2021 University of Texas at Austin Science Olympiad Invitational Disease Detectives B/C KEY Rules ● DO NOT WRITE ON THIS EXAM!! Only the answer sheet will be graded. ● Each team is permitted one letter-sized page of notes and two non-programmable, non-graphing calculators. ● Write your team number on the top right corner of each page (4 pts). ● Tiebreaker questions are marked with an asterisk. ● Point values are given for each question. ● Teams may take apart the exam and staple it together when turning it in. ● Show all work and units for partial credit. ● Round to three decimal places unless told otherwise. ● AGAIN, DON’T WRITE ON THE EXAM. SECTION 1: BACKGROUND AND SURVEILLANCE Match the words to their definitions.1 (16 pts) A. outbreak B. epidemic C. cluster D. pandemic E. hypoendemic F. hyperendemic G. holoendemic H. reservoir I. vector J. K. pathogenicity L. virulence M. etiology N. epidemiology O. zoonosis P. surveillance fomite 1. The constant presence at high incidence and prevalence of an agent or health condition within a given geographic area or population. F 2. An epidemic occurring over a widespread area (multiple countries or continents) and usually affecting a substantial proportion of the population. D 3. An infectious disease that is transmissible from animals to humans. O 4. The habitat in which an infectious agent normally lives, grows, and multiplies, which can include humans, animals, or the environment. H 5. The occurrence of more cases of disease, injury, or other health condition than expected in a given area or among a specific group of persons during a specific period. A 6. An inanimate object that can be the vehicle for transmission of an infectious agent. J 7. An aggregation of cases of a disease, injury, or other health condition in a circumscribed area during a particular period without regard to whether the number of cases is more than expected. C 8. A living intermediary that carries an agent from a reservoir to a susceptible host. I 9. The occurrence of more cases of disease, injury, or other health condition than expected in a given area or among a specific group of persons during a particular period. B 10. Characterized by the infection of essentially every individual in a defined population. G 11. A disease that is constantly present at a low incidence or prevalence and affects a small proportion of individuals in the area. E 12. The ability of an agent to cause disease after infection, measured as the proportion of persons infected by an agent who then experience clinical disease. K 1 Most definitions taken from the CDC’s Principles of Epidemiology textbook 13. The study of the distribution and determinants of health conditions or events among populations and the application of that study to control health problems. N 14. The ongoing systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of health data that are essential to the planning, implementation, and evaluation of public health practice. P 15. The ability of an infectious agent to cause severe disease, measured as the proportion of persons with the disease who become severely ill or die. L 16. The cause or causes of a disease or abnormal condition. M 17. State the type of surveillance (active, passive, sentinel, syndromic) used in each scenario below. (4 pts) a. Every month, Montana hospitals send disease reports to the Montana Department of Public Health. passive b. Harris County Public Health asks every hospital within the county to send all data about food poisoning in the month of July. active c. A worker at a hospital notices a sudden spike in cases involving symptoms of encephalitis and notifies public health authorities. syndromic d. A small group of hospital workers is responsible for reporting every case of influenza to public health authorities. sentinel 18. State one advantage and one disadvantage of syndromic surveillance. (2 pts) Advantages: can give more detailed data Disadvantages: takes longer, uses more resources 19. Fill in the diagram with the natural history of disease. (4 pts) a. b. c. d. e. f. Exposure Pathological changes Onset of symptoms Usual time of diagnosis Stage of susceptibility Stage of subclinical disease g. Stage of clinical disease h. Stage of recovery, disability, or death 20. Explain the primary difference between the public and the clinical approaches to health. (2 pts) The clinical approach focuses on the health of an individual while the public health approach focuses on the health of a community. 21. Place the three following causes of death in order from least annual deaths to most annual deaths in the U.S.: breast cancer, pancreatic cancer, alcohol overdose (*Tiebreaker, 2 pts) Alcohol overdose, breast cancer, pancreatic cancer 22. Who discovered the existence of prions and was awarded the 1997 Nobel Prize in Medicine? (1 pt) a. Richard Koch b. Stanley Pruisner c. John Snow d. Jonas Salk 23. Which of the following is not a significant achievement of Louis Pasteur to microbiology? (1 pt) a. Dispelling spontaneous germination b. Creating the rabies vaccine c. Being the father of germ theory d. Being the first to identify microbes under the microscope 24. Which of the following scientists is considered the father of modern surgery? (1 pt) a. Joseph Lister b. Francesco Reddi c. Lazarro Spallanzani d. Van Leeuwenhoek 25. Whose work demonstrated that hand-washing could drastically reduce the number of women dying after childbirth? (1 pt) a. Thomas R. Frieden b. Ignaz Semmelweis c. Jonas Salk d. Rudolph Virchow 26. Who was it that determined that plague was carried on fleas which were on the back of rats? (1 pt) a. Francis Home b. Augostino Bassi c. Ronald Ross d. Paul Louis-Simond 27. Which antibacterial is reserved for MDR bacterial infections (in U.S.) and has a beta-lactam structure (*Tiebreaker, 3 pts) a. Vancomycin b. Chloramphenicol c. Macrolides d. Carbapenems SECTION 2: PATTERNS, CONTROL, AND PREVENTION For each of the following situations (28-32), identify which term it reflects. (5 pts - 1 each) a. b. c. d. e. Sporadic disease Endemic disease Hyperendemic disease Pandemic disease Epidemic disease 28. ___E___ 22 cases of legionellosis occurred within 3 weeks among residents of a particular neighborhood (usually 0 or 1 per year) 29. ___C___ Average annual incidence was 364 cases of pulmonary tuberculosis per 100,000 population in one area, compared with national average of 134 cases per 100,000 population 30. ___D___ Over 20 million people worldwide died from influenza in 1918–1919 31. ___A___ Single case of histoplasmosis was diagnosed in a community 32. ___B___ About 60 cases of gonorrhea are usually reported in this region per week, slightly less than the national average For each of the following situations (33-35), identify the type of epidemic spread with which it is most consistent. (3 pts - 1 each) a. Point source b. Intermittent or continuous common source c. Propagated 33. ___C___ 21 cases of shigellosis among children and workers at a daycare center over a period of 6 weeks, no external source identified incubation period for shigellosis is usually 1—3 days) 34. ___B___ 36 cases of giardiasis over 6 weeks traced to occasional use of a supplementary reservoir (incubation period for giardiasis is 3-25 days or more, usually 7-10 days) 35. ___A___ 43 cases of norovirus infection over 2 days traced to the ice machine on a cruise ship (incubation period for norovirus is usually 24–48 hours) 36. What type of study is known as a “snapshot in time''? (1 pt) a. Case report b. Longitudinal c. Ecological d. Cross-sectional 37. What is it called when a large proportion of individuals within a given population is consistently infected with a disease? (1 pt) a. Macroendemic b. Holoendemic c. Pandemic d. Omniendemic 600 UT first-year students participated in UT’s annual Day of Service. Some students became ill after eating the provided bagged lunch. The suspected culprit was the grilled chicken sandwich. The population that participated in Day of Service was surveyed to determine who became ill. True (T) or False (F) 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. (2 pts) This is a cohort study T (2 pts) The correct computation to use is the odds ratio. F (1 pt) The study is prospective. T (2 pts) A disadvantage of this study is that there is possible time-order confusion. F (1 pt) This study design is the fastest. F (1 pt) The study design used is not ideal for rare diseases. T 44. What type of bias occurs when cases detected by screening programs have better prognosis than cases detected between screening programs? (3 pts) Length Bias 45. Which of these is NOT an example of random error? (1 pt) a. Inaccuracies in 24 hour food intake recall b. Recruiting sicker individuals into a study c. Changes in an individual’s blood pressure over the course of a day d. The sampled group does not reflect the age and sex of the population 46. Which fomite is most poorly mismatched with its disease? (1 pt) a. Kitchen counter - HIV b. Stereoscope - MRSA c. Hairbrush - Rickettsia prowazekii d. Bedpan - C. difficile e. None 47. State whether the following studies are experimental or observational studies. You may use the abbreviations E and O, respectively. Then further characterize the study as cross-sectional (CS), case-control (CC), experimental (E), or cohort (C). (8 pts - 2 each) a. People who have and have not eaten deli meats are enrolled in the study and tracked over a period of time to determine if they develop colon cancer as a means of determining whether eating deli meats is a risk factor for colon cancer. O, C b. Bio-statistical study to determine the prevalence of colon cancer in the United States controlling for variables such as age, gender, ethnicity, geographical and social factors. O, CS c. Determining whether eating deli meat is a risk factor for colon cancer by enrolling people with and without colon cancer and scoring the quantity and frequency of eating deli meat for each person in the study. O, CC d. Performing a study in which lab mice are fed increasing amounts of deli meat to see if they develop gastric cancer at a higher rate than their control counterparts. E, E 48. Ecological fallacy refers to: (1 pt) a. Assessing exposure in large groups rather than in many groups b. Assessing outcome in large groups rather than in small groups c. Ascribing the characteristics of a group to every individual in that group d. Examining correlations of exposure and outcomes rather than time periods 49. In which of the following types of study designs does a subject serve as their own control? (1 pt) a. Prospective cohort study b. Retrospective cohort study c. Case-control study d. Case-crossover study Match the level of prevention to the scenario. (4 pts - 1 each) 50. 51. 52. 53. ____d____ Primary Prevention ____b____ Secondary Prevention ____a____ Tertiary Prevention ____c____ Quaternary Prevention a. A patient undergoes chemotherapy to treat leukemia. b. Physicians recommend that adult females are tested for cervical cancer at least once every three years. c. A cancer patient stops treatment and moves from the hospital into a hospice home. d. The health department and the Board of Education begin a new pilot program designed to keep children healthy by mandating participation in weekly physical activities. 54. For a particular epidemic, R0 > 1. What does this mean in terms of how many uninfected people will be affected by infected people? (2 pts) Each infected person will infect more than one uninfected person. 55. Which of these factors does NOT have a major impact on R0? (1 pt) a. Duration of illness b. Route of transmission c. Period of communicability d. Interventions 56. Measles have an extremely high R0. Knowing this, why is it dangerous that a smaller proportion of Americans are getting measles vaccinations each year? (Hint: think about the relationship between R0 and herd immunity). (*Tiebreaker, 2 pts) Measles are extremely contagious. Because of the high R0, the required proportion of vaccinated Americans to achieve herd immunity is much higher. However, less Americans are being vaccinated, so herd immunity protection is decreasing. 57. List one characteristic of diseases that makes eradication possible. (2 pts) Any of the following: no animal reservoir, short persistence in environment, absence of long-term carrier state, disease produces long-term immunity, vaccination produces long-term immunity, herd immunity protects the susceptible, easily identified disease, effective post-exposure vaccination 58. What is the only disease that has been eradicated globally? (1 pt) Smallpox SECTION 3: OUTBREAK INVESTIGATION Part 1 59. An outbreak of a certain sickness occurs following a company dinner. Due to the nature of the outbreak, it is suspected that the agent behind the outbreak is a foodborne illness. Below lies all the food present at the event and the number of sick and healthy individuals that ate or did not eat the food. a. Given the outbreak was a foodborne illness, what type of epi-curve would one expect to see? (1 pt) Point-source b. What type of statistic should you use in order to identify the food that most likely was the cause of this outbreak? (1 pt) Odds Ratio c. For the correct risk statistic, what is the risk statistic for ice cream? (1 pt) 1.120 – 1.127 d. What food through the correct risk statistic has the highest likelihood of being the cause of the outbreak? (1 pt) eggs 60. You develop a test for a certain disease and these are the results you obtain following clinical trials: a. What term can be said to be the true negativity rate? (1 pt) Specificity b. What is the false positive in your tests? (1 pt) 6 c. What is the sensitivity of your tests? Round to 2 decimals (1 pts) 0.81 d. If the disease had a high fatality rate, would you choose to maximize sensitivity or specificity? (1 pt) Sensitivity e. What does a probable case have that a possible case does not? (Answer in less than 4 words) (1 pt) Lab verification f. If one travels from a location with a low prevalence of a disease to a place with a higher prevalence of a disease, which of these would increase? (there may be multiple answers) (1 pt) i. Sensitivity ii. Specificity iii. Predictive Positive Rate iv. Predictive Negative Rate v. None g. If one travels from a location with a low prevalence of a disease to a place with a higher prevalence of a disease, which of these would stay the same? (there may be multiple answers) (1 pt) i. Sensitivity ii. Specificity iii. Predictive Positive Rate iv. Predictive Negative Rate v. None In August 2008, the Austin Department of Health detected an increase of reports ofCampylobacter jejuni infections than expected. After an initial investigation, a nationally distributed brand of cheese was implicated in the outbreak. Disease detectives established national surveillance and surveyed customers of the implicated manufacturer. Cultures for bacteria were obtained from cheese samples, the cheese plant, and tanker trailers that had transported the milk (used to make the cheese) to the plant. 61. Disease detectives conducted a small case-control study of 20 individuals (10 cases and 10 controls). Brand X cheese was eaten by 8 of 10 cases compared with 1 of 10 controls. Calculate the odds ratio. (4 pts) 36.00 or 36 62. Disease detectives determined that the first element of an outbreak was met in the above scenario. List the other two criteria that this incident must meet to be considered an outbreak. (2 pts) a. location (Massachusetts) b. specific time period (August 2008) Alternate Answer: specific group of persons 63. This graph below shows the progress of an outbreak over 14 months in a population of 30 people. Each horizontal line represents one person. The down arrow indicates the date of onset of illness. The solid line represents the duration of illness. The up arrow and the circle represent the date of recovery and date of death, respectively. a. Calculate the incidence rate from August 1st, 2013, to October 1st, 2014 as the denominator. Express the rate per 100 population and round up (Hint: use midpoint population) (2 pts) 14 per 100 b. Calculate the point prevalence on March 1, 2014. Express your answer as a percentage rounded to one decimal place. (2 pts) 20.7% c. Calculate the period prevalence from August 1st, 2013, to October 1st, 2014. Express your answer as a percentage rounded to one decimal place. (2 pts) 26.7% Part 2 It is your first day as an intern at the State Department of Public Health. Your first rotation is in a department studying zoonotic diseases. 64. Provide one example of zoonosis. (1 pt) Any disease transmitted by an animal. Your supervisor informs you that an outbreak of a strange disease has been reported. Epidemiologists have already confirmed the outbreak and all reported cases. Victims are between the ages of 13-55, with the majority being under 40 years old. Symptoms include fatigue, fever, vomiting, body aches, and joint pain. Very few cases resulted in encephalitis. All cases occurred in Bevo Bayou between June-August 2020. 65. Write a case definition for the mystery disease. (4 pts) Must include age of victims, symptoms, dates of occurrence, and location 66. What is encephalitis? (*Tiebreaker, 2 pts) Inflammation of the brain 67. Which step of the outbreak investigation comes next? Use the set of 13 steps. Provide the step number and name. (2 pts) Step 5: find cases systematically and record information Take off half points if they give “Step 5: describe and orient the data in terms of time, place, and person” The disease has been identified as West Nile Virus (WNV), which is mainly transmitted through mosquito bites. It can also be transmitted through blood transfusion/organ transplant or from mother to child during pregnancy, delivery, or breastfeeding. 68. Can WNV be transmitted vertically? Explain your answer. (2 pts) Yes; vertical transmission refers to transmission from mother to child 69. Are the mosquitoes that transmit WNV considered biological or mechanical vectors? (1 pt) Biological 70. What are three questions you could ask the patients affected by WNV to determine the cause of the outbreak? (3 pts) Accept any logical question that could lead to a cause Number Onset Date Fatigue Fever Vomiting Body Aches Joint Pain Lab Test Conclusion? 1 6/10 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Positive confirmed 2 6/10 Yes Yes No No Yes n/a probable 3 6/23 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Negative DNM 4 7/1 No No No No No Negative DNM 5 7/1 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Inconclusive probable 6 7/19 No Yes No Yes No Positive confirmed 7 7/19 No No No Yes Yes n/a probable 8 7/19 No Yes No No No Positive confirmed 9 8/7 No No No No No Positive confirmed 10 9/8 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Inconclusive DNM 71. For each case in the chart above, fill the conclusion column with either Probable, Confirmed, or Does Not Match. You may use the abbreviations P, C, and DNM. Assume that there are no Suspected cases and all testing is accurate. (5 pts) 72. Create an epidemic curve using the cases in the above chart. Assume all cases are true cases. Include ALL epicurve elements. (6 pts) Must have title, x-axis label, y-axis label, dates on x-axis, and number of new cases on y-axis. Take off ½ point if bars are touching. Should look something like this. Another case of WNV has been identified. 73. Should this case be placed in isolation or quarantine? Why? (2 pts) Isolation; isolation refers to the separation of the infected, while quarantine refers to the separation of those who have been exposed but have not tested positive for infection (yet). A series of unfortunate study errors occur during the investigation of the WNV outbreak. Match the situation with the bias that BEST fits. (4 pts - 1 each) 74. 75. 76. 77. ____b____ Information Bias ____a____ Volunteer Bias ____c____ Interviewer Bias ____d____ Late-Look Bias a. Investigators publish an advertisement asking for people to participate in a study about WNV. 84 people respond and a study is conducted with those 84 participants.. b. Dr. Apple and Dr. Bee each interview two groups of patients. Dr. Apple chooses to privately interview each member of the first group. Dr. Bee only conducts a group interview with the second group. c. Dr. Norman is interviewing patients with WNV. He assumes that only the male patients would work in occupations that require outdoor work. He only asks the male patients about their occupational risk factors - not the female patients. d. Investigators are only able to interview patients who have recovered from WNV and accidentally exclude those who are seriously ill or deceased from their investigation. 78. What is PulseNet? Should this outbreak be reported to PulseNet? Why or why not? (2 pts) It is a molecular subtyping network run by the CDC specifically for foodborne disease outbreaks. The outbreak should not be reported because it is not a case of foodborne illness. You identify possible exposures and create two groups of people that were exposed and that weren’t exposed. Then, you further divide people based on whether they have WNV. 79. What type of study is this? Be as specific as possible. What are two advantages and two disadvantages of this type of study? (5 pts) Retrospective cohort study (take off ½ point for not including retrospective) Advantages: most accurate observational study, good measure of exposure, easier than randomized controlled trial, can study multiple outcomes at once, good for rare exposures, best information abt causation/risk Disadvantages: time-consuming, expensive, loss to follow-up bias, inefficient for diseases with high latency period, not good for rare diseases The source of the outbreak has been identified. There has been large growth in the mosquito population in Bevo Bayou due to COVID-19 preventing insect control efforts. Match the situation with the criterion from Hill’s Criteria for Causation that BEST fits. (3 pts - 1 each) 80. ____c____ Consistency 81. ____b____ Specificity 82. ____a____ Temporality a. Every patient with WNV could recount being bit by a mosquito before feeling symptoms or testing positive. b. The only disease that each patient contracted from a mosquito bite was WNV. c. Investigators were able to look at CDC data from previous years. They discovered that WNV outbreaks in other regions followed similar patterns and had similar causes. 83. List three strategies to prevent spread of WNV. (3 pts) Accept any logical answer, including but not limited to mosquito-spraying, wearing bug spray, removing standing water, wearing long-sleeved clothing, using mosquito netting, etc.