1|Page Introduction The island of Oceania attracts thousands of tourists every year. They come to enjoy the beaches, the climate and to explore the architecture and history of this ancient island. Oceania is also an important trading nation in the region and it enjoys close economic links with neighbouring countries. Oceania has four main airports and until 1997 had two airlines, one based in the west (OceaniaAir) and one based in the east (Transport Oceania) of the island. However, in 1997 these two airlines merged into one airline – Oceania National Airlines (ONA) to exploit the booming growth in business and leisure travel to and from Oceania. The board of Oceania airlines The airline has been run for the last 20 years by James Christopher, who has vast experience in the airlines' industry and started out as a member of the cabin crew for the airline and worked himself up into the position of Chairman and CEO. The other members of the board are the financial director James Murphy and HR director, Mary Howie. John’s wife Jenny Christopher acting a non-executive director. The airline lacks the traditional committee structures that are normally present in a large organisation and this was accepted when the airline was growing strongly but the recent drop in profits had raised concerns among institutional investors that the business needs to improve its board structure and overall governance. Shareholder concerns The shareholders were particularly concerned about the high levels of remuneration in the company and a recent incident in which a hacker in the company was able to exploit the IT payment systems and perpetuate a fraud amounting to several million dollars. The shareholders in the company are also frustrated with the lack of information coming from the company. They are provided with the statutory information but feel that they need to know more and are frustrated by the lack of disclosure of non-financial performance information. This is becoming a key issue in the as the institutional investors are more concerned about and they are putting pressure on the company to include this disclosure. Market sectors ONA serves two main sectors. The first sector is a network of routes to the major cities of neighbouring countries. ONA management refers to this as the regional sector. The average flight time in this sector is one and a half hours and most flights are timed to allow business people to arrive in time to attend a meeting and then to return to their homes in the evening. Twenty-five major cities are served in the regional sector with, on average, three return flights per day. There is also significant leisure travel, with many families visiting relatives in the region. The second sector is what ONA management refers to as the international sector. This is a network of flights to continental capitals. The average flight time in this sector is four hours. These flights attract both business and leisure travellers. The leisure travellers are primarily holiday-makers from the continent. Twenty cities are served in this sector with, on average, one return flight per day to each city. 2|Page Image, service and employment ONA is the airline of choice for most of the citizens of Oceania. A recent survey suggested that 90% of people preferred to travel ONA for regional flights and 70% preferred to travel with ONA for international flights. 85% of the respondents were proud of their airline and felt that it projected a positive image of Oceania. The company also has an excellent safety record, with no fatal accident recorded since the merging of the airlines in 1997. The customer service of ONA has also been recognised by the airline industry itself. In 2005 it was voted Regional Airline of the Year by the International Passenger Group (IPG) and one year later the IPG awarded the ONA catering department the prestigious Golden Bowl as the provider of the best airline food in the world. The courtesy and motivation of its employees (mainly Oceanic residents) are recognised throughout the region. 95% of ONA employees belong to recognised trade unions. ONA is perceived as an excellent employer. It pays above industry average salaries, offers excellent benefits (such as free health care) and has a generous non-contributory pension scheme. Employees have to undertake at least 12 hours of training each year. In 2004 ONA employed 5400 people, rising to 5600 in 2005 and 5800 in 2016. The business makes an active effort to employ people from the local community and has a policy of not outsourcing. They are also active in making charitable donations and last year they provided a free flight for underprivileged children to visit Oceanland a major tourist attraction in Oceania. Fleet Fleet details are given in Table 1. Nineteen of the Boeing 737s were originally in the fleet of OceaniaAir. Boeing 737s are primarily used in the international sector. Twenty-three of the Airbus A320s were originally part of the Transport Oceania fleet. Airbuses are primarily used in the regional sector. ONA also used three Embraer RJ145 jets in the regional sector. Table 1: Fleet details Boeing 737 Airbus A320 Embraer RJ145 Total aircraft in service 2016 2005 2004 21 21 20 27 27 26 3 3 2 Capacity (passengers) 147 149 50 Introduced October 2004 November 2005 Average age 12ꞏ1 years 12ꞏ9 years Utilisation (hrs per day) 8ꞏ70 7ꞏ41 Emission levels (CO2) 113g/Km 114g/km Equipment failures 12 12 Per 10,000 flights January 2010 6ꞏ5 years 7ꞏ50 87g/km 2 Note: equipment failure will normally result in a delay to the airline taking off while the fault is repaired, In serious case, this can result in total aircraft failure. 3|Page Performance Since 2004 ONA has begun to experience significant competition from Freshair a ‘no frills’ low-cost budget airline, particularly in the international sector. Freshair now each offer, on average, three low fares flights to Oceania every day. ‘No-frills’ low-cost budget airlines are also having some impact on the regional sector. A recent survey for ONA showed that its average international fare was double that of its low-cost competitors. Some of the key operational statistics for 2016 are summarised in Table 2. Table 2: Key operational statistics for ONA in 2016 Regional International Fresh air Competitor(Average) Contribution to revenue ($m) Passenger Cargo 400 35 280 15 Not applicable Not applicable Passenger load factor Standard Class Business Class 73% 90% 67% 74% 87% 75% Average annual pilot salary Average bonus for directors $106,700 $500,000 $112,500 $400,000 $96,500 $250,000 Source of revenue On-line sales Direct sales Commission sales 40% 10% 50% 60% 5% 35% 84% 12% 4% Remuneration Average age of aircraft See Table 1 Utilisation (hrs per day) See Table 1 4.5 years 9ꞏ10 Internet infrastructure at Oceania airlines ONA have made a number of operational changes in the last few years. Their website, for example, now allows passengers to book over the internet and to either have their tickets posted to them or to pick them up at the airport prior to travelling. Special promotional fares are also available for customers who book on-line. However, the website does allow passengers to check-in on-line. This limited functionality means that the airline has very limited information on who their passengers are this has hampered their ability to obtain relevant market information for decision making. 4|Page However , asTable 2 shows, a large percentage of sales are still commission sales made through travel agents. Direct sales are those sales made over the telephone or at the airport itself. This has led to some complaints from the customers who have become used to using the internet and have been used to the more advanced ticketing features provided by the budget airline. Most leisure travellers pay standard or economy fares and travel in the standard class section of the plane. Although many business travellers also travel in standard class, some of them choose to travel business class for which they pay a price premium. In the last three years, the financial performance of ONA has not matched its operational success. A recent report showed that Oceania was lagging behind the established competitors in the market, especially in light of the recent competition from budget airlines. There was also a feeling that the business is not making enough of the new technologies that are available in the market such as big data. The main financial indicators have been extracted and are presented in Table 3. In a period (2004– 2016) when world-wide passenger air travel revenue increased by 12% (and revenue from air travel to Oceania by 15%) and cargo revenue by 10%, ONA only recorded a 4ꞏ6% increase in passenger revenue. Table 3: Extracted Financial Information all figures in $m Extracted from the Balance Sheet Non-current assets 2016 2015 2014 Property, plant and equipment Other non-current assets Total 788 60 848 785 56 841 775 64 839 Current assets Inventories Trade receivables Cash and cash equivalents 8 68 289 7 71 291 7 69 299 Total 365 369 375 Total assets 1213 1210 1214 Total shareholders’ equity 250 259 264 Non-current liabilities Interest bearing long-term loans Employee benefit obligations Other provisions Total non-current liabilities 310 180 126 616 325 178 145 648 335 170 143 648 Current liabilities Trade payables Current tax payable 282 9 265 12 255 12 5|Page Other current liabilities Total current liabilities Total equity and liabilities 56 347 1213 26 303 1210 35 302 1214 Extracted from the income statement Revenue Passenger Cargo Other revenue Total 680 50 119 849 675 48 112 835 650 45 115 810 Cost of Sales Purchases Total 535 535 525 525 510 510 Gross Profit Wages & Salaries Directors’ remuneration Interest payable Total 314 215 32 22 291 310 198 16 21 235 300 187 15 18 220 Net Profit before tax Tax Expense 23 18 75 23 80 24 Net Profit after tax Future Strategy 5 52 56 The management team at ONA are keen to develop a strategy to address the airline’s financial and operational weaknesses. One suggestion put forward by the financial director has been for ONA itself to acquire the budget airline FreshAir, that has been partially responsible for their loss in sales. However, this has been angrily dismissed by the CEO as likely to lead ‘to an unnecessary and bloody revolution that could cause the death of the airline itself’. 6|Page Oceania IT Proposed Ecommerce Upgrade project Oceania has considered moving to a full e-commerce system which would allow passengers to receive a full service including e-tickets and online check-in. Figure 1, extracted from the business case, shows the financial appraisal of the project. It uses a discount rate of 8%. The NPV of the project is $10,925. All figures in $000s Costs Initial software Software maintenance Hardware upgrades Security Disruption Total costs Income/Savings Additional income Admin saving Reduce fraud 0 1 200 200 50 –––– 250 –––– Year 4 5 6 7 40 5 20 40 5 20 40 5 20 40 5 20 40 5 20 –––– 65 –––– –––– 65 –––– –––– 65 –––– –––– –––– 65 65 –––– –––– 125 30 10 –––– 165 –––– 85 125 30 20 –––– 175 –––– 110 125 30 30 –––– 185 –––– 120 125 30 30 –––– 185 –––– 120 125 30 40 ––––– 195 –––– 130 0ꞏ857 0ꞏ794 0ꞏ735 0ꞏ681 0ꞏ630 0ꞏ583 40 5 20 15 15 –––– –––– 265 80 –––– –––– 50 20 125 30 40 ––– 195 –––– 30 Benefits – costs –––– (250) –––– 20 –––– (245) Discount factor 10 ꞏ926 Present value (250) (226ꞏ870) 72ꞏ845 87ꞏ340 88ꞏ200 81ꞏ720 81ꞏ900 75ꞏ790 Total benefits –––– 3 2 NPV 10ꞏ925 Figure 1: Financial cost/benefit of the computer-based assessment project An explanation of the costs and benefits is given below. Initial software – refers to the cost of buying the computer-based assessment software package from the vendor. The software costs $375,000, but a further $25,000 has been added to reflect bespoke changes which Oceania requires. These changes are not yet agreed or defined in detail. Indeed, there have been some problems in actually specifying these requirements and understanding how they will affect the administrative processes of the Oceania. Software maintenance – This will be priced at 10% of the final cost of the delivered software. This is currently estimated at $400,000; hence a cost of $40,000 per annum. Security – refers to the security provided to minimise the risk of fraud or hacking. This price has already been agreed with an established security firm who has guaranteed it for the duration of the project. Disruption – refers to an expected temporary decline in staff productivity and staff morale during the implementation of the computer-based assessment solution. Admin saving – concerns reduction in the Oceania headquarters. The actual savings will partly depend on the detailed requirements currently being discussed with the software package provider. It is still unclear how this will affect the administrative process. Reduced fraud is an estimate of reduced fraud by the ability of the system to check credit cards and buyer credentials automatically. Extra income – the IIA expects candidates to be attracted by the convenience of purchasing and receiving tickets online. The extra income is the IIA’s best guess at the amount of income which will result from this new assessment initiative. 7|Page Interview with John Sykes founder of FreshAir What was your idea behind introducing a budget airline? FreshAir was set up in 2000 as a low-cost airline operating from several regional airports in Oceania. Using these less popular airports was a much cheaper alternative to the major city airports and supported FreshAir’s low-cost service, modelled on existing low-cost competitors. These providers had effectively transformed air travel in Oceania and, in so doing, contributed to an unparalleled expansion in airline travel by both business and leisure passengers. At FreshAir we use one type of aircraft, tightly controlled staffing levels and costs, relied entirely on online bookings and achieved high levels of capacity utilisation and punctuality. As Chairman and Chief Executive of FreshAir , I am willing to challenge governments and competitors wherever they impeded his airline and looking to generate positive publicity whenever possible. What is the structure in the organisation? We are family business and as such, we feel it's important to keep everything in the family. The board of directors are all shareholders. I hold 40 % of the shares. My wife Brenda Sykes holds 30% of the shares and my son Bill Sykes holds 30% of the share What are the main challenges you expect to face over the next 10 Years? John is now looking to develop a strategy which will secure FreshAir’s growth and development over the next 10 years. He can see several environmental trends emerging which could significantly affect the success or otherwise of any developed strategy. 2016 had seen fuel costs continue to rise reflecting the continuing uncertainty over global fuel supplies. Fuel costs currently account for 25% of FreshAir’s operating costs. Conversely, the improving efficiency of aircraft engines and the next generation of larger aircraft are increasing the operating efficiency of newer aircraft and reducing harmful emissions. The concern with fuel also extends to pollution effects on global warming and climate change. Coordinated global action on aircraft emissions cannot be ruled out, either in the form of higher taxes on pollution or limits on the growth in air travel. On the positive side, Oceania governments are anxious to continue to support increased competition in air travel and to encourage low-cost operators competing against the over-staffed and loss-making national flag carriers. What do you expect to happen to demand in the next few years? The signals for future passenger demand are also confused. Much of the increased demand for lowcost air travel to date has come from increased leisure travel by families and retired people. However, families are predicted to become smaller and the population increasingly aged. Besides, there are concerns over the ability of countries to support the increasing number of one-parent families with limited incomes and an ageing population dependent on state pensions. There is a distinct possibility of the retirement age being increased and governments demanding a higher level of personal contribution towards an individual’s retirement pension. Such a change will have a significant impact on 8|Page an individual’s disposable income and with people working longer reduce the numbers able to enjoy leisure travel. Finally, air travel will continue to reflect global economic activity and associated economic booms and slumps together with global political instability in the shape of wars, terrorism and natural disasters. John is uncertain as to how to take account of these conflicting trends in the development of FreshAir’s 10-year strategy and has asked for your advice. What about expanding the fleet, do you have any plans to grow the business? Yes, we aim to expand the business into new areas and our objective is to increase is to double the number of planes in the next few years. The key issue we face is how to raise funding for this expansion and we are currently looking at several options to finance the business expansion. We also have an offer from a venture capitalist who wishes to invest in our business so it’s something we will consider in the next few months. How is your strategy for using technology in your business? We follow a strategy which is based around digitise everything. We ensure that ticketing, booking and check-in can all be done online. We ensure that our business is mobile friendly and in fact most passengers’ book on our app and use a QR code on their phone as their boarding pass. 9|Page Question 1 There has been increased pressure on the company to review its governance arrangements and the overall performance of the organisation. You are required to take the role of an independent consultant commissioned by the institutional investor and produce a report which covers (a) an explanation of the changes that are needed in the governance structure of Oceania airlines and how such changes would benefit the airlines (10 marks) Professional skills marks are available for demonstrating scepticism of the existing governance arrangements in demonstrating awareness of governance change required (2 marks) (b) Evaluate the overall performance of Oceania from an integrated reporting perspective.(12 marks) Professional skills marks are available for demonstrating analysis of appropriate financial and nonfinancial issues (2 marks) c) Suggest ways in which Oceania airlines can improve their environmental footprint (6 marks) Professional marks are available for commercial awareness of way in which an airline can have a positive or negative impact on the environment (2 marks) Total (36 marks) Question 2 The directors of Airtite are concerned about the rise of competitors in the market. They feel that there is a need to understand key trends in the market which affect their Airline as a basis for planning the next stage of their strategic development. They feel that an understanding of Macro trends that will influence their business. Draft a section of the consultancy report for the directors of which analyse (a) The key elements of the environment they must take into account when planning their business expansion in the future (10 marks) Professional skills marks are available for evaluation of how the trends can have a positive or negative impact on the business (2 marks) Total (12 marks) 10 | P a g e Question 3 Oceania feels that they need to make a makes a major strategic change in the business and one option they are considering is to acquire the budget airline FreshAir and integrating into its business operations. There has been some discussion among the board members as to whether this is the right way forward for the company. The Oceania airlines board have called in a specialist consultant to analyse whether this is good option for the organisation. Write a report to the board of Oceania airlines which evaluates the potential acquisition of FreshAir and recommend whether Oceania should acquire FreshAir (16 marks) Professional skills marks are available for demonstrating scepticism skills in assessing the issues the potential acquisition of FreshAir. (4 marks) (20 marks) Question 4 The E-commerce upgrade would be a major change for the organisation and the CEO wishes to ensure that the change is financially viable. a) Draw up briefing notes that critically evaluate the financial case (cost/benefit) of the E‐ commerce upgrade project. (10 marks) Professional marks are available for scepticism, when reviewing the reliability of the cash flow in the NPV forecast (2 marks) Question 5 The board of FreshAir are discussing how to raise money to finance the planes they need to expand their business. In preparation for the next board meeting the financial director has decided to write a report where the different funding options for the business will be considered. You are required to take the role of Brenda and produce briefing notes for the board which evaluates the different financing options that are available for the business to fund the capital required in the business. (8 marks) Professional skills marks are available for demonstrating analysis skills in relating the how the methods of funding would have on FreshAir (2 marks) Total 10 marks 11 | P a g e Question 6 The board of directors of Oceania are increasingly concerned about the risk faced in their business. They want to gain a better understanding of their risk profile and have employed a consultant to carry out a risk review. (a) Draft a section of the report to identify and briefly discuss THREE main risks which Oceania airlines currently faces and plot them on a heat map, recommending appropriate strategies to manage those risks using an appropriate risk management framework. (8 marks) Professional Skills marks are available for demonstrating commercial acumen in identifying and locating the risks appropriately. (2 marks) Total (10 marks) 12 | P a g e