1- Stationary/ Stationarity is an assumption about variables in the classical regression model. The typical regression model assumes that variance of time series should tend to converge at a fixed finite constant in large samples. 1. ADF unit root test: 2. PP unit root test: 1- Stationary/ Stationarity Co – integration or correlation 2-Co – integration 3-Correlation 4- Causality Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Date: 04/17/22 Time: 19:03 Sample: 2004 2019 Lags: 2 Null Hypothesis: IMPORTS does not Granger Cause ER ER does not Granger Cause IMPORTS Obs F-Statistic Prob. 14 3.25957 0.0861 1.06612 0.3841