SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC SYSTEMS (SAGE Chapter 48) Dr. Elizabeth M. Remedio Outline • Introduction • Previous developments and approaches to stability and sustainability until the last crisis started • Analysis of areas-crucial for reforms• Emergence of a new, less risky, and more responsible art of Capitalism st 1 decade of the Collapsing Financial Markets Shrinking Middle Class st 21 century Rising Unemployment Rate Deeper Inequalities st 1 decade of the Extreme Indebtedness Climate Change Problems st 21 century Inability of Governments to force through reforms Scarcity (Challenges to Availability of Resources vCoined by Beck (1986) vThis essay asserts that the main reason for the current problems has been the inability of modern societies to produce enough stability and sustainability. Stability Ø Firmness in position, permanence, and resistance to change especially in a disruptive way Ø Avoiding large swings in economic activity, high inflation, and excessive volatility in exchange rates and financial markets (IMF, 2012) “Economy is Stable” Ø It just means that the system is in one of the calm phases of the business cycle. Ø Within a few years, every economy moves through periods of rapid growth with rising demand, higher inflation, and dropping unemployment with reversal phenomena (Knoop, 2009). Before the 21st Century Ø Challenge: Excessive highs and lows should be avoided Ø Fluctuations are unavoidable – but a clever stabilization policy could flatten and shorten them without changing significantly long-term trends of growth Ø Anti-cyclical policy Ø Government should interfere and raise spending – John Maynard Keynes Ø Monetarism – Milton Friedman Sustainability Ø Considers the long term capacities of a system to exist. Ø Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs (World Commission on Environment and Development, 1987) Ø Economics devotes more attention to the problem of what combination of resources could induce growth. Ø Escape from Sustainability dilemma: Technology Human Capital Education Sustainability Ø Capitalists of yesterday had only to reach the resources before other competitors Ø “Tragedy of the Commons” – Garret Hardin Sustainability Problems in Environmental Issues and Resources Towards a Sustainable (and More Stable) Economic Model Areas of Economic Models that should be Re-thought and Redesigned: 1. New clarification on what an efficient market is. 2. There are many different institutional ways to efficient economic systems. 3. What is economic growth and what kind of growth is compatible with the idea of sustainability? Complexity Approach to Markets Difficulties with efficient economic policy and providing stability and sustainability: Ø Formal concept of markets which dominates modern economics Ø Market Assumptions – Like a Rocking Horse: no matter the reason, a horse with blinkers will move in an expected way. Knut Wicksell Herd of Wild Horses Pluralism Development Models How convergence failed: Convergence of National Economic Models Ø Rapid expansion of neo-liberal ideology – problems: Ø Increased exposition of the world economic systems on crisis and contagion effects Ø Efficiency Ø Legitimacy of market based solutions “Markets are the essence of a market economy in the same sense that lemons are the essence of a lemonade pure lemon juice is barely drinkable to make a good lemonade, you need to mix it with water and sugar.” - Dani Rodrik - Pluralism Development Models Varieties of Capitalism FIRMS Most important actors for welfare creation R E S O U R C E S Pluralism Development Models Theoretical Models (2 Outermost) Liberal Market Economy ü Dynamic Access to Resources ü Capital from stock markets ü Labor – hire & fire ü Skills – Workers’ own investment Coordinated Market Economy ü Transactions are more stable and long term oriented ü Capital – from banks ü Labor – long term contracts ü Skills – produced in companies Approaches to Growth The Roll-over effect Domination of GDP index in measurements of performance of national economies. More Growth The more goods produced, the better for economies. Amended Growth GDP is just one important index. There are many more indexes such as HDI (Human Development Index). End of Growth “There are no ‘low hanging fruits’ anymore.” – Tyler Cowen Slower pace of innovation Conclusion 1. The issue of sustainability will expand to all fields of economic life and merge with stability. 2. Moving towards a new economic model 3. Pluralism of institutional arrangements 4. Corrected goal and measure of development