Engineering Economic Decisions Lecture No. 1 Chapter 1 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th ed. Copyright © 2016 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved What Is an Engineering Economic Decision? Role of engineers in business Understanding the term “engineering economic decision” An overview of a variety of engineering economic decision problems Understanding the fundamental principles of engineering economics Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Role of Engineers in Business Create and Design • Engineering Projects Analyze Evaluate Evaluate • Production Methods • Engineering Safety • Environmental Impacts • Market Assessment • Expected Profitability • Timing of Cash Flows • Degree of Financial Risk • Impact on Financial Statements • Firm’s Market Value • Stock Price Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Engineering Economic Decisions Investment Planning Marketing Manufacturing Plan for the acquisition of equipment (capital expenditure) that will enable the firm to design and produce products economically Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Profit What Makes Engineering Economic Decisions Difficult? • • • • • Estimating a required investment Forecasting a product demand Estimating a selling price Estimating a manufacturing cost Estimating a product life Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Accounting Vs. Engineering Economy Evaluation of past performance Evaluation and prediction of future events Accounting Engineering Economy Past Future Present Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Common Types of Strategic Engineering Economic Decisions • • • • • • Equipment or process selection Equipment replacement decisions New products and product expansion Cost reduction Improvement in service or quality Design decisions Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Fundamental Principles of Engineering Economics • Principle 1: A dollar earned today is worth more than a dollar earned in the future. • Principle 2: The only thing that matters is the difference between alternatives. • Principle 3: Marginal revenue must exceed marginal cost. • Principle 4: Additional risk is not taken without the expected additional return. Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Principle 1: A dollar earned today is worth more than a dollar earned in the future. Interest rate = 10% $110 one $100 year today later Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park $121 two years later Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Principle 2: The only thing that matters is the difference between alternatives. Monthly fuel cost Monthly maintenance Cash outlay at signing Monthly payment Buy $960 $550 $6,500 $350 $9,000 Lease $960 $550 $2,400 $550 0 Option Salvage value at end of year 3 Irrelevant items in decision-making Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Principle 3: Marginal revenue must exceed marginal cost. Marginal cost Manufacturing cost Sales revenue Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park 1 unit 1 unit Marginal revenue Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Principle 4: Additional risk is not taken without the expected additional return. Investment Class Potential Risk Expected Return o Savings account (cash) Low/None 1.5% o Bond (debt) Moderate 4.8% o Stock (equity) High Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park 11.5% Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Two Factors in Engineering Economic Decisions • • Time Uncertainty Contemporary Engineering Economics, 6th edition Park Copyright © 2016 by Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved