Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Water Research journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/watres Dynamic load shifting for the abatement of GHG emissions, power demand, energy use, and costs in metropolitan hybrid wastewater treatment systems Samuel Reifsnyder a,b, Francesca Cecconi a,b, Diego Rosso a,b,∗ a b Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-2175, USA Water-Energy Nexus Center, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-2175, USA a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 8 January 2021 Revised 30 April 2021 Accepted 3 May 2021 Available online 9 May 2021 Keywords: Water-energy nexus Demand response Integrated modeling Decentralized wastewater treatment Urban water management Real-time control a b s t r a c t The installation of satellite water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs) has strengthened the ability to provide cheap and reliable recycled water to meet the increasing water demand of expanding cities. As a result, recent studies have attempted to address the problem of how to optimally integrate satellite systems with other sectors of the urban sphere, such as the local economy, the power supply, and the regional carbon footprint. However, such studies are merely based on the spatial domain, thus neglecting potential time-dependent strategies that could further improve the sustainability of metropolitan water systems. Therefore, in this study a new conceptual framework is proposed for the dynamic management of hybrid systems comprised of both centralized and satellite WRRFs. Furthermore, a novel set of integrated real-time control (RTC) strategies are considered to analyze three different scenarios: 1) demand response, 2) flow equalization of the centralized WRRF and 3) reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Data from a case study in California is used to develop an integrated dynamic model of a system of 8 facilities. Our results show that by dynamically shifting the dry-weather influent wastewater flows between hydraulically connected WRRFs, a reduction in power demand (up to 25%), energy use (4%), operating costs (8.5%) and indirect carbon emissions (4.5%) can be achieved. Therefore, this study suggests that a certain degree of hydraulic interconnection coupled with dynamic load-shifting strategies, can broaden the operational flexibility and overall sustainability of hybrid WRRF systems. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction The continued increase in population density in urbanized areas, coupled with today’s climatic uncertainty, has necessitated the pivot toward more resilient and sustainable urban planning (Rogers et al., 2020; Wong and Brown, 2009). A critical challenge for several metropolises pursuing this shift has been posed by the need to adopt low energy solutions to meet the growing water demand and treat the increasing volumes of generated wastewater (Qin et al., 2018). As a result, a multitude of research studies have highlighted various opportunities for the synergistic optimization of the urban water-energy system, including the implementation of cutting-edge technologies (Castrillo et al., 2019; Tatinclaux et al., 2018), the adoption of energy-sensitive water policies (Kenway et al., 2019; Xu, 2020) and the optimization of existing energy-intensive water infrastructure, such as pumps and ∗ Corresponding author. E-mail address: bidui@uci.edu (D. Rosso). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2021.117224 0043-1354/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. blowers (Capodaglio and Olsson, 2020; Vakilifard et al., 2019). Concurrently, the traditional idea of a linear urban water system, characterized by the “collection-usage-treatment-release” approach, is currently being called into question by the unsustainable exploitation of accessible water resources. As such, the diversification of the available water resources has been one of the key strategies for providing low-energy water supply alternatives in major metropolises such as Melbourne (Low et al., 2015), Singapore (Lafforgue and Lenouvel, 2015), Tokyo (Edwin et al., 2014), and Los Angeles (Porse et al., 2017). In addition to water conservation strategies, the introduction of new alternative water sources such as harvested stormwater and water reclamation have shown the promise of improving local water security in a cost-effective and energy-efficient way (Sedlak, 2014). Among the possible water resource alternatives, water reclamation represents an attractive solution as it provides a reliable fitfor-purpose source of water near point of generation while still requiring lower energy and operating costs compared to imported water or costal desalination (Capodaglio, 2020; Leverenz et al., S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 2011). Moreover, the need to implement local water reclamation, aimed at quenching the water demand of the growing peri–urban areas, has shifted the global discourse concerning sustainable water supply toward decentralized water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs) (Garrido-Baserba et al., 2018; Yerri and Piratla, 2019). Decentralized WRRFs that are hydraulically connected to the centralized sewer collection system are known as satellite WRRFs (Larsen et al., 2013). Satellite WRRF systems provide the opportunity to collect, treat, and reclaim local wastewater, thus limiting the need for dual-piping systems that stem from a single centralized facility and creating consequent long-term cost and energy savings linked to construction and pumping (Hering et al., 2013). Moreover, satellite wastewater treatment plants allow the production of a variety of treated effluent streams that can be tailored to match the needs of local end-use applications such as industrial reuse, landscape irrigation, groundwater recharge, streamflow augmentation, and service water used in households (Sharma et al., 2010). Satellite wastewater treatment systems can be categorized by three different types: i) interception type; ii) extraction type; and iii) upstream type (Gikas and Tchobanoglous, 2009). In the interception type, wastewater is intercepted prior entering the sewer laterals, diverted to a satellite system for treatment, and reused locally. The extraction type, also known as wastewater “mining” or “scalping”, differs from the previous type as the wastewater is typically extracted from larger sewer trunk lines or interceptors (Daigger, 2009; González-Viar et al., 2016). The upstream type is usually adopted for suburban communities that experience an increased demand for reclaimed water and are more peripheral with respect to the centralized collection system (Gikas and Tchobanoglous, 2009). For such systems the wastewater is collected from the sewer main that pertains the remote community prior to its introduction in the centralized collection system. Although satellite wastewater facilities are considered selfsufficient, they typically lack the ability to process the generated solids on-site. On the contrary, the solids are discharged into the hydraulically connected sewer system from which they are transported downstream and processed in a centralized wastewater treatment facility, thus taking advantage of the economies of scale associated with biogas production. In addition, because the expansion of several of these centralized wastewater treatment facilities is often limited due to the adjacent civic and industrial land development, satellite wastewater systems also provide the benefit of hydraulically relieving downstream centralized wastewater infrastructure, thus deferring capital costs linked to expansion/upgrades of centralized infrastructure (Marlow et al., 2013). Satellite treatment facilities, which are already recognized as a promising way to meet the growing water demand of urban areas, do not serve as a replacement for existing centralized water and wastewater infrastructure. Instead, they are projected to be integrated gradually within existing urban water systems, thus establishing a hybrid urban water system (Larsen et al., 2013). In fact, it is precisely this integration that has been the subject of recent research aimed at assessing the optimal management of hybrid centralized and satellite wastewater treatment systems (Eggimann et al., 2015; Opher and Friedler, 2016). Several of these studies perform spatial modeling using site-specific conditions and geospatial information for the quantification of sustainability metrics such as greenhouse gas emissions (Kavvada et al., 2016), energy use (Bradshaw and Luthy, 2017), and costs (Eggimann et al., 2016). These studies provide the important groundwork for the design and planning of integrated decentralized satellite wastewater systems. Nonetheless, the focus of these recent studies has been posed merely on the spatial domain, therefore neglecting the dynamics that characterize the day-to-day operation of wastewater treatment systems. In fact, a time-invariant analysis of such systems precludes the ability to realistically examine real-time control (RTC) strategies that are based on instrumentation, control and automation (ICA), which are fundamentally dynamic (Yuan et al., 2019). It must be underscored that integrated RTC strategies have indeed been proposed for wastewater systems as a whole (treatment plants and sewer network), however their function has been limited to (i) the minimization of flooding and combined sewer overflows (CSO) during wet weather events (Borsányi et al., 2008; van Daal et al., 2017), and (ii) the minimization of the impact of wastewater on receiving riverine ecosystems (Meng et al., 2017). Therefore, integrated RTC strategies that target the optimization of energy, costs or carbon footprint of hybrid centralized and satellite wastewater treatment systems still remain unexplored. Thus, the goals of this study are: i) to provide the first example of an integrated dynamic modeling analysis of hybrid wastewater treatment systems; ii) to develop a set of novel integrated RTC strategies for hybrid wastewater treatment systems; iii) to quantify the benefits that can be achieved through the adoption of such strategies in terms of energy, costs and indirect carbon emissions. Three different scenarios are considered in this study: i) demand response; ii) flow equalization of the centralized WRRF and iii) reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Each scenario is based on an open-loop time of day control strategy, which is used to lower the pumping rate at the influent lift stations of the different satellite WRRFs, with the intent to dynamically shift the influent loads to the downstream centralized treatment facility. A case study of an existing regional hybrid wastewater system is considered herein, comprising a set of seven satellite extraction type WRRFs and one centralized facility which are hydraulically connected. Data and specifications from each facility are utilized in conjunction with specific assumptions for the development of a dynamic process model. Data from each facility comprises various operational variables (i.e., reactor dimensions, influent flows, constituent concentrations, aeration specifications, etc.). Local energy tariff structures are considered in order to estimate the operating costs of the aeration process and influent pumping of each treatment facility. In addition, dynamic profiles of the carbon intensity (CI) of the electrical grid are used to estimate the carbon footprint linked to the energy use of the overall system of plants. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Background and description of the system of WRRFs The system of hydraulically connected WRRFs presented in this study is modeled after the interconnected system of wastewater conveyance and treatment facilities known as the Joint Outfall System (JOS), which is managed and maintained by the Los Angeles County Sanitation District (LACSD). The JOS provides wastewater treatment services for 4.8 million residents in 73 cities. Designed to take advantage of the regional topography, the JOS conveys the collected wastewater to 7 satellite and 1 centralized WRRF mainly by gravity (See Fig. 1). The satellite facilities provide the dual purpose of hydraulically relieving the downstream centralized system and of supplying an alternative water resource to the local communities. Each of the satellite WRRFs can be categorized as an extraction type because the wastewater is directly mined out of the sewer system. The harvested wastewater is subsequently treated to title 22 standards via a treatment train comprising primary sedimentation, activated sludge treatment, coagulation, filtration, chlorination, and de-chlorination. The residual solids produced on-site are discharged in the main trunk sewers of the JOS from which they are transported downstream and treated at the centralized wastewater treatment facility. 2 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 1. Maps and schematic of the case study of hydraulically connected WRRFs. 2.2. Modeling framework and boundaries detailed features of each WRRF, specific assumptions are made to limit the model complexity as well as to reduce excessive computational overhead required for the simulation. Hence, modeling results are always discussed in reference to simulated uncontrolled conditions and not the utility’s actual operations. Such assumptions are presented in detail for each sub-model in the following section. Equations and further description of each sub-model are reported in the Appendix. The scope of this study includes a system of hydraulically connected WRRFs with an emphasis on the dynamics of variables such as effluent quality, power demand, energy use, costs, and GHG emissions. In order to provide a realistic representation of the behavior of each facility, dynamic process sub-models are adopted along with site-specific data used for model inputs and parameters. The model boundary includes the typical units found in WRRFs: influent pump station, primary clarification, bio-reactor tanks, aeration system, secondary clarification and control systems. The most up-to-date modeling protocols for wastewater treatment are used as the framework for these sub-models (Rieger et al., 2013). Additional systems are also modelled such as sewer hydraulics, indirect GHG emissions and energy tariff structures. Each sub-model equation was coded in Matlab® and implemented in the Simulink® platform using customizable diagram blocks (see Appendix: Fig. A1, A4, A5–7, A9–10, A12). Although the integrated model incorporates 2.3. Model structure 2.3.1. Primary clarification The primary clarification step is modelled by implementing an ideal solid/liquid separation sub-model. Such a model is similar to point separation models (i.e., non-spatial models with a set percent removal) with the exception that the solids mass balance is performed around a defined control volume. In order to capture the effects of the primary clarification on the delay and attenuation of 3 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 the influent dynamics, the need for a primary settling model with a specified volume was deemed necessary. For more information see Appendix §3. 2.3.6. Sewer model In the JOS network, the wastewater is conveyed primarily via gravity by a system of separate sewer interceptors and trunk lines. The biochemical transformations taking place in the sewer system, such as hydrolysis and heterotrophic decomposition of organic matter, have the potential to affect the wastewater composition (Hvitved-Jacobsen et al., 2013). However, to limit the number of state variables used, and therefore the computational time required to numerically solve them, the sewer lines were assumed non-reactive. Further information on the sewer model and relative assumptions is reported in Appendix §6. 2.3.2. Bioreactors tanks The activated sludge model 1 (ASM1) was selected among the available model structures used to describe the bio-processes found in activated sludge reactors (Henze et al., 1987; Van Loosdrecht et al., 2015). The selection of the ASM1 structure in lieu of other models (i.e., ASM2, ASM2d, ASM3, etc.) is driven by the absence of large anaerobic/anoxic zones in each of the facility’s bio-reactors and by the nonessential need to model the biological phosphorus removal processes, as these are not part of the engineered process layout of the facilities considered (Rieger et al., 2013). Stochiometric parameters are selected based on typical values found in the literature, whereas the kinetic parameters are estimated using temperature correction functions based on average site-specific liquid temperatures (on average, 25 °C) (Rieger et al., 2013). For the centralized WRRF, a modified ASM1 model for the high purity oxygen (HPO) process was adopted based on the structure presented earlier in the literature (Tzeng et al., 2003). 2.3.7. Pump model Wet-well pump stations are used at the front head of each plant in order to provide the hydraulic head necessary for transporting the influent wastewater across the various treatment processes. In order to capture the diurnal dynamics of the power demand required for the pumps to operate, the hydraulic pump power equation is used (see Appendix, Eq. A31). A total dynamic head of 20 m was assumed for each plant. The wire-to-water (WTW) efficiency of the pumps was selected based on the size of each facility (large η=0.7, medium η=0.6, small η=0.5). 2.3.3. Air supply model The mechanical power demand from the blower groups is estimated using the adiabatic compression power equation (Tchobanoglous et al., 2014) (see Appendix, Eq. A29). Average wireto-air efficiency values were used based on the relative size of the turbomachinery group of each facility (range: 0.55–0.75). The wireto-air efficiency includes the various efficiency losses during the power transfer chain, which includes the motor efficiency, the mechanical efficiency (bearings, gears, etc.), and the blower efficiency. In addition, the power demand of each blower group was estimated by including ambient temperature profiles obtained from local measurements for the period under study (sampling frequency of 10 min). For each plant, a PI DO-control structure is used in order to maintain an oxygen set-point of 2.0 mg l−1 in the last aeration tank (with the exception of the centralized WRRF that uses a set-point of 4.0 mg l−1 , see Section 4.3 in the Appendix for more information). 2.3.8. Flow diversion control The scheduled amount of diverted flow of each satellite WRRF is determined by a two-level control structure composed by i) an open-loop time of day integrated control system, which determines when the shifting events of each satellite plant occur, and ii) an equipment level PI-control feedback system used to vary the split ratio of the influent over the diverted flow (Qinf / Qdiv ) in order to maintain the desired influent flow set-point of the satellite WRRFs. For scenario 1 and 3, the average of the daily minimum flows was selected as a set-point for the influent flows entering each satellite facility during the scheduled load diversion (see Fig. 3). Lower influent flow set-points were not considered, as they would drift outside of the normal operating range of each satellite facility. A Boolean signal is used for the activation of the flow diversion strategy in the specified operating time-window (1= ‘ON’, 0= ‘OFF’). Differently, in scenario 2, three different influent flow tiers are considered for the PI-control set-points (see sub-Section 2.5.2 for more information). 2.3.4. Oxygen transfer model The oxygen transfer rate for each zone is estimated using the equation presented in (ASCE, 2018), which incorporates correction factors that account for temperature, salinity, site elevation, diffuser depth, diffuser fouling, and the effect of surface active agents (see Appendix, Eq. A18). Consistently with previous studies (Amerlinck et al., 2016; Reifsnyder et al., 2020), a spatiotemporal variable α F factor was implemented based on previously obtained off-gas measurements, which allows to estimate the oxygen transfer efficiency (OTE) under actual process conditions (see Appendix, Section 4.4.1). 2.4. Data acquisition and pre-processing A combination of site-testing, operational data, and equipment specifications were used for developing the overall hybrid WRRFs system model. Table 1 shows the equipment specification as well as the average daily operational data that were used to develop a dynamic model for each of the eight WRRFs. 2.4.1. Influent data Diurnal influent flow and concentration profiles for two of the eight facilities (Sat2 and Sat4) were obtained from facility records. For the other six facilities, the circadian load and concentration curves were constructed consistently from the available profiles (see Appendix, Fig. A2). The characterization of the influent aggregate variables, such as chemical oxygen demand (COD) and total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN), was conducted by implementing daily average grab sample measurements. In order to ensure that the fractional proportion of each aggregate variable was in the typical range for municipal wastewater, the influent fractionation toolbox from SUMO® v.20 (Dynamita; Nyons, France) was utilized. 2.3.5. Secondary clarification The sub-model for the secondary clarifiers is based on the solids flux between spatially discretized layers. The solids mass balance around each layer accounts for the bulk liquid flux and the gravity separation flux (based on concentration driven settling behavior) (Takacs et al., 1991; Torfs et al., 2017). The selection of a layered flux clarification model in lieu of an ideal settling model is driven by the desire to capture the variation in solids storage as well as the sludge blanket profile of the clarifier in response to the scheduled hydraulic diversions among the different facilities considered herein. Typical solids settling parameters have been selected for the activated sludge processes of the satellite facilities, whereas the settling parameters for the centralized facilities were chosen based on typical HPO sludge settling characteristics with lower sludge volume indices (SVIs) (Daigger, 1995). 2.4.2. Cost analysis and tariff structure For each of the three scenarios described in section §2.5, the costs are estimated from a costs analysis approach, while other 4 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Table 1 Equipment specification and average operational data of the individual WRRFs. (Satj = satellite (upstream) plant (j = 1–7); Cen = central (downstream) plant). Water Resource Recovery Facilities Sat1 Sat2 Sat3 Units Influent Data Influent Flow Sanitary Peak Flow TSSa BODb CODc Prim. Clarifiers Number Configuration Dimensions (L x W x D) TSS Removal Aeration Tanks Number of Trains Process Configuration Dimensions (L x W x D) Blowers Number Type Capacity (per unit) Sec. Clarifiers Number Configuration Dimensions (L x W x D) Other parameters Altitude Sewer Distance from Facility Cen Sewer Trunk Hydraulic Delay a b c d e f g h − 1 Sat4 Sat5 Sat6 Sat7 Cen ] 1900 1.5h 3.9 × 104 1.28 5.3 × 104 1.8 2.2 × 105 1.48 1.4 × 105 1.77 1.3 × 105 1.48 7.9 × 104 1.77 1.1 × 106 1.24 [mg l − 1 ] [mg l−1 ] [mg l−1 ] 290h 220h 558h 267 229 567 356 353 738 340 295 688 340 295 688 315 296 634 303 274 640 496 426 758 [ –] [ –] [m] N/A N/A N/A 2 Rectangular 91×6 × 3.5 3 Rectangular 8 Rectangular 91×6 × 3.5 5 Rectangular 91×6 × 3.5 4 Rectangular 91×6 × 3.5 4 Rectangular 91×6 × 3.5 52 Rectangular 82×6 × 3 [%] N/A 61 30.5 × 6 × 3 66 65 62 60 67 75 [ –] [ –] 2 CEAd 3 MLEe 3 MLEe 20 SFAf 12 SFAf 12 SFAf 8 SFAf 24 HPOg [m3 d [–] 79×9 × 4.5 [m] 9.1 × 7.5 × 4.5 91.5 × 9 × 4.5 68.5 × 9 × 4.5 68.5 × 9 × 4.5 68.5 × 9 × 4.5 68.5 × 9 × 4.5 76.2 × 17×5.1 3 Positive Displacem. 600 3 Centrifugal 3 Centrifugal 5 Centrifugal 3 Centrifugal 5 Centrifugal 4 Centrifugal N/A N/A 1@ 9.3 × 103 2@ 1.9 × 104 2.2 × 104 2@ 3.4 × 104 3@ 7.4 × 104 7.4 × 104 3@ 3.4 × 104 2 @ 1 × 105 2@ 1.7 × 104 3@ 3.4 × 104 N/A 2 Rectangular 6 Rectangular 6 Rectangular 30 Rectangular 18 Rectangular 18 Rectangular 13 Rectangular 45.5 × 6 × 3 208 Rectangular 60×6.5 × 4.3 7.8 × 3 × 2.7 45.5 × 5.5 × 3 45.5 × 6 × 3 45.5 × 6 × 3 45.5 × 6 × 3 45.5 × 6 × 3 [m asl] [km] 457 62 64 36.7 229 65 75 39.6 72 39.6 19 21.6 7 21.6 11 N/A [h] 8.6h 5.1h 9h 5.5h 5.5h 3h 3h N/A [ –] [ –] [m3 h−1 ] [ –] [ –] [m] total suspended solids biological oxygen demand chemical oxygen demand. conventional extended aeration. modified Ludzack-Ettinger. step-feed aeration. high purity oxygen. value subject to assumption. economic costs/benefits are excluded (González-Viar et al., 2016). The main operational costs (OPEX) of our analysis derive from the energy use and power demand charge of the blowers and pumps of each facility, as these costs are directly impacted when shifting the diurnal influent flows among plants. Since each scenario does not require the installation of new processes/technologies, but only a change in operations, there are no capital expenses (CAPEX) in our cost analysis. As underscored by previous studies (Aymerich et al., 2015), it is often the case for energy costs to vary throughout the day according to a tier structure set by the energy provider. For the system under study, a 2-tier energy tariff structure is adopted by a local energy provider with a high energy cost between 16:00 and 21:00 (on-peak) and a lower energy cost during the remaining hours (off-peak). In order to estimate total cost deriving from each facility’s energy consumption, the delivery and the generation costs were considered for both the weekdays and weekends (see Fig. A11b). In addition, a maximum power demand charge of 5.08 USD kW−1 is also included in the final energy costs projections (see Eq. (1)). where t1 and tfin are the initial and final simulation time, respectively. 2.4.3. Carbon intensity of the electrical grid To account for the diurnal variations of indirect GHG emissions associated with the daily energy consumption, dynamic carbon intensity (CI) profiles (also known as carbon output rates) were retrieved from historical data made available by the California Inde- 5 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 2. Scheduled load shifting strategies. Scenario 1 focuses on shifting the flow during on-peak energy tariff times (grid ramping hours – 16:00 to 21:00); Scenario 2 attempts to equalize the flow of the centralized plant by reducing the dip of the flow profile (low loading hours – 2:00 to 11:00); in Scenario 3 the flow is shifted during the indirect GHG emission peak of the satellite facilities (19:00 to 0 0:0 0). Dashed black line denotes uncontrolled conditions (no load shifting), whereas red lines show the influent flow during the different load shifting scenarios. pendent System Operator (CAISO) (see Appendix, Fig. A11c). The cumulative carbon footprint of each facility is then calculated by computing the product of the CI and the energy consumption at each time step, and then integrating it over the entire simulation period (see Eq. (2)). C O2, eq [Mg] = t f in t=t1 C I · Power (t ) [kW ] kgC O2,eq /kW h t[h] 2.5.1. Scenario 1: Demand response In the first scenario, the scheduled load shifting is implemented as a demand response measure toward peak time-based rates that are aimed at shifting the user’s energy consumption during the day. In this study, the demand response strategy is based on the 2tier time-of-use (TOU) energy tariff structure previously introduced (see Section 2.4.2 and Fig. A11b in the Appendix). More specifically, during grid ramping hours (16:0 0–21:0 0) each satellite WRRF diverts the incoming load to the centralized plant while still maintaining their diurnal minimum influent flow according to the control strategy outlined in Section 2.3.8. (2) where t1 and tfin are the initial and final simulation time, respectively. 2.5.2. Scenario 2: Centralized flow equalization The focus of the second scenario is on the equalization of the centralized plant’s daily influent flows. In general, a flow is said to be equalized if the flow is more or less constant with time (Tchobanoglous et al., 2021). For this scenario, the diverted flows from each satellite WRRF are scheduled with the intent of increasing the incoming loads of the centralized plant during low loading hours (see Fig. 2, central column). The centralized plant thus benefits from having a lower peak-to-peak amplitude of the influent flow with a resulting improvement in process stability and consequent reduction of the operational variability of mechanical equipment such as pumps and aeration apparatus. The Shuffled Complex-Self Adaptive Hybrid EvoLution (SC-SAHEL) algorithm, also implemented in previous studies (Rahnamay Naeini et al., 2018; Reifsnyder et al., 2020), was used to minimize the variability of the centralized influent flows during low loading hours (02:0 0–11:0 0). For this scenario, three progressively decreasing influent set-points are considered for each of the satellite plants with the lowest being the average minimum daily flow (see Fig. 3). Once 2.5. Scenarios and evaluation metrics Three different scenarios are considered in this study, and each is based on shifting the influent load of seven satellite wastewater treatment plants to the centralized treatment facility. This is achieved by lowering the pumping rate at the influent lift stations of each satellite facility according to an open-loop time of day control strategy. By exploiting the hydraulic delay of sewer trunk lines, this strategy effectively allows to defer the treatment intensity between hydraulically connected facilities during specific hours of the day. The assessment of each scenario is performed in terms of indirect GHG emissions, energy use, and operating costs. Additional metrics such as effluent quality and equipment limitation are also taken into consideration. The dynamic load shifting strategy of each scenario is illustrated in Fig. 2 considering a single satellite WRRF and the receiving centralized WRRF. The three scenarios are further discussed in the following sections. 6 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 respect to uncontrolled conditions during the receiving hours of the diverted flows (see Fig. 4b). Such increase in power demand stems from the need to increase influent pumping rates and also the need to maintain desired oxygen concentrations in the HPO reactors by increasing the speed of the surface agitators. Fig. 4c also shows an increase in the effluent total suspended solids (TSS) concentrations during the receiving hours of the diverted flows, yet still complies with the discharge limit (<30 mgTSS l−1 ). When considering other effluent metrics, such as total nitrogen (TN) and chemical oxygen demand (COD), no significant changes are observed (see Fig. 4d and e). Fig. 5a provides a view of the simulated total power profile of the entire system of WRRFs for 1 week under both the uncontrolled condition (dashed black line) and Scenario 1 (continuous line). The reduction in power demand during grid ramping hours (dashed gray lines) is highlighted in yellow. Such reduction is followed by an increase in total power demand as a result of the shifting in treatment intensity to the centralized facility (highlighted in light red). However, the increase in power demand relative to uncontrolled conditions is lower compared to the achievable power reduction during load shifting operations. This occurs as a result of higher efficiency of the larger centralized influent pumps as well as of the typically lower amplitude of the aeration power profile that characterizes the HPO process in the centralized plant (Wilcox and McWhirter, 1971). The box plots shown in Fig. 5b provide a comparison between the power distribution for the uncontrolled system and for the demand response strategy (Scenario 1) during the grid ramping period. It can be observed how the flow diversion of the satellite facilities allows the shifting down of the operating power distribution of the overall system of plants with a reduction in mean power demand during grid ramping hours of 3.7 MW. The distribution in Fig. 5c illustrates the probability of achieving a specific reduction in power demand during the load shifting event with an estimated maximum power reduction of 5.5 MW (or approximately 25% of the overall system). Fig. 3. Example of the parameters used to identify the optimal scheduling of the 3-tier influent flow set-points during the load shifting events of Scenario 2 (Sat6). The four time interval parameters i1 , i2 , i3 and i4 are varied during the optimization phase, whereas the time of the day when the daily minimum typically occurs is fixed (t4 ). the daily minimum influent flow time has been set (t4 ), the time intervals (i) of the three set-points are parameterized (i1 , i2 , i3 and i4 ) and are used as decision variables during the optimization phase (see Fig. 3). During each simulation, the four parameters do not change and are applied to each day of simulation. Once the convergence to the optimized set of time interval parameters is reached, the daily scheduled times of the 3-tier influent flow set-points are obtained for each satellite facility (t1 , t2 and t3 ,) which will remain fixed during the entire 2-week simulation period of Scenario 2. Additional information on the load shifting strategy for Scenario 2 can be found in Appendix §9.2. For more information on the SC-SAHEL algorithm see section §10 in the Appendix or refer directly to Rahnamay Naeini et al., 2018. 2.5.3. Scenario 3: Greenhouse emissions offset The third scenario targets the curtailment of the indirect daily GHG peak emissions of the system of satellite WRRFs. For this scenario, the load-shifting operations are scheduled during the highest indirect GHG emission hours of each satellite facility with a maximum load diversion time set to 5 h. Although the peak of indirect GHG emissions varies according to the daily energy contribution from renewables, peak emission hours for the considered system of facilities typically fall between 19:00 and 00:00. 3.2. Scenario 2: Centralized flow equalization In Scenario 2, the equalization of the influent flow entering the centralized plant is prioritized. An approximate 10,0 0 0 simulations were required in order to satisfy the convergence criteria of the SC-SAHEL optimization method. Following the optimization phase, the time interval parameters of the 3-tier flow diversions (i1 , i2 , i3 , and i4 ) of the satellite plants are identified and saved (see Table 2). These parameters also provide information on the time of day when each influent set-point scheduled time (t1 , t2 and t3 ) is triggered for each satellite facility. The optimized 3-tier scheduling time is used to trigger the flow shifting event of each satellite facility for each day of the entire simulation. Profiles of the resulting influent flow profiles of each satellite plant for Scenario 2 are reported in the appendix (Fig. A13). In Fig. 6a and b, the 3-tier influent set-points of the plants Sat2 and Sat4, respectively, are illustrated for the first 3 days of simulation. The scheduling times of the 3-tier influent set-points are different for each satellite plant and are mainly dependent on their size and on the relative distance of the sewer line that links the plant to the centralized facility. By correctly timing the influent set-point according to a 3-tier strategy, the compounded diverted flows of all the satellite plants (Fig. 6c) allow the significant reduction of the drop in influent flow of the centralized plant during low loading hours, as seen in Fig. 6d. It is worth noting that, following the optimization phase, two of the satellite WRRFs (Sat1 and Sat3) are found to not divert any of their influent flow, and thus for the purpose of equalization do not require to be connected to the centralized system. The convergence to such a 3. Results 3.1. Scenario 1: Demand response In the first scenario, the action of shifting the influent load of the satellite facilities is used as a demand response strategy which allows the deferral of the power required for treatment after grid ramping hours (16:00 to 21:00). It is, however, important to ensure that effluent quality goals of the centralized facility are met throughout the receiving hours of the diverted flows from the upstream satellite plants. The centralized facility primarily targets the abatement of carbonaceous constituents via an HPO process, which is not uncommon for large plants in the United States. Discharge effluent requirements do not require the centralized facility to remove nitrogenous compounds, and as such nitrification does not take place in the aeration tanks. Fig. 4 shows the simulated profiles for the main variables of interest in the centralized WRRFs. An increase in peak flows to the centralized facility is observed as a result of the scheduled flow diversion. Nevertheless, such flow peaks still maintain values equal or lower than the design capacity of the facility (see Fig. 4a). Furthermore, an increase in power demand is also observed with 7 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 4. Variables of interest under Scenario 1 for the centralized WRRF. (a) Influent flow rate, (b) power demand, (c) effluent suspended solids, (d) effluent total nitrogen and (e) effluent chemical oxygen demand. solution can be explained by the relatively long sewer delay time required to transport the diverted flow from Sat1 and Sat3 to the central facility (8.6 and 9 h respectively). In fact, for more distant plants like Sat1 and Sat3, the diversion of any influent flow prior to low loading conditions is likely to end up contributing to the diurnal sanitary peak flow entering the centralized plant (past 10:00– 11:00). As such, any hydraulic disturbance generated from Sat1 and Sat3 will always overshoot the target time of low loading conditions of the centralized plants (2:0 0–11:0 0). From Fig. 6d it can be observed that, although a perfect flow equalization is not achievable for each of the simulated days, a significant reduction in the centralized influent flow variability is achieved, especially during weekdays. (continuous line) during the first week of simulation. The avoided GHG emissions during the load shifting (dashed gray lines) are highlighted in yellow. An approximate 17% reduction in GHG emission is achievable during the load shifting event. 3.4. Overall system performance When considering different scenarios based on inter-facility load shifting strategies, it is important to also track the volumes of water displaced. In fact, as oftentimes satellite facilities emerge from the need to reclaim the locally generated wastewater, scheduled load diversions can be in conflict with recycled water targets of the individual satellite facility. To address this consideration, Fig. 8a, b, and c provide a bubble-pie chart illustration of the monthly cumulate volumes of water displaced for each scenario. The color-coded slices of each pie chart exhibit the water volumes shifted from each satellite plant. Scenario 1 results in the highest volume of water diverted to the centralized plant, with an approximate 2.4 × 106 m3 mo−1 of diverted water (or 12.7% of the overall satellite influent, Fig. 8a). Scenario 3, although assuming a different strategy, diverts an equally commensurate volume of water (2.4 × 106 m3 mo−1 or 12.3%, Fig. 8c). Conversely, the strategy that prioritizes centralized flow equalization (Scenario 2) displays 3.3. Scenario 3: Greenhouse emissions offset For Scenario 3, the scheduled flow diversion is deliberately selected to lower the total indirect GHG emissions by targeting the daily peak emission hours of each facility. Similarly to Scenario 1, the influent flow rates of each satellite WRRF are shifted during a 5-hour timeslot (19:0 0–0 0:0 0). Fig. 7 shows the equivalent CO2 emission rates expressed in megagrams (or metric tons) per hour for the uncontrolled system (dashed black line) and scenario 3 8 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 5. Total power of the system of 8 WRRFs. (a) Total power demand profiles for uncontrolled conditions and for the demand response load shifting strategy (Scenario 1). (b) Box plots showing the quartiles of the power demand during the electrical grid ramping hours (16:0 0–21:0 0) for the uncontrolled condition and Scenario 1. (c) Probability distribution of the reduction in power demand during ramping hours. the lowest amount of diverted water (1.3 × 106 m3 mo−1 or 6.8%, Fig. 8b). Figs. 8d shows the remaining water volumes available for reuse at each satellite plant location. For Scenario 1 (demand response), between 83% (Sat3) and 89% (Sat4) of the original influent flows of each individual satellite plant are retained for possible reclamation. In Scenario 3, an analogous range 83% (Sat3) and 90% (Sat4) are also observed. The attempt to equalize the centralized flow (Scenario 2) instead leads to a solution that forsakes diversion of the farthest satellite WRRFs (100% of the original volumes for Sat1 and Sat3). Furthermore, when compared to the other Scenarios, the satellite plants that do participate in the load shifting strategy of Scenario 2 still retain between 88% (Sat2) and 96%(Sat6) of the original influent flows of the uncontrolled condition, thus available for local reclamation. The overall performance of the system of eight plants in terms of total costs, energy use, and GHG emissions is presented in Fig 9d. As a result of prioritizing load shifting operations during hours of high energy cost, Scenario 1 provides the most cost- effective option with a monthly savings of 138,0 0 0 USD mo−1 with respect to uncontrolled conditions. Scenario 1 also yields the highest saving in terms of energy use (490 MWh mo−1 ), although still commensurate to energy savings presented in Scenario 3 (480 MWh mo−1 ). Scenario 3 curbs GHG emissions to the lowest value among the three scenarios (150 Mg CO2eq mo−1 ) by lowering the power demand during the peak indirect emission hours. More contained reductions for each performance metric are observed for Scenario 2. In addition, for the three scenarios an individualized view of the performance of each of the 8 plants is shown by use of radar plots (Fig. 9a, b, and c). For scenario 1 (Fig. 9a), the smaller facilities (i.e., Sat1, Sat2, and Sat3) display a higher percent reduction in terms of each of the three metrics (26–28% costs, 17–18% energy, and 17–18% GHG) compared to the larger plants (20–24% costs, 12–15% energy, and 12–15% GHG). Such a difference comes as a result of the higher equipment inefficacies (pumps, blowers, etc.) found in smaller facilities which consequently result in a higher percent savings per mass of load diverted. Similar considerations 9 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 6. Flow profiles. 3-day influent flow profiles of uncontrolled conditions and Scenario 2 for (a) Sat2 and (b) Sat4. (c) Time evolution of the flows diverted from the satellite WRRFs at the receiving end of the centralized facility. (d) Uncontrolled conditions and Scenario 2 flow profiles for the centralized (Cen) plant. reduction with the exception of Sat 1 and Sat 3 which do not display any change since they do not divert any flow (black continuous line in the center represents a 0% reduction, Fig. 9b). 4. Discussion 4.1. General implications and stakeholder breakdown The results obtained from our analysis provide a new facet of discourse to the ongoing dialog on sustainable urban water management. Moreover, this analysis deliberately aims to complement the over decadal discussion on the optimal degree of centralization (ODC) of municipal wastewater infrastructures of growing cities around the world, as discussed in detail in Eggimann et al., 2015; Poustie et al., 2015 and Libralato et al., 2012. Thus, showing that a certain degree of interconnection between facilities can widen their collective operational flexibility, which can be tailored to serve a specific shared objective. In contrast to previous work, Fig. 7. Total GHG emissions profiles for uncontrolled conditions and for the GHG offset strategy (scenario 3). For such strategy the flow is shifted during the peak indirect GHG emissions hours (19:00 to 0 0:0 0). are also observed when viewing the individual plant performance under scenario 3 (Fig. 9c). Compared to the aforementioned scenarios, the individual facilities in scenario 2 show a lower percent 10 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 8. Water volumes for the 7 satellite WRRFs. The monthly diverted volumes of water are displayed for (a) Scenario 1, (b) Scenario 2 and (c) Scenario 3. Each coloured slice shows the contribution of diverted volumes of water of each satellite plant. The percentage of water treated by each satellite plant is shown for each of the three scenarios (d). 11 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Fig. 9. Summary of the performance metrics. Radar charts illustrate the performance metrics in percent reduction (positive sign) of each plant for (a) Scenario 1; (b) Scenario 2; (c) Scenario 3. (d) Bar plot of the showing the hybrid system’s total percent reduction of the performance metrics for each of the three scenarios considered. The continuous black line in the center of the radar plots denotes a 0% improvement of the performance metrics. the dynamic analysis of hybrid wastewater treatment systems presented here provides the ability to access a holistic set of operational strategies which would not otherwise be achievable via a conventional time-invariant analysis. Through each of the three scenarios, we illustrate the ability to use an inter-facility influent RTC load shifting strategy that appeals to different stakeholders. 4.2. Scenario 1: Demand response services for electrical grid load flexibility In the first scenario, we employ a demand response strategy as a reactive measure to the ramping up of the electrical grid in the late afternoon hours. The pronounced electrical grid ramp12 07:16 01:20 23:20 04:00 07:16 07:16 06:40 04:10 00:40 02:20 00:50 0 h, 36min 3 h, 6min 3 h, 16min 6 h,0min 1 h, 50min 2 h, 40min 22:00 – 07:16 07:00 23:00 0 h, 16min – 0 h, 0min 8 h, 0min 4.3. Scenario 2: Centralized load equalization In the second scenario, the equalization of the centralized facility takes priority over other operational schemes. The load shifting of each satellite facility was optimized to obtain a satisfactory downstream equalization while also preventing an increase in the number of on/off switching events of equipment at the satellite plants. The equalization of the centralized influent flow via the dynamic load shifting of each satellite plant provides a resourceful tool for centralized facilities that do not have access to neighbouring land for the construction of equalization tanks. As such, flow equalization can still be achieved without the need to undertake expensive equalization projects. Although savings in terms of energy use, greenhouse gas emissions, and costs are lower compared to the first and third scenario, in the second scenario the sanitation district (the main stakeholder here) gains benefits in terms of process stability and improved asset management at the centralized facility (Tchobanoglous et al., 2021). 0 1 2 1 2 h, h, h, h, h, 0min 50min 40min 30min 0min 0 h, 0min 21:10 – – – 03:30 01:20 2 h, 10min 3 h, 0min 2 h, 56min 22:20 – – – t3 t2 t1 0 h, 0min 0 h, 0min 0 h, 0min i3 i2 i4 3-tier scheduling time 3-tier time interval parameters ing phenomenon originates from the progressive incorporation of renewable systems into the power generation portfolio of a specific region. This condition, also known as “duck curve”, has become an increasingly observed trend for several cities worldwide as they transition towards greener sources of energy. Therefore, the evolution of the urban electrical grids toward a more sustainable state bears the challenge of dynamically matching the rapid increase in net power demand in the late afternoon hours. To address this emerging challenge, in the first scenario we adopt a demand response strategy to lower the power required for wastewater treatment during grid ramping hours by taking advantage of the interconnected nature of a hybrid system of wastewater treatment plants. In contrast to other demand response studies that propose the suspension of the treatment operations of a single facility (Schäfer et al., 2017), the integrated multi-plant approach proposed here allows wastewater utilities to partake in demand response programs without the need to shutdown treatment operations. For the case study considered, a maximum reduction of 25% (5.5 MW) in total power demand was estimated. Such a finding informs the potential for hybrid WRRF systems to introduce flexibility into the power markets, and consequently promotes the opportunity for the wastewater utilities to enter incentive-based energy programs such as demand response or time-of-use (ToU) energy tariff structures. Thus, the prime stakeholders involved in this scenario are the electric grid operators and the sanitation district, both of which respectively gain benefits in terms of operational flexibility and economic incentives. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 h, 0min 8 h, 6min 0 h, 0min 10 h, 6min 9 h, 16min 6 h, 26min 7 h, 56min The third scenario centres its attention on reducing the indirect GHG emissions linked to the energy use required for treating the wastewater. Here, the load of each satellite facility is shifted downstream to the centralized plant during peak emission hours (19:0 0–0 0:0 0). Hence, in contrast to isolated decentralized treatment facilities, hydraulically connected hybrid systems have the ability to curtail their indirect carbon emissions by shifting their electricity use to periods when the power supplied has a lower carbon intensity. Such a capability allows the synergistic reduction of the carbon footprint of the system as a whole, and therefore expands the ability of local sanitation districts to enter climate change solution initiatives. Furthermore, energy markets that include technologies with different emission factors provide the intriguing ability of hybrid WRRF systems to partake in emissionbased demand response programs. In an emission-based demand management program the customer’s normal energy consumption pattern is changed in order to avoid emission-intensive hours Sat Sat Sat Sat Sat Sat Sat i1 4.4. Scenario 3: Emission-based demand response Satellite WRRFs Table 2 Optimized 3-tier scheduling parameters (i1 , i2 , i3 , and i4 ) for each satellite facility. The times of the day at which each tier is scheduled are also shown (t1 , t2 , t3 and t4 ). 06:26 Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 t4 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso 13 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 (Kopsakangas-Savolainen et al., 2017). Emission-based demand response programs would also provide ancillary benefits, such as the reduction of emissions of air pollutants linked to power generation which were not considered in this study but deserve future research. It is foreseeable that the enrolment in emission-based demand response programs would involve a set of different stakeholders such as the electric grid operators, the air emissions regulatory agencies, and the sanitation districts. work by also incorporating in-sewer process models. In addition, for pressurized sewer systems, the pumping stations will also contribute to the overall power exerted by the hybrid system of WRRFs. Therefore, subsequent studies should also examine the aforementioned influent load shifting strategies for sewer systems that are predominantly pressurized. Finally, although this study is based on the analysis of a preexisting hybrid WRRF system, it also initiates a new discussion on how to plan for future satellite systems. The system dynamics need be granted a central role in the infrastructural planning. Therefore, the selection of factors such as site location, plant capacity, and process design should also be informed by the ability of the plant to interact dynamically with other hydraulically connected facilities. 4.5. Compatibility with regional water reclamation targets When considering the implementation of inter-facility influent load shifting strategies, it is important to perform an analysis of the volumes of water displaced. In fact, as satellite systems often stem from the need to provide locally reclaimed water, the diversion of influent flows toward the centralized facility may conflict with the reclamation targets of the individual satellite plant. In our study we demonstrated the potential to achieve a reduction in each of the performance metrics considered (GHG emissions, energy, and costs), while avoiding an excessive withdrawal of water from the satellite plants (6.8–12.7% of the total influent flow of the satellite plants). However, it is noteworthy to point out that the constraints posed by water reclamation targets will also vary seasonally with the winter months usually defined by a lower demand for reclaimed water when compared to the summer months. Therefore, inter-facility RTC load shifting strategies are expected to also vary according to the seasonal water reclamation constraints of the region. This analysis, although not considered here, should be informed by future studies. 5. Conclusions The increased pressure for sustainable water is likely to result in the further implementation of decentralized WRRFs. However, this ubiquitously observed trend raises the question about the degree of interconnectedness between decentralized and centralized wastewater infrastructure. This conundrum has been analysed by previous studies, although mainly in terms of spatial optimization. Herein, we have further extended such analysis to the temporal domain and have illustrated a set of novel integrated strategies for the dynamic management of hybrid systems comprised of both satellite and centralized WRRFs. The key findings of this study are outlined in the following points: • 4.6. Dry-weather and wet-weather RTC The case study presented herein is characterized by a sewer network that is separate from the storm drainage system. Therefore, the proposed RTC strategy is not expected to be significantly influenced during wet weather events. However, for combined sewer systems (CSSs) or separate sewer systems with a high degree of rainfall derived infiltration and inflow (RDII), it is expected that the dry-weather load shifting RTC strategies proposed here would need to be temporarily suspended throughout the wetweather event or until normal sewer flowrates are re-established. Moreover, during heavy precipitation events a possible alternative would be to switch to a wet-weather RTC that instead focuses on minimizing CSOs and reducing the impact on receiving water bodies. Therefore, future studies should address the feasibility of alternating between dry-weather and wet-weather integrated RTC strategies when considering hybrid systems served by a CSS or by systems with high levels of RDII. • • • • 4.7. Limitations and future studies Several aspects surrounding the dynamic analysis of hybrid wastewater treatment systems have not been investigated in this paper, and thus require further examination. Firstly, the analysis herein incorporates specific process models that are characteristic of the case study considered. Hence, future studies on dynamic load strategies of hybrid systems should investigate the improvements that can be achieved in terms of carbon emissions, energy, and costs under different combinations of process configurations at each facility. Secondly, this study considered a gravity driven non-reactive sewer trunk model, which allows the significant simplification of the overall model complexity. However, in reality, biochemical transformations taking place in the sewer system will influence the composition of the wastewater during its transit in the sewer lines. Future studies can provide a complementary contribution to this We introduce for the first time the analysis of dynamic load shifting strategies for a hybrid system of 8 WRRFs using sitespecific data and wastewater treatment process models. Our analysis reveals an untapped opportunity to lower greenhouse gas emissions, power demand, energy use, and costs by dynamically shifting the influent loads among hydraulically connected facilities. Three different load scheduling strategies are identified, each tailored for a specific goal. These are: demand response services, centralized flow equalization, and greenhouse gas emission offset. The load shifting strategy used to improve the performance metrics in each of the three scenarios (i.e., GHG emissions, energy, and costs), constitutes a relatively simple approach, which is based on a scheduled influent flow set-point control operation. The intrinsic simplicity of the proposed approach offers an appealing feature as it can be easily applied to real systems without the need for complex operations or infrastructure upgrades. Our study suggests that a certain degree of hydraulic interconnection between WRRFs can broaden their collective operational flexibility. In general, this paper invites wastewater treatment facilities that would normally operate in isolation to pursue integrated dynamic strategies that align with mutually shared goals which benefit the system as a whole. Therefore, analogous to smart energy grids, the dynamic interaction between connected wastewater treatment facilities presented here would provide an important step toward the achievement of a corresponding smart water grid. Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. 14 S. Reifsnyder, F. Cecconi and D. Rosso Water Research 200 (2021) 117224 Acknowledgments systems for life-cycle energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Environ. Sci. Technol. 50, 13184–13194. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b02386. 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