ENGINEERING ECONOMICS IN CONTEXT WHEN WE WILL MEET • Monday, Wednesday and Friday 0935-1025 in G109 • Tutorials: During these times you will complete practice problems similar to those on midterms and exams. Please attend your scheduled session (unless you are able to make arrangements with another student). We are at room capacity for Tuesday and Thursday sessions. Fridays are available if you miss T/Th • Tuesday 1535-1725 HA19 • Thursdays 1135-1325 HA19 • Fridays 1135-1325 G109 • Tutorial Sessions will comprise of practicing problems, asking TAs questions, and working through examples. There will be a small assignment due at the end of each session. EVALUATION Submission Group Size Number Total Weight Where/ When Check in Exercises (Brightspace) 1 13 13 Tutorial Exercises 1 8 (1 drop) 16 Midterm 1 1 21 2-4 2 20 Weekly on Brighstpace Weekly during designated session During Tutorial times October 18,20 or 21 One October, One November TBA by Registrar Type of Assessment Design Project Final Exam 1 30 Total 100 DON’T SHARE YOUR PLAGUE! • Please stay home if you are sick. • Lectures will be recorded using Panopto for review • Slides from the tutorials will be posted. • There will be makeup dates available for both the midterm and final knowing there will be persons ill GRADUATE ATTRIBUTES BEING REPORTED Attribute Number Attribute Description: Reported from: 9C Assess risk in relation to users, the community and the environment. 11A Conduct engineering economic analyses using time value of money, inflation and taxes. Project 3 Report Projects and Exam If you would like to know more about Engineering Attributes and how they are reported to Engineers Canada or the Washington Accord, please refer to https://engineerscanada.ca/accreditation/about-accreditation or ask for details from me COMMUNICATION • Brighstpace will be used. – Announcements, Quizzes, assignments, tutorials, weekly checklists – Please ensure you have checked you emails, and announcements for an answer to your question prior to emailing me or the Tas – If you have questions regarding grading, please contact the lead TA for the course Alireza Ghahtarani alireza.ghahtarani@dal.ca • What is engineering all about? • What is engineering all about? • What is the first article in the Engineers Canada Engineering Code of Ethics? What is the first article in the Engineers Canada Engineering Code of Ethics? • “Hold paramount the safety, health, and welfare of the public and the protection of the environment and promote health and safety within the workplace” Why is this important? Why are ethics so important in engineering? ETHICS ARE A PART OF WHO WE ARE, NOT JUST WHAT WE DO • Help us decide between right and wrong when making decision • Help us have a system of believe, defining values and fairness • Since we are making decisions about projects that could have large impacts on the economy, environment, society, land, and people in a certain region, we have a duty to ensure that we have properly consulted the locals as well as the governments of a region. They have a right to know both the benefits and risks a project can bring LET’S ACTUALLY LOOK AT THE DOCUMENT • https://engineerscanada.ca/sites/default/files/Yukon/APEY_Code_Of_E thics.pdf TO PONDER If you are an engineer at a firm that works in many countries, which country’s standard of safety should you adhere to? “BIG PICTURE” – WHY THIS COURSE? • Engineering Courses in general – Help us to design products that are technically viable – we learn laws and rules that help us understand if a product will be able to do what we would like to do – if we are unsure if something is possible, these ideas can help us in the creative process This course – Deals with Economic viability – is what we are designing/our plan practically possible given our current marketplace environment WHAT DO THESE PROJECTS HAVE IN COMMON? https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fil e:Humber_Bridge.jpg https://www.google.ca/search?q=british+ airways+concorde&source=lnms&tbm=isc h&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjm09r00_TUAhW GoD4KHdeKCoYQ_AUICigB&biw=1204&bi h=657#imgrc=JQ9Cx1ysCukwjM: Humber Bridge Eng design principles, hurst,19 Concorde Airplane BOTH WERE ECONOMIC FAILURES! ECONOMICALLY VIABLE? If you were in a meeting and someone were to say that a project was “Economically Viable” – what would that mean? • That this project “makes money” ▪ That we end up with more $ in the end than the beginning ▪ This is a worth-while investment ▪ There is an acceptable “return on investment” ▪ This could do some good for the surrounding area in some way ECONOMICALLY VIABLE? • So an “Economically Viable” project is a project that makes us money. ▪ It is a project that is “successful” in our current economic system ▪ If a project is successful in our system, then it makes sense to think of it as “good” ▪ If it is not successful, then we may think of it as “bad”, or perhaps that it needs to modified before tried again ECONOMICALLY VIABLE? • But some citizens and groups believe that there are issues with this way of determining “good” projects (makes money) or “bad” projects (does not make money) • What kinds of things are wrong with this way of determining project success? ▪ It may be a great idea, just didn’t work ▪ It may have worth or benefits that are not easily measurable in terms of dollars ▪ Biggest issues • “good projects” can cause a lot of environmental damage • “good projects” can harm the health of human beings “EXTERNALITIES” People may have issues with what is determined to be a success in our marketplace because there are certain things that are not measured, or are difficult to measure We call these things “externalities” ▪ For instance, what is the worth of the greenspace in Halifax if it is not developed? ▪(Public Gardens, Northern Commons, etc.) ▪ What is the “cost” of an oil spill? ▪ What are the costs of increased health issues? ▪ What is the cost of plant/animal extinction? ▪ What are the costs of resources no longer being renewable? MODEL OF THE BIOSPHERE VS ACTUAL • Economically feasible region vs. sustainable reasible region http://wwf.panda.org/about_our_earth/all_publications/living_planet_report/ CAN SOMETHING BE “TOO SAFE”? • There is always a balance between what is the correct safety factor on a project, and how much it costs to achieve that. • If lives are at stake it is probably better to over design something, but look at the automobile industry. There are inherent risks involved, but it is a game of balancing desired features, safety and cost to users. ASSUMPTIONS • Economics - study of our material welfare • Our system runs on some assumptions: – Continual Growth is a must; even staying in same economic position is “bad” – Most anything can be measured in terms of $ – All other factors are a subject to the availability of monetary resources (finance) – Economic Viability drives most all decisions – other important factors are oft considered “externalities” • In the current model, availability of financial resources is the core decision-making principle, this is the backbone of the current economic system, and purportedly society and how we treat the planet • Human-centric (or at least Human idea-centric) Photo: Adbusters Canada, Jan/Feb 2013 Vol 21, Number 1. ◼ ◼ Photo: Adbusters Canada, Jan/Feb 2013 Vol 21, Number 1. One alternate model. In this model, environmental viability is the core decision-making principal. This influences society, then helps to structure the economic system, and then what monetary resources are available (finance) Geo-centric (planet-centred idea) THE COST OF NOT CHANGING OUR DECISION CRITERIA? • Engineers should be concerned about “Ecocide” • https://cop21.endecocide.org/en/examples-of-ecocide-2/ – Most stark example is the “disappearance of the Aral Sea” – (note examples of Tar Sands, Atlantic Tuna) – PEI – risk of losing fresh water due to potato farming • https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/water-for-irrigation1.2674865 – Invasive Species being introduced to different places in shipping bilge water • This is what happens if we only use financial methods of determining if a given project is “good” or not. • Rest of this course describes the details of working in the current capitalistic system – Where economic viability is of key concern – A project can stand or fall because of perceived/calculated viability • Social outcomes, environmental outcomes are seen as “externalities” • This will not remain the case in the future as sustainability is becoming a requirement • Different goals in decision making? Will this project…. Help our society? Help our planet? SOME TERMINOLOGY • Fixed, Variable, Marginal, and Average Costs • • • • Fixed: Constant, unchanging costs Variable: Depends on the level of output or activity Marginal: Variable cost for one more unit Average: Total cost divided by the number of units • Sunk Costs • Money already spent due to a past decision • Should be disregarded in engineering economic analysis • Fixed, Variable, Marginal, and Average Costs, cont’d • Break-even point: The level of activity at which the total cost of providing the product, good, or service is equal to the revenue generated • Profit region: Values of the variable x greater than the break-even point, where total revenue is greater than total costs • Loss region: Values of the variable x less than the break-even point, where total cost is greater than total revenue EXAMPLE • Problem • A company operates a summer camp. The following cost data for a 12-week summer camp is as follows: • Charge per camper • Variable cost per camper • Fixed costs season Capacity per week =$400/week =$220/week =$240,000 per summer =200 campers • Determine the following: • The total number of campers to breakeven for the season • The profit if the camp is operated at 90% capacity • The additional profit that can be made if a discount of $100 per week is given for another 10 campers • Solution a) To break-even, Total costs = Total revenue • 240,000 + 220 (12)x = 400 (12)x • x = 240,000/ {(400 – 220)(12)} = 111 campers b) 90% capacity • Number of campers = 0.90 (200) = 180 • Profit = 180 (400) 12 – {240,000 + 180(12)(220) = $188,800 c) Additional profit = 10(12)(400 – 100) – 10(12)(220) = $9,600 • Opportunity Costs • The costs associated with a resource being used for an alternate task • Sometimes referred to as “forgone opportunity costs” • “An opportunity cost is the benefit that is forgone by engaging a business resource in a chosen activity instead of engaging that same resource in a forgone activity.” • Recurring: A cost that reoccurs at regular intervals • Non-recurring : One-of-a-kind cost recurring at irregular intervals • Incremental: Cost differences between alternatives • Cash Costs versus Book Costs • Cash costs: require a cash transaction out of one person’s pocket into the pocket of someone else • Book costs are recorded but are not transactions ➢ Do not represent cash flows, thus are not included in engineering economic analysis • Life-Cycle Costs • Designing products, goods, and services with a full and explicit recognition of the associated costs over their life cycles • Two key concepts: ➢ The later a design change is made, the higher the cost ➢ Decisions made early in the life cycle tend to “lock in” costs that will be incurred later LIFE CYCLE COST C O N S I D E R AT I O N S LIFE CYCLE COSTS ESTIMATING BENEFITS • Illustrates the size, sign, and timing of individual cash flows CASH FLOW DIAGRAMS • Categories of Cash Flow • First cost: Expense of building or of buying and installing • Operations and maintenance (O&M): Annual expense, such as electricity, labour, and minor repairs • Salvage value: Receipt at project termination for sale or transfer of the equipment (can be a salvage cost) • Revenues: Annual receipts due to sale of products or services • Overhaul: Major capital expenditure that occurs during the life of the asset SOME EXAMPLES The money question is always a critical consideration in any business, but it is not the only one. Sometimes we have to spend a little more for the good of the world Having a strong moral code leads to integrity and operating with ethics It is important for engineers to understand the business side of projects to keep things on track, and to properly manage all stakeholders in a project. SUMMARY