fi Crime- ghting app DM Editorials Whatsapp Group 03124191070 fi dawn.com/news/1715807/crime- ghting-app October 19, 2022 ffi ffi ffl IT is welcome to note that the Sindh police are opting for modern technology in order to address the epidemic of crime that principally a icts Karachi. Experts have often argued that the long-used colonial methods of law enforcement are no match for criminals who are often two steps ahead of the police, and it is only through using modern methods that the crime graph can be brought down. In this regard, the Sindh police chief launched the Talash app on Monday that will hopefully help his force rein in lawbreakers across the province, particularly the metropolis. The app appears to have an impressive array of options designed to assist the law enforcers in tracking down and capturing criminals. This includes the fact that it is linked to the Nadra database. According to police o cials, it possesses the data of 1.5m criminals across Sindh, while the app can also pick out fake number plates and licences. As one police o cial put it, the Talash app is a “moving online investigation centre”. fi ffi It is hoped that the Talash app proves fruitful and achieves the goal it was designed for. Despite police o cials’ efforts to downplay incidents of crime and put a positive spin on the lawand-order situation, the truth is that law-abiding citizens remain terri ed of being mugged or killed for a wallet or mobile phone, while criminals apparently enjoy freedom to stalk the city. The use of dubious methods such as ‘encounters’ to get rid of lawbreakers has proved ineffective, while angry mobs have often decided to take the law into their own hands by lynching suspects. What is therefore needed is proactive policing, and the Talash app can surely help in this regard, if the tool is deployed effectively, and regularly updated. Through the use of other technological aids, such as CCTVs, criminals can be identified, caught and punished by the courts of law so that they can no longer walk the streets terrorising innocent citizens. Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022 Opinion Postponed again - Newspaper - DAWN.COM dawn.com/news/1715808/postponed-again October 19, 2022 THE people of Karachi, unfortunately, will be deprived of an elected local government for the foreseeable future. Pakistan’s biggest metropolis has been without a functional third tier of government for the past two years, when the term of the last elected local bodies expired. The PPP-led Sindh government, never keen on empowering the third tier, had written to the ECP calling for the third postponement of LG polls, and on Tuesday, the commission acceded to Sindh’s request, saying it had no other option but to put off the polls if adequate security personnel were not available. In a related move, the chief election commissioner warned the Punjab government to enact legislation within a week to pave the way for LG polls in the province, or to hold elections under the existing law. As the CEC noted, there has been no local government in Punjab for the last 10 months. The fact that Pakistan’s two most populous provinces are dragging their feet over LG polls speaks volumes about the value mainstream political parties place on the elected third tier. Whether it is the PPP in Sindh, or the PML-Q-PTI combine in Punjab, those who claim to be the standard-bearers of democracy are loath to see the democratic exercise carried out at the grassroots level. The fear of losing influence at the local level, and the possible emergence of alternative political options perhaps fuels the mainstream parties’ paranoia against LG polls. The first phase of the local polls in Sindh, barring Karachi and Hyderabad, was held in July, but urban parts of the province have yet to cast their vote. The elections were earlier put off due to heavy rains and the subsequent devastating floods. But the waters have started receding, and Karachi remained unaffected by the deluge. Yet Sindh’s rulers came up with the plea that law enforcers were busy in flood relief work, and they face a shortage of 16,000 police personnel to ensure polls’ security. Moreover, the interior ministry also expressed its inability to free up army and Rangers’ personnel for election duty. The ECP is due to meet in two weeks to re-evaluate the situation. Time will tell if a new poll date is announced, or if the Sindh government, which wants a postponement of at least three months, will again express its inability to hold the polls. As for Punjab, the ruling coalition needs to fast-track legislation to ensure polls are not further delayed. Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022 Opinion Blurred lines - Newspaper - DAWN.COM dawn.com/news/1715809/blurred-lines October 19, 2022 IN a ‘normal’ democracy, fair and transparent elections can neutralise pre-poll bellicosity and smooth the way ahead for the government and the opposition to play their respective roles. Not so in Pakistan’s dysfunctional democracy, where even those claiming to have ‘people power’ behind them factor unelected forces into their political strategy. At a press talk one day after winning six out of eight seats up for grabs in Sunday’s by-polls, PTI chairman Imran Khan raised the ante still further in his campaign to force an early election by describing the result as a “referendum against the government”. If polls were not called soon, the long march would go ahead, he vowed, and this time the participants would be “prepared to deal with violence”. The former prime minister also acknowledged for the first time that back-channel talks were happening between his party and the powers that be, but conceded there was “no clarity as yet”. Holding PML-N supremo Nawaz Sharif responsible for that lack of clarity, Mr Khan said Mr Sharif was afraid of elections and therefore determined to let the situation drag on further. The by-election results have bolstered the PTI’s narrative regarding its popularity, but they have also prompted Mr Khan to go public about his negotiations with the establishment, something he had only hinted at earlier. That suggests he has decided to use his triumph at the ballot box to not only put the squeeze on the coalition government to call early elections, but also to increase pressure on the powers that be to throw their weight behind him. Moreover, Mr Khan’s remark at the press talk that the elder Sharif may get a “clean chit” much like other PML-N leaders and that he was “ready to contest the election against him” suggests interesting possibilities. Could it perhaps allude to one of the issues being negotiated behind the scenes, and indicate that the PTI chairman is open (if reluctantly) to a ‘level playing field’ being devised for the next general election? As everyone knows, however, negotiations are best undertaken from a position of strength. Mr Khan has kept the threat of the long march hanging like a sword over a government already on the back foot, and the by-poll outcome has strengthened the PTI’s hand. Certainly, peaceful protest is a democratic right and Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah is out of line in threatening the protestors with brute force should they attempt to enter Islamabad. By that same yardstick, it is the government’s prerogative to decide when to call elections, subject to constitutional limits: to do so at a time it considers more advantageous to its prospects is simply sound political strategy. Long marches, on the other hand, are an unreliable strategy for achieving professed objectives. The PTI should return to the National Assembly, attempt to woo back its former allies and win the political war from within parliament. Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022 Opinion Apocalypse when? - Newspaper - DAWN.COM dawn.com/news/1715811/apocalypse-when October 19, 2022 OBSERVERS of the current tensions between Moscow and Washington, amid veiled threats of nuclear warfare and warnings of massive retaliation, are divided over whether the present predicament is less dire or a bigger danger than the ‘eyeball-to-eyeball’ confrontation between the US and the USSR 60 years ago this month. It’s a tricky dilemma. The global situation is very different in any number of ways, as are the particulars. The Soviet Union did not invade any country in 1962. It shipped troops, missiles and nuclear warheads to a recent ally that had just the previous year staved off a CIA-organised invasion. It may not have been a wise step, but nor was it illegitimate — even though this particular ally happened to lie just 90 miles (145 kilometres) south of Florida. Until then, there had been plenty of US/Nato missile launchers sited uncomfortably close to Soviet borders, but no reciprocal deployments that would be seen as a challenge to American exceptionalism. Once US spy planes brought back evidence of Soviet missiles on Cuban soil, it was inevitable that the Kennedy White House would issue an ultimatum to the Kremlin: ship out of Cuba or face an attack. It’s worth remembering that the other side showed no intent of initiating military action, not even after the US imposed a blockade around the island and took other actions incompatible with international law in peacetime. However, military conflict that may well have spiralled into nuclear war was avoided essentially because both Nikita Khrushchev and John F. Kennedy were aware of the inevitable consequences, and neither of them was willing to contemplate wiping out one-sixth of humanity. The Doomsday Clock is ticking and 2022 isn’t 1962. As Daniel Ellsberg recalls in his fascinating (and frightening) 2017 book The Doomsday Machine, as a young adviser/consultant he was privy to certain top secret information, including Pentagon calculations in 1961 about the potential loss of life from a US nuclear attack on the USSR. Including ‘collateral damage’ from fallout in neighbouring European and Asian countries, it added up to half a billion in the first six months. The global population then was less than 3.2bn, and the figures ignored the likelihood of retaliatory strikes and their possible toll. Kennedy had been advised early on by his UN ambassador Adlai Stevenson to offer Khrushchev an off-ramp by promising to withdraw Nato missiles from Italy and Turkey, and to return Guantanamo Bay to Cuba, in return for a Soviet military withdrawal from the Caribbean revolutionary isle. Ruling out a further US attempt to invade Cuba was an even more obvious concession. Certain other civilian aides offered similar advice, but the military was keen to demonstrate its prowess. Fortunately for humanity, Kennedy eventually adopted part of the Stevenson strategy, ruling out an invasion and vowing to withdraw the Jupiter missiles from Turkey’s border with the USSR in exchange for a Soviet nuclear pullout from Cuba. Khrushchev agreed, even though the US wanted the Turkish part of deal to remain secret — as it did for many years. It wasn’t widely known for even longer precisely how close the two superpowers came in late October 1962 to sparking a nuclear conflict. On at least a couple of occasions, a small miscalculation could have caused an explosion that would have resounded across the globe. Back-channel contacts were key to avoiding Armageddon, and by the following year, a Moscow-Washington hotline and related measures had been put into place. That didn’t prevent future instances of electronic or human error that came close to initiating an irreversible descent into mutually assured annihilation, but catastrophe was fortuitously avoided. The risk, as estimated by the Doomsday Clock, has fluctuated over the decades. It kicked off in 1947 at seven minutes to midnight, and was back at that figure in 1962 after shifting forward in the 1950s. For the past couple of years, it has stood at 100 seconds to midnight. Joe Biden’s warning earlier this month of imminent Armageddon was walked back by both the White House and Pentagon, amid reassurances that it wasn’t based on any fresh intelligence. Would Vladimir Putin, in the face of continuing conventional military setbacks, use even ‘small-yield’ nuclear bombs in the battlefields he has created in Ukraine? If he were dumb and desperate enough to do so, the consequences beyond the obvious crimes against humanity would be unfathomable. Unlike Khrushchev, Putin considers himself unanswerable to anything resembling a presidium or a politburo. One can only hope that there are back cha­n­nels in place between the US and Russia, but Putin would do well to heed what Khru­sh­chev noted long after he had been overthrown by his colleagues (months after Kennedy’s assassination): “What good would it have done me in the last hour of my life to know that though our great nation and the United States were in complete ruins, the national honour of the Soviet Union was intact?” mahir.dawn@gmail.com Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022 Me-too to Gentoo - Newspaper dawn.com/news/1715812/me-too-to-gentoo October 19, 2022 WOMEN are making a mark for themselves in every field. They are trailblazers — from participating in and covering sports previously thought to be the exclusive preserve of men to uncovering their heads when forced to do the opposite. Under the most restrictive regimes, young girls and women are challenging the authoritarian tendencies of erstwhile popular movements that turn to “devour their own children”. Nietzsche is supposed to have said, “nobody understands, only a poet begins to”. Our own Majaz Lakhnavi encouraged 20thcentury Indian women, perhaps women everywhere, when he wrote: (it would have been better had you made a standard out of your veil). Imagine an Arctic outpost with nothing but a colony of penguins in sub-zero temperatures, and no running water. A post office will be the second most unimaginable thing in this setting; four women running it being the first. This is what is happening on Port Lockroy on Goudier Island in Antarctica, nearly 9,000 miles (14,484 kilometres) from the UK. Four women have been selected from some 6,000 applicants aspiring to run the post office for the next six months. It sends out some 80,000 postcards annually to more than 100 countries by ship crews who call on the island. For the first 10 weeks of their assignment, these four brave souls will be accompanied by a fifth person to show them the ropes of surviving in extreme climes. ‘Aha! here comes the alpha male to lead the pack,’ you are thinking. Wrong. The fifth is also a woman, with previous experience in running the place. Pakistan does not lag behind in female heroes. These brave, adventurous and talented women deserve to be named. Clare Ballantyne, 23, has been appointed postmaster. She has just completed a Master’s degree in earth sciences from Oxford University. Mairi Hilton, 30, a conservation biologist with a PhD degree, will monitor the penguin colony on the island. Newly-wed Natalie Corbett, 31, is temporarily leaving her husband behind for what she considers a lifetime opportunity to observe Arctic life. She will run a gift shop at the outpost. She runs a pet accessories business in Hampshire. Lucy Bruzzone, 40, a scientist with previous Arctic experience will act as base manager, coordinating all the comings and goings of ship crews and visitors to the island. Vicky Inglis, 42, will be the group’s temporary mentor. The penguin variety on the island is, by the way, called Gentoo. Afghanistan, Iran, India, Bangladesh and all other countries in our neighbourhood have their female heroes to boast of. Pakistan does not lag behind. We too have our Benazirs, Asma Jehangirs and Malalas. Most heartening is the fact that our legions of brave women are not restricted to the past or those who have already made their mark; the supply chain of intelligent, persistent, and daring women seems inexhaustible in Pakistan. From politics to sports, and from law enforcement to the sciences, young women are doing Pakistan proud. From polio vaccination campaigns to dengue inspection teams, women are leading from the front, undaunted by the harsh terrain or climate change-driven disasters. They face resistance at times beginning at home and from the community to the militants who think nothing of murdering vaccinators trying to save our future generations from preventable diseases and lifelong disabilities. While women are raring to go, so are the reactionary forces. Something as simple as a sports festival becomes controversial. Threats and warnings were hurled at the org­anisers of the rece­ntly concluded Gilgit-Baltis­tan Women’s Spo­rts Gala. As is its wont, the adm­inistration caved in and renamed the event GB Women’s Fair. Have no doubts, the killjoys had nothing against the ‘gala’ part of the nomenclature as they are pretty enamoured of everything ‘gala’, and the infatuation is mutual, dare one add. The words ‘women’ and ‘sports’ uttered in the same breath make them breathe fire. One big problem with appeasing regressive elements is that it is never enough. Fast on the heels of the gala fiasco, wanted militants brazenly blocked the road between KP and GB close to Babusar Pass, holding tourists and commuters hostage including a local minister. According to media reports, the miscreants’ demands included visiting rights to their imprisoned accomplices and their release. This is reportedly the same outfit whose members are suspects in the infamous killing of a foreign mountaineering expedition to Nanga Parbat in 2013. What is more outrageous? Blocking roads with impunity by associates of suspects in the terrorist attack or the fact that almost 10 years later only a handful of convictions could be handed down? Only a few convicts are behind bars, two escaped from jail; the rest of the suspects remain at large. Islamabad too braces for another siege. The writer is a poet. His latest publication is a collection of satire essays titled Rindana. shahzadsharjeel1@gmail.com Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022 Democracy and dystopia dawn.com/news/1715813/democracy-and-dystopia October 19, 2022 IN Ireland, ordinary people are hoarding firewood, afraid that they will not be able to heat their homes in the upcoming winter owing to the Ukraine-Russia conflict. In Iran, protests against the regime have continued into their fifth week. Last weekend, Evin prison holding political prisoners (which means anyone opposed to the regime) burned, with reportedly some female prisoners on the roof of the prison screaming ‘down with the regime!’ Next door in India, Hindu extremism has become so entrenched, such a delicious intoxicant that now the ruling party is calling for an economic boycott of Muslims. In the meantime, OPEC decided to reduce oil output despite knowing the dire condition of fuel inflation all over the world. It is undoubtedly a dystopic universe. In Pakistan, we have our own tableau of discordant ‘realities’. Some areas are still under water with displaced women and children dying for want of assistance. The videos of their hapless condition play in a loop on various television channels, even as ordinary people become desensitised to them. ‘What more can we do?’ they wonder, embroiled as they are in their own particular stories of want and desperation. The price of staples has risen exponentially, bloated from unchecked inflation which the government has not been able to control. The much-promised growth phase, as in previous years, is nowhere in sight. The flood relief website asks citizens to donate money, but the numbers also say that only a very tiny percentage of recipients have actually received the help. This is denied by various ministers but there are really no official numbers released that back that claim. If pictures are any evidence, it appears that help has not got where it should. If this mess weren’t enough to baffle and befuddle, elections were held in 11 constituencies in the country last weekend. The surreal nature of these is that voters had the option of voting for a leader who will not be joining parliament. As the results show, the vast majority did just that. So enfeebled and disenchanted are the Pakistani voters that even non-representation, a nullifying variable in the democratic equation, seems attractive to them. Nobody in power belonging to any party cares about the ordinary Pakistani’s general disillusionment with democracy, submerged as they are in the details of this or that electoral loss or victory. When the new government came to power a few months ago, politicians continued to rule in their own ethnic constituencies. This model has worked in the past; Pakistanis have voted along ethnic lines with great regularity and continue to do so now. At the same time, demographics have changed this milieu in that patterns of urbanisation have delivered a mixing of various ethnicities that was not present before. So enfeebled and disenchanted are the Pakistani voters that even nonrepresentation seems attractive to them. Urbanisation and the improvements in economic conditions that result from it have produced their own kind of Pakistani voter. Those who have moved from villages where their elders are still under the thumb of this or that feudal leader or corporate farm owner or industrial farmer, may be less interested in voting unthinkingly for whatever party their leader belongs to in that moment. This means that the party leaders who have relied on these once-guaranteed seats as bastions of support cannot count on them with the same certainty that was once the case. There is also an argument that funds at the provincial level are being spent unevenly on rural areas where feudal and ethnic ties still provide guarantees and less so on cities. For instance, the current government is trying to expand the agricultural sector even though no tax revenue is extracted from these areas because agriculture (for the sake of guaranteed constituencies) has never been taxed. In the meantime, the urban voter who sees trash piling up, no clean water and constant blackouts is not happy. There was a time when this was true only of Karachi; now it is the truth in every city of the country. Then there is the complex and pressing issue of being a country in a crisis and in want at a time when so many countries, not least the US and those of Europe, are enmeshed in their own challenges. The attention Pakistan or Iran or Afghanistan could draw is diminished by a global context that is itself dystopian. If the midterm elections in the US upset, as expected they will, the Democratic majority, their place will be taken by isolationist Republicans who are not interested in helping Ukraine or anyone for that matter. Similarly, if the fuel crisis in Europe continues to intensify and Europeans have to go without adequate heating, the political cataclysms from that spectre will be divisive and likely far more authoritarian, calling into question the cohesion of the EU itself. There will be no external saviours for Pakistan this time. All the allusions and accusations of this or that party being allied with the United States are in this sense blather. The ‘war on terror’, in which the West bizarrely pilfered billions even trillions of dollars to fight a largely overestimated enemy, is over and Pakistan cannot extort rents on its basis anymore — no matter how dangerous President Biden may think Pakistan is. The question that remains then is whether Pakistanis, after all our varied experiments with democracy, will continue to value the latter as a basis of governance. The indications are bleak. Brazil, India, Hungary and even Italy seem to be drifting into fascism or at least towards fascism- and authoritarianismfriendly governments to seek protection from an unravelling world order. They will not actually get that imagined protection, but then, politics never has been about realities; it is about perceptions. The game is the same in Pakistan, and the survival of the country’s democracy, not so fledgling anymore, depends on it. The writer is an attorney teaching constitutional law and political philosophy. rafia.zakaria@gmail.com Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022 Time for a new mandate? dawn.com/news/1715814/time-for-a-new-mandate October 19, 2022 IT is yet another emphatic electoral victory for the PTI. The latest series of by-elections marked the rout of the ruling coalition across the country. It could not have been more humiliating. It is rightly being described as a personal triumph for former prime minister Imran Khan who won six of the seven seats he contested. It is, indeed, an unprecedented feat that demonstrates the shifting sands of Pakistani politics. It is the PDM government’s hour of reckoning: how long can it stick to power with its fastslipping political space and a sliding economy? With its depleted strength, the National Assembly has become redundant. With the authority of the federal government virtually limited to the capital, the situation is fast becoming untenable. The political structure of the country is on the verge of collapse. An unwieldy and fractious coalition administration cannot deal with the multiple challenges confronting the country. Perhaps, it is time for a new mandate. Notwithstanding the defeat of the PTI candidate (the daughter of former foreign minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi) in Multan, the outcome of the by-elections was not surprising. The elections were held on the seats left vacant by the resignation of the PTI members. True, one can argue that the party has retained its own seats. But the scale of victory and the fact that Imran Khan was the sole PTI candidate in seven constituencies lends the outcome much greater political significance. The voters’ verdict could not have been more unambiguous. What makes the situation extremely dangerous is the virtual collapse of all state institutions. More specifically, it signifies a spectacular erosion of the PML-N’s electoral support base in its bastion in a very short period. Six months in power, the party of the Sharifs seems to have lost most of its political capital in Punjab, further weakening its capacity to govern and to deal with a myriad of challenges. The government seems to be in complete disarray. It may not be a victory for the PTI narrative but certainly it is a vote against the PDM. It has been a devastating blow to the party that had dominated Punjab politics for the past several decades. The power struggle within the Sharif clan and its ossified politics have been a major reason for the party’s declining support base. The lacklustre election campaign run by the PML-N in Punjab denoted increasing despondency within party ranks. No senior party leader was out in the field to campaign for the party candidates. Curiously, Maryam Nawaz chose to go to London on the eve of the critical by-elections while Hamza Shehbaz, the former Punjab chief minister, has also been conspicuous by his absence. It seems as if the PML-N leadership was already resigned to the outcome. The party has never fully recovered from the setback it received in the Punjab Assembly by-elections earlier this year that cost it the provincial government. The drubbing in the latest series of by-elections in the province was foretold after that debacle. On the other hand, former prime minister Imran Khan has led an extremely effective campaign. He declared the elections a referendum against the present dispensation. It is apparent that the government’s failure and the prevailing disorder have been fully exploited by the former prime minister to galvanise his supporters. The rising cost of living and the government’s failure to stem the economic slide has turned the tide against the PDM. The disappointing performance of the Shehbaz Sharif government over the last six months has added to the public discontent. A huge army of ministers, advisers and special assistants has exposed the unwieldiness of the motley alliance. The return of Ishaq Dar as the country’s ‘economic czar’ underscores the fallacy of the government’s claim of putting the economy back on the track. His voodoo economics has brought the country back to the brink of sovereign default. Dar’s return to the pivotal position of finance minister has accentuated the divide within the main ruling party. It is clear that the government is now being run through remote control from London undermining the authority of the prime minister. That has worsened the predicament of a fledgling administration. Given this messy situation, the PDM’s rout in the by-elections is not a surprise. The coalition seems to have completely lost the plot. It was a very shrewd move by the PTI leader to stand himself on nearly all the seats. People voted for him knowing that he was not going to sit in the National Assembly. There is no indication that the PTI will go back to the National Assembly after this emphatic victory. In fact, the latest electoral triumph has weaponised Khan’s demand for early elections. The outcome of the latest by-elections has changed the entire political landscape. Predictably, the PTI has stepped up pressure on the PDM government after the by-elections and has threatened to storm the capital. The threat seems to be much more serious this time. The October storm is gathering strength. Can the PDM government with its shrinking legitimacy survive the opposition onslaught? With the odds stacked against it, it will be hard for the government to reverse the tide. The country is in complete chaos with the intensifying confrontation and political polarisation. What makes the situation extremely dangerous is the virtual collapse of all state institutions. Imran Khan may now be dominating the political power game but his flawed narrative and confrontational approach remain a major obstacle in the way of moving forward and reaching a democratic political solution to take the country out of this existential crisis. Surely fresh elections seem to be the most viable solution to ending the existing political gridlock. But for a free and fair election, it requires an agreement among the political forces on a mechanism. In the absence of an agreed framework, the elections will remain controversial, plunging the country deeper into the morass. It is imperative that all political forces start serious negotiations on the process. Its victory in the by-elections may be a political triumph for the PTI but the party cannot expect to bring about change by storming the citadel. The writer is an author and journalist. zhussain100@yahoo.com Twitter: @hidhussain Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2022