Parameter and Statistic Parameter A numerical value that represents a certain population characteristic Statistic A numerical value that represents a certain sample characteristic The average of weight of students from a population of students in a university The percentage of defective components in a population of electrical components manufactured in a day Measurement The average of weight for a sample of female students selected from all students in a university The percentage of defective components in a sample of 100 electrical components Parameter Mean (Average) Variance Statistic x 2 s2 Standard deviation s Proportion p SZS2017 r POINT ESTIMATE INTERNAL ESTIMATE VS µ I want to know the Ex : students Suppose - I if will be µ we value to estimate F- g I : took ✓ since to we can estimate from 154-6, Eg :( called ESTIMATE there's number get only one 50/50 chance the value the values instead , * POINT 120 students sample of a a range right Any from value 154-6 to 165 165 INTERNAL - in the to 3) n possibility Of getting the right value INTERVAL are more the right . valves chance , . of µ interval higher capture of µ 3) * higher ESTIMATE CONFIDENCE since there . . sample from of valves 161-8 is This ( = 0 of lump - estimated using ONE use ? height mean . * = value ( E- E. T lover bound = b- a E=b÷ É+E ) T upper found Note that, the estimation error E is also called as margin of error Ca i @nym17 b) < b a two , - sided CI The term is a critical value obtained from the statistical tables A • • P x E x E = by bT AT ( directly proportional ) ( of Ad inversely proportional ) 1 In general, for a specific value, let say 0.05 , 95% of the sample means will fall within this error value on either side of the population mean, bec ✗ T 2- ✗ t so F- I@nym17 One-Sided Confidence Interval " In some cases, a researcher is interested to construct one-sided confidence interval, namely, one-sided lower bound or one-sided upper only bound for . find upper A one-sided confidence bound for results from replacing 2 by , bound and sign by either + or – sign in the confidence interval formula for . to "& • " "^n# bound f la a) T , the . highest possible valve C- , T also could be depending 0 on b) situation ego (0 shore , b) size temperature N C- @nym17 , b) ④ is 0-10 gives ② What population is the in the sample question ? size ? n = YES ? No slider ↳ use Formula → → 02 * if then one % formula ① replaced @ t 4the ± Z : same @ %-) form @nym17 - I sided in the shall be with ✗ . What ① if the the choose ask question formula from For example then choose , if 0 not Formula for one above given one * - sided and bound ( n a = 50 , formula the one - sided upper bound upper , a) . *mlycaku1ate_ . ✗ ? UB : ÉÉouer CI 2 to ✗ from LB sided . LB ② change § - C- • eg depending variable : ) & 0 the . x . T on bound temperature no . of :( - people :( on & 0 , , b) b) : QUESTION 4 [8 MARKS] (Sem 21920) A study was carried out to investigate atmospheric ammonia due to automobile traffic in Kuantan, Pahang. The ammonia concentrations (µg/m3) were measured for 7 days at an urban site in Kuantan. The data are collected and recorded as in Table 3. Table 3: Ammonia reading for seven days Day Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Ammonia concentrations 3.1 3.0 3.7 3.4 3.6 3.2 4.2 3 (µg/m ) (i) Identify the variable involved. Then, determine its level of measurement. Ammonia concentration 8- grit can - ✗ . Ratio confidence level ← level . (2 Marks, CO1PO1) . 1-0.9=0-1 = (ii) Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean of ammonia concentration. - use your → I = 3 . 4571 , S = O ' 4158 n = , calculator 7 t , 0¥ = 6 , = ( 3.4571 = ( 3. I 1517, (1-9432) 3- 0-4158 TF ) 76251 µg / m3 ur n unit t I 0.05 , 6 -9432 n = ✗ ? = 1-0.98=0-02 (i) How large the sample size should be if if we wish to be at least 98% confident that the error in estimating the mean is less than 3% given that the population standard deviation is 0.4. ← - ETO-03 z o.o , = 2.3263 round QUESTION T next whole number → ( 43Y?!§[ = = • 962.0750 I . 963 samples (4 Marks, CO2PO3) = The average heights of a random sample of 400 people from a city is 1.75 m. It is known that = the heights of the population are random variables that follow a normal distribution with a - variance of 0.16. 2=0.05 (i) Determine the interval of 95% confidence for the average heights of the population. -2=0-1 population(ii) With a confidence level of 90%, what would the minimum sample size need to be for the ~# → true mean ) i n mean of the heights to be less than 2 cm from the sample mean? 400 = , I = 1-75,0 0 ( 1-75 I (1-96) = = 0-16 Or ¥4 ) 4 = , Zo . ozg ← = sentence means the difference bet pop mean and the estimated valve I -96 terror) is than 2- (1-7108,1-7892) less m 2cm → ) 2- it = o 05 . 1-6449,0--0-4, =Y÷: 5 = 1082-2784 I 1083 Samples E = 0 m -02£ QUESTION A simple random sample of 225 marketing experts were consulted on the level of use of some quantitative techniques in their companies (on a scale from 0 to 5). The results obtained had a sample mean of 3.35 and a sample standard deviation of 0.72. (i) Compute a one-sided upper bound confidence interval for the mean value of the use of the techniques in all companies (the population), at a level of 99 %. 2=1-0 " Which would be the confidence level corresponding to an interval from 3.25 to 3.45, for these data? - ' (ii) - (iii) If the values of the sample mean and standard deviation do not change, find the sample sizes for which a confidence interval at the 99 % level would have a size smaller than 0.20. £-00T ) i 225 h= , I 3- 35 = 5=0-72 , , Zo -01 ( ) ii 0 3-35 + 2.3263 lowest scale , width = cannot °¥÷g ) 3-45-3-25 : = 2- § 0.2 ÷ - w w V formula for F- F- be 0 0 = sided negative ) ' 3.4617 , - 0 is I 2 F- = = . ( = - 2-3263 = bee - g. two ZE ( = o - I ✓ 225 2- approximately the same % Zo = 2.08331 = - oiq xx 2-07149 0-038 I . alternatively OR ¥25 I - 3- 35 2- - 2- % , 3. 45 =3 -25 . 0-7--2 3-25 = J 225 Z § ZO.org significance → ✗ level : CL = = 2- = = a 0833 -0749 2 0--038 (1-0-038) 96.2° / o ✗ ) bound - In § Cuse love / upper 100% iii. size = width of CI 2E < 0.2 → EL F- Ort = Zz ¥ . . 2-0-005=2.5758 2- 5758 . 0.72 < 0.1 Tn Tn > 18.5458 n > 343 n I 344 -94672m¥ people . EXERCISE TOPIC 2.2 QUESTION 5 [9 MARKS] Nitrogen-oxide emissions yield from car is one of the factors that contribute to air pollution. In order to control the amount of nitrogen-oxide emissions in Malaysia, the Department of Environment (Jabatan Alam Sekitar) conducted an on-road operation where fifty cars were stopped randomly. Each car was tested for nitrogen-oxide emissions (in grams per mile (g/mi)). The mean amount of nitrogen-oxide emissions for the cars was 0.12 g/mi, and the standard deviation was 0.04 g/mi. (a) Construct a 98% confidence interval of the true mean amount of nitrogen-oxide emissions yield from the cars. (5 Marks, CO2/ PO3) (b) Suppose that we want the width of the confidence interval of the true mean amount of nitrogen-oxide emissions to be 0.016 g/mi at 95% confidence. What sample size should be used in this case? (4 Marks, CO2/ PO3) QUESTION A biotechnology company produces a therapeutic drug with an active content which is normally distributed with a mean of mg/L and standard deviation of 0.9 mg/L. A researcher from the company selects a sample of 50 from the therapeutic drug process and obtained the active content data with a mean of 16.0745 mg/L and standard deviation of 0.9168 mg/L. (a) Construct a one-sided 90% confidence interval that gives a lower bound for the true mean of active contents of the therapeutic drug. (4 Marks) (b) How large the sample would be if the researcher wishes to be at least 95% confident that the error in estimating the mean of active contents of the therapeutic drug lies within 5%? (3 Marks) QUESTION 5 [11 MARKS] TEST SEM11617 Suppose we are interested in finding a 95% confidence interval for the mean of Test 1 mark of Applied Statistics course in the last semester. The total mark of Test 1 is 50. A random sample of Test 1 mark is taken from Section I students and the data is shown as follows. Student Mark A 40 B 33 C 47 D 32 E 40 F 33 G 19 H 30 I 31 J 32 K 18 (a) Calculate the estimation of error (margin of error) of the population mean? (5 Marks, CO2/PO3) (b) Use the answer in (a) to construct the 95% confidence interval for the population mean. Interpret the answer. (4 Marks, CO2/PO3) (c) What would happen to the width of confidence interval if the sample size is increasing while the confidence level is unchanged? Give a reason. (2 Marks, CO2/PO3) QUESTION 7 [11 MARKS] A particular brand of margarine was analysed to determine the level of fatty acid (in percentage). The company claims that the population mean of the fatty acid level of its the following table. 16.8 (i) 17.2 17.6 16.5 17.3 16.1 16.7 Construct a 98% confidence interval for the population mean of the fatty acid level of its margerine. (6 Marks, CO2/PO3) (ii) Give a comment on the parameter estimate. (1 Mark, CO2/PO3) (iii) Identify the estimation error of this confidence interval. (1 Mark, CO2/PO3) (iv) Does the confidence interval calculated in (i) contains the population mean? (1 Mark, CO2/PO3) (v) The company wishes to have a wider confidence interval for the population mean of the fatty acid level of its margerine. What value should be changed? Give a reason. (2 Marks, CO2/PO3)