SASHI VARTA SHARMA HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS: IMPLICATIONS FOR RESEARCH ABSTRACT. Concerns about students’ difficulties in statistical reasoning led to a study which explored form five (14- to 16-year-olds) students’ ideas in this area. The study focussed on descriptive statistics, graphical representations, and probability. This paper presents and discusses the ways in which students made sense of information in graphical representations (tables and bar graph) obtained from the individual interviews. The findings revealed that many of the students used strategies based on prior experiences (everyday and school) and intuitive strategies. From the analysis, I identified a fourcategory rubric for classifying students’ responses. While the results of the study confirm a number of findings of other researchers, the findings go beyond those discussed in the literature. While students could read and compare data presented in a bar graph, they were less competent at reading tables. This could be due to instructional neglect of these concepts or linguistic and contextual problems. The paper concludes by suggesting some implications for researchers. KEY WORDS: beliefs, experiences, high school students, interpretation of tables and graphs, interviews, statistical thinking In recent years statistics has gained increased attention in our society. Decisions concerning business, industry, employment, sports, health, law and opinion polling are made using an understanding of statistical information (Scheaffer, 2000). Paralleling these trends, there has been a movement in many countries to include statistics at every level in the mathematics curricula. In western countries such as Australia (Australian Education Council, 1991), New Zealand (Ministry of Education, 1992) and the United Kingdom (Holmes, 1994) these developments are reflected in official documents and in materials produced for teachers. In line with these moves, Fiji has also produced a new mathematics prescription at the primary level that gives more emphasis to statistics at this level (Fijian Ministry of Education, 1994). The use of relevant contexts and drawing on students’ experiences and understandings is recommended for enhancing the students’ understanding of statistics (Gal, 1998; Watson, 2000; Watson & Callingham, 2003). For instance, Watson and Callingham write that Bstatistical literacy is incomplete without the opportunity to engage with genuine social contexts, particularly such as International Journal of Science and Mathematics Education (2006) 4: 241Y268 # National Science Council, Taiwan 2005 242 SASHI VARTA SHARMA those found in media items^ (p. 21). Clearly the emphasis in these documents is on producing intelligent citizens who can reason with statistical ideas and make sense of statistical information. Lajioe & Romberg (1998) write that in spite of its decade long presence in curricular reform in mathematics education, statistics is an area still in its infancy. Research shows that many students find statistics difficult to learn and understand in both formal and everyday contexts and that we need to better understand how learning and understanding may be influenced by ideas and intuitions developed in early years (Biehler, 1997; Friel, Curcio & Bright, 2001; Gal & Garfield, 1997; Mevarech & Kramarsky, 1997; Shaughnessy & Zawojewski, 1999). Most of the research in statistics has been done at the primary levels or with tertiary level students. Although there is a growing body of research at the lower secondary level there still appears a gap in our knowledge about students’ conceptions of statistics at the upper secondary level. Additionally, for many teachers statistics continues to be a content area in which they have little experience since it has only recently become a core area on some curricula. And perhaps more traditional mathematics teaching skills do not transfer into this new domain. This may be due in part to the fact that mathematics is so often taught as a subject focused on procedures. In statistics surely it is even more helpful than in other areas of mathematics to place the emphasis on helping students learn to formulate questions, gather data, and use data wisely in solving real problems. In order to help inform teachers and curriculum designers, it appears to be crucial to carry out investigations at the secondary level. Concerns about the importance of statistics in everyday life and in schools, the lack of research in this area and students’ difficulties in statistical reasoning, determined the focus of my study. Overall, the study was designed to investigate the ideas Form Five students have about statistics (descriptive statistics, graphical representations and probability), and how do they construct these. This paper presents and discusses data obtained from the graphical representation tasks (tables and bar graph). I shall briefly mention the theoretical framework and some examples of the work focusing on the graphical representation data by students before turning to the results of my own study. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK Much recent research suggests that socio-cultural theories combined with elements of constructivist theory provide a useful model of how students HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 243 learn mathematics. Constructivist theory in its various forms, is based on a generally agreed principle that learners actively construct ways of knowing as they strive to reconcile present experiences with already existing knowledge (von Glasersfeld, 1993). Students are no longer viewed as passive absorbers of mathematical knowledge conveyed by adults; rather they are considered to construct their own meanings actively by reformulating the new information or restructuring their prior knowledge (Cobb, 1994). However, this active construction process may result in alternative views as well as the student learning the concepts intended by the teacher. The research on students’ interpretation of tables and graphs (Curcio, 1987; Estepa, Bataneo & Sanchez, 1999; Gal, 1998; Shaughnessy & Zawojewski, 1999) provide evidence of the construction process. The researchers report that students are likely to have beliefs about the features of tables and graphs that are different from what is expected. Another notion of constructivism derives its origins from the work of socioYcultural theorists such as Vygotsky (1978) and Lave (1991) who suggest that learning should be thought of more as the product of a social process and less as an individual activity. There is strong emphasis on social interactions, language, experience, collaborative learning environments, catering for cultural diversity and contexts for learning in the learning process rather than cognitive ability only. Research on graphing (Cobb, 2002; Roth, 2004) indicate that a socioYcultural perspective towards graphing may avoid the deficiencies of a cognitive model. Mevarech & Kramarsky (1997) claim that the extensive exposure of our students to statistical graphs outside schools may create a unique situation where students enter the mathematics class with considerable amount of graphing knowledge. This means that during the teaching and learning process, students draw inferences about the new information presented to them by relating to some aspect of this prior knowledge to develop a deeper meaning for statistical concepts. This research was therefore designed to identify students’ ideas, and to examine how they construct them. RESEARCH ON ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF TABLES AND GRAPHS Curcio & Artzt (1997) state that the ability to interpret and predict from data presented in graphical form is a higher-order skill that is important in our technological society. Curcio and Artzt’s focus on graphical representations is consistent with the views of Gal (2002), Gal & Garfield (1997) and the Ministry of Education (1992). A stated aim of the Mathematics in New Zealand Curriculum (Ministry of Education, 1992), for 244 SASHI VARTA SHARMA example, is to provide opportunities for students to interpret data in charts, tables, and graphs of various kinds. Gal & Garfield (1997) suggest that since most students are more likely to be consumers of data rather than researchers, they need to learn to interpret results from statistical investigations and pose critical and reflective questions about reported data. Clearly reading, interpreting, and using data from tables and graphs are important cognitive skills for all. Pfannkuch & Rubick (2002) write that little research appears to have been conducted on students’ construction and interpretation of statistical data tables. This claim is consistent with the views expressed by Friel, Curcio & Bright (2001). All these authors add that this lack of research raises questions about how students perceive data presented in data graphs and tables. Biehler (1997) analysed senior secondary students’ efforts to compare data sets. The students in this study were presented with raw data sets and the software Datascope and asked to produce any appropriate summaries or graphs. Biehler found that students frequently dealt with messy tabular data than thinking that they would see more structure in the data through graphical representation. In addition, he was concerned about students’ abilities to interpret information, express it verbally and consider alternatives. Estepa, Bataneo & Sanchez (1999) studied how senior secondary students compared two small data sets with numeric values presented in tables. One of the questions was based on ten beforeYafter measurements of blood pressure involving a medical treatment, and the other was based on blood sugar levels of 10 boys and 10 girls. These authors classified the students’ strategies into three categories; correct, partially correct and incorrect strategies. Some of the correct strategies were: comparing means, comparing totals, and comparing the two distributions. The partially correct strategies included finding out the difference for all pair wise cases and taking into account exceptional cases. Three incorrect strategies included comparing highest and lowest values, comparing ranges and basing conclusions on previously held theories or beliefs about the context of the data set. A number of research studies from different theoretical perspectives seem to show that students are particularly weak in drawing inferences and predicting from graphs (Asp, Dowsey & Hollingsworth, 1994; Bright & Friel, 1998; Curcio, 1987; Pereira-Mendoza & Mellor, 1991). Curcio (1987) studied graph comprehension strategies of fourth and seventh grade students and identified three levels of graph comprehension which relate to the kinds of tasks graphs can be used to address. These levels are: reading the data involving simple extraction of values, reading between the data involving comparing values, and reading beyond the HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 245 data. Curcio suggested that children should be actively involved in collecting the data and then describe the relationships and patterns that they observe in the sets of data that they have collected. These extended experiences will help students to read data competently. Meanwhile, other writers have recognised that for students to effectively utilise graphs it is not sufficient for them to just be able to directly read information from a graph; they should be able to analyse and interpret from data and graphs in social settings. For instance, Pereira-Mendoza (1995, p. 2) notes: While drawing a graph and answering factual or low level interpretative questions are components of developing graphical skills, these are not the only components. In fact, in terms of the ability to use graphs in problem-solving situations or to analyse critically data in newspapers, on television or in other documents, these are the least important components. The above issues were addressed in some detail in the PereiraMendoza & Mellor study (1991). Here 121 grade 4 students and 127 grade 6 students were questioned on 12 different graphs, covering real/ familiar topics such as height of children. Each graph consisted of three questions, a literal question, an interpretation question, and a prediction question. Although there were very few problems with the literal reading of graphs, there were major problems with the interpretation questions and the prediction questions. The analysis indicated two main sources of errors: data arrangement and the fact that the information was not shown on the graph. Another common difficulty students experienced was going beyond the graph; they could not give an answer because the information was not on the graph. Similarly, Asp et al. (1994) described a preliminary study into primary and post-primary students’ understanding of pictographs and bar graphs. They reported that students had fairly welldeveloped skills in reading, interpreting and predicting from graphs, and that these increased with ability level and peer level. Nevertheless, the students still experienced difficulty related to prior knowledge, missing data, scale and pattern. Bright & Friel (1998) conducted a study of the ways that students in grades 6, 7, and 8 make sense of information in bar graphs. They explored ideas of reading the data, combining and comparing graphs and predicting from data on the following task. A class of students has been collecting information about themselves. One question that they wanted to find out was how many children each person in class had in his/her family. 246 SASHI VARTA SHARMA First, the subjects were shown a graph of unordered data and asked to find out how many children were in all the families in the class altogether. Next, the researchers gave them a new graph (Figure 1) and asked their subjects to study this new graph for a few minutes and describe how they can find out how many students are in the class. The researchers report that although these students had been exposed to many different bar graphs during both in-school and out-of-school experiences, they were not highly successful at answering questions that required higher order thinking skills. The students tended to want to move quickly to manipulation of information or seemed to be interpreting graphs in ways that were inconsistent with clear understanding of the underlying principles. The researchers claim that the process of data reduction and the structure of graphs are factors that influence graph knowledge. Bright & Friel (1998) argue that tables may play an important role as an intervening representation that can smooth the transition between representing raw and reduced data. Summary of Findings Mathematics educators should realise that the students they teach are not new slates waiting to have the formal theories of statistical reasoning written upon them. The students already have their own conceptions and beliefs about statistics and these cannot, as it were, be simply wiped away. If student conceptions are to be addressed in the process of instruction, then it is important for teachers to become familiar with the alternative conceptions that students bring to classes. On the other hand, given the subtleties of interpretations that have been reported, it is unlikely that the research items used in the research described in this section would have discriminated finely enough. Some of the nonstatistical responses addressed in the research literature may actually be Figure 1. Interview question to prove understanding of bar graph. HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 247 due to misinterpretation of the questions and students’ lack of experience at explaining answers. Additionally, students’ difficulty at explaining may have resulted from the researchers’ own lack of clarity about how they expected students to be able to talk about the graphical representation and their corresponding lack of clear criteria for what they expected students to say (Friel Bright, Frieerson & Kader, 1997). Moritz (2003) writes that many tasks to interpret graphs used by researchers involve numerical answers, such as reading values, comparing values, and predicting values. Watson (2001) suggests a research design that involves both visual and numerical presentation of data to explore if the original presentation of data influence the techniques that students use for their analysis. Interpretation from tables and graphs include not only numerical interpretations, but also opinion statements, such as those suggested by Gal (1998; 2002) and Pereira-Mendoza (1995). In order to help inform teachers and curriculum designers, it appears to be crucial to carry out investigations at the secondary level. Such information may help teachers plan learning activities and students overcome their difficulties. In the current interview-based study, both literal reading and opinion questions were used to determine specific student ideas and the factors that contribute to these constructs. The focus on data sense is due to the fact that this is a vital part of being able to use statistics in real world. An overview of the research design follows, after which I will discuss the results of my study. OVERVIEW OF THE STUDY The secondary school selected for the research was a typical Fijian high school. The sample consisted of a class of 29 students aged 14 to 16 years of which 19 were girls and 10 were boys. According to the teacher, none of the students in the sample had received any in-depth instruction on statistics prior to the first interviews. The whole class participated in the first phase of interviews, and due to time constraints 14 students participated in the second phase during which the class teacher taught a unit on statistics and probability (see Form V of Appendix 1). This group of 14 was representative of the larger group in terms of abilities and gender. The data reported in this paper comes from the second phase interviews. Tasks To explore the full range of students’ thinking about graphical representations, open-ended questions to do with tables and bar graph were 248 SASHI VARTA SHARMA selected and adapted from those used by other researchers. The task comparing temperatures of Ba and Sigatoka (Item 1) was used to elicit the students’ ideas about reading and interpreting tables. It involves a context which was familiar to students. The particular numbers chosen for the table were hypothetical data that I happened to come across and hence each day, the temperature for Ba is higher than for Sigatoka. The students were not told whether the given temperatures were taken at the same time of day, or were maxima or minima. This was done deliberately to see whether students would consider the validity of the data. The first question about whether Ba is warmer than Sigatoka was used to explore if students could read tables. The second question, What else do these figures reveal about the temperatures in Sigatoka and Ba? attempted to find if students could interpret tables. Students could draw conclusions about the temperatures of the two towns by comparing appropriate measures or finding patterns. For instance, it got colder over the first three days in both towns and then warmed up on the next two days. In contrast to the first question, this question requires engagement with the overall pattern of data and consolidation of mathematical and statistical understanding. Item 1: Task Comparing Temperatures of Ba and Sigatoka. Temperatures (in degrees C) were taken from Sigatoka and Ba on six consecutive days. (1) Look at the temperatures from both the towns and decide if Ba is warmer than Sigatoka. How do you know? Can you explain your answer? (2) What else do these figures reveal about the temperatures in Sigatoka and Ba? Can you summarise the information in another way? Can you explain your answer? Day Sigatoka Ba 1 2 3 4 5 6 25 28 24 27 21 26 20 25 23 29 24 30 The graph relating to the height of several Sharma children (Item 2) was used to examine students’ understandings of bar graphs. This context again was familiar to the students, in that it concerns the heights of four children in a family. The first question was designed to explore student ability in literal reading of bar graphs. The question required HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 249 students to lift numbers from specific locations in the graph or compare two such numbers. In explaining their answers to this question, students had to simply point to a data point in the graph. In short, answers to literal reading questions are simple and can be unambiguously classified as either right or wrong. The second question explored student ability in answering questions requiring higher order statistical skills. Responses demand qualitative descriptions rather than numerical answers. Item 2: Height of Sharma Children. The following graph shows the height of four of the Sharma children, ages 4, 8, 13, and 19. (1) How tall is the 4-year-old? How do you know? How much shorter is the 4-year-old than the 19-year-old? How did you work that out? (2) A fifth child in the family is 10 years old. Can you tell how tall the 10-year-old is? Explain your answer. The appropriateness of the above interview tasks for the Fijian students was established by checking the tasks with the class teacher and the HOD mathematics at the school. Interviews Each student was interviewed individually by myself in a room away from the rest of the class. During the interview, care was taken to avoid 250 SASHI VARTA SHARMA leading the students towards any particular viewpoint, so responses to questions were accepted as they were given and probing questions were asked simply to clarify the reasons for what the student thought. I believed that this approach would allow students to demonstrate statistical understanding and questioning which would not have been possible in a multiple-choice format. The interviews were tape recorded TABLE I Characteristics of the four categories of responses Response type Comparing temperatures (Item 1) Comparing heights (Item 2) Non-response Complete silence, I don’t know, I have forgotten the rule (Both questions) Complete silence, I don’t know, I have forgotten the rule (Both questions) Non-statistical responses Refer to everyday and school experiences or make inappropriate connections with other learning areas Linguistic and reading problems Could not explain response (Both questions) Repeat previous response (Q2) Vague or incomplete responses Refer to everyday and school experiences or make inappropriate connections with other learning areas Linguistic and reading problems (Both questions) Partial-statistical responses Refers to one or two data points Compare columns (Both questions) Inconsistent reasoning (Q2) Adapted the rules or applied them inappropriately (Q2) Read heights accurately but could not compare values (Q1) Adapted or applied rules inappropriately (Both questions) Inappropriately forcing a pattern on the graph or alternatively not identifying a pattern when it existed (Q2) Statistical responses Pointing to both rows (Q1) Able to generalise all information (Q1) Comparing mean or range (Q2) Comparing highest and lowest temperatures (Q2) Finding patterns-temperatures steadily increase (Q2) Comparing differences (Q2) Read and compare values with accuracy and point to the appropriate data point (Q1) Refer to the height of the 8-year-old and the 13-year-old and express the answer in a provisional way using words like about, between or probably (Q2) Recognise that information is not given in the graph (Q2) HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 251 for analysis. Each interview lasted about 40 to 50 min. Paper, pencil and a calculator were provided for the student if he or she needed it. ANALYSIS OF DATA The data analysis was conducted using the transcripts which were read and re-read by myself. Analysis of the transcripts indicated that the students used a variety of intuitive strategies to explain their thinking. The data also revealed that many of the students held beliefs and used strategies based on prior knowledge. I created a simple four category rubric that could be helpful for describing research results relating to students’ statistical conceptions, planning instruction and dissemination of findings to mathematics educators. The four categories in the rubric are: non response, non-statistical, partial-statistical and statistical. These are described in Table I. The non-statistical responses were based on beliefs and experiences while the students using the partial-statistical responses applied rules and procedures inappropriately or referred to intuitive strategies. The term statistical is used in this paper for the appropriate responses. However, I am aware that such a term is not an absolute one. Students possess interpretations and representations which may be situation specific and hence these ideas have to be considered in their own right. Statistical simply means what is usually accepted in standard mathematics text-books in Fiji. It would be reasonable to assume another category (advanced-statistical), equivalent to Shaughnessy’s (1992) pragmatical statistical level, where students appear to have a very complete view that incorporates questioning of data but the need for such a category did not arise in my research and any responses that could have been categorised as advanced-statistical were simply grouped with the statistical responses. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS This section reports data on students’ understanding of tables and bar graphs. The main focus is on the non-statistical responses (in which students made inappropriate connections with learning in other areas) and the partial-statistical responses (in which students applied rules and procedures inappropriately, referred to some data points without generalising to all information or forced patterns on data). In each of 252 SASHI VARTA SHARMA these sections the types of responses are summarised and the ways in which the students explained their thinking is described. Extracts from typical individual interviews are used for illustrative purposes. Throughout the discussion, I is used for the interviewer and Sn for the nth student. Interview Responses About Interpreting Tables Response types for the comparing temperatures task (Item 1) are summarised in Table II. Table II reveals that while there were two non-responses for the interpretation question, there were no non-responses for the reading task. At the statistical end, while nine students could read tables, only four could both read and interpret tables. One possible explanation for these differences in reading and interpreting tables could be a lack of emphasis in classrooms on interpreting tables (see Appendix 1). Since the students lacked experiences in interpreting tables, they were more likely to use the non-response and non-statistical categories. The students who were classified statistical on the interpretation task considered all data points and were also able to draw valid conclusions from the data using appropriate measures. For instance, one student stated that the highest temperature in Sigatoka was the same as the lowest temperature in Ba. Non-Statistical Responses. Five students used non-statistical responses for both the questions. The non-statistical category consisted of students who mostly related the data to their everyday experiences in nonstatistical ways. Of the five students who gave non-statistical replies on TABLE II Response types for the task comparing temperatures (n = 14) Number of students using it Response type Task (1) Reading tables Task (2) Interpreting tables [Both tasks] Non-response Y 2 Y Non-statistical Partial-statistical 5 Y 5 3 [5] Y Statistical 9 4 [4] HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 253 the first task, four based their reasoning on their everyday experiences. The students said Ba was warmer than Sigatoka and when asked to explain their answer talked about the everyday weather conditions of Ba and Sigatoka. Student 21 appeared to be inconsistent in his explanations. Each day the temperature for Ba is greater than the temperature for Sigatoka. And normally Sigatoka is called a valley. They are producing fruits; it rains there. My one uncle is there. He mainly plants Chinese cabbages; because of the rain it grows so well there. The initial answer (in the first sentence) is a reasonable response. However, in the next sentence the student goes off tangent. The student ignores the thrust of the question, which is about comparing temperatures of two towns and instead talks about weather conditions. Student 9 said Sigatoka was warmer than Ba because the temperatures for Sigatoka were lower than the temperatures for Ba. Even when questioned, the student did not change her explanation. It is possible that the student had language difficulties. She may have confused warm with cold. However, I did make an attempt to explain the terms in vernacular as well as in English by using an example of cold and warm water. When asked to explain what else the figures revealed about the temperatures in the two towns, student 9 continued to talk about Sigatoka being warmer than Ba because every day the Sigatoka temperature was lower. The other four students continued to base their reasoning on everyday experiences. For example, student 3 explained, Yes, because as I told before Sigatoka is a rainy place. It hardly rains in Ba. Although this study provides evidence that reliance upon previous experience can result in biased, non-statistical responses, in some cases this strategy may provide useful information for other purposes. For example, student 21’s knowledge of geography may have been reasonable. The student has drawn on relevant common sense information. Gal (1998) suggests that such opinions constitute what students know about the world, they cannot be judged as inappropriate until a students’ assumptions about the context of the data are fully explored. The responses raise further questions. Is there a weakness in the wording of this task in that it is completely open-ended and does not focus the students to draw on other relevant knowledge? For instance, the item involves a context which would allow students to reach the same conclusion using the data about temperatures in the table or using their everyday knowledge about the temperatures in two familiar towns. The wording of part (1) of the 254 SASHI VARTA SHARMA task is not very explicit either. For example, the students were not told whether the given temperatures were taken at the same time of day, or were maxima or minima. This lack of information could have prevented students drawing on tabular data because the data set did not make sense to them. Partial-Statistical Responses. Students’ responses that were classified as partial-statistical on the task involving interpretation of tables (What else do these figures reveal about the temperatures of Sigatoka and Ba?) simply repeated the responses they had given for the first item. Some looked at the data and made some type of visual comparison. For example, student 17 said, Ba is warmer . . . Just by looking at the numbers, just to say that this is more than Sigatoka. The student chose one of the temperatures in Ba and compared it with one of the days in Sigatoka. It seems the student noticed some features of the table yet had trouble integrating them into a coherent picture, and so chose to report about only a few of the details examined. A possible way of using the table would be to take account of all the temperatures it contains. For example, the student could have compared the differences in temperatures in Ba and Sigatoka over the period and noted a steady increase in the differences. It must be noted that the wording of this question may have confused some students. The students were not sure of what to do, whether to apply statistical techniques or draw some conclusions and hence they did not respond statistically. Interview Responses About Reading and Predicting from Bar Graphs Responses types for the bar graph (Item 2) are summarised in Table III. Unlike Item 1, none of the students’ responses were classified in the non-statistical category for the bar graph. In part (1) students were asked to read off heights from the graph. This is a fairly standard mathematical task and does not require students to draw on other knowledge. Moreover, the context for Item 2 concerns a fictional family so students cannot make use of prior knowledge about specific family members. Although the responses of all 14 students were classified as statistical on the first question, only five students did not attempt to impose a pattern or give a specific numerical answer on the second. These five realised that their answer could not be an absolute number but would have to be expressed in some provisional way. Like the interpretation of tables (Item 1), one ex- HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 255 TABLE III Response types for the task involving height of Sharma children (n = 14) Number of students using it Response type Task (1) Reading graphs Task (2) Predicting graphs [Both tasks] Non-response Y Y Y Non-statistical Y Y Y Partial-statistical Y 7 Y Statistical 14 7 [7] planation for these differences could be a lack of emphasis in classrooms on interpreting graphs (see Appendix 1). Since the students lacked experiences in interpreting graphs, their responses were more likely to be in the partial-statistical categories. Partial-Statistical Responses. Half the students were classified as using partial-statistical approaches for the second item. When rules were applied inappropriately, non-existent patterns imposed or no patterns seen, or exact answer to the question given, the responses were categorised as partial-statistical (see Table I). The data revealed that one student, student 6, applied the rule for finding the mean in an inappropriate way. When asked to predict the height of a 10-year-old from the bar graph, the student used the add-them-all-and-divide algorithm. The student added all the heights given in the bar graph, divided by 5 and got 84 cm! Even further probing by the researcher did not have any positive effect on the student’s reasoning. Misinterpretations were caused by students forcing a pattern on the graph or not seeing the pattern. When asked to predict the height of the 10-year-old, three students tried to force a pattern on the bar graph. Student 14 justified this pattern in terms of a going up explanation. She said that it might be 130 cm because the first one is 100 cm and the 8-year-old is 120 cm. The 10-year-old might be 130 cm. The trend continues, 100, 120 and 130. The other two students cited the absence of a pattern as the reason for their inability to predict. This occurred even in cases where any attempt to search for a pattern made no conceptual sense. The students believed that a pattern must exist and consequently their inability to find the pattern resulted in their failure to offer any prediction. For example, when asked to predict a 10-year-old’s height, 256 SASHI VARTA SHARMA student 20 said that he could not predict since there was no pattern on the x-axis. During the interview, the student continued to protect his flawed thinking rather than admit something was wrong. I: S20: I: S20: I: S20: A fifth child in the family is 10 years old. Can you tell how tall the 10-year-old is? Could be 180 cm because here [meaning 4-year-old] they are increasing by 20 cm. So the 10-year-old is taller than the 19-year-old? Age 10 . . . Oh I thought the fifth child. You can’t tell from the graph. Why do you say that? Because it goes by age 4, age 8, age 13. If it was from age 4, age 5 and age 6 you can locate how they range. It seems that the student believed that graphs have to show a more definitive pattern and he was unhappy about the arrangement of categories on the x-axis. The belief that graphs must have patterns seems to be related to other areas of the mathematics curriculum where recognition of patterns is stressed, as well as from specific experiences with graphs in social contexts. Three students gave numerical answers. After being alerted that an opinion was called for, rather than an exact mathematical response, they did not realise that their answers could not be absolute numbers but would have to be expressed in some provisional way. Two students placed the 10-year-old on the x-axis halfway between the 8-year-old and the 13-year-old and predicted the height as the corresponding point on the y-axis as 130. The other student talked in terms of the 10-year-old being the middle of the height of the 8-year-old and the 13-year-old, hence 120 + 140 and divide by 2. It appears that the student tended to worry most about What do I do? Rather than What does this information mean? These students appear to focus only on numbers, and ignore quantity types. For example, the height was read as 130. This emphasizes how much but ignores of what. It must be acknowledged that the limited use of statistical techniques in my interviews may be a consequence of a classroom mathematics culture that asks questions with a single answer. It takes considerable self-confidence to say something like I think the answer might be between 120 and 140 cm or even to say You can’t tell from the graph because that piece of information isn’t there. Furthermore, Gal (1998) states that suggesting to students that a judgment is called for, rather than a precise mathematical response, will make students think more about data and not look straight away for some numbers to crunch. It appears that this strategy might not work for students who lack experience in explaining their answers or have strong beliefs about statistics. HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 257 Graphical Representations: A Broader Context Interpreting Tables and Graphs. The finding that while students can read tables and graphs, they have difficulty drawing inferences from tables and graphs is consistent with the results reported by Bright & Friel (1998) and Gal (1998). These researchers found that while students had few difficulties with the literal reading of graphs, they were often unsuccessful in answering questions requiring higher order cognitive skills such as interpreting and predicting. The findings of this study add to the literature which reveals that while students can read bar graphs, they experience difficulty in reading tables Y although the main influence could be the lack of emphasis the teachers put on the reading of tables. The use of simple summary statistics such as comparing totals and means for small samples were used frequently in Estepa et al. study (1999). In the current study, even after probing, very few students used these techniques. A possible explanation for this could be that the contexts for comparing the two data sets were quite different and the students were different ages with different statistical backgrounds, hence the strategies employed were different. Moreover, students in my study could have faced language difficulties. For instance, the term summarise (Item 1) could have presented a linguistic problem as there are two perfectly reasonable interpretations. In everyday language, it may mean main points whereas in statistics it can be used more precisely to refer to measures of spread and centre. Forcing Patterns. The belief that graphs must have patterns (Item 2) is consistent with the findings of Asp et al. (1994) and Pereira-Mendoza & Mellor (1991). Pereira-Mendoza and Mellor found that students have a tendency to impose patterns on data. They researched grade four and grade six students’ understanding of the information conveyed by bar graphs and found that errors involving pattern arrangement of the data occurred in similar frequencies for both grades. The interview results question the knowledge transfer theories. Students’ tendency to force patterns may be attributed to negative transfer (Mevarech & Kramarsky, 1997). Students in my research initially learned to construct and interpret function graphs for which recognition of patterns is stressed and they translated these competencies to read the bar graph. It is possible that negative transfer led some students to mistakenly conclude that all graphs must have patterns. Another explanation is that the students are not able to balance statistical applications and context (Friel et al., 2001). For example, context outweighed statistical principles in the students’ 258 SASHI VARTA SHARMA mind, they ignored the data and related to their personal or other school experiences. Rules and Procedures. Although the teacher had taught finding averages (mean, median and mode) in a number of ways, including frequency distribution tables and cumulative frequency graphs, the students appeared to have muddled views as to how to apply these rules. For instance, while students could work out the summary statistics involved in simple data sets, they did not appreciate its significance or usefulness when dealing with data tables (Item 1). Alternatively, they applied the mean and other algorithmic procedures inappropriately to the comparing heights questions (Item 2). The findings are consistent with the results of Cobb (2002). Data analysis for most of the seventh graders involved manipulating numbers in a relatively procedural way without addressing the question at hand. It appears that the limited nature of school instruction in statistics does not provide students with opportunities to refine their concepts and resolve ambiguities. The students learn statistics as a set of rules without learning the meaningful contexts in which they should be applied. Teachers assume that students who learn to process data can transfer these skills to interpreting and developing a critical attitude to information. However, if graph comprehension is embedded in contextual settings and the shared practical activities of people, students need relevant experiences in which they construct and use graphs to represent phenomena that they have somehow experienced (Roth, 2004 p. 90). Inconsistencies in Reasoning. A number of students could not be identified as using a consistent or pure form of reasoning but rather used a mixture of categories. The explanations given by students were not consistent across the two items. Some students who appeared to reason according to the statistical category on one problem seemed to use the non-statistical category on another. Different displays seemed to induce students to use different approaches. For example, five students were classified as nonstatistical on Item 1 (Table II). However, none of the students made such responses on the second task (Table III). Perhaps the students already knew the answer to the question in Item 1 (i.e., Ba is warmer). In terms of constructivism, researchers and interviewees negotiate the interview situation. The findings indicate that the students and the interviewer in this study had different interpretations of the interview situation. On the other hand, some students used different types of reasoning on the same problem, as illustrated by a student’s response to Item 1. HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 259 Each day the temperature for Ba is greater than the temperature for Sigatoka. And normally Sigatoka is called a valley. They are producing fruits; it rains there. My one uncle is there. He mainly plants Chinese cabbages; because of the rain it grows so well there. The student’s first explanation appears to be influenced by rational element: comparison of individual data. The second explanation reflects a duality of statistical with non-statistical ideas that seemed to be influenced by experience. These inconsistent responses by some students may be accounted for in terms of constructivism. The constructivist framework postulates that students hold mini-theories or well established beliefs when they enter instruction and they connect their new ideas to these (Cobb, 1994; von Glasersfeld, 1993). While learning statistics, students were connecting what was told to them in an active way to achieve deeper understanding but often these connections led to inconsistencies. Prior Experiences. The finding that students base their thinking in statistics on their prior experiences is not new. Moritz (2003) and Chick (2000) report that the thinking of many students in their study was dominated by past experience and this prevented them developing statistical ideas, despite being aware of a trend in the data. In some respects, the findings of the present investigation go beyond those discussed above. The findings demonstrate how students’ other school experiences also influence their construction of statistical ideas. At times the inschool experiences appear to have had a negative effect on the students. An example of negative effect that arose from other school experiences were the students who were deeply convinced that one can only predict from graphs that have a definitive pattern. On the other hand, if meanings and understandings associated with graphing are tied to the specific situations (Lave, 1991), and structured by social situations, student opinions cannot be judged as incorrect (Gal, 1998). Perhaps, it is important to point out to students that there are alternative points of view. For instance, a study on graphing among scientists (Roth, 2004; Roth & Bowen, 2001) shows that when scientists are not familiar with a graph, even if this graph is from introductory textbooks of their own discipline, they often do not arrive at the collectively accepted standard interpretation. Some of the problems they encountered while interpreting graphs were of the same types that have been identified among middle school and high school students. However, these scientists were very competent when it came to read graphs directly related to their own discipline/research because they found 260 SASHI VARTA SHARMA them meaningful. Roth & Bowen (2001) suggested that because of their extensive training, experience and career related success, to accept that these scientists lack graphing skills or suffer from other deficiencies would be difficult. It appears that statistics education should indeed avoid Fbrainwashing_ methods for alternative views are still existent. Interviews. Guided by the constructivist view of learning, individual interviews were used in the study to explore and explain students’ ideas and strategies about reading and interpreting graphs and tables. This approach provided evidence that students often give correct answers for incorrect reasons. For example, interpretations drawn from the data provided were often informed by knowledge drawn from every day life. Indeed such knowledge often replaced inferences based on the data alone. When comparing temperatures (Item 1), four students believed that the temperature of Ba was more than the temperature of Sigatoka. It would be easy to conclude from the responses that the students had a well developed concept of comparing tables. However, the justifications provided by the students indicated that they had no statistical explanations for their responses. None of the explanations indicated any consideration of all the information presented to the students. In some cases students moved from inappropriate strategies to appropriate ones. This could be interpreted as another strength of interviews. During the interviews, students were asked to explain their thought processes and thus reflect on their original and subsequent responses. This made them think about the strategies they had used which at times led them to modify their responses. An example was student 3 who, when asked to find how much shorter the 4-year-old was than the 19-year-old, initially stated 20 cm. Probing of the students’ thinking led to the student deciding that the correct response was 60 cm. However, in some cases students moved from appropriate strategies to inappropriate ones. One of the factors that could have made students change in this way was the students’ experiences as learners at school. Student reasoning is rarely questioned in class, they are questioned when they give wrong answers. It seems probable that in my research, the students interpreted my probing as an indication that something was wrong with their answers and so they quickly switched to a different strategy. Contextual Setting. The results of interview show that although contexts may help students use prior knowledge, such situational knowledge is HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 261 diverse and can also cause misinterpretations of the information in the data display. For instance, student 21’s personalisation of the context brought in various interpretations of the task (Item 1) and inconsistency in his explanations. Probably, the students’ lack of understanding of the constraints imposed by the context distracted him from making a sensible interpretation. Janvier (1981) highlighted that the consideration of situational knowledge increases the number of elements to which graph readers have to attend and hence lead to a different kind of abstraction. Given how statistics is often taught through examples drawn from Freal life_ teachers need to exercise care in ensuring that this intended support apparatus is not counterproductive. This is particularly important in light of current curricula calls for pervasive use of contexts (Meyer, Dekker & Querelle, 2001; Ministry of Education, 1992) and research showing the effects of contexts on students’ ability to solve open ended tasks (Cooper and Dunne, 1999; Sullivan, Zevenbergen & Mousley, 2002). For instance, the study by Cooper and Dunne (across a whole range of school mathematics tasks) found that some pupils have a greater facility in recognising whether they are being asked to play a Fschool maths_ game or an Feveryday life_ game. Conversely, in spite of the importance of relating classroom mathematics to the real world, the results of my research indicate that students frequently fail to connect the mathematics they learn at school with situations in which it is needed. For instance, while students could calculate summary statistics from data sets, they had difficulty summarising data presented in table (Item 1). Clearly, the results support claims made by Lave (1991) that learning for students is situation specific and that that connecting students’ everyday contexts to academic mathematics is not easy. One reason for this could be that when everyday experience and knowledge of the student are connected to school mathematics during the process of contextualizing, a new set of demands is created that requires the students to identify this process of recontextualisation (Dapueto & Parenti, 1999). LIMITATIONS The findings reveal that many of the students used beliefs and personal and social experiences to explain their thinking. It must be acknowledged that the open-ended nature of the tasks and the lack of guidance given to students regarding what was required of them certainly influenced how students explained their understanding. The students may 262 SASHI VARTA SHARMA not have been particularly interested in these types of questions as they are not used to having to describe their reasoning in the classroom. Some students in this sample clearly had difficulty explaining explicitly about their thinking. Students who realised that Ba is warmer than Sigatoka (Item 1A) had a difficult time articulating exactly how data could be used to make a sensible interpretation in such situations. The issues of language use are particularly more important for these students, the students face schooling in a second language that is not spoken at home. Another reason could be that such questions do not appear in external examinations. Instruction in Fiji centers mostly around presentation of short answers of the correct/incorrect type to procedural questions. Although the study provides some valuable insights into the kind of thinking that high school students use, the conclusions cannot claim generality because of a small sample. Additionally, the study was qualitative in emphasis and the results rely heavily on my skills to collect information from students. Some implications for future research are implied by the limitations of this study. IMPLICATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH One direction for further research could be to replicate the present study with more carefully designed research interview and include a larger sample of students from different backgrounds so that conclusions can be generalised. Secondly, this small scale investigation into identifying and describing students’ reasoning has opened up possibilities to do further research at a macro-level on students’ thinking and to develop more explicit rubric for each category of the framework. Such research would validate the framework of response types described in the current study and raise more awareness of the types of thinking that need to be considered when planning instruction and developing students’ statistical thinking. Thirdly, if context is important for graph interpretation, then one needs to consider several elements when designing tasks. First of all, researchers cannot make appropriate assessments without also having some knowledge about the range of embodied experiences in the real world of the learner need to choose tasks where student context knowledge base is good. The interview results show that personalisation of the context can bring in multiple interpretations of tasks and possibly different kinds of conclusions. At this point it is not clear how a learner’s understanding of the context contributes to his/her interpretation of data HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 263 represented in tables and graphs. There is a need to include more items using different contexts in order to explore students’ conceptions of graphs and related contexts in much more depth. While some pupils answered part (1) of Item 1 with reference to the numerical values in the table, others used their prior knowledge about the two towns. It would be interesting to see how easily (or whether) students who argued on the basis of prior knowledge on this question could be persuaded to argue purely on the basis of the numerical data. Future research could incorporate this into the interview procedure to explore this issue in more depth. The picture of students’ thinking in regards to graphical representations is somehow limited because students responded to only one item related to tables and one item related to bar graph. There is a need to include more items using different social contexts in order to explore students’ conceptions of tables and bar graphs in much more depth. Additionally, study of histograms and pie charts are considered important at the upper secondary levels (see Appendix 1). Histograms are often used to organise continuous data whereas a pie chart may be used to efficiently compare data. It would be interesting to explore how changing the context of the representation influences the types of responses exhibited by the students. Researchers can accurately assess their subjects’ understanding through individual interviews. The interview results provide evidence that students often experience difficulty when speaking about tables. However, in the present investigation I overcame these difficulties by restating a task or changing the wording. For instance, some students were not familiar with the word Fsummarise_ in Item 1 and an example of summary statistics was used to clarify the situation. This would have not been possible in a written survey. Another implication relates to culture. Unlike Estepa et al. study (1999), very few students in my study used statistical techniques on Item 1. One explanation for this could be the cultural context. Metz (1997) suggests that to adequately understand students’ cognitive constructions and beliefs, we need to consider the culture in which students participate. Watson & Callingham (2003) note that students in Fother cultural settings_ may respond differently to their Australian counterparts, particularly to context-based items used in their studies. It would be interesting to determine how cultural practices influence conceptions of graph comprehension. Such an investigation would involve documenting cultural practices (particularly those involving statistical representations) in which students typically participate in Fiji and in western culture, 264 SASHI VARTA SHARMA delineating the differences, and relating these contrasts to differences in the forms of reasoning that students in the different cultures have developed. Finally, the place of statistics has changed in the revised mathematics prescription. Statistics appears for the first time at all grade levels (Fijian Ministry of Education, Women, Culture, Science and Technology, 1994). Like the secondary school students, primary school students are likely to resort to non-statistical or deterministic explanations. Research efforts at this level are crucial in order to inform teachers, teacher educators and curriculum writers. CONCLUDING THOUGHTS Although subjective types of thinking permeate our students’ lives, statistical curricula all over the world presumes the Fcorrectness_ of the mathematical model and ignores beliefs and experiences that do exist in real life situations. This presents a real dilemma which needs to be resolved if statistics education is to flourish. For example, if students come to the class with the view that all graphs have patterns and the teacher is trying to teach the key concepts related to the use and interpretation graphs, then how this can be done in a way that does not denigrate the first view needs to be investigated. It is not adequate to consider this just as a Fbias,_ the students, after all, require the pattern view in other learning areas. Perhaps, it is important to point out to students that there are alternative points of view. It appears that statistics education should indeed avoid Fbrainwashing_ methods for alternative views are still existent (Roth & Bowen, 2001). It is hoped that the findings of this study will generate more interest in research with respect to subjective ideas that students possess and relevant contexts. Teachers, curriculum developers and researchers need to work together to find better ways to help students interpret tables and graphs. APPENDIX 1 MATHEMATICS EDUCATION IN FIJIAN SCHOOLS Background Primary schools teach classes 1 to 8 (in some cases classes 1 to 6) whereas secondary schools teach Forms III to VII, and Junior secondary HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS INTERPRETING TABLES AND GRAPHS 265 schools teach Forms I to IV. The following external examinations involving mathematics are taken by pupils while at school: Class 6 Form II Form IV Form VI Form VII Fiji Intermediate Examination in which mathematics is compulsory. Fiji Secondary Schools’ Entrance Examination in which mathematics is compulsory Fiji Junior Certificate Examination in which mathematics is compulsory Fiji School Leaving Certificate Examination in which mathematics is not compulsory Fiji Seventh Form Certificate Examination in which mathematics is not compulsory Statistics Statistics is taught as one of the topics in the mathematics syllabus and is first introduced in Form 11 (Class 8) where the average age of a pupil is 13 years. Statistics is then taught in bits and pieces right up to Form VII. A brief summary of statistics taught at different levels is given below: Form II (Class 8). Collecting information, representing information, interpreting representations, average (mean), pictograms, frequency tables, bar graphs, pie charts. Form III. Representing statistical data in graphical or chart form, computing sample mean, mode, median and range, organising data from a sample into a frequency distribution and representing this by a frequency line graph or a histogram. Form IV. Computing statistics: mean, median, upper and lower quartiles, interquartile range. Representing data: frequency polygon, cumulative frequency table, cumulative frequency graph. Elementary ideas in probability. Form V. Classification of data, statistical graphs, including frequency and cumulative frequency curves, median and mean as measures of central tendency, ideas of spread, including standard deviation, simple probability and relative frequency. Form VI. Probability: sample space, mutually exclusive events, independent events. Populations and samples: mean, median, standard deviation and range as examples of population parameters, samples, ran- 266 SASHI VARTA SHARMA dom samples, frequency distributions, sample statistics. Distributions: the binomial; distribution taken as an example of a discrete distribution, mean of binomial distribution. The normal distribution as an example of a continuous distribution, z score. Form VII. Probability, Statistics and Computing Choose only one of the options Option A: Probability and Statistics Option B: Probability and Computing Option C: Statistics and Computing REFERENCES Asp, G., Dowsey, J. & Hollingsworth, H. (1994). 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