Edo Priyo Utomo Putro Mujiono 5002201017 Pemodelan matematika B Resume kuliah tamu mathematical modelling Mathematical modelling is the process of describing a real world problem in mathematical terms, usually in the form of equations, and then using these equations both to help understand the original problem, and also to discover new features about the problem. Models provide a framework for conceptualizing our ideas about the behaviour of a particular system.Models allow us to find structure in complex systems and to investigate howdifferent factors interact Models can play an important role in informing policies:By providing understanding of underlying causes for a complex phenomenonBy predicting the future By predicting the impact of interventions. Mathematical modelling can be used for various different reasons. Developing scientific or systematic understanding through quantitative expression of the known quantity of the system. Test the effect of changes in a system, Aid decision making, including tactical decisions by managers strategic decisions by planners.How well any particular objective is achieved depends on both the state of knowledge about a system and how well the modelling is done. --Use of mathematical modelling, Solves the real world problems and gas become wide spread due to increasing computation power and computing methods, facilitated to handle large scale and complicated problems, and some areas where mathematical models used are: climate modelling, aerospace etc, --Type od mathematical modelling, Emprical models: experiments, observations Theoretorical: staticistical, mathematical, and computational Real world problem simplify working model represent mathematical model translate computational model and the simulate result/conclusions There are many different types of mathematical models. Classifying them into broad categories can tell you much about their purpose and scope and often require different mathematical techniques. 1) Empirical vs mechanistic Empirical Models (Statistical Models): Data driven modelling approach, starting point: data obtained from empirical studies Mechanistic Models (Process Based Models): Hypothesis driven modelling approach, starting point: specific phenomena of interest – observed from data 2) Deterministic vs stochastic Deterministic models: Assume that the outcome is precisely determined by the model inputs and relationships, Ignore all random variation. Stochastic models: Incorporate inherent randomness, Use a range of values for the model variables in form of probability distributions 3)Static vs dynamic Static Models: In static systems, time does not play any part, the variables and relationships describing the system are time-independent. Dynamic Models: In dynamic systems, time plays a very important role with the variables and/or relationships describing the system changing with time. 4)Linear vs non-linear Linear models: Observation data has a linear relation among variables (linear regression), the rate of change is in a linear relation (linear differential equations). Non-linear models: When the data shows a curvy relationship that is not a straight line applying a nonlinear model gives the accurate output, The rate of change is in a nonlinear relation (nonlinear differential equations) 5)Discrete vs continuous Discrete models: The state variables change only at a countable number of points in time. Continuous models: the state variables change in a continuous way, and not abruptly from one state to another (infinite number of states).