9/6/2022 Extra TVM Dr. Choi Discussion Agenda Return measurement – PV and FV Dr. Choi 1 9/6/2022 Measurement of return -1 You invested $90 in a stock 6-month ago. Today you’ve just received $1 dividend and then sold it for $95. Q1) Find the holding period rate of return. Q2) Per-period effective rate? Q3) Find the gross rate of return. Dr. Choi Measurement of return -2 Q1) Find the holding period rate of return. HPR (95 90) 1 0.0667 90 6.67% Q) What is its holding period? Ans) 6 months Q2) What is its gross rate of return over 6 months? 10 6.67% Just add 100% of principal. Dr. Choi 2 9/6/2022 Measurement of return -3 Q) Annualize the HPR. Annualized HPR 6.67% 12 months 13.34% 6 months Q) Did you effectively earn 13.34%? Ans) No. Effectively 6.67% over 6 months. Formally we say that 6.67% is 6-month effective rate. If you make 6.67% again for the following 6 month, you would earn Effectively more than 13.34%. Q) Then what is 13.34% called in this case? Ans) annual rate compounded semiannually. Or semiannually compounding annual rate. Dr. Choi Measurement of return -4 Annual rate compounded m times. Per year Compounding period can be daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, or annual. Example 1) Monthly compounding annual rate of 12%. This implies that the monthly effective rate is 12% 1% 12 Example 2) Daily compounding annual rate of 12%. This implies that the daily effective rate is 12% 0.03287% 365 Dr. Choi 3 9/6/2022 Measurement of return -5 Example 3) Annual rate of 12% compounded m times per year. This implies that the per-period effective rate is 12% m Example 4) Continuously compounding annual rate. This implies that the per-period effective rate is 12% Can this be zero? Dr. Choi PV, FV and Effective rate of return Suppose r(m) is an annual rate compounded m times per year. mT Then r ( m) FVT PV0 1 m where T = number of years. Example) You invest $100 in an asset yielding annual rate of 12% compounded monthly. Find the future value at the end of 2 years. 122 .12 126.97 FV2 100 1 12 The future value at the end of 467 days? Dr. Choi FV467 365 467 12 365 .12 100 1 12 4 9/6/2022 PV, FV and Effective rate of return r ( m) FVT PV0 1 m Important formula : mT m What happens to the quantity, 1 r (m) , when m approaches infinity? m Ans) Thus m e rc r ( m) lim 1 m m r () FVT PV0 1 T where rc r . T r ( ) PV0 e rc T PV0 1 Dr. Choi Continued.. m Verify r ( m) lim 1 m m e rc Suppose we invest $1 at an annual rate of 12% compounded 1,000,000 times per year. Find its future value at the end of year 1. Note that r 1 mil rc . 1000000 0.12 1 1000000 e0.12 . In excel, =(1+0.12/1000000)^1000000 In excel, =exp(0.12) Dr. Choi 5 9/6/2022 How to calculate the Continuously compounding annual rate. T-year Gross rate of return Aside : FVT PV0 e rc T ln e x =x FVT e rc T PV0 FV ln T ln e rc T PV0 Thus, C.C. annual rate : rc rc T 1 FVT ln T PV0 Continuously compounding T-year rate. Dr. Choi Example. Suppose you invest $100 today. If your total dollar return become $120 in 270 days, What is the C.C. Rate of return for 270 days? FVT PV0 FV ln T PV0 What is the C.C. annual Rate of return? 1 FVT T= ln T PV0 Dr. Choi 6 9/6/2022 Review FVT PV0 T-year gross rate of return: Continuously compounding 1 F VT ln annual rate of return: T P V0 When r is given as the annual rate compounded m times: T-year gross rate of return: r ( m) 1 m mT When r is given as the c.c. annual rate: T-year gross rate of return: e r T Dr. Choi Wyh C.C.R? Dr. Choi 7