VOICE OF THE PEOPLE POLL
INFOTRAK NATIONAL
POPULARITY POLL
JULY 2022
MEDIA COPY
METHODOLOGY
When was the opinion poll conducted?
2nd – 7th July, 2022
How was the opinion poll conducted?
Interviews were conducted through Computer Assisted Telephone
Interviews (CATI)
Universe and Survey sample
The relevant section of the public that was targeted in the poll (i.e. the
universe) was persons who were voters, 18 years old and above at the
time of the poll. The overall poll had a target survey sample size of 9000
respondents.
What was the margin of error?
±1.033% at 95% degree of confidence.
What was the response rate?
96% response rate.
Weighting
When the achieved interviews slightly differ from the designed
demographics, post-stratification weights are applied to the dataset to
correct the demographics and ensure they are representative of the
target population.
Survey Geographical Coverage
To ensure the survey findings were representative of Kenyan voters, who
are 18+years, the sample was designed proportionate to size using the
the voter’s register and covered ALL the 9 Sub Regions , ALL the 47
counties and ALL 290 constituencies of Kenya.
Data Analysis
Data was processed and analyzed using SPSS 26 statistical software due
to it’s high accuracy and reliability.
Disclaimer
• WHEREAS Infotrak Research & Consulting has instituted a
well-planned system of procedures, performance checks, quality
audits, and corrective actions to ensure this opinion poll results
are accurate, this is by no means a guarantee that the findings
provided in this report will reflect the actual outcome of August
2022 General Elections.
• HOWEVER the data provides a snapshot of the perception and
views of the electorate at the time when the survey was
conducted. The percentages may invariably change based on the
dynamics on the ground such as increased impetus from
competition, blunders from the client or users of this report,
macro and micro political shifts in the study area etc.
• AS SUCH Infotrak shall not be held liable on the basis of the
statistics provided in this report if the client or any user thereof
decides to use the findings as a prediction of the upcoming
political party nominations or general elections.
STATE OF THE
COUNTRY
12%
75%
12%
DIRECTION COUNTRY IS HEADED
2% DON’T KNOW
COUNTRY DIRECTION BY SUB REGIONS
Wrong direction
Right direction
Neither right nor wrong direction
Don’t know
85%
73%
79%
75%
72%
75%
75%
75%
73%
67%
14%
12%
2%
Coast
15%
12%
2%
Northern
8%6%
2%
Lower Eastern
13%
11%
1%
Mt. Kenya
17%
14%
2%
South Rift
13%
11%
1%
North Rift
11%
8%
1%
Nyanza
12%
11%
2%
Western
12%14%
12%
12%
2%
Nairobi
2%
Total
Overall, which direction do you think the country is headed? Is it headed in the …
n = 9000
WHY IS THE COUNTRY HEADED IN THE RIGHT/WRONG DIRECTION?
WHY WRONG DIRECTION
WHY RIGHT DIRECTION
77%
High cost of living
Poor governance/Rampant
corruption
11%
Bad politics
4%
Unemployment
3%
Poverty
2%
Poor infrastructure
1%
Increased insecurity/crime
Lack of cohesion in the country
Others
54%
There is peace in the country
Good infrastructure
12%
Devolution has made a difference
10%
8%
The cost of living is affordable
The executive gov't is working
well
1%
Education has improved
4%
The country is actively fighting
corruption
2%
My candidate is in power
2%
Healthcare has improved
2%
1%
1%
Others
n = 6750
Why do you think the country is headed in the wrong direction?
5%
1%
n = 1080
Why do you think the country is headed in the right direction?
KEY ISSUES OF
CONCERN
&
WHO’S RESPONSIBLE
FOR KENYA’S
ECONOMIC
PROBLEMS
KEY ISSUES OF CONCERN
High cost of living
Transport, Infrastructure and Roads
Unemployment
Access to clean water
Access to healthcare
Corruption
Insecurity/crime
Quality of education
Cost of doing business
Poverty reduction
Empowerment of women and the youth
Bad Politics
Sewage and sanitation
Equal distribution of resources
Electricity Supply
Improvement in Agriculture
Land issues
Environmental conservation
Others
46%
42%
40%
64%
23%
15%
12%
12%
12%
10%
7%
6%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
5%
Other Mentions:
•
Establishing Market structures
•
Housing
•
Disaster management
•
Drug and substance abuse
•
Ethnicity/Tribalism
•
Food Security
Could you kindly mention the three key issues that concern you as a Kenyan and that should be addressed as a matter of priority?
n = 9000
WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR ECONOMIC DIFFICULTIES FACING KENYANS?
49%
Poor governance
28%
Corruption
6%
COVID-19
4%
International financial institutions
Political Instability
2%
Devolution
1%
Russian Ukraine War
1%
Handshake
1%
Huge public debt
1%
6%
Don’t Know/Not Sure
Others
3%
Who or what do you think is most responsible for the economic difficulties that some Kenyans are facing?
Other Mentions:
•
Rising cost of fuel
•
Unemployment
•
Natural calamities
n = 9000
INTENTION TO
VOTE
INTENTION TO VOTE IN THE FORTHCOMING GENERAL ELECTIONS: SUB
REGION
91%
93%
5% 4%0.2%
Coast
92%
5% 3%
4% 4%
No
Not sure
Refused to answer
96%
94%
93%
5% 3%
0.1%
Northern Lower Eastern Mt. Kenya
Yes
89%
93%
92%
5% 3%0.2%
Female
Yes
91%
No
4% 3%
7% 4%
Male
18-26 Years
Not sure
92%
2% 2%
4% 2%
North Rift
Nyanza
Western
Refused to answer
94%
94%
5% 3%0.1%
27-35 Years
3% 3%
36-45 Years
Do you intend to vote in the forthcoming August 2022 general elections? N=9000
5% 4%
Nairobi
94%
3% 3%
93%
91%
4% 3%
4% 2%
South Rift
94%
4% 3%0.1%
Total
93%
3% 3%
46-55 Years Over 55 Years
4% 3%
Total
n = 9000
PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY RATINGS
KENYA
Coast
Voters Per
Sub Region
(Millions)
%
Sub Region
2017 Voter
Turn Out
2022
Intention
To Vote
Coast
2.0
9%
68%
91%
Northern Kenya
1.1
5%
73%
93%
Lower Eastern
1.7
8%
77%
92%
Mt. Kenya
4.7
21%
84%
91%
South Rift
1.7
8%
81%
94%
North Rift
2.8
13%
80%
93%
Western
2.6
12%
75%
94%
Nyanza
3.1
14%
80%
96%
Nairobi
2.4
11%
73%
91%
Total
22.1
100%
78%
93%
Sub Region
June 2022
July 2022
Northern
Lower
Eastern
Mt. Kenya
South Rift
North Rift
Nyanza
Western
Nairobi
Total
27%
5%
0.4%
18%
30%
0 4% 15%
49%
52%
3%
0.1%
Northern
54%
25%
3%
0.1%
17%
24%
4%
0.2%
16%
30%
0 5%11%
24%
3%
0.1%
14%
3% 11%
0.1%
12%
Coast
Lower
Eastern
55%
Mt. Kenya
54%
South Rift
58%
North Rift
73%
46%
25%
26%
30%
6%
0.3%
15%
Western
49%
Nairobi
43%
37%
4%
0.1%
16%
Raila Odinga
William Ruto
David Waihiga
Undecided/RTA
Total
George Wajackoyah
NO. COUNTIES 25% POPULARITY
43%
37%
16%
Nyanza
Raila Odinga
0.4%
49%
29%
22%
49%
0.3% 19% 32%
41%
6% 21%32%
27%
52%
1% 20%
25%
59%
0.3%15%
20%
56%
1%
23%
73%
0.1%12%
15%
1%
28%
23%
48%
50%
2% 18%30%
42%
1% 20% 38%
William Ruto
VOTES IN MILLIONS
Others
Undecided/RTA
UNDECIDED/
RTA
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
July 2022
35/47
38/47
9.4
8.1
3.6
May 2022
37/47
38/47
9.3
8.4
4.4
STRONGHOLD AND BATTLEGROUND COUNTIES
RAILA STRONGHOLDS
21 COUNTIES
Coast
Kwale
Lamu
Kilifi
Taita Taveta
Northern
Garissa
Wajir
Mandera
Turkana
TURKANA
MANDERA
MARSABIT
WAJIR
Lower
Eastern
ELGEYO MARAKWET
SAMBURU
ISIOLO
BARINGO
BUNGOMA
BUSIA
LAIKIPIA
MERU
NANDI
South Rift
Kajiado
Western
Busia
Kakamega
Nyanza
Siaya
Kisumu
Homa Bay
Migori
Kisii
Nyamira
Nairobi
Nairobi
SIAYA
KISUMU
NAKURU
GARISSA
NYERI
EMBU
NYAMIRA
KISII
MIGORI
NAROK
Makueni
Machakos
Kitui
KIAMBU
MACHAKOS
KITUI
TANA RIVER
NAIROBI
KAJIADO
LAMU
10
KILIFI
BATTLEGROUNDS
TAITA TAVETA
KWALE
MOMBASA
16
RUTO STRONGHOLDS
21
RAILA STRONGHOLDS
RUTO STRONGHOLD
16 COUNITES
BATTLEGROUND 10
COUNTIES
Laikipia
Embu
Meru
Kiambu
Muranga
Nyandarua
Tharaka
Nithi
Nyeri
Kirinyaga
Coast
Mombasa
Tana River
Northern
Marsabit
Isiolo
North Rift
Samburu
Nakuru
South Rift
Narok
South Rift
Kericho
Bomet
Western
Bungoma
Trans-Nzoia
Vihiga
North Rift
Uasin
Gishu
Elgeyo
Marakwet
Nandi
Baringo
West
Pokot
Mount
Kenya
DETAILED PRESIDENTIAL
POPULARITY
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES POPULARITY: BY SUB REGIONS
Coast
Northern
Lower
Eastern
Raila Odinga
49%
52%
54%
24%
30%
William Ruto
27%
30%
25%
55%
George Wajackoyah
5%
4%
3%
David Waihiga
0.4%
-
Undecided
18%
15%
Mt. Kenya South Rift North Rift
Nyanza
Western
Nairobi
Total
24%
73%
46%
49%
43%
54%
58%
11%
25%
30%
37%
4%
5%
3%
3%
3%
5%
4%
0.1%
0.2%
-
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.3%
0.1%
17%
16%
11%
14%
12%
26%
15%
16%
Assuming the general elections were to be held today, who would you vote for as the president?
n =8370
REGIONS WHERE THE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES HAVE
GAINED/LOST
Raila Odinga
Sub Region
William Ruto
Raila Odinga William Ruto
July 22
Jun 22
July 22
Jun 22
% Change
% Change
Coast
49%
49%
27%
29%
0%
-2%
Northern Kenya
52%
49%
30%
32%
+3%
-2%
Lower Eastern
54%
41%
25%
32%
+13%
-7%
Mt. Kenya
24%
27%
55%
52%
-3%
+3%
South Rift
30%
25%
54%
59%
+5%
-5%
North Rift
24%
20%
58%
56%
+4%
+2%
Nyanza
73%
73%
11%
12%
0%
-1%
Western
46%
48%
25%
28%
-2%
-3%
Nairobi
49%
50%
30%
30%
-1%
0%
Total
43%
42%
37%
38%
+1%
-1%
Assuming general elections were being held today, which candidate would you vote for as your President? (TOP OF MIND - SINGLE MENTION)
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES POPULARITY- REGIONS WHERE
CANDIDATES HAS GAINED/LOST
Regions where the presidential candidates lost
Regions where the presidential candidates gained
Raila Odinga William Ruto
Raila Odinga William Ruto
Northern Kenya
Lower Eastern
3%
13%
-
Lower Eastern
-
-7%
Coast
-
-2%
South Rift
-
-5%
-1%
-
-
-2%
Western
-2%
-3%
Mt. Kenya
-3%
-
-
-1%
Nairobi
South Rift
North Rift
Mt Kenya
5%
4%
-
-
2%
3%
Northern Kenya
Nyanza
Assuming the general elections were to be held today, who would you vote for as the president?
n =8370
PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY BY REGION
COAST
July 2022
Mombasa
County
Mombasa
Const.
6
Wards
30
Registered
Voters
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
2022
Intention
To Vote
641,913
59%
90%
Kilifi
7
35
588,602
65%
93%
Kwale
4
20
328,253
66%
91%
Tana River
3
15
141,096
74%
2
10
81,453
72%
95%
Taita Taveta
4
20
181,827
73%
89%
26
130
1,963,144
68%
Kilifi
Tana River
92%
Lamu
Total
Kwale
91%
Lamu
Taita Taveta
Total
27%
18%
6%
4%
0.4%
0
0
46%
Mombasa
20%
51%
25%
Kwale
18%
52%
26%
Kilifi
17%
40%
43%
6%
Tana River
11%
6%
4%
1%
29%
46%
Lamu
19%
25%
57%
Taita Taveta
14%
5%
0.4%
27%
49%
Total
18%
Raila Odinga
William Ruto
David Waihiga
Undecided/RTA
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
49%
27%
7%
1%
0
June 2022
George Wajackoyah
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
6/6
6/6
0.9
0.5
UNDECIDED/
RTA
0.3
Raila Odinga
1%
45%
33%
21%
0%
42%
35%
23%
60%
18%
1%
22%
0%
17%
41%
43%
0%
34%
43%
23%
0%
22%
30%
0.4%
29%
22%
William Ruto
Others
49%
49%
Undecided/RTA
BATTLEGROUNDS
MOMBASA, TANA RIVER
CHANGES IN KWALE, LAMU
NORTHERN KENYA
County
Garissa
Const.
6
Wards
30
Registe
-red
Voters
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
2022
Intenti
on To
Vote
201,473
70%
94%
Mandera
6
30
207,758
77%
97%
Wajir
6
30
217,030
73%
89%
Marsabit
4
20
166,912
78%
92%
Isiolo
2
15
89,504
72%
88%
Turkana
6
30
238,528
69%
92%
Total
30
155
1,121,205
73%
93%
Garissa
Wajir
Mandera
Marsabit
Isiolo
Turkana
Total
30%
15%
30%
4%
52%
Garissa
14%
62%
25%
3%
Wajir
10%
6%
4%
16%
12%
4%
Mandera
20%
5%
2%
50%
25%
46%
33%
0.5%
21%
0%
Marsabit
42%
41%
Isiolo
0%
Turkana
1%
26%
57%
15%
30%
52%
Total
15%
William Ruto
George Wajackoyah
Undecided/RTA
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
6/6
6/6
0.5
0.3
0%
0.2
56%
26%
17%
32%
51%
18%
37%
50%
13%
42%
34%
22%
29%
0.2%
18%
Raila Odinga
Others
UNDECIDED/
RTA
59%
27%
0%
14%
41%
40%
Raila Odinga
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
52%
June 2022
July 2022
54%
William Ruto
Undecided/RTA
BATTLEGROUNDS
MARSABIT, ISIOLO
CHANGES IN MARSABIT
ISIOLO, TURKANA
LOWER EASTERN
County
Const.
Wards
Reg.
Voters
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
July 2022
Kitui
2022
Intenti
on To
Vote
Kitui
8
40
532,758
76%
94%
Machakos
8
40
687,565
76%
91%
Makueni
6
30
479,401
79%
90%
Total
22
110
1,699,724
77%
92%
Machakos
Makueni
Total
0
4%
54%
25%
17%
Kitui
30%
6%
51%
29%
Machakos
22%
57%
21%
Makueni
8%
19%
Total
6%
17%
William Ruto
David Waihiga
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
3/3
1/3
0.8
0.4
35%
Raila Odinga
Others
UNDECIDED/R
TA
0.3
43%
14%
54%
25%
3%
0.1%
42%
32%
4%
16%
3%
39%
25%
17%
Raila Odinga
George Wajackoyah
Undecided/RTA
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
55%
24%
4%
0.3%
0
June 2022
32%
41%
21%
William Ruto
Undecided/RTA
RAILA STRONGHOLD
CHANGES IN ALL COUNTIES
KALONZO RETURN =13% GAIN
=APP. 208,000 VOTES
MT. KENYA
County
Const.
Wards
July 2022
Registered
Voters
2017
Voter
Turn Out
2022
Intention
To Vote
Nyeri
6
30
481,632
87%
95%
Nyandarua
5
25
361,165
87%
93%
Kirinyaga
4
20
376,001
87%
95%
Murang’a
7
35
620,929
87%
97%
Kiambu
12
60
1,275,008
84%
92%
Laikipia
3
15
263,012
81%
98%
Embu
4
20
334,302
82%
96%
Tharaka Nithi
3
15
231,932
82%
93%
Meru
9
45
772,139
78%
97%
Total
53
265
4,716,120
84%
91%
Meru
Tharaka Nithi
Embu
Nyandarua
Nyeri
Kirinyaga
Murang'a
Kiambu
Laikipia
Total
Raila Odinga
David Waihiga
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
55%
24%
16%
04%10%
June 2022
32%
28%
2%
0
15%
16%
6%
1% 15%
22%
0 5% 19%
18%
04% 18%
13%
0 4% 23%
24%
4%
0
17%
28%
5%
0.3% 17%
24%
2%
1% 20%
24%
4%
0.2% 16%
William Ruto
Undecided/RTA
54%
Meru
56%
Tharaka Nithi
63%
54%
Nyandarua
61%
Nyeri
59%
Kirinyaga
55%
Muranga
50%
Kiambu
54%
Laikipia
55%
Total
George Wajackoyah
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
3/9
9/9
1.0
2.4
Embu
UNDECIDED/
RTA
0.7
30%
57%
0% 13%
20%
62%
0% 18%
31% 51%
3% 15%
26%
54%
2% 18%
20%
58%
1% 21%
19%
59%
0% 21%
27%
2% 23% 49%
30% 46%
1%
23%
36%47%
0% 17%
27% 52%
1% 20%
Raila Odinga
Others
William Ruto
Undecided/RTA
RUTO STRONGHOLD
CHANGES IN ALL COUNTIES
RUTO GAINS 3% RAILA LOSES 3%
RUTO GAINS IN EMBU, LAIKIPIA,
MURANG’Á
SOUTH RIFT
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
2022
Intention To
Vote
County
Const.
Wards
Registered
Voters
Narok
6
30
398,784
83%
97%
Kajiado
5
25
463,273
80%
91%
Kericho
Bomet
Total
6
5
25
428,067
30
376,985
25
125
1,667,109
79%
82%
80%
93%
Narok
6%
Kericho
11%
3%
15%
Bomet
10%
6%
7%
11%
Narok
49%
Kajiado
71%
Kericho
78%
30%
5%
11%
Bomet
54%
Total
Raila Odinga
William Ruto
George Wajackoyah
Undecided/RTA
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
30%
28%
17%
Kajiado
96%
94%
48%
43%
4%
5%
Total
54%
June 2022
July 2022
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
2/4
4/4
0.5
0.8
1%
43%
42%
15%
45%
32%
0%
1%
0%
23%
11%
0.2
78%
10%
11%
24%
61%
0.3%
15%
William Ruto
Others
UNDECIDED/RT
A
77%
12%
Raila Odinga
Undecided/RTA
BATTLEGROUND: NAROK
RAILA GAINS IN NAROK & KAJIADO
RUTO STRONG IN BOMET &
KERICHO
NORTH RIFT
County
Const.
Wards
Registered
Voters
July 2022
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
2022
Intentio
n To
Vote
West Pokot
4
20
220,026
84%
92%
Nandi
6
30
406,288
79%
96%
Baringo
6
30
281,053
82%
93%
Elgeyo Marakwet
4
20
213,884
81%
91%
Uasin Gishu
6
30
506,138
76%
94%
Nakuru
11
55
1,054,856
80%
93%
Samburu
3
15
100,014
77%
88%
Total
37
185
2,782,259
80%
93%
West Pokot
Samburu
Uasin Gishu
Elgeyo/Marakwet
Nandi
Baringo
Nakuru
Total
24%
14%
26%
03%
44%
41%
0
0
02%
23%
64%
11%
15%
12%
Elgeyo/Mara
kwet
14%
1%9%
73%
Nandi
1% 14%
16%
13%
21%
14%
5%
0.2%
3%
0.1%
63%
30%
48%
17%
24%
Uasin Gishu
31% 48%
21%
42%
43%
0% 15%
59%
3% 17%
21%
0%
68%
13%
02%
West Pokot
Samburu
15%
0 4%
03%
58%
12%
58%
Baringo
0%
Nakuru
0%
Total
76%
70%
21%
19%
60%
24% 46%
30%
60%
20%
2% 19%
14%
Raila Odinga
William Ruto
David Waihiga
Undecided/RTA
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
58%
June 2022
George Wajackoyah
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
3/7
7/7
0.6
1.5
UNDECIDED/R
TA
0.4
William Ruto
Others
Raila Odinga
Undecided/RTA
RUTO STRONGHOLD
HAS GAINED W.POKOT
BATTLEGROUNDS: SAMBURU,
NAKURU
WESTERN
County
Const.
Registered
Voters
Wards
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
2022
Intenti
on To
Vote
Kakamega
12
60
844,551
75%
96%
Vihiga
5
25
310,043
74%
92%
Bungoma
9
45
646,598
75%
94%
Trans Nzoia
5
25
398,981
74%
93%
Busia
7
35
416,756
79%
95%
Total
38
190
2,616,929
75%
94%
Trans Nzoia
Kakamega
Vihiga
3%
0
25%
26%
Kakamega
Vihiga
22%
35%
36%
Bungoma
26%
17%
59%
21%
3%
0.1%
25%
William Ruto
David Waihiga
Undecided/RTA
34%
41%
25%
18%
1%
25%
29%
0%
22%
56%
49%
36%
43%
0%
21%
Busia
14%
0%
26%
Total
28%
1%
23%
46%
26%
Raila Odinga
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
53%
42%
33%
3%
0
Busia
2%
25%
14%
4%
0.3%
29%
3%
0
Trans Nzoia
40%
32%
2%
0
Bungoma
Total
46%
June 2022
July 2022
60%
48%
George Wajackoyah
Raila Odinga
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
5/5
3/5
1.1
0.6
UNDECIDED/
RTA
0.6
William Ruto
RAILA STRONGHOLD BUT SHAPING
AS BATTLEGROUND DUE TO HIGH
UNDECIDED OF 26%
BATTLEGROUNDS: TRANS NZOIA,
BUNGOMA, VIHIGA
NYANZA
County
Const.
Wards
June 2022
July 2022
Registe
-red
Voters
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
2022
Intenti
on To
Vote
Siaya
6
30
533,595
83%
96%
Kisumu
7
35
606,754
82%
97%
Homa Bay
8
40
551,071
85%
96%
Migori
8
40
469,019
83%
94%
Kisii
9
45
637,010
74%
97%
Nyamira
4
20
323,283
74%
93%
Total
42
210
3,120,732
80%
96%
Siaya
Kisumu
Homa Bay
Migori
Kisii
Nyamira
Total
81%
9%
3%
0
7%
81%
5%
3%
0
12%
0
11%
3%
73%
11%
12%
75%
11%
0.5%
10%
2%
0
17%
0
20%
90%
3%
7%
Kisumu
6%
12%
Homa Bay
7%
14%
Migori
13%
10%
Kisii
52%
25%
2%
3%
61%
21%
Nyamira
Total
0.1%
12%
William Ruto
David Waihiga
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
6/6
1/6
2.2
0.3
Raila Odinga
UNDECIDED
0.4
82%
79%
76%
21%
22%
25%
26%
73%
11%
Raila Odinga
George Wajackoyah
Undecided/RTA
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
82%
3%
4%
Siaya
12%
15%
57%
49%
73%
William Ruto
RAILA STRONGHOLD
SIAYA DOWN 10%. ALL OTHER
COUNTIES GAINED.
NAIROBI
County
Const
Wards
Reg
Voters
2017
Voter
Turn
Out
June 2022
July 2022
Raila Odinga
2022
Voting
intention
49%
William Ruto
Raila Odinga
50%
30%
William Ruto
Nairobi
17
85
2,415,310
73%
93%
George Wajackoyah
Total
17
85
2,415,310
73%
Undecided/RTA
Undecided/RTA
NO. COUNTIES 25%
POPULARITY
30%
5%
93%
David Waihiga
49%
30%
15%
18%
0.3%
Others
15%
VOTES IN MILLIONS
RAILA
RUTO
RAILA
RUTO
1/1
1/1
1.1
0.7
UNDECIDED/R
TA
0.3
2%
RAILA STRONGHOLD
CONSTITUENCIES STRENGTH
RAILA: 12 RUTO: 2 BATTLE: 3
PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY
IN NAIROBI COUNTY
Mathare
Embakas
i North
Roysambu
Westlands
Ruaraka
Kasarani
Dagoretti
South
Dagoretti
North
Kibra
Makadara
Starehe
Embakasi
East
Embakasi
South
Langata
Embakasi
West
Embakasi
Central
Raila Strongholds
Ruto Strongholds
49%;
1.1M
Raila
30%;
0.7M
Ruto
5%;
5%; 0.1M0.3M
Wajackoyah
Unde
cided
0.3%;
0.007M
Wahiga
15%; 0.3M
Undecided
Swing
THE UNDECIDED
THE UNDECIDED/REFUSED TO ANSWER PROFILE
REGION
COAST
NORTHERN
LOWER EASTERN
MT. KENYA
SOUTH RIFT
NORTH RIFT
NYANZA
WESTERN
NAIROBI
AGE
18-26 YEARS
27-35 YEARS
36-45 YEARS
46-55 YEARS
OVER 55 YEARS
GENDER
FEMALE
MALE
June 2022
July 2022
% Change
10%
5%
8%
22%
6%
14%
11%
14%
10%
9%
5%
8%
21%
8%
13%
14%
12%
11%
-1%
0%
0%
-1%
+2%
-1%
+3%
-2%
+1%
12%
32%
27%
14%
14%
10%
38%
30%
13%
9%
-2%
+6%
+3%
-1%
-5%
62%
38%
47%
53%
-15%
+15%
Assuming general elections were being held today, which candidate would you vote for as your President?
n = 1440, Those that are undecided/Refused to Answer
POLITICAL PARTY/ALLIANCE
POPULARITY
POLITICAL PARTY /ALLIANCE POPULARITY
POLITICAL PARTY
POLITICAL ALLIANCE
33%
UDA
31%
ODM
Jubilee Party
4%
ROOTS Party
2%
WDM - K
2%
Others
I don’t want to disclose
43%
Azimio One Kenya Alliance
Kenya Kwanza
38%
None
15%
4%
6%
Refused to Answer
None
Which political party do you currently support?
4%
18%
n =8370
DEMOGRAPHICS
Age
18-26 Years
Gender
19%
32%
27-35 Years
36-45 Years
20%
46-55 Years
15%
Over 55 Years
14%
Female
49%
Male
51%
Level of education
23%
Primary
Religion
68%
Protestant
22%
Catholic
Muslim
None
8%
2%
43%
Secondary
20%
Tertiary College
University/Postgraduate
None
12%
2%
n = 9000