Design of Experiments with Several Factors Chapter 14 Table of Contents 1 14-1: Introduction • An experiment is a test or series of tests. • The design of an experiment plays a major role in the eventual solution of the problem. • In a factorial experimental design, experimental trials (or runs) are performed at all combinations of the factor levels. • The analysis of variance (ANOVA) will be used as one of the primary tools for statistical data analysis. 2 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-2: Factorial Experiments Definition 3 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-2: Factorial Experiments Figure 14-3 Factorial Experiment, no interaction. 4 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-2: Factorial Experiments Figure 14-4 Factorial Experiment, with interaction. 5 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 6 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model 7 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model 8 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model To test H0: i = 0 use the ratio To test H0: j = 0 use the ratio To test H0: ()ij = 0 use the ratio 9 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Definition 10 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model 11 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 12 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 13 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 14 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 15 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 16 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 17 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model Example 14-1 Figure 14-10 Graph of average adhesion force versus primer types for both application methods. 18 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-4: General Factorial Experiments Model for a three-factor factorial experiment 19 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 20 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-4: General Factorial Experiments Example 14-2 21 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. Example 14-2 22 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-4: General Factorial Experiments Example 14-2 23 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 24 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 25 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.1 22 Design Figure 14-15 The 22 factorial design. 26 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 27 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.1 22 Design The main effect of a factor A is estimated by 28 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.1 22 Design The main effect of a factor B is estimated by 29 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.1 22 Design The AB interaction effect is estimated by 30 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 31 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.1 22 Design The quantities in brackets are called contrasts. For example, the A contrast is: ContrastA = a + ab – b – (1) 32 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.1 22 Design Contrasts are used in calculating both the effect estimates and the sums of squares for A, B, and the AB interaction. The sums of squares formulas are 33 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-3 34 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-3 35 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-3 36 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Residual Analysis Figure 14-16 Normal probability plot of residuals for the epitaxial process experiment. 37 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors Figure 14-20 The 23 design. © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 38 Figure 14-21 Geometric presentation of contrasts corresponding to the main effects and interaction in the 23 design. (a) Main effects. (b) Two-factor interactions. (c) Three-factor interaction. 39 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors The main effect of A is estimated by The main effect of B is estimated by 40 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors The main effect of C is estimated by The interaction effect of AB is estimated by 41 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors Other two-factor interactions effects estimated by The three-factor interaction effect, ABC, is estimated by 42 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors 43 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors 44 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs 14-5.2 2k Design for k 3 Factors Contrasts can be used to calculate several quantities: 45 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-4 46 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-4 47 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-4 48 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-5: 2k Factorial Designs Example 14-4 49 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 50 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Response surface methodology, or RSM , is a collection of mathematical and statistical techniques that are useful for modeling and analysis in applications where a response of interest is influenced by several variables and the objective is to optimize this response. 51 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Figure 14-42 A three-dimensional response surface showing the expected yield as a function of temperature and feed concentration. 52 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Figure 14-43 A contour plot of yield response surface in Figure 14-42. 53 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs The first-order model The second-order model 54 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Method of Steepest Ascent 55 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Method of Steepest Ascent Figure 14-44 First-order response surface and path of steepest ascent. 56 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Example 14-11 57 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Example 14-11 Figure 14-45 Response surface plots for the first-order model in the Example 14-11. 58 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs Example 14-11 Figure 14-46 Steepest ascent experiment for Example 14-11. 59 © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.