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ShockWave Recomendation and Financial Viablity

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1 Dates
June 5th 2022
Aria Chen, Nathan Nguyen, Philicia, James Ward
2 Dates
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Recommendation
As a team, we recommend that Shockwave Medical goes with a domestic market focus. Since
the IVL catheter is already an innovative product for the company, a marketing focus around this
makes more sense in the short run. As more customers and potential patients are reached via
marketing strategies, Shockwave Medical will have an increase in sales revenue. Revenues will
eventually lead to a profit where the money could be reinvested into the company to conduct
research. This will keep the business relevant within the industry going forward.
Strategic Alternatives
Shockwave Medical has two main directions they could take to grow their company further. The
two options include a market focus or a research focus. Besides our recommendation of focusing
on the domestic market, other options could be explored. Shockwave Medical could focus on
growing the company internationally or improve their products instead. Research could be used
to create new product offerings or innovations.
Implementation
In order to increase market share in the domestic market, Shockwave will need to invest in three
areas, which are supply chain, professional network, and marketing. Effectiveness and quality
are Shockwave’s competitive advantages, so producing the IVL catheter in-house is critical to
ensure quality consistency. Shockwave will build its relationship with cardiologists and medical
schools to gain market recognition. Lastly, through marketing efforts on traditional media and
digital platforms, Shockwave will be able to build trust and increase preference from hospital
customers and patients. The resulting gains will be reinvested to scale up operations and keep up
the product innovation.
Risk Assessment and Contingency
As a smaller company, both consolidation and acquiring necessary resources and persona can
have a major impact on Shockwave. In order to navigate being a small company in an industry
with many large players and mergers, Shockwave must use its innovation and unique product
line to its advantage. As part of the contingency plan, Shockwave will market itself and continue
operating as a company that offers high quality healthcare products that are not inimitable or
offered by industry competitors.
Financial Impact
Financial data from 2017 - 2021 is sourced from Mergent Online Databases. Further forecasted
data has been estimated relative towards implementation planning. Revenue streams are
projected as a 6% growth rate on top of previous years growth rates as an average. Costs within
each financial statement respectively are adjusted with a 3% growth rate on top of previous years
average growth, with a concentration in marketing expenses. Balance sheet pro forma reflects the
overall view of projections from operating and administrative activities. Ensuring overall
business health post implementation is digestible when viewing the forecasts and offer large but
limited line of sight on specific line accounts. Income statement pro forma reflects the general
revenue stream from sales and adjusted cost as a percentage of concurrent sales forecasted. Cash
flow pro forma reflects relative operating, investing, and financing activities in implementation.
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STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES & RECOMMENDATION
Strategic Alternatives
Shockwave Medical has two main directions they could take to grow their company further. The
two options include a market focus or a research focus. The market focus option revolves around
building up market share to grow the business. To do this, the company can enter new markets or
build new relations within the industry. The second option revolves around a research focus. The
main goal of a research focus is to grow the company by offering new products or improving
existing products. To do this, Shockwave can create new products, find new treatments, or
improve its existing products.
Alternative 1: Domestic Marketing
The first alternative for Shockwave Medical is to focus on the domestic market. Since the
company is located in Santa Clara, California, the domestic focus will be within the United
States. As a growing company, it is essential to build up a strong market share and reputation in
one location before moving on elsewhere. Shockwave Medical already has multiple versions of
their IVL catheter approved by the US Food and Drug Association (FDA). This already makes
the current products a valid option for doctors and hospitals across the country.
The goal of this plan is to gain a larger market share domestically. This will increase the
revenues of the company due to more sales. Expenses of this plan include the extra cost of goods
sold needed for the increase in sales as well as the increase in marketing expenditures. The
products offered by Shockwave Medical will not change, but new customers will be reached
through marketing. With a focus on marketing, new doctors and hospitals will acknowledge and
decide to use the company's superior IVL technology. Also, potential patients will learn about
the new IVL technology by Shockwave and prefer that treatment compared to prior angioplasty
methods.
Alternative 2: International Market
Another alternative revolving around marketing is to focus on the international market.
Shockwave Medical already has a customer base within the United States and parts of Europe.
However, there are many other parts of the globe where the IVL technology could be introduced
to gain a market share internationally. For example, the company can start working with
Japanese doctors and hospitals to get their product approved and then sold within Japan. An
increased international market share will allow greater sales once approved. However, costs will
still occur in the short run before the product is approved.
New countries would be interested in the innovative IVL products, but it takes time and money
before sales will occur. The marketing expenses will be similar to alternative 1, but this plan will
revolve around working with innovative international doctors and visiting international medical
conferences. This will eventually lead to clinical trials across the globe to get the product
approved by each country. Only after the product is approved will sales be recognized. The risk
of this plan is expanding the time Shockwave Medical is operating at a loss and whether or not
the IVL products will catch on in the new international markets.
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Alternative 3: Product Offerings
The next alternative Shockwave Medical could pursue revolves around a research focus on new
product offerings. With the current state of the company, there is only one main product offered
and the company is operating at a loss. This option will allow new medical products to be offered
by the company and grow its market influence and reputation. For example, Shockwave makes
IVL catheters for angioplasty, so they could create their stents to be used during the treatment.
They could also offer other medical tools and devices. This can turn Shockwave Medical into a
one-stop shop for doctors and hospitals looking for medical supplies.
This option will not have an immediate change in the company's revenues. However, if enough
profitable products are sold, revenue could increase drastically down the road. Most of the
expenses will include the research and costs needed to develop and sell the new products. This
plan will change Shockwave Medical’s objectives and push for new customers and segments.
The goal will be to grow the company’s size drastically going forward. The risk for this
alternative is that the new products have the potential to not perform well in the market.
Alternative 4: Treatment Research
The last alternative for Shockwave Medical also revolves around research, but this plan will be
focused on innovative treatments and products. The company is already known for its innovative
mindset and this plan will double down its research to help create more value within the industry.
For example, Shockwave Medical is currently researching how they can treat Aortic Valve
Disease which is the buildup of calcium in the aortic valve instead of the arteries.
The main expenses for this plan will involve hiring more researchers and the research they
conduct. Again, revenues will not be seen right away but will start after some time. The new
treatments and innovative products will bring value to the company and solidify its relevance
within the industry. The customer segments and product offerings will depend on what the
research is, but market share would be expected to rise. The main risk of this plan is that despite
all the money you put into research, there is a chance it leads to nothing.
Limitation
A trend within the medical supplies industry is that many smaller companies are consolidating
with bigger companies. This is due to the heavy costs a medical company will have during its
start-up. The bigger companies provide the resources and foundation to make it easier for these
companies. The problem with Shockwave Medical is that based on their contract with the bank,
consolidation is not an option for the company. Unless a discussion is had to change this rule,
Shockwave Medical is limited on its options when it comes to merging or being acquired by
another company.
Recommendation
As a team, we recommend that Shockwave Medical goes with alternative 1, or the domestic
market focus. Since the IVL catheter is already an innovative product for the company, a
marketing focus around this product makes more sense in the short run. Also, we chose to
recommend the domestic strategy instead of the international strategy. This is because the
product has a lot more potential for market share within the United States and the product is
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approved by the FDA already. The biggest problem with the international market is that many
countries have not yet approved the product and the markets are less clear when it comes to how
well the product will sell.
Marketing the IVL catheter within the United States will boost the company’s sales and
eventually allow the company to earn a profit. Throughout the last decade, Shockwave Medical
has been working hard to research and prepare its IVL technology for use in the public realm.
With the product FDA approved along with existing relations with doctors, the product is ready
to be implemented all over the United States. Marketing the product will increase the company’s
market share and lead to more sales revenue.
The main expenses of this plan revolve around the extra costs of production as well as the
marketing plan itself. The marketing plan will consist of hiring new employees and other costs
such as advertisement fees. The main focus is to build attention and reputation for Shockwave
Medical products. All doctors and hospitals within the United States should know about the new
technology so both the customers and the patients prefer IVL technology.
The new marketing plan will not be targeting a new segment or offering a new product but
reaching new customers. As the IVL catheter becomes available for use to the public, the
potential customers expand drastically. More doctors will build a relationship with Shockwave
Medical due to the focus on industry networking. Also, more hospitals will want to purchase the
product to ensure the best quality treatment for their patients. Lastly, many potential patients will
hear about the safety and effectiveness of the IVL catheter via traditional and digital marketing.
After a few years, the marketing plan will allow the company to start making a profit. With these
additional sources of revenue, the company could then reinvest these earnings into the company.
The money could be used to push marketing internationally or put back into research. We
recommend research as a priority to keep Shockwave Medical relevant within the medical
industry going forward.
IMPLEMENTATION PLAN
Supply Chain
Reputation and effectiveness play key roles for companies operating in the medical device
industry. Since Shockwave’s IVL products are known to be effective and have the best quality,
it’s important to build trust with quality consistency. Shockwave primarily manufactures the IVL
catheters in-house in its Santa Clara facilities. However, in 2021, the company entered a contract
manufacturing agreement with a third-party contract manufacturer to produce a portion of its
demand. This may damage the product quality due to various unforeseeable factors. Therefore,
the company should produce the IVL catheters in-house to ensure quality. The financial
resources to support the scale-up of production will be from the expected increase in revenue.
Currently, Shockwave does not have long-term contracts with suppliers of raw materials as they
order on a purchase order basis. This is concerning because, when demand increases as a result
of implementing this strategy, they may not have enough material to supply the demand. To
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avoid supply shortages and reduce the negative financial impact of price fluctuation, Shockwave
needs to make a one to three-year short-term contract with the raw material suppliers.
Professional Networks
After having better control over the supply chain to ensure product quality, increasing awareness
and exposure will be the next step. First, Shockwave needs to build relationships with leading
experts in the cardiovascular field. Shockwave’s sales representatives will need to deliver the
IVL catheters to cardiologists and medical schools, which we identified as the target market, all
over the country for free. By providing the devices for cardiologists and students and professors
in medical school to use, not only will they provide feedback to help product development, they
will recommend the products to their peers during medical conferences. Additionally, sending
the devices to medical schools that have cardiovascular programs helps Shockwave to build early
relationships with graduate students, or future cardiologists. They will mention Shockwave’s
product in their academic research papers. Besides, based on the effectiveness of Shockwave’s
products, once the graduate students become cardiologists or surgeons, they will recommend the
products to the hospital they work at. Expanding this professional network paves the way for
Shockwave to gain market share.
Marketing
Educational Marketing
After building the network and gaining support from leading experts in the field, Shockwave
needs to invest in marketing, and there are three ways the company can do to increase awareness.
The first one will be educational marketing. Shockwave will hire more sales representatives and
sales managers who have substantial and applicable medical device experience, especially in the
vascular field. They will be traveling to hospitals and medical schools to market the products
directly, offer demonstrations and training, and educate them on the benefits of using
Shockwave’s products. Besides, it needs to increase people’s awareness of cardiovascular
diseases by being involved in related webinars, organizations, and medical conferences.
Traditional Marketing
In terms of traditional marketing, we believe Shockwave needs to pay for advertisements in
medical publications, such as magazines and newspapers. The recognition from cardiologists
will be the selling point. The company can also post flyers in hospitals they worked with. This
method will increase market acceptance.
Digital Marketing
Digital marketing will be efficient in promoting the IVL catheters. Shockwave can pay for
advertisements on news channels, medical websites, and social media, which will help in
building brand value and recognition. Shockwave’s products already have a successful record in
treating cardiovascular disease, so we recommend Shockwave interview patients who have been
treated by the IVL catheters, and then post the stories or videos on the company website and
social media accounts. This will build trust and increase people’s preference for Shockwave’s
products.
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Investment in R&D and Production
Once Shockwave puts its name out through marketing efforts, its market share will increase,
leading to more demand. The increase in market share will allow the company to capitalize on
current trends, so revenue is expected to increase. By having more financial resources, the
company will be able to invest in research and development for complementary products.
Additionally, since the company will produce the devices in-house, it needs to make investments
to scale-up production.
The Balanced Scorecard
We have created a balanced scorecard to measure the success of implementing this strategy. By
setting goals for different organizational aspects, we believe that Shockwave will progressively
improve the overall organizational performance.
Financial:
● Increase sales by 6% annually
● Keep annual cost growth to be 3%
Customer:
● Reach 25% of cardiologist in the US
over the next three year
● Supply up to 50% of US hospitals by
the end of year three
Internal Processes:
● Reduce product defect rate by 20%
● Scale up production level to meet
growing demand
Learning & Growth:
● Reach a 90% employee retention rate
● Keep employee satisfaction rate to be
above 80%
Financial
For the financial aspect, our objective is to improve gross margin, which will be measured by
annual growth in sales and annual increase in cost. The increase in revenue will mainly be driven
by the increase in market share. Cost may increase slightly since we recommend Shockwave to
produce devices in-house, but we expect the cost growth to be slower once the company
reinvests its revenue into production.
Customer
It’s important to understand the business’s performance in the targeted segments. Therefore, to
consolidate and expand the customer base, Shockwave’s goal is to expand its professional
network and increase hospital customers.
Internal Processes
The objective for internal processes is to be consistent with quality and able to meet the growing
demand. Therefore, we recommend Shockwave to take annual assessment on its manufacturing
process to reduce product defects, as well as invest in manufacturing equipment to scale up the
production capability.
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Learning & Growth
To increase employees’ organizational commitment, Shockwave will tie compensation to
operating performance. Sales representatives will also be encouraged to be creative in
approaching the target market, allowing them to feel a sense of initiative and entrepreneurship.
With the goal to increase employee competency, Shockwave will provide training and learning
opportunities to sales representatives, as well as collecting employee feedback to improve the
operating system.
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Our forecasted financial statements are using actual annual data provided by Mergent Online
Databases. Actual years of operation are 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021. Further forecasts are
estimations of projections relative towards historical data recorded from ShockWave Medical.
Balance Sheet Pro Forma
Assets
Accounts receivables are projected with a assumed 6% increase on top of previous years average
growth rates of roughly 34%, totaling ~40% in growth. This estimation is consistent throughout
the sales segment of the financial statements. The increase of 6% stems from targeted gross
profits margins to be 3% with accounted marginal marketing cost. Sales in previous years are on
average 53% of total total inventory held, and this assumption was held with projected accounts
receivables. Property, plant, and equipment should have a constant growth rate of the previous
average growth rate, due to the nature of marketing expenses having little effect on real estate,
manufacturing plants, building spaces, etc.. The current three year projections are only within the
first few years of marketing growth, there are possibilities of expansion as a result of marketing
success, into production efforts for example.
Liabilities & Equity
Accounts payable and liabilities are projected to be roughly 3% as a byproduct of marketing
expenses, as they could consist of advertising space, credit lined marketing campaigns, or debt
financing for general marketing expenses that may not be within budget. Equity is not within
current standing of actual value of current equity, rather calculated relative towards displayed
assets and liabilities using Assets = Liabilities + Equity. Net working capital is also displayed to
compare previous years operational efficiencies and forecasted efficiency with marketing
implementation. There should be exceptional growth in assets over liabilities which allows us to
prevent defaulting and engage in reinvesting into the business plan.
Income Statement Pro Froma
Income statement will show information specifically related towards operations to focus on sales
and expense effects on the strategic implementation. Sales are to be a 6% increase on top of
previous years average growth rates, and cost of goods sold are predicted using previous years
cost of goods sold as a percent of total sales generated, previous years had ~36% on average.
Research and development are at a constant growth rate as marketing campaigns barely reflect
research and development expenses. While there can be some incremental increase in research
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and development for marketing purposes, we forecast there would be little value in adding this
cost due to only being a three year forecast. Sales and marketing expenses are projected with
previous years average growth rates with an additional 3% increase in cost specifically to this
account in accord with current strategic plan. Generally total costs outweigh revenues streams
and we see gross profits to be losses from 2017 to 2022 and we can finally see positive gross
profits. Generally the reasons behind these excess costs are due to high research and
development costs that are by nature in the medical manufacturing industry, in order to stay
relevant and maintain a comparative advantage in technologies to other competitors.
Statement of Cash Flows Pro Forma
Cash flows from operating, investing, and financing activities have been posted from previous
years, and are forecasted with average growth rates from those years, and operating cash flows
have an additional 3% increase in cash flows.
Operating Activities
Operating cash flows consistent with marketing expenses and cash outflows in order to increase
expenditure in first year implementation plans, alongside positive cash inflows from generated
revenue streams from marketing efforts.
Investing Activities
Investing activities are kept constant with historical averages, and financing activities are also
kept constant at historical averages. While these implementation years are new there will be time
before any immediate and major investment occurs to expand marketing efforts.
Financing Activities & Conclusion
Financing tools will not be in place until further development of marketing strategy progresses.
We can calculate the total cash flows from all active and gain forecasted total cash flows from
predicted years, 2022, 2023, and 2024. With this we can find the terminal value using a terminal
growth rate of 6%, just as our revenue growth rate reflects, to then calculate the present value of
the total cash flows that will be generated in these forecasted years with the marketing
implementation in place.
Cash Flow Parameters
Some cash flow parameters to address are the asset discount rate using a 12% discount rate for
the present time value of money. Along with a 6% assumed terminal growth rate at which the
firm will have a large enough growth to overcome overall loss profits. We calculated the book
value of the current present value of the share price, and while it is significantly lower than
current market value, the book value of a calculated stock is lower than market value. We can
interpret this as the market over estimating the firm, or seeing high potential in their product.
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RISK ASSESSMENT & CONTINGENCY
Small size
A major risk that could impact the performance of Shockwave Medical is its smaller size.
Shockwave Medical is in the initial growth period, the second stage in a business life cycle.
Shockwave may have a hard time acquiring the necessary resources or people to further develop
the new strategy. Additionally, in comparison to its competitors, Shockwave has smaller scaling
and lower brand awareness. Thus, if the business can no longer grow, the products can become
obsolete.
To combat its small size, Shockwave could use the new marketing plan to its advantage.
Because Shockwave is unique in its IVL products, quality, and innovation; these qualities can be
marketed in order to bring in more traction and show the company's strengths in comparison to
its competition.
Consolidation
As a smaller company, consolidation can have a major impact on Shockwave. A trend for
companies within the medical wholesale industry is to consolidate. Mergers of multiple
companies have caused bigger enterprises to form within the industry market. Because financial
resources, connections, and power can take over a developing position in the market, Shockwave
must be aware of their market share and how they operate in comparison to the market leaders
and bigger enterprises.
A bigger company is less likely to be heavily impacted by regulations or shifts within the market
as they are more equipped and prepared (in most cases) to adapt. Also, prestige and finances
allow the ability to quickly develop and approve new products. Due to current bank contracts,
Shockwave cannot consolidate or acquire any new businesses. This does not mean that
Shockwave cannot partner with samoa;r companies to create temporary partnerships that
promote lower profit margins and sustainability needs.
Taxes
Part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) in 2010 was to implement an excise tax on certain
medical device products. This excise tax increased the cost of production for the manufacturers
of many of these devices. The 2.3% tax imposed on producers was suspended in 2016 and later
repealed in 2020, but already hurt profits in the industry. With effects already underway in the
industry, taxes have a major impact on the types of products and limits how far Shockwave can
go in regards to innovation. If newly developed products have had a higher tax in the past, in the
long run it is often not worth it to pursue, especially being a smaller company.
Government Regulations
Similar to excise tax, regulations always have an impact on companies within the industry, no
matter the size. With the repeal of the tax recently, it is no longer a current threat but legislation
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can bring a shift in the industry’s future. In this industry, regulations are harder to navigate
around for small to medium size companies and can also affect jobs/employment.
As Shockwave’s marketing plan develops there will be opportunity for global expansion. Global
regulations surrounding agency clearances could have a major impact. For a company to sell or
gain attention within the industry, it must provide a well-tested and safe product. To do this, you
must go through agencies, such as the FDA, for clearance. The impact becomes larger
internationally as each country needs to be able to approve the product. To reduce the impact of
regulations, Shockwave should do thorough market research of the new countries they wish to
scale in and what types of products are approved and unapproved, before undergoing operations.
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Exhibits:
Balance Sheet Pro Forma:
Income Statement Pro Froma:
Statement of Cash Flows Pro Forma:
Statement of Cash Flows Parameters:
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