•Emerging Textiles & Apparel Manufacturing in West Africa Hosted by United States Fashion Industry Association (USFIA) and the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change (TBI) February 11, 2021 2:00 P.M. Eastern/11:00 A.M. Pacific At any time during the presentation, you may enter your questions here: Emerging Textiles & Apparel Manufacturing in West Africa: focus on Côte d’Ivoire FEB 2021 1 About Tony Blair Institute for Global Change Tony Blair Institute for Global Change About TBI The Tony Blair Institute for Global Change (TBI) delivers innovative and practical policy solutions and advisory services for governments and leaders. Experts in our Government Advisory unit help countries and their leaders turn their vision for development into reality through effective government. And our Policy Futures team delivers analysis and practical policy advice on issues such as the challenges posed by technological advances and globalisation. The Tony Blair Institute for Global Change is a not for profit organisation registered as Tony Blair Institute in the UK. TBI employs over 250 staff and has headquarters in London as well as satellite presence in New York, Washington, D.C., Abu Dhabi, Addis Ababa and Tel Aviv. Our mission is to support leaders and governments to build open, inclusive and prosperous societies in a global world Our approach • Effective and innovative delivery support, drawing from 12+ years of experience and global best practices, to ensure timely execution of reforms and priority projects. Institution building • Evidence-based strategic advice to bridge the gap between vision and reality, including pragmatic policy recommendations grounded in political economy analysis. Delivery • Personal engagement and advice from Mr Blair, centred on high-level strategy and effective governance to address critical bottle necks. Policy and strategy Leader to leader Drawing on 12 years of experience and Mr Blair’s own experience as Prime Minister, we provide long-term embedded advice and implementation support to Presidents and Prime Ministers, key Ministries and Development Agencies on how to prioritise, develop policy and strategy, plan and use performance management systems to ensure delivery of government priorities. • Working alongside government leaders to build long-term implementation capacity, from the office of the President to regional and state government offices, Ministries and Development Agencies. Where we work TBI has a long-term presence in 15 countries in Africa and has built deep relationships with governments. Our networks also include public institutions, the private sector and donor communities. Building on the success of the government advisory model TBI is expanding it footprint to Asia and beyond. 2 West Africa T&A insights and perspectives As global players look to reconfigure their supply chains, West Africa offers attractive prospects to build a new, sustainable apparel manufacturing hub ANTWERP 9-18 days NEW YORK 14-26 days ECOWAS Pop: 350m GDP: $717b With preferential access to the US and EU market as well as political support for ETLS and AFTCA*, West Africa governments have demonstrated increased preparedness to engage with global brands and best-in-class manufacturers. To succeed, investment and industrialization must be approached as a collaborative partnership towards an ambitious and sustainable regional approach. * ETLS: Ecowas Trade Liberalisation Scheme; AFCTA: African Continental Free Trade Area Sources: TBI analysis 9 West African governments have been investing to develop their manufacturing sector and T&A-centered strategies SENEGAL • Minister of Economy is proactively engaging T&A investors and refining support policies, including the establishment of a dedicated export zone in Diamniadio close to port • New international airport and additional transport projects underway • During Covid-19, government supported local SMEs to manufacture artisanal and reusable masks, and facilitated tax rebates and suspensions for companies not laying-off their workforce • West Africa cotton flows % of regional cotton flows – est. 2019 Importance of the transit • • • Planned investments in ports, TVET No.1 in Doing Business in West Africa • Most competitive container seaport in the region, with key links to landlocked cotton producers • Effective government leadership and commitment to T&A manufacturing, including greenfield opportunities within industrial park strategy and development of dedicated solar plant with new tariffs structure • Alignment of labour code with T&A industry’s good practices Niger Chad Burkina Faso Côte d’Ivoire Africa’s No.3 cotton producer: produced 203k MT in 2019 and exported over 90% in its raw state – strong potential as yarn and fabric production hub GoCI launched a revived T&A strategy in 2019 and is developing new industrial parks located around cotton production zones with fast links to the seaports and dedicated industrial zone Mali Senegal The UN contributed $200m to Senegal’s Economic & Social Resilience Program Established commodity supply chains for cocoa, cashew and cotton, with supporting infrastructure, policy target of 50% domestic processing of crops • Focus country CÔTE D’IVOIRE • Togo Benin Togo Ghana Nigeria Cameroon Ghana Central African Republic • Advanced manufacturing base with private sector-led modern industrial parks near the newly expanded Tema port and Tema highway • Cabinet approval of T&A sector plan as strategic anchor industry to generate $1 bn in exports, 200k jobs in next 10 years • Launch of WB-supported $200m Ghana Job & Skills Program to train skilled workers for local T&A industry and other light manufacturing sectors • Elimination of VAT for all manufacturers in local textiles industry Burkina Faso • Africa’s No.4 cotton producer • GoBF launched the "Textile Renaissance" project, a dedicated industrial park for cotton processing in Bobo Dioulasso • Development of energy supply through the development of 4 solar power plants amounting to 150 Megawatts 10 Sources: TBI analysis T&A companies are already present in West Africa, but the sector remains embryonic, with opportunity to grow and scale UNIWAX Côte d’Ivoire DTRT Apparel Ltd. Ghana Printing • Owner: Vlisco – Netherlands • Product: Wax Printed Fabric • Production: 24M yards = 22M m • Workers: 650 • Leader of Wax Print Fabric in Côte d’Ivoire • Gross Sales: 37B FCFA ($64M) • Net Outcomes: 4B FCFA ($7M) • Sourcing: Grey fabrics from China and Benin • Marketing: A-Star Burkina Faso Garment West Africa’s largest garment (CMT) exporter with main export markets in the US and EU • Began Ghana operations in 2013 – licenced free zone company; exempted from all import/export tariffs with duty-free access to US • Workers: over 2,8K • Production per week: 80K t-shirts and 50K polo shirts • Main raw materials source: Asia • Repurposed part of their operations in 2020 to produce PPE for the Government of Ghana and their main US customers Côte d'Ivoire Benin Niger Mali Guinée Togo * Spinning, Weaving and Garment manufacturing, with local sourcing of cotton fibres Source: TBI Analysis, DTRT Integrated* • Joint venture between Government of Burkina Faso (45%) and Turkish company Ayka Textile (55%) • Ayka Textile: Founded in 1988; - Ready-made garment manufacturer and exporter - State of art technology • An integrated* cotton processing plant under development • Estimated production of 100K garments items per day • EU and local market • 12K direct jobs (up to 80% women) for both skilled and semi-skilled labour, and up to 50K indirect jobs Emerging trends underscore the call for a new type of T&A Industry • $9.6B in revenues in 2018 Emerging industry trends • Factories in Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Ethiopia, Jordan, Lesotho, Mauritius and Madagascar. 1 • Concerns about environmental externalities becoming increasingly significant • Cennydd Williams, Hub leader, Africa and Middle East • Matt Butler, Outreach Director Hawassa IP • Major emphasis now on green growth 2 • “A salary of 104 per month isn’t an obstacle. We are doing business in Kenya and it’s $150. • “Speed is key and that’s why West Africa is so attractive: it’s 10 days closer to the US. • "We are always interested in vertical integration. It simplifies management, speed of execution and strengthens quality control. • ✔ 10 days shorter lead time to the US • ✔ textile availability a huge asset to attract companies • ✔ salary not a deal breaker and lower than some already successful countries • ✔ FCFA pegged to euro an advantage for stability Source: UNIDO, interview with PVH Corp, Interview with Primark, PVH 2018 Annual Report, TBI Analysis • ✔ french language not an obstacle for operations Intensifying a “green shift” Deepening digital transformation • Digital transformation of society and its permeation into every aspect of industrial production gaining more importance 3 • Digitalisation presents opportunities for enterprises: productivity gains Intensifying a “circular economy” • In the emerging ‘circular economy’, as much as possible everything is reused, recycled or used as a source of energy and, only as a last resort, disposed of • Global companies such as Nike, H&M, Philips and IKEA are implementing aspects of the circular economy into their global business practices. The region presents compelling advantages to develop vertical, fast and sustainable T&A value chain solutions that are scalable and globally competitive Africa preferred cotton fibre production – 2018 Tons West Africa’s comparative T&A advantages 1 Cotton Mali 6,225/277,000 With a critical mass of cotton grower countries (5% of world production and 15% of exports in 2018), West Africa has the strongest regional cotton linkages in Africa and a growing reputation as a premium cotton quality producer (80% classified as superior grade) 2 Ethiopia 11,292 Carbon neutrality - Best in class value chain West Africa offers greenfield opportunities for global T&A actors, which create the space to develop climate-friendly infrastructure such as ecoindustrial parks (EIPs). Emerging industry trends point to growing interest in EIPs as they help operators to reduce their carbon footprint 3 Zambia 34,370 Côte d’Ivoire 140,879 Market access & time to market Benin 713 Ghana 863 Enabling environment Well-developed cotton transit corridors and logistics, combined with favourable government policies and a large skilled and trainable workforce, are critical building blocks for vertical integration across the region Tanzania 10,424 Burkina Faso 259,073 With preferential access and proximity to the US and EU markets, West Africa has a 10-day speed advantage on other African regions (13-14 days compared to 20+ days from East Africa ports) 4 Uganda 2,023 Mozambique 27,420 Preferred cotton fibre Production High Madagascar 500 Cameroon 106,880 13 Low South Africa 11,000 13 Sources: TBI analysis Powered by Bing © GeoNames, HERE, MSFT, Microsoft Global leaders in the Textile and Apparel Industry have already manifested their interest in the Region and Côte d’Ivoire PVH, H&M, VF and their suppliers visited Côte d’Ivoire in November 2019, with the intention to test installations and local ecosystem’s readiness to develop such a large scale value chain Prime Minister of Côte d’Ivoire, Ministers of Budget, Transports and of Equipment & Roads, Executive Vice-President PVH Sourcing, Executive Director VF Asia Sourcing Limited, Country Responsible H&M Ethiopia Liaison Office, TBI Côte d’Ivoire Main Takeaway • The delegation confirmed their interest in exploring relocation of a sustainable and integrated value chain in West Africa • Given the size of the required investments, preferred option is a regional approach including Côte d’Ivoire Source: CI Energies, National Action Plan for Renewable Energies in Côte d'Ivoire, Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, ECOWAS, TBI Analysis To succeed, investment and industrialisation must be approached as a collaborative partnership with a shared commitment to key values SHARED COMMITMENT 1. Develop vertical, fast and flexible T&A value chain solutions that are scalable and globally competitive 2. Construct best-in-class facilities based on international ‘gold standards’ for park management and building regulations, including environmental and socio-economic performance 3. Protect the environment through the highest standards of sustainability, including land use, energy and water efficiency (e.g. renewables, zero liquid discharge of effluent) towards carbon-neutral factories 4. Create decent and sustainable local jobs, linking industry demands with quality vocational training to create suitable skills base and good working conditions 5. Collaborate as a regional West Africa Hub to optimize economic and social value by supporting the free movement of labour and goods as well as ease of doing business across the region With the highest global standards in mind, a T&A industry in West Africa could become a global source of quality, sustainably produced apparel, significantly boosting industrial GDP in the region and employing thousands of people along regional cotton, textile and fashion value chains. 15 3 T&A opportunity in Côte d’Ivoire: the value proposition Côte d'Ivoire has a well structured cotton sector, that can offer faster lead times, integrated, sustainable and traceable production Sector’s structure Producers This structure permits scalability for Textile firms: +70K farmers • Ginneries can be the entry-point; • Textile companies with strong financial & technical capacities can take advantage of this structure : engaging only with ginneries to upgrade production on best international quality standards. A yearly average forecasted production of ~270k tons of cotton fibres for 2020-25 Organized in co-ops 633k tons of cotton seed Lead Times • Captures ~30% of West Africa’s cotton fibres flows • Is exploring feasibility for a carbon neutral supply chain 3 companies • Total capacity: • Spinning & weaving companies • Assigned to zones of • Owned by private • 3 biggest with +85% fibre production • One big printing company • CIV is a lead time country by geography but at present lacks sufficient volume to establish direct shipping routes to the United States - From Abidjan to Rotterdam takes 20-25 days - Direct routes could save up to a 10-day shipping time • Is promoting an integrated value chain to compete as a lead time destination Infrastructures 6 companies - 16 factories • • Receive technical & Textile Companies 3 Biggest Ginneries 130,000 farmers ginneries Geography + market access Ginneries • Preferential access to EU and US markets via AGOA and EU-ACP-EPA Industrial parks Green energies • A total of 2,809 Ha of industrial lands suitable for T&G industrial implantation (rented at USD 1.69-3.38 per m2 per year) • Is exploring eco-industrial parks construction • Will increase to ~46% the share of renewables in its energy mix by 2030, from approximately 30% in 2020 • Is developing hydro, bio, solar and wind energy via several projects Sources: Conseil Coton Anacarde, Primark, ABF 2018 Annual Report, PVH 2018 Annual Report, Intercoton, CI Energies, National Action Plan for Renewable Energies, Ministry of Energy and Petroleum 17 Côte d'Ivoire has a well structured cotton sector, that can offer faster lead times, integrated, sustainable and traceable production Sector’s structure Producers This structure permits scalability for Textile firms: A yearly average forecasted production of “270k tons of cotton fibres for 2020-25 6 companies – 16 factories 130,000 farmers • Organized in co-ops • Affiliated to ginneries • Receive technical & financial assistance from ginneries Textile Companies 3 Biggest Ginneries +70K farmers • Ginneries can be the entry-point; • Textile companies with strong financial & technical capacities can take advantage of this structure : engaging only with ginneries to upgrade production on best international quality standards. Ginneries 3 companies • Total capacity: 633k tons of cotton seed • Spinning & weaving companies • Assigned to zones of exclusivity • Owned by private Ivorians • 3 biggest with +85% fibre production • One big printing company A two-fold strategy focusing on attracting FDI and building the capacity of local ecosystem to grow is being developed Two complementary axis (Act now for now) FDI-focused CT&A strategy Current global model • Based on production factors - CIV is not competitive enough on costs 8 Wages 8 Electricity ü Advanced global model • Best in class at fair price - With global partners looking for a differentiated offering (Act now for later) Industrialization of local ecosystem • Build backward linkages with local SMEs • Makes it easier to implement and transfer technology • Job creation and sustainable livelihoods - Eco-industrial park • Plays to CIV’s strengths - Traceability • Comprehensive training & upskilling - Integrating tech within design - Scalable regionally Source: TBI Analysis 18 This strategy will aim at filling the existing gaps along the value chain, focusing on FDI while developing the capacity of existing local actors Existing gap Well-integrated and organised Cotton Grow + Ginning Farmers • 120,000 smallholder farmers cultivating a total of 408,448 Ha • Average plantations: 3 Ha • ~270k tons of cotton fibre per year • Organized in professional organizations (Co-Ops) • Affiliated to ginneries based on geography • Receive technical & financial assistance from ginneries Ginneries • 6 ginning companies with 16 factories of 633k tons of cotton seed processing capacity • Assigned to zones of exclusivity • 3 biggest own +85% of the total fibre production: which makes the production easily traceable and scalable Source: Conseil Coton Anacarde, TBI Analysis Missing link Existing gap With one success story Not done industrially, handicraft Printing Garment manufacturing Spinning & Weaving UTEXI, COTIVO, FTG UNIWAX Small designers/handcraft men • 3 struggling companies • Owner: Vlisco – Netherlands • Products: unbleached fabrics and yarns • Product: Wax Printed Fabric • Mostly informal with a craft production system: <75% informal and targeting the local market • Owned by private Ivorians • Outdated and out of maintenance machinery: hinders productivity and products quality • Aged and unskilled workforce • Limited access to raw materials: ginners don’t like to sell to domestic firms since their payment terms are not reliable • Unstable market access due to poor products quality • Production: 24M yards = 22M m • Workers: 650 • Leader of Wax Print Fabric in Côte d’Ivoire • Gross Sales: 37B FCFA ($64M) • Net Outcomes: 4B FCFA ($7M) • Few successful well-known designers, but producing small volumes for local, regional and international markets • Difficulty to produce in large quantities: manual artisanal and “tailor-made” production types • Sourcing: Grey fabrics from China and Benin • Struggles with hard competition from counterfeit and imported products from Asia as well as second-hand clothes • Marketing: ~70% local and ~30% in the Region • Faces massive counterfeiting of its products from China • Low international presence: Does not benefit from AGOA or APEs, raw materials being sourced in non-eligible countries • Operations are considered healthy and are expanding • Abroad delivery issues: rudimentary means of delivery (National Post: 2 weeks; Commercial flights: passenger suitcases...) 19 A streamlined thinking process is being driven by the Government of Côte d’Ivoire to conceptualise and create an attractive local CT&A Industry Stage Details Project status A vertically-integrated ‘best in class’, carbon neutral supply chain for CT&A takes roots in Côte d’Ivoire with the operations of wellknown global brands/suppliers and backward linkages to local players, ultimately creating a sustainable ecosystem Strategy & value proposition • Axis 1: Target the global market by attracting structuring foreign direct investment through a strong value proposition focused on sustainability, competitiveness and traceability • Axis 2: Develop the local ecosystem through a targeted industrial policy to encourage the emergence of local manufacturers, support the creation of upstream and downstream links, create jobs, and integrate local players in the sector over the long term • Traceability: i. Create a vertically-integrated value chain with downstream linkages between global players and local actors Projects & concepts identification • Sustainability: i. Build eco-industrial parks for better social, environmental and economic performance of the Industry, ii. Increase the local production of cotton and raise the share of certified sustainable cotton, iii. Offset carbon emissions, iv. R&D lab and AgTech • Competitiveness: i. Set up a favourable legal and regulatory framework, ii. Build a performing and supportive set of infrastructures (industrial parks, transports, energy), iii. Develop a skilled and ready-to-job labour force, iv. Digitize processes • Conception and finalisation: Design and Feasibility studies for the identified projects Projects design and implementation Sources: TBI Analysis • Investment promotion: Outreach and Expression of interest • Partners engagement: Establishing relationship with financial/technical institutions to support project implementation 20 04 Côte d’Ivoire’s business ecosystem and structural advantages Côte d’Ivoire has grown at 8.5% p.a. since 2012 with forecasted 1.8% growth in 2020 In 2018, Côte d’Ivoire tapped international capital markets for first 30-year sovereign bond issuance Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Côte d’Ivoire Million US$ Business Climate Moodys, Fitch 1,200 1,009 975 1,000 800 439 Debt expected to stabilize at 40% of GDP (below peers) with smooth debt maturity into 2024 thanks to active management 620 578 600 Rated in speculative class with stable outlook in 2020 494 400 200 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 FDI in Côte d’Ivoire have increased at 14.9% CAGR between 2014 and 2019, as a result of important reforms that boosted foreign investors’ confidence in the country. Source: IMF, WAEMU, Moody’s, Fitch, Jeune Afrique, Article IV Strong economic performance since 2012, reflecting • A political normalization: 10 years of political stability; • An improved business environment: +67 places in Doing Business between 2013 and 2020; • A supportive and controlled fiscal policy: within the regional norms. 22 A highly attractive investment regime positions Côte d’Ivoire as a leading destination in Africa The new investment scheme was introduced in 2018 to target foreign investment to priority sectors Implementation Phase T&G Oriented • A 2-years 100% exemption from customs duties, except royalties and community and continental levies Incentives Operational Phase • Tax holidays depending on the location of the plant or industrial complex : o 50% over 5 years in Abidjan and neighbouring towns; • A 2-years 100% exemption from VAT o 100% over 5 years + 50% over 5 other years in big regional cites) o 100% over 10 years + 75% over 5 other years in smaller cities On materials, capital goods, first batch of spare parts acquired locally or imported, goods, services and work carried out locally or abroad • Unrestricted access to foreign currencies - free access for companies to currencies Guarantees to investors Deductible to Profit tax, Contribution of patents and licenses, Property tax, VAT and employer’s responsibility for local jobs • Free access to locally produced raw or semi-finished raw materials • Authorization of asset transfers (subject to regular tax) and expatriate staff salaries (in foreign or local currency) Source: CIV Investment Promotion Agency 23 Key contacts to accompany you on this exciting trip Government of Côte d’Ivoire Dr. Adama Coulibaly General Director, Conseil Coton Anacarde Email: a.coulibaly@conseilcotonanacarde.ci Tel: +225 07 08 61 33 33 Simplice Gue Director of information System, Studies and Foresight, Conseil Coton Anacarde Email: guesi@conseilcotonanacarde.ci Tel: +225 05 05 00 54 04 Strategic Partner Tony Blair Institute Valérie Vencatachellum Country Head, Tony Blair Institute for Global Change Email: v.vencatachellum@institute.global Tel: +225 07 58 37 50 76 Robin Baxter Consultant, Tony Blair Institute for Global Change Email: robin_baxter@fitnyc.edu Tel: +1 917 943 6224 24 Thank you for attending! 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