Managing Corporate Liquidity Net Working Capital Components CA CA CL CL Cash Cash Mkt. Sec A/P Mkt. Sec A/P A/R N/P A/R N/P Inventory CMLTD Inventory CMLTD Prepaid Accruals Prepaid Accruals NWC = CA - CL WCR = A/R + INV + Pre – A/P - Accruals NLB = Cash + M/S – N/P - CMLTD Net Working Capital = Working Capital Requirements + Net Liquid Balance Legend: CA = Current Assets CL = Current Liabilities Mkt. Sec. = Marketable Securities A/R = Accounts Receivable A/P = Accounts Payable N/P = Notes Payable CMLTD = Current Maturing Long Term Debt NWC = Net Working Capital WCR = Working Capital Requirements Pre = Prepaid NLB = Net Liquid Balance Net Working Capital Requirements Index of working capital needs Spontaneous uses/sources of funds over operating cycle Expands or contracts with sales If seasonal , working capital is financed with Net Liquid Balance (NLB) or short term borrowings Net Working Capital Requirements If permanent due to growth, finance with long term capital Negative number means cash cycle is a source of financing Net Liquid Balance Measure of liquidity rather than solvency Current funds that are available to finance short term needs Negative number indicates need for external financing which means reduced financial flexibility Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corp. is a diversified manufacturing company. Determine the company’s 2014 operating cycle and the cash cycle after computing the appropriate ratios for inventory, receivables and payables. Cash Conversion Period Inventory Stocked Inventory Sold Days Inventory Held Cash Received Days Sales Outstanding Days Payable Outstanding Cash Conversion Period Cash Disbursed Cash Conversion Period = Days Inventory Held + Days Sales Outstanding - Days Payable Outstanding Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Cash $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 $ 450,000 Accounts Receivable less allowance for bad debts $ 2,000,000 $ 1,600,000 Inventories $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 6,000,000 $ 4,550,000 Assets Current Assets Total current assets Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Accounts payable $ 1,000,000 $ 750,000 Notes payable $ 1,500,000 $ 500,000 Accrued expenses payable $ 250,000 $ 225,000 Taxes payable $ 250,000 $ 225,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 1,700,000 Liabilities Current Liabilities Total current liabilities Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Income Statement 2014 2013 $ 11,500,000 $ 10,700,000 $ 8,200,000 $ 7,684,000 $ 300,000 $ 275,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,325,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,416,000 Consolidated Income Statement Net Sales Cost of sales and operating expenses: Cost of goods sold Depreciation Selling and administrative expenses Operating profit Cash Conversion Cycle Compute average inventory first Ave. Inventory = $ 3 million + $ 2 million 2 = $ 2.5 million Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Cash $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 $ 450,000 Accounts Receivable less allowance for bad debts $ 2,000,000 $ 1,600,000 Inventories $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 6,000,000 $ 4,550,000 Assets Current Assets Total current assets Cash Conversion Cycle Compute Inventory Turnover Ratio Inventory Turnover Ratio = Cost of Goods Ave. Inventory = $ 8.2 million $ 2.5 million = 3.3 This means an inventory cycle of 3.3 times per year Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Income Statement 2014 2013 $ 11,500,000 $ 10,700,000 $ 8,200,000 $ 7,684,000 $ 300,000 $ 275,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,325,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,416,000 Consolidated Income Statement Net Sales Cost of sales and operating expenses: Cost of goods sold Depreciation Selling and administrative expenses Operating profit Cash Conversion Cycle Compute for Days in Inventory Days in Inventory = 365 days Inventory Turnover Ratio = 365 days 3.3 = 110.6 days This means inventory cycle is around 110 days Cash Conversion Cycle Compute for Average Accounts Receivable and Average Receivable Turnover Ave. Accounts Receivable = $ 2.0 million + $ 1.6 million 2 = $ 1.8 million Ave. Receivable Turnover = Credit Sales* Ave. Accounts Receivable = $ 11.5 million $ 1.8 million = 6.4 *Assumes company has no cash sales Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Cash $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 $ 450,000 Accounts Receivable less allowance for bad debts $ 2,000,000 $ 1,600,000 Inventories $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 6,000,000 $ 4,550,000 Assets Current Assets Total current assets Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Income Statement 2014 2013 $ 11,500,000 $ 10,700,000 $ 8,200,000 $ 7,684,000 $ 300,000 $ 275,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,325,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,416,000 Consolidated Income Statement Net Sales Cost of sales and operating expenses: Cost of goods sold Depreciation Selling and administrative expenses Operating profit Cash Conversion Cycle Compute for Days in Receivable Days in Receivables = 365 days Ave. Receivable Turnover = 365 days 6.4 = 57 days Cash Conversion Cycle Compute for Average Payables Ave. Payables = $ 1.0 million + $ 0.75 million 2 = $ 0.875 million Accounts Payable Deferral Period = Cost of Goods Sold Average Payables = $ 8.2 million $ 0.875 million = 9.4 Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Income Statement 2014 2013 $ 11,500,000 $ 10,700,000 $ 8,200,000 $ 7,684,000 $ 300,000 $ 275,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,325,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,416,000 Consolidated Income Statement Net Sales Cost of sales and operating expenses: Cost of goods sold Depreciation Selling and administrative expenses Operating profit Cash Conversion Cycle Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Accounts payable $ 1,000,000 $ 750,000 Notes payable $ 1,500,000 $ 500,000 Accrued expenses payable $ 250,000 $ 225,000 Taxes payable $ 250,000 $ 225,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 1,700,000 Liabilities Current Liabilities Total current liabilities Cash Conversion Cycle Compute for Days in Payables Days in Payables = 365 Days Accounts Payable Deferral Period = 365 Days 9.4 = 38.8 days Cash Conversion Cycle Compute for Operating Cycle and Cash Cycle Operating Cycle = Days in Inventory + Days in Receivable = 110.6 days + 57 days = 167.6 days Cash Cycle = Operating Cycle – Days in Payables = 167.6 days – 38.8 days = 128.8 days Current Liquidity Index Current Liquidity Index = Cash Assets + Cash Flow From Operations Notes Payable + Current Maturing Long Term Debt Measuring Liquidity: Alternative Liquidity Measures Comprehensive liquidity index (CLI) is an adjusted current ratio. Liquidity weighted version of the current ratio. Traditional current ratio treats all assets and liabilities as being of equal degree of liquidity. CLI avoids this by weighing each current asset or current liability based on its turnover or nearness to cash The accounts receivable, inventory, accounts payable and accrued expenses are adjusted by a turnover factor. Measuring Liquidity: Alternative Liquidity Measures Comprehensive liquidity index Each current asset or liability is multiplied by one, minus the inverse of the of the asset’s or liability’s turnover ratio. Accounts receivable x [ 1 – ( 1/arto)] In cases of more than one turnover required to generate cash from the asset, the inverse of each of these ratios is subtracted. Inventory x [1 – (1/arto) – (1/invto)] Comprehensive Liquidity Index Comprehensive Liquidity Index = Adjusted Current Asset Adjusted Current Liability Comprehensive liquidity index considers the degree of liquidity of current assets and time to repay current liabilities Comprehensive Liquidity Index Specific weight is assigned to each current asset considering their liquidity degree and their adjusted amount is calculated A coefficient of one is assigned to cash and short term investments due to their high liquidity quality and their weight does not need to be adjusted Comprehensive Liquidity Index Accounts receivable is adjusted Adjusted Accounts Receivable = Average Accounts Receivable * [1 – (1 /Accounts Receivable Turnover)] Comprehensive Liquidity Index Compute for Average Accounts Receivable and Average Receivable Turnover Ave. Accounts Receivable = $ 2.0 million + $ 1.6 million 2 = $ 1.8 million Ave. Receivable Turnover = Credit Sales* Ave. Accounts Receivable = $ 11.5 million $ 1.8 million = 6.4 *Assumes company has no cash sales Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Cash $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 $ 450,000 Accounts Receivable less allowance for bad debts $ 2,000,000 $ 1,600,000 Inventories $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 6,000,000 $ 4,550,000 Assets Current Assets Total current assets Comprehensive Liquidity Index Inventory is adjusted AINV = INV * [1 – (1/ARTO) – (1/INVT)] Adjusted Inventory = Average Inventory * [1 – (1 /Accounts Receivable Turnover) – (1/Inventory Turnover Ratio)] AINV = Adjusted Inventory INV = Average Inventory ARTO = Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio INVT = Inventory Turnover Ratio Comprehensive Liquidity Index Compute for Average Accounts Receivable and Average Receivable Turnover Ave. Accounts Receivable = $ 2.0 million + $ 1.6 million 2 = $ 1.8 million Ave. Receivable Turnover = Credit Sales* Ave. Accounts Receivable = $ 11.5 million $ 1.8 million = 6.4 *Assumes company has no cash sales Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Cash $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 $ 450,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 6,000,000 $ 4,550,000 Assets Current Assets Accounts Receivable less allowance for bad debts Inventories Total current assets Comprehensive Liquidity Index Compute average inventory first Ave. Inventory = $ 3 million + $ 2 million 2 = $ 2.5 million Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Cash $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 $ 450,000 Accounts Receivable less allowance for bad debts $ 2,000,000 $ 1,600,000 Inventories $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 6,000,000 $ 4,550,000 Assets Current Assets Total current assets Comprehensive Liquidity Index Compute Inventory Turnover Ratio Inventory Turnover Ratio = Cost of Goods Ave. Inventory = $ 8.2 million $ 2.5 million = 3.3 This means an inventory cycle of 3.3 times per year Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2012 Amount Adjusted Weight Adjusted Amount Cash $ 500,000 100 % $ 500,000 Marketable Securities (at cost) $ 500,000 100 % $ 500,000 Average Accounts Receivable (AR) less allowance for bad debts ($ 2,000,000 + $ 1,600,000)/2 = $ 1,800,000 Adj. AR = Ave. AR x [( 1 – 1/ARTO)] $ 1,800,000 x [( 1 – 1/ARTO)] Average Inventories (INV) ($ 3,000,000 + $ 2,000,000)/2 = $ 2,500,000 Adj. INV = Ave. INV x [( 1 – 1/ARTO) – (1/INVT)] $ 2,50,000 x [( 1 – 1/ARTO) – (1/INVT)] Assets Current Assets Total current assets Note: Adj. AR = Adjusted Accounts Receivable Ave. AR = Average Accounts Receivable ARTO = Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio Adj. INV = Adjusted Inventory Ave. INV = Average Inventory INVT = Inventory Turnover Ratio $ xxxxxxxx.00 Comprehensive Liquidity Index Specific weight is assigned to each current liabilities considering their timing of repayment and their adjusted amount is calculated Comprehensive Liquidity Index Accounts Payable is adjusted AAP = AP * [1 – (1/APT)] APT = PUR/AP Adjusted Inventory = Average Inventory * [1 – (1 /Accounts Receivable Turnover) – (1/Inventory Turnover Ratio)] AAP = Adjusted Accounts Payable AP = Average Accounts Payable APT = Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio PUR = Total purchases Comprehensive Liquidity Index Compute for Average Payables Ave. Payables = $ 1.0 million + $ 0.75 million 2 = $ 0.875 million Accounts Payable Deferral Period = Cost of Goods Sold also called Accounts Payable Turnover Average Payables = Total Purchases Average Accounts Payables = $ 8.2 million $ 0.875 million = 9.4 Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Income Statement 2014 2013 $ 11,500,000 $ 10,700,000 $ 8,200,000 $ 7,684,000 $ 300,000 $ 275,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,325,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,416,000 Consolidated Income Statement Net Sales Cost of sales and operating expenses: Cost of goods sold Depreciation Selling and administrative expenses Operating profit Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2014 2013 Accounts payable $ 1,000,000 $ 750,000 Notes payable $ 1,500,000 $ 500,000 Accrued expenses payable $ 250,000 $ 225,000 Taxes payable $ 250,000 $ 225,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 1,700,000 Liabilities Current Liabilities Total current liabilities Comprehensive Liquidity Index Other components of liabilities can be adjusted by the same method Comprehensive Liquidity Index Dr. Pepper Manufacturing Corporation Balance Sheet 2013 Amount Adjusted Weight Adjusted Amount Average Accounts Payable ($ 1,000,000 + $ 750,000)/2 = $ 875,000 Adj. AP = Ave. AP x [1 – (1/APT)] $ 875,000 x [( 1 – 1/APT)] Average Notes Payable ($ 1,500,000 + + $ 500,000)/2 = $ 1,000,000 Adj. NP = Ave. NP x [ 1 – (1/NPT)] $ 1,000,000 x [ 1 – (1/APT) – (1/NPT)] Average Accrued Expenses payable ($ 250,000 + $ 225,000)/2 = $ 237.50 Adj. AEP = Ave. AEP x [ 1 – (1/AEPT)] $ 237,500 x [ 1 – (1/APT) – (1/AEPT)] Taxes Payable ($ 250,000 + $ 225,000)/2 = $ 237.50 Adj. TP = Ave. TP x [ 1 – (1/TPT)] $ 237,500 x [ 1 – (1/APT) – (1/TPT)] Liabilities Current Liabilities Total current liabilities Note: Adj. AP = Adjusted Accounts Payable = Ave. AP x [1 – (1/APT)] Ave. AP = Average Accounts Payable APT = Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio = Total Purchases/ Ave. Accounts Payable ANP = Adjusted Notes Payable = Ave. Notes Payable x [1 – (1/NPT)] NPT = Notes Payable Turnover AAEP = Adjusted Accrued Expenses Payable = Ave. Accrued Expenses Payable x [ 1 – (1/AEPT)] AEPT = Accrued Expenses Payable Turnover ATP = Adjusted Taxes Payable = Ave. Taxes Payable x [1 – (1/TPT)] TPT = Taxes Payable Turnover $ xxxxxxx.00 Comprehensive Liquidity Index Mc. Ilhenny Co. has the following short term balance sheet below: Assets Current Assets Cash $ 15,000,000 Average Accounts Receivables $ 50,000,000 Average Inventories $ 75,000,000 Total current assets $ 140,000,000 Its account receivable turnover ratio is 20, while its inventory turnover ratio is 12. Comprehensive Liquidity Index Mc. Ilhenny Co. has the following short term balance sheet below: Liabilities Current Liabilities Average Accounts Payable $ 110,000,000 Average Wages Payable $ 60,000,000 Total current liabilities $ 170,000,000 Its accounts payable turnover ratio is 3.64, while its wages payable turnover ratio is 8.33. What is it’s comprehensive liquidity index and its current ratio? Comprehensive Liquidity Index Amount Adjusted Weight Adjusted Amount Cash $ 15,000,000 100 % $ 15,000,000 Average Accounts Receivables (AR) $ 50,000,000 Adj. AR = Ave. AR x [( 1 – 1/ARTO)] $ 50,000,000 x [( 1 – 1/20)] = $ 47,500,000 Average Inventories (INV) $ 75,000,000 Adj. INV = Ave. INV x [( 1 – 1/ARTO) – (1/INVT)] $ 75,00,000 x ( 1 – 1/20) – (1/12)] = $ 65,000,000 Assets Current Assets Total adjusted current assets Note: Adj. AR = Adjusted Accounts Receivable Ave. AR = Average Accounts Receivable ARTO = Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio Adj. INV = Adjusted Inventory Ave. INV = Average Inventory INVT = Inventory Turnover Ratio $ 127,500,000 Comprehensive Liquidity Index 2013 Amount Adjusted Weight Adjusted Amount Average Accounts Payable $ 110,000,000 Adj. AP = Ave. AP x [1 – (1/APT)] $ 110,000,000 x [( 1 – 1/3.64)] = $ 79,750,000 Average Wages Payable $ 60,000,000 Adj. NP = Ave. NP x [ 1 – (1/NPT)] $ 60,000,000 x [ 1 – (1/3.64) – (1/8.33)] = $ 52,800,000 Liabilities Current Liabilities Total current liabilities $ 132,550,000 Comprehensive Liquidity Index Comprehensive Liquidity Index = Adjusted Current Asset Adjusted Current Liability = $ 127,500,000 $ 132,550,000 = 0.96 Current Ratio = ( $ 15,000,000 + $ 50,000,000 + $ 75,000,000) ($ 110,000,000 + $ 60,000) = 0.82 Measuring Liquidity: Alternative Liquidity Measures Lambda = Liquid resources + Expected cash flow Uncertainty of cash flow during analysis horizon = Cash Flow at beginning of month + Cash Flow during the month + Unused Short Term Borrowing Facility Standard deviation or Cumulative degree of fluctuation from beginning of the year up to that point Lambda Lambda = Initial Liquid Reserve + Total Anticipated Net Cash Flow During Analysis Horizon Uncertainty of net cash flow during analysis horizon Initial Liquid Reserve = Cash Balances + Marketable Securities/Short Term Investments + Available Unused Credit Lines but not inventory and receivables Expected Cash Flow = Net Cash Flow Expected to be received or paid during the analysis period (the difference between cash receipts and disbursements) Net Cash Flow = balance of cash receipts – cash outlays Uncertainty of net cash flow during analysis horizon = standard deviation of the net cash flow expectation Measuring Liquidity: Alternative Liquidity Measures Lambda Index Liquid resources include cash, marketable securities, and unused credit lines. Expected cash flow includes any expected planned financing and investment as well as net cash from operation from operations for the time period of the analysis. This term can be either positive or negative. Lambda Index Helps a company forecasts where it will have adequate cash and credit to survive or not enough, and will become insolvent and go bankrupt Lambda Index Measures the uncertainty about the company’s future cash flows using standard deviation of those cash flows Ideal is maintaining a Lambda Index of 3 Lambda Index The numerator of the Lambda Index measures total cash available over time, while the denominator measures expected volatility of cash Lambda Index The higher the Lambda value obtained, the smaller the chance that the company's cash requirements will exceed its cash on hand Lambda Index Lambda Index model has proven itself statistically superior to both bond rating models and Altman's Z- score bankruptcy model in various studies of its predictive accuracy Lambda Index The Lambda Index can be used to estimate the probability of default since it measures the viability of the current liquidity reserve of a company Lambda Index A Lambda index of 15 is considered safe, while index below 2 means the company is in serious trouble A Lambda index of 1.64 means there is a chance of one in 20 that cash requirements will exceed cash on hand Lambda Index A Lambda index of 3.00 means there is a chance of one in 1,000 that cash requirements will exceed cash on hand A Lambda index of 3.29 means there is a chance of one in 2,000 that cash requirements will exceed cash on hand Lambda Index A Lambda index of 3.90 means there is a chance of one in 20,000 that cash requirements will exceed cash on hand Lambda Index A worksheet can be prepared to contain 12 line items in the following order from top to bottom: Short term line of credit Beginning liquid assets Adjustments Initial liquid reserve Total sources of funds Total uses of funds Ending liquid assets Ending liquid reserve Standard deviation The Lambda Index Additional cash to maintain a Lambda of 3 Lambda Index Short term line of credit may not change during the course of the forecast of 1 year Liquid assets include marketable securities and cash at the start of the forecast summary By having the an adjustment line item, the result can been by decreasing or increasing the cash level Initial liquid reserve is the total short term line of credit with any adjustments Lambda Index The total sources and uses of funds are forecasts by company management that result in a positive or negative net cash flow The Lambda value should rise if a company’s short term line of credit does not change and it has positive net cash flow Ending liquid assets is the sum of beginning liquid assets, adjustments, and net cash flow Ending liquid reserve is the sum of short term line of credit and liquid assets Lambda Index The standard deviation is derived from the net cash flows from period to period The Lambda Index is computed by dividing the ending liquid reserve by the standard deviation In the additional cash needed to hold a Lambda of 3, a negative number indicates a Lambda value of greater than 3 , thus a safer company financially A high negative number may mean that those funds could be better utilized elsewhere