ILMUNC XXXVI ONLINE COMMITTEE EUROPE AFTER THE E.U. Ashley Shah Secretary-General Lexie Shah Director-General Danae Stavrou Chief of Staff Julia Sachs Chief of Operations Sebastien Gray Chief Financial Officer Sameer Khan Under-Secretary-General General Assemblies Erin Kraskewicz Under-Secretary-General General Assemblies Nikhil Gangoli Under-Secretary-General Specialized Agencies Maranda Duignan Under-Secretary-General Specialized Agencies Mariana Simoes Under-Secretary-General Economic and Social Council Vishesh Shah Under-Secretary-General Crisis Simulations Vinai Kumar Under-Secretary-General Crisis Simulations Isaac Bloom Business Director Jack Kalvar Business Director Nicholas Schell Under-Secretary-General Operations ILMUNC ONLINE PO Box 31826 | 228 S. 40th Street | Philadelphia, PA 19104 (215) 519-5817 | sec-gen@ilmunc.com | ilmunc.com Sarah Zhou Under-Secretary-General Operations ONLINE COMMITTEE ILMUNC INTRODUCTION TO THE BODY On January 31, 2020, the United Kingdom officially triggered Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon, leaving the European Union’s political bodies while a transitory period allowed for the renegotiation of free trade agreements and regulatory policies associated with the EU. As of December 25, 2020, the December 31st deadline for this transition period was finally met, with a deal that is sure to reshape the livelihoods of farmers, fishermen, and anyone who sources products from across the Channel.1 This committee takes place in an alternate future in which these concerns were finalized in a surprisingly uncontroversial manner, the fully independent United Kingdom prospered, and the Brexit pathway created a framework by which other nations might themselves leave the European Union. EUROPE AFTER THE EU forgiveness and more stringent or distributed refugee policies, have declared they will trigger Article 50 and leave the EU unless these demands are met. Your job, as the member states of the EU, is to come to an agreement by the end of this one-night committee: can you manage to meet the demands of Italy and Greece while keeping the interests of all other member states in mind, or will you let them leave, fracturing the Union even further? It is relevant to note that this is a fully speculative future, with many of the required pieces of alternate history extremely unlikely, if not realistically impossible. We ask you to take them as given truth for the sake of the simulation — there are important and pressing topics often nestled inside fantasy. Origins of the EU The European Union was officially established when the Maastricht Treaty came into effect on November 1, 1993, absorbing the eleven nations that comprised of the European Economic Community (EEC) at the time: Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, the United Kingdom, Flags of the EU member states in front of the European Parliament Building in Strasbourg, France.2 Portugal, and Spain.4 Alongside having access to a single internal market, the Schengen Agreement (1985) also The year is now 2023. The COVID-19 pandemic allowed for open borders between these countries. Since was fully quashed by Fall 2021, but the long-term the establishment of the EU, membership has grown to effects have persisted for the last few years. While the 27 member states. A majority of these members have virus mostly targeted the elderly, who were already not adopted the singular currency of the Euro that was counted in the labor force, significant output loss from established in 2002 in an effort to promote exchange rate lockdown and social distancing measures, paired with an stability that aids with trade and free movement. However, increase in public debt as governments scrambled to pass this decision came at the cost of austerity measures, both stimulus measures, have weighed heavily on countries on the political and economic front, that have played a with outstanding debt issues and anti-EU sentiment — pivotal role in the conflicts that began to arise in the early namely, Italy and Greece.3 Now, coalitions of anti-EU 2010s. As of 2009, the Lisbon Treaty reformed many aspects parties in both countries, calling for debt mutualization/ 2 EUROPE AFTER THE EU ILMUNC ONLINE COMMITTEE of the legal structure of the European Union: increasing the claimed that his country had been “blackmailed and powers of the European Parliament, formally establishing humiliated” and a “scapegoat” for the EU’s incompetence the European Council, and creating an official President when discussing the situation in 2011.9 As for preventing position that was backed by a democratic election process.5 the spread of this crisis to other nations in the EU, the These changes served to cement the EU as an institution, European Central Bank cut interest rates that same year just in time to deal with the upcoming economic and and employed a program of quantitative easing to aid political situations that impacted the region as a whole. with the overall spike in budget deficits.10 Events such as the Euro-Zone Debt Crisis, the Refugee Crisis, Brexit, and the very recent COVID-19 pandemic have introduced points of contention that question the feasibility of the EU going forward. European Debt Crisis In the wake of the global financial crisis, the European Debt Crisis started with George Papandreou’s (Prime Minister of Greece) revelation in 2009 that they had a budget deficit that was almost four times higher than it was supposed to be under EU regulations that were spelled out in the Maastricht Treaty.6 With Spain, Portugal, Italy, and Ireland not far behind in their position of financial distress, these nations adopted fiscal austerity measures that ultimately were not enough to save them National Debt-to-GDP in EU member countries (Q1 2020)11 With the primary attempts of European Council to from their precarious situation—and instead led to a lot of come to a consensus on how to resolve the crisis resulted internal civil dissent, as these measures disproportionately in an proposed intergovernmental treaty that failed due impacted public spending and pension funds.7 With to the objections of the UK and Hungary, an alternative Greece and Ireland asking the EU for a bailout to help “fiscal pact” was signed in January 2012 (with both the accommodate their debt levels, disagreement arose among Czech Republic and the UK abstaining from signing).12 more financially stable countries, such as Germany, that The fiscal compact introduced new rules in order to make disagreed with the prospect of bailing nations out with it harder to break budget deficits and prevent similar debt self-imposed dire circumstances. This debate continued crises from reoccurring in the future. As attention shifted as the bailout was approved and Greece was persuaded to helping Italy and Spain as concerns rose about their 8 to adopt strict austerity measures in order to continue to economic standing, civilian upset over the ratification of receive financial assistance from the EU and the IMF. This the latest austerity bill in Greece was displayed during decision was not particularly well-received within the the country’s general elections in May.13 By the end of nation, as Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos 2012, the crisis was deemed to be officially resolved 3 ONLINE COMMITTEE ILMUNC when growth resumed in Europe and countries were EUROPE AFTER THE EU The conflict of hosting refugees has been split able to rebalance their budgets and narrow their deficits. between more hospitable and less welcoming nations, However, the political implications of this crisis remained with Germany leading the former and nations such as more unresolved, as countries that were bailed out faced Hungary and The Czech Republic leading the latter.19 internal political shifts aligned with the dissent of the Specifically, the issue has been stratified among wealthier austerity measures that were employed to avoid default. and more land-rich countries that have the resources to accommodate refugees versus EU states with higher levels European Migrant Crisis of unemployment and economic instability that do not The refugee crisis of the 2010s is believed to have want to burden themselves with the addition of politicalstarted in 2014, as swarms of displaced individuals arrived asylum seekers.20 Likewise, worries of accommodating via the Mediterranean Sea and Southeast Europe due to the religions and ethnic differences of refugees has been ongoing conflicts in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Syria.14 As the especially prominent among a few nations such as Poland migratory flows steadily increased and peaked in 2015, and Slovakia, two nations taking a hard stance alongside the Dublin Regulation struggled to accommodate the Hungary against these set quotas.21 With these cultural crowds of people coming in because the responsibility and political differences within the EU itself, it has been of vetting asylum requests only fell upon the country difficult to come to a consensus on how to approach the of primary entry.15 Nations that have coastlines along ever-existing crisis. As recently as this year, there has been the Mediterranean Sea, such as Greece and Italy, had a a new proposal by the European Commision that would particularly difficult time dealing with this influx. The EU attempt to address the dissatisfaction that nations have Regional Trust Fund that was launched in response to the with the quota system, aiming to create reforms that Syrian Crisis in 2014 provided initial financial aid to many would encourage participation and cooperation from of Syria’s nearby countries, but it was not enough.16 With all members of the EU.22 However, it remains unclear the uptick of refugees steadily increasing, the EU worked whether the EU will be able to agree on a stance to handle with Turkey to release a Joint Action Plan in late-2015, the migrant crisis in a unified manner. followed by an EU-Turkey statement in 2016, that would aid with the humanitarian situation of refugees in Turkey, Brexit as well as discourage migration into the EU.17 While these After the United Kingdom triggered Article 50 actions helped discourage the number of irregular border following a second referendum regarding leaving the EU crossings, the question of how to handle the number in 2016, the complexities of navigating a divorce from of refugees within the EU remained under debate. The the EU have been brought to light. With Theresa May European Commission set forth a quota proposal in as Prime Minister at the time, the United Kingdom had 2015 to alleviate the pressure of being overwhelmed by two years to negotiate exit conditions and define the migrants, but this was wildly contentious among certain nature of their relationship with the EU going forward. countries including the The United Kingdom, Czech In Phase 1 of the negotiations that occured in 2017, Republic, Hungary and Latvia.18 4 the EU and the UK reached a provisional agreement on EUROPE AFTER THE EU ILMUNC ONLINE COMMITTEE citizens’ rights, as well as a financial settlement.23 In 2018, (Members of the European Parliament) to have a deal more issues came to light with the negotiations process, as passed by the 20th with no current deal in place, it seems the UK made significant concessions on free movement, more likely that it will stay that way once the transition budget contributions, the role of the European Court period is over — leaving the UK to conduct trade with the of Justice (ECJ), trade and fishing rights within Brexit EU under WTO rules and spelling severe ramifications talks. However, Prime Minister Theresa May’s Chequers for the UK economy.27 Plan regarding the UK leaving the EU ultimately created disagreement from both the UK government and other EU leaders.24 While a deal on the UK’s exit was ultimately FUTURE HISTORY Already weighty outstanding government debts in proposed on November 25 of that year, the withdrawal Greece and Italy were only exacerbated by the long-term agreement was defeated in the United Kingdom’s House fallout from the coronavirus. Italy, which was initially hit of Commons on January 15, 2019, by a margin of 432 the worst out of any European country by the pandemic, to 202.25 Facing two other losses to pass the deal in that proposed the possibility of ‘Coronabonds,’ a bond year, the UK’s membership in the EU was extended on a system that would redistribute the cost of coronavirus “flexible” term. across the bloc28. This proposal was quickly shot down by Germany and other conservative nations in the EU, a move which angered Italian politicians and stoked fears that Italian public debt — standing at 134.8% of GDP in 2018 — was becoming riskier, increasing the spread between German and Italian bonds.29 While this did not constitute an immediate issue, when combined with bitterness towards a lack of European medical aid, which was soon replaced by Chinese donations and volunteers, Britain’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson speaks to pro-Brexit activists at the Conservative Campaign Headquarters in London, 2019.26 public opinion towards the EU only soured further.30 A 750 billion-euro relief package from the EU in July 2020 As Boris Jonhson took over the post as Prime also dedicated €209 billion specifically to Italy; however, Minister in late 2019, the deal finally went through this only temporarily alleviated concerns regarding the Parliament and both the EU and the UK went through monetary autonomy of the Italian government.31 with the Withdrawal Agreement in late January 2020, Italian populist parties such as the Five Star which maintained many of the provisions set forth by Movement and Lega Nord —in addition to the ‘Italexit’ Theresa May. On the 31st of that month, the UK entered party — gained significant ground since their founding in an eleven-month transition period that would culminate 2018; furthermore, 49% of Italians would support a move in an official departure from the EU. However, as of to leave the EU in an April 2020 poll.32 With significant December, deadlocks have made it difficult to come to debt increase over the course of the post-Coronavirus a consensus on a trade deal. With the deadline of MEPs years, which the EU stimulus package was unable to 5 ONLINE COMMITTEE ILMUNC EUROPE AFTER THE EU fully alleviate, a coalition of these parties was able to gain increasing the country’s debt. Many in Greece feel that significant momentum in Italy, riding support primarily the EU’s control over monetary policy has benefitted the off of the poorer southern regions of the country.33 larger countries at the expense of their own citizens, with While the Five Star Movement and Lega Nord have Germany profiting from falling borrowing rates associated held coalition power since 2020, it remains to be seen with the austerity measures the bloc enforced.38 Some how much of that coalition’s seats will go to the Italexit economists like Paul Krugman have suggested a return Party in the 2023 election. If the Italexit Party are able to to the Greek Drachma (the original currency of Greece) gain significant support in the Parliament, a referendum would allow the country to control its own monetary regarding triggering Article 50 will most likely be issued, policy, and competitive devaluations might be able to re- especially due to the unexpected success and autonomy balance the trade-off between inflation and growth.39 granted to the United Kingdom under Brexit. While the Greek government has been held under Greece’s main concerns, like those of Italy, are the liberal-conservative coalition of the New Democracy primarily economic. After the worldwide recession of party since 2019, the far-right Greek Solution party 2007-08, public-debt-to-GDP ratio reached 127% in has nearly tripled its support to 9.2% of all seats in 2009, the Greek government misreported economic parliament. The party’s leader, Kyriakos Velopoulos, statistics to keep in line with monetary union guidelines, is an ex-telemarketer who espouses anti-immigration, and Greek government bonds were given junk status anti-EU, and ultra-nationalist policies.40 The Greek by credit rating agencies after interest rate increases and Solution Party is unlikely to secure an upset victory over data of a recession became available.34,35 While bailouts the New Democracy in the next election, but their antiwere loaned to the government, this has merely pushed refugee rhetoric is undeniably appealing, especially with the issue back — scheduled debt payments to the IMF, the economic pains the country has felt since 2008. A Eurozone governments and private lenders are due all the successful Italian exit from the European Union has been way until 2060.36 seen as a likely trigger for similar proceedings in Greece, especially with any additional and future complications with the debt crisis. OTHER BLOC POSITIONS France, Germany, Poland, and Spain As the remainder of the G6 of the EU (with the United Kingdom gone and Italy potentially following), you wish to hold the EU together at all costs. The majority People gather in front of the Euro-Monument in Frankfurt, Germany.37 of EU voting power is held by your four countries, and as such, the continued existence of the bloc guarantees The economic fallout from the Coronavirus has future trade policy that benefits you. However, some of only exacerbated the issue, with government stimulus these nations — particularly Germany and France — 6 EUROPE AFTER THE EU ILMUNC make up a great deal of the expenditure on EU policies that other countries benefit from. A Greek exit from ONLINE COMMITTEE QUESTIONS THE COMMITTEE MUST ANSWER the EU would be particularly disastrous, since much of the country’s outstanding debt is either made out to the • Is there a way to fairly mutualize or forgive European Central Bank or to your countries in particular growing amounts of national debt? Can the (money which you may never get back with a Greek classic methods of austerity be retooled without departure). You have long held conservative fiscal and significant pushback and protest? monetary policy as the modus operandi when it came to • How do you distinguish the legitimate economic issues of national debt, only providing significant loans and political concerns of anti-European Union when paired with austerity measures. You will have to groups from those which hinge on discrimination decide if a method like this is sustainable for the future and fear? while keeping in mind the wishes of Italy, Greece, and • other countries. How should countries accept refugees in an equitable way, while quickly and safely giving migrants shelter and a new home? What Other EU Countries bureaucracy is needed in the asylum process, if The majority of EU countries, as smaller economies, receive more in spending and aid than they contribute, any, and where is it deleterious? • especially in the case of some Central and EasternEuropean countries like Romania, Poland, and Hungary. 41 Is there such a thing as a pan-European identity? If so, what should it look like going forward? • After the United Kingdom successfully left the While certain politicians in both Poland and Hungary European Union, would the exits of Italy and have voiced their dissatisfaction with the Union, citing Greece be disastrous, especially with another concerns over the bloc potentially overreaching with its member of the original G6 gone? Are the rest power, they have done little more than veto a budget of the EU’s constituent countries willing to take proposition in 2020 and threaten further action if their that risk? more conservative political positions, especially on LGBT • If Italy and Greece leave, what should networks 42 rights and climate issues, are not taken into consideration. of trade, customs, and product regulation look Leaving would create long-term economic destruction in like between the Union and the new independent these countries unlike the conditions likely in the UK or states? Is free trade and mobility still the way Italy, and the EU remains incredibly popular among the forward in Europe? general public. Smaller economies and countries with 43 • What is the purpose of the EU? How much different cultural priorities than the larger powers of the power should it have in its constituent member- EU may look to support the Union’s continuation, but states? will likely disavow any overreach into national sovereignty. • What ramifications would two more departures from the European Union have on the economies and publics of Europe? 7 ONLINE COMMITTEE ILMUNC CONCLUSION Because the real-world process of Brexit is still underway — meaning that much of the historical background is being written as this committee proceeds — we do not expect speeches and directives to involve expert knowledge of European tax code, for example, but we ask delegates to remain as grounded as possible. The committee is likely to address sensitive issues of refugee settlement and nationalism, which affect us as people first and foremost, not delegates, meaning we have a responsibility to treat the topics with respect. The European Union has stood as a combined superpower on the global stage since 1993, weaving cultures, markets, and governments together to the point many would not have considered Britain’s exit from the bloc a possibility as recent as 2015. This web of human and economic connection has deep-set intricacies, which delegates should attempt to address in turn as new and unforeseen consequences of their actions emerge. This situation will challenge you to think on your feet, hopefully leading you to develop solutions that balance efficacy, uniqueness, and inclusion in a still-ongoing crisis of trade, diplomacy, and human rights. Delegates will have to determine whether the founding principles of the EU still apply as it moves into its fourth decade, potentially changing the direction of the Union for years — if there is to be a Union at all. 8 EUROPE AFTER THE EU EUROPE AFTER THE EU ILMUNC ONLINE COMMITTEE Endnotes 1 Castle, Stephen. “Tariffs, Traffic and Red Tape: What a ‘No-Deal’ Brexit Could Mean for Britain.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 18 Dec. 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/12/18/world/europe/no-deal-brexit.html. 2 https://www.thestreet.com/politics/what-is-european-union-14690672 3 Jordà, Oscar, et al. “The Long Economic Hangover of Pandemics - IMF F&D.” Finance and Development, International Monetary Fund, June 2020, www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2020/06/long-term-economic-impact-of-pandemics-jorda.htm. 4 Anonymous. “A Growing Community – the First Enlargement.” European Union, 28 May 2020, europa.eu/european-union/ about-eu/history/1970-1979_en. 5 “Lisbon Treaty.” Encyclopædia Britannica, Encyclopædia Britannica, Inc., 24 Nov. 2020, www.britannica.com/event/LisbonTreaty. 6 Steiner, Sheyna. “Timeline Of European Debt Crisis.” Bankrate, 29 Oct. 2012, www.bankrate.com/banking/timeline-ofeuropean-debt-crisis/. 7 Ibid. 8 Friedman, George. “Germany’s Role in Europe and the European Debt Crisis.” Stratfor, Stratfor, 31 Jan. 2012, worldview. stratfor.com/article/germanys-role-europe-and-european-debt-crisis. 9 Buttonwood. “Blackmailed and Humiliated.” The Economist, The Economist Newspaper, 19 Sept. 2011, www.economist. com/buttonwoods-notebook/2011/09/19/blackmailed-and-humiliated. 10 Eichengreen, Barry, and Charles Wyplosz. “How the Euro Crisis Was Successfully Resolved.” VOX, CEPR Policy Portal, 12 Feb. 2016, voxeu.org/article/how-euro-crisis-was-successfully-resolved. 11 https://www.statista.com/statistics/269684/national-debt-in-eu-countries-in-relation-to-gross-domestic-product-gdp 12 “Timeline: The Unfolding Eurozone Crisis.” BBC News, BBC, 13 June 2012, www.bbc.com/news/business-13856580. 13 Ibid. 14 Clayton, Jonathan, and Hereward Holland. “Over One Million Sea Arrivals Reach Europe in 2015.” UNHCR, 30 Dec. 2015, www.unhcr.org/news/latest/2015/12/5683d0b56/million-sea-arrivals-reach-europe-2015.html. 15 Lampropoulos, Nikos. “The EU’s Refugee Crisis: Effective Handling or Botched up Policy?” Www.euractiv.com, EURACTIV.com, 7 May 2018, www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/ep-and-refugee-crisis-superficial-approach-oreffective-handling/. 16 Adar, Sinem, et al. “The Refugee Drama in Syria, Turkey, and Greece.” Stiftung, Wissenschaft Und Politik, 16 Apr. 2020, www.swp-berlin.org/10.18449/2020C16/. 17 “Press Corner.” European Commission - European Commission, 15 Oct. 2015, ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/ en/MEMO_15_5860. 18 Kanter, James. “European Union Asks Member Countries to Accept Quotas of Migrants.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 27 May 2015, www.nytimes.com/2015/05/28/world/europe/european-union-asks-member-countries-to-accept-quotas-ofmigrants.html?mcubz=0. 19 Weaver, Matthew, et al. “Refugee Crisis: Hungary Rejects All Asylum Requests Made at Border – as It Happened.” The Guardian, Guardian News and Media, 15 Sept. 2015, www.theguardian.com/world/live/2015/sep/15/refugee-crisis-hungary-launchesborder-crackdown-live-updates. 20 Williams, Carol J. “The Conflicts and Failures behind the European Migrant Crisis.” Los Angeles Times, Los Angeles Times, 2 Sept. 2015, www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-european-migrant-crisis-explainer-20150902-story.html. 21 Lyman, Rick. “Eastern Bloc’s Resistance to Refugees Highlights Europe’s Cultural and Political Divisions.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 12 Sept. 2015, www.nytimes.com/2015/09/13/world/europe/eastern-europe-migrant-refugee-crisis.html. 22 Stevis-Gridneff, Martina. “NYT: Tech Talk for 12/27/2007.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 28 Aug. 2018, www. nytimes.com/. 23 “Questions and Answers – the Rights of EU and UK Citizens, as Outlined in the Withdrawal Agreement.” European Commission - European Commission, 27 Nov. 2018, ec.europa.eu/commission/publications/questions-and-answers-rights-eu-and-ukcitizens-outlined-withdrawal-agreement_en. 24 Sandford, Alasdair. “Brexit Timeline 2016–2020: the UK’s Path from Referendum to EU Exit.” Euronews, 30 Jan. 2020, www.euronews.com/2020/01/30/brexit-timeline-2016-2020-key-events-in-the-uk-s-path-from-referendum-to-eu-exit 25 Ibid. 26 https://br.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSKBN1YC074 27 Hurst, Luke. “Brexit Negotiations Continue as MEPs’ Deadline to Approve ...” Euronews, 21 Dec. 2020, www.euronews. com/2020/12/20/meps-deadline-for-brexit-agreement-reached-as-talks-go-on. 28 Dawkins, David. “Coronabonds And The Eurozone–The Crisis At The Heart Of Europe’s Pandemic Recovery: Explained.” 9 ONLINE COMMITTEE ILMUNC EUROPE AFTER THE EU Forbes, Forbes Magazine, 8 Apr. 2020, www.forbes.com/sites/daviddawkins/2020/04/07/what-are-coronabonds-and-why-is-nazi-wardebt-back-on-the-eurozones-table/?sh=76dc5d2d4c6a. 29 Oh, Sunny. “Europe’s Bickering over Coronavirus Bill Spills over into Italian Bond Market.” MarketWatch, MarketWatch, 30 Apr. 2020, www.marketwatch.com/story/europes-bickering-over-coronavirus-bill-spills-over-into-italian-bond-market-2020-04-30. 30 Power, Gabriel. “Will Italy Leave the EU after Coronavirus?” The Week UK, The Week, 15 Sept. 2020, www.theweek. co.uk/108032/will-italy-leave-the-eu-after-coronavirus. 31 “Recovery Plan for Europe.” European Commission - European Commission, 24 Dec. 2020, ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/ recovery-plan-europe_en. 32 Leeuwen, Hans van. “‘Italians Are Awakening’. Could Italy Follow Britain out of the EU?” Australian Financial Review, 7 Aug. 2020, www.afr.com/world/europe/italians-are-awakening-could-italy-follow-britain-out-of-the-eu-20200806-p55izu. 33 “Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Current Market Prices.” Eurostat, Eurostat, 6 Sept. 2020, appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/ nui/show.do?dataset=nama_10r_2gdp. 34 “General Government Gross Debt - Annual Data.” Eurostat, 9 Oct. 2020, ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/refreshTableAction. do?tab=table. 35 Wachman, Richard, and Nick Fletcher. “Standard & Poor’s Downgrade Greek Credit Rating to Junk Status.” The Guardian, Guardian News and Media, 27 Apr. 2010, www.theguardian.com/business/2010/apr/27/greece-credit-rating-downgraded. 36 Forelle, Charles, et al. “Greece’s Debt Due: What Greece Owes When.” The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones & Company, 19 Feb. 2015, graphics.wsj.com/greece-debt-timeline/. 37 https://www.frankfurt-tourismus.de/en/Media/Attractions/Fountains-Monuments-Sculpures/Euro-Monument 38 https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/germany-profited-100billion-euros-greek-6229502 39 Krugman, Paul. “Grexit and the Morning After.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 25 May 2015, krugman.blogs. nytimes.com/2015/05/25/grexit-and-the-morning-after/?smid=tw-NytimesKrugman. 40 Stamouli, Nektaria. “The Unorthodox Greek.” POLITICO, POLITICO, 27 Sept. 2019, www.politico.eu/article/greeksolution-far-right-kyriakos-velopoulos-unorthodox-migration-votes/. 41 Kovacevic, Tamara. “EU Budget: Who Pays Most in and Who Gets Most Back?” BBC News, BBC, 27 May 2019, www.bbc. com/news/uk-politics-48256318. 42 Simon, Zoltan, and Wojciech Moskwa. Bloomberg.com, Bloomberg, 6 Dec. 2020, www.bloomberg.com/news/ articles/2020-12-06/why-hungary-and-poland-are-blocking-the-eu-s-budget-quicktake. 43 Wanat, Zosia, and Jan Cienski. “Polexit: 3 Reasons Why Poland Will Quit the EU and 3 Why It Won’t.” POLITICO, POLITICO, 30 Nov. 2020, www.politico.eu/article/polexit-poland-veto-kaczynski-morawiecki-polexit-brexit-eu/. 10