Common Stocks The Appeal of Common Stocks • Residual Owners: stockholders of a firm are the owners, who are entitled to dividend income and a prorated share of the firm’s earnings only after all the firm’s other obligations have been met – Stocks allow investors to tailor investments to meet individual needs and preferences – Stocks may provide a steady stream of current income through dividends – Stocks may increase in value over time through capital gains Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-2 From Stock Prices to Stock Returns • Stock Returns: take into account both price changes and dividend income – Returns from capital gains range from an average of 15.3% during the 1990s to -2.7% from 2000–2010 – Returns from dividends vary too, but not nearly as much, ranging from 5.4% in the 1950s to 1.8% since 2000 – The big returns (or losses) come from capital gains Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-3 From Stock Prices to Stock Returns (cont’d) – Stocks generally earn positive returns over long periods of time. – From 1950–2000, the average total return on the S&P 500 was 11% per year – Investing in stocks is clearly not without risk – From 2000–2010, the U.S. stock market lost 1% per year Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-4 What is a Bear Market? • Routine Decline: a drop of 5% or more in one of the major market indexes, like the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) • Correction: a drop of 10% or more in one of the major market indexes • Bear Market: a drop of 20% or more in one of the major market indexes Comment: These are rule of thumb numbers, not exact science. Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-5 Advantages of Stock Ownership • Provide opportunity for higher returns than other investments • Over past 100 years, stocks earned annual returns that we roughly double the returns provided by corporate bonds • Good inflation hedge since returns typically exceed the rate of inflation • Easy to buy and sell stocks • Price and market information is easy to find in financial media • Unit cost per share of stock is low enough to encourage ownership Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-6 Disadvantages of Stock Ownership • Stocks are subject to many different kinds of risk: – Business risk – Financial risk – Purchasing power risk: Chance that return lags inflation rate – Market risk: market goes up and down – Event risk: corporate event • Hard to predict which stocks will go up in value due to wide swings in profits and general stock market performance • Low current income compared to other investment alternatives Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-7 Figure 6.2 The Current Income of Stocks and Bonds (Source: Data from Federal Reserve Board of Governors and www.multpl.com/s-p-500-dividend-yield/table.) Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-8 Basic Characteristics of Common Stock • Equity Capital: evidence of ownership position in a firm, in the form of shares of common stock. This is why stocks are sometimes called “equities” • Publicly Traded Issues: shares of stock that are readily available to the general market and are bought and sold in the open market • Public Offering: an offering to sell to the investing public a set number of shares of a firm’s stock at a specified price Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-9 Basic Characteristics of Common Stock (cont’d) • Rights Offering: an offering of a new issue of stock to existing stockholders, who may purchase new shares in proportion to their current ownership Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-10 Basic Characteristics of Common Stock (cont’d) • Stock Split: when a company increases the number of shares outstanding by exchanging a specified number of new shares of stock for each outstanding share – Usually done to lower the stock price to make it more attractive to investors – Stockholders end up with more shares of stock that sells for a lower price – Investor with 200 shares in a 2-for-1 stock split would have 400 shares after the stock split – If the stock price was $100 before the split, the price would be near $50 after the split Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-11 Basic Characteristics of Common Stock (cont’d) • Treasury Stock: shares of stock that were originally sold by the company and have been repurchased by the company. Share repurchases are often called “buybacks.” – Reduces the number of shares outstanding to public – Companies buyback when they believe stock is undervalued and a good buy – Companies may try to raise undervalued stock price or prop up overvalued stock price – May be used for mergers, acquisitions or employee stock option plans Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-12 Figure 6.4 A Stock Quote for Abercrombie & Fitch (Source: Yahoo! Finance, http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ANF&ql=0.) Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-13 Common Stock Values • Par Value: the stated, or face, value of a stock – Mainly an accounting term and not very useful to investors • Book Value: the amount of stockholders’ equity – The difference between the company’s assets minus the company’s liabilities and preferred stock • Market Value: the current price of the stock in the stock market Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-14 Common Stock Values • Market Capitalization: the overall current value of the company in the stock market – Total number of shares outstanding multiplied by the market value per share • Investment Value: the amount that investors believe the stock should be trading for, or what they think it’s worth – Probably the most important measure for a stockholder Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-15 Dividends • Dividend income is one of the two basic sources of return to investors • Dividend income is more predictable than capital gains, so preferred by investors seeking lower risk • Dividends tend to increase over time as companies’ earnings grow; average annual increase around 3% to 5% • Dividends represent the return of part of the profit of the company to the owners, the stockholders Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-16 Key Dates for Dividends Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-17 Dividends and Earnings Per Share • Earnings Per Share: the amount of annual earnings available to common stockholders, stated on a per-share basis – Earnings are important to stock price – Earnings help determine dividend payouts Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-18 Dividends and Dividend Yield • Dividend Yield: a measure to relate dividends to share price on a percentage basis – Indicates the rate of current income earned on the investment dollar – Convenient method to compare income return to other investment alternatives Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-19 Dividends and Dividend Payout Ratio • Dividend Payout Ratio: the portion of earnings per share (EPS) that a firm pays out as dividends – Companies are not required to pay dividends – Some companies have high EPS, but reinvest all money back into company Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-20 Other Dividend Characteristics • Stock Dividend: payment of a dividend in the form of additional shares of stock Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-21 Types of Stock • Blue Chip Stocks: financially strong, highquality stocks with long and stable records of earnings and dividends – Companies are leaders in their industries – Relatively lower risk due to financial stability of company – Popular with investing public looking for steady growth potential, perhaps dividend income – Provide shelter during unsettled markets – Examples: AT&T, Chevron, Johnson & Johnson, McDonald’s, Pfizer Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-22 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Income Stocks: stocks with long and sustained records of paying higher-than average dividends – Good for investors looking for relatively safe and high level of current income – Dividends tend to increase over time (unlike interest payments on bonds) – Some companies pay high dividends because they offer limited growth potential – Examples: Duke Energy, Conagra Foods, General Mills, Altria Group Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-23 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Growth Stocks: stocks that experience high rates of growth in operations and earnings – Have sustained rate of growth in earnings above general market – Investors expect higher price appreciation due to increasing earnings – Riskier investment because price may fall if earnings growth cannot be maintained – May include blue chip stocks as well as speculative stocks – Typically pay little or no dividends – Examples: Amazon, Apple, Google, eBay, Berkshire Hathaway, Starbucks Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-24 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Tech Stocks: stocks representing the technology sector of the market – Range from speculative stocks of small companies that have never shown a profit to blue chip stocks of large companies that are growth-oriented – Potential for attractive returns – Considerable risk and volatility – Examples: Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Yahoo!, NVIDIA, SanDisk, Intel, Electronic Arts Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-25 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Speculative Stocks: stocks that offer potential for substantial price appreciation, usually due to some special situation such as a new product – – – – Earnings may be uncertain or highly unstable Potential for substantial price appreciation Stock price subject to wide swings up and down in value Examples: Sirius XM Radio, Dreamworks Animation, Liberty Media, Under Armour Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-26 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Cyclical Stocks: stocks whose earnings and overall market performance are closely linked to the general state of the economy – Stock price tends to move up and down with the business cycle – Tend to do well when economy is growing, especially in early stages of economic recovery – Tend to do poorly in slowing economy – Best for investors willing to move in and out of market as economy changes – Examples: Caterpillar, Genuine Parts, Lennar, Brunswick, Timken Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-27 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Defensive Stocks: stocks that tend to hold their value, and even do well, when the economy starts to falter – Stock price remains stable or increases when general economy is slowing – Products are tacking that people use in good times and bad times, such as electricity, beverages, foods and drugs – Gold stocks are a form of defensive stock – Examples: Walmart, Checkpoint Systems, WD-40 Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-28 Market Capitalization • U.S. stock market segments based on stock market capitalization: – Small-Cap Stocks: less than $2 billion – Mid-Cap Stocks: $2 billion to $10 billion – Large-Cap Stocks: more than $10 billion Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-29 Types of Stock (cont’d) • Large-Cap Stocks: large companies with market capitalizations over $10 billion – Number of companies is smaller, but account for 80% to 90% of the total market value of all U.S. equities – Bigger is not necessarily better – Tend to lag behind small-cap and mid-cap stocks, but typically have less volatility – Examples: Walmart, Exxon Mobil, Apple Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-30 Investing in Foreign Stocks • Globalization of financial markets is growing – U.S. equity market represents roughly 35% of world equity markets – Six countries make up 80% of world equity market – U.S. market remains largest equity market in world with a total value of about $16 trillion in 2012 – Some of the returns in non-U.S. markets are due to currency exchange rates, and not just markets themselves Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-31 Going Global • Buying Shares Directly in Foreign Markets – Most adventuresome approach – Logistical problems: fluctuating currency rates, different regulatory and accounting standards, tax problems, “red tape” • Buying American Depositary Shares (ADSs) – Simpler approach – Bought and sold on U.S. markets just like stocks in U.S. companies – Transactions are in U.S. dollars • Buying International Mutual Funds Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-32 Going Global • International investing is more complex and riskier than domestic investing • International investing requires investors to be right on more factors: – Must pick right stock – Must pick right market – Must pick correct direction for currency exchange rate fluctuations Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-33 Returns on International Investments • Stronger U.S. dollar has negative impact on foreign investments • Weaker U.S. dollar has positive impact on foreign investments Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-34 Stock Investment Strategies • Buy-and-Hold – Investors buy high-quality stocks and hold them for extended time periods – Goal may be current income and/or capital gains – Investors often add to existing stocks over time – Very conservative approach Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-35 Stock Investment Strategies (cont’d) • Current Income – Investors buy stocks that have high dividend yields – Safety of principal and stability of income are primary goals – May be preferable to bonds because dividends levels tend to increase over time – Often used to provide to supplement other income, such as in retirement Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-36 Stock Investment Strategies (cont’d) • Quality Long-Term Growth – Investors buy high-quality growth stocks, mid-cap stocks and tech stocks – Higher level of risk due to emphasis on capital gains – Significant trading of stocks may occur over time – Diversification is used to spread risk – “Total Return Approach” is version that emphasizes both capital gains and high income Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-37 Stock Investment Strategies (cont’d) • Aggressive Stock Management – Investors buy high-quality growth stocks, blue chip stocks, mid-cap stocks, tech stocks and cyclical stocks – Capital gains are primary goal – High level of risk due to emphasis on capital gains – Investors aggressively trade in and out of stocks, often holding for short periods – Timing the market is key element – Time consuming to manage Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-38 Stock Investment Strategies (cont’d) • Speculation and Short-Term Trading – Also called “day trading” – Investors buy speculative stocks, small-cap stocks and tech stocks – Capital gains are primary goal – Highest level of risk due to emphasis on capital gains in short time period – Investors aggressively trade in and out of stocks, often holding for extremely short periods – Looking for “big score” on unknown stock – Time consuming & high trading costs Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-39