JIANGSU UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Course Final Examination Course Name:Probability & Statistics 2st Semester of 2021-2022 PART I、Single Choice:(3 points per question, 15 points) Do not answer in the binding line Name: 1、Which of the following equation is not true? A. ( A B ) ( A C ) A ( B C ) B. A B (A B) B C. A B A B D. ( A B ) C A B C 2、Suppose X N (0,1) , Y N (1,1) , if X and Y are independent, then A. P ( X Y 0) 1/ 2 B. P ( X Y 1) 1/ 2 C. P ( X -Y 0) 1/ 2 ) ( ) D. P ( X -Y 1) 1/ 2 3、Assume that population X N (2,16) , and X1,X2 ,,Xn is a sample from X, Then which one is true?( A. X-2 N (0,1) B. X-2 N (0,1) 4 C. X-2 N (0,1) n 6 4、Assume that X1 , X2 ,, Xn is a sample from the population X N (0,1) , X and S A. X N (0,1) B. n X N (0,1) C. n i1 5、To give an interval estimation for the mean 2 are the sample mean and ( X 2 i 2 (2n ) ) D. X-2 N (0,1) 2 n sample variance respectively, which one is true? ) D. X t (n 1) S of a population X N ( , 2 ) We get a confidence interval with confidence level 95%. It means this interval Student ID: ( ( ) A. on average contains 95% of the population values. B. on average contains 95% of the sample values. C. has 95% of the chance to contain the value of . D. has 95% of the chance to contain the sample values PART II、Fill in The Blanks:(3 points per question, 15 points) 1、Put 3 balls into 4 boxes randomly. The probability of that there is at most one ball in each box is ___________ Do not answer in the binding line Major: 2、Suppose Y=2X+5, X N ( , 2 ) . Determine the distribution of Y____________________________ 3 、 Assume that X , S 2 are the sample mean and sample variance of the sample of size n respectively from the population X N ( , 2 ) , then 4、If and 2 are mean and variance of the distribution of a population X, and X , S 2 are the mean and Variance of a random sample with size n from the population X, then EX =__________and ES 2 =__________ 5 、 Assume that the random variables X and Y are mutually independent, and both of them have normal Distribution N (0,32 ) X1,X2 ,,X9 and Y1 , Y2 , , Y9 represent simple random samples form X and Y , then the statistic U Grade: 2 Xi X __________________ i 1 n X 1 X 2 X 9 Y12 Y22 Y92 ___________ Page NO. 1 in 2 pages PART III Calculation and Proof: (8 points per question,56 points) 1、Four balls are selected at random without replacement from a box containing 3 white balls and 5 blue balls. Find the probability of the given events.1) Two of the balls are white and two are blue. 2) Exactly three of the balls are blue. 2、A company X has four factories F1 , F2 , F3 , F4 , all of which produce similar automotive parts. Suppose that F1 , F2 , F3 , F4 produce 40%, 30%, 20%, 10% of the total production, respectively. On average, 10%of the parts produce by F1 are not up to standard. For F2 , F3 , F4 the corresponding percent are 3%, 2% and 5%, respectively. 1)Find the probability that an automotive part produced by company X is notup to the standard.2)If an automotive part was chosen randomly and found to be defective, what is the probability that it was made by factory F1 ? 3、If two events A and B are independent, prove that the event A and B are also independent. 2x 0 x , , where is unknown parameter. Let 其他 0, 4、Suppose a population has the density function f ( x ) 2 X 1 , X 2 , X n be a random sample of size n taken from population, find the maximum likelihood estimator for . 5 、 In 16 test runs, the gasoline consumption of a normal experimental engine had a standard derivation of 2.2 gallons. Find a confidence interval for 2 with confidence level 0.99 which measure the true variability of the gasoline consumption of the engine. 6 、 A manufacture of car batteries claims that a life of his batteries is approximately normally distributed with a standard deviation equal to 0.9 years. Should we believe that 0.9 years at the 5% level of significance? 7、Suppose T ~ t n ,Proof: T 2 ~ F 1,n PART IV Analysis description: (14points) A compony claim that the average life of a certain type of battery is 21.5 hours. A laboratory tests battery manufactured by this compony and obtains the following latterly lifetime in hours:16,25,19,18,22,20.Do these data indicate that this type of battery has a shorter average life than that it is claimed by the company (5% level).Please explain each of the following concept according to this example: 1)null hypothesis; 2)test statistic; 3)significant level; 4)type I error; 5) type II error; 6)rejection region; 7)test value. Page NO. 2 in 2 pages