HISTORY MATCHING Definition: History matching is the process of modifying some of the reservoir model data until a reasonable comparison (match) is obtained between the observed history data and simulator results. Objectives: The primary objectives of history matching are to improve and validate the simulation model so that it can be used with confidence to predict the future performance of the reservoir. PARAMETERS THAT ARE MATCHED Average Reservoir Pressure Field Total Production Rates Well Production Rates - Water rate - Gas rate Average Well Pressure Well Flowing Bottom Hole Pressure PARAMETERS THAT CAN BE MODIFIED Fluid properties Relative permeability - Change end point values - Change shape of curve Capillary pressure data PARAMETERS THAT CAN BE MODIFIED Reservoir description data - Permeability - Porosity - Thickness PARAMETERS THAT CAN BE MODIFIED Well completion data Productivity index Initial fluid contacts - Oil-water contact - Gas-Oil contact AVERAGE RESERVOIR PRESSURE MATCH 1 dV Re ctotol 1 Qtotal ∆t ceff = − = = V dp Vp ∆ p Vp ∆ p ( Q o Bo + Q w B w + Q g B g ) ∆ t Qtotal ∆t ∆p= = c eff V p ( S o c o + S w c w + S g c g + c f )V p Influencing parameters: 1. Fluid volumes: Porosity, thickness, oil-water and gas-oil contacts 2. Total fluid withdrawal: Relative permeabilities and oilwater and gas-Oil contacts 3. Compressibilities (co , cw , cg , cf) INDIVIDUAL WELLS AVERAGE PRESSURE MATCH After the average reservoir pressure match, adjust the permeability locally (around the wells) to obtain a match for the individual wells average pressure. - The simulator provides a pressure for the cell where the well is located. - A pressure buildup test provides a pressure for the drainage area of the well. PRESSURE BUILD-UP DATA 2600 Shut-in pressure 2400 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1 10 (tp+∆t)/∆t 100 AVERAGE WELL PRESSURE CORRECTIONS Adjustments of Observed Pressure Data a) Build-up pressure data is available: The shut-in pressure from build-up should be taken at shut-in time, ∆ts ∆ts = (33.8 ϕ µ ct/k) (∆x2 + ∆y2) The well block pressure is the same as pws at ∆t = ∆ts AVERAGE WELL PRESSURE CORRECTIONS b) Shut-in pressure is measured at one shut-in time, ∆tm: Correct pws by: ∆pws = [162.6 Qo Bo µo /kh] log(∆ts/∆tm) pws at ∆tm should be on the straight line of the Horner build-up plot ∆tm < 4.06x106 ϕ µ ct A/k A = Drainage area of the well (acres) PRODUCTION RATES MATCH Match the water and gas production rates. Parameters that can be adjusted: 1. Permeability, thickness, oil-water and gas-oil contacts 2. Relative permeabilities (end points and shape of the curves) WELL MODEL Producer: Q = Oil production rate ∆y Pcell = Grid cell average pressure pwf = Flowing bottom hole pressure S = Skin factor ro = 0.14 (∆x) 2 + (∆y ) 2 0.00708 k h PI = ln(ro / rw ) + S ∆x PRODUCTION RATES MATCH Qo = PIλ o ( p cell − p wf ) Q w = PIλ w ( p cell − p wf ) Q g = [ PIλ o ( p cell − p wf )]Rso + PIλ g ( p cell − p wf ) k λ o = ro µ o Bo WOR = k rw λw = µ w Bw λg = λ Qw = w λo Qo Q w = WOR Qo λ o Rso + λ g λg = = Rso + GOR = λo λo Qo Qg Q g = GOR Qo k rg µ g Bg FLOWING BOTTOM HOLE PRESSURES After the average wells pressure and production rates match, adjust the individual wells productivity index to obtain a flowing bottom hole pressure match. Qo = PIλo ( p cell − pwf ) pwf = pcell k ro λo = µ o Bo Qo − PIλo INJECTION BOTTOM HOLE PRESSURES Gas Injector: Qg = PI λT (Pinj – Pcell) Pinj = Pcell + Qg / [PI λT] Water Injector: Qw = PI λT (Pinj – Pcell) Pinj = Pcell + Qw / [PI λT] λT = (kro/µoBo) + (krw/µwBw + (krg/µgBg) History of Oil Production Rate Oil Rate (STB/D) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1 2 3 Time (years) 4 History Matching Parameters that were varied OWC Thickness Permeability Porosity Productivity index Effect of OWC on Average Reservoir Pressure 2100 OWC = 6857 2000 OWC = 6852 1900 OWC = 6862 1800 1700 1600 1500 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of OWC on Water Rate 600 OWC = 6857 OWC = 6852 OWC = 6862 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 T ime (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Thickness on Average Reservoir Pressure 2100 Thickness = Base Case 2000 Thickness = 0.95* Base Case Thickness = 1.05*Base Case 1900 1800 1700 1600 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 T ime (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Thickness on Water Rate Water Rate (STB/D) 300 250 200 Thickness = Base Case 150 Thichness = 0.95*Base Case Thichness = 1.05*Base Case 100 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 T ime (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Permeability on Average Reservoir Pressure 2100 Permeability = Base Case Permeability = 0.8* Base Case 2000 Permeability = 1.2*Base Case 1900 1800 1700 1600 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Permeability on Average Well Pressure Pressure (psia) 2000 Permeability=Base Case Permeability=0.8*Base Case Permeability=1.2*Base Case 1900 1800 1700 1600 1500 1400 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Permeability on Water Rate 300 250 200 Permeability = Base Case Permeability = 0.8*Base Case Permeability = 1.2*Base Case 150 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 T ime (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Porosity on Average Reservoir Pressure 2100 Porosity = Base Case Poroslity = 0.9*Base Case Poosiity = 1.1*Base Case 2000 1900 1800 1700 1600 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time (years) 3 3.5 4 Effect of Formation Porosity on Water Rate 300 250 200 Porosity = Base Case Porosity = 0.9*Base Case Porosity = 1.1*Base Case 150 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time (years) 3 3.5 4 Pressure (psia) Effect of Productivity Index on Flowing Bottom Hole Pressure 1600 PI = 2.5 PI = 2.0 PI = 3.0 1400 1200 1000 800 600 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time (years) 3 3.5 4