1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Investments and Portfolio Analysis Lecture 1: Introduction to Financial Market Dr. Maxime Couvert University of Hong Kong Fall, 2022 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 1 / 62 Today’s agenda 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 3.1 Fixed-income securities 3.1.1 The money market 3.1.2 The bond market 3.2 Equity securities 3.3 Derivatives 4. Stock and Bond Market Indices 4.1 Weighting Schemes 4.1.1 Price-weighted indices 4.1.2 Value-weighted indices 4.1.3 Equally-weighted indices 4.2 Stock splits, dividends, composition changes 4.3 Indices for non-listed assets Part 1. Introduction to the course 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. About me Contact Details: Dr. Maxime Couvert ▶ ▶ ▶ email: mcouvert@hku.hk phone: 3917 2192 office: KKL 1006 My Research Interests: Mutual Funds Shareholder Activism ESG Investments Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 2 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Teaching Assistants Contact Details: Mr. Jason Tse ▶ ▶ ▶ email: jasontch@hku.hk phone: 2857 8308 office: KKL 1026 Ms. Stephanie Ting ▶ ▶ ▶ email: scwting@hku.hk phone: 2857 8308 office: KKL 1026 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 3 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Assessment Methods 4 types of assessment: ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Assignment(s)/Project(s): 25% Midterm Exam: 20% Class/Tutorial Participation: 5% Final Exam: 50% Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 4 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Exams Midterm: ▶ Date: October 22, 2022 ▶ Review session: a session will take place on the last lecture before the midterm ▶ Formula sheet: a formula sheet will be provided Final: ▶ Date: TBA ▶ Review session: a session will take place on the last lecture before the final ▶ Formula sheet: a formula sheet will be provided Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 5 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Assignments There will be 2 group assignments ▶ ▶ ▶ The assignments will be posted on Moodle two weeks before the due dates The first assignment due date is Oct. 10, 2022 The second assignment due date is Nov. 21, 2022 Please form groups of 4-5 students (you are allowed to team up with students from subclasses A, B, C, and D) Fill the group members in the ”Investment Competition” Excel sheet by Tuesday, September 20 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 6 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition This year we will organize our first investment competition! Source: https://www.wealthandfinance-news.com/7-things-people-get-terribly-wrong-about-stocks-and-the-stock-market/ Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 7 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition Imagine that your team (same as for the assignments) is working in a private bank. You are meeting with a potential new client, Kevin. He is a 25-year-old soccer player who knows that soccer careers tend to be short. Therefore, he has decided to hire a private bank to help him prepare for his retirement. However, there are many good private banks and he does not know which one to choose. His soccer coach suggested that he organizes an investment competition between the different private banks to help him choose the best one. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 8 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition Rules of the investment competition: 1 Report the names, UID, email of your team members in the Excel sheet 2 Choose a name for your bank and report it in the Excel sheet. 3 Your team must construct a (approximately) USD1,000,000 portfolio composed of 2 stocks. 4 Choose the weights that you assign to each stock in the portfolio. 5 Provide a short rationale for your decision to invest in each stock. (max 50 words) 6 Submit your Excel on Moodle by September 20, 2022 7 On November 9, Kevin will analyze the performance of your portfolio and declare the winner. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 9 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Other administrative matters Office hours: ▶ Thursdays from 4:20pm, Office KK1006 (+Zoom) Emails: ▶ Regarding exercise sessions and administrative matters: please contact the teaching assistants ▶ For other questions: I will answer the questions in class such that everyone benefits from answers Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 10 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Textbook Investments, 12th Edition, Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane, and Alan J. Marcus, McGraw-Hill. 2021. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 11 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Course Objectives 1 Gain a fundamental knowledge of investment strategies 2 Understand equity portfolio management techniques 3 Understand different asset pricing models and equity valuation techniques 4 Understand the concepts and applications of capital market equilibrium and market efficiency 5 Understand portfolio performance evaluation and current issues about investments and portfolio management 6 Introduction to financial modeling using Excel Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 12 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Course Content Objective 1: Fundamental knowledge of investment strategies Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets (Ref.: Chapters 1 and 2) How to Trade Securities? (Ref.: Chapter 3) Mutual Funds and Other Investment Companies (Ref.: Chapter 4) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 13 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Course Content Objective 2: Understand equity portfolio management techniques Portfolio Statistics (Ref.: Chapter 5) Markowitz Portfolio Selection Model (Ref.: Chapters 6 and 7) Index Models (Ref.: Chapter 8) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 14 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Course Content Objective 3: Understand different asset pricing models and equity valuation techniques CAPM (Ref.: Chapter 9) Arbitrage Pricing Theory (Ref.: Chapter 10) Equity Valuation Model (Ref.: Chapter 18.3) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 15 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Course Content Objective 4: Understand the concepts and applications of capital market equilibrium and market efficiency Market Efficiency (Ref.: Chapter 11) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 16 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Course Content Objective 5a: Understand portfolio performance evaluation Portfolio Performance Evaluation (Ref.: Chapter 24) Objective 5b: Current issues about investments and portfolio management Introduction to Sustainable Finance Objective 6: Introduction to financial modelling using Excel Assignment 2 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 17 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 1. Questions? Any question? Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 18 / 62 Part 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets (Ref. Chapter 1) 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 2. What is an investment? Definition An investment is the current commitment of money or other resources in the expectation of future benefits. Investing therefore implies that ▶ You are willing to sacrifice resources today... in the hope that... ▶ your sacrifice will be rewarded with benefits in the future. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 19 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 2. The investment decision Investing therefore implies decision making on: ▶ ▶ How much to invest vs. consume? How to invest? ⋆ ⋆ ▶ ▶ ▶ Which assets? Which proportion? How long are you willing to sacrifice your resources for? Which amount of risk are you willing to take? What benefits can you expect? All these questions are part of the investment decision. This class will provide you with tools to make such investments decisions. Question: Is saving an investment? Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 20 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 2. Financial vs. Real Assets Definition Real assets are assets that you can directly use for the production of goods or services. For example: Land, machines, or knowledge. Definition Financial assets are means by which an individual holds claims on real assets. For example: Stocks, bonds, or options. Question: Are $100 notes financial or real assets? What about your bachelor education? Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 21 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 2. Financial Assets We generally classify financial assets in three large categories: ▶ Fixed-income securities: they are securities that promise a stream of income that is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula. E.g. bonds ▶ Equity securities: they are corporation ownership titles. E.g. stocks ▶ Derivative securities: they are more complex financial assets. E.g. options or forwards We will study these securities in more details later in the course. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 22 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 2. Financial markets are very competitive Financial markets competitiveness implies a risk-return trade-off Financial markets competitiveness implies markets efficiency In other words, ”there is no free lunch” Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 23 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 2. Financial markets’ main players Three main players: 1 Firms: net demanders of capital 2 Households: net suppliers of capital 3 Governments: can borrow or lend Other important players: ▶ Financial intermediaries: bring suppliers and demanders of capital together (banks, investment companies, insurance companies, etc.) ▶ Investment banks: provide services that help firms raise capital (economies of scale and expertise) ▶ Venture Capital and Private Equity: provide capital to non-listed firms (e.g. start-ups) ▶ Fintech: firms that apply technological innovation to provide finance related products and services. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 24 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Reading Read Chapter 1 of the reference book. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 25 / 62 Part 3. Financial asset categories Ref. Chapter 2 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3. Financial asset categories Three main financial asset categories: 1 Fixed-income 2 Equity 3 Derivatives Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 26 / 62 3.1. Fixed-income securities 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1. Fixed-income securities Definition Fixed-income securities are securities that promise a stream of income that is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula. Why do fixed-income securities pay a rate of return? Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 27 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1. Fixed-income securities Definition Fixed-income securities are securities that promise a stream of income that is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula. Why do fixed-income securities pay a rate of return? ▶ Inflation risk: ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ ▶ Assume that a 10-year bond with a face value of $1M that pays a 2% fixed annual coupon If inflation goes up, the value of the coupons will decrease in real terms Investors care about real terms! So the higher risk of inflation, the higher the interest rate on the bond needs to be Default risk: ⋆ ⋆ Will the borrower pay back the borrowed amount and the interest on time? The hire the default risk, the higher the interest rate on the bond needs to be Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 27 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1. Fixed-income securities Two main markets for fixed-income securities: 1 The Money Market 2 The Bond Market Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 28 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. The money market Key features of the money market: ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Debt securities Very short-term Highly liquid (almost equivalent to cash) Very low risk Large denominations Main money market securities (we focus on those): ▶ ▶ ▶ U.S. Treasury Bills Commercial Paper Repos and Reverse Repos Other important money market securities (please read Chapter 2) ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Certificates of deposit Bankers’ Acceptances Eurodollars Brokers’ Calls Federal Funds LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rate) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 29 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Treasury Bills Often referred to as T-bills Concept: ▶ ▶ ▶ The US government borrows money from the public Investors buy the bill at a discount and the government pays the face value of the bill at maturity Example for a $10,000 bill: US government borrows $9,900 today and pays back $10,000 in one year Key features: ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Short-term: common maturities are 4, 13, 26, or 52 weeks Most marketable and most liquid of all money market instruments Very safe: currently, the risk that the US government defaults over the forthcoming year is almost zero Small denomination: $100 denominations exist but $10,000 are much more common Regularly issued: every week for short maturities, every month for 52-week maturity Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 30 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Remark: risk-free assets Definition The risk free rate is the rate of interest on a theoretically risk-free asset. In practice, no such asset exists Because of its core features, the one-month T-bill is often used as a risk-free asset (e.g. for CAPM) ▶ ▶ Almost no risk Very liquid A common alternative for risk-free rate proxy is the rate on short-term German government bills Over the past few years, we have started to observe negative interest rates on German government bills Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 31 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Remark: risk-free assets Historical risk-free rate Remarks: ▶ ▶ The risk-free rate fluctuates over time These fluctuations are due to: ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ Changes in the Federal Reserve monetary policy (interest rate) Changes in inflation Changes in investors’ demand for safe assets Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 32 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Commercial Paper Concept: ▶ Large, well-known companies issue debt notes ▶ Allows companies to borrow directly from financial markets rather than from banks ▶ They are short-term ▶ They are generally unsecured (but can be backed by bank credit lines or other financial assets) Key features: ▶ Rather safe (although less than a government bill) ▶ Maturities: generally 1 or 2 months ▶ Denominations: generally multiples of $100,000 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 33 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Repos and Reverse Repos Repo is the short name for Repurchase Agreement Concept: ▶ A borrower sells a very safe security to a buyer with at a slightly higher price ▶ The borrower commits to buy back the security at a slightly higher price after a specified short period Key features: ▶ Very short-term: usually overnight ▶ Very safe: backed by a very safe security (often a government bond) ▶ Repo rate: interest rate paid by the borrower to the lender on the amount borrowed ▶ Haircut: It is common that the lender delivers less cash than the market value of the collateral. The spread is called the haircut. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 34 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Repos and Reverse Repos Other remarks: ▶ Reverse Repo:It is a Repo but from the perspective of the lender ▶ The Repo rate can be used as a proxy for the overnight risk-free rate ▶ Useful to borrow to buy new securities (i.e. leverage a position) ▶ During the 2007-2008 crisis, there was a so-called ”Run on Repos” ⋆ The value of collateral decreased because of increasing counterparty risk and concerns about liquidity of the bond market ⋆ In consequence, haircuts increased ⋆ The US banking system became effectively insolvent for the first time since the Great Depression of the 1920’s. (Gorton, Metrick; 2012) Source: Gorton, G., & Metrick, A. (2012). Securitized banking and the run on repo. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(3), 425-451. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 35 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Repo - Example In t, a borrower (e.g. a hedge fund) sells $10M in treasuries to a lender (e.g. an asset manager) In t + 1, a borrower buys back the treasuries at a pre-determined price $10.01M from the lender Haircut = 10% Repo rate = 1% Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 36 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.1. Remarks on other money market instruments The LIBOR: ▶ LIBOR is the short name for the London Interbank Offer Rate ▶ Concept: ⋆ ▶ Overnight rate at which banks can borrow from one another Key features: ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ Very short term It is part of the European money market It is at the base of many financial contracts (e.g. mortgages) A major scandal occurred in 2012 (the so-called ”LIBOR scandal”) As a consequence of the scandal, it was decided to put an end to the LIBOR, effective as of the end of 2021 (for some specific cases 2023). Money Market Funds: ▶ Money market funds are mutual funds that invest in the money market Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 37 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. The bond market Key features of the bond market ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Debt securities Longer-term than money market Liquidity depends on the bond (can be highly illiquid) Tends to be riskier than money market securities Main bond securities (we focus on those): ▶ ▶ Treasury Notes and Bonds Corporate Bonds Other important bond securities (please read Chapter 2) ▶ ▶ ▶ Municipal Bonds Mortgage Securities Federal Agency Debt Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 38 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. Treasury Notes and Bonds Concept: ▶ They represent a large portion of the US government borrowing ▶ T-notes have maturities ranging up to 1 year ▶ T-bonds have maturities ranging from 10 to 30 years ▶ ▶ Denomination: $1,000 is the most common but $100 also exists for both Coupons: both deliver semiannual interest payments called coupons Key features: ▶ They are both very liquid ▶ They are both very safe (as the US government is unlikely to default) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 39 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. Remarks on other types of bonds Corporate Bonds ▶ Concept: ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ ▶ Corporations use these bonds to borrow from public markets They generally deliver semiannual coupons Face-value is generally paid back at maturity Key Features: ⋆ They are riskier than government bonds (default risk) Municipal bonds: ▶ Concept: ⋆ ⋆ ▶ Debt securities issued by state and local governments Similar to corporate bonds but no federal income tax on their interest payments Key features: ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ ⋆ Wide variety of maturities Although these are securities that are issued by governmental authorities, they can be quite risky Defaults are not uncommon among local US public entities Examples of large municipal bonds’ defaults: The City of Detroit in 2013 ($US20B), the government of Puerto Rico in 2015 ($72B) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 40 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. Example of government default - Vulture funds Definition Vulture Funds are investment (hedge) funds that specialize in acquiring fixed-income securities (generally bonds) of near-default entities and that try to recover the borrowed money Argentina vs. Elliott Capital Management (Elliott) ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ In 2001, Argentina defaulted on its $100B sovereign debt and restructured it, cutting payouts down to 30 cents per dollar of debt Elliott had acquired an estimated $117M of deprecated Argentinian bonds Elliott refused the restructuring plan and decided to sue Argentina US courts rules in favor of Elliott In 2012, Elliott requested and obtained the seizure of the Argentinian military vessel, the Liberdad, with 250 crew members onboard Elliott even attempted to seize satellite contracts between Argentina and SpaceX In 2016, Elliott and Argentina reached an agreement with Argentina accepting to pay $2.4B to Elliott Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 41 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. Rating agencies How do you assess the riskiness of fixed-income securities? Rating agencies provide riskiness ratings They rate fixed-income securities based on their default risk Which are the three main credit agencies? How does their rating system work? Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 42 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. Rating agencies Source: https://prepnuggets.com/glossary/credit-ratings-agency/ Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 43 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.1.2. Problems with rating agencies They performed very poorly during the 2007-2008 crisis ▶ Default probabilities were estimated with historical data that did not take into account systemic risk ▶ They entities that pay for the services are the ones being rated (conflicts of interest) Their ratings can be used to compute bank capital ratios Are these issues gone? What about ESG ratings? Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 44 / 62 3.2. Equity securities 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.2. Equity securities Definition Common stocks represent ownership shares in corporations Commons stocks are also often referred to as equity securities or equities Concept: ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ The term Common refers to the fact that each share entitles its owner to one vote In contrast, non-common stocks may entitle their owner to more than one vote Limited Liability: shareholders’ liability is limited to the money they invested (no need to sell their house to pay back the companies’ debts) Infinite maturity: as long as the corporation exists Residual claim on benefits: shareholders have a claim on any remaining benefits after all other claimants have been paid. Dividends: firms’ benefits can be reinvested or paid as cash dividends Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 45 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.2. Corporate Governance and Voting Corporations resemble democracies ▶ ▶ ▶ In democracies: ⋆ Citizens elect representatives, Parliament Members ⋆ These Parliament Members select the executive body, the Government In corporations: ⋆ Shareholders elect representatives, Board Members ⋆ These Board Members select the executive body, the Management Direct democracies: ⋆ Corporations even resemble direct democracies as shareholders have the right to submit proposals requesting the implementation of some sort of reforms Shareholder voting: ▶ In consequence, shareholders vote at corporation’s meetings to elect board members and to approve a lot of matters related to auditing, dividends, executive compensation, shareholder proposals, etc. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 46 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.2. Preferred Stocks Preferred Stocks: ▶ Inbetween bond and equity ▶ Like a bond, it provides a specific fixed income every year ▶ Like equity, there is no obligation to pay dividends, instead dividends cumulate and must be paid before common stockholders receive dividends ▶ Preferred stocks do not convey voting rights Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 47 / 62 3. Derivatives 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 3.3. Derivatives Their value depends on the value of another asset, the underlying asset Common derivatives include: ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Options Futures Forwards Swaps Read Chapter 2.5 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 48 / 62 Part 4. Stock and Bond Market Indices (Ref. Chapter 2.4) 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4. Market indices Definition A Market Index is a basket of securities used to measure the evolution of a specific subset of the market Key feature: ▶ The ”price” of an index reflects the average changes of its constituents Key roles: ▶ ▶ ▶ Market barometer: allows to track the performance of a specific (sub-)market Market benchmark: allows to compare performances Underlying index: provides a basis for securities (derivatives) or funds (e.g. index trackers) Examples: ▶ ▶ ▶ ▶ Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P500 HSI (Hang Seng Index) CSI 300 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 49 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4. Example: the S&P500 and the HSI S&P500 in blue and HSI in red Informational role of financial markets regarding the global macro economy We can easily observe the covid-related crashes as well as the recovery Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 50 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4. How to construct an index? Are the assets listed on public markets? ▶ ▶ Yes: ⋆ Examples: listed stocks, bonds, or listed derivatives ⋆ Computation base: public prices No: ⋆ Examples: real estate, art, or some private equity funds ⋆ Computation base: much more difficult as transaction prices may not be public Which weighting scheme? 1 Price weighted 2 Value weighted 3 Equally weighted Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 51 / 62 Part 4.1. Weighting Schemes 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.1. Price-weighted indices Numerical example price-weighted index: Stock Price in t Price in t + 1 Return Firm A Firm B 100 20 110 18 +10% -10% Index 60 64 +6.67% Index Price in t: PI ,t = PA,t + PB,t Index Price in t + 1: PI ,t+1 = PA,t+1 + PB,t+1 Return of the index between t and t + 1: RI ;t,t+1 = PI ;t+1 PI ;t −1 Price-weighted indices give more weights to larger prices Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 52 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.1. Price-weighted indices Price-weighted indices deliver the same returns as equally-weighted portfolio: Stock Price in t Price in t + 1 Return Firm A Firm B 100 20 110 18 +10% -10% Portfolio 120 128 +6.67% Example of price-weighted index: ▶ Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow Jones) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 53 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.1. Price-weighted indices Generalization to N securities: Definition PN PI ,t = i=1 Pi,t N PI ,t is the price of the index in t Pi,t is the price of security i in t N is the total number of securities in the index Remark: the denominator N can be replaced by another value to take into account stock splits or when firms are dropped or added to the index Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 54 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.2. Value-weighted indices Numerical example value-weighted index: Stock Shares Price in t Mkt.cap. in t Price in t + 1 Mkt.cap. in t + 1 Return Firm A Firm B 1 20 100 20 100 400 110 18 110 360 +10% -10% 100 500 94 470 -6.00% Index Index Price in t: PI ,t = 100 (set arbitrarily) Index Price in t + 1: PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × Mkt.cap.t+1 Mkt.cap.t Return of the index between t and t + 1: RI ;t,t+1 = PI ;t+1 PI ;t −1 Price-weighted indices give more weights to larger market capitalizations Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 55 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.2. Value-weighted indices Generalization to N securities: Definition PN PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × Pi=1 N MCi,t+1 i=1 MCi,t PI ,t is the arbitrarily set price of the index at the initial period t N is the total number of securities in the index MCi,t is the market capitalization of firm i in t Remark: the factor PN PI ,t MCi,t can be much more complex to take into i=1 account stock splits or when firms are dropped or added to the index Price-weighted indices deliver the same returns as equally-weighted portfolio Most common weighting scheme. For example: S&P500, HSI, CSI 300 Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 56 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.3. Equally-weighted indices Numerical example equally-weighted index: Stock Price in t Price in t + 1 Return Firm A Firm B 100 20 110 18 +10% -10% Index 100 100 +0% Return of the index between t and t + 1: RI ;t,t+1 = RA;t,t+1 + RB;t,t+1 10% − 10% = 2 2 Index Price in t: PI ,t = 100 (set arbitrarily) Index Price in t + 1: PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × (1 + RI ;t,t+1 ) = 100 × (1 + 0%) Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 57 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.1.3. Equally-weighted indices Generalization to N securities: Definition PN RI ;t,t+1 = i=1 Ri;t,t+1 N PI ,t+1 = PI ,0 × (1 + RI ;0,1 ) × (1 + RI ;1,2 ) × ... × (1 + RI ;t,t+1 ) PI ,0 is the arbitrarily set price of the index at the initial period t N is the total number of securities in the index Ri;t,t+1 is the return on asset i from time t to t + 1 Equally-weighted indices deliver the same returns as a portfolio strategy that invests equal dollar value in each security. Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 58 / 62 Part 4.2. Stock splits, dividends, composition changes 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.2. Stock splits, dividends, composition changes How to deal with stock splits or dividends or composition changes? Composition changes: ▶ You need to adjust! Stock splits: ▶ You need to adjust! Dividends: ▶ ▶ ▶ Some indices take them into account, others don’t! Example of included dividends: S&P500 Example of excluded dividends: CAC40 (France) Read Chapter 2.4 of the reference book Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 59 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.2. Stock splits, dividends, composition changes Evolution of the CAC40 with and without dividends CAC 40 GR: includes dividends CAC 40: excludes dividends Source: Google Finance Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 60 / 62 Part 4.3. Indices for non-listed asset 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.3. Constructing indices for non-listed assets Examples: ▶ Real estate, art, private equity funds Much more difficult to compute: ▶ ▶ ▶ Prices may not be public Transactions can be very infrequent Assets may be very different from one another Solutions: ▶ ▶ Hedonic regressions: take into account the characteristics of the assets Repeated sales: for example the Case-Shiller index Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 61 / 62 1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices Part 4.3. Constructing indices for non-listed assets The Case-Shiller index Repeated sales index based on the single-family house prices of 20 US cities One can clearly observe the 2007-2008 real estate crash Source: FRED St.Louis Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2022 62 / 62