Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel Distribution Doaa ELhertaniy PhD student at the Department of Mathematics, university of the Holy Quran and Taseel of Science, Sudan Email:dalhirtani@gmail.com Abstract- In this paper, a Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel distribution (QTGD) to an extended the work of Quartic transmuted distribution families. QTGD increases the ability of the transmuted distributions to be flexible and facilitate the modelling of more complex data. We study the main statistical properties of the Quartic transmuted model, including its hazard rate function, moment-generating function, characteristic function, quantile function, entropy, and order statistics. Finally, an application of QTGD ,using two real data sets are used to examine the ability to apply it and to observe the performance of estimation techniques on a Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel(QTGD), Cubic Transmuted Gumbel(CTGD), Transmuted Gumbel(TGD) and Gumbel(GD) distributions. The observed results showed that QTGD gives better fit than CTGD,TGD, and GD distributions for the applied data sets. Keywords- Quartic rank transmuted, Gumbel Distribution , Rényi Entropy , Shannon Entropy 1 INTRODUCTION The Gumbel distribution is named after Emil Julius Gumbel (1891–1966), based on his original papers describing the distribution. The Gumbel distribution is a particular case of the generalized extreme value distribution (also known as the Fisher-Tippett distribution). It is also known as the log-Weibull distribution and the double exponential distribution [9]. The Gumbel distribution is perhaps the most widely applied statistical distribution for problems in engineering. It is also known as the extreme value distribution of type I. Some of its recent application areas in engineering include flood frequency analysis, network engineering, nuclear engineering, offshore engineering, risk-based engineering, space engineering, software reliability engineering, structural engineering, and wind engineering. A recent book by Kotz and Nadarajah [11], which describes this distribution, lists over fifty applications ranging from accelerated life testing through earthquakes, floods, horse racing, rainfall, queues in supermarkets, sea currents, wind speeds, and track race records (to mention just a few).It is one of four EVDs in common use. The other three are the Fréchet Distribution, the Weibull Distribution, and the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution. The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions developed within extreme value theory to combine the Gumbel, Fréchet, and Weibull families also known as type I, II and III extreme value distributions. The probability density function (PDF) and the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for Gumbel distribution are defined as follow, VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 g ( X ; , ) = 1 ISSN No:1001-2400 we w , (1) where w=e ( x ) , > 0, R. and G( X ; , ) = e w ; x R (2) Some extensions of the Gumbel distribution have previously been proposed. The Beta Gumbel distribution,(Nadarajah et al. [13]), the Exponentiated Gumbel distribution as a generalization of the standard Gumbel distribution introduced by Nadarajah [12],and the Exponentiated Gumbel type-2 distribution, studied by Okorie et al. [14], Transmuted Gumbel type-II distributton with applications in diverse fields of science by Ahmad et al. [1], giving Transmuted exponentiated Gumbel distribution (TEGD) and its application to water quality data of Deka et al. [7], and transmuted Gumbel distribution (TGD) along with several mathematical properties has studied by Aryal and Tsokos [4] using quadratic rank transmutation. Quadratic rank transmuted distribution has been proposed by Shaw and Buckley [18]. A random variable X is said to have a quadratic rank transmuted distribution if its cumulative distribution function is given by F ( x) = (1 )G( x) [G( x)]2 , | | 1 Differentiating (3) with respect to x, it gives the probability density function (pdf) of the quadratic rank transmuted distribution as f ( x) = g ( x)[(1 ) 2G( x)], | | 1 where G(x) and g (x) are the cdf and pdf respectively of the base distribution. It is very important observe that at = 0 , we have the base original distribution. The quadratic transmuted family of distributions given in (3) extends any baseline distribution G(x) giving larger applicability. (Rahman et al. [15]) introduced the cubic transmuted family of distributions. A random variable X is said to have cubic transmuted distribution with parameter 1 and 2 if its cumulative distribution function (cdf) is given by F ( x) = (1 1 )G( x) (2 1 )[G( x)]2 2 [G( x)]3 with corresponding pdf f ( x) = g ( x)[1 1 2(2 1 )G( x) 32G 2 ( x)], x R where i [-1,1], i =1,2 are the transmutation parameters and obey the condition 2 1 2 1 . The proofs and the further details can be found in (Granzatto et al. [8]).Recently, (Ali et al. [2]) introduced the Quartic transmuted family of distributions. A random variable X is said to have Quartic transmuted distribution with parameter 1 , 2 and 3 if its cumulative distribution function (cdf) is given by VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (3) (4) (5) (6) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 F ( x) = 21G( x) 3(2 1 )[G( x)]2 2(1 22 3 )[G( x)]3 (1 1 2 23 )[G( x)]4 with corresponding pdf (7) f ( x) = g ( x)[21 6(2 1 )G( x) 6(1 22 3 )G 2 ( x) 4(1 1 2 23 )G3 ( x)], x R (8) where i [0,1], i =1,2.and 3 [-1,1] are the transmutation parameters and obey the condition 2 2 3 1. This paper is organized as follows, the Quartic transmuted Gumbel distribution is defined in Section 4. In Section 5 statistical properties have been discussed, like shapes of the density and hazard rate functions, quantile function, moments and moment-generating function, Characteristic Function , and cumulant generating function. Entropy in Section 6, for the Quartic transmuted Gumbel distribution along with the distribution of order statistics in Section 7. Section 8 provides parameter estimation of Quartic transmuted Gumbel distribution. An application of the QTGD to two real data sets for the purpose of illustration is conducted in section 9. Finally, in Section 10, some conclusions are declared. 2 QUARTIC RANK TRANSMUTED GUMBEL Distribution The quartic rank transmuted Gumbel distribution is defined as follows: The CDF of a quartic rank transmuted Gumbel distribution is obtained by using (2) in (7) F ( x) = e w[21 3(2 1 )e w 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e3w ] where x R, , > 0, i [0,1], i =1,2 and 3 [-1,1] are the transmutation parameters and obey the condition 2 2 3 1. 1 It is very important note observe that at value 1 = 2 = 3 = ,the quartic rank 2 transmuted Gumbel distribution reduce to Gumbel distribution according to the transmutation map. The probability density function (pdf) of a quartic rank transmuted Gumbel distribution is given by 1 f ( x) = we w [21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] (10) where ( x ) w = e , x R, , > 0 Figure 1 and 2, show the PDF and CDF of the quartic rank transmuted Gumbel distribution for different values of parameters 1 , 2 and 3 where =3 and =2. VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (9) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Fig.1: The pdf of CTGD for different value of 1 , 2 and 3 where = 3 and = 2 Fig.2: The CDF of CTGD for different value of 1 , 2 and 3 where = 3 and =2 VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University 3 https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 STATISTICAL PROPERTIES 3.1 Shapes of the density and hazard rate functions The reliability function of the cdf F(x) of distribution is defined by R( x) = 1 F ( x). For the quartic rank transmuted Gumbel (QTG) distribution, the reliability function is given as, R( X ) = 1 e w[21 3(2 1 )e w 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e3w ] (11) The hazard rate function can be written as the ratio of the pdf f (x) and the reliability function R(x) = 1 - F(x). That is, f ( x) h( x ) = , R( x) then we can find the hazard rate function of QTG distribution by (11) and (10): 1 w we [21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] h( x ) = 1 e w [21 3(2 1 )e w 2(1 22 3 )e 2 w (1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] (12) The cumulative hazard function is defined by H ( x) = lnR ( x), so the cumulative hazard function of the QTG distribution is H ( x) = ln 1 e w[21 3(2 1 )e w 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e3w ] . The reverse hazard function is f ( x) r ( x) = F(X ) Using (14), we can write the reverse hazard function of QTG distribution as w[21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] r ( x) = [21 3(2 1 )e w 2(1 22 3 )e 2 w (1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] (13) (14) (15) The Odd function of a distribution with cdf F (x) is defined as F ( x) O( x) = 1 F ( x) Then the Odd function of the QTG distribution is given as O( x) = e w[21 3(2 1 )e w 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 1 1 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ 1 (16) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Fig. 3: Reliability function of the QTGD for different value of 1 , 2 and 3 where = 3 and =2 Fig. 4: Hazard function of the QTGD for different value of 1 , 2 and 3 where = 3 and =2 VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University 3.2 https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Quantile Function Here we will compute the quantile function of the quartic rank transmuted Gumbel probability distribution. Theorem 3.1 Let X be random variable from the quartic rank transmuted Gumbel probability distribution with parameters > 0, > 0, 1 1 1 and 2 1 3 2 . Then the quantile function of X, is given by xq = log( log B(q, 1 , 2 , 3 )) (17) Proof: To compute the quantile function of the quartic rank transmuted Gumbel probability distribution, we substitute x by xq and F (x) by q in (9) to get the equation q = e e ( xq ) ) [21 3(2 1 )e e ( xq ) ) 2(1 22 3 )e 2e (18) Then, we solve the equation (18) for xq . So, let y = e ( e ( ( xq xq ) ) (1 1 2 23 )e 3e ( xq ) ) ] ) ) . Thus, (18) becomes q = 21 y 3(2 1 ) y 2(1 22 3 ) y (1 1 2 23 ) y 4 2 3 and hence, (1 1 2 23 ) y 4 2(1 22 3 ) y 3 3(2 1 ) y 2 21 y q = 0 (19) Let a = (1 1 2 23 ), b = 2(1 22 3 ) , c = 3(2 1 ) , d = 21 and e= -q then the equation (19) becomes ay 4 by 3 cy 2 dy e = 0. Then, equation(20) from [6] l 2 4( ) 2 4( 2 z ) b 6 y= 4a 2 where = z m= 2 1 3 l c 3b ,»» l = 2 ,»» z = (rei ) 6 a 8a 3 1 (rei ) 3 (20) m ,»»»» = 4 and, b3 d 2 16a a Now, let the function B(q, 1 , 2 , 3 ) be defined by VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 l 2 4( ) 2 4( 2 z ) b 6 B(q, 1 , 2 , 3 ) = 4a 2 Hence, y = e( e ( xq ) ) = B(q, 1 , 2 , 3 ) (21) Take natural Logarithm to both sides to get e Then, we have the equation ( xq ) = log B(q, 1 , 2 , 3 ) xq = log( log B(q, 1 , 2 , 3 )) The first quartile, median and third quartile can be obtained by setting q = 0.25, 0.50 and 0.75 in (17) respectively. 3.3 Moments and Moment-generating function Moments function Theorem 3.2 Let X QTGD( , ). Then the rth moment of X is given by r r k k E ( x r ) = E ( x r ) = (1) k k r k [21 k ( ) 6(2 1 ) k (2 ( )) k =0 k 6(1 22 3 ) k k (3 ( )) 4(1 1 2 23 ) k k (4 ( ))] | = 1 (22) Proof: The rth moment of the positive random variable X with probability density function is given by E ( x r ) = x r f ( x)dx (23) 0 Substituting from (10) in to (23), 1 0 E( xr ) = xr we w [21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ]dx (24) where w = e ( x ) , Then dw = e ( x ) dx , »» x = lnw With substitution in (24) using Gamma integration; r r k k E ( x r ) = (1) k k r k [21 k ( ) 6(2 1 ) k (2 ( )) k =0 k VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 6(1 22 3 ) k k (3 ( )) 4(1 1 2 23 ) ISSN No:1001-2400 k k (4 ( ))] | = 1 Moment Generating Function Theorem 3.3 The moment generating function M x (t ) of a random variable X QTGD ( , ) is given by r tr r k k M x (t ) = (1) k k r k [21 k ( ) 6(2 1 ) k (2 ( )) r = 0 r! k = 0 k 6(1 22 3 ) k k (3 ( )) 4(1 1 2 23 ) k k (4 ( ))] | = 1 (25) Proof:The moment generating function of the positive random variable X with probability density function is given by M x (t ) = E (etx ) = etx f ( x)dx 0 tx Using series expansion of e , n tr r tr M x (t ) = x f ( x)dx = E ( x r ) 0 r = 0 r! r = 0 r! n Then r tr r k k (1) k k r k [21 k ( ) 6(2 1 ) k (2 ( )) r = 0 r! k = 0 k M x (t ) = 6(1 22 3 ) 3.4 k k (3 ( )) 4(1 1 2 23 ) k k (4 ( ))] | = 1 Characteristic Function The characteristic function theorem of the quartic transmuted Gumbel distribution is stated as follow, Theorem 3.4 Suppose that the random variable X have the QTGD ( , ), then characteristic function, x (t ) ,is (it ) r r = 0 r! x (t ) = r k k =0 6(1 22 3 ) k Where i = 1 and t 3.5 r (1) k k k r k [21 k k ( ) 6(2 1 ) (3 ( )) 4(1 1 2 23 ) k k k k (2 ( )) (4 ( ))] | = 1 Cumulant Generating Function The cumulant generating function is defined by VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (26) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 K x (t ) = loge M x (t ) Cumulant generating function of quartic rank transmuted Gumbel distribution is given by r tr r k k K x (t ) = log e (1) k k r k [21 k ( ) 6(2 1 ) k (2 ( )) r = 0 r! k = 0 k 6(1 22 3 ) 4 k k (3 ( )) 4(1 1 2 23 ) k k (4 ( ))] | = 1 (27) ENTROPY 4.1 Rényi Entropy If X is a non-negative continuous random variable with pdf f (x), then the Rényi entropy of order (See Rényi [16]) of X is defined as 1 H ( x) = log [ f ( x)] dx, > 0, ( 1) 0 1 (28) Theorem 4.1 The Rényi entropy of a random variable X QTGD ( , ), with 1 1, 2 0 , 3 0 and 1 2 3 is given by H ( x) = j k 1 1 log[c( j, k , r , ) 1 1 j (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r 1 j =0 k =0 r =0 (1 22 3 ) k r ( ) ] ( k j r ) Proof: Suppose X has the pdf in (10). Then, one can calculate [ f ( x)] = 1 (29) (30) w e w [21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] By the general binomial expansion, we have [2 6( 1 2 1 )ew 6(1 22 3 )e2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e3w ] = (21 ) j 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w j =0 j by the Binomial Theorem, 6( 2 1 )ew 6(1 22 3 )e2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e3w j j = 6(2 1 )e w k =0 k VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 6( 2 j k 1 2 j j 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w http://xadzkjdx.cn/ k (31) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 by the Binomial Theorem, 6( 2 1 2 3 )e2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e3w k k = 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w r =0 r 4(1 k r 1 2 k 23 )e 3w r k k = 6k r (1 22 3 ) k r e 2(k r ) w 4r (1 1 2 23 ) r e 3rw r =0 r k k = 6k r 4r (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e (2 k r ) w r =0 r Substitute from(32) in (31), to get 6( 2 j j = 6(2 1 )e w k =0 k 1 )ew 6(1 22 3 )e2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e3w kr 6 k j k r =0 k r (32) j 4r (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e (2 k r ) w j k j k = 6 j r (4) r (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e ( k j r ) w k = 0 r = 0 k r Now, substitute from(33) in (30), to get [2 6( 1 2 1 )ew 6(1 22 3 )e2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e3w ] j k j k = (21 ) j [ 6 j r (4) r (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r j =0 j k = 0 r = 0 k r (1 22 3 ) k r e( k j r ) w ] j k j k = 2 j 6 j r (4) r 1 j (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e ( k j r ) w j = 0 k = 0 r = 0 j k r (34) Now, substitute from(34) in (29), to get 1 w j k j k j j r r j [ f ( x)] = w e 2 6 (4) 1 (2 1 ) j k j = 0 k = 0 r = 0 j k r (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e( k j r ) w VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (33) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 j k Let c( j, k, r , )= 2 j 6 j r (4) r , then j k r 1 j k [ f ( x)] = c( j, k , r , )1 j (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r j =0 k =0 r =0 (1 22 3 ) k r e To find H (x) , we substitute from (35) in (28) H ( x) = 1 1 log [ 1 j k c( j, k , r, ) j 1 ( k j r ) w ( ( x ) ) (35) (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r j =0 k =0 r =0 ( k j r ) w ( e ( x ) ) 0 (36) dx]. We can evaluate the integration ( k j r ) w ( 0 where w = e ( x e ) ( x ) ) dx = (e ( ( x ) ) 0 , and 1, then dw = e ( x ) e ( k j r ) w dx ) dx and 0 < w < With substitution with this transformation in (37) using Gamma integration, ( ) w 1e ( k j r ) w dw = 0 ( k j r ) After solving the integral, we get the Rényi entropy of the QTGD ( , ) by substitute from (38) in (36) j k 1 1 H ( x) = log[c( j, k , r , ) 1 1 j (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r 1 j =0 k =0 r =0 (1 22 3 ) k r 4.2 (37) (38) ( ) ] ( k j r ) q-Entropy The q-entropy was introduced by (Havrda and Charvat [10]). It is the one parameter generalization of the Shannon entropy.( Ullah [20]) defined the q-entropy as 1 I H (q) = 1 f ( x) q dx , whereq > 0, andq 1 0 1 q Theorem 4.2 The q-entropy of a random variable X QTGD ( , ), with VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (39) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 1 1, 2 0, 3 0 and 1 2 3 . is given by I H (q) = j k 1 1 [1 c( j, k , r , q) q 1 1q j (2 1 ) j k (1 1 2 23 ) r 1 q j =0 k =0 r =0 (1 22 3 ) k r ( q ) ] (q k j r ) q Proof. To find I H (q) , we substitute (35) in (40). 4.3 Shannon Entropy The (Shannons entropy [17]) of a non-negative continuous random variable X with pdf f (x) is defined as H ( f ) = E[ log f ( x)] = f ( x) log( f ( x))dx 0 Below, we are going to use the Expansion of the Logarithm function (Taylor series at 1), m m 1 ( x 1) log ( x) = (1) , | x |< 1 m m=0 The Shannon entropy of a random variable X QTGD ( , ), with 1 1, 2 0, 3 0 and 1 2 3 . is given by m n 1 j k m 1 1 H ( f ) = (1) n c( j, k , r , n 1) n1 1n1 j (2 1 ) j k m =1 n = 0 j = 0 k = 0 r = 0 nm (n 1) (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r (n 1 j k r ) n1 Proof: By the Expansion of the Logarithm function (41) ( f ( x) 1) m log ( f ( x)) = (1) m1 , m m =1 and by Binomial Theorem, m 1m = (1) m1 (1) mn f n ( x) m n=0 m =1 n m 1 log ( f ( x)) = (1) n 1 f n ( x) m =1 n = 0 nm To compute the Shannon’s entropy of X, substitute from (44) in (40) (40) (41) (42) (43) m (44) m m 1 H ( f ) = f ( x) log ( f ( x))dx = f ( x)(1) n1 f n ( x)dx 0 0 m =1 n = 0 nm H( f ) = 0 VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 m m 1 (1) n m f m =1 n = 0 n n 1 ( x)dx http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (45) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 substituting from (35) in (45), to get H( f ) = n 1 j k 1 n1 j n m 1 j k ( 1) n m c( j, k , r , n 1) n1 1 (2 1 ) m =1 n = 0 j =0 k =0 r =0 0 m (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e ( n 1 k j r ) w ( ( n 1) ( x ) ) dx m n 1 j k m 1 1 H ( f ) = (1) n c( j, k , r , n 1) n1 1n1 j (2 1 ) j k m =1 n = 0 j = 0 k = 0 r = 0 nm ( n 1 k j r ) w ( ( n 1) (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r e 0 ( x ) ) dx Now, we use (38) to fined the value of the integration, so m n 1 j k m 1 1 H ( f ) = (1) n c( j, k , r , n 1) n1 1n1 j (2 1 ) j k m =1 n = 0 j = 0 k = 0 r = 0 nm (1 1 2 23 ) r (1 22 3 ) k r 5 (n 1) (n 1 j k r ) n1 ORDER STATISTICS Let X 1 , X 2 ,..., X n be a random sample of size k from the QTG distribution with parameters > 0 , > 0 , 0 1 1 , 1 1 2 1 and 2 1 3 2 From [5], the pdf of the k th order statistics is obtain by n f X ( x) = k f ( x)[ F ( x)]k 1[1 F ( x)]nk (k ) k Let X k be the k th order statistic from X QTGD ( , ) with 1 0 , 2 0 and 3 0 . Then, the pdf of the k th order statistic is given by n ( x) = k f ( x)[ F ( x)]k 1[1 F ( x)]nk , byBinomialTheorem, (k ) k nk n n k [ F ( x)] j = k f ( x)[ F ( x)]k 1 (1) j k j j =0 nk n n k f ( x)[ F ( x)]k j 1 = (1) j k j =0 k j fX nk n n k 1 w we [21 6(2 1 )e w ( x) = (1) j k (k ) j =0 k j 2 w 6(1 22 3 )e 4(1 1 2 23 )e3w ] fX VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (46) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 ew[21 3(2 1 )ew 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e3w ] Then, the pdf of first order statistic X (1) of QTG distribution is given as f X ( x) = n (1) 1 k j 1 we w [21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ] 1 ew[21 3(2 1 )ew 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e3w ] Therefore, the of the largest order statistic X (n ) of QTG distribution is given by n 1 fX ( n) ( x) = n 1 we w [21 6(2 1 )e w 6(1 22 3 )e 2 w 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3w ew[21 3(2 1 )ew 2(1 22 3 )e2 w (1 1 2 23 )e3w 6 n 1 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION (MLE) Assume X 1 , X 2 ,..., X n be a random sample of size n from QTGD( , ) then the likelihood function can be written as n n l ( , , 1 , 2 , 3 ) = f ( xi ) = [ i =1 i =1 1 6(1 22 3 )e where wi = e Then x ( i ) wi e 2 wi wi [21 6(2 1 )e wi 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3wi ]] , i = 1,2,..., n . l ( , , 1 , 2 , 3 ) = 6(1 22 3 )e 1 n 2 wi n wi e wi n [[2 6( 1 i =1 2 1 )e wi (47) i =1 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3wi ]] Then, the Log likelihood function of a vector of parameters given as, n n i =1 i =1 log l ( , , 1 , 2 , 3 ) = log f ( xi ) = n log [ log[21 6(2 1 )e wi 6(1 22 3 )e 2 wi xi wi 4(1 1 2 23 )e 3 wi ]] Differentiate w.r.t parameters , , 1 , 2 and 3 we have log l n 1 = VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 n w (48) i i =1 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University 1 n https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 3(2 1 ) wi e i 6(1 22 3 ) wi e 3( i =1 1 2 w 1 )e wi 2 wi 3(1 22 3 )e 2 wi ISSN No:1001-2400 6(1 1 2 23 )e 3 wi 2(1 1 2 23 )e 3 wi x log l n n xi = wi i 2 2 i =1 n i =1 (49) ( xi )[3(2 1 ) wi e i 6(1 22 3 ) wi e w 2 (1 3(2 1 )e wi 3(1 22 3 )e 2 wi 2 wi w 6(1 1 2 23 )e 2(1 1 2 23 )e 2 w 3 wi 3 wi ] ) 3 w n log l 1 3e i 3e i 2e i = wi 2 w 3 w 1 3(1 22 3 )e i 2(1 1 2 23 )e i i =1 1 3(2 1 )e w 2 w 3 w n log l 3e i 6e i 2e i = wi 2 w 3 w 2 3(1 22 3 )e i 2(1 1 2 23 )e i i =1 1 3(2 1 )e 2 w We can obtain the estimates of the unknown parameters by the maximum likelihood method by setting these above nonlinear equations(48),(49),(50),(51)and(52) to zero and solving them simultaneously. Therefore, statistical software can be employed in obtaining the numerical solution to the nonlinear equations,We can compute the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of parameters ( , , 1 , 2 ,and 3 ) using quasi-Newton procedure,or computer packages softwares such as R, SAS, MATLAB, MAPLE and MATHEMATICA. APPLICATIONS In this section, the Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumble Distribution (QTGD) is applied on two data sets as follows: Data Set 1: The values of data about strengths of 1.5 cm glass fibers [19, 3]. The data set is: 0.55, 0.74, 0.77, 0.81, 0.84, 0.93, 1.04, 1.11, 1.13, 1.24, 1.25, 1.27, 1.28, 1.29, 1.30, 1.36, 1.39, 1.42, 1.48, 1.48, 1.49, 1.49, 1.50, 1.50, 1.51, 1.52, 1.53, 1.54, 1.55, 1.55, 1.58, 1.59, 1.60, 1.61, 1.61, 1.61, 1.61, 1.62, 1.62, 1.63, 1.64, 1.66, 1.66, 1.66, 1.67, 1.68, 1.68, 1.69, 1.70, 1.70, 1.73, 1.76, 1.76, 1.77, 1.78, 1.81, 1.82, 1.84, 1.84, 1.89, 2.00, 2.01, 2.24. Data Set 2: The data represents a wind velocity (WVD) involving 264 observations of the maximum of monthly wind speed (mph) in Falconara Marittima, VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 (51) 3 w n log l 3e i 4e i = wi 2 w 3 w 3 3(1 22 3 )e i 2(1 1 2 23 )e i i =1 1 3(2 1 )e 7 (50) http://xadzkjdx.cn/ (52) Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Ancona, Italy for the months January 2000 to December, 2021. Data is available for download from Weather underground(https://www.wunderground.com/) website.The data set is: 24, 21, 28, 20, 20, 20, 24, 20, 39, 25, 26, 22, 33, 25, 28, 22, 20, 26, 21, 26, 22, 13, 21, 28, 25, 23, 30, 20, 18, 25, 17, 28, 16, 25, 26, 24, 21, 25, 23, 28, 15, 16, 20, 22, 22, 35, 21, 28, 2, 26, 18, 22, 26, 18, 36, 31, 40, 28, 31, 26, 32, 26, 29, 26, 23, 29, 26, 25, 29, 17, 24, 28, 35, 31, 38, 18, 26, 23, 18, 31, 21, 18, 28, 15, 23, 33, 28, 25, 22, 22, 26, 22, 75, 106, 22, 48, 99, 26, 105, 62, 22, 75, 78, 23, 86, 30, 25, 86, 21, 30, 29, 23, 100, 23, 29, 39, 21, 33, 38, 25, 22, 29, 25, 29, 23, 24, 22, 101, 22, 20, 20, 52, 21, 32, 23, 36, 24, 21, 21, 61, 23, 26, 16, 33, 25, 26, 21, 28, 23, 20, 21, 25, 24, 33, 18, 29, 20, 26, 33, 20, 24, 16, 21, 23, 76, 20, 38, 17, 29, 23, 25, 20, 23, 21, 23, 22, 36, 28, 16, 35, 64, 32, 35, 56, 72, 40, 24, 18, 26, 40, 24, 16, 29, 35, 29, 21, 20, 28, 25, 26, 22, 18, 29, 25, 36, 24, 29, 29, 28, 22, 26, 28, 29, 29, 26, 58, 29, 23, 92, 40, 18, 20, 23, 20, 28, 23, 26, 25, 25, 31, 31, 20, 25, 18, 33, 21, 25, 31, 26, 26, 21, 36, 24, 18, 32, 18, 21, 22, 24, 24, 22, 21, 32, 22, 26, 28, 25, 22, 23, 25, 16, 26, 24, 29 Summary statistics of the two data sets is demonstrated in Table 1. For the sake of comparison and using these data sets, four alternative distributions:(QTGD) model, the Gumbel distribution (GD) , transmuted Gumbel distribution (TGD) , Cubic Transmuted Gumbel (CTGD) have been compared. The estimated values of the model parameters along with corresponding standard errors are presented in Tables 2 and 4 for selected models using the MLE method. In Tables 3 and 5, the goodness of fit of the Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumble Distribution (QTGD)model,Cubic Transmuted Gumbel Distribution (CTGD), Transmuted Gumbel Distribution (TGD) and the Gumbel distribution (GD) has been introduced using different comparison measures we consider some criteria like (-2 L ( ) ): where is L ( ) the maximum value of log-likelihood function, AIC (Akaike Information Criterion), AICc (Corrected Akaike Information Criterion) and BIC (Bayesian Information Criterion),HQIC (Hanan-Quinn information criterion) and CAIC (Consistent Akaike information criterion), for the data set. In general the better fit of the distribution corresponds to the smaller value of the statistics (-2 L ( ) ) , AIC, CAIC, BIC, HQIC and AICc. Plots of the empirical and theoretical cdfs and pdfs for fitted distributions are given in Figure 5, and Figure 6, respectively. These Figures shows that: the curve of the pdf and cdf QTGD is closer to the curve of the sample of data than the curve of the pdf and cdf of CTGD,TGD and GD . So, the QTGD is a better model than one based on the CTGD,TGD and GD. Table Data Set1 set2 VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 1: Descriptive Statistics of Data Set 1, 2 mean 1.59 29.01 Median 1.506825 25 Skewness 0.89993 3.0962617 kurtosis 3.92376 13.3250012 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Table 2: MLE’s of the parameters and respective SE’s for various distributions for Data Set 1 Distribution Parameter 1 2 3 1 2 QTGD CTGD TGD GD Table ModeI QTGD CTGD TGD GD 3: Estimate 1.02455 0.258847 0.241234 0.208044 -0.885227 1.11008 0.282105 -0.305918 -1.69408 1.5819 0.488214 0.999999 1.33313 0.376428 SE 0.00359295 0.000343268 0.0425602 0.287866 0.574946 0.00244777 0.000685827 0.103321 0.75491 -0.00316457 0.000263098 -0.177738 0.00255327 0.00104844 Goodness-of fit statistics using the selection criteria values for Data Set 1 -2 L ( ) 34.935 41.6642 50.701 61.0358 AIC 44.935 49.6642 56.701 65.058 (a) Fig.5 (a):Fitted pdf for Data Set 1 VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 BIC 55.651 58.237 63.130 69.322 HQIC 42.042 47.350 54.965 63.879 AICc 45.988 50.354 57.108 65.258 (b) (b) Empirical cdf and theoretical cdf for Data Set 1 http://xadzkjdx.cn/ CAIC 60.651 62.237 66.130 71.322 Journal of Xidian University https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 Table 4: MLE’s of the parameters and respective SE’s for various distributions for Data Set 2 Distribution Parameter QTGD CTGD TGD GD Table ModeI QTGD CTGD TGD GD 1 2 3 1 2 Estimate 28.573 10.1077 1 1 -0.38496 27.5443 9.2936 1 -0.444086 26.6412 9.15995 0.677728 23.7077 8.02217 SE -0.198022 0.412069 -0.0374996 0.0048907 0.060622 -0.522687 0.140624 -0.0929894 -0.0911491 0.374464 0.235455 0.00668499 0.260879 0.148993 5: Goodness-of fit statistics using the selection criteria values for Data Set 3 -2 L ( ) AIC BIC HQIC AICc CAIC 1898.234 1908.234 1926.114 1906.826 1908.467 1931.114 1939.172 1947.172 1961.476 1946.046 1974.326 1965.476 1951.112 1957.112 1967.839 1956.267 1957.204 1970.839 1976.482 1980.482 1978.634 1979.919 1980.528 1989.634 (a) Fig.6 (a):Fitted pdf for Data Set 2 VOLUME 16, ISSUE 6, 2022 (b) (b) Empirical cdf and theoretical cdf for Data Set 2. http://xadzkjdx.cn/ Journal of Xidian University 8. https://doi.org/10.37896/jxu16.6/023 ISSN No:1001-2400 CONCLUSION In this paper, the Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel Distribution has been introduced. This distribution is high elastic to treat the complex data.The graphical representations of pdf, cdf, reliability function, hazard function are given for various value of the parameters.We have discussed some statistical properties of the Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel Distribution (QTGD) are discussed including moments, moment generating function, characteristic function, quantile function, reliability function, hazard function ,Rényi Entropy, q-Entropy , Shannon entropy and order statistics. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel Distribution has been applied on two real applications and the obtained results showed that the Quartic Rank Transmuted Gumbel distribution offers better appropriate than Gumbel , transmuted Gumbel and cubic transmuted Gumbel distributions for the applied data sets. 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