INTRODUCTION TO BUSINESS ECONOMICS RABIN DAHAL Concept of Business Economics • Managerial economics is the application of economic theory and quantitative methods (mathematics and statistics) to the managerial decision-making process. • Simply stated, microeconomics with special emphasis on those topics of greatest interest and importance to managers is applied to managerial economics. • According to Dominick Salvatore: • “Managerial economics refers to application of economic theory and a tools of analysis of decision science to examine how an organization can achieve its aim or objective most efficiently.” • Managerial economics extracts from microeconomic theory those concepts and techniques that allow managers to select strategic direction, efficiently allocate the organization's available resources, and respond effectively to tactical issues. Economics Theory Simplifies Complexity • Theory allows people to gain insights into complicated problems using simplifying assumptions to make sense out of confusion, to turn complexity into relative simplicity. • Using economic theory is in many ways like using a road map. • A road map abstracts away from nonessential items and concentrates on what is relevant for the task at hand. • Likewise, the economic approach to understanding business reduces business problems to their most essential components. Decision Making Process The crucial step in tackling almost all important business and government decisions begins with a single question: What is the alternative? -Anonymous Defining a Problem • Consider the fourth problem in the case: ● Is the crux of the problem minimizing pollution from utilities? ● ● ● ● • Presumably cost is also important. Thus, the problem involves determining how much pollution to clean up, by what means, and at what cost. Or is the problem much broader: reducing U.S. dependence on foreign energy sources? If so, which domestic energy initiatives (besides or instead of utility conversion to coal) should be undertaken? The majority of the decisions we study take place in the private sector. • Managers representing their respective firms are responsible for the decisions made in five of the examples. • By contrast, the third and fourth examples occur in the public sector, where decisions are made at all levels of government: local, state, and national. • The recommendation concerning construction of a new bridge is made by a city agency and must be approved by the state government. • The chain of decisions accompanying the conversion of utilities from oil to coal involves a surprising number of public-sector authorities, including the Department of Energy, the Environmental Protection Agency, state and local agencies, the Department of the Interior, and possibly the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. • As one might imagine, the larger the number of bodies that share policy responsibility and the pursuit of different goals, the greater is the likelihood that decision-making problems and conflicts will occur. Determine the Objective • Attainment of maximum profit worldwide is the natural objective of the multinational carmaker, the drug company, and the management and shareholders of Barnes & Noble, Borders Group, BP, NBC, and CBS. • The objective in a public-sector decision, whether it be building a bridge or regulating a utility, is broader than the private-sector profit standard. • The government decision maker should weigh all benefits and costs, not solely revenues and expenses. • According to this benefit-cost criterion, the bridge in the third example may be worth building even if it fails to generate a profit for the government authority. • One difficulty is posed by the timing of benefits and costs. ● Should a firm (the drug company, for example) make an investment (sacrifice profits today) for greater profits 5 or 10 years from now? ● Are the future benefits to commuters worth the present capital expense of building the bridge? ● Both private and public investments involve trade-offs between present and future benefits and costs. • The presence of risk and uncertainty has a direct bearing on the way the decision maker thinks about his or her objective. • Both BP and the pharmaceutical company seek to maximize company profit, but there is no simple way to apply the profit criterion to determine their best actions and strategies. • BP might pay $50 million to acquire a promising site it believes is worth $150 million and find, after thorough drilling and exploration, that the site is devoid of oil or natural gas. • The drug company cannot use the simple rule “choose the method that will yield the greater profit,” because the ultimate profit from either method cannot be pinned down ahead of time. • There are no profit guarantees; rather, the drug company faces a choice between two risky research options. • Similarly, public programs and regulatory policies generate future benefits and costs that cannot be predicted with certainty. Explores the Alternatives • In the first example, the carmaker is free to set prices at home and abroad. • These prices will largely determine the numbers of vehicles the firm can expect to sell in each market. • It still remains for the firm to determine a production plan to supply its total projected sales; that is, the firm’s other two decision variables are the quantities to produce in each facility. • The firm’s task is to find optimal values of these four decision variables—values that will generate a maximum level of profit. • BP faces a myriad of choices as to how and where to explore for oil, how to manage its wells and refineries, and how to sell its petroleum products. • The drug company might appear to have a simple either/or choice: pursue the biochemical R&D program or proceed with the biogenetic program. • But there are other alternatives. For instance, the company could pursue both programs simultaneously. • This strategy means investing resources and money in both but allows the firm to commercialize the superior program that emerges from the R&D competition. • Alternatively, the company could pursue the two R&D options in sequence. • After observing the outcome of an initial R&D program, the company could choose to develop it or to reject it. • After terminating the first program, the company could then pursue the second R&D approach. • The question raised by the sequential option is, which approach, the safer biochemical method or the riskier biogenetic alternative, should the company pursue first? • The manager faces a sequence of decisions from among alternatives. • For instance, in the battle for David Letterman, each side had to formulate its current negotiation stance (in light of how much value it might expect to get out of alternative deals). • To sum up, in view of the myriad uncertainties facing managers, most ongoing decisions should best be viewed as contingent plans. Predict the Consequences • What are the consequences of each alternative action? • Should conditions change, how would this affect outcomes? • If outcomes are uncertain, what is the likelihood of each? • Can better information be acquired to predict outcomes? • In complicated situations, however, the decision maker often must rely on a model to describe how options translate into outcomes. • A deterministic model is one in which the outcome is certain (or close enough to a sure thing that it can be taken as certain). • A probabilistic model accounts for a range of possible future outcomes, each with a probability attached. Make a Choice • A private firm (such as the carmaker) can compute the profit results of alternative price and output plans. • A government decision maker may know the computed net benefits (benefits minus costs) of different program options. • The decision maker could determine a preferred course of action by enumeration, that is, by testing a number of alternatives and selecting the one that best meets the objective. • This is fine for decisions involving a small number of choices, but it is impractical for more complex problems • For instance, what if the car company drew up a list of two dozen different pricing and production plans, computed the profits of each, and settled on the best of the lot? • How could management be sure this choice is truly the best of all possible plans? • What if a more profitable plan, say, the twenty-fifth candidate, was overlooked? • The decision maker need not rely on the painstaking method of enumeration to solve such problems. • A variety of methods can identify and cut directly to the best, or optimal, decision. • These methods rely to varying extents on marginal analysis, decision trees, game theory, benefit-cost analysis, and linear programming. • These approaches are important not only for computing optimal decisions but also for checking why they are optimal. Perform Sensitivity Analysis • What features of the problem determine the optimal choice of action? • How does the optimal decision change if conditions in the problem are altered? • Is the choice sensitive to key economic variables about which the decision maker is uncertain? • In tackling and solving a decision problem, it is important to understand and be able to explain to others the “why” of your decision. • It depended on your stated objectives, the way you structured the problem (including the set of options you considered), and your method of predicting outcomes. • Thus, sensitivity analysis considers how an optimal decision is affected if key economic facts or conditions vary. Scope of Business Economics • Economics has two major branches namely Microeconomics and Macroeconomics and both are applied to business analysis and decision-making directly or indirectly. • Managerial economics comprises all those economic concepts, theories, and tools of analysis which can be used to analyze the business environment and to find solutions to practical business problems . • In other words, managerial economics is applied economics • The areas of business issues to which economic theories can be applied may be broadly divided into the following two categories: ● Operational or Internal issues; and ● Environmental or External issues Micro Economics Applied to Operational Issues • Operational problems are of internal nature • They arise within the business organization and fall within the purview and control of the management. • It includes ● ● ● ● ● Theory of demand and demand forecasting Production and cost decision Pricing decisions Profit decision Capital Decisions Macro Economics Applied to Business Environment • The environmental issues fall within macro economics, therefore the following constitute the scope of managerial economics: • Issues related to Macro Variables • Issues related to Foreign Trade • Issues related to Government Policies Use of Business Economics in Business Decision Making • First, it gives clear understanding of various economic concepts (i.e., cost, price, demand, etc.) used in business analysis. For example, the concept of ‘cost’ includes ‘total’, ‘average’, ‘marginal’, ‘fixed’, ‘variable’, actual costs, and opportunity cost. Economics clarifies which cost concepts are relevant and in what context. • Second, it helps in ascertaining the relevant variables and specifying the relevant data. For example, it helps in deciding what variables need to be considered in estimating the demand for two different sources of energy—petrol and electricity. • Third, economic theories state the general relationship between two or more economic variables and events. The application of relevant economic theory provides consistency to business analysis and helps in arriving at right conclusions. Thus, application of economic theories to the problems of business not only guides, assists and streamlines the process of decision-making but also contributes a good deal to the validity of decisions. • William Baumol pointed out three main Contribution of economic theory in business decision making • First, ‘one of the most important things which the economic (theories) can contribute to the management science’ is building analytical models which help to recognize the structure of managerial problems, eliminate the minor details which might obstruct decision-making, and help to concentrate on the main issue. • Secondly, economic theory contributes to the business analysis ‘a set of analytical methods’ which may not be applied directly to specific business problems, but they do enhance the analytical capabilities of the business analyst. • Thirdly, economic theories offer clarity to the various concepts used in business analysis, which enables the managers to avoid conceptual pitfalls. Basic Concept and Principles Measuring Profit • Business Profit (Accounting Cost) • Economic Profit • Example Two former MBS students worked in the World Bank at a Salary Rs 30,00,000 each for one year after they graduated. After a year, they decided to quit their jobs and start a research institute. They used Rs. 15,00,000 to overheads (i.e., computers, furniture etc.). For the next year, they took in Rs. 1,50,00,000 in revenue each year, paid five research assistants Rs. 10,00,000 annually each and rented an office for Rs. 10,00,000 per year with miscellaneous expenses Rs. 5,00,000 per year. A. Define accounting and economic cost. B. Compute accounting profit and economic profit. Should they remain in research institute after the year if they are indifferent between working for themselves or other in a similar capacity? Solution Revenue 1,50,00,000 Less: Explicit Cost Overheads 15,00,000 Salary 50,00,000 Rent 10,00,000 Miscellaneous expenses 5,00,000 80,00,000 Accounting Profit 70,00,000 Less: Implicit cost/opportunity cost 60,00,000 Economic Profit 10,00,000 Production Possibility Curve Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed. President Dwight D. Eisenhower In debating whether the United States should invade Iraq in 2003, people wanted to know how much the war would cost. The administration said it would cost only $50 billion, while some economists said it might cost as much as $2000 billion. These are not just mountains of dollar bills. These numbers represent resources diverted from other purchases. As the numbers began to climb, people naturally asked, Why are we policing Baghdad rather than New York, or repairing the electrical system in the Middle East rather than in the U.S. Midwest? People understand, as did former general and president Eisenhower, that when output is devoted to military tasks, there is less available for civilian consumption and investment. • Let us dramatize this choice by considering an economy which produces only two economic goods, guns and butter. • The guns, of course, represent military spending, and the butter stands for civilian spending. • Suppose that our economy decides to throw all its energy into producing the civilian good, butter. • There is a maximum amount of butter that can be produced per year. • The maximal amount of butter depends on the quantity and quality of the economy’s resources and the productive efficiency with which they are used. • At the other extreme, imagine that all resources are instead devoted to the production of guns. • Again, because of resource limitations, the economy can produce only a limited quantity of guns. • These are two extreme possibilities. In between are many others. • If we are willing to give up some butter, we can have some guns. • Possibilities Butter (‘000 kg) Gun (‘000 units) If we are willing to give up still more butter, we can have still more guns. A 0 15 • How can a nation turn butter into guns? B 1 14 • Butter is transformed into guns not physically but by the alchemy of diverting the economy’s resources from one use to the other. C 2 12 D 3 9 We can represent our economy’s production possibilities more vividly in the diagram E 4 5 F 5 0 • • The production-possibility frontier (or PPF ) shows the maximum quantity of goods that can be efficiently produced by an economy, given its technological knowledge and the quantity of available inputs. • Points outside the frontier (such as point I ) are infeasible or unattainable. Any point inside the curve, such as U, indicates that the economy has not attained productive efficiency. Opportunity Cost • When Robert Frost wrote of the road not taken, he pointed to one of the deepest concepts of economics, opportunity cost. • Because our resources are limited, we must decide how to allocate our incomes or time. • When we decide whether to study MBA, buy a car, or go to job, you will give something up—there will be a forgone opportunity. • The next-best good that is forgone represents the opportunity cost of a decision. • In a world of scarcity, choosing one thing means giving up something else. • The opportunity cost of a decision is the value of the good or service forgone. Risk and Uncertainty • When the outcome of a decision is not known with certainty, a manager faces a decision-making problem under either conditions of risk or conditions of uncertainty • A decision is made under risk when a manager can make a list of all possible outcomes associated with a decision and assign a probability of occurrence to each one of the outcomes. • The process of assigning probabilities to outcomes sometimes involves rather sophisticated analysis based on the manager’s extensive experience in similar situations or on other data. • Probabilities assigned in this way are objective probabilities. • In other circumstances, in which the manager has little experience with a particular decision situation and little or no relevant historical data, the probabilities assigned to the outcomes are derived in a subjective way and are called subjective probabilities. • Subjective probabilities are based upon hunches, “gut feelings,” or personal experiences rather than on scientific data. • In contrast to risk, uncertainty exists when a decision maker cannot list all possible outcomes and/or cannot assign probabilities to the various outcomes. • When faced with uncertainty, a manager would know only the different decision options available and the different possible states of nature. • The states of nature are the future events or conditions that can influence the final outcome or payoff of a decision but cannot be controlled or affected by the manager. • Even though both risk and uncertainty involve less-than-complete information, there is more information under risk than under uncertainty. • • Risk Averse • People are said to be risk averse if, facing two risky decisions with equal expected profits, they choose the less risky decision. • Risk averse: diminishing MU profit Risk Lover • Term describing a decision maker who makes the riskier of two decisions that have the same expected value. • Risk loving: increasing MU profit Risk Neutral • Term describing a decision maker who ignores risk in decision making and considers only expected values of decisions • Risk neutral: constant MU profit Information and Risk • Competitive markets ensure efficiency in the economy as they are based on the basic characteristics of complete or perfect information. • In other words, both economic agents-consumer and firms have perfect knowledge about goods and services under perfectly competitive market. • Complete information avoids uncertainties underlying in economic transactions so that economic efficiency can be achieved. • Here we will discuss situation where the characteristic of perfect information does not exist. • The situation can be one of incomplete information or of asymmetric information. • In a situation of asymmetric information, one economic agent of the transaction has more information than the other economic agent. Asymmetric Information • The side with better information is said to have private information or, equivalently, asymmetric information. • There are several sources of asymmetric information. • Parties will often have “inside information” concerning themselves that the other side does not have. • Consider the case of health insurance. • A customer seeking insurance will often have private information about his or her own health status and family medical history that the insurance company does not. • Consumers in good health may not bother to purchase health insurance at the prevailing rates. • A consumer in poor health would have higher demand for insurance, wishing to shift the burden of large anticipated medical expenses to the insurer. • Other sources of asymmetric information arise when what is being bought is an agent’s service. • The buyer may not always be able to monitor how hard and well the agent is working. • The agent may have better information about the requirements of the project because of his or her expertise, which is the reason the agent was hired in the first place. • Asymmetric information can lead to inefficiencies. • Insurance companies may offer less insurance and charge higher premiums than if they could observe the health of potential clients and could require customers to obey strict health regimens. • With appliance repair, the repairer may pad his or her bill by replacing parts that still function and may take longer than needed—a waste of resources. • There are basically three types of information asymmetry: ● Adverse selection ● Signaling ● Moral Hazard Adverse Selection • Adverse selection refers to a situation where a selection process results in a pool of individuals with economically undesirable characteristics. • A classic example of adverse selection occurs in used-car markets. • A used-car buyer who thinks that the used cars that are for sale are of average quality will be sadly mistaken. • The problem of adverse selection also applies to insurance markets. • The customers that are most likely to want insurance are the people who face the highest risks, but these are the people that insurance companies would least like to have as customers. Signaling • Signaling is a mechanism used to get information on a hidden characteristic. • Hidden characteristic is a situation in which one party knows some characteristic which the other party would like to know. • An important way to deal with private information problems in signaling. • Signaling involves taking steps that communicate otherwise unobservable information from one party to another. • In 1998-1999 two giant firms entered the used car business in United States. • These two firms were Auto Nation and Car Max. • Their strategy was to sell used cars at relatively high price and to signal to consumers that all of their used cars were goods. • The signaling involved a lot of advertising as well as extended warranties. Moral Hazard • Suppose that you have just purchased a fairly priced insurance policy that completely reimburses you for any damage that your car suffers as a result of an automobile accident. • Now that you know that you are fully insured, how careful will you be? • Perhaps not as careful as you would have been had you not been fully insured. • Perhaps you drive faster or behave more recklessly under adverse weather conditions. • Perhaps you take less care to protect your car against vandals or thieves (e.g., by parking it on the street rather than in a garage) • This illustrates the concept of moral hazard, whereby an insured party exercises less care than he or she would in the absence of insurance. • Phenomenon whereby an insured party exercises less care than he or she would in the absence of insurance is Moral Hazard. UNIT 2. THEORY OF FIRM RABIN DAHAL CONTENTS Profit Maximization Theory Baumol’s Sales Revenue Maximization Wealth Maximization Morris Hypothesis of Maximization of Growth Rate Williamson’s Model of Managerial Discretion Behavioral Theories Profit Maximization Theory From over a century of economic theory, profit as an aim has emerged. Profit is the rational objective, because: The profit of the firm became the income of the owner. Maximization of profit then ensured the self-interests of the owners. If profit was positively related to the efforts of the Owner, maximizing profit would require maximum effort. The force of competition imposed profit maximization upon the firm. Given the large number of other firms, any firm that did not maximize profit would not survive in business. Any firm that made economic profits was, by definition, doing better than some other firms. The force of competition imposed profit maximization upon the firm. Given the large number of other firms, any firm that did not maximize profit would not survive in business. Any firm that made economic profits was, by definition, doing better than some other firms. There are two approaches of profit maximization. They are TR-TC approach MR-MC approach TR-TC Approach When the difference between total revenue (TR) and total cost (TC) becomes the biggest, profit becomes maximum regardless of the market situation. 𝜋 = 𝑇𝑅 − 𝑇𝐶 Where, 𝜋 = 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑇𝑅 = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒 𝑇𝐶 = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 According to the total revenue–total cost (TR–TC) approach, a profit maximizing monopoly firm is in equilibrium at the level of output and price at which it’s TR–TC = Total Profit is maximum. It is obvious that total profit is maximum where the vertical difference between TR and TC curves is maximum. The maximum difference between the TR and TC curves can be obtained by a simple technique, i.e., by drawing parallel tangents to TR and TC curves as shown by the tangent ab and cd. As a matter of rule, the vertical gap between tangential points P and M is maximum. MR-MC Approach The objective of the firm is to maximize profit i.e. Objective Function: Maximize 𝜋 𝑄 = 𝑇𝑅 𝑄 − 𝑇𝐶(𝑄) For profit maximizing we take the first derivative of objective function and equates it to zero i.e. 𝑑𝜋 𝑑𝑄 =0 Now setting 𝑑𝜋 𝑑𝑇𝑅(𝑄) 𝑑𝑇𝐶 𝑄 = − 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝜋 𝑑𝑄 (𝑖) =0 𝑑𝑇𝑅(𝑄) 𝑑𝑇𝐶(𝑄) 𝑜𝑟, = 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑄 Thus the first order condition for maximizing profit is 𝑀𝑅 𝑄 = 𝑀𝐶(𝑄) For second order condition 𝑑2 𝜋 𝑑𝑄2 <0 𝑑2 𝑇𝑅(𝑄) 𝑑2 𝑇𝐶(𝑄) 𝑜𝑟, − <0 2 2 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑄 𝑑2 𝑇𝑅(𝑄) 𝑑2 𝑇𝐶(𝑄) 𝑜𝑟, < 2 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑄 2 ∴ 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑀𝑅 < 𝑆𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑀𝐶 So the second order condition for profit maximization is the slope of MC must be greater than slope of MR. There are two conditions that have to be fulfilled to maximize the profit. Those conditions are known as: Necessary or first order condition The first-order condition for maximizing profit requires marginal cost (𝑀𝐶) to be equal to marginal revenue (𝑀𝑅), i.e. profit at the maximum output Level (𝑄) to which 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑀𝐶 Sufficient or second order condition Under the condition of rising marginal costs, the normal second-order condition of profit maximization requires that the first-order condition must be met. 𝑖. 𝑒. 𝑆𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑀𝑅 < 𝑆𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑀𝐶 Numerical Example Let, revenue function 𝑹 = 𝟐𝟎𝑸 − 𝑸𝟐 and cost function 𝑻𝑪 = 𝟓𝟎 + 𝟒𝑸. Compute profit maximizing output, price, TR and maximum profit. Solution Given, Revenue Function: 𝑅 = 20𝑄 − 𝑄 2 Cost Function: 𝑇𝐶 = 50 + 4𝑄 We know that, 𝜋 =𝑅−𝐶 = 20𝑄 − 𝑄 2 − (50 + 4𝑄) = 20𝑄 − 𝑄2 − 50 − 4𝑄 = −𝑄 2 + 16𝑄 − 50 First order condition for profit maximization is, 𝑑𝜋 𝑑𝑄 =0 𝑑(−𝑄2 +16𝑄−50) 𝑑𝑄 = −2𝑄 + 16 Here, −2𝑄 + 16 = 0 𝑜𝑟, 2𝑄 = 16 𝑜𝑟, 𝑄 = 16 2 ∴𝑄=8 Price 𝑃= Maximum profit 𝜋 = −𝑄 2 + 16𝑄 − 50 2 = −(8) + 16 × 8 − 50 = 14 Total revenue 𝑅 = 20𝑄 − 𝑄 2 = 20 × 8 − (8)2 = 96 = 𝑇𝑅 𝑄 20𝑄−𝑄2 𝑄 = 20 − 𝑄 = 20 − 8 = 12 Baumol’s Sales Revenue Maximization An alternative model which recognizes the importance of profit, but assumes that managers set the company's goals, is that of maximizing sales. Baumol (1959) developed this model, arguing that managers have discretion in setting goals, and that maximizing sales revenue was a more likely short-run goal than maximizing profit in firms operating in oligopolistic markets. Sales revenue is a short-term goal that is more useful to the firm than profit. Sales are measurable and can be used to motivate staff as a specific target, whereas profits, which are a residual, are not so easily used in this way. It is thought that specific sales targets are clearly understood by everyone within the company. Senior managers' rewards are often tied to sales revenue rather than profit, as they are for lower personnel levels. It is assumed that an increase in revenue will more than offset any associated cost increases, so that additional sales will increase profit; therefore, shareholders consider increasing the size of the firm as measured by sales revenue or turnover as a good proxy for short-run profit increases. Increasing sales and, therefore, the company's size makes it easier to manage, as it creates an environment in which everyone believes the company is successful. A firm that faces declining sales will be seen as failing and will lead to calls for managers to reassess their policies. The Static Single Period Sales Maximization Model The static model assumes that: 1. The firm produces a single product and has total cost and revenue functions of a non-linear nature. 2. The firm makes its price / output decision without taking into consideration the actions of other companies. 3. The firm's goal is to select a level of sales or output that maximizes sales revenue (𝑇𝑅) subject to a minimum shareholder profit constraint (𝜋). Sales maximization does not mean an attempt to obtain the largest possible physical volume. Sales maximization under profit constraint does not mean an attempt to obtain the largest possible physical volume. Rather, it refers to maximization of total revenue, which, to the businessman, is the obvious measure of the amount he has sold. Maximum sales in this sense need not require very large physical outputs. To take an extreme case, at a zero price physical volume may be high but sales volume in monetary term will be zero. There will normally be a well-determined output level which maximizes monetary sales. This level can ordinarily be fixed with the aid of the well-known rule that maximum revenue will be obtained only at an output at which marginal revenue is zero. This is the condition which replaces the “marginal cost equals marginal revenue” profit-maximizing rule. 𝑤𝑒 𝑘𝑛𝑜𝑤, 𝑇𝑅 = 𝑃 × 𝑄 𝑑𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑄, 𝑤𝑒 𝑔𝑒𝑡 𝑑𝑇𝑅 𝑑𝑄 = 𝑃. 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑃 + 𝑄. 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 + 𝑄. 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑃 𝑑𝑄 𝑄 𝑑𝑃 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 + . 𝑃 𝑑𝑄 1 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 𝑑𝑃 . 𝑄 𝑑𝑄 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 + ∴ 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 − 1 −𝑒𝑃 1 𝑒𝑃 At the point of maximum revenue slope of the total revenue curve is zero 𝑑𝑇𝑅 𝑑𝑄 = 𝑀𝑅 = 0 ∴0=𝑃 1− 1 𝑒𝑃 Given P˃0, we have 1− 1 𝑒𝑃 =0 𝑒𝑃 = 1 But this rule does not take account the profit constraint. That is, if at the revenue-maximizing output the firm does, in fact, earn enough profits to keep shareholders satisfied, then it will want to produce the sales-maximizing quantity. But if at this output profit are too low, the firm’s output must be changed to a level which, though it fails to maximize sales, does not meet the profit requirement. Given the cost and revenue functions, profit is maximized at the output level Qm. Maximum sales revenue is at the highest point on the total revenue curve, corresponding to output Qs. Sales revenue maximization is a substitute for profit maximization, since it produces more profit. If the profit constraint is above π1 then output Qs does not produce enough profit to satisfy the constraint. Then output must be reduced, reducing total revenue but pushing the firm back up the profit function. In general, we expect behavior somewhere between Qm and Qs, so that the firm gives up some profit to gain extra sales revenue. EXAMPLE A manufacturing company operating in Kathmandu Valley with the demand function given as P=40-Q, and the total cost function as C=Q2+8Q+2. If the company wanted to maximize profit what is the price-output combination and the total profit and revenue? The management of the company realizes the need for capturing market. Therefore, it started to promote its product with the strategy of sales revenue maximization instead of profit maximization. What will be the priceoutput combination and total profit under the condition sales revenue maximization? The shareholders of the company did not like market capture strategy (sales revenue maximization) followed by the management. The shareholders showed strong dissatisfaction against the management in its Annual General Meeting (AGM). They argued that management should not be given opportunities for free play in the company. The shareholders’ meeting consensually decided to put restriction with minimum profit of Rs 10. Under this condition, what is the optimum price-output combination and total revenue? Under profit maximizing condition, 𝜋 = 𝑇𝑅 − 𝑇𝐶 𝑃 = 40 − 𝑄 𝑜𝑟, 𝜋 = 40𝑄 − 𝑄2 − 𝑄2 + 8𝑄 + 2 𝑇𝑅 = 𝑃 × 𝑄 𝑜𝑟, 𝜋 = 32𝑄 − 2𝑄2 − 2 𝑇𝑅 = 40 − 𝑄 𝑄 Under profit maximizing model 𝑇𝑅 = 40𝑄 − 𝑄2 𝑑𝜋 We have, 𝑑𝑄 =0 𝑑(32𝑄−2𝑄2 −2) 𝑑𝑄 𝑇𝐶 = 𝑄2 + 8𝑄 + 2 𝑜𝑟, We know, 𝑜𝑟, 32 − 4𝑄 = 0 For profit maximizing, 𝑑𝜋 𝑑𝑄 =0 𝑜𝑟, 32 − 4𝑄 = 0 𝑜𝑟, 4𝑄 = 32 ∴𝑄=8 For profit maximizing price, Under sales maximization model, we know, 𝑃 = 40 − 𝑄 𝑑𝑇𝑅 𝑜𝑟, 𝑃 = 40 − 8 𝑑𝑄 =0 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 0 𝑃 = 32 We have, For total profit, we have profit function as, 𝑇𝑅 = 40𝑄 − 𝑄2 𝜋 = 32𝑄 − 2𝑄2 − 2 Substituting the value of Q in profit function 𝑑(40𝑄−𝑄2 ) 𝑜𝑟, 𝑑𝑄 𝜋 = 32 8 − 2(8)2 − 2 𝑜𝑟, 40 − 2𝑄 = 0 = 256 − 128 − 2 𝑜𝑟 𝑄 = 40 = 126 For sales maximization price, =0 𝑃 = 40 − 𝑄 𝑜𝑟, 𝑃 = 40 − 20 ∴ 𝑃 = 20 Again the profit function is 𝜋 = 32𝑄 − 2𝑄2 − 2 Substituting the value of Q in the profit function 𝜋 = 32(20)2 − 2(20)2 − 2 = 640 − 800 − 2 = −162 Since the profit is negative, firm is in loss of 162. For sales revenue maximization under profit constraint of Rs. 10 𝜋 = 𝑇𝑅 − 𝑇𝐶 𝑎𝑛𝑑, 𝜋 = 10 10 = 32𝑄 − 2𝑄2 − 2 𝑜𝑟, 32𝑄 − 2𝑄2 − 12 = 0 𝑜𝑟, 2𝑄2 − 32𝑄 + 12 = 0 Comparing with 𝑎𝑥 2 + 𝑏𝑥 + 𝑐 We have 𝑎 = 2, 𝑏 = −32 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑐 = 12 Using the quadratic equation formula 𝑄= = −𝑏± 𝑏 2 −4𝑎𝑐 2𝑎 32± 322 −4×2×12 2×2 15.67 𝑜𝑟 0.79 𝑢𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑠 Now for price We have 𝑃 = 40 − 𝑄 Taking 15.67 𝑃 = 40 − 15.67 𝑃 = 24.33 Again taking 0.79 𝑃 = 40 − 0.79 𝑃 = 39.21 Wealth Maximization To maximize the value of the firm, managers should maximize shareholder wealth. Shareholder wealth is measured by the market value of a firm’s common stock, which is equal to the present value of all expected future cash flows to equity owners discounted at the shareholders’ required rate of return plus a value for the firm’s embedded real options: 𝝅𝟏 𝝅𝟐 𝝅𝟑 𝝅∞ 𝑽𝟎 = + + + ⋯+ + 𝑹𝒆𝒂𝒍 𝑶𝒑𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆 𝟏 𝟐 𝟑 ∞ (𝟏 + 𝑲𝒆 ) (𝟏 + 𝑲𝒆 ) (𝟏 + 𝑲𝒆 ) (𝟏 + 𝑲𝒆 ) 𝑽𝟎 = σ∞ 𝒕=𝟏 𝝅𝒕 (𝟏+𝑲𝒆 )𝒕 𝑾𝒉𝒆𝒓𝒆, 𝑽𝟎 = 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒄𝒖𝒓𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒗𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒂 𝒔𝒉𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌 𝝅𝒕 = 𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒄 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒇𝒊𝒕𝒔 𝒆𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒊𝒏 𝒆𝒂𝒄𝒉 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒇𝒖𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒆 𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅𝒔 𝑲𝒆 = 𝒓𝒆𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒓𝒆𝒅 𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒓𝒆𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒏 A number of different factors (like interest rates and economy-wide business cycles) influence the firm’s stock price in ways that are beyond the manager’s control, but many factors (like innovation and cost control) are not. Real option value represents the cost savings or revenue expansions that arise from preserving flexibility in the business plans the managers adopt. Wealth maximization model is a superior model because it obviates all the drawbacks of profit maximization as a goal of a financial decision. Firstly, the wealth maximization is based on cash flows and not profits. Unlike the profits, cash flows are exact and definite and therefore avoid any ambiguity associated with accounting profits. Secondly, profit maximization presents a shorter term view as compared to wealth maximization. Short-term profit maximization can be achieved by the managers at the cost of long-term sustainability of the business. Thirdly, wealth maximization considers the time value of money. It is important as we all know that a dollar today and a dollar one-year latter do not have the same value. In wealth maximization, the future cash flows are discounted at an appropriate discounted rate to represent their present value. Fourthly, the wealth-maximization criterion considers the risk and uncertainty factor while considering the discounting rate. The discounting rate reflects both time and risk. Higher the uncertainty, the discounting rate is higher and vice-versa. Capital investment decisions of a firm have a direct relation with wealth maximization. All capital investment projects with an internal rate of return (IRR) greater than 1 or having positive NPV creates value for the firm. These projects earn more than the ‘required rate of return’ of the firm. WILLIAMSON MODEL OF MANAGERIAL DISCRETION The model of managerial utility was developed by Williamson, and once more assumes that managers have both the desire and discretion to pursue objectives other than profit maximization, subject to some minimum profit constraint. Managers achieve their objectives directly by spending any profits above the profit constraint on items that give rise to managerial satisfaction or utility. According to Williamson, managers can influence both the level of profits and how these profits are spent. This is not a new idea, and is implicit in most of the managerial models. Williamson's contribution was to give operational value to the concept by identifying those variables he saw as giving rise to managerial satisfaction. The basic Williamson model can be expressed in the form 𝑈𝑚 = 𝑓(𝑆, 𝑀, 𝐼𝑑 ) where Um is the utility of managers, S is expenditure on staff, M denotes managerial emoluments and Id measures the managers' discretionary power for investment. Managerial utility is then maximized subject to the minimum profit constraint. The identified variables can be justified as follows. Staff expenditure Increased expenditure on staff generally increases profits by increasing output and/or sales, but expenditure is continued beyond the profit maximizing level because staff expenditure represents both power and prestige to the manager. Managerial emoluments These include expenditure in items such as expense accounts, luxury offices, company cars, etc. and give rise directly to managerial satisfaction. This non-salary expenditure on the personal comfort and well-being of managers appears in the company accounts as a necessary cost, but adds little to the operating efficiency of the organization. Direct salary expenditure to managers is much more easily identified from company accounts, and may give rise to shareholder disquiet. The Discretionary Power for Investment The manager gains prestige and status by being able to finance capital projects beyond what is strictly necessary to the functioning of the firm. The manager is able to spend company money on 'pet' projects, often involving fashionable new technology in the form of computer based office equipment, justified as necessary but once more adding little to operating efficiency. Each of these expenditure items remains hidden in the firm's accounts as necessary expenditure. The optimal solution involves a trade-off of expenditure from profits above the profit constraint on these items, depending on the preferences and power relationships within the management team. The theory goes on to explain that in times of rapid economic growth, expenditure on these discretionary items will increase rapidly, whilst in times of depressed markets, these items represent a cushion against economic adversity, in that expenditure in these items can be reduced without adversely affecting output. In normal circumstances, discretionary spending implies levels of staff, managerial emoluments and discretionary investment considerably in excess of profit maximizing output. The demand of the firm It is assumed that the firm has a known downward sloping demand curve, defined by the function 𝑄 = 𝑓1 (𝑃, 𝑆, 𝜀) 𝑃 = 𝑓2 (𝑄, 𝑆, 𝜀) Where, 𝑄 = 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡 𝑃 = 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑆 = 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑓𝑓 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 𝜀 = 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑖𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑙 ( 𝑎 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 − 𝑠ℎ𝑖𝑓𝑡 𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑢𝑡𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑠 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑) It is assumed that the demand is negatively related to price, but positively related to the staff expenditure and to the shift factor 𝜀. Thus, 𝜕𝑃 𝜕𝑄 < 0; 𝜕𝑃 𝜕𝑆 > 0; 𝜕𝑃 𝜕𝜀 >0 An increase in the staff expenditure is assumed to cause a shift in the demand curve upwards and thus allow the charging of a higher price. The same holds for any other change in the environment (𝜀, for example and increase in income) which shifts upward the demand curve of the firm. The production cost The total production cost (TC) is assumed to be an increasing function of output 𝑇𝐶 = 𝑓3 (𝑄) Where, 𝜕𝑇𝐶 𝜕𝑄 >0 Actual Profit The actual profit is revenue from sales (TR), less the production costs (TC), and less the staff expenditure (S) 𝜋 = 𝑇𝑅 − 𝑇𝐶 − 𝑆 Reported Profit This is the profit reported to the tax authorities. It is the actual profit less the managerial emoluments (M) which are tax deductible 𝜋𝑅 = 𝜋 − 𝑀 𝑜𝑟, 𝜋𝑅 = 𝑅 − 𝐶 − 𝑆 − 𝑀 Minimum profit This is the amount of profits (after tax) which is required for an acceptable dividend policy by the shareholders. If the shareholders do not receive some profit they will be inclined to sell their shares or to vote for the change in the top management. Both actions obviously reduce the job security of managers. Hence they will make sure to have a minimum profit adequate to keep shareholders satisfied. For this the reported profits must be at least as high as the minimum profit requirement plus the tax that must be paid to the government 𝜋𝑅 ≥ 𝜋0 + 𝑇 Where, 𝑇 = 𝑡𝑎𝑥 The tax function is of the form 𝑇 = 𝑇ത + 𝑡. 𝜋𝑅 Where 𝑡 = 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑇ത = 𝑎 𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑠𝑢𝑚 𝑡𝑎𝑥 Discretionary Investment Discretionary investment is the amount left from the reported profit, after subtracting the minimum profit (π0) and the tax (T) 𝐼𝐷 = 𝜋𝑅 − 𝜋0 − 𝑇 Discretionary profit This is the amount of profit left after subtracting from the actual profit (π) the minimum profit requirement (π0) and the tax (T) 𝜋𝐷 = 𝜋 − 𝜋0 − 𝑇 We will present the model in two stages to simplify the exposition. In the first stage we assume that there are no managerial emoluments (M = 0), so that the actual profit is the reported profit for tax purposes. The simplified model may be stated formally as 𝑀𝑎𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑧𝑒 𝑈 = 𝑓(𝑆, 𝐼𝐷 ) 𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑜, 𝜋 ≥ 𝜋0 + 𝑇 Since there are no emoluments, discretionary investment absorbs all the discretionary profit. Thus we may write the managerial utility function as 𝑈 = [𝑆, 𝜋 − 𝜋0 − 𝑇 ] For simplicity we may assume that there is no lump-sum tax so that 𝑇 = 𝑡𝜋, Thus the managerial utility function becomes 𝑈 = 𝑓[𝑆, 1 − 𝑡 𝜋 − 𝜋0 )] Where, 1 − 𝑡 𝜋 − 𝜋0 is the discretionary profit. Marris Model of Managerial Growth The goal of the firm in Marris's model is the maximization of the balanced rate of growth of the firm, that is, the maximization of the rate of growth of demand for the products of the firm, and of the growth of its capital supply: 𝑀𝑎𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑧𝑒 𝑔 = 𝑔𝐷 = 𝑔𝑆 Where, 𝑔 = 𝑏𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑑 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑔𝐷 = growth of demand for the products of the firm 𝑔𝑆 = growth of the supply of capital In pursuing this maximum balanced growth rate the firm has two constraints. Firstly, a constraint set by the available managerial team and its skills. Secondly, a financial constraint, set by the desire of managers to achieve maximum job security. The rationalization of this goal is that by jointly maximizing the rate of growth of demand and capital the managers achieve maximization of their own utility as well as of the utility of the owners-shareholders. The utility function of managers includes variables such as salaries, status, power and job security, while the utility function of owners includes variables such as profits, size of output, size of capital, share of the market and public image. Managers want to maximize their own utility 𝑈𝑀 = 𝑓(𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑠, 𝑝𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟, 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑠, 𝑗𝑜𝑏 𝑠𝑒𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦) While the owners seek to maximization of their utility 𝑈𝑂 = 𝑓 ∗ 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠, 𝑐𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙, 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡, 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒, 𝑝𝑢𝑏𝑙𝑖𝑐 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑒𝑚 Marris argues that most variables appearing in both functions are strongly correlated with a single variable: the size of the firm. Marris limits his model to situations of steady rate of growth over time during which most of the relevant economic magnitudes change simultaneously. Maximizing the long-run growth rate of any indicator can reasonably be assumed equivalent to maximizing the Long-run rate of most others. Marris argues that the managers do not maximize the absolute size of the firm (however measured), but the rate of growth. In the real world the mobility of managers is low. Various studies provide evidence that managers prefer to be promoted within the same growing organization rather than move to a larger one. Hence managers aim at the maximization of the rates of growth rather than the absolute Size of a firm. The size and rate of Growth are not necessarily equivalent from the point of view of managerial utility. Marris argues that since growth happens to be compatible with the interests of the shareholders in general, the goal of maximisation of the growth rate (however measured) seems a priori plausible. From Marris's discussion it follows that the utility function of owners can be written as follows 𝑈𝑜𝑤𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑠 = 𝑓 ∗ (𝑔𝐶 ) Where, 𝑔𝐶 = 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 Furthermore from Marris's discussion of the nature of the variables of the managerial utility function it seems that he implicitly assumes that salaries, status and power of managers are strongly correlated with the growth of demand for the products of the firm: managers will enjoy higher salaries and will have more prestige the faster the rate of growth of demand. Therefore the managerial utility function may be written as follows 𝑈𝑀 = 𝑓(𝑔𝐷 , 𝑠) Where 𝑔𝑑 = 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑖𝑟𝑚 𝑠 = 𝑗𝑜𝑏 𝑠𝑒𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 Marris, argues that there is a constraint to 𝑔𝐷 set by the decision making capacity of the managerial team. Marris suggests that 's' can be measured by a weighted average of three crucial ratios, the liquidity ratio, the leverage debt ratio and the profit-retention ratio, which reflect the financial policy of the firm. With this assumption the managerial utility function becomes 𝑈𝑀 = 𝑓(𝑔𝐷 )𝑠ҧ Where, 𝑠ҧ is security constraint. Equilibrium of the firm The managers aim at the maximization of their own utility, which is a function of the growth of demand for the products of the firm (given the security constraint). 𝑈𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑠 = 𝑓(𝑔𝐷 ) The owners-shareholders aim at the maximization of their own utility which Marris assumes to be a function of the rate of growth of the capital supply. 𝑈𝑂𝑤𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑠 = 𝑓 ∗ (𝑔𝐶 ) The firm is in equilibrium when the maximum balanced-growth rate is attained, that is, the condition for equilibrium is 𝑔𝐷 = 𝑔𝐶 = 𝑔∗ The first stage in the solution of the model is to derive the 'demand' and 'supply‘ functions, that is, to determine the factors that determine 𝑔𝐷 and 𝑔𝐶 · The behavioral model of Cyert and March The behavioral theory of firm was developed by Cyert and March. It focuses on the decision making process of the large multi product firm under uncertainty in an imperfect market. They deal with the large corporate managerial business in which ownership is separated. Their theory originated from the concern about the organizational problem with the internal structure of such firms. The firm is not treated as a single-goal, single decision unit, as in the traditional theory, but as a multi goal, multi decision organization coalition. The firm is as a coalition of different groups which are connected with its activity. The behavioral theory recognizes explicitly that there exists a basic dichotomy in the firm, there are individual members of the coalition firm and there is the organization coalition known as ‘the firm’. The consequence of the dichotomy is a conflict of goals; individuals may have different goals to those of the organization firm. Cyert and March argue that the goals of the firm depend on the demand of the members of the coalition. Demand of these members are determined by various factors such as aspiration of members, their success in the past in occupying their demands. Given the resources of the company, not all demands, which confront the top management can be satisfied. The top management of a company is often in conflict with the demands of the various groups within the company. It is the job of the top management to resolve the conflict The goals of the firm are set by the top management, which the main five goals of the firm are: Production Goal: Main goal of production manager is smooth running of the production process. Production should be distributed evenly over time, irrespective of possible seasonal fluctuations of demand. Avoid excess capacity and lay off of workers at some periods. Inventory Goal: The inventory goal originates mainly from the inventory department if such a department exists. The sales department wants an adequate stock of output for the customers. Sales Goal: The sales goal and the share of the market goal originate from the sales department. The same department will also normally set the ‘sales strategy’ that is decided on the advertising campaigns, the market research programs, and so on Profit Goal: The profit goals is set by the management so as to satisfy the demand of share holders and the expectations of bankers. Share of the market goal: While making decisions, the firms are guided by these goals. All goals must be satisfied but there is an implicit order of priority among them. The conflict among different goals may crop up. The law of diminishing returns holds for managerial work as for all other types of labor, writes David Frum. The goals of the firm are ultimately decided by the top management through continuous bargaining between the groups of the coalition, he says. Frum argues that satisfying behavior is rational given the limitations, internal and external with in which the operation of a firm is confined. The firm is not a maximizing but rather a satisfying organization, he writes. The goal of the behavioral theories is to attain a 'satisfactory' overall performance, rather than maximize profits, sales or other magnitudes, Frum says. The top management wishes to satisfy as many as possible of the demands with which the various members of the coalitions confront it, he argues. But it is not clear in the behavioral theory what is a satisfactory and what an unsatisfactory attainment is. Conflicting Goals The aspiration levels of the individuals within the firm which determine these goals change over time as a result of organizational learning. Demands of coalition members equal actual side payments only in the long-run. In the short-run, new demands are being constantly made and the goals of the organization are continually adapted to take account of these demands. A problem will arise when the organization is not able to accommodate the demands of its members even sequentially, because it lacks the resources to do so. Each person in the organization has a satisfying level for each of his goals. In fact, the aspiration levels change with the process of satisfying. each of the people within the organization. The aspiration levels for each person change with experience. CONCEPT OF ELASTICITY OF DEMAND RABIN DAHAL Concept of Elasticity of demand According to the law of demand, when the price of a good increases, the demand for the good decreases, and when the price of a good decreases, the demand for the good increases, ceteris paribus. While the law shows the direction of change and depicts the negative relationship between price and quantity, it does not indicate as to how responsive the demand for a good is to its price. In other words, it does not give the magnitude or the degree of the change. This is given by the elasticity of demand. Elasticity of demand is measured as 𝐸𝐷 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑑𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 The quantity demanded of a good is influenced by many factors, for example, price of the good, income, and price of other goods. Hence, we determine the magnitude of the relationship of these factors to demand by analyzing the price elasticity of demand, income elasticity of demand, and the cross price elasticity of demand and others. The types of elasticity that we discuss here are 1. Price Elasticity of Demand 2. Income Elasticity of Demand 3. Cross Elasticity of Demand 4. Promotional Elasticity of demand Price Elasticity of Demand The concept was first discussed by Alfred Marshall. Price elasticity of demand is a measure of the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a good to a change in the price of the good Price elasticity of demand can be defined as the ratio of the percentage change in the quantity demanded of a good to the percentage change in the price of the good. 𝐸𝑃 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝐸𝑃 = 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦−𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 ×100 𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 −𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 ×100 𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝐸𝑃 = 𝑄1 −𝑄 𝑄 𝑃1 −𝑃 𝑃 𝑃 ∆𝑄 𝑄 ∆𝑃 𝑃 Price = D ∆𝑃 𝑃1 = ∆𝑄 𝑄 𝑃 × ∆𝑃 ∆𝑄 D = ∆𝑄 ∆𝑃 𝑃 × 𝑄 𝑄1 𝑄 Quantity Types of Price Elasticity of Demand Following are the types of Price Elasticity of Demand 1. 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑙𝑦 𝐸𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 (𝐸𝑃 = ∞) 2. 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑙𝑦 𝐼𝑛𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 (𝐸𝑃 = 0) 3. 𝑅𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑙𝑦 𝐸𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 (𝐸𝑃 > 1) 4. 𝑅𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑙𝑦 𝐸𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 (𝐸𝑃 < 1) 5. 𝑈𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝐸𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 (𝐸𝑃 = 1) Note: since relationship between price and quantity demanded is inverse thus, the value of price elasticity is negative and it is implied. Perfectly Elastic Demand (𝐸𝑃 = ∞) In such a situation, any price change, which may be very small, leads to an infinite change in the quantity demanded of good. 𝑃 ↓⟶ 𝑄 ↑= ∞ The demand curve is shown in Figure as a straight line parallel to the x axis. Such a situation exists under the perfect competition. Price 𝑃 ↑⟶ 𝑄 ↓= 0 𝑃 0 Quantity Perfectly Inelastic Demand (𝐸𝑃 = 0) In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded to the percentage change in the price of the good is zero. The demand curve is shown in Figure as a straight line parallel to the y axis. Example: Medicines. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 This implies that whatever is the price of the good the quantity demanded remains the same. 𝑃3 𝑃2 𝑃1 𝑄 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 Relatively Elastic Demand (𝐸𝑃 > 1) In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded to the percentage change in the price of the good is >1. The demand curve shown in Figure is relatively flatter. Example: Luxuries. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 This implies that the percentage change in the quantity demanded is more than the percentage change in the price of the good. 𝐷 𝑃2 𝑃1 𝐷 0 𝑄2 𝑄1 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded to the percentage change in the price of the good is < 1. This implies that the percentage change in the quantity demanded is less than the percentage change in the price of the good. The demand curve is shown in Figure. Example: Necessities. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Relatively Inelastic Demand(𝐸𝑃 < 1) 𝐷 𝑃1 𝑃2 𝐷 0 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded equals the percentage change in the price of the good. The demand curve is shown in Figure. Example: Normal goods. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Unitary Elastic Demand(𝐸𝑃 = 1) 𝐷 𝑃1 𝑃2 𝐷 0 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 Measurement of Price Elasticity 1. 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑀𝑒𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑑 2. 𝐴𝑟𝑐 𝑀𝑒𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑑 3. 𝑃𝑜𝑖𝑛𝑡 𝑀𝑒𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑑 Arc Method To measure arc elasticity, we take two finite points on a demand curve, which are close to each other as in Figure. Arc elasticity is to be calculated on the demand curve 𝐷𝑥 over the arc 𝑀𝑁. 𝐸𝑃 = ∆𝑃 × 𝑃1 +𝑃2 2 𝑄1 +𝑄2 2 𝑄2 −𝑄1 𝑃2 −𝑃1 𝑃1 +𝑃2 𝑄1 +𝑄2 ∆𝑄 = × Point Method Along a linear demand curve, which is downward sloping, price elasticity varies at different points along the demand curve. In Figure on the demand curve DD′, we can calculate elasticity by the formula. 𝐸𝑃 = 𝐿𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟 𝑆𝑒𝑔𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑈𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑆𝑒𝑔𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 At point D on Y-axis = 𝐷𝐷′ 0 =∞ At M, the Midpoint on the demand curve 𝐷𝐷′ = 𝑀𝐷′ 𝐷𝑀 =1 At point 𝐷′ on X-axis = 0 𝐷𝐷′ =0 Thus, as we move down a demand curve, the price elasticity goes on decreasing. Importance of Price Elasticity of Demand Decisions by the Business Firms When a firm is in the process of deciding whether to increase the price of the good that it is producing, it is important to consider the price elasticity of the demand. If elasticity of demand is high, then a decrease in price will lead to an increase in the sales of the good. Under the monopoly when a monopolist goes in for price discrimination of charging different prices in different markets, he determines the price in each market by taking into consideration the price elasticity of demand in each market Decisions by the Government Important decisions have to be made by the government in its formulation of policies. These include the following: Fixation of minimum support prices for agriculture. The elasticity of demand for agricultural products including wheat, rice and vegetables is low since they are necessities. A good harvest leads to an increase in supply, and given the demand there occurs a fall in the price. Since the demand is inelastic, a fall in the price does not lead to an increase in demand. Hence, the farmer’s income does not increase much in spite of a good harvest. Here, the government plays an important role in formulating the policies relating to minimum support price such that the prices of the agricultural products are stabilized and not subject to the vagaries of nature. While formulating policies relating to taxes, if the government is aiming at maximizing its tax revenues to finance the government expenditures, then it should levy high taxes only on goods with low elasticity of demand. In case the elasticity is high, a tax will lead to an increase in the price of the good leading to a decrease in the demand for the good and thus a fall in the tax revenue. Then, the government will be unable to fill its coffers through the collection of taxes. Decisions Relating to International Trade In analyzing the issues relating to the international trade, the elasticity of demand plays a very important role. If a country is facing problems on the balance of payments, the situation can be tackled through devaluation. Devaluation leads to an increase in the price of imports and a decrease in the price of exports of the devaluing country. Hence, devaluation can be successful only if the elasticity of demand for the country’s imports is high so that an increase in the price of imports leads to a decrease in the demand for imports and the elasticity of demand for the country’s exports is low so that a decrease in the price of exports leads to an increase in the demand for exports. Income Elasticity of Demand Income elasticity of demand is a measure of the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a good to a change in the income of the consumer, ceteris paribus. Income elasticity of demand can be defined as the ratio of the percentage change in the quantity demanded of a good to the percentage change in the income of the consumer. 𝐸𝑃 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝐸𝑃 = 𝑄1 −𝑄 𝑄 𝑌1 −𝑌 𝑃 = = ∆𝑄 𝑄 ∆𝑌 𝑌 ∆𝑄 𝑄 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝐸𝑃 = 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦−𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 ×100 𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 −𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 ×100 𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝐷 𝑌1 ∆𝑌 𝑌 𝑌 × ∆𝑌 𝐷 ∆𝑄 𝑄 = ∆𝑄 ∆𝑌 𝑌 ×𝑄 𝑄1 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 Types of Income Elasticity of Demand 1. Positive Income Elasticity (𝐸𝑃 > 0) a. Income elasticity greater than unity (𝐸𝑃 > 1) b. Income elasticity equals to unity (𝐸𝑃 = 1) c. Income elasticity less than unity (𝐸𝑃 < 1) 2. Negative Income Elasticity (𝐸𝑃 < 0) 3. Zero Income Elasticity (𝐸𝑃 = 0) Refers to a situation when the demand for a product increases with increase in consumer’s income and decreases with decrease in consumer’s income. The slope of the curve is upward from left to right, which indicates that the increase in income causes increase in demand and vice versa. Therefore, in such a case, the elasticity of demand is positive. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Positive Income Elasticity (𝐸𝑃 > 0) 𝐷 𝑌1 ∆𝑌 𝑌 𝐷 ∆𝑄 𝑄 𝑄1 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded to the percentage change in the income is >1. This implies that the percentage change in the quantity demanded is more than the percentage change in the income. When the consumer’s income increases, the quantity demanded of the good increases more than proportionately. Example: luxuries. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Income Elasticity Greater than Unity (𝐸𝑌 > 1) 𝐷 𝑌2 𝑌1 𝐷 0 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded is equal to the percentage change in the income. When the consumer’s income increases, the quantity demanded of the good increases proportionately. Example: Comforts. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Income Elasticity Equals to Unity (𝐸𝑌 = 1) 𝐷 𝑌2 𝑌1 𝐷 0 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, the ratio of percentage change in the quantity demanded to the percentage change in the income is < 1. This implies that the percentage change in the quantity demanded is less than the percentage change in the income. When the consumer’s income increases, the quantity demanded of the good increases less than proportionately. Thus, here income elasticity is positive but < 1. Example: Necessities. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Income Elasticity Less than Unity (𝐸𝑌 < 1) 𝐷 𝑌2 𝑌1 𝐷 0 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, there does not occur any change in the quantity demanded when there is a change in the income. It is very difficult to specify the type of good, which will have zero income elasticity. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Income Elasticity Equals to Zero (𝐸𝑌 = 0) 𝐷 𝑌2 𝑌1 0 𝑄 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 In such a situation, an increase in the income leads to a decrease in the quantity demanded of the good. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 Negative Income Elasticity (𝐸𝑌 < 0) 𝐷 Example: Inferior goods. 𝑌1 𝑌2 𝐷 0 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 Significance of Income Elasticity of Demand First, the concept of income elasticity can be used to estimate the future demand for a product provided the rate of increase in income and income elasticity of demand for the product are known. The knowledge of income elasticity can be used for forecasting demand, when a change in personal income is expected, other things remaining the same. Secondly, the concept of income elasticity can also be used to define the ‘normal’ and ‘inferior’ goods. The goods whose income elasticity is positive for all levels of income are termed as ‘normal goods’. On the other hand, the goods for which income elasticities are negative, beyond a certain level of income, are termed as ‘inferior goods’. Cross Elasticity of Demand (𝐸𝑋𝑌 ) Besides the price and the consumer’s income, there are many other factors which influence the demand for a good. An important determinant of demand is the price of the related goods. Cross price elasticity of demand is a measure of the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a particular good to a change in the price of another good, ceteris paribus. Cross price elasticity of demand can be defined as the ratio of the percentage change in the quantity demanded of good 𝑥, to the percentage change in the price of good 𝑦. 𝐸𝑋𝑌 = 𝐸𝑋𝑌 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑜𝑓 𝑋 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑌 ∆𝑄𝑋 𝑃𝑌 × ∆𝑃𝑌 𝑄𝑋 Types of Cross Elasticity of Demand 1. Positive Cross Elasticity (𝐸𝑋𝑌 > 0) 2. Negative Cross Elasticity (𝐸𝑋𝑌 < 0) 3. Zero Cross Elasticity (𝐸𝑋𝑌 = 0) Positive Cross Elasticity (𝐸𝑋𝑌 > 0) In such a situation, the two goods x and y are substitutes, for example, tea and coffee. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑌 An increase in the price of good y leads to an increase in the quantity demanded of good x and vice-versa 𝐷 𝑃𝑌2 𝑃𝑌1 𝐷 𝑄𝑋1 𝑄𝑋2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑋 In such a situation, the two goods x and y are complements, for example, coffee and sugar; Car and Petrol etc. An increase in the price of good y leads to a decrease in the quantity demanded of good x. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑌 Negative Cross Elasticity (𝐸𝑋𝑌 < 0) 𝐷 𝑃𝑌1 𝑃𝑌2 𝐷 0 𝑄𝑋1 𝑄𝑋2 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑋 In such a situation, the two goods x and y are independent goods or goods which are not related to each other, for example, car and mobile phones. 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑌 Zero Cross Elasticity (𝐸𝑋𝑌 = 0) An increase in the price of good y does not lead to any change in the quantity demanded of good x. 𝑃𝑌2 𝐷 𝑃𝑌1 0 𝑄𝑋 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑋 Significance of Cross Elasticity of Demand Most often firms are interested in analyzing the cross elasticity of demand for their goods with respect to other goods, especially the complementary and substitute goods. This is important so that the effect of any changes in the prices can be evaluated and taken into consideration when the firm is planning on its production and pricing strategies. Promotional (Advertisement) Elasticity of Demand Nowadays, most firms spend on sales promotion activities, including advertising, to influence the sales of a good. It is important to note that although advertising does increase the sales, however, the degree to which it does so differs at different levels of the sales. Hence, it is of great importance to determine the optimum level of expenditure that should be incurred on advertising. This is even more important when a firm has to compete with other rival firms who are also involved in advertising their products. Advertisement elasticity is a measure of the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a particular good to a change in advertising, ceteris paribus. Advertisement elasticity can be defined as the ratio of the percentage change in the quantity demanded of good or sales to the percentage change in advertising. 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑄𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝐸𝐴 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝐴𝑑𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 ∆𝑄 𝐴 𝐸𝐴 = ∆𝐴 × 𝑄 Relationship Between Price Elasticity of Demand and Price Elasticity of Demand An important piece of information for the management of a firm is knowledge of the shape of its demand curve. The slope of the demand curve tells managers how many extra units the firm will sell in response to any change in the price of the good. 𝑤𝑒 𝑘𝑛𝑜𝑤, 𝑇𝑅 = 𝑃 × 𝑄 𝑑𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑄, 𝑤𝑒 𝑔𝑒𝑡 𝑑𝑇𝑅 𝑑𝑄 = 𝑑𝑄 𝑃. 𝑑𝑄 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑑𝑃 + 𝑄. 𝑑𝑄 𝑑𝑃 𝑃 + 𝑄. 𝑑𝑄 𝑄 𝑑𝑃 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 . 𝑑𝑄 1 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 𝑑𝑃 . 𝑄 𝑑𝑄 1 −𝑒𝑃 1 𝑒𝑃 𝑜𝑟, 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 + ∴ 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑃 1 − For decision-making purposes, three specific ranges of price elasticity have been identified. Using 𝜖𝑃 to denote the absolute value of the price elasticity, three ranges for price elasticity are 𝜖𝑃 > 1, defined as elastic demand 𝜖𝑃 = 1, defined as unitary elastic demand 𝜖𝑃 < 1, defined as inelastic demand If demand is elastic, a price increase lowers total revenue and a decrease in price raises total revenue. Conversely, when demand is inelastic, price decrease generates less than proportionate increase in quantity demanded, so total revenues fall. Elasticity Implies Following Price Increase Following Price Decrease Elastic Demand 𝜖𝑃 > 1 %∆𝑄 > %∆𝑃 Revenue Decreases Revenue Increases Unitary Elastic 𝜖𝑃 = 1 %∆𝑄 = %∆𝑃 Revenue Unchanged Revenue Unchanged Inelastic Demand 𝜖𝑃 < 1 %∆𝑄 < %∆𝑃 Revenue Increases Revenue Decreases Demand Forecasting Rabin Dahal Concept of forecasting Meaning and types of forecasting: Projection (forecast based on the extrapolation of current and historical trend into the future.) Prediction (forecast based on explicit theoretical assumption.) Conjunctures (forecast based on subjective judgment about future states of society.) "Forecasting aims to reduce uncertainty about tomorrow, so that effective decision can be made today by providing predictions of future values of variables from past and present information” – Reekie and crook “Forecasting is like trying to drive a car blind-folded and following direction given by a person who is looking out of the back-window”. Philip Kotler Meaning of Demand Forecasting: Prediction of future demand of the product on the basis of current state of relationship between the determinants of demand. Steps in Demand Forecasting 1. Specifying the objectives 2. Determining the price perspective 3. Making choice of method for demand forecasting 4. Collection of data and data adjustment 5. Estimation and interpretation of result Specifying the objective The objective or the purpose of demand forecasting must be clearly specified The objective may be specified in terms of a. short-term or long term demand b. Industry demand for a product or for firm’s own product c. The whole or only a segment of the market for its product. d. Firm’s market share The objective of forecasting must be determined before the process of forecast started Determining time perspective Depending on the objective demand may be forecast for short period or long period. In demand forecasting for a short period, many determinants are need to be taken constant. In long run determinants of demand may change significantly. Therefore , the time perspective of demand forecasting must be specified as it helps in making choice of appropriate determinants of demand. Making choice of method for demand forecasting There are various methods of demand forecasting All methods are not suitable for all kind of forecasting. Data requirement of a method, availability of data and time frame of forecasting vary from method to method. Choice of method generally based on the purpose, experience and expertise of the forecaster. It depends also to great extent on the availability of required data. The choice of methods saves times and cost as well as ensures the reliability of forecasting Collection of data and data adjustment Collect the required data Primary or secondary The required data may not be available in the required mode Thus data must be adjusted as per requirements. Estimation and interpretation of data To make the estimate of demand for predetermined years or the period. Here estimates appear in the form of an equation, the result must be interpreted and presented in a usable form Criteria for Good Forecasting Accuracy : accurate as far as possible Simplicity: simple method is always more comprehensive than complicated Durability : reasonable and continuous link between past and the present and future is also necessary Flexibility : able to accommodate and absorb frequent changes occurring in the economy Economy: involve less costs as far as possible Availability : availability of data is vital requirement Techniques of demand forecasting Survey Methods Used to make short-term forecasts. surveys are conducted to collect information about consumers' intensions and their future purchase plan. Basically, new products require the use of survey method only because of absence of any historical data. includes: i) Consumer's survey method; ii) Opinion survey of market experts and sales representatives; and iii) Market studies and experiments. Consumer's Survey Method direct interview of the potential consumers. ask them what quantity of the product they would be willing to buy at different prices over a given period, say, one year. survey can be conducted by simply stopping and questioning people at the shopping centers or any other places. carefully constructed questionnaires and trained interviewers is necessary. 3 alternative ways : Complete enumeration method; Sample Survey method; or End-use method Opinion survey of market experts and sales representatives supposed to possess knowledge of the market, e.g., sales representatives, sales executives, professional marketing experts, and consultants. Opinion survey method includes. a. Expert-opinion method; aims at collecting opinion of those who are supposed to have knowledge of the market. They are supposed to know about future purchase plans of their customers, their reaction to the market changes and the demand for competing products. The estimate of demand thus obtained from different regions are added up together to get the overall probable demand for a product Contd… b. Delphi method developed by Olaf Helmer, Dalkey and Gordon in 1940. it had found its application in environmental forecasting and estimation of strength of bombardment. In business management areas, its relevance is in human resource planning, demand estimation. similar to market opinion method. Panel of experts selection- view collectionrevise- final forecasting Market Experiment Method conducted in the actual market place. There are many ways of performing market experiments. One method is to select several markets with similar socio-economic characteristics (population, income level, cultural and social background, choice and preferences). Market Experiment is conducted by changing commodity price in some markets or stores, packaging in other markets or stores, and the amount and type of promotion in still other markets or stores, the record the purchases of consumers in the different market. Market experiments are helpful to a firm in determining its best pricing strategy, promotional campaigns, and product qualities. It is useful in the process of introducing of products for which no other data exist. And, it is also useful in verifying the results of other statistical technique. Laboratory Experiment The participants are given a sum of money and asked to spend it in a stimulated store. Reaction of participants regarding changes in the commodity prices, product packaging, displays, price of competing products, and other factors influencing demand will be noted. Participants are selected so as to closely represent the socio-economic characteristics of the market of interest. The experiment reveals the consumers' responsiveness to changes made in prices packages etc. laboratory experiments are more realistic than consumer survey in that it reflects actual consumer behavior. Statistical Methods of Demand Forecasting: Statistical methods are considered to be superior technique of forecasting for the following reasons: a. Method of estimation is scientific; b. Estimation is based on the theoretical relationship between the dependent and independent variables; c. Estimations are relatively more reliable; and d. Estimation involves lower amount of cost. Time Series Analysis Classical method of business forecasting. Statistical data presented in chronological order is called time series data. Also known as trend projection, extrapolation or lost horse method. Mathematically, time series is defined as: Y = f(t) Where,Y = dépendent variable t = indépendant variable Objective of time series are - to study the past behavior of the data; and - to forecast the future behavior; Components of Time Series i) Secular Trend (S) ii) Seasonal variation (V) iv) Random or irregular fluctuation (R) iii) Cyclical variation (C) Secular Trend: Trend is movement in the average (or mean) value of the forecast variable y over time. A straight line describes the increase or decrease in the time series over a period of time. Seasonal Trend: It is a special case of a cycle component of time series in which fluctuations are repeated usually within a year (e.g. daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly) with a high degree of regularity. For example, average sales for a retail store may increase greatly during festival seasons. Cyclical Trend: A business cycle may vary in length, usually more than a year. The movement is through four phases: from peak (prosperity) to contradiction (recession) to trough (depression) to expansion. Irregular Trend Irregular variations are rapid charges or bleeps in the data caused by short-term unanticipated and non-recurring factors. Irregular fluctuations can happen as often as day to day. Two models are used to analyze the fluctuations or variations in time series data, which are Additive Model : The additive model is used when it is assumed that the four components of a time series are independent of one another. These components are considered independent of one another when the occurrence and the magnitude of movements in a particular component do not affect the other components. This model analyzes the fluctuations of time series data by adding the probable fluctuation in above stated four causes of fluctuations. Mathematically, Y=S+V+C+R Where, Y = dependent variable S = secular trend V = seasonal variation C = cyclical variation R = random or irregular fluctuation b) Multiplicative Model This model analyze the fluctuations of time series data by multiplying the probable fluctuations in causes of fluctuations In a multiplicative model, it is assumed that all the four components of time series are not independent and the overall variation in the time series is the combined result of the interaction of all the forces operating on the time series. Mathematically, Y=S×V×C×R Where, Y = dependent variable S = secular trend V = seasonal variation C = cyclical variation R = random or irregular fluctuation Given, Y=C×V×C×R Taking log on both sides log Y = log C + log V + log C + log R Moving-Average Method Simple device of reducing fluctuations and obtaining trend values with a fair degree of accuracy. The forecasted value of a time series in a period (month, quarter, year, etc.) is equal to the average value of the time series in a number of previous periods. The forecasted value of the time series for the next period is given by the average value of the time series in the previous three periods, under three period moving average. The greater the number of periods used in the moving average, the greater is the smoothing effect because each new observation receives less weight. Consider the following data for sales of product ‘X’ for the period September 2012 to August 2015 (given as Quarter 12). 𝑅𝑜𝑜𝑡 𝑀𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑆𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝐸𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟(𝑅𝑆𝑀𝐸) = For three quarter moving average forecast 𝑅𝑆𝑀𝐸 = 78.35 9 = 2.95 For Five Quarter Moving Average 𝑅𝑆𝑀𝐸 = 62.48 7 = 2.99 𝐴−𝐹 2 𝑛 Regression Analysis most popular and most useful tool of determining the strength of relationship between dependent and independent variables. The value of dependent variable is determined on the basis of independent variables. Regression line can be used to forecast the value of dependent variable which represents the mean value of independent and dependent variable relationship. In case of demand forecasting, demand of a product is dependent variable and its value is forecasted with the help of its determinants (independent variables). Two types of regression: a) Simple Regression Analysis b) Multiple Regression: Simple Regression Analysis only one independent variable or demand of a product depends upon only one determinant, simple regression is used to forecast the value of single variable demand function. The least square equation for simple regression could be shown as: Y=a+bx Where, 'a' is intercept (constant variable) 'b' is marginal change; 'Y' is dependent variable; and 'x' is independent variable . In the given least square equation, the value of regression coefficients a and b can be derived by solving following two least square equations or normal equations: Y = na + bx xY = ax + bx2 By solving these two equations, we get the values of a and b. When we substitute these values in regression equation, it helps to forecast the value of dependent variable with given independent variable Multiple Regression If the value of quantity demanded of a commodity depends on two or more determinants of demand, we can use multiple regression equation to forecast. Multiple regression equation can be presented as, Y = a + b 1 x 1+ b 2 x 2 Where, ‘a’ is intercept ‘Y’ is dependent variable. x1, x2 are independent variables. b1, b2 are regression coefficients. Linear Trend Model: The method of least squares from regression analysis is used to find the trend line of best fit to a time series data. Example Solution Let the time series equation be 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥 (𝑖) The two normal equations are σ 𝑌 = 𝑛𝑎 + 𝑏 σ 𝑥 (𝑖𝑖) σ 𝑥𝑌 = 𝑎 σ 𝑥 + 𝑏 σ 𝑥 2 (𝑖𝑖𝑖) Now substituting the values from the table into equation (𝑖𝑖) and (𝑖𝑖𝑖) we have 5𝑎 − 𝑏 = 260 (𝑖𝑣) −𝑎 + 23𝑏 = 76 (𝑣) Multiplying equation 𝑣 by 5 and adding equation 𝑖𝑣 and (𝑣) We have 5𝑎 − 𝑏 = 260 −5𝑎 + 115𝑏 = 380 114𝑏 = 640 𝑏= 640 114 ∴ 𝑏 = 5.61 Substituting the value of 𝑏 in equation (𝑖𝑣) 5𝑎 − 5.61 = 260 𝑜𝑟, 5𝑎 = 260 + 5.61 𝑜𝑟, 𝑎 = 265.61 5 ∴ 𝑎 = 53.122 Here, the time series equation is 𝑌 = 53.122 + 5.61𝑥 When, 𝑋 = 2015, 𝑥 = 2015 − 2011 = 4 And 𝑋 = 2016, 𝑥 = 2016 − 2011 = 5 ∴ 𝑌2015 = 53.122 + 5.61 × 4 = 75.56(′000) ∴ 𝑌2016 = 53.122 + 5.61 × 5 = 81.17(′000) Barometric Forecasting Method This method was first developed and used in the 1920s by the Harvard Economic Survey. revived and developed by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and the Conference Board. Barometric forecasting follows the method of meteorologist use in weather forecasting. They use barometric to forecast weather condition on the basis of movements of mercury in the barometer. The barometric technique is based on the idea that the future can be predicted from certain happenings in the present. Mainly, following three types of time series/indicators could be observed in barometric techniques of forecasting. (i) Leading Indicators; (ii) Coincidental Indicators; and (iii) Lagging Indicators Leading Indicators if there is a consistent change in one series before the change in other series, that is called leading indicator. The variable that moves downward before peak and moves upward before trough are called leading indicator. Coincident Indicators If two series of data frequently increase or decrease at the same time, one series may be regarded as a coincident indicator of the other. sometime series move in step or coincide with movements in general economic activities and are therefore called coincident indicators. For example, consumption expenditure increases due to increase in income of the people Lagging Indicators Still other follow or lag movement in economic activity and are called lagging indicators. For example, the bank rate is the leading indicator, the rate of interest charged by commercial bank is coincident indicator and the rate of interest charged by the money lender is a lagging indicator Limitations of Demand Forecasting Accuracy Choice of Technique Availability of Data Statistical Error Change in Determinants Study of Consumer’s Psychology Lack of experienced experts for forecasting Calculation of least possible cost Determination of relationship among the determinants of demand etc. Theory of Production Rabin Dahal Concept of Production In economics, the term ‘production’ means an activity by which resources (men, material, time and so on) are transformed into a different and more useful commodity or value-added service. In general, production means transforming inputs (labour, machines, raw materials, time and so on) into an output. This concept of production is, however, limited to only ‘manufacturing’. Transporting a commodity in its original form from one place to another where it can be consumed or used in the process of production is production. In general, production is process of creation of utility. Short-Run and Long-Run The reference to time period involved in production process is another important concept used in production analysis. The two reference periods are short run and long run. Short run refers to a period of time in which the supply and the use of certain inputs (e.g., plant, building, machinery and so on) is fixed. In the short run, therefore, production of a commodity can be increased to a limited quantity by increasing the use of only variable inputs. The long run refers to a period of time in which the supply of all the inputs is elastic, but not enough to permit a change in technology That is, in the long run, all the inputs are variable. It is important to note here that ‘short run’ and ‘long run’ are economists’ jargon. They do not refer to any fixed time period. Short-Run and Long-Run Production function The short-run production function or what may also be termed as ‘single-variable production function’, can be expressed as ഥ 𝑄 = 𝑓(𝐿, 𝐾) Where, ഥ = 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐾 In the long-run production function both K and L are included and the function takes the form 𝑄 = 𝑓(𝐿, 𝐾) both capital (K) and labour (L) are treated as variable factors Production function with single variable input The short-run production function is also referred to as the total product of labor— the amount of output (or total product) that a given amount of labor can produce holding the quantity of other inputs fixed. The marginal product of labor (MPL) is the change in total output resulting from using an extra unit of labor, holding other factors (capital) constant. The marginal product of labor is the partial derivative of the production function with respect to labor, ഥ 𝜕𝑄 𝜕𝑓(𝐿, 𝐾) 𝑀𝑃𝐿 = = 𝜕𝐿 𝜕𝐿 The average product of labor (APL) is the ratio of output to the number of workers used to produce that output 𝑄 𝐴𝑃𝐿 = 𝐿 Capital (K) Labour (L) TP AP MP 10 0 0 - - 10 1 10 10 10 10 2 30 15 20 10 3 60 20 30 10 4 80 20 20 10 5 90 18 10 10 6 90 15 0 10 7 80 11.34 -10 The law of diminishing returns The decline in the 𝑀𝑃𝐿 is a reflection of the law of diminishing returns. This is an empirical generalization or a physical law, not a proposition of economics. It postulates that as more units of a variable input are used with a fixed amount of other inputs, after a point, a smaller and smaller return will accrue to each additional unit of variable input. In other words, the marginal product of the variable input eventually declines. This occurs because each additional unit of the variable input has less and less fixed inputs with which to work. Optimal combination of single variable input The following assumptions underlie our analysis: A. single commodity 𝑄 is produced in a perfectly competitive market. Hence P x is given for all firms in the market. B. The goal of the firm is profit maximization. C. There is a single variable factor, labour, whose market is perfectly competitive. Hence the price of labour services, 𝑤, ഥ is given for all firms. This implies that the supply of labour to the individual firm is perfectly elastic. can be denoted by a straight line through 𝑤 ഥ parallel to the horizontal axis. At the going market wage rate the firm can employ (hire) any amount of labour it wants. 𝑤 𝑤 ഥ 𝑆𝐿 0 𝐿 Technology is given. The slope of the production function is the marginal physical product of labour 𝑑𝑄 = 𝑀𝑃𝑃𝐿 𝑑𝐿 The 𝑀𝑃𝑃𝐿 declines at higher levels of employment, given the law of diminishing returns. If we multiply the 𝑀𝑃𝑃𝐿 at each level of employment by the given price of the output, 𝑃𝑋 , we obtain the value-of-marginal-product curve 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 . This curve shows the value of the output produced by an additional unit of labour employed. 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 𝑀𝑃𝑃𝐿 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝑃𝑃𝐿 × 𝑃𝑋 𝑀𝑃𝑃𝐿 𝐿 0 The firm, being a profit maximizer, will hire a factor as long as it adds more to total revenue than to total cost. Thus a firm will hire a resource up to the point at which the last unit contributes as much to total cost as to total revenue, because total profit cannot be further increased. In other words the condition of equilibrium of a profit maximizer in the labour market is 𝑀𝐶𝐿 = 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 Or, 𝑤 ഥ = 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 Given that, 𝑤 ഥ = 𝑀𝐶𝐿 The equilibrium of the firm is denoted by 𝑒. 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 , 𝑤 At the market wage rate 𝑤 ഥ the firm will maximize its profit hiring 𝐿∗ units of labour. This is so because to the left of 𝐿∗ each unit of labour costs less than the value of its product (𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 >𝑤 ഥ ), hence the profit of the firm will be increased by hiring more workers. ∗ Conversely to the right of 𝐿 the (𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 < 𝑤 ഥ ), and hence profits are reduced. It follows that profits are at a maximum when 𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑤. ഥ 𝑒 𝑤 ഥ 0 𝐿∗ 𝑆𝐿 𝐿 Two Variable Inputs The new things we have to consider with two factor inputs are The production isoquants The law of diminishing marginal rate of substitution The effect of change in total cost outlay on production Isoquants An isoquant is a curve along which quantity is the same. Quantity refers to quantity of output or total product. With two inputs, labour and capital, isoquants gives the different combinations of labour and capital that produce the same output. Capital The word ‘iso’ is of Greek Origin and means ‘equal’ or ‘same’ IQ 0 Labour Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution MRTS is the rate at which the quantity of capital can be reduced for every one-unit increase in the quantity of labour, holding the quantity of output constant Alternatively, The rate at which the quantity of capital must be increase for one-unit decrease in the quantity of labor, holding the quantity of output constant. The marginal rate of technical substitution is analogous to marginal rate of substitution. We know, 𝑄 = 𝑓 𝐿, 𝐾 𝜕𝑓(𝐿, 𝐾) 𝜕𝑓(𝐿, 𝐾) 𝑑𝑄 = . 𝑑𝐿 + . 𝑑𝐾 𝜕𝐿 𝜕𝐾 0 = 𝑀𝑃𝐿 . 𝑑𝐿 + 𝑀𝑃𝐾 . 𝑑𝐾 −𝑀𝑃𝐿 . 𝑑𝐿 = 𝑀𝑃𝐾 . 𝑑𝐾 𝑑𝐾 𝑀𝑃𝐿 =− 𝑑𝐿 𝑀𝑃𝐾 Diminishing Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution As the units of labour which can substitute one unit of capital or MRTS goes on decreasing. The reason is that both the factors are subject to diminishing returns As the number of labour increases, its marginal productivity decreases. On the other hand, with the decrease in capital, its marginal productivity increases. There fore to substitute each subsequent unit of capital, more and more units of labour are required to maintain same level of production Diminishing Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution As the units of labour which can substitute one unit of capital or MRTS goes on decreasing. The reason is that both the factors are subject to diminishing returns As the number of labour increases, its marginal productivity decreases. On the other hand, with the decrease in capital, its marginal productivity increases. There fore to substitute each subsequent unit of capital, more and more units of labour are required to maintain same level of production Elasticity of substitution A measure of how easy it is for a firm to substitute labor for capital. It is equal to the percentage change in the capital–labor ratio for every 1 percent change in the marginal rate of technical substitution of labor for capital as we move along an isoquant. capital–labor ratio is The ratio of the quantity of capital to the quantity of labor. 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑟 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 𝜎= 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆𝐿 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝐾 In general, the elasticity of substitution can be any number greater than or equal to 0. What is the significance of the elasticity of substitution? If the elasticity of substitution is close to 0, there is little opportunity to substitute between inputs. If the elasticity of substitution is large, there is substantial opportunity to substitute between inputs. Iso-Cost Line In order to construct a cost function, let us assume that a firm has a limited money to spend as its total cost, C, on both K and L and that price of capital (PK) and price of labour (PL) are given Given these conditions, the firm’s cost function may be expressed as 𝐶 = 𝑃𝐿 × 𝐿 + 𝑃𝐾 × 𝐾 the quantity of capital, K, and of labour, L, that can be hired out of the total cost, C, can be obtained as follows: 𝐶 𝑃𝐿 𝐾= − 𝐿 𝑃𝐾 𝑃𝐾 And 𝐶 𝑃𝐾 𝐿 = − .𝐾 𝑃𝐿 𝑃𝐿 A line which represents the alternative combination of K and L that can be hired from the given total cost, C. This curve is known as iso-cost. The iso-cost is also known as the budget line, or the budget constraint line. Given the factor prices, if the total cost increases, the larger quantities of both K and L can be hired, making the iso-costs shift upwards to the right and vice-versa Similarly, given the total cost, if the factor prices decrease proportionately, the iso-cost line will shift upward and vice-versa Slope of Iso-Cost Line We have, 𝑃𝐿 . 𝐿 + 𝑃𝐾 . 𝐾 = 𝐶 𝑜𝑟, 𝑃𝐾 . 𝐾 = −𝑃𝐿 . 𝐿 + 𝐶 𝑃𝐿 𝐶 𝑜𝑟, 𝐾 = − . 𝐿 + 𝑃𝐾 𝑃𝐾 Comparing with 𝑦 = 𝑚𝑥 + 𝑐 𝑃𝐿 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 = − 𝑃𝐾 Optimal Output Maximization We assume a given production function 𝑄 = 𝑓(𝐿, 𝐾) And the given factor prices, 𝑤 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑟, for labour and capital respectively. The firm is in equilibrium when it maximizes its output given, its total cost outlay and the prices of the factors, 𝑤 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑟 Following are the condition for equilibrium of producer a. The slope of isoquant must be equal to iso-cost line or Isoquant must be tangent to iso-cost line b. Isoquant must be convex to origin The maximum level of output the firm can produce, given the cost constraint is 𝑋2 Defined by the tangency of the iso-cost line, and the highest isoquant. The optimal combination of factors of production is K2 and L2 , for prices w and r. Higher levels of output (to the right of e) are desirable but not attainable due to the cost constraint. At the point of tangency (e) the slope of the iso-cost line (w/r) is equal to the slope of the isoquant. The second condition is that the isoquants be convex to the origin. Optimal Cost Minimization There must be tangency of the (given) isoquant and the lowest possible isocost curve, the isoquant must be convex. However, the problem is conceptually different in the case of cost minimization. Curves closer to the origin show lower total-cost outlay. The iso-cost lines are parallel because they are drawn on the assumption of constant prices of factors: since w and r do not change, all the iso-cost curves have the same slope w/r. The Expansion Path and Returns to Scale It is necessary to distinguish between the long run and the short run To economist, the long run is a period of time sufficient to alter quantities of all inputs into the production process. Thus in short run, some inputs are fixed in quantity When we draw the long-run expansion path, we assume that there is enough time to adjust the quantities of all inputs to the optimal levels for the given output. In short run, we may treat capital as fixed. In this case only the labour input can be changed. Example of Two Variable Inputs (CobbDouglas Production Function) The Cobb-Douglas production function is based on the empirical study of the American manufacturing industry made by Paul H. Douglas and C.W. Cobb. It is a linear production function which takes into account two inputs, labour and capital, for the entire output of the manufacturing industry. The Cobb-Douglas production function can be expressed as 𝑄 = 𝐴𝐿𝛼 𝐾𝛽 Where, 𝑄 = 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡 𝐿 = 𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝐾 = 𝑐𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴, 𝛼 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝛽 = 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑠 Properties of Cobb-Douglas Production Function It is log linear Both factors are essential or indispensable Marginal products are positive Average products of Factors Marginal rate of substitution Elasticity of substitution Measure of Factor intensity The efficiency in Production Returns to Scale When inputs have positive marginal products, a firm’s total output must increase when the quantities of all inputs are increased simultaneously—that is, when a firm’s scale of operations increases. Often, though, we might want to know by how much output will increase when all inputs are increased by a given percentage amount. The concept of returns to scale tells us the percentage increase in output when a firm increases all of its input quantities by a given percentage amount: 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑆𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑒 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡𝑠 Three Laws of Returns to Scale When both labour and capital are increased proportionately and simultaneously, there are technically three possible ways in which total output may increase: Output may increase more than proportionately to increase in input Output may increase proportionately to increase in input and Output may increase less than proportionately to increase in input. These three law of returns to scale are explained below first graphically with the help of isoquants and then through the production function Increasing Returns to Scale When both the inputs—labour and capital—are increased proportionately and simultaneously and output increases more than proportionately, it gives the law of increasing returns to scale. The law of increasing returns to scale implies that output increases more than proportionately to the increase in inputs and the rate of increase in output goes on increasing with each subsequent increase in inputs. For example, suppose inputs are increased by 50 per cent and output increases by more than 50 per cent, say by 75 per cent, and when inputs are again increased again by 50 per cent and output increases by 100 per cent and so on. Constant Returns to Scale When change in output is proportional to the change in inputs, it shows constant returns to scale. In other words, if quantities of both the inputs, K and L, are doubled and output is also doubled, then the returns to scale are constant. Diminishing Returns to Scale When output increases less than proportionately to increase in inputs, K and L, and the rate of rise in output goes on decreasing it is called decreasing returns to scale. A proportionate increase in all input quantities resulting in a less than proportionate increase in output. Economies of Scale The economies of scale refer to cost saving resulting from the increase in the scale of production while diseconomies of scale refer to cost escalation due to increase in the scale of production. Economies of scale are distinguished into real economies and strictly pecuniary economies of scale. Pecuniary economies are economies realized from paying lower prices for the factors used in the production and distribution of the product, due to bulk-buying by the firm as its size increases. Such strictly monetary economies do not imply an actual decrease in the quantity of inputs used but accrue to the firm from lower prices paid for raw materials (bought at a discount due to the large volume of the purchase), lower interest rates (and lower cost of finance in general) as the size of the firm increases, or lower wages and salaries. Lower wages are rare and can result only if the firm becomes so large as to acquire the power of a labour monopsonist or near-monopsonist. Real economies are those associated with a reduction in the physical quantity of inputs, raw materials, various types of labour and various types of capital (fixed or circulating capital). We may distinguish the following main types of real economies: production economies selling or marketing economies managerial economies transport and storage economies Economies of Scope A production characteristic in which the total cost of producing given quantities of two goods in the same firm is less than the total cost of producing those quantities in two single product firms. For a firm that produces two products, total costs would depend on the quantity Q1 of the first product the firm makes and the quantity Q2 of the second product it makes. We will use the expression TC(Q1, Q2) to denote how the firm’s costs vary with Q1 and Q 2. Mathematically, economies of scope are present when: TC(Q1, Q2) < TC(Q1, 0) + TC(0, Q2) Why would economies of scope arise? An important reason is a firm’s ability to use a common input to make and sell more than one product. For example, BSkyB, the British satellite television company, can use the same satellite to broadcast a news channel, several movie channels, several sports channels, and several general entertainment channels. Companies specializing in the broadcast of a single channel would each need to have a satellite orbiting the Earth. BSkyB’s channels save hundreds of millions of dollars as compared to stand-alone channels by sharing a common satellite. GAME THEORY Rabin Dhal Concept ■ A game is any situation in which players (the participants) make strategic decisions—i.e., decisions that take into account each other’s actions and responses. ■ Examples of games include firms competing with each other by setting prices, or a group of consumers bidding against each other at an auction for a work of art. ■ Strategic decisions result in payoffs to the players: outcomes that generate rewards or benefits. ■ For the price-setting firms, the payoffs are profits; for the bidders at the auction, the winner’s payoff is her consumer surplus—i.e., the value she places on the artwork less the amount she must pay. ■ Strategy is a rule or plan of action for playing the game. ■ For our price setting firms, a strategy might be: “I’ll keep my price high as long as my competitors do the same, but once a competitor lowers his price, I’ll lower mine even more.” ■ The optimal strategy for a player is the one that maximizes the expected payoff. Payoff Matrix ■ Payoff is defined as a result of outcome of strategy. ■ It is pivot of game theory. ■ It is usually expressed in terms of losses and gains. ■ If the playoff is negative, a player is said to be looser. ■ . Let us suppose, a market with two competing firm whose objective is to increase their profits by price changes. ■ We can further assume that each firm has two possible strategies. ■ It can maintain its price at present level or it can increase its price. ■ In the game, there are four possible combination of strategies: both firm increases their prices, neither firm increases price; firm A increases its price but firm B does not increase its price and B increase its price but A does not increase its price. These results can be shown as a payoff matrix as follows: Pepsi Price Increase No Price Change (20,20) (40, -20) Price Increase (-20, 40) (25,25) Coca Cola No Price Change Dominant Strategies ■ Strategy that is optimal no matter what an opponent does. ■ It means dominant strategy is the one which yield higher return to the player. ■ This approach has to be done by element comparison between the rows or between the columns. ■ The inferior strategies are not adopted as they give smaller benefit to the player. ■ I’m doing the best I can no matter what you do. You’re doing the best you can no matter what I do. ■ The four possible outcomes for this simple game are illustrated it above payoff matrix. if both firm advertise, firm A will earn a profit of 5 and firm B will earn profit of 3. ■ The bottom left cell of the payoff matrix, on the other hand, shows that if firm A doesn’t advertise and firm B does, firm A will have a profit of 2, and firm B have profit of 6. The other payoffs in the second column can be similarly interpreted. ■ The best strategy for firm B is to advertise whether firm A does advertise or not. Firm B profit would always be greater if it choose its best regardless of what strategy of firm B. ■ The dominant strategy is the optimal choice for a player no matter what the opponent does Nash Equilibrium ■ Nash equilibrium is a set of strategies (or actions) such that each player is doing the best it can given the actions of its opponents. ■ Because each player has no incentive to deviate from its Nash strategy, the strategies are stable. ■ I’m doing the best I can given what you are doing. You’re doing the best you can given what I am doing. Firm B Don’t advertise Advertise 5 0 Advertise Firm A 15 10 8 Don’t advertise 6 2 20 Prisoner’s Dilemma ■ The concept of prisoner’s dilemma can be used to analyze the behavior of firm under price and non-price competition as well as in cartel. ■ It has great relevance to the oligopoly theory. ■ The incentive of firm to fulfill its own interest under price, non-price competition and cartel is best explained by ‘Prisoner’s Dilemma.’ ■ It is the story about two criminals who have been arrested by the police. ■ It helps to understand the behavior of firms who do not know about their rival’s action. ■ Prisoners’ dilemma describes many of life’s situations. ■ It shows that cooperation is difficult to maintain even if cooperation would make both players in the game better off. ■ It is the self-interest that makes difficult for the oligopoly to maintain the cooperative outcome with low production, high prices and monopoly profits. ■ Two criminals say Ratne and Kale are captured after committing a bank robbery. ■ However, the proofs are not sufficient to make robbery charge unless one or both criminals confess. ■ Ratne and Kale are isolated from one another and interrogated so that no communication is possible between them. ■ The office of Chief District Officer promises no punishment for the suspect who does not confess. ■ . If both Ratne and Kale do not confess, then both will go free. ■ Similarly, if both confess, they will get the sentence of 10 years. ■ The following table shows the situation of criminal: The above payoff matrix shows that both criminals have two strategies available to them and they face dilemma. • To confess and go free if other does not confess or get 10 years of sentence if other confess • Remain silent and go free if other doesn’t confess or get 20 years sentence if other confess ■ Here confessing is a dominant strategy as we spend less time in jail if he confesses irrespective of whatever other does. ■ So, not to confess is worse situation for both the players as they are uncertain regarding the decision of one another. ■ If communication or cooperation were possible, or if they have learned from past experience to trust each other, they would both plead not to confess and go free, and thereby maximizing their gain. ■ In non-collusive oligopoly, firms are interdependent to each other. ■ It means firms make decision with the uncertainty about how their rivals will react to their moves. ■ Firm makes decision to fulfill their own interest rather than promoting the common interest. ■ . Firm has strong interest to cheat which results worse off of the common interest of members. ■ . Firm has the incentive to cheat in cartel by secretly cutting prices to sell more than allocated quota. The above example shows that firms are in prisoner’s dilemma. Both firm will charge low price and earn a smaller profit. It is because if it charges the high price, it cannot trust its rival to charge higher price. Market Structure Rabin Dahal Market Structure: Concepts • In the real world, there is a mind - boggling array of different markets. We observe widely different behavior patterns by producers across markets: in some markets producers are extremely competitive; in others, they seem somehow to coordinate their actions to avoid competing with one another; and, as we have just described, some markets are monopolies in which there is no competition at all. • In order to develop principles and make predictions about markets and how producers will behave in them, economists have developed four principal models of market structure: perfect competition, monopoly, oligopoly, and monopolistic competition. • This system of market structures is based on two dimensions: – The number of producers in the market (one, few, or many) – Whether the goods offered are identical or differentiated • Differentiated goods are goods that are different but considered somewhat substitutable by consumers (think Coke versus Pepsi). • In monopoly, a single producer sells a single, undifferentiated product. • In oligopoly, a few producers—more than one but not a large number— sell products that may be either identical or differentiated. • In monopolistic competition, many producers each sell a differentiated product (think of producers of economics textbooks). • And finally, as we know, in perfect competition many producers each sell an identical product Concept of Oligopoly Market • An oligopoly is an industry with only a small number of producers. • A producer in such an industry is known as an oligopolist. • Oligopoly is the market structure in which there are a few sellers selling homogeneous or differentiated products. • However, economists do not specify what number of sellers make the market oligopolistic. • However, two sellers is the limiting case of oligopoly. • When there are only two sellers, the market is called duopoly. • In any case, if oligopoly firms sell a homogeneous product, it is called pure or homogeneous oligopoly. • For example, industries producing bread, cement, steel, petrol, cooking gas, chemicals, aluminum and sugar are industries characterized by homogeneous oligopoly. • And, if firms of an oligopoly industry sell differentiated products, it is called differentiated or heterogeneous oligopoly. • Automobiles, television sets, soaps and detergents, refrigerators, soft drinks, computers, cigarettes, etc., are some examples of industries characterized by differentiated or heterogeneous oligopoly. Features of Oligopoly • Small Number of Sellers • Interdependence of Decision Making • Barriers to Entry • Indeterminate Price and Output Collusive Oligopoly • One way of avoiding the uncertainty arising from oligopolistic interdependence is to enter into collusive agreements. • There are two main types of collusion, cartels and price leadership. • Both forms generally imply tacit (secret) agreements, since open collusive action is commonly illegal in most countries at present. • Although direct agreements among the oligopolists are the most obvious examples of collusion, in the modern business world trade associations, professional organisations and similar institutions usually perform many of the activities and achieve in a legal or indirect way the goals of direct collusive agreements. • For example, trade associations issue various periodicals with information concerning actual or planned action of members. In this official way firms get the message and act accordingly. CARTEL • When two or more than two producers’ collusively determines the price and output in the market, it is called cartel. • But cartel faces two major problems. They are – Firstly, how much output to produce altogether and at what price to sell it so as to maximize profit – Secondly, how to allocate the production of the optimal (profit-maximizing) output between the two plants. • Thus, to solve these problems following models of cartels are discussed – Joint Profit Maximization – Market Sharing Cartel – Non-Price Competition – Market sharing on the basis of quota Joint Profit Maximization • Cartels imply direct (although secret) agreements among the competing oligopolist with the aim of reducing the uncertainty arising from their mutual interdependence. • In this particular case the aim of the cartel is the maximization of the industry (Joint) profit. • We concentrate on a homogeneous or pure oligopoly, that is, an oligopoly where all firms produce a homogeneous product. • The firms appoint a central agency, to which they delegate the authority to decide not only the total quantity and the price at which it must be sold so as to attain maximum group profits, but also the allocation of production among the members of the cartel, and the distribution of the maximum joint profit among the participating members. • The authority of the central cartel agency is complete. • Clearly the central agency will have access to the cost figures of the individual firms, and for the purposes of the present theory we unrealistically suppose that it will calculate the market-demand curve and the corresponding MR curve • From the horizontal summation of the MC curves of individual firms the market MC curve is derived. • The central agency will set the price defined by the intersection of the industry M R and MC curves. • For simplicity assume that there are only two firms in the cartel. 𝑀𝐶1 𝐴𝐶1 𝑃 𝐶1 𝐴𝐶2 ∑MC=MC1 + MC2 𝑃 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝐶2 𝐹 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝐺 𝑒1 𝑂 𝑃, 𝐶, 𝑅 𝑃, 𝐶, 𝑅 𝑃, 𝐶, 𝑅 𝑀𝐶2 𝑃 𝐸 𝑒2 𝑄 𝑂 𝑄2 𝑄 𝑂 𝐴𝑅 𝑄 𝑄 𝑀𝑅 Market Sharing Cartel • This form of collusion is more common in practice because it is more popular. • The firms agree to share the market, but keep a considerable degree of freedom concerning the style of their output, their selling activities and other decisions. • There are two basic methods for sharing the market – Non-Price Competition – Sharing of the market by agreement on quotas Non-Price Competition • In this form of 'loose' cartel the member firms agree on a common price, at which each of them can sell any quantity demanded. • The price is set by bargaining, with the low-cost firms pressing for a lower price and the high-cost firms for a high price. • The agreed price must be such as to allow some profits to all members. • The firms agree not to sell at a price below the cartel price, but they are free to vary the style of their product and/or their selling activities. • This form of cartel is indeed 'loose', in the sense that it is more unstable than the complete cartel aiming at joint profit maximization. • If all firms have the same costs, then the price will be agreed at the monopoly level. • However, with cost differences the cartel will be inherently unstable, because the lowcost firms will have a strong incentive to break away from the cartel openly and charge a lower price, or to cheat the other members by secret price concessions to the buyers. • However, such cheating will soon be discovered by the other members of the cartel, who will gradually lose their customers. • Thus others may split away from the cartel, and a price war and instability may develop until only the fittest low-cost firms survive. • Another possibility is that the members of the cartel in conjunction may decide to start a price war until the firm which split off or cheated is driven out of business. • Whether this policy will be successful depends on the cost differential (cost advantage) of the splitter relative to the other cartel members as well as on the liquidity position and the ability of obedient members to finance possible losses during the period of the price war. Sharing of the market by agreement on quotas • The second method for sharing the market is the agreement on quotas, that is, agreement on the quantity that each member may sell at the agreed price (or prices). • If all firms have identical costs, the monopoly solution will emerge, with the market being shared equally among member firms. • For example, if there are only two firms with identical costs, each firm will sell at the monopoly price one-half of the total quantity demanded in the market at that price. • However, if costs are different, the quotas and shares of the market will differ. • Allocation of quota-shares on the basis of costs is again unstable. • Shares in the case of cost differentials are decided by bargaining. • The final quota of each firm depends on the level of its costs as well as on its bargaining skill. • During the bargaining process two main statistical criteria are most often adopted: quotas are decided on the basis of past levels of sales, and/or on the basis of 'productive capacity'. • The 'past-period sales' and/or the definition of 'capacity' of the firm depends largely on their bargaining power and skill. • Another popular method of sharing the market is the definition of the region in which each firm is allowed to sell. • In this case of geographical sharing of the market the price as well as the style of the product may differ. 𝑃, 𝐶 𝑃𝑀 𝑃 𝑀𝐶2 𝑀𝐶1 𝑃𝑀 𝑃𝑀 𝐷2 𝐷1 𝑂 𝑀𝑅1 𝑄1 𝑄 𝑂 𝑀𝐶 = 𝑀𝐶1 + 𝑀𝐶2 𝑀𝑅2 𝑄2 𝑄 𝐷 = 𝐷1 + 𝐷2 𝑄1 𝑄2 𝑄𝑀 𝑀𝑅 Price Leadership • Another form of collusion is price leadership. In this form of coordinated behavior of oligopolists one firm sets the price and the others follow it because it is advantageous to them or because they prefer to avoid uncertainty about their competitors' reactions even if this implies departure of the followers from their profit-maximizing position. • Price leadership is widespread in the business world. • It may be practiced either by explicit agreement or informally. • In nearly all cases price leadership is tacit since open collusive agreements are illegal in most countries. • Price leadership is more widespread than cartels, because it allows the members complete freedom regarding their product and selling activities and thus is more acceptable to the followers than a complete cartel, which requires the surrendering of all freedom of action to the central agency. • If the product is homogeneous and the firms are highly concentrated in a location the price will be identical. • However, if the product is differentiated prices will differ, but the direction of their change will be the same, while the same price differentials will broadly be kept. • There are various forms of price leadership. – Price leadership by a low-cost firm. – Price leadership by a large (dominant) firm. – Barometric price leadership. • The characteristic of the traditional price leader is that he sets his price on marginalistic rules, that is, at the level defined by the intersection of his MC and MR curves. • For the leader the behavioral rule is MC = MR. • The other firms are price-takers who will not normally maximize their profit by adopting the price of the leader. • If they do, it will be by accident rather than by their own independent decision. Low Cost Price Leadership Model • We will illustrate this model with an example of duopoly. • It is assumed that there are two firms which produce a homogeneous product at different costs, which clearly must be sold at the same price. • The firms may have equal markets (or they may come to an agreement to share the market equally) or they may have unequal markets (or agree to share the market with unequal shares). • The important condition for this model is that the firms have unequal costs. 𝑃, 𝐶 𝑃, 𝐶 𝑀𝐶𝐵 𝐴𝐶𝐵 𝑀𝐶𝐴 𝑃𝐵 𝑃𝐴 𝑀𝐶𝐵 𝑃𝐵 𝑃𝐴 𝐴𝐶𝐵 𝑀𝐶𝐴 𝐴𝐶𝐴 𝐴𝐶𝐴 𝑑𝐴 𝐷𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑂 𝑑 𝑄𝐵𝑒 𝑄 = 𝑄1 + 𝑄2 𝑄𝐴 𝑀𝑅1 = 𝑀𝑅2 𝑄 𝑑𝐵 𝑜 𝑋𝐵𝑒 𝑋𝐵 𝑄𝐴 𝑀𝑅𝐵 𝑀𝑅𝐴 𝑄 Model of Dominant Frim • Dominant firm is that type of firm which has some control over the market over his brand or it has some command due to his extra knowledge about the market and the consumers. • In this model, dominant firm determines the price of commodity on the basis of maximization of his profit i.e. MC = MR principle, whereas other firms will act as the follower firms which follows the price. • In this situation, dominant firm acts as the residual monopolist supplier of the product and other firms act as competitive firms. • They not only follow the price but also divide market share on the output left by dominant firm as a part of market demand. Price S D E P PD Price /Cost MC C D PD B ED AR O QR QD O QD MR Price S D E P PD Price /Cost MC C D PD B ED AR O QR QD O QD MR In the above diagram, dominant firm has no demand at price higher than OP. Dominant firm will be in equilibrium at ED (Panel B) determining output as OQD and price OPD. Total demand of product in the market at that price is OQD (Panel A). Since, decrease in price creates excess demand of CD i.e. QRQD. That portion of demand is fulfilled by dominant firm and remaining portion OQR is fulfilled by other following firms in the market. Similarly as low cost price leadership model, dominant firm will be leader for long run if and only if price determined by the dominant firm will give opportunity to all the follower firms to realize profit. Otherwise, the firms will refuse to follow the dominant firm and this pricing mechanism will fail to operate. Barometric Price Leadership • In this model it is formally or informally agreed that all firms will follow (exactly or approximately) the changes of the price of a firm which is considered to have a good knowledge of the prevailing conditions in the market and can forecast better than the others the future developments in the market. • In short, the firm chosen as the leader is considered as a barometer, reflecting the changes in economic environment. • The barometric firm may be neither a low-cost nor a large firm. • Usually it is a firm which from past behavior has established the reputation of a good forecaster of economic changes. • A firm belonging to another industry may also be chosen as the barometric leader • Barometric price leadership may be established for various reasons. • Firstly, rivalry between several large firms in an industry may make it impossible to accept one among them as the leader. • Secondly, followers avoid the continuous recalculation of costs, as economic conditions change. • Thirdly, the barometric firm usually has proved itself as a 'reasonably' good forecaster of changes in cost and demand conditions in the particular industry and the economy as a whole, and by following it the other firms can be 'reasonably' sure that they choose the correct price policy. Kinked-Demand Curve Model • The kinked-demand curve as a tool of analysis originated from Chamberlin's intersection of the individual curve of the firm and its market-share curve. • However, Chamberlin himself did not use 'kinked-demand' in his analysis. • Hall and Hitch in their famous article 'Price Theory and Business Behavior'' used the kinked-demand curve not as a tool of analysis for the determination of the price and output in oligopolistic markets, but to explain why the price, once determined on the basis of the average-cost principle, will remain 'sticky.‘ • That is, Hall and Hitch use the kinked-demand curve in order to explain the 'stickiness' of prices in oligopolistic markets • However, in the same year (1939), P. Sweezy published an article in which he introduced the kinked-demand curve as an operational tool for the determination of the equilibrium in oligopolistic markets. • His model, which still holds (surprisingly) an important position as an 'oligopoly theory' in most textbooks, may be presented as follows. • The demand curve of the oligopolist has a kink reflecting the following behavioral pattern. • If the entrepreneur reduces his price he expects that his competitors will follow suit, matching the price cut, so that, although the demand in the market increases, the shares of competitors remain unchanged. • Thus for price reductions below P (which corresponds to the point of the kink) the share-of-the market- demand curve is the relevant curve for decisionmaking. • However, the entrepreneur expects that his competitors will not follow him if he increases his price, so that he will lose a considerable part of his custom. • The equilibrium of the firm is defined by the point of the kink because at any point to the left of the kink MC is below the MR, while to the right of the kink the MC is larger than the MR. • Thus total profit is maximized at the point of the kink. • However, this equilibrium is not necessarily defined by the intersection of the MC and the MR curve. • Indeed in general the M C passes somewhere through the discontinuous segment AB. UNIT 7. MARKET FAILURE RABIN DAHAL Concept of Market Failure Market failure occurs when resources are misallocated, or allocated inefficiently. It arises because exchange is impeded. Market failure result in waste or lost value. There are four causes of Market Failure: Viz. Market Power(Imperfect Market), Public Goods, Externalities and Imperfect Information Market Power or Imperfect Competition Perfect competition is a market situation in which the number of buyers and sellers is so large that none of them is able to influence the market price. Each individual firm in this case is price taker and merely adjusts its output in such a way as to maximize profits. When this assumption does not hold i.e. when single firms have some control over price and potential competition, the result is imperfect market. such imperfect market results in inefficient allocation of resources. Imperfect market are generally classified into three categories: Monopoly Monopolistic Competition Oligopoly Suppose this industry was monopolized Dead Weight Loss A reduction in net economic benefit resulting from an inefficient allocation of resources is called dead weight loss. The difference between the net economic benefit that would arise if the market were perfectly competitive and the net economic benefit attained at the monopoly equilibrium is called dead weight loss due to monopoly. Externalities The effect that an action of any decision maker has on the well-being of other consumers or producers, beyond the effects transmitted by changes in prices. In general, the defining feature of an externality is that the actions of one consumer or producer affect other consumers’ or producers’ costs or benefits in a way not fully reflected by market prices . Externalities are positive if they help other producers or consumers. We frequently observe positive externalities from consumption. For example, when a child is vaccinated to prevent the spread of a contagious disease, that child receives a private benefit because the immunization protects her from contracting the disease. Further, because she is less likely to transmit the disease, other children in the community benefit as well. Externalities can also be negative if they impose costs on or reduce benefits for other producers or consumers. For example, a negative externality from production occurs if a manufacturer of an industrial good causes environmental damage by polluting the air or water. NEGATIVE EXTERNALITIES AND ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY Why do firms produce too much in an otherwise competitive market when there are negative externalities? If the producers do not have to pay for the environmental damage their pollution causes, each firm’s private cost will be less than the social cost of producing the chemical. The private cost will not include the cost of the damage that the toxic waste does to the air or water around the plant. With a negative externality, the marginal social cost exceeds the marginal private cost. The marginal private cost curve MPC measures the industry’s marginal cost of producing the chemical. POSITIVE EXTERNALITIES AND ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY With a positive externality, the marginal social benefit from the good or service exceeds the marginal private benefit. Other people around a consumer also benefit when the consumer furthers her education or keeps herself in good health. Similarly, when one firm succeeds in developing a new product or technology with a program of research and development, the benefits often spill over to other firms and, ultimately, to consumers. Just as firms overproduce when there are negative externalities, so do firms under produce when there are positive externalities And just as the overproduction is the result of consumers’ not taking external costs into account, so is the underproduction a result of consumers’ not taking external benefits into account. That is, when you decide whether to buy a good, you consider the benefits you will receive (the marginal private benefit), but you do not consider the benefits your consumption will have for others. Public Goods A public good, in general, has two defining features: first, one person’s consumption of the good (e.g., driving x miles on the highway) does not reduce the quantity that can be consumed by any other person (all other drivers can still drive as far as they want on the highway); and second, all consumers have access to the good (any driver can drive on the highway) . Public goods benefit all consumers even though individual consumers do not pay for the provision of the good. Public goods have two characteristics: They are nonrival goods and nonexclusive goods. With a non rival good, consumption by one person does not reduce the quantity that can be consumed by others. An example of a non rival good is public broadcasting. When one viewer tunes in, the number of others who can watch or listen is not diminished. The marginal cost of providing output to another consumer of a non rival good is zero A nonexclusive good is a good that, once produced, is accessible to all consumers; no one can be excluded from consuming the good after it is produced. Once a nonexclusive good is produced, a consumer can benefit from the good even if he does not pay for it. Examples of nonexclusive goods are abundant, including national defense, public parks, television and radio signals, and artwork in public places. Free Rider Problem There are often thousands, or even millions, of consumers of public goods such as a dam, a public park, or public broadcasting. To finance an efficient level of output for a public good, consumers must jointly agree that everyone contributes an amount equal to his own willingness to pay. However, since the provision of a public good is nonexclusive, everyone benefits once the public good is provided. Consequently, individuals have no incentive to pay as much as the good is really worth to them. A consumer can behave as a free rider, paying nothing for a good while anticipating that others will contribute. The free-rider problem makes it difficult for a private market to provide public goods efficiently. It is generally easier to organize effective efforts to collect voluntary funding when the number of people involved in paying for a project is small because each person recognizes that his or her contribution is important. However, when the number of consumers of a public good becomes large, it is more likely that many consumers will act as free riders. Public intervention may be necessary to ensure the provision of a socially beneficial public good. The government therefore often produces a public good itself or subsidizes the enterprises that produce the good. Incomplete Information/Asymmetric Information The side with better information is said to have private information or, equivalently, asymmetric information. There are several sources of asymmetric information. Parties will often have “inside information” concerning themselves that the other side does not have. Consider the case of health insurance. A customer seeking insurance will often have private information about his or her own health status and family medical history that the insurance company does not. Consumers in good health may not bother to purchase health insurance at the prevailing rates. A consumer in poor health would have higher demand for insurance, wishing to shift the burden of large anticipated medical expenses to the insurer. Other sources of asymmetric information arise when what is being bought is an agent’s service. The buyer may not always be able to monitor how hard and well the agent is working. The agent may have better information about the requirements of the project because of his or her expertise, which is the reason the agent was hired in the first place. Asymmetric information can lead to inefficiencies. Insurance companies may offer less insurance and charge higher premiums than if they could observe the health of potential clients and could require customers to obey strict health regimens. With appliance repair, the repairer may pad his or her bill by replacing parts that still function and may take longer than needed—a waste of resources. There are basically three types of information asymmetry: Adverse selection Signaling Moral Hazard Adverse Selection Adverse selection refers to a situation where a selection process results in a pool of individuals with economically undesirable characteristics. A classic example of adverse selection occurs in used-car markets. A used-car buyer who thinks that the used cars that are for sale are of average quality will be sadly mistaken. The problem of adverse selection also applies to insurance markets. The customers that are most likely to want insurance are the people who face the highest risks, but these are the people that insurance companies would least like to have as customers. Signaling Signaling is a mechanism used to get information on a hidden characteristic. Hidden characteristic is a situation in which one party knows some characteristic which the other party would like to know. An important way to deal with private information problems in signaling. Signaling involves taking steps that communicate otherwise unobservable information from one party to another. In 1998-1999 two giant firms entered the used car business in United States. These two firms were Auto Nation and Car Max. Their strategy was to sell used cars at relatively high price and to signal to consumers that all of their used cars were goods. The signaling involved a lot of advertising as well as extended warranties Moral Hazard Suppose that you have just purchased a fairly priced insurance policy that completely reimburses you for any damage that your car suffers as a result of an automobile accident. Now that you know that you are fully insured, how careful will you be? Perhaps not as careful as you would have been had you not been fully insured. Perhaps you drive faster or behave more recklessly under adverse weather conditions. Perhaps you take less care to protect your car against vandals or thieves (e.g., by parking it on the street rather than in a garage) This illustrates the concept of moral hazard, whereby an insured party exercises less care than he or she would in the absence of insurance. Phenomenon whereby an insured party exercises less care than he or she would in the absence of insurance is Moral Hazard. Principal Agent Problem Models of asymmetric information can quickly become quite complicated and so, before considering a full-blown market model with many suppliers and demanders, we will devote much of our analysis to a simpler model—called a principal-agent model—in which there is only one party on each side of the market. The party who proposes the contract is called the principal. The party who decides whether or not to accept the contract and then performs under the terms of the contract (if accepted) is called the agent. The agent’s actions taken during the term of the contract affect the principal, but the principal does not observe these actions directly. The principal may observe outcomes that are correlated with the agent’s actions but not the actions themselves. This first model is called a hidden-action model. The hidden-action model is also called a moral hazard model. In a second model, the agent has private information about the state of the world before signing the contract with the principal. The second model is thus called a hidden-type model. For historical reasons stemming from its application in the insurance context, which we discuss later, the hidden-type model is also called an adverse selection model. PRINCIPAL AGENT AGENT’S PRIVATE INFORMATION HIDDEN TYPE HIDDEN ACTION Shareholder Manager Managerial Skill Efforts, Executive Decision Managers Employee Job Skill Efforts Home Owner Appliance Repairer Skill, Severity of Appliance Malfunction Efforts, Unnecessary Repairs Student Tutors Subject Knowledge Preparation, Patience Monopoly Customer Value for Goods Care to Avoid Breakage Health Insurer Insurance Purchaser Pre-existing Condition Risky Activity Parents Children Moral Fiber Deliquency Government Response to Market Failure Regulating competition (Antitrust) policy Price and utility regulations, Patent system Taxes and Subsidies Operating controls Regulations of environment pollution Public choice theory Regulating competition (Antitrust) policy Competition is desirable because it reduces price as well as increases output and efficiency in the allocation of resources, but the economy can’t achieve the situation of perfect competition due to political decision making and complexity of market. workable competition is the realistic goal for the policy makers or the goal of antitrust policy is to achieve the workable competition. Generally, antitrust policy is related to the structure and conduct of the industry. Antitrust law restricts business practices that are considered unfair or monopolistic. the laws brought with the objective of controlling monopoly and maintain workable competition among the producers is known as antitrust policy. It is the primary device used to encourage competition. Imposition of fines or fixing prices in unison is the examples of antitrust policy. Edwin Mansfield, “The antitrust laws are aimed at promoting competition and limiting monopoly.” Antitrust Policy in Nepal: The antitrust policy adopted in Nepal is , “Competition Promotion and Market Protection Act, 2063 (2007)”. aims to make national economy more open, liberal, market-oriented and competitive by maintaining fair competition among the firms. also aims to protect markets against undesirable interference and to control monopoly and restrictive trade practices. The act defines following activities as anticompetitive practices and prohibits conducting such practices: 1. Prohibition on Anti-competitive Agreements 2. Prohibition on Abuse of Dominant Position 3. Prohibition on Merger or Amalgamation with Intent to Control Competition 4. Prohibition on Bid Rigging 5. Prohibition on Exclusive Dealing 6. Prohibition on Market Restriction 7. Prohibition on Tied Selling 8. Prohibition on Misleading Advertisement Patent System: The granting of special right to produce, use or sale any invention to any firm for the specified period by the government. It is used to promote and prevent inventions. Pappaz and Brigham, “Patents are the government grant of exclusive right to produce, use or sell an invention or idea for a specified period of time.” Milton H. Spencer, “A Patent is an exclusive right conferred by a government on an inventor for a limited time period.” In conclusion, patent is a method to promote invention by providing temporary but legal monopoly power to the inventors. So that, the inventors firm will be able to take advantage of its inventions. USA practiced Patent Right for 20 years. In Nepal, According to Patent, Design and Trade Mark Act (1965)- patent can be provided for 7 years and can be renewed not more than twice. Arguments in favor of Patent: It is an important incentive to induce the inventor to make inventions. It is a necessary incentive to induce the firms to work more and invest in new machine. The inventions are disclosed soon due to patent act but if there was no such act it will not be disclosed for long time. So, in long-run newly invented commodities or services are easily available for the consumers. Arguments against Patent: New knowledge will not be much used. So, there is no possibility of decrease in MC. Patent right system in general increases the imitation cost. This discourages the new entrants. So, it is ineffective. If it is misused, it creates further market inefficiency. It increases monopoly thinking of individuals and firms. Price Regulation Price regulation refers to the policy of setting prices by a government agency, legal statute or regulatory authority. Under this policy, minimum and/or maximum prices may be set. Sometimes a government may impose a price ceiling in a market, such as a maximum allowable price. Price ceilings will affect the distribution of income and economic efficiency when they hold the price for a good or service below the level that would be observed in equilibrium without the ceiling. In other cases policy makers may impose a floor on the price allowed in a market. For example, many governments have enacted laws that specify a minimum wage that must be paid to workers. PRICE CEILINGS The price ceiling is below the equilibrium price in a market with an upward-sloping supply curve and a downward-sloping demand curve, the ceiling will have the following effects: The market will not clear. There will be an excess demand for the good. The market will under-produce relative to the efficient level (i.e., the amount that would be supplied in an unregulated market). Producer surplus will be lower than with no price ceiling. Some (but not all) of the lost producer surplus will be transferred to consumers. Because there is excess demand with a price ceiling, the size of the consumer surplus will depend on which of the consumers who want the good are able to purchase it. Consumer surplus may either increase or decrease with a price ceiling. There will be a deadweight loss. PRICE FLOOR The government imposes a price floor higher than the free-market price, we observe the following effects in a market with an upward-sloping supply curve and a downward-sloping demand curve: The market will not clear. There will be an excess supply of the good or service in the market. Consumers will buy less of the good than they would in a free market. Consumer surplus will be lower than with no price floor . Some (but not all) of the lost consumer surplus will be transferred to producers. Because there is excess supply with a price floor, the size of the producer surplus will depend on which of the producers actually supply the good. Producer surplus may either increase or decrease with a price floor. There will be a deadweight loss. Utility Regulations In some industries, economies of scale operate (i.e., the long-run average cost may fall) continuously as output expands, so that firm could supply the entire market more efficiently than any number of smaller firms. Such a large firm supplying the entire market is called natural monopoly. The distinguishing characteristic of a natural monopoly is that the firm’s long run average cost curve is still declining when the firm supplies the entire market. Examples of natural monopolies are Public utilities. To have more than one such firm in the market would lead to duplication of supply lines and too much higher costs per unit. To avoid this, local governments usually allow a single firm to operate in a market but regulate price and quantity of services provided, so as to allow only a normal riskadjusted rate of return on investment. Taxes Tax refers to the compulsory obligation of peoples to government Economists often use a partial equilibrium model to study the effects of an tax on a competitive market. In a market with an upward-sloping supply curve and a downward-sloping demand curve, the effects of an excise tax are as follows: The market will under-produce relative to the efficient level (i.e., the amount that would be supplied with no tax). Consumer surplus will be lower than with no tax. The impact on the government budget will be positive because tax receipts are collected. The tax receipts are part of the net benefit to society because they will be distributed to people in the economy. The tax receipts will be less than the decrease in consumer and producer surplus. Thus, the tax will cause a reduction in net economic benefits Subsidies Instead of taxing a market, a government might decide to subsidize it. We can think of a subsidy as a negative tax. Many of the effects of a subsidy are the opposite of the effects of a tax. The market will overproduce relative to the efficient level. Consumer surplus will be higher than with no subsidy. Producer surplus will be higher than with no subsidy. The impact on the government budget will be negative. Government expenditures on the subsidy constitute a negative net economic benefit since the money to pay for the subsidy must be collected elsewhere in the economy. Government expenditures on the subsidy will be larger than the increase in consumer and producer surplus. Thus, there will be a deadweight loss from overproduction. Operating Controls: The government also tries to control market failure associated with external diseconomies. For this, government uses operating controls. Operating control refers to the control imposed by the government to limit the activities of the business firm. The main Controls of Govt. are: 1. Control on Environment Pollution and Degradation 2. Control on food products and drugs 3. Control on industrial work conditions 4. Control on price 5. Control on wage rate 6. Control on services of financial institutions 7. Control on public services like transportation etc. Regulations of environment pollution Environment Pollution is the best example of external diseconomies of scale. Since environment pollution is also causing market failure because it increases social cost and decreases social benefit. For which the government should implement the appropriate measures to control it. The optimum level of pollution control can be explained with the help of pollution cost curve and pollution control cost curve. Pollution Cost: It is the social cost realized by the society due to the pollution emitted by the industries. Pollution cost increases with increase in quantity of pollution emitted. It means pollution cost curve is positively sloped. Pollution Control Cost: It is the cost required to control pollution. It decreases with the increase in quantity of pollution emitted due to which pollution control cost curve is negatively sloped. Optimum level of Pollution Control: Optimum level of pollution is determined by the interaction between positively sloped pollution cost curve and negatively sloped pollution control cost curve as following. THEORY OF PUBLIC CHOICE James Buchanan (noble prize winner in economics,1986) and Gordon Tullock developed the concept of public choice theory in their most famous work, The Calculus of Consent (1962). They argued that unless constitutional rules are structured in a manner that will bring the self-interests of the political players into harmony with the wise use of resources, government action will often be counterproductive. Public choices (political actions) are affected by self interest and incentives of mainly three players i.e. voters, politicians and bureaucrats. All these want to maximize their self interest due to which public policies fail. There are four major reasons why the political allocation of resources will often result in inefficiency. 1. Special interest effect 2. Short sightedness effect 3. Rent seeking 4. Inefficiency of government operation THE PRICING RABIN DAHAL PRICING PRACTICES Traditional Approach of MR=MC may not work in all market conditions. Reality may differ with abstract theories. Practical pricing models vary with traditional theories of pricing. COST-PLUS PRICING The procedure of cost-plus pricing has received increased attention following considerable empirical evidence of its favor in practice. This determines price on the basis of the addition of three components: price = average fixed cost + average variable cost +a 'reasonable' profit margin. Two steps are involved in cost-plus pricing. First, the cost of acquiring or producing the good or service must be determined. The total cost has a variable and fixed component. In either case, cost are computed on an average basis AC=AVC+AFC The second step in cost-plus pricing is to determine the mark up over costs. The overall objective is set prices that allow the firm to earn its targeted rate of return. Where m is a mark up on cost, P is the product price and C is the average cost. We get price of the product as P=C(1+m) INCREMENTAL PRICING The firm should change the price of the product or its output; introduce a new product, or new version of a given product or its product, accept new order and so on, if the increase in total revenue from the action exceeds the increase in total or incremental cost. For example, an airline should introduce a new flight if the incremental revenue from the flight exceeds the incremental cost. PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE BASED PRICING Every product progresses through certain stages during its life cycle. The four major life stages being development, growth, maturity and decline. Consumers respond differently to a product depending on its life cycle stage. From the launch day of the product, until it reaches the decline stage, the consumers’ perception of the product changes drastically. At every step, the buyer’s level of interest fluctuates. Some become price-sensitive, others convert it into loyal customers while some lose interest and switch to other brands. Now, here is when product life cycle pricing theory comes into play. The pricing technique helps businesses make wise decisions on product/service pricing according to the life cycle of the product. To make it easier to understand, we are describing the stages below with life cycle stage pricing examples and effective strategies for each stage. Development Stage The most delicate time in the life cycle of a product is the development stage. During this stage, a product is the most vulnerable as it requires significant capital investment to develop, test its effectiveness and gain the interest of the consumers. The risk is generally high, and there is no certainty whether the product will move to its later stages or not. What should be the pricing strategy? At this stage, you can either set the prices high and trust the reputation of the product or lower and penetrate the market with an alluring offer Growth Stage It is the stage when businesses witness rapid growth and are more likely to earn bigger revenues. Once in the initial stage, the demand for the product is created, it is followed by the growth stage when potential customers begin asking for it. During the growth-stage retailers show interest in purchasing the product. Businesses may have to invest in promotions to create this demand. What should be the pricing strategy? Keep the prices on the average level to maintain competitiveness but maximize profits while convincing more and more people to try it. At this stage, you can adopt a competitive pricing strategy to keep your product in high demand. Maturity Stage At this stage, a product reaches its saturation point as, by this time, most people have some perceptions about the product or service. At this stage, most of the people will have your product or either have an idea about what you are offering so; there will be much less demand due to the absence of curiosity. Many businesses will continue to make additions to their product so that buyers show interest in choosing their product over other brands. What should be the pricing strategy? To avoid losing to cheaper products and continue being a trusted brand in the market, you can reduce prices. Now, price reduction does not necessarily mean that you decrease the rates, but instead you must introduce them in the form of discounts, put them on sale or provide special offers. While reducing prices, make sure that you do not reach the breakeven point. Decline Stage The decline stage situation for every business varies. Here is how! Some businesses continue to flourish, the sale proceeds to increase gradually, and the footprint of the brand name continues to spread either through word of mouth or the planned marketing techniques. Everything happens at a slow pace. Customers that become loyal towards the brand will continue revisiting to buy the product and avail the services. While some businesses begin to lose their customers and sales drop, the reason for this could be either that you are not able to offer what people are asking for or maybe the taste of the consumer has changed. What should be the pricing strategy? Businesses need to revamp the product and present it in a whole new fashion, make new offerings or follow the concept of bundling. Bundling is a marketing concept in which businesses sell their product along with other products, as one single unit. Another way to survive the situation is by decreasing production and development costs. MULTIPLE PRODUCT PRICING In today’s competitive market, almost all companies produce multiple models, styles or sizes of output and each of these variations can represent a separate product for pricing purposes. Although, multiple product pricing requires same basic analysis (i.e. two basic conditions of profit maximization) as for single product, the analysis will be complicated due to demand and production interrelations. Multiple products may have demand interrelations (substitutes or complements) or production interrelations. There are two cases of Joint product pricing with Fixed proportions or Variable Proportions. WHEN PRODUCTS ARE PRODUCED IN FIXED PROPORTIONS P/C/R ∑MR When the products are jointly produced in fixed proportions, those products are considered as ‘Production Package’ for which separate allocation of costs can not be made. Pricing is done by considering combined MR and MC relationships. MC PA E ARA PB F ARB MRA O Q Quantity MRB WHEN PRODUCTS PRODUCED IN VARIABLE PROPORTIONS: P/C/R ∑MR PA E MC PB When the products are jointly produced in fixed proportions, those products are considered as ‘Production Package’ for which separate allocation of costs can not be made. Pricing is done by considering combined MR and MC relationships. ARA F ARB MRA O QB QA MRB Quantity PEAK LOAD PRICING Useful to determine the price of the commodities which can’t be stored eg. Electricity, transportation, telephone etc. High price will be determined at the time with high demand i.e. peak time and low price will be determined at off time. There should be variation of demand in different times. Eg. Telephone fare in day and night, internet charge in day and night etc. The main conditions required for peak load pricing are: 1. Product cannot be stored. 2. There must be variation of demand for the product according to time. 3. Average cost of production remains same for all time period. TRANSFER PRICING Transfer pricing refers to the intra-industry pricing in which different production divisions determine the price of intermediate product and final product. Intermediate products are used within the same industry to produce final products. Example: Bajaj Motorcycle Company establishes its own Tyre industry. Bike production unit is parent industry and Tyre production unit is subsidiary product. Parent industry can either purchase tyre from its subsidiary firm or can purchase from competitive market. There are two cases under transfer Pricing. Which are: CASE 1: TRANSFER PRICING WITHOUT EXTERNAL MARKET. P/C/R F P MCB EB MCT ET AR E ART=MRT MR O QB=QT Quantity CASE 2: TRANSFER PRICING WITH EXTERNAL MARKET. P/C/R F P MCB EB MCT ΣMC ET E AR ART=MRT MR O QB QT Quantity EXPORT PRICING Price fixed for the export products or services which the exporter intends to sell in the overseas market is called export pricing. Export price of a given product is determined by many factors. Export Pricing can be determine by the following factors: Range of products offered. Prompt deliveries and continuity in supply. After-sales service in products like machine tools, consumer durables. Product differentiation and brand image. Frequency of purchase. Specialty value goods and gift items PRICE DISCRIMINATION The practice of charging consumers different prices for the same good or service is price discrimination. Price discrimination (charging different prices for different consumers) offers the monopolist, or any firm with market power, an opportunity to capture more surplus. Certain market features must be present for a firm to capture more surplus with price discrimination: A firm must have some market power to price discriminate. The firm must have some information about the different amounts people will pay for its product. A firm must be able to prevent resale, or arbitrage DEGREES OR TYPES OF PRICE DISCRIMINATION There are three basic types of price discrimination: First Degree Price Discrimination Second Degree Price Discrimination Third Degree Price Discrimination FIRST DEGREE PRICE DISCRIMINATION: MAKING THE MOST FROM EACH CONSUMER The firm tries to price each unit at the consumer’s reservation price (i.e., the maximum price that the consumer is willing to pay for that unit). For example, when a firm sells a product at an auction, it hopes that consumers will bid up the price until the consumer with the highest reservation price pays that price for the product. The seller hopes that the price will be close to the maximum amount the winner is willing to pay for the good. First-degree price discrimination is ideal from the seller’s viewpoint. If the seller can perfectly implement first-degree price discrimination, it will price each unit at the maximum amount the consumer of that unit is willing to pay. SECOND DEGREE PRICE DISCRIMINATION: QUANTITY DISCOUNTS he firm offers consumers quantity discounts—the price per unit goes down if the consumer buys more units. For example, a software firm might set a price of $50 per unit for consumers buying between 1 and 9 copies of a computer game, a price of $40 per unit for 10 to 99 copies, and a price of $30 per unit for 100 copies. A form of second-degree price discrimination in which the consumer pays one price for units consumed in the first block of output (up to a given quantity) and a different (usually lower) price for any additional units consumed in the second block. Subscription and Usage charges THIRD DEGREE PRICE DISCRIMINATION: TWO SEGMENT, TWO PRICES The practice of charging different uniform prices to different consumer groups or segments in a market is called price discrimination. The firm identifies different consumer groups, or segments, in the market, each with a different demand curve. Then, to maximize profit, the firm sets a price for each segment by equating marginal revenue and marginal cost. For example, if an airline identifies business and vacation travelers as segments having different demand curves for flights on the same route, it can charge a different price for each segment—say, $500 per ticket for business travelers and only $200 per ticket for vacation travelers. Segmentation of market according to their elasticities and Different price for different market. High price in inelastic market and low price in elastic market. The aggregate marginal revenue can be derived by combining the marginal revenues of the two sub-markets. Conditions of equilibrium: MC=ΣMR MC=MR1=MR2 AUCTION PRICING An auction is a process of buying and selling goods or services by offering them up for bid, taking bid and then selling the item to the highest bidder. Auctions are designed to push sales prices closer to a buyer’s willingness to pay. While the highest bidder for an object of art or a tract of land may not have to pay as much as the bidder is willing to pay, the seller hopes to capture as much of the surplus as possible by making potential buyers compete for the good being sold. While in auction a base price is set for the item and bidders bid the price according to their willingness to pay for that particular item