Philippines is suffering from difficult challenges as a result of global economic inequalities. As a result, World System Theory has an impact on the country as well as its economy. If other nations continue to hegemonize, the peripheral countries will be left with nothing, remaining undeveloped and struggling under their Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila terrible circumstances. The unfair development of these developed countries has led to a flawed strategy in the international market. To stimulate economic growth and become a competitive and highly modernized country, the government must focus on alleviating the problem by implementing concrete and effective solutions that contribute to increasing opportunities in different sectors and allocating sufficient resources for investment in human development. The Duterte administration has failed to address issues such as poverty, the healthcare system, and overpopulation, and his drug campaign has resulted in numerous human rights violations. His economic activity is merely focused on debt-driven infrastructure projects, which negatively affects the economy. As Duterte will leave the country’s highest office with a large amount of debt, how will his successors be able to repay it? And when the President-elect, Ferdinand Marcos Jr., will seize power as the country's head of state, how is he meant to make a change for the betterment of the country, especially in its economic aspect? Even his hometown, Ilocos Norte, has seen no progress and remained a fourth-class province throughout his tenure. The core countries' investments are gradually declining, and China is only an allied country waiting for an opportunity to overwhelm the Philippines with a cycle of debt that can benefit only the ruling class and their cronies, not the masses. References: Albert, J. R. (2020, December 29). Were the Philippines’ COVID-19 responses sufficient? East Asia Forum. Retrieved May 15, 2022, from https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2020/12/23/were-the-philippines-covid-19-responsessufficient/ Republic of the Philippines POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES College of Social Sciences and Development DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY Sta. Mesa, Manila De Vera, B. O. (2022, March 5). “PH debt breaches P12 trillion, seen exceeding P13 trillion by end of 2022.” INQUIRER.Net. Retrieved May 15, 2022, from https://business.inquirer.net/342425/ph-debt-breaches-p12-trillion-seen-exceeding-p13trillion-by-end-of-2022 Manuel, P. (2021, July 25). SONA 2021: The economy under President Rodrigo Duterte. CNN Philippines. Retrieved May 15, 2022, from https://www.cnnphilippines.com/business/2021/7/24/SONA-2021-economy-underPresident-Rodrigo-Duterte.html Marasigan, A. J. (2021, July 18). Why Dutertenomics weakened the economy. BusinessWorld Online. Retrieved May 15, 2022, from https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2021/07/18/383210/why-dutertenomicsweakened-the-economy/ Peña, K. D. (2022, March 5). Paying record-high PH debt: Duterte team sees higher, more taxes as way out. INQUIRER.Net. Retrieved May 15, 2022, from https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1563475/paying-record-high-ph-debt-duterte-team-seeshigher-more-taxes-as-way-out