HAWASSA UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY FACULTY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND BUILT ENVIRONMENT DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF ROUNDABOUTS: (A CASE STUDY IN HAWASSA CITY) Prepared by: Name ID. No 1. Daniel Addis …………………………………….0381/06 2. Hayder Abdella .....................................................0018/07 3. Mintesnot Tibebu...................................................0998/06 A Thesis, Submitted to School of Civil Engineering in Partial Fulfillment for BSc. Degree in Civil Engineering DECEMBER 2020 HAWASSA, ETHIOPIA HAWASSA UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND BUILT ENVIRONMENT SCHOOL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING A Thesis, Submitted to School of Civil Engineering in Partial Fulfillment for BSc. Degree in Civil Engineering PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF ROUNDABOUTS: (A CASE STUDY IN HAWASSA CITY) Prepared by: Daniel Addis (Tech/0381/06) Hayder Abdella (Tech/0018/07) Mintesnot Tibebu (Tech/0998/06) December 2020 HAWASSA, ETHIOPIA DECLARATION We hereby declare that this thesis (entitled PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF ROUNDABOUTS: A Case Study in Hawassa City) has been carried out by the group members under the supervision and continuous advice of Instructor Belette (MSc), School of Civil Engineering, Institute of Technology, Hawassa University, during the academic year of 2019/20. We further declare that this work is our original work and has not been presented and submitted to any other University or Institution for the award of any degree or diploma. Name Daniel Addis Signature Email Address Phone No danbefkadu@gmail.com +251923162967 Hayder Abdella hayderabdella2487@gmail.com +251926183263 Mintesnot Tibebu mintesnot.tibebu18@gmail.com +251919195497 CONFIRMATION This thesis has been submitted for examination with my approval as a University advisor. Advisor Name Signature Email Address Belette Tsegaye belettetsegaye@gmail.com EXAMINERS Examiner 1 Examiner 2 Signature: Signature: Examiner 3 Examiner 4 Signature: Signature: i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT We would like to thank our almighty God for everything that he did for us. We wonder to give great acknowledgement to our advisor Instructor Belette Tsegaye (MSc.) for his guidance and encouragement to get us familiar with civil engineering concepts and impeccable support from the beginning of the project to the final form and also his constructive criticism was fundamental in the accomplishment of the project. We would also like to thank Hawassa University School of Civil Engineering for introducing such a useful research program that helped us to acquire great knowledge and understanding about our field of study. We are so grateful to those who helped us by giving some instruments to be used on site surveying. Specials thanks to our families, for their financial support, encouragement and prayers, their continued support throughout our University education. Last but not the least; we would like to acknowledge owners and administrative staff of Shalom College for helping us use their building for video recording purpose. ii Table of Contents DECLARATION ............................................................................................................................ i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT............................................................................................................. ii List of Tables .................................................................................................................................. v ACRONYMS ................................................................................................................................ vii ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................. viii 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background .................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Statement of the Problem ............................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Significance of the Research .......................................................................................................... 2 1.4 Objectives of the Research ............................................................................................................. 2 1.4.1 General Objective................................................................................................................... 2 1.4.2 Specific Objectives................................................................................................................. 2 1.4.3 Research Questions ................................................................................................................ 3 Scope and Limitations of the Study ............................................................................................... 3 1.5 2 3 4 1.5.1 Scope of the Study ................................................................................................................. 3 1.5.2 Limitations of the Study ......................................................................................................... 3 LITERATURE REVIEW ...................................................................................................... 4 2.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Roundabouts................................................................................................................................... 4 2.2.1 Geometric Elements of Roundabouts ..................................................................................... 7 2.2.2 Characteristics of Roundabouts.............................................................................................. 9 2.2.3 Types of Roundabouts..........................................................................................................10 2.2.4 Capacity of Roundabouts .....................................................................................................16 MATERIALS AND METHODS ......................................................................................... 26 3.1 General .........................................................................................................................................26 3.2 Study Area....................................................................................................................................26 3.3 Materials.......................................................................................................................................27 3.4 Methods........................................................................................................................................27 3.4.1 Method of Data Collection ...................................................................................................27 3.4.2 Methods of Analysis ............................................................................................................40 ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION ......................................................................................... 47 Manual Analysis ..........................................................................................................................47 4.1 4.1.1 Movement of Traffic ............................................................................................................47 4.1.2 Capacity Evaluation and Determination of Degree of Saturation ........................................52 iii Delay Calculation and Determination of Level of Service ..................................................54 4.1.3 Software Analysis ........................................................................................................................56 4.2 4.2.1 Movement Summary ............................................................................................................57 4.2.2 Capacity ...............................................................................................................................58 4.2.3 Degree of Saturation ............................................................................................................59 4.2.4 Delay ....................................................................................................................................60 4.2.5 Level of Service Summary ...................................................................................................61 Comparison on Manual Analysis and Software Analysis ............................................................62 4.3 5 4.3.1 Traffic Movement ................................................................................................................63 4.3.2 Capacity Evaluation .............................................................................................................64 4.3.3 Degree of Saturation ............................................................................................................64 4.3.4 Delay ....................................................................................................................................65 4.3.5 Level of Service ...................................................................................................................65 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION .................................................................. 67 5.1 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................67 5.2 RECOMMENDATION ...............................................................................................................68 REFERENCES............................................................................................................................. 69 APPENDICES .............................................................................................................................. 73 Appendix A ..............................................................................................................................................73 Appendix B ..............................................................................................................................................75 iv LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1. Set of arrangements of lanes at the entries and exits of Turbo-roundabouts (Brilon W. 2014) .............................................................................................................................................. 14 Table 2.2. Roundabout category comparison (FHWA-SA-10-006, 2000) .................................... 16 Table 2.3. HCM Critical Gap and Follow-up Times (HCM 2010, Exhibit 17-37) ....................... 23 Table 3.1. Summary of Goduguada Roundabout Geometry on Each Legs ................................... 29 Table 3.2. Raw vehicles flow data on Mekuriyaye approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020........................................................................................................................ 31 Table 3.3. Raw vehicles flow data on Arabsefer approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020........................................................................................................................ 32 Table 3.4. Raw vehicles flow data on Southstar approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020........................................................................................................................ 33 Table 3.5. Raw vehicles flow data on Campus approach leg Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020........................................................................................................................ 34 Table 3.6. Conversion factors for passenger car equivalents (pcu) (UKDOT, 1993) ................... 35 Table 3.7. Raw total traffic flow on Mekuriyaye approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout ......... 36 Table 3.8. Raw total traffic flow on Arabsefer approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout ............ 37 Table 3.9. Raw total traffic flow on Southstar approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout ............. 38 Table 3.10. Raw total traffic flow on Campus approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout ............. 39 Table 3.11. Level-of-Service Criteria (NCHRP 2010) .................................................................. 44 Table 4.1. Traffic volume count in terms of PCU ......................................................................... 48 Table 4.2. Summary of 60-minute traffic volume and Movement type for Goduguada Roundabout .................................................................................................................................... 51 Table 4.3. Summarized performance analysis results on the roundabout ..................................... 57 Table 4.4. Summarized movement performance results on each lane........................................... 58 Table 4.5. Total capacity per movement vs Demand flow of Goduguada Roundabout ................ 59 Table 4.6. Traffic Volume from the software and count ............................................................... 64 Table 4.7. Capacity Evaluation Result........................................................................................... 64 Table 4.8. Degree of Saturation result from the Manual and Software analysis ........................... 65 Table 4.9. Delay results from software and manual analysis ........................................................ 65 Table 4.10. Level of Service results from different manual analyses and software analysis ........ 66 v LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1. Basic Geometric Features of a Modern Roundabout (FHWA-RD-00-067, 2000) ....... 5 Figure 2.2. Comparisons of vehicle-vehicle conflicts points for intersection with four single-lane approaches (FHWA-RD-00-067, 2000) .......................................................................................... 6 Figure 2.3. Key roundabout characteristics (FHWA-SA-10-006, 2000) ....................................... 10 Figure 2.4. Roundabout design features (FHWA-SA-10-006, 2000) ............................................ 10 Figure 2.5. Mini-Roundabout with a design according to guidelines (Brilon W. 2014) ............... 11 Figure 2.6. Critical design for a Mini-Roundabout: (Brilon W. 2014) .......................................... 12 Figure 2.7. Examples of compact single-lane roundabouts (Brilon W. 2014) .............................. 13 Figure 2.8. Examples for semi-two-lane roundabouts in peripheral urban situations (Brilon W. 2014) .............................................................................................................................................. 13 Figure 2.9. Examples of Turbo-roundabouts (Brilon W. 2014) .................................................... 15 Figure 2.10. Analytical versus empirical methods (Mallikarjuna P, 2014) ................................... 18 Figure 2.11. Capacity comparison of single-lane and double-lane roundabouts (FHWA-SA-10006, 2000) ...................................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 3.1. Location of Goduguada Roundabout (GoogleET Maxar Technologies) .................... 26 Figure 3.2. Analysis of one-legged roundabout (HCM 2000) ....................................................... 41 Figure 3.3. Flow Stream Definitions (HCM 2000) ........................................................................ 41 Figure 3.4. General layout of Goduguada roundabout (SIDRA Intersection 8.0 Software) ......... 46 Figure 4.1. Degree of Saturation of Goduguada Roundabout ....................................................... 60 Figure 4.2. Control delay of Goduguada Roundabout ................................................................... 61 Figure 4.3. Level of Service Summary of Goduguada Roundabout .............................................. 62 vi ACRONYMS AACRA Addis Ababa City Road Authority AASHTO American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials CETUR Centre d’Etudes des Transports Urbains CSA Central Statistical Agency ERA Ethiopian Roads Authority FHWA Federal Highway Administration HCM Highway Capacity Manual HCS Highway Capacity Software HV Heavy Vehicles LOS Level of Service LV Light Vehicles NCHRP National Cooperative Highway Research Program PCE Passenger Car Equivalents PCU Passenger Car Units SETRA Service d’Etudes Techniques des Routes et Autoroutes SIDRA Signalized Intersection Design and Research Aid UK DOT United Kingdom Department of Transport US DOT United States Department of Transportation vii ABSTRACT Performance Evaluation of Roundabouts has a great deal of contribution on the reduction of traffic accidents, improvement on the performance of the roundabouts and the accessibility of roundabouts to all users. In Hawassa city there are many problems regarding roundabouts; some of the significant ones are congested traffic flow, insufficient lane width, delay of vehicles, long queues, unbalanced number of entry lanes and circulatory lanes, and inadequacy of inscribed circle diameter. The significance of this research mainly is to check whether or not study has been conducted to objectively determine efficiency of this alternative as compared to a serious of coordinated signalized intersections. The objective of the research is to assess the performance of the roundabouts, to study the movement of traffic at Goduguada roundabout, to perform delay and level of service analysis on the roundabout, and to perform delay and level of service analysis on the roundabout, and to perform software analysis using SIDRA INTERSECTION version 8.0 software and compare results with manual calculations. The main source of information for this research was obtained through data collection, site survey/ measurement, and recorded video to attain comprehensive understanding of problems that occur on the study area. Depending on the objectives of the research random sampling method by the systematic way was used. The collected data was then analyzed and interpreted in the results and discussion section. The results from the analysis show that the overall performance of the roundabout is excellent and this may lead to a conclusion that roundabouts are appropriate in such types of junctions. This has its own positive impact on the economic development of the city. Although many alternate routes are constructed over the years due to the newly established Industry Park there is a need to consider to make improvements on other roundabouts of Hawassa city accordingly to Goduguada roundabout. viii 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION Background The history of roundabouts is almost as long as that of signalized intersections. The first roundabout concept was introduced in 1877 by French architect Eugene Henard (De-Argao 1992). In 1903 he suggested that the roundabout is a convenient form of traffic control when many roads converged. The first engineering-based design guide was published by the United Kingdom Ministry of Transport in 1929 and design formulas were introduced in 1957. The concept of modern roundabouts was introduced in 1963 when the British government employed the off-side rule based on which the priority was given to the circulating vehicles on the roundabout. The introduction of flare and deflection concepts further assisted roundabouts to prevail as one of the most popular, safe, and convenient traffic-control options in Europe and Australia (De-Argao 1992). Evaluation of roundabout capacity is very important since it is directly related to delay, level of service, accident, operation cost, and environmental issues. For more than three decades modern roundabouts have been used successfully throughout the world as a junction control device. The effect of the roundabout is that traffic is required to slow down to negotiate the curve around the central island, but unlike full stop and signal controlled intersections, vehicles entering a roundabout are not required to stop completely. This makes the facility more efficient under a wide range of traffic volumes, as motorists only need to find an acceptable gap for entrance (Estifanos M, 2019). Ethiopia also has its share of roundabouts. Some of them currently are being changed to signalized intersections without conducting detailed investigation. Only little attention has been paid to the design and performance evaluation of the roundabouts, there is only little known about their capacities and level of services (Estifanos M, 2019). Hawassa city though not as developed as Addis Ababa is, has about seven roundabouts around St. Gebriel Church, Welde Amanuel Square, Wanza, Fikir Hayk, Goduguada, Central Hotel, Referral Hospital and South Star International Hotel. These roundabouts are introduced for the purpose of traffic control purposes and are used in place of signalized intersections. The research plans to carry out detailed investigation on the roundabout situated around Goduguada. Roundabouts before design and construction need detailed investigation with respect to delay, capacity, and level of service. 1 1.2 Statement of the Problem According to Estifanos M. (2019) roundabouts are increasingly recognized as an intersection control strategy that can fulfill multiple performance goals related to sustainability, liability, complete streets, context-sensitive design, economic development, and others. Some transportation agencies have recently constructed or approved the use of a serious of roundabouts on an urban highway rather than the traditional solution of signalized intersections. While anecdotal reports suggest that functionality interdependent roundabouts on a corridor are successful in meeting performance goals, little research has been conducted to objectively determine the efficiency of this alternative as compared to a serious of coordinated signalized intersections. 1.3 Significance of the Research If the objective of this study is to be achieved the following advantages can be attained; Reducing the congestion on the roundabout specially during peak hours; Increasing the efficiency of road network; Increasing safety; Improving traffic flow and traffic operations. 1.4 Objectives of the Research 1.4.1 General Objective The aim of this thesis in general is to make performance evaluation of roundabouts at Hawassa city specifically Goduguada Roundabout. 1.4.2 Specific Objectives To study the movement of traffic at the selected roundabout; the number of vehicles turn left, right, go through, turning and total number of vehicles. To analyze the capacity of the Goduguada roundabout and determine its degree of saturation. To perform delay and level of service analysis on the roundabout. To perform software analysis using SIDRA INTERSECTION Version 8.0 software and compare results with manual calculations. 2 1.4.3 Research Questions In line with the discussions tried to make above, the research aims at answering the following questions: What is the condition of movement of traffic on Goduguada roundabout? How is the capacity and degree of saturation of the roundabout analyzed? What is the magnitude of delay on the respective legs of the roundabout? What is the level of service of respective legs of the roundabout? What differences are likely to occur in the software analyses and the manual calculations? 1.5 Scope and Limitations of the Study 1.5.1 Scope of the Study The research was mainly conducted in Hawassa city and Evaluation of performance of roundabout on Goduguada Roundabout. 1.5.2 Limitations of the Study Some of the major difficulties during the research are discussed below. Covid 19 Pandemic Disease Recording video at the appropriate position due to lack of willingness of building owners of the area. The study areas considered at the beginning of the research are now under maintenance. Hence, the scope/ study area of the research was changed to Goduguada roundabout. The selected alternate roundabouts pre Covid 19 were: Tesfaye Gizaw Building Southstar Hotel Gebriel Church Fikr Hayk Measurements on the geometry of the roundabout were not properly taken due to: Shortage of time, Revised rules and regulations of the University, Traffic flow during day time. 3 2 2.1 LITERATURE REVIEW Introduction Brilon (2005) estimated capacity of roundabouts and clarified the traffic condition where a roundabout function. Troutbeck (1994) estimated delays at intersections and showed the condition for adopting roundabouts. Some safety researches focused on the number of accidents before and after installing roundabouts have also been conducted. Flannery et al. (1996) showed that the number of accidents at roundabouts reformed from unsignalized intersections decreased. The Florida Roundabout Design Guide compared one-lane or two-lane roundabouts to signalized intersections with one-lane or two-lane approaches and one exclusive left turn lane. It concluded that the performance of signalized intersections is superior under heavy entering volume, while the roundabout works better under light entering volume in terms of delay. Akcelik (1997) reported that this study failed to consider flare effects correctly as it took under consideration only the number of lanes and not the lane width. Old versions of the U.S. Highway Capacity Manual (U.S. HCM) and Highway Capacity Software (HCS) are limited in their ability to provide detailed analysis of roundabouts. HCM 2000 version tries to bridge this gap by introducing the procedures for the study of roundabouts. 2.2 Roundabouts According to ERA Geometric Design Manual (2013) Roundabouts are intersections of two or more roads that are made up of a one way-circulating roadway that has priority over approaching traffic. Priority is given to traffic already on the roundabout. Roundabouts thus operate by deflecting the vehicle paths to slow the traffic and promote yielding. They also have a good safety record largely because traffic speeds are low and the number of potential traffic conflicts is greatly reduced (ERA Geometric Design Manual 2013). A roundabout is a channelized intersection at which all traffic moves anticlockwise around a central traffic island (AACRA Geometric Design Manual, 2003). Yield signs control the approaching traffic and the driver can only make a right turn onto the circulating roadway. The only decision the entering drivers need to make once they reach the yield line is whether or not a gap in the circulating traffic is large enough for them to enter. The vehicles then exit the circulating roadway by making a right turn toward their destination (NCHRP Report 672 2010). Roundabouts are often confused with traffic circles or rotaries and it is important to be able to differentiate between the two. According to NCHRP-2010 information guide, roundabouts have five main characteristics that identify them when compared to traffic circles. These 4 characteristics are traffic control, priority to circulating vehicles, pedestrian access, parking and direction of circulation. Besides to those five mentioned above, Thaweesak (1998) included additional features of roundabout, approach flare and deflection, which distinguish them from other traffic circles. According to the capacity study of roundabouts in the UK, geometric elements of roundabouts play an important role in the efficiency of roundabouts operational performance. Good geometric design will improve safety, which is a major concern for road design in addition to capacity. Basic parameters for design consideration of roundabouts are: design vehicles, design speed, site distance, deflection, central island circulating width, inscribed circle diameter, entry and exit angle, splitter island, super elevation and drainage, pavement markings, signage, lighting and landscaping (Thaweesak, 1998). Figure 2.1. Basic Geometric Features of a Modern Roundabout (FHWA-RD-00-067, 2000) Figure 2.1 provides a review of the basic geometric features and dimensions of a roundabout. The elements are described in section 2.2.1. According to Federal Highway Administration of the United States (FHWA 2000) basic reasons for the increased safety level at roundabouts are: Roundabouts have fewer conflict points in comparison to conventional intersections. The potential for conflicts, such as right angle and left turn head-on crashes is eliminated with roundabout use. Single-lane approach roundabouts produce greater safety benefits than 5 multilane approaches because of fewer potential conflicts between road users, and pedestrian crossing distances are short. By installing a modern roundabout in place of other conventional intersection traffic control types, conflict points are reduced from 32 to 8, a 75% reduction in conflict points (see Figure 2.2). Low absolute speeds associated with roundabouts allow drivers more time to react to potential conflicts, also helping to improve the safety performance of roundabouts. Since most road users travel at similar speeds through roundabouts, i.e., roundabouts have low relative speeds, crash severity can be reduced compared to some traditionally controlled intersections. The figure below shows that a roundabout eliminates vehicle-vehicle crossing conflicts by converting all movements to right turns. Separate turn lanes and traffic control (traffic signs or signalization) can often reduce but not eliminate the number of crossing conflicts in space and/or time. However, the most severe crashes at signalized intersections occur when there is a violation of the traffic control device designed to separate conflicts by time (e.g., a right-angle collisions due to a motorist running a red light, or vehicle pedestrian collisions). The ability of roundabouts to reduce conflicts through physical, geometric features has been demonstrated to be more effective than the reliance on driver obedience to traffic control devices. At intersections with more than four legs, a roundabout or pair of roundabouts may sometimes be the most practical alternative to minimize the number of conflicts. Figure 2.2. Comparisons of vehicle-vehicle conflicts points for intersection with four single-lane approaches (FHWA-RD-00-067, 2000) 6 Major reasons for the consideration of roundabouts on intersections are: Unique geometric flexibility Fit almost anywhere Flexible - easy to modify Provide better turning radii for trucks Require very small sight distances Long life if designed properly Roundabouts may be appropriate for the following conditions: T intersections with stop signs; high delay Higher left and right-turning movements More than four legs Intersections with high crash rates High speed four-way intersections Future growth resulting in changeable patterns Traffic calming purposes Roundabouts may not be appropriate for the following conditions Highly unbalanced flows Design cannot handle large/oversize vehicles Isolated roundabout in a system of coordinated signals Traffic flows leaving roundabout interrupted by downstream traffic control After completion of design and construction of roundabouts the following constraints may be present There are several ways to get it wrong regarding flexibility Design process complex/iterative Can be expensive at high volumes High volume roundabouts are difficult for Motorcycles & pedestrians movements 2.2.1 Geometric Elements of Roundabouts The geometric elements of roundabouts are defined as follows in the FHWA guide (FHWA, 2000): Inscribed diameter: the diameter measured between the outer edges of the roadway. This includes the circulating roadway, truck apron and the central island. Entry curve: entry curve is used to deflect and slow entering vehicles to an appropriate 7 speed to safely circulate in the roundabout. Exit curve: exit curve is generally bigger/flatter than the entry curve to allow vehicles to exit at faster speed to improve traffic capacity and flow. Entry width: the width of the entry where it meets the inscribed circle, measured perpendicularly from the right edge of the entry to the intersection point of the left edge line and the inscribed circle. Apron: if required on smaller roundabouts to accommodate the wheel tracking of large vehicles, an apron is the mountable portion of the central island adjacent to the circulatory roadway. Exit width: the width of the exit where it meets the inscribed circle, measured perpendicularly from the right edge of the exit to the intersection point of the left edge line and the inscribed circle. Holding line: holding line is pavement marking that defines where the vehicles have to give-way to the circulating traffic. It is generally marked along the inscribed circle. Central island: it is the raised area in the center of a roundabout around which traffic circulates. Circulating carriageway: circulating carriageway is a curved path used by vehicles to travel around the central island. It is defined by line marking. Circulating carriageway width: circulating carriageway width defines the roadway width for vehicle circulation around central island. It has to be wide enough to accommodate the largest design vehicles turning path. Circulating path radius: the minimum radius on the fastest through path around the central island. Circulating volume: circulating volume is the total volume in a given period of time on the circulatory roadway immediately prior to an entrance. Circulating speed: the speed vehicles travel at while on the circulatory roadway Entry angle: term used in the United Kingdom regression models. It serves as a geometric proxy for the conflict angle between entering and circulating streams and is determined through a geometric construct. Entry path curvature: term used in the United Kingdom to describe a measure of the amount of entry deflection to the right imposed on vehicles at the entry to a roundabout. Entry path radius: the minimum radius on the fastest through path prior to the yield line. 8 Exit path radius: the minimum radius on the fastest through path into the exit. Entry speed: the speed a vehicle is traveling at as it crosses the yield line. Entering traffic: vehicles located on a roundabout entrance. Exiting traffic: vehicles departing a roundabout by a particular exit. Entering volume: the total volume in a given period of time on an entrance to a roundabout. Splitter island: a raised or painted area on an approach used to separate entering from exiting traffic, deflect and slow entering traffic, and provide storage space for pedestrians crossing that intersection approach in two stages. Also known as a median island or a separator island. 2.2.2 Characteristics of Roundabouts Modern roundabouts have superior operational characteristics (i.e. capacity, delay, queue length, proportion stopped, etc.). The capability of reducing the frequency of crashes and crash severity makes it safer than other traffic control devices (Russell, et al., 2000). Circular intersection forms have been part of the transportation system in the United States for over a century. Their widespread usage decreased after the mid-1950s, as rotary intersections began experiencing problems with congestion and safety. However, the advantages of the modern roundabout, including modified and improved design features, have now been recognized and put to the test in the United States. There are now estimated to be well over a thousand roundabouts in the United States and tens of thousands worldwide, with the number estimated to be increasing in the United States each year (FHWA-SA-10-006). A modern roundabout has the following distinguishing characteristics and design features which are illustrated in fig 2.3 and fig 2.4 Channelized approaches Yield control on all entries Counterclockwise circulation of all vehicles around the central island 9 Figure 2.3. Key roundabout characteristics (FHWA-SA-10-006, 2000) Figure 2.4. Roundabout design features (FHWA-SA-10-006, 2000) In traffic circles, weaving is unavoidable and weaving sections have to accommodate conflicting movements whereas in a roundabout vehicle are sorted by destination at the approach. Therefore, weaving at the roadway is minimized. 2.2.3 Types of Roundabouts According to Brilon W. (2014) modern roundabouts have become a common element in urban traffic networks. The design standards as they have been developed over the times since 1985 have been proven to be successful regarding aspects of design and traffic performance. There are about six types of roundabouts which will be discussed below. 10 Compact single-lane roundabouts with diameters between 26m and 40m Mini-roundabouts with a traversable island and diameters between 13m 1nd 22m Larger roundabouts (40m-60m) with 2-lane access for cars and single-lane operation for trucks (semi-two-lane) Turbo-roundabouts Signalized roundabouts 2.2.3.1 Mini-Roundabouts Mini-roundabouts can only be applied in urban areas with a general speed limit of 50 km/h. They have an inscribed diameter between 13m and 24m. Compact vehicles like cars or vans have to follow the circular lane whereas larger vehicles like big trucks or busses are allowed to override the central island as far as necessitated by their kinematics. It is important that the central island is elevated by curbs with at least 40mm to 60mm. It should also be paved by a material different from the circular lane; e.g. concrete block pavement. Otherwise the rule not to override the central reserve is not well accepted. On figure 2.5 the central island built of concrete is on the same level as the circular lane (lack of a delta of 4cm-6cm). This reduces the acceptance of a correct driving on the circular lane. The direct access from the circle to private parking positions (left side) gives reason for several conflicts. Figure 2.6 illustrates one more recent experience is that separate cycle tracks crossing the entries and exits adjacent the pedestrian crosswalks fail to be a safe solution. That is, any markings of cycle facilities should be avoided at mini roundabouts. Cyclists can most safely be accommodated by driving on the circular lane. Mini-roundabouts where the center island is just represented by some road marking have failed to achieve sufficient safety. Of course, mini-roundabouts have only single-lane entries and exits without any flaring. The circular lane should have a width between 4m and 6m and it should be inclined to the outside by around 2.5% relative to the approaching streets. Figure 2.5. Mini-Roundabout with a design according to guidelines (Brilon W. 2014) 11 Figure 2.6. Critical design for a Mini-Roundabout: (Brilon W. 2014) Another surprising experience is that mini-roundabouts are often favored especially by truck operators and transit bus companies. They prefer mini-roundabouts since ease of handling for the large vehicles is advantageous in comparison to normal roundabouts. One primarily unexpected aspect was that at mini-roundabouts special attention must be paid to sight distances. At each entry there must be good visibility especially into the next upstream entry (on to the left side). If this visibility is obstructed by buildings or plantations then priority accidents must be suspected. 2.2.3.2 Compact Single-Lane Roundabouts The single-lane roundabout is the reference type to which all other types are compared. This basic type of a roundabout is applied on rural roads and for urban streets as well. However, recommendations for design are slightly different. This standard type has an inscribed diameter between 26m and 45m in an urban environment and 30m to 50m at a rural intersection. This characteristic feature is that all entries and exits as well as the circulating carriageway have only one single lane. The two figures on figure 2.7 try to illustrate the above explanation about single lane roundabouts. 12 Figure 2.7. Examples of compact single-lane roundabouts (Brilon W. 2014) 2.2.3.3 Compact Two-Lane Roundabouts There is an intermediate type of roundaout which could be called loosely translated compact twolane roundabout. Roundabouts of this type have a diameter between 40m and 60m and a circualr carriageway between 8m and 10m wide without lane marking on the circle. Beside these measures they are very much designed like a single-lane roundabout and they would even be treated like single-lane. Figure 2.8. Examples for semi-two-lane roundabouts in peripheral urban situations (Brilon W. 2014) The figures above show two-lane roundabouts that are often treated as single lane roundabouts specially in the United States. The figure on the left resmbles like a single lane roundabout although it is a two-lane roundabout, since it does not have any lane marks on it. The one to the right has a dotted mark just between the two vehicles though it is not a lane mark. 13 These types could have two lane entries if required. But two-lane exits are strictly forbidden due to safety reasons. On these roundabouts passenger cars could drive side by side. Most drivers, however, prefer to drive in a staggered manner. Larger vehicles are forced to use the whole width of the circular carriageway. This may cause some path overlap between vehicles entering on the same approach. This is however not a problem in practice. This type of roundabout becomes a problem in connection with pedestrians or cyclists. Cyclits on the roundabout must be strictly prohibited. It is recommended that for these non-motorized road users facilities separated from the roundabout should be provided. Especially at the cross-points within two-lane entries, crosswalks of any kind are strictly discouraged due to safety reasons. Thus, this type can mainly be used in rural envronments and in peripheral urban areas where no pedestrians or cyclists must be expected. Despite of these limitations many roundabouts of this type have been built at many places and they are operated quite successfully. 2.2.3.4 Turbo-Roundabouts Turbo-roundabout is a term which goes back to engineers in Netherlands, especially Bertus Fortuijn. Independently from that source Turbos had also been developed in Germany. A turboroundabout is a roundabout with alternating numbers on the circle. The characteristic properties are, that the addition of a lane is only achieved by adjoining the lane on the inner side opposite from an entry. Subtracting of a lane can be either performed as a normal lane drop or by a two-lane exit where the right lane must leave into the exit. Thus, the typical arrangements are shown on the table below. Table 2.1. Set of arrangements of lanes at the entries and exits of Turbo-roundabouts (Brilon W. 2014) Type 1 2 3 4 Entry Exit 14 Figure 2.9. Examples of Turbo-roundabouts (Brilon W. 2014) In Netherlands, at turbo-roundabouts, the lanes on the entries and exits are diverted by vertical elements which can not be overrun by cars. Due to considerations of motorcycle safety and winter service, but also costs and maintenance requirements, the vertical elements in the middle of the intersection are not accepted. They are also not required. 2.2.3.5 Signalized Roundabouts What many people would not expect is that a combination of traffic signals arranged at a circular intersection can be an excellent solution for larger traffic volumes. There are some examples which have proven that this combination can be capable to carry up to 50000veh/day or even 60000veh/day on a two-lane circualr carriageway with a diameter beyond 50m. Many people think that concepts of roundabouts and signals contradict. But this opinion is absolutely wrong. There are however some confusing ways of signalization which are required to acieve high capacity. These ideas have first been formulated in the UK(Crabtree, 1992). An overview about the methodology and a report on German experience has been given in(Brilon W. 1995). With the application of these methods a rather high capacity on a limited area of land can be achieved. In the city of Hannover several such examples are operated with success. But in specific cases the potential may also be limited depending on the pattern of movemnets at the intersction. Accoring to FHWA (2006) roundabouts have been classified into three basic categories according to size and number of lanes to facilitate discussion of specific performance or design issues: miniroundabouts, single-lane roundabouts, and multilane roundabouts. These are summarized in the table below. 15 Table 2.2. Roundabout category comparison (FHWA-SA-10-006, 2000) Design Element Mini Roundabout Single-Lane Multi-Lane Roundabout Roundabout Desirable maximum 15mph to 20mph 20mph to 25mph 25mph to 30mph entry design speed (25km/h to 30km/h) (30km/h to 40km/h) (40km/h to 50km/h) Maximum number of 1 1 2+ Typical inscribed 45ft to 90ft (13m to 90ft to 180ft (27m to 150ft to 300ft (46m circle diameter 27m) 55m) to 91m) Central island Fully traversable Raised (may have Raised (may have traversable apron) traversable apron) entering lanes per approach treatment Typical daily service Up to approximately Up to approximately Up to approximately volumes on 4-leg 15000veh/day 25000veh/day 45000veh/day for roundabout below two-lane roundabout which may be expected to operate without requiring a detailed capacity analysis(veh/day) 2.2.4 Capacity of Roundabouts According to Federal Highway Agency of United States the maximum flow rate that can be accommodated at a roundabout entry depends on two factors: the circulating flow on the roundabout that conflicts with the entry flow, and the geometric elements of the roundabout. When the circulating flow is low, drivers at the entry are able to enter the roundabout without significant delay. The larger gaps in the circulating flow are more useful to the entering drivers and more than one vehicle may enter each gap. As the circulating flow increases, the size of the gaps in the circulating flow decrease, and the rate at which vehicles can enter also decreases. Note that when computing the capacity of a particular leg, the actual circulating flow to use may be less than 16 demand flows, if the entry capacity of one leg contributing to the circulating flow is less than demand on that leg (FHWA-RD-00-067). The geometric elements of the roundabout also affect the rate of entry flow. The most important geometric element is the width of the entry and circulatory roadways, or the number of lanes at the entry and on the roundabout. Two entry lanes permit nearly twice the rate of entry flow as does one lane. Wider circulatory roadways allow vehicles to travel alongside, or follow, each other in tighter bunches and so provide longer gaps between bunches of vehicles. The flare length also affects the capacity. The inscribed circle diameter and the entry angle have minor effects on capacity. As at other forms of un signalized intersection, when traffic flows on an approach exceed approximately 85 percent of capacity, delays and queue lengths vary significantly about their mean values (with standard deviations of similar magnitude as the means). For this reason, the analysis procedures in some countries (Australia, Germany, and the United Kingdom), recommend that roundabouts be designed to operate at no more than 85 percent of their estimated capacity. As performance data become available for roundabouts designed according to the procedures used in the United States, they will provide a basis for development of operational performance procedures specifically calibrated for U.S. conditions. Therefore, analysts should consult future editions of the Highway Capacity Manual. 2.2.4.1 Methods of Roundabout Capacity Analysis The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM, 2010) defines the capacity of a facility as ‘the maximum hourly rate at which persons or vehicles can reasonably be expected to traverse a point or uniform section of a lane or roadway during a given time period under prevailing roadway, traffic and control conditions. Capacity is the main determinant of the performance measures such as delay, queue length and stop rate. The relationship between a given performance measure and capacity is often expressed in terms of degree of saturation (demand volume - capacity ratio). Capacity is the maximum sustainable flow rate that can be achieved during a specific time period under prevailing road, traffic and control conditions. Capacity represents the service rate (queue clearance rate) in the performance (delay, queue length, stop rate) functions, and therefore is relevant to both under saturated and over saturated conditions (Akcelik, 2011). There are two distinct theories or methodologies to assess the capacity of the roundabouts. These theories are: Empirical method Analytical or gap acceptance method 17 Analytical vs. Empirical Methods Analytical Method Geometry, traffic volumes Gap acceptance behavior Empirical Method Capacity Figure 2.10. Analytical versus empirical methods (Mallikarjuna P, 2014) The figure above illustrate the basic differences between the analytical and empirical methods. The analytical method uses the gap acceptance model while the empirical method uses only the geometry and the traffic volume of the roundabout. Further discussion on the two methods will be made below. 2.2.4.1.1 Empirical Method This model correlates geometric features and performance measures, such as capacity, average delay and queue length, through regression of field data. In this way, a relationship (generally linear or exponential) between the entering flow of an approach and the circulating flow in front of it (Rodergerdts et al. 2004) is generated. This model is better than analytical ones but requires an oversaturated condition for calibration and may have poor transferability to different countries of the world. 2.2.4.1.2 Analytical Method This model can be developed from uncongested sites; the driver on the approach (entering flow) needs to select an acceptable gap in the circulating stream, to carry out the entering maneuver. The gap is the headway between two consecutive vehicles on the circulating flow; so, the “critical gap” (tc) is the minimum headway accepted by a driver in the entering stream. If the gap accepted is larger than minimum, then more than one driver can enter the roundabout; the headway between two consecutive vehicles in the entering flow, which utilizes the same gap, is defined as “followup time” (tf). So, the analytical model analyses the roundabout capacity as a function of the critical gap, the follow-up time and the circulating flow. However, for capacity evaluation, the following are some assumptions due to the nature of geometry, turning movement, vehicle types and approach grade: 18 Constant values for “tc” and “tf” Exponential distribution for the gaps into the circulating flow Constant traffic volumes for each traffic flow These specific assumptions make the use of these models difficult in practice. Furthermore, there are limitations, such as: The estimation of the critical gap is not easy; The geometric factors are not directly taken into account; The inconsistent gaps are not accounted for in theory (forced right of way when traffic is congested, circulating drivers give up right of way, different gap accepted by different vehicles, the rejection of large gap before accepting a smaller one, etc). 2.2.4.1.3 Empirical Method versus Analytical Method Kimber in his initial laboratory report (1980) states that the dependence of entry capacity on circulating flow depends on the roundabout geometry. Kimber defined five geometric parameters which have an effect on the capacity as mentioned earlier (Section 2.2). These are entry width and flare, the inscribed circle diameter (a line that bisects the center island and the circulating lane twice), and the angle and radius of the entry. Similarly, Kimber in his paper (1989) states that gap acceptance is not a good estimator of capacity in the United Kingdom. He further states that, single-lane entries are the basis for the simplest case for gap acceptance models; while, empirical models apply also to multilane entries. Kimber reasons that gap acceptance models do not increase capacity correctly when additional entry lanes are added. Perhaps Kimber’s reasoning in this publication was due to its creation date. Many new ideas have been put forth on how additional lanes affect capacity in a gap acceptance model. Kimber makes two interesting comments in his paper (1989), the first being that many circumstances exist where driver response to yield signs conforms to gap acceptance assumptions. However, he questions whether or not gap acceptance is a sufficient description of this interaction. The main flaw of the gap acceptance theory is that it poorly evaluates capacity for at-capacity roundabouts. Flannery et al. (1998) comment that congested roundabouts are very scarce in the United States. Therefore, the empirical regression model might be difficult to use since it requires a saturated facility to be calibrated. The second comment by Kimber is that because of driver behavior and geometric variation, is not safe to transfer theories from one country to another. Fisk, in a 1991 article, agreed that regression models should not be transferred from region to region, or between roundabouts of different geometrical configurations. Fisk argues that because a regression model requires a great deal of 19 data for calibration, it may work well at a specific facility, but cannot be universal. Furthermore, Fisk feels that gap acceptance models demonstrated reliable predictions for both capacity and delay of New Zealand roundabouts. Fisk believed that by changing vehicle class parameters or providing a range of critical gap values, gap acceptance modeling could be used in other locations. Akcelik (ARR 321, 1998) contends that while Kimber objects to the “simple gap acceptance method”, the model presented for use in the SIDRA software package goes beyond the simple approach. One main addition to Akcelik’s gap acceptance approach is the modeling of the roundabout based on approach lane use. Furthermore, Akcelik writes that the method presented in his report improves capacity prediction during heavy flow conditions and especially for multilane roundabouts with uneven approach demands. Many of the additional elements used in SIDRA are parameters used to enhance its basic gap acceptance theory. The parameters that deal with the entering traffic stream include the inscribed diameter, average entry lane width, the number of circulating and entry lanes, the entry capacity (based on the circulating flow rate), and the ratio of the entry flow to the circulating flow. These additional model elements demonstrate the detailed nature of the SIDRA model (AACRA also recommend SIDRA for capacity evaluation). Another important component of Akcelik’s formulation is the identification of the dominant and sub-dominant entry lanes based on their flows. The dominant lane has the highest flow rate, and all others are subdominants. The purpose of this component is that dominant and sub-dominant entry lanes can have different critical gap and follow up times. The distinction between dominant and sub-dominant lanes appears to be quite important because vehicles using the leftmost entry lane must find a gap in both circulating lanes, as opposed to the right entry lane, which must only deal with traffic in the outer most circulating lane. SIDRA also includes a passenger car equivalent (pce) factor for heavy vehicles. In this regard, Akcelik (1997) recommended that pce per hour be used in place of vehicles per hour when the proportion of heavy vehicles surpassed 5percent. Many other authors concurred Akcelik’s recommendation. In their Roundabout Design Workshop (2001), Rodegertds explained that heavy vehicles primarily affect roundabout capacity due to their size, not because of their slower acceleration and speed. The U.S. DOT’s Roundabout Guide (2000) suggests typical PCE conversion factors for adjusting entering and circulating volumes. These include a 1.5 factor for recreational vehicles and buses, and a 2.0 factor for track trailers. Because the empirical formulation has some drawbacks, for example, data has to be collected at over-saturated flow (or at capacity) level. It is a painstaking task to collect enough data to ensure reliability of results, and this method is sometimes inflexible under unfamiliar circumstances, for example, when the value 20 is far out of the range of regressed data. Consequently, researchers looked for other reliable methods of determining roundabout capacity. Many researchers agree that a gap acceptance theory (Analytical Method) is a more appropriate tool. An advantage of this method is that the gap acceptance technique offers a logical basis for the evaluation of capacity. Secondly, it is easy to appreciate the meaning of the parameters used and to make adjustments for unusual conditions. Moreover, gap acceptance conceptually relates traffic interactions at roundabouts with the availability of gap in the traffic streams (Thaweesak, 1998). Further investigation into which theory is more appropriate shows that the gap acceptance model is felt to be more transferable from country to country and location to location than is the empirical regression model. List et al. (2007) investigated multilane roundabouts in New York State using gap acceptance-based models. They commented that it is possible to transfer capacity equations from overseas. 2.2.4.2 Capacity Models Developed Abroad 2.2.4.2.1 United Kingdom Kimber (1980) conducted studies in the United Kingdom (UK) and developed an empirical linear regression equation based on large number of observations at roundabouts operating at-capacity. This equation directly relates capacity to roundabout geometry. 𝑄𝑒 = 𝑘(𝐹 − 𝑓𝑐𝑄𝑐), where Qe is entry capacity (vph) Qc is circulating flow (pce/h) k, F, fc are constants derived from the geometry of the roundabout 2.2.4.2.2 Australia Troutbeck (1993) conducted studies for the Australian Road Research Board and developed an analytical equation based on gap acceptance characteristics observed and measured at roundabouts operating below capacity. Critical gap and follow-up times are related to roundabout geometry and capacity is then determined using the following equation. 𝑄𝑒 = α𝑄𝑐𝑒 −λ(𝑡𝑐−𝑡𝑚) 1−𝑒 −𝜆𝑡𝑓 , where Qe is entry capacity (vph) Qc is circulating flow (vph) α is proportion of non-bunched (free) vehicles in the circulating streams λ is model parameter tc is critical gap (s) tf is minimum headway in circulating streams (s) tm is follow-up time (s) 21 2.2.4.2.3 Germany Stuwe (1992) studied eleven German roundabouts and developed the following exponential regression equation to estimate roundabout entry capacity. 𝐵𝑉𝑐 𝐶 = 𝐴𝑒 −(10000) , where C is entry capacity, vph; Vc is circulating flow, vph; and A, B are parameters dependent on the number of circulating and entry lanes 2.2.4.2.4 Switzerland Simon (1991) developed the following linear model based on studies of roundabouts in Switzerland. 8 𝐶 = 1500 − ( ) 𝑉𝑔, where C is entry capacity (vph) 9 Vg is impeding flow (vph), determined with the equation below 𝑉𝑔 = β𝑉𝑐 + α𝑉𝑠, where Vc is circulating flow (vph) Vs is exiting flow (vph) α, β are parameters depending on geometry and number of circulating lanes 2.2.4.2.5 France In 1988 the French government organization Centre d’Etudes des Transports Urbains (CETUR), now known as CERTU, developed the following linear model for urban roundabout capacity. 5 𝐶 = 1500 − (6) 𝑉𝑔, where C is entry capacity (vph) Vg is impeding flow (vph), determined with the equation below 𝑉𝑔 = 𝑉𝑐 + α𝑉𝑠, where Vc is circulating flow (vph) Vs is exiting flow (vph) α is parameter dependent on splitter island width. Similarly, SETRA, the French national design organization for rural highways, developed a linear equation for the capacity of rural roundabouts in 1987 as follows: 𝐶 = (1330 − 0.7𝑉𝑔)(1 + 0.1[𝑙𝑒 − 3.5]), where C is entry capacity (vph) Vg is impeding flow (vph), dependent on circulating and exiting flows and geometry le is entry width (m) 2.2.4.2.6 United States The Highway Capacity Manual 2010 (HCM) presents a methodology for estimating roundabout capacity based on gap acceptance. The capacity model is applicable only to single-lane roundabouts if the circulating volume is less than 1,200 vph. Insufficient experience in the U.S. precludes the 22 HCM from containing guidelines for multiple-lane roundabouts. The HCM assumes that the gap acceptance characteristics of drivers entering a roundabout to be similar to those of drivers making right turns a following model was developed in the U.S. the equation to be introduced below is used in the methodology section to analyze capacity of the roundabout. −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑐 𝐶𝑎 = 𝑉𝑐𝑒 3600 −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑓 , where ca = approach capacity (veh/h) 1−𝑒 3600 vc = conflicting circulating traffic (veh/h) tc = critical gap (s) tf = follow-up time (s) e = constant The HCM 2010 recommends ranges for critical gap and follow-up time, which are presented in the table below. Table 2.3. HCM Critical Gap and Follow-up Times (HCM 2010, Exhibit 17-37) Bound Critical gap (s) Follow up time (s) Upper bound 4.1 2.6 Lower bound 4.6 3.1 The U.S. Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) publication, Roundabouts: an Informational Guide (2000) presents a more comprehensive discussion of roundabout performance analysis than the HCM (2010). This document differentiates roundabouts based upon size and environment and provides capacity models for urban compact roundabouts, typical single-lane roundabouts, and typical double-lane roundabouts. Urban compact roundabouts have nearly perpendicular single-lane approach legs and inscribed circle diameters in the range of 25 to 30 m (82 to 98.5 ft.). The capacity model for urban compact roundabouts is based on the capacity curves developed by Brilon, Wu, and Bondzio (1997) for German roundabouts with single-lane entries and a single-lane circulatory roadway as follows: 𝑄𝑒 = 1218 − 0.74𝑄𝑐, where: Qe is entry capacity (vph) Qc is circulating flow (vph) The UK equation developed by Kimber (1980) form the basis for the capacity models derived for typical single-lane and double-lane roundabouts. The indicated assumptions of geometric parameters were chosen so as to simplify the equations as follows: Single-lane roundabouts: 23 𝑄 = 𝑀𝑖𝑛{(1212 − 0.5447𝑄𝑐), (1800 − 𝑄𝑐) Assuming: D = 40 m, r = 20 m, φ = 30°, v = 4 m, e = 4 m, l’ = 40 m Double-lane roundabouts: 𝑄𝑒 = 2424 − 0.7159𝑄𝑐 Assuming: D = 55 m, r = 20 m, φ = 30°, v = 8 m, e = 8 m, l’ = 40 m. Where, Qe is entry capacity (vph) Qc is circulating flow (vph) D is inscribed circle diameter (m) r is entry radius (m) φ is entry angle (degrees) v is approaching half width (m) e is entry width (m) l' is effective flare length (m) When capacity requirements are met at double-lane roundabouts with the gradual widening of the approaches (flaring), the capacity of each entry lane, qmax, is estimated with the equation below. This equation is based on Wu’s (1997) studies on the effect of short lanes on entry capacity for two-lane roundabouts. 2𝑞 𝑞𝑚𝑎𝑥 = 𝑥 𝑛+1 √2 = 𝑞𝑚𝑎𝑥2 𝑛+1√2 , where: q is flow in each lane (pce/h) (assumed to be equal in both lanes); x is degree of saturation; n is length of queue space (vehicles) 24 qmax 2 is capacity of entry at a double-lane roundabout (pce/h) Figure 2.11. Capacity comparison of single-lane and double-lane roundabouts (FHWA-SA-10006, 2000) The figure above shows a comparison of the expected capacity for both the single-lane and doublelane roundabouts. Again, it is evident that the number of lanes, or the size of the entry and circulating roadways, has a significant effect on the entry capacity. 25 3 3.1 MATERIALS AND METHODS General To conduct the research, capacity manuals from abroad and SIDRA intersection software to analyze quality measures such as delay, capacity, degree of saturation, and level of service of Goduguada roundabout were used. 3.2 Study Area Hawassa is the administrative capital for regional government of Southern Nations, Nationalities and People’s State of Ethiopia on the shores of Lake Hawassa which is one of the Great Rift Valley lakes. The city has an area of 47.66km2 comprising more than 225,700 people. This means 4735 people live within one square kilo meters (CSA, 2013). Astronomically the city is at 7°03'43'' North +Latitude and 38°28'34'' East Longitude. The city is located 270 km south of Addis Ababa via DebreZeit-Mojo, 130 km east of Sodo, 75 km north of Dilla and 1125 km north of Nairobi. The city lies on the Trans African highways 4 Cairo-Cape Town, with a latitude and longitude of 703′N 38028′E coordinates and an elevation of 1708 meters. Hawassa is the second diverse city in terms of population ethnicity next to Addis Ababa (Ermias K, 2015). The specific study area where the research was conducted is Goduguada roundabout. The Google earth image below illustrates Goduguada roundabout. Figure 3.1. Location of Goduguada Roundabout (GoogleET Maxar Technologies) 26 3.3 Materials Various materials were used for collecting the data used in the research. Primary data and secondary data were collected based on the respective requirements of both the software analysis and manual calculations. The software analysis was carried out using SIDRA 8.0 intersection software as mentioned earlier. This software needs both the volume data recorded from the roundabout and the geometric data taken from Google earth pro. To perform the analysis the traffic volume data was first converted to an hour volume data using the procedures mentioned on section 3.3.3.1. After the data was converted to an hour volume data using the peak hour factor, it was used on the volume section of the software. Before using the volume data the following procedures were carried out: Layout arrangement of the roundabout accordingly to the Google map of the area in the intersection section of the software, Movements (origin-destination) were defined in the movement definitions section of the software, Dimensions (width of approach lanes), number of lanes, and lane configuration data was filled on the lane geometry section of the roundabout, Movement classes (light vehicles and heavy vehicles) were defined on the lane movement section of the software, 3.4 Other geometrical information was filled in the roundabout section of the software, Finally these information were used to analyze the performance of the roundabout. Methods 3.4.1 Method of Data Collection Roundabout's, geometric and traffic data (peak hour) were required in order to achieve the objectives of this research. As much as possible, the traffic data collected should indicate the existing peak hour traffic conditions. The peak hour traffic conditions are used to determine the peak hour factor which is used in the capacity calculations. Therefore, it was necessary to collect these data using the collecting materials and techniques mentioned earlier. To achieve the aim of the study and to answer the formulated research questions, different data are required, and these data are categorized into primary data and secondary data. Traffic volume count data is among the primary data and it was collected using a video camera. A stopwatch was used to identify for how long the video was recorded. As a result, after preparing measurement materials 27 and being familiar with the measurement techniques, the traffic movement data on the roundabout were recorded, the general information on appropriate forms for traffic volume data were filled and dimensions of geometric elements of the roundabout in section 3.4.1.1 were taken from Google earth pro. 3.4.1.1 Geometric Data As per the requirement of SIDRA INTERSECTION Software Version 8.0, the geometric data collected should include all the necessary parameters for the purpose of analysis. All the necessary geometric data of the parameters used in the software on the roundabout were taken from Google Earth Pro images and some of the dimensions were confirmed by making measurements on the parameters such as entry lane width, central island diameter, number of circulating lanes, and number of entry lanes. These data were measured with a tap meter. Table 3.1. Shows the summarized collected geometric data of Goduguada roundabout. 28 Table 3.1. Summary of Goduguada Roundabout Geometry on Each Legs Goduguada Roundabout Roundabout Name Entry No of circulatory Central Island Inscribed circle Average lane Circulating lane lane lane diameter (m) diameter (m) width (m) width (m) Leg1 (Mekuriyaye) 1 1 14 30 3.5 8 Leg 2 (Arabsefer) 2 1 14 30 3.5 8 Leg 3 (Southstar) 1 1 14 30 3.5 8 Leg 4 (Campus) 2 1 14 30 3.5 8 Approach leg 29 3.4.1.2 Traffic Data Traffic movements of vehicle and vehicles' volume classification are important parameters for performance analysis using SIDRA 8.0 intersection design software and the manual analysis using Highway Capacity Manual. Because of this, vehicle volume data were collected at peak hours with their direction of movements. Peak hour traffic volume represents the most critical period for operations and has the highest capacity requirements. The peak hour volume, however, is not a constant value from day to day or from season to season. If the highest hourly volumes for a given location were listed in descending order, a large variation in the data would be observed, depending on the type of route and facility under study. Whether the design hour was measured, established from the analysis of peaking patterns, or based on modeled demand, the peak-hour factor (PHF) is applied to determine design hour flow rates. Peak-hour factors in urban areas generally range between 0.80 and 0.95. Lower values signify greater variability of flow within the subject hour, and higher values signify little flow variation. Peak hour factors over 0.95 are often indicative of high traffic volumes, sometimes with capacity constraints on flow during the peak hour. Peak rates of flow are related to hourly volumes through the use of the peak-hour factor. This factor is defined as the ratio of total hourly volume to the peak rate of flow within the hour: PHF = Hourly Volume Peak flow rate (within the hour) Since 15-min periods are used, the PHF may be computed as; V PHF = 4∗𝑉 15 = V , where, PHF = peak-hour factor, Maximum flow rate V= hourly volume (vph), and V15 = volume during the peak 15 min of the peak hour (veh/15 min). Note that, even if only 15-minute interval video were used for three hours at different times of the day data as traffic movement data, it is necessary to record traffic count data for at least two hours at a time. The number of counted vehicles from the recorded video in each leg are shown on table 3.2 to table 3.5. 30 Table 3.2. Raw vehicles flow data on Mekuriyaye approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020 Mekuriyaye Movement Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer Mekuriyaye-Southstar Vehicle Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Type (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Time Interval Time Interval or bus Time Interval Mekuriyaye-Campus or bus Morning (1:30 am to 2:30am) 18 42 1:30-1:45 2 12 1 1:45-2:00 7 11 1 17 2:00-2:15 6 14 1 18 2:15-2:30 6 18 0 6:15-6:30 1 6:30-6:45 or bus 1 6 10 0 38 2 3 9 0 49 1 2 8 0 1 2 7 0 9 26 46 Afternoon (6:15am to 7:15am) 0 12 30 1 3 4 0 5 10 0 15 35 1 2 2 1 6:45-7:00 4 12 0 14 41 0 1 4 1 7:00-7:15 3 12 1 1 1 3 0 11:30-11:45 1 7 22 32 Evening (11:30 am to 12:30pm) 1 14 36 0 5 6 1 11:45:12:00 3 8 1 16 36 1 2 5 0 12:00-12:15 2 10 1 17 44 1 1 5 0 12:15-12:30 1 9 0 24 38 0 1 6 1 31 Table 3.3. Raw vehicles flow data on Arabsefer approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020 Arabsefer Movement Arabsefer-Southstar Arabsefer-Campus Vehicle Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Type (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Time Interval Time Interval or bus Time Interval Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye or bus Morning (1:30 am to 2:30am) 7 10 1:30-1:45 2 17 1 1:45-2:00 10 14 1 12 2:00-2:15 15 19 0 11 2:15-2:30 7 10 1 6:15-6:30 1 15 1 6:30-6:45 6 10 0 6 6:45-7:00 13 12 1 4 7:00-7:15 5 7 0 11:30-11:45 1 11:45:12:00 or bus 0 7 6 0 19 0 9 14 1 10 0 11 18 0 0 10 13 0 0 6 3 0 6 0 7 9 0 7 0 9 15 0 0 8 11 1 16 9 6 Evening (11:30 am to 12:30pm) 1 5 7 0 6 4 0 7 12 1 10 11 0 8 11 1 12:00-12:15 14 15 0 8 8 1 8 16 0 12:15-12:30 6 8 1 7 10 1 9 12 1 9 13 Afternoon (6:15am to 7:15am) 4 6 32 Table 3.4. Raw vehicles flow data on Southstar approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020 Southstar Movement Southstar-Campus Southstar-Mekuriyaye Vehicle Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Type (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Time Interval Time Interval or bus Time Interval Southstar-Arabsefer or bus Morning (1:30 am to 2:30am) 13 46 1:30-1:45 4 5 0 1:45-2:00 2 4 1 9 2:00-2:15 5 11 0 24 2:15-2:30 6 11 0 6:15-6:30 2 3 0 6:30-6:45 1 3 0 7 6:45-7:00 4 9 0 15 7:00-7:15 3 7 1 11:30-11:45 3 11:45:12:00 or bus 1 2 7 1 47 5 7 12 0 47 0 11 9 0 2 2 4 2 2 1 4 2 39 4 3 5 0 32 1 5 6 1 0 1 3 2 4 17 44 Evening (11:30 am to 12:30pm) 1 10 42 1 1 5 1 1 2 0 8 44 2 5 8 0 12:00-12:15 3 10 0 21 39 0 7 7 0 12:15-12:30 4 9 1 21 47 1 1 1 1 24 53 Afternoon (6:15am to 7:15am) 5 38 33 Table 3.5. Raw vehicles flow data on Campus approach leg Goduguada Roundabout on November 14, 2020 Campus Movement Campus-Mekuriyaye Campus-Arabsefer Vehicle Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Type (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) (veh) Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Motorcycles Car Single unit truck Time Interval Time Interval or bus Time Interval Campus-Southstar or bus Morning (1:30 am to 2:30am) 13 8 1:30-1:45 4 2 0 1:45-2:00 6 8 1 17 2:00-2:15 3 11 0 10 2:15-2:30 8 8 0 6:15-6:30 2 2 0 6:30-6:45 4 6 0 11 6:45-7:00 1 5 0 4 7:00-7:15 5 7 0 11:30-11:45 2 11:45:12:00 or bus 0 5 7 0 13 0 7 8 1 8 2 6 7 0 1 14 12 0 0 3 5 0 9 1 5 1 1 3 1 5 6 0 0 9 2 0 1 1 7 Evening (11:30 am to 12:30pm) 1 4 6 0 3 2 1 2 4 0 8 7 1 2 1 1 12:00-12:15 1 4 0 9 7 0 5 4 0 12:15-12:30 3 5 0 6 4 1 5 1 1 2 9 Afternoon (6:15am to 7:15am) 11 7 34 The different types of vehicles in a traffic stream have different characteristics like width, length, height and mass; these different size vehicles have different capacity impacts. Volumes are typically expressed in passenger car vehicles per hour (v/h), to convert other vehicle types to Passenger Car Equivalents (pce), the conversion factors are used to get passengers car equivalents as indicated in Table 3.6. Table 3.6. Conversion factors for passenger car equivalents (pcu) (UKDOT, 1993) Vehicle Type Passenger Car Equivalents (pce) Car 1.0 Single-unit truck or bus 1.5 Truck with trailer 2.0 Bicycle or motorcycle 0.5 By using the conversion factor, the traffic volume at peak hour in the passenger car unit is summarized in Table 3.7 to Table 3.10. The total passenger car unit volume will be used to determine the peak hour factor in the analysis section on the next chapter. 35 Vehicle type Vehicle type Vehicle type Mekuriyaye-Campus Mekuriyaye-Southstar Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer Table 3.7. Raw total traffic flow on Mekuriyaye approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout 1:30- 1:45- 2:00- 2:15- 6:15- 6:30- 6:45- 7:00- 11:30- 11:45- 12:00- 12:15- 1:45 2:00 2:15 2:30 6:30 6:45 7:00 7:15 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 Car 12 11 14 18 9 10 12 12 7 8 10 9 Motrocycle 2 7 6 6 1 5 4 3 1 3 2 1 HV Single unit 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 15 16 19 21 10 13 14 15 9 11 13 10 %age of HV (%) 10.34 9.375 8.10 0 0 0 0 10 16.67 13.64 12 0 Car 42 38 49 46 30 35 41 32 36 36 44 38 Motrocycle 18 17 18 26 12 15 14 22 14 16 17 24 HV Single unit 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 53 50 60 61 38 44 48 45 43 46 54 50 %age of HV (%) 2.857 6.061 2.52 2.47 4 3.41 0 3.37 0 3.297 2.778 0 Car 10 9 8 7 10 9 8 7 4 2 4 3 Motorcycle 6 3 2 2 6 3 2 2 3 2 1 1 HV Single unit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 13 11 9 8 13 11 9 8 6 5 6 4 %age of HV (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33.33 25 0 LV (veh) LV (veh) LV (veh) 36 Vehicle type Vehicle type Vehicle type Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye Arabsefer-Campus Arabsefer-Southstar Table 3.8. Raw total traffic flow on Arabsefer approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout 1:30- 1:45- 2:00- 2:15- 6:15- 6:30- 6:45- 7:00- 11:30- 11:45- 12:00- 12:15- 1:45 2:00 2:15 2:30 6:30 6:45 7:00 7:15 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 Car 17 14 19 10 15 10 12 7 16 12 15 8 Motrocycle 12 10 15 7 1 6 13 5 1 7 14 6 Single unit 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 Total PCU 25 21 27 15 17 13 20 10 18 17 22 13 %age of HV 6.12 7.31 0 10 8.82 0 7.5 0 8.333 8.824 0 12 Car 10 19 10 13 6 6 7 6 7 11 8 10 Motrocycle 7 12 11 9 4 6 4 9 5 10 8 7 HV Single unit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 14 25 16 18 8 9 9 11 10 16 14 15 %age of HV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.11 0 Car 6 14 18 13 3 9 15 11 4 11 16 12 Motorcycle 7 9 11 10 6 7 9 8 6 8 8 9 HV Single unit 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 10 20 24 18 6 13 20 17 7 17 20 18 %age of HV 0 7.5 0 0 0 0 0 9.09 0 9.091 0 8.333 LV (veh) HV (veh) truck or bus LV (veh) LV (veh) 37 Vehicle type Vehicle type Vehicle type Southstar-Arabsefer Southstar-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Campus Table 3.9. Raw total traffic flow on Southstar approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout 1:30- 1:45- 2:00- 2:15- 6:15- 6:30- 6:45- 7:00- 11:30- 11:45- 12:00- 12:15- 1:45 2:00 2:15 2:30 6:30 6:45 7:00 7:15 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 Car 5 4 11 11 3 3 9 7 4 2 10 9 Motrocycle 4 2 5 6 2 1 4 3 3 1 3 4 HV Single unit 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 7 7 14 14 4 4 11 10 7 3 12 13 %age of HV 0 23.08 0 0 0 0 0 15 21.43 0 0 12 Car 46 47 47 53 38 39 32 44 42 44 39 47 Motrocycle 13 9 24 24 5 7 15 17 10 8 21 21 HV Single unit 1 5 0 2 2 4 1 0 1 2 0 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 54 59 59 48 44 49 41 53 49 51 50 59 %age of HV 2.778 12.71 0 4.41 6.89 12.4 3.66 0 3.093 5.882 0 2.542 Car 7 12 9 4 4 5 6 3 5 8 7 1 Motorcycle 2 7 11 2 1 3 5 1 1 5 7 1 HV Single unit 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 10 16 15 8 8 7 10 7 7 11 11 3 %age of HV 15.79 0 0 37.5 40 0 15 46.2 21.43 0 0 50 LV (veh) LV (veh) LV (veh) 38 Vehicle type Vehicle type Vehicle type Campus-Southstar Campus-Arabsefer Campus-Mekuriyaye Table 3.10. Raw total traffic flow on Campus approach leg of Goduguada Roundabout 1:30- 1:45- 2:00- 2:15- 6:15- 6:30- 6:45- 7:00- 11:30- 11:45- 12:00- 12:15- 1:45 2:00 2:15 2:30 6:30 6:45 7:00 7:15 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 Car 2 8 11 8 2 6 5 7 1 4 4 5 Motrocycle 4 6 3 8 2 4 1 5 2 2 1 3 HV Single unit 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 4 13 13 12 3 8 6 10 4 5 5 7 %age of HV 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 42.86 0 0 0 Car 8 13 8 9 7 9 3 7 6 7 7 4 Motrocycle 13 17 10 2 11 11 4 1 4 8 9 6 HV Single unit 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 15 22 16 12 13 16 7 8 8 13 12 9 %age of HV 0 0 18.7 13.0 0 9.38 23.1 0 0 12 0 17.65 Car 7 8 7 12 5 1 6 2 2 1 4 1 Motorcycle 5 7 6 14 3 5 5 9 3 2 5 5 HV Single unit 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 (veh) truck or bus Total PCU 10 13 10 19 7 5 9 7 5 4 7 5 %age of HV 0 11.54 0 0 0 30 0 0 30 42.86 0 30 LV (veh) LV (veh) LV (veh) 39 3.4.2 Methods of Analysis 3.4.2.1 Movement of Traffic The first and main objective of this research is to study the movement of traffic at the selected roundabout since it is mandatory for all the other objectives of the research. To study the number of vehicles’ movement data collections were carried out using the following procedures. The peak hour of the roundabout was chosen by making frequent visual surveys; Then an appropriate tall building nearby the roundabout was selected; Then videos for 1 hour with 15 minutes intervals were recorded in the morning, afternoon, and evening; After the videos were recorded, the left turn, right turn, through pass, and total number of vehicles were identified. During the identification of the movement types, vehicle type determination was carried out simultaneously since it is equally important for the research as the movement type and volume. 3.4.2.2 Capacity Analysis and Determination of Degree of Saturation This section presents procedures for the analysis of capacity and degree of saturation of roundabouts. The data collection was carried out mainly by recording videos at peak hours for 1 hour with intervals of 15 minutes and this data was be converted to an hour data. These 15-minute data recorded aids in calculation of conflicting traffic. The recorded video was captured from a convenient position that can show all vehicles on the four legs that circulate on the roundabout at an instant with a clear image. From the recorded video the number of existing vehicles at each leg of the roundabout as well as the conflicting and circulating traffic in the circulatory lane of the roundabout were counted. There are two models for the analysis of existing structures one that relies on the field data to be collected to develop relationships between geometric design features and performance measures such as capacity and delay which is known as the empirical approach. The other method which is the analytical method which makes its basis on gap acceptance theory. The choice of the latter approach depends on the available calibration data. The empirical suit at conditions where there is congestions at roundabouts for calibration, but gap acceptance methods can be developed from uncongested roundabouts. The figure below illustrates the vehicles that circulate on the roundabout (Vc) as well as that enter the roundabout (Va) from the approach lanes. 40 Figure 3.2. Analysis of one-legged roundabout (HCM 2000) Overview of the Gap Acceptance Method There are two basic parameters that can be used to estimate the capacity of a roundabout which are critical gap and follow-up time. These methods are further explained and compared in section 2.2.4.1. We assumed the performance of the roundabout on the four legs can be analyzed independently and consequently. On many capacity performance evaluation analyses, information gathered only on one of the legs are used. Basically, approach flow and circulating flows are used in the analysis’s procedure. Figure 3.3 shows vehicle denotations and their flow direction of all the twelve vehicles (V1 to V12) in and around the roundabout. Figure 3.3. Flow Stream Definitions (HCM 2000) Steps to Perform Roundabout Capacity Analysis based on Highway Capacity Manual 2000 The required procedures to carry out a roundabout analysis are listed below. This procedure is only applicable to a single-lane roundabout with circulating flows less than 1200 veh/h. 41 Define the existing geometry and traffic conditions for the intersection under study. For each leg, movement traffic volume data are entered for each approach. Determine the conflicting (circulating) traffic at each leg of the roundabout. For each leg, the approach and the circulating traffic is computed. If the circulating flow exceeds 1200 veh/h, this procedure should not be used, unless field data have been collected for the critical gap and follow-up time, Determine the capacity of the entry lanes using the equation below, Assess the general performance of the roundabout based on the v/c ratio. −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑐 𝐶𝑎 = 𝑉𝑐𝑒 3600 −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑓 , where ca = approach capacity (veh/h) 1−𝑒 3600 vc = conflicting circulating traffic (veh/h) tc = critical gap (s) tf = follow-up time (s) e = constant The parameters in the equation can be determined as follows First information from the roundabout like movement volumes will be used Peaking approach flow traffic volumes will be adjusted using the formula below 𝑉𝑥 = 𝑣𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒 𝑃𝐻𝐹 , where, PHF= Peak hour factor of the roundabout Circulating flows will then be determined using the following equations Vc, ne = 𝑉9 + 𝑉11 + 𝑉12, where, Vc, ne is volume of traffic circulating in the northeast direction of the roundabout Vc, nw = 𝑉2 + 𝑉3 + 𝑉12, where, Vc, nw is the volume of traffic circulating in the northwest direction of the roundabout Vc, sw = 𝑉3 + 𝑉5 + 𝑉6, where, Vc, sw is the volume of traffic circulating in the southwest direction of the roundabout Vc, se = 𝑉6 + 𝑉8 + 𝑉9, where, Vc, sw is the volume of traffic circulating in the southeast direction of the roundabout Upper bound and lower bound capacities of each leg will then be calculated using this −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑐 formula 𝐶𝑎 = 𝑉𝑐𝑒 3600 −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑓 1−𝑒 3600 Approach volumes at each legs will then be calculated as follows: 42 Va, ne = 𝑉1 + 𝑉2 + 𝑉3, where V a, ne is the approach traffic volume in the northeast direction Va, nw = 𝑉4 + 𝑉5 + 𝑉6, where V a, nw is the approach traffic volume in the northwest direction Va, sw = 𝑉7 + 𝑉8 + 𝑉9, where V a, sw is the approach traffic volume in the southwest direction Va, se = 𝑉10 + 𝑉11 + 𝑉12, where V a, se is the approach traffic volume in the southeast direction After the approach volumes in each direction are calculated volume to capacity ratio can be determined. The ratio helps estimate the degrees of saturation in each leg of the roundabout. 𝑣 𝑐 𝑛𝑒 = 𝑉𝑎,𝑛𝑒 𝐶𝑛𝑒𝑏 , where V a, ne is the approach volume in the northeast direction C neb is the approach capacity of the northeast bound direction 𝑣 𝑐 𝑛𝑤 = 𝑉𝑎,𝑛𝑤 𝐶𝑛𝑤𝑏 , where V a, nw is the approach volume in the northwest direction C nwb is the approach capacity of the northwest bound direction 𝑣 𝑠𝑤 = 𝑐 𝑉𝑎,𝑠𝑤 𝐶𝑠𝑤𝑏 , where V a, sw is the approach volume in the southwest direction C swb is the approach capacity of the southwest bound direction 𝑣 𝑠𝑒 = 𝑐 𝑉𝑎,𝑠𝑒 𝐶𝑠𝑒𝑏 , where V a, se is the approach volume in the southeast direction C seb is the approach capacity of the southeast bound direction 3.4.2.3 Delay Calculation and Determination of Level of Service Roundabouts tend to treat all movements at an intersection equally, with no priority provided to major movements over minor movements. Each approach is required to yield to circulating traffic, regardless of whether the approach is a local street or major arterial. This may result in more delay to the major movements than might otherwise be desired. This problem is most acute at the intersection of high-volume major streets with low-volume to medium-volume minor streets (e.g., major arterial streets with minor collectors or local streets). Therefore, the overall street classification system and hierarchy should be considered before selecting a roundabout (or stopcontrolled) intersection. This limitation should be specifically considered on emergency response routes in comparison with other intersection types and control. The delays depend on the volume 43 of turning movements and should be analyzed individually for each approach, according to the following procedure The first step in this procedure is calculating delay using the formula below: 3,600 ( ci ) 𝑥𝑖 3,600 √(𝑥 2 di = + 900𝑇 [𝑥𝑖 − 1 + ] + 5 ∗ min[𝑥𝑖 , 1] 𝑖 − 1) + 𝑐𝑖 450𝑇 Where i = eastbound, northbound, westbound, and southbound approaches di = average control delay for approach i (seconds/vehicle) xi = volume-to-capacity ratio of approach ci = capacity of approach i (vehicles/hour) T = analysis time period (hour) The parameters in the above equation can be determined as follows: Xi is the V/C ratio is to be determined from the analyses carried out in the degree of saturation determination section. T is usually 15 minutes or 0.25h but in our case it is 1hour since the analysis period is 1h Ci is capacity of approach to be determined from the analyses carried out in the capacity computation section After delay calculations are carried out the level of service the roundabout can be determined using the table below. Table 3.11 shows the criteria for level of service by volume-to-capacity ratio using control delay as the primary measure of quality. Table 3.11. Level-of-Service Criteria (NCHRP 2010) Control delay (s/veh) 0-10 >10-15 >15-25 >25-35 >35-50 >50 Level of Service by volume-to-capacity ratio v/c ≤ 1.0 v/c >1.0 A F B F C F D F E F F F 44 3.4.2.4 Performance Evaluation using SIDRA Intersection software SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 software has used the gap-acceptance methodology for roundabout capacity estimation where gap-acceptance parameters are estimated from the roundabout geometry. In short, SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 has employed a combined (hybrid) geometry and gap-acceptance modelling approach in order to consider the effect of roundabout geometry on driver behavior directly through gap-acceptance modelling. This approach accepts the importance of roundabout geometry but states that roundabout geometry alone is not good enough and modelling of driver behavior is needed for roundabout capacity estimation, just as it is needed for modelling the capacity of any other intersection type (signals, sign control). There has been a lot of debate about the relative benefits of models based on "gap acceptance theory" vs "empirical models" in the past, with claims that gap-acceptance modelling does not work for roundabouts. Much of this debate has been misleading due to simplistic model categorization based on the suggestion that these modeling approaches are mutually exclusive. Opinion has also been expressed that it does not matter which one of these modelling approaches is used. This has overlooked the fact that SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 has used the gap-acceptance method not only for capacity but also for performance estimation including unique equations for back of queue and stop rate based on modelling of gap-acceptance cycles. Although several other empirical delay studies and procedures exist for delay analysis, SIDRA offers a unique advantage in delay studies. While the empirical studies are limited within the study of the stopped delay (or stopped and queuing delay), SIDRA can conveniently calculate total delay by summing geometric delay, queuing delay, the acceleration and deceleration delay, and stopped delay. Expected output from the software after the analysis is complete are: Capacity of the roundabout Degree of saturation Delay Level of service The figure below is extracted from SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 software and it illustrates the general layout of the Goduguada roundabout. 45 Figure 3.4. General layout of Goduguada roundabout (SIDRA Intersection 8.0 Software) 46 4 ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION The analysis and discussion section is the most important part of the study. This section is principally considered based on the predefined research objectives. During the study the analysis was done on Goduguada roundabout using the collected data and following the procedures mentioned from the research methodology section with the aid of SIDRA Intersection Version 8.0 software, the Highway Capacity Manual, and NCHRP-Report 672. According to the methods mentioned in the methodology section the expected results are obtained from manual calculations and are compared with the results obtained from the software analyses. The results are presented in the following sections with brief explanations. 4.1 Manual Analysis 4.1.1 Movement of Traffic The movement of traffic is the most essential part of this research as it is a requirement to carry out all analyses carried out. Without determining the traffic movement and data it is impossible to carry out any manual calculations or software analyses. Just before the traffic data was taken, the peak hour of the roundabout was determined by collecting traffic data on different times of day from the 1 hour video recorded from second floor of Shalom College. The recorded videos were then interpreted in the following manner. The videos were recorded from 1:30am-2:30am, 6:15am-7:15am, and 11:30am-12:30am in the morning, afternoon, and evening respectively for intervals of 15 minutes in each hour. The data obtained from the recorded video is tabulated tables 3.2 to 3.5. As mentioned earlier in section 3.3.2.2 the collected raw data which was converted into passenger car equivalents (Table 3.7 to Table 3.10) will be used here to determine the peak hour factor of each legs of the roundabout. The analysis will be carried out as follows. The first step in this computation was to find the total traffic volume for each 15-minute period in terms of passenger car units which is tabulated in Tables 3.7 to 3.10 using the conversion factors on table 3.6. Once the total traffic volume count was determined in terms of PCU, the 15-minute interval with the highest volume will be known for each leg. 47 Table 4.1. Traffic volume count in terms of PCU 2:00- 2:15- 6:15- 6:30- 6:45- 7:00- 11:30- 11:45- 12:00- 12:15- 1:45 2:00 2:15 2:30 6:30 6:45 7:00 7:15 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 Mekuryaye Arabsefer 15 16 19 21 10 13 14 15 9 11 13 10 21 Southstar 53 50 60 61 38 44 48 45 43 46 54 50 61 Campus 13 11 9 8 13 11 9 8 6 5 6 4 13 Southstar 25 21 27 15 17 13 20 10 18 17 22 13 27 Campus 14 25 16 18 8 9 9 11 10 16 14 15 25 Mekuryaye 10 20 24 18 6 13 20 17 7 17 20 18 24 Campus 7 7 14 14 4 4 11 10 7 3 12 13 14 Mekuryaye 54 59 59 48 44 49 41 53 49 51 50 59 59 Arabsefer 10 16 15 8 8 7 10 7 7 11 11 3 16 Mekuryaye 4 13 13 12 3 8 6 10 4 5 5 7 13 Arabsefer 15 22 16 12 13 16 7 8 8 13 12 9 16 Southstar 10 13 10 19 7 5 9 7 5 4 7 5 19 Campus Southstar Origin 1:45- Arabsefer Peak 1:30- Destination 15min volume 48 The peak hour volume is the sum of the volumes of the four 15-minute time intervals within the peak hour. The peak hour for all legs in this case appears to be from 1:30AM-2:30AM, since all the peak 15min volumes are found within this hour. The actual (design) flow rate can be calculated by dividing the peak hour volume by the PHF, or by multiplying the peak 15min volume by four (4 ∗ 𝑉15). In other words. The actual flow rate is equal to the maximum flow rate. Peak Hour Volume (Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer) = 15+16+19+21 =71pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 21pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 71 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 21 = 0.85 The actual (design) flow rate (Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer): 4*21= 84pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Mekuriyaye-Southstar) = 53+50+60+61 = 224pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 61pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 224 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 61 = 0.92 The actual (design) flow rate (Mekuriyaye-Southstar): 4*61= 244pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Mekuriyaye-Campus) = 13+11+9+8 = 41pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 13pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 41 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 13 = 0.79 The actual (design) flow rate (Mekuriyaye-Campus): 4*13= 52pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Arabsefer-Southstar) = 25+21+27+15 = 88pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 27pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 88 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 27 = 0.81 The actual (design) flow rate (Arabsefer-Southstar): 4*27= 108pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Arabsefer-Campus) = 14+25+16+18 = 73pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 25pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 73 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 25 = 0.73 49 The actual (design) flow rate (Arabsefer-Campus): 4*25= 100pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye) = 10+20+24+18 = 72pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 24pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 72 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 24 = 0.75 The actual (design) flow rate (Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye): 4*24= 96pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Southstar-Campus) = 7+7+14+14 = 42pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 14pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 42 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 14 = 0.75 The actual (design) flow rate (Southstar-Campus): 4*14= 56pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Southstar-Mekuriyaye) = 54+59+59+48 = 220pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 59pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 220 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 59 = 0.93 The actual (design) flow rate (Southstar-Mekuriyaye): 4*59= 236pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Southstar-Arabsefer) = 10+16+15+8 = 49pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 16pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 49 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 16 = 0.77 The actual (design) flow rate (Southstar-Arabsefer): 4*16= 64pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Campus-Mekuriyaye) = 4+13+13+12 = 42pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 13pcu in this leg) PHF = V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 = V 42 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 13 = 0.81 The actual (design) flow rate (Campus-Mekuriyaye): 4*13= 52pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Campus-Arabsefer) = 15+22+16+12 = 65pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 22pcu in this leg) 50 V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 PHF = = V 65 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 22 = 0.74 The actual (design) flow rate (Campus-Arabsefer): 4*22= 88pcu/hr Peak Hour Volume (Campus-Southstar) = 10+13+10+19 = 52pcu (The peak 15-minute volume was 19pcu in this leg) V 4 ∗ 𝑉15 PHF = = V 52 = Maximum flow rate 4 ∗ 19 = 0.68 The actual (design) flow rate (Campus-Southstar): 4*19= 76pcu/hr Therefore, the governing peak hour factor of the roundabout will be 0.93 Table 4.2. Summary of 60-minute traffic volume and Movement type for Goduguada Roundabout Vehicle V1 Movement Mekuriyaye- Movement Traffic Peak Hour Adjusted Traffic Type (pcu/hr) Factor (pcu/hr) Right Turn 71 0.93 77 Through 224 0.93 241 Arabsefer V2 MekuriyayeSouthstar V3 Mekuriyaye-Campus Left Turn 41 0.93 45 V4 Arabsefer-Southstar Right Turn 88 0.93 95 V5 Arabsefer-Campus Through 73 0.93 79 V6 Arabsefer- Left Turn 72 0.93 78 Mekuriyaye V7 Southstar-Campus Right Turn 42 0.93 46 V8 Southstar- Through 220 0.93 237 Mekuriyaye V9 Southstar-Arabsefer Left Turn 49 0.93 53 V10 Campus-Mekuriyaye Right Turn 42 0.93 46 V11 Campus-Arabsefer Through 65 0.93 70 V12 Campus-Southstar Left Turn 52 0.93 56 51 4.1.2 Capacity Evaluation and Determination of Degree of Saturation Degree of saturation or volume to capacity ratio provides a direct assessment of the sufficiency of a given roundabout. While there are no absolute standards for the degree of saturation, the Australian design procedure suggests that the degree of saturation for an entry lane should be less than 0.85 for satisfactory operation. When the degree of saturation exceeds this range, the operation of the roundabout will likely deteriorate rapidly. Volume to capacity ratio can be computed simultaneously with capacity using the procedures mentioned in section 3.3.3.2. Volume adjustment 𝑉𝑥 = 𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑣𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒 𝑃𝐻𝐹 71 𝑉1 = 0.93 = 77𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 88 𝑉4 = 0.93 = 95𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 42 𝑉7 = 0.93 = 46𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 42 𝑉10 = 0.93 = 46𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 224 𝑉2 = 0.93 = 241𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 73 𝑉5 = 0.93 = 79𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 220 𝑉8 = 0.93 = 237𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 65 𝑉11 = 0.93 = 70𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 41 𝑉3 = 0.93 = 45𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 72 𝑉6 = 0.93 = 78𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 49 𝑉9 = 0.93 = 53𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ 52 𝑉12 = 0.93 = 56𝑣𝑒ℎ/ℎ Circulating flow computation Vc, ne = 𝑉9 + 𝑉11 + 𝑉12 = 53 + 70 + 56 = 179veh/h Vc, nw = 𝑉2 + 𝑉3 + 𝑉12 = 241 + 45 + 56 = 342veh/h Vc, sw = 𝑉3 + 𝑉5 + 𝑉6 = 45 + 79 + 78 = 202veh/h Vc, se = 𝑉6 + 𝑉8 + 𝑉9 = 78 + 237 + 53 = 368veh/h Approach flow computation Va, ne = 𝑉1 + 𝑉2 + 𝑉3 = 77 + 241 + 45 = 363veh/h Va, nw = 𝑉4 + 𝑉5 + 𝑉6 = 95 + 79 + 78 = 252veh/h Va, sw = 𝑉7 + 𝑉8 + 𝑉9 = 46 + 237 + 53 = 336veh/h Va, se = 𝑉10 + 𝑉11 + 𝑉12 = 46 + 70 + 56 = 172veh/h 52 Capacity computation −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑐 𝐶𝑎 = 𝑉𝑐𝑒 3600 −𝑉𝑐𝑡𝑓 1 − 𝑒 3600 Northeast direction −179∗4.1 𝐶𝑎𝑢𝑏 = 179𝑒 3600 −179∗2.6 −179∗4.6 = 1204veh/h 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑏 = 1−𝑒 3600 179𝑒 3600 −179∗3.1 = 997veh/h 1−𝑒 3600 Northwest direction −342∗4.1 𝐶𝑎𝑢𝑏 = 342𝑒 3600 −342∗2.6 −342∗4.6 = 1059veh/h 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑏 = 1−𝑒 3600 342𝑒 3600 −342∗3.1 = 867veh/h 1−𝑒 3600 Southwest direction −202∗4.1 𝐶𝑎𝑢𝑏 = 202𝑒 3600 −202∗2.6 −202∗4.6 = 1183veh/h 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑏 = 1−𝑒 3600 202𝑒 3600 −202∗3.1 = 686veh/h 1−𝑒 3600 Southeast direction −368∗4.1 𝐶𝑎ub = 368𝑒 3600 −368∗2.6 −368∗4.6 = 1037veh/h 1−𝑒 3600 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑏 = 368𝑒 3600 −368∗3.1 = 847veh/h 1−𝑒 3600 Vehicle-to-capacity ratio Northeast direction 𝑣 𝑐 𝑛𝑒𝑢𝑏 = 363 = 0.3 1204 𝑣 𝑐 363 𝑛𝑒𝑙𝑏 = 997 = 0.36 Northwest direction 𝑣 𝑐 𝑛𝑤𝑢𝑏 = 252 1059 = 0.24 𝑣 𝑐 𝑛𝑤𝑙𝑏 = 252 867 = 0.29 Southwest direction 𝑣 𝑐 𝑠𝑤𝑢𝑏 = 336 1183 = 0.28 𝑣 𝑐 𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑏 = 336 686 = 0.49 Southeast direction 𝑣 𝑐 𝑠𝑒𝑢𝑏 = 172 1037 = 0.17 𝑣 𝑐 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑏 = 172 847 = 0.2 53 While the HCM does not define a standard for volume-to-capacity ratio, international and domestic experience suggests that volume-to-capacity ratios in the range of 0.85 to 0.90 as mentioned above represent an approximate threshold for satisfactory operation. When the degree of saturation exceeds this range, the operation of the roundabout enters a more unstable range in which conditions could deteriorate rapidly, particularly over short periods of time. Delay begins to increase exponentially. A volume-to-capacity ratio of 0.85 should not be considered an absolute threshold; in fact, acceptable ratios may be achieved at higher ratios. Where an operational analysis reaches the volume-to-capacity ratio of 0.85, it is encouraged to conduct additional sensitivity analysis to evaluate whether relatively small increments of additional volume have domestic impacts on delays or queues. It is also recommended to take a closer look at the assumptions used in the analysis. A higher volume-to-capacity ratio during peak periods may be a better solution than the potential physical and environmental impacts of excess capacity that is unused most of the day. The first leg which is the northeast bound has a volume-to-capacity ratio of 0.3 and 0.36, the second leg which is northwest bound has a volume-to-capacity ratio of 0.24 and 0.29, the third leg which is the southwest bound has a volume-to-capacity ratio of 0.28 and 0.49, and the fourth leg which is the southeast bound has a volume-to-capacity ratio of 0.17 and 0.2. These results implicate that the roundabout is surveying below its effective capacity. The values shown first are degree of saturation in the upper bound and later are degree of saturation in the lower bound. 4.1.3 Delay Calculation and Determination of Level of Service Delay is a standard parameter used to measure the performance of an intersection. The HCM identifies control delay as the primary service measure for roundabouts, with level of service determined from the control delay estimate. As stated earlier the equation below shows the model that is used to estimate delay for each lane of a roundabout approach. 3,600 ( ) 𝑥𝑖 3,600 √ 𝑐𝑖 𝑑𝑖 = + 900𝑇 [𝑥𝑖 − 1 + (𝑥𝑖 − 1)2 + ] + 5 ∗ min[𝑥𝑖 , 1] 𝑐𝑖 450𝑇 Earlier in the methodology section the parameters of this section were explained as follows: Xi - volume-to-capacity ratio of approach i Ci - capacity of approach i di - average control delay for approach i (seconds/vehicle) T - analysis time period (hour) 54 In the following computations the greater value of volume-to-capacity of approach in the upper bound and lower bound were used since the worst case scenario for design and performance analysis purposes should be considered. Likewise the smaller values of capacity of each approach in the upper bound and lower bound were used, since smaller capacity reduces results in performance and hence level of service. Therefore, the results from the lower bounds of both capacity and volume-to-capacity ratio were taken. These results will be used later in the comparison and conclusion section. Northeast direction 3,600 𝑑𝑛𝑒 = + 900(0.25) [0.36 − 1 + √(0.36 − 1)2 + 997 ( 3,600 )0.36 997 450(0.25) ] + 5 ∗ min[0.36,1]=7.43s/veh Northwest direction 𝑑𝑛𝑤 = 3,600 867 + 900(0.25) [0.29 − 1 + √(0.29 − 1)2 + ( 3,600 )0.29 867 450(0.25) ] + 5 ∗ min[0.29,1]=7.29s/veh Southwest direction 𝑑𝑠𝑤 = 3,600 686 + 900(0.25) [0.49 − 1 + √(0.49 − 1)2 + ( 3,600 )0.49 686 450(0.25) ]+5∗ min[0.49,1]=12.63s/veh Southeast direction 𝑑𝑠𝑒 = 3,600 847 ( 3,600 )0.2 847 + 900(0.25) [0.2 − 1 + √(0.2 − 1)2 + 450(0.25) ] + 5 ∗ min[0.2,1]=6.31s/veh Delay for a given lane is a function of the lane’s capacity and degree of saturation. The analytical model used above to estimate delay assumes that there is no residual queue at the start of the analysis period. If the degree of saturation is greater than about 0.9, the delay is significantly affected by the length of analysis period. In most case, the recommended analysis period is 15 minutes. If demand exceeds capacity during a 15-minute period, the delay results calculated by the procedure may not be accurate due to the likely presence of a queue at the start of the time period. In addition, the conflicting demand for movements downstream of the movements downstream of 55 the movement operating over capacity may not be fully realized (in other words, the flow cannot get past the oversaturated entry and thus cannot conflict with a downstream entry). The first leg which is the northeast bound has a delay of 7.43seconds per vehicle, the second leg which is northwest bound has a delay of 7.29seconds per vehicle, the third leg which is the southwest bound has a delay of 12.63seconds per vehicle, and the fourth leg which is the southeast bound has a delay of 7.43seconds per vehicle. These results implicate that northeast, northwest, and southeast bounds have delay under 10 seconds, while the southwest bound has a delay in the range 10-15. In addition to that the degree of saturation of each leg is under 1.0. The HCM defines LOS as a quantitative stratification of a performance measure or measures that represent the quality of service. For roundabouts, LOS has been defined using delay with criteria given in table 3.11. From the table LOS F is assigned if the degree of saturation of a lane exceeds 1.0 regardless of the control delay. Since all legs have a degree of saturation below 1.0 we use only control delay as a quality of measure. According to HCM northeast, northwest, and southeast bounds have LOS A; and southwest bound has a level of service of LOS B. 4.2 Software Analysis Based on the input from geometric and traffic data of Goduguada roundabout SIDRA 8.0 performance analysis software produced the following results. The performance analysis results for the roundabout are summarized in Table 4.3. The performance is measured with v/c ratio or degree of saturation and level of service also applied according to HCM manual. Detailed analysis results of SIDRA are available in Appendix B. Environmental factor of 1.0 and lane utilization ratio of 100 have been used in this analysis. Environment factor is a parameter used to calibrate the roundabout capacity model to allow for less restricted (higher capacity) and more restricted (lower capacity) roundabout environments. Higher capacity conditions could be a result of factors such as good visibility, more aggressive and alert driver attitudes (smaller response times), smaller vehicles in the vehicle population, negligible pedestrian volumes, and insignificant parking and heavy vehicle activity (goods vehicles, buses, trams stopping on approach roads). Lower capacity (more restricted) conditions could be a result of factors such as compact roundabout design (perpendicular entries), low visibility, relaxed driver attitudes (slower response times), large vehicles in the population, high pedestrian volumes, and significant parking and heavy vehicle activity (goods vehicles, buses, trams stopping on approach 56 roads). (SIDRA User Guide, April 2008). Lane utilization ratio is the distribution of vehicles among lanes when two or more lanes are available for a moment. Table 4.3. Summarized performance analysis results on the roundabout Roundabout Total Heavy Effective Average Degree of Level of Vehicle Vehicles Capacity Control Saturation Service Flow (%) (veh/h) Delay (v/c) (veh/h) Goduguada 1145 (sec) 4.9 2866 6.9 0.4 LOS A 4.2.1 Movement Summary As we can see from the table below (Table 4.4) most of the lanes are in free flow condition and overall it shows free flow condition where traffic flow is virtually zero. All lanes of each leg have a level of service of LOS A with the exception of the origin-destination movements of ArabseferMekuriyaye and Campus-Southstar which have a level of service of LOS B or reasonably free flow condition. 57 Table 4.4. Summarized movement performance results on each lane Movement Turn ID Demand Flow Total Heavy Vehicles Vehicles (veh/h) (%) Capacity Degree of Average Level of (veh/h) saturation Delay Service (v/c) (sec) Northeast: Mekuriyaye V1 R2 77 8.3 194 0.399 5.6 A V2 T1 241 4.0 604 0.399 5.9 A V3 L2 44 0.0 110 0.399 9.7 A 362 4.5 0.399 6.3 A Approach Northwest: Arabsefer V4 R2 85 7.6 769 0.110 6.3 A V5 T1 78 0.0 396 0.198 6.4 A V6 L2 78 2.7 396 0.198 10.3 B 242 3.6 0.198 7.6 A Approach Southeast: Southstar V7 R2 45 4.8 113 0.400 5.6 A V8 T1 260 5.4 651 0.400 5.9 A V9 L2 53 10.2 132 0.400 9.8 A 358 6.0 0.400 6.4 A Approach Southwest: Campus V10 R2 45 4.8 738 0.061 6.5 A V11 T1 81 6.7 531 0.187 6.7 A V12 L2 57 3.8 305 0.187 10.6 B 183 5.3 0.187 7.9 A Approach 4.2.2 Capacity In the intersection summary of SIDRA outputs section the total demand flow of the roundabout is 1144veh/h and the effective capacity of the roundabout is 2866veh/h. This results show that the roundabout is in free flow conditions and the traffic flow is virtually zero. This implicates that the overall level of service of the roundabout is LOS A. 58 More over there is one variable called the practical spare capacity which is the amount of increase possible in the demand flow rate to obtain a degree of saturation equal to the practical (target) degree of saturation. The amount of practical spare capacity in this case is 112.8% for the roundabout, which implicates that the roundabout is comfortable and in convenient level for all road users. In addition to that it can yet survey more traffic to be specific more than two times it is surveying currently. Table 4.5 summarizes the differences between demand flow and capacity of the roundabout. This table illustrates that the roundabout’s demand flow is much lesser than the capacity of the roundabout which implies that, it is in a very comfortable and convenient condition. Table 4.5. Total capacity per movement vs Demand flow of Goduguada Roundabout Approach leg (veh/h) Flow (veh/h) Capacity Demand Vehicles Menaheria Atote Weldeamanuel Shell Total V1 V2 V3 V4 V5 V6 V7 V8 V9 V10 V11 V12 77 241 44 85 78 78 45 260 53 45 81 57 1144 194 604 110 769 396 396 113 651 132 738 431 305 4839 4.2.3 Degree of Saturation Ratio of Demand Volume to Capacity (v/c) for all movement classes The figure below shows the degree of saturation of each legs of the roundabout based on the circumstances such as the geometry of the roundabout. It represents the approximate values of volume-to-capacity ratio to attain a target level of service of LOS A using HCM 2010 Model. Approaches Southeast Northeast Northwest Southwest Degree of Saturation 0.19 0.40 0.20 0.40 Intersection 0.40 59 Color code based on Degree of Saturation [<0.6] [0.6-0.7] [0.7-0.8] [0.8-0.9] [0.9-1.0] [>1.0] SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 ɪ Copyright © 2000-2018 Akcelik and Associates Pty Ltd ɪ sidrasolutions.com Organization: Fenerbahce Processed: Friday, November 20, 2020 9:51:05 PM Project: C:\Fifth Year\Second Semester\BSc Thesis Files\SIDRA\Software Training\Goduguada 1.sip8 Figure 4.1. Degree of Saturation of Goduguada Roundabout 4.2.4 Delay Average control delay per vehicle The figure below shows the delay on each leg of the roundabout in seconds. All lanes of each leg have a delay under 10 seconds with the exception of the origin-destination movements of Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye and Campus-Southstar which have a delay in the range 10-15. The two lanes have a level of service of LOS B and all other lanes have a level of service of LOS A according to the legend. But leg and roundabout wise the level of service is LOS A. 60 Approaches Southeast Northeast Northwest Southwest Delay (Control) LOS Intersection 7.9 6.3 7.6 6.4 6.9 A A A A A Color code based on Level of Service [LOS A] [LOS B] [LOS C] [LOS D] [LOS E] [LOS F] Site Level of Service (LOS) Method: Delay (SIDRA). Site LOS Method is specified in the Parameter Settings dialog (Site tab). NA (TWSC): Level of Service is not defined for major road approaches or the intersection as a whole for Two-Way Sign Control (HCM LOS rule). Roundabout Level of Service Method: SIDRA Roundabout LOS SIDRA Standard Delay Model is used. Control Delay includes Geometric Delay. SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 | Copyright © 2000-2018 Akcelik and Associates Pty Ltd | sidrasolutions.com Organization: Fenerbahce | Processed: Friday, November 29, 2020 9:51:05 PM Project: C:\Fifthz Year\Second Semester\BSc Thesis Files\SIDRA\Software Training\Goduguada 1.sip8 Figure 4.2. Control delay of Goduguada Roundabout 4.2.5 Level of Service Summary Lane Level of Service The figure below shows the overall performance of each lanes of the roundabout in terms of level of service. It shows the level of service of each leg on the roundabout. From the figure we can observe that each leg is in the best operating conditions. All lanes in the roundabout have a level of service of LOS A. 61 Approaches Southeast Northeast Northwest Southwest LOS A A A A [LOS A] [LOS B] Intersection [LOS C] A [LOS D] [LOS E] [LOS F] Site Level of Service (LOS) Method: Delay (SIDRA). Site LOS Method is specified in the Parameter Settings dialog (Site tab). Roundabout LOS Method: SIDRA Roundabout LOS. Lane LOS values are based on average delay per lane. Intersection and Approach LOS values are based on average delay for all lanes. SIDRA Standard Delay Model is used. Control Delay includes Geometric Delay. SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 | Copyright © 2000-2018 Akcelik and Associates Pty Ltd | sidrasolutions.com Organization: Fenerbahce | Processed: Friday, November 20, 2020 9:51:05 PM Project: C:\Fifthz Year\Second Semester\BSc Thesis Files\SIDRA\Software Training\Goduguada 1.sip8 Figure 4.3. Level of Service Summary of Goduguada Roundabout 4.3 Comparison on Manual Analysis and Software Analysis The main objective of this research is to perform the performance evaluation of Goduguada Roundabout. To carry out the performance of the roundabout two methods were used (manual calculations and software analysis) as mentioned on the objectives section. One of the objectives of this research is to do comparison on the results of the two methods since differences on results are likely to occur between the two methods. This differences occurred due to the number of 62 parameters used in each of the methods. For instance, performance measure for SIDRA is delay for all the analysis carried out whereas in the manual calculations degree of saturation, degree of saturation and level of service are used as performance measures for capacity and delay analysis respectively. On the software the level of service target used was LOS A and the level of service method (although it does not affect the network analysis) used was also LOS A. On the manual analyses different criteria for the performance measures were used. For capacity vehicle to capacity ratio was used, for delay analysis level of service and velocity to capacity ratio were used. The following sections compare results of the two methods. 4.3.1 Traffic Movement Traffic data is the most significant data for this research as mentioned earlier. Since it is an input parameter it is not really necessary to make comparison on the movement data. Nevertheless, the comparison based on video interpretations and input reports from the software comparisons were made. When the manual analysis was carried out, the procedures mentioned on section 3.3.3.1 were used and the summarized results on table 4.2 were obtained. The movement types for each legs of the roundabout were identified from the recorded video. This summarized data was used in both the manual and software analyses. When this volume data was used on the software as input it gives output in the input reports section and from this same data and it appears that there were 21pcu more on the software. This may be due to differences in decimal places used when computing manually. Southstar approach leg is the leg where the considerable differences have been observed. There are other legs where difference were encountered such as Campus and Arabsefer. Mekuriyaye approach leg has not shown significant differences. Summarized volume data both from the software and the manual analyses for each movements are presented on table 4.6. 63 Table 4.6. Traffic Volume from the software and count Approach leg V2 Southstar V3 V4 V5 V6 V7 V8 Campus Total V9 V10 V11 V12 (pcu/hr) V1 Arabsefer 77 241 45 95 79 78 46 237 53 46 70 56 1123 (pcu/hr) Count Analysis Software Traffic Vehicles Mekuriyaye 77 241 44 85 78 78 45 260 53 45 81 57 1144 4.3.2 Capacity Evaluation The results obtained from the software show free flow conditions when compared to demand flows and virtually zero traffic movement on all legs of the roundabout. In the manual analyses section, the capacity computation is used to determine the degree of saturation of each leg. Moreover, it uses only the traffic volume for the analysis. But the software uses the geometry of the roundabout in addition to the traffic data for analysis purpose. The HCM uses upper bound and lower bound theorem to compute capacity although the lower bound for this analysis purpose was chosen. The results on the roundabout from manual and software analyses are presented in the table below. Table 4.7. Capacity Evaluation Result Manual Analyses Software Analysis Northeast 997veh/h 908veh/h Northwest 867veh/h 1561veh/h Southwest 686veh/h 896veh/h Southeast 847veh/h 1574veh/h From the table above relatively slight differences can be observed on Mekuriyaye approach leg but on the other legs there are considerably huge differences. This is due to the differences of input data used in each analysis (i.e, manual and software analyses). 4.3.3 Degree of Saturation On the manual analyses section, the computed capacity and approach volume were used to compute the volume-to-capacity ratio. In fact degree of saturation is also used as performance measure of 64 the capacity of the roundabout. The results obtained from the manual analysis show that the degree of saturation on each leg were under 1.0 which is below the maximum limit for volume-to-capacity ratio. As mentioned earlier the manual analysis takes into consideration only the traffic conditions of the roundabout. On the other hand, the software uses the geometric conditions and other parameters mentioned above in addition to the traffic conditions of the roundabout although the values of the volume-to-capacity ratio on each leg were also below 1.0. There are significant differences in the results between the two methods on Arabsefer, Southstar, and Campus approach legs which is due to the differences of parameters used in the two methods. On Mekuriyaye approach leg the differences in the results are not significant. The results from the software and manual analyses are summarized in the table below. Table 4.8. Degree of Saturation result from the Manual and Software analysis Approach Legs Mekuriyaye Arabsefer Southstar Campus Roundabout Manual analysis (v/c) 0.36 0.29 0.49 0.29 0.49 Software analysis (v/c) 0.40 0.20 0.40 0.19 0.40 4.3.4 Delay The values of delay on each leg are in the range where the roundabout performs in the most comfortable and convenient way. All legs tend to have a free flow condition. All vehicle users on all legs will only be delayed for a negligible duration of time. The results obtained from the software are very close to the results obtained from the manual analysis. The table below summarizes the values of delay obtained from software and manual analyses. Table 4.9. Delay results from software and manual analysis Approach Legs Mekuriyaye Arabsefer Southstar Campus Roundabout Manual analysis (seconds) 7.43 7.29 12.63 7.43 8.69 Level of Service A A B A A Software analysis (seconds) 6.3 7.6 6.4 7.9 6.9 Level of Service A A A A A 4.3.5 Level of Service The manual analysis determines the level of service of each leg in the quality measures (degree of saturation, delay, and capacity) analyzed above since each measure gives an output of level of 65 service. In the discussions and analyses made above about these quality measures, there are no separate analyses made to determine level of service. But in each of the analyses, the level of service is determined although not directly mentioned on the capacity analysis section. The software on the other hand gives a summary of level of service for each leg. Table 4.10 gives a summarized value of level of service on each leg. Table 4.10. Level of Service results from different manual analyses and software analysis Approach Legs Degree of Manual analysis Saturation Delay Software analysis Mekuriyaye Arabsefer Southstar Campus Roundabout A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A 66 5 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 5.1 CONCLUSION Based on the results obtained from the research the degree of saturation is 0.40 on software analysis and 0.49 on manual analysis. This implicates that the roundabout is in free flow conditions. It is known that for a better performance the degree of saturation of the roundabout should be less than 0.85. Hence, the performance of the roundabout is comfortable and convenient. Likewise, the average delay of vehicles incurred at the roundabout is about 6.9s/veh on the software analysis and 8.69s/veh on the manual analysis which categorizes it under level of service group of LOS A. There were also other performance measures which were used to determine the performance of the roundabout. Capacity: results from both manual and software analysis are below the roundabout’s capacity and hence the roundabout is performing in the best possible conditions. The results from the manual calculation and the software analysis were 1123 veh/h and 1144veh/h respectively. Level of service: this performance measure differs from the other quality measures in such a way that it can be a final performance measure for the other quality measures like delay, degree of saturation, and capacity. All the results from the other quality measures that were used to determine level of service both on the manual calculations and software analysis were all in the level of service group LOS A. Moreover, on the software analysis the summarized level of service result shows that the roundabout is in free flow condition. It is therefore concluded that Goduguada roundabout is in free flow conditions and operating in the best conditions. Based on actual field conditions, it is common to see that at peak hours, the traffic police does not have to regulate the traffic at the roundabouts or introduction of signals on the roundabout is not necessary since the introduced roundabout facility is functioning properly or regulating the traffic in the best possible manner. 67 5.2 RECOMMENDATION According to the statement of the problem of the research, when we first started this research we aimed at checking whether or not enough research had been conducted to objectively determine the efficiency of roundabouts to signalized intersections on Goduguada junction. According to the results obtained from the software and manual analysis this question seems to be perfectly answered. These conditions will be maintained the same if and only if the demand traffic increases in the expected growth rate. 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A Theoretical Analysis of Delay at an Uncontrolled Intersections, Biometrica, Athens, Greek The Michigan Department of Transportation, (MDOT): Evaluating the performance and safety Effectiveness of Roundabouts 72 APPENDICES Appendix A Summary of 60-minute light vehicles volume for Goduguada Roundabout Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer Mekuriyaye-Southstar Mekuriyaye-Campus Arabsefer-Southstar Arabsefer-Campus Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Campus Southstar-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Arabsefer Campus-Mekuriyaye Campus-Arabsefer Campus-Arabsefer 1:301:45 13 51 13 23 14 10 7 53 8 4 15 10 1:452:00 15 47 11 19 25 19 5 52 16 11 22 12 2:002:15 17 58 9 17 16 24 14 59 15 13 23 10 2:152:30 21 59 8 14 18 18 14 65 5 12 10 19 PHF 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 Total Raw Vehicles 66 215 41 73 73 71 40 229 44 40 70 51 Total Vehicles 71 231 44 78 78 76 43 246 47 43 75 55 Summary of 60-minute heavy vehicles volume for Goduguada Roundabout Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer Mekuriyaye-Southstar Mekuriyaye-Campus Arabsefer-Southstar Arabsefer-Campus Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Campus Southstar-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Arabsefer Campus-Mekuriyaye Campus-Arabsefer Campus-Southstar 1:301:45 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 1:452:00 2 3 0 2 0 2 2 8 0 2 0 2 2:002:15 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2:152:30 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 0 2 0 PHF 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 Total Raw Vehicles 6 9 0 6 0 2 2 13 5 2 5 2 Total Vehicles 6 10 0 6 0 2 2 13 5 2 5 2 73 Summary of 60-minute traffic volume for Goduguada Roundabout Mekuriyaye-Arabsefer Mekuriyaye-Southstar Mekuriyaye-Campus Arabsefer-Southstar Arabsefer-Campus Arabsefer-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Campus Southstar-Mekuriyaye Southstar-Arabsefer Campus-Mekuriyaye Campus-Arabsefer Campus-Southstar Light Vehicles Heavy Vehicles Total Vehicles 71 231 44 78 78 76 43 246 47 43 75 55 6 10 0 6 0 2 2 14 5 2 5 2 77 241 44 84 78 78 45 280 52 45 80 57 Percentage of Heavy Vehicles (%) 7.79 4.15 0 7.14 0 2.56 4.44 5 9.62 4.44 2.5 3.51 74 Appendix B Input Report 75 76 Intersection Summary Lane Summary 77 Roundabout Analysis 78 Level of Service Summary Approaches Southeast Northeast Northwest Southwest LOS A A A A Intersection A Color code based on Level of Service [LOS A] [LOS B] [LOS C] [LOS D] [LOS E] [LOS F] Site Level of Service (LOS) Method: Delay (SIDRA). Site LOS Method is specified in the Parameter Settings dialog (Site tab). Roundabout LOS Method: SIDRA Roundabout LOS. Lane LOS values are based on average delay per lane. Intersection and Approach LOS values are based on average delay for all lanes. SIDRA Standard Delay Model is used. Control Delay includes Geometric Delay. SIDRA INTERSECTION 8.0 | Copyright © 2000-2018 Akcelik and Associates Pty Ltd | sidrasolutions.com Organization: Fenerbahce | Processed: Friday, November 20, 2020 9:51:05 PM Project: C:\Fifthz Year\Second Semester\BSc Thesis Files\SIDRA\Software Training\Goduguada 1.sip8 79