Addis Ababa Institute of Technology(AAiT) Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering Probability and Random Process (EEEg-2114) Chapter 2: Random Variables Random Variables Outline Introduction The Cumulative Distribution Function Probability Density and Mass Functions Expected Value, Variance and Moments Some Special Distributions Functions of One Random Variable Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 2 Introduction A random variable X is a function that assigns a real number X(ω) to each outcome ω in the sample space Ω of a random experiment. The sample space Ω is the domain of the random variable and the set RX of all values taken on by X is the range of the random variable. Thus, RX is the subset of all real numbers. X ( ) x x Semester-I, 2017 A B By Habib M. Re al Line 3 Introduction Cont’d…… If X is a random variable, then {ω: X(ω)≤ x}={X≤ x} is an event for every X in RX. Example: Consider a random experiment of tossing a fair coin three times. The sequence of heads and tails is noted and the sample space Ω is given by: {HHH , HHT , HTH , THH , THT , HTT , TTH , TTT } Let X be the number of heads in three coin tosses. X assigns each possible outcome ω in the sample space Ω a number from the set RX={0, 1, 2, 3}. : HHH HHT HTH THH THT HTT TTH TTT X ( ) : 3 Semester-I, 2017 2 2 2 By Habib M. 1 1 1 0 4 The Cumulative Distribution Function The cumulative distribution function (cdf) of a random variable X is defined as the probability of the event {X≤ x}. FX ( x) P( X x) Properties of the cdf, FX(x): The cdf has the following properties. i. FX ( x) is a non - negative function, i.e., 0 FX ( x) 1 ii. lim FX ( x) 1 x iii. lim FX ( x) 0 x Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 5 The Cumulative Distribution Function Cont’d….. iv. FX ( x) is a non - decreasing function of X , i.e., If x1 x2 , then FX ( x1 ) FX ( x2 ) v. P( x1 X x2 ) FX ( x2 ) FX ( x1 ) vi. P( X x) 1 FX ( x) Example: Find the cdf of the random variable X which is defined as the number of heads in three tosses of a fair coin. Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 6 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 7 The Cumulative Distribution Function Solution: We know that X takes on only the values 0, 1, 2 and 3 with probabilities 1/8, 3/8, 3/8 and 1/8 respectively. Thus, FX(x) is simply the sum of the probabilities of the outcomes from the set {0, 1, 2, 3} that are less than or equal to x. 0, x 0 1 / 8, 0 x 1 FX ( x) 1 / 2, 1 x 2 7 / 8, 2 x 3 1, x 3 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 8 Types of Random Variables There are two basic types of random variables. i. Continuous Random Variable A continuous random variable is defined as a random variable whose cdf, FX(x), is continuous every where and can be written as an integral of some non-negative function f(x), i.e., FX ( x) f (u )du ii. Discrete Random Variable A discrete random variable is defined as a random variable whose cdf, FX(x), is a right continuous, staircase function of X with jumps at a countable set of points x0, x1, x2,…… Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 9 The Probability Density Function The probability density function (pdf) of a continuous random variable X is defined as the derivative of the cdf, FX(x), i.e., dFX ( x) f X ( x) dx Properties of the pdf, fX(x): i. For all values of X , f X ( x) 0 ii. f X ( x)dx 1 x2 iii. P( x1 X x2 ) f X ( x)dx x1 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 10 The Probability Mass Function The probability mass function (pmf) of a discrete random variable X is defined as: PX ( X xi ) PX ( xi ) FX ( xi ) FX ( xi 1 ) Properties of the pmf, PX (xi ): i. 0 PX ( xi ) 1, k 1, 2, ..... ii. PX ( x) 0, if x xk , k 1, 2, ..... iii. P X ( xk ) 1 k Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 11 Calculating the Cumulative Distribution Function The cdf of a continuous random variable X can be obtained by integrating the pdf, i.e., FX ( x) x f X (u )du Similarly, the cdf of a discrete random variable X can be obtained by using the formula: FX ( x) Semester-I, 2017 P xk x X ( xk )U ( x xk ) By Habib M. 12 Expected Value, Variance and Moments i. Expected Value (Mean) The expected value (mean) of a continuous random variable X, denoted by μX or E(X), is defined as: X E ( X ) xf X ( x)dx Similarly, the expected value of a discrete random variable X is given by: X E ( X ) xk PX ( xk ) k Mean represents the average value of the random variable in a very large number of trials. Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 13 Expected Value, Variance and Moments Cont’d….. ii. Variance The variance of a continuous random variable X, denoted by σ2X or VAR(X), is defined as: 2 X Var ( X ) E[( X X ) 2 ] 2 X Var ( X ) ( x X ) 2 f X ( x)dx Expanding (x-μX )2 in the above equation and simplifying the resulting equation, we will get: 2 Semester-I, 2017 X Var ( X ) E ( X ) [ E ( X )] 2 By Habib M. 2 14 Expected Value, Variance and Moments Cont’d….. The variance of a discrete random variable X is given by: 2 X Var( X ) ( xk X ) 2 PX ( xk ) k The standard deviation of a random variable X, denoted by σX, is simply the square root of the variance, i.e., X E ( X X ) 2 Var( X ) iii.Moments The nth moment of a continuous random variable X is defined as: E ( X ) x n f X ( x)dx , n Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. n 1 15 Expected Value, Variance and Moments Cont’d….. Similarly, the nth moment of a discrete random variable X is given by: E ( X ) xk PX ( xk ) , n n 1 k Mean of X is the first moment of the random variable X. Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 16 Some Special Distributions i. Continuous Probability Distributions 1. Normal (Gaussian) Distribution The random variable X is said to be normal or Gaussian random variable if its pdf is given by: 1 f X ( x) e 2 2 ( x ) 2 / 2 2 . The corresponding distribution function is given by: x 1 2 FX ( x) 2 e ( y ) 2 / 2 2 x dy G x 1 y /2 where G ( x) e dy 2 2 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 17 Some Special Distributions Cont’d…… The normal or Gaussian distribution is the most common continuous probability distribution. f X (x) x Fig. Normal or Gaussian Distribution Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 18 Some Special Distributions Cont’d…… 2. Uniform Distribution 1 , a xb f X ( x) b a 0, otherwise. 1 ba f X (x) a x b Fig. Uniform Distribution 3. Exponential Distribution f X (x) 1 e x / , x 0, f X ( x) 0, otherwise. Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. x Fig. Exponential Distribution 19 Some Special Distributions Cont’d…… 4. Gamma Distribution x 1 x / e , x 0, f X ( x ) ( ) 0, otherwise. 5. Beta Distribution 1 x a 1 (1 x) b 1 , 0 x 1, f X ( x ) ( a, b) 0, otherwise. where ( a , b) Semester-I, 2017 1 0 u a 1 (1 u ) b 1 du. By Habib M. 20 Some Special Distributions Cont’d…… 6. Rayleigh Distribution x x 2 / 2 2 2e , x 0, f X ( x ) 0, otherwise. 7. Cauchy Distribution f X ( x) / (x ) 2 2 , x . 8. Laplace Distribution 1 |x|/ f X ( x) e , x . 2 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 21 Some Special Distributions Cont’d…. i. Discrete Probability Distributions 1. Bernoulli Distribution P ( X 0) q, P( X 1) p. 2. Binomial Distribution n k n k P( X k ) , k p q k 0,1,2, , n. 3. Poisson Distribution P ( X k ) e Semester-I, 2017 k k! , k 0,1,2, , . By Habib M. 22 Some Special Distributions Cont’d…. 4. Hypergeometric Distribution P( X k ) m k N m n k , N n max(0, m n N ) k min( m, n ) 5. Geometric Distribution P( X k ) pqk , k 0,1,2,, , q 1 p. 6. Negative Binomial Distribution k 1 r k r P( X k ) p q , r 1 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. k r , r 1, . 23 Random Variable Examples Example-1: The pdf of a continuous random variable is given by: kx , f X ( x) 0 , 0 x 1 otherwise whe re k is a constant. a. Determine the value of k . b. Find the corresponding cdf of X . c. Find P (1 / 4 X 1) d . Evaluate the mean and variance of X . Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 24 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…… Solution: a. f X ( x ) dx 1 1 0 kxdx 1 x2 k 2 k 1 2 k 2 2 x, f X ( x) 0, Semester-I, 2017 1 1 0 0 x 1 otherwise By Habib M. 25 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…… Solution: b. The cdf of X is given by : FX ( x) Case 1 : x f X (u ) du for x 0 FX ( x) 0, since f X ( x) 0, for x 0 Case 2 : for 0 x 1 FX ( x) Semester-I, 2017 x 0 f X (u ) du By Habib M. x 0 2udu u 2 x 0 x2 26 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…… Solution: Case 3 : for x 1 FX ( x ) 1 0 f X (u ) du 1 0 2udu u 2 1 0 1 The cdf is given by 0, 2 FX ( x ) x , 1, Semester-I, 2017 x0 0 x 1 x 1 By Habib M. 27 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…… Solution: c. P (1 / 4 X 1) i. Using the pdf 1 1 P (1 / 4 X 1) 1/ 4 P (1 / 4 X 1) x 2 f X ( x) dx 2 xdx 1/ 4 1 1/ 4 15 / 16 P (1 / 4 X 1) 15 / 16 ii. Using the cdf P (1 / 4 X 1) FX (1) FX (1 / 4) P (1 / 4 X 1) 1 (1 / 4) 2 15 / 16 P (1 / 4 X 1) 15 / 16 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 28 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…… Solution: d. Mean and Variance i. Mean 1 1 0 0 X E ( X ) xf X ( x)dx 2 x 2 dx X 2 x3 1 2/3 3 0 ii. Variance X 2 Var ( X ) E ( X 2 ) [ E ( X )]2 1 1 E ( X ) x f X ( x ) dx 2 x 3 dx 1 / 2 2 2 0 0 X Var ( x ) 1 / 2 ( 2 / 3) 2 1 / 18 2 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 29 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…….. Example-2: Consider a discrete random variable X whose pmf is given by: 1 / 3 , xk 1, 0, 1 PX ( xk ) 0 , otherwise Find the mean and variance of X . Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 30 Random Variable Examples Cont’d…… Solution: i. Mean X E( X ) 1 x k 1 k PX ( xk ) 1 / 3(1 0 1) 0 ii. Variance X 2 Var ( X ) E ( X 2 ) [ E ( X )]2 E( X ) 2 1 2 2 2 x P ( x ) 1 / 3 [( 1 ) ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ] 2/3 k X k 2 k 1 X Var ( x) 2 / 3 (0) 2 2 / 3 2 Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 31 Class Work 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 32 Functions of One Random Variable Let X be a continuous random variable with pdf fX(x) and suppose g(x) is a function of the random variable X defined as: Y g(X ) We can determine the cdf and pdf of Y in terms of that of X. Consider some of the following functions. aX b sin X 1 X log X Semester-I, 2017 X2 Y g( X ) |X | X eX | X | U ( x) By Habib M. 33 Functions of a Random Variable Cont’d….. Steps to determine fY(y) from fX(x): Method I: 1. Sketch the graph of Y=g(X) and determine the range space of Y. 2. Determine the cdf of Y using the following basic approach. FY ( y) P( g ( X ) y) P(Y y) 3. Obtain fY(y) from FY(y) by using direct differentiation, i.e., dFY ( y ) fY ( y ) dy Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 34 Functions of a Random Variable Cont’d….. Method II: 1. Sketch the graph of Y=g(X) and determine the range space of Y. 2. If Y=g(X) is one to one function and has an inverse transformation x=g-1(y)=h(y), then the pdf of Y is given by: dx dh( y ) fY ( y ) f X ( x) f X [h( y )] dy dy 3. Obtain Y=g(x) is not one-to-one function, then the pdf of Y can be obtained as follows. i. Find the real roots of the function Y=g(x) and denote them by xi Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 35 Functions of a Random Variable Cont’d….. ii. Determine the derivative of function g(xi ) at every real root xi , i.e. , dxi g ( xi ) dy iii. Find the pdf of Y by using the following formula. f Y ( y) i Semester-I, 2017 dxi f X ( xi ) g ( xi ) f X ( xi ) dy i By Habib M. 36 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable Examples: a. Let Y aX b. Find f Y ( y ). b. Let Y X 2 . Find f Y ( y ). c. Let Y 1 . Find f Y ( y ). X d . The random variable X is uniform in the interval [ , ]. 2 2 If Y tan X , determine the pdf of Y . Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 37 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: a. Y aX b i. Using Method I Suppose that a 0 y b Fy ( y ) P (Y y ) P (aX b y ) P X a y b FY ( y ) FX a f Y ( y) Semester-I, 2017 dFY ( y ) 1 y b fX dy a a By Habib M. (i ) 38 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: a. Y aX b i. Using Method I On the other if a 0, then y b Fy ( y ) P(Y y ) P(aX b y ) P X a y b FY ( y ) 1 FX a dFY ( y ) 1 y b f Y ( y) fX dy a a Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. (ii) 39 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: a. Y aX b i. Using Method I From equations (i ) and (ii) , we obtain : f Y ( y) Semester-I, 2017 1 y b fX , a a for all a By Habib M. 40 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: a. Y aX b ii. Using Method II The function Y aX b is one - to - one and the range space of Y is IR y b h( y ) is the principal solution a dx dh( y ) 1 dx 1 dy dy a dy a For any y, x dx dh y 1 y b f Y ( y) f X ( x) f X h( y ) f Y ( y ) fX dy dy a a Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 41 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: b. The function Y X 2 is not one - to - one and the range space of Y is y 0 For each y 0, there are two solutions given by x1 y and x 2 Semester-I, 2017 y By Habib M. 42 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: b. dx1 dx1 1 1 and dy dy 2 y 2 y dx2 dx2 1 1 dy dy 2 y 2 y f Y ( y) i dxi dx1 dx2 f X ( xi ) f Y ( y ) f X ( x1 ) f X ( x2 ) dy dy dy y f y , 1 2 y f X f Y ( y) Semester-I, 2017 X 0, By Habib M. y0 otherwise 43 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: c. The function Y 1 is one - to - one and the range X space of Y is IR /0 1 For any y, x h( y ) is the principal solution y dx dh( y ) 1 2 dy dy y f Y ( y) 1 dx dh y 1 f X ( x) f X h( y ) f Y ( y ) 2 f X dy dy y y f Y ( y) Semester-I, 2017 1 1 , f X 2 y y IR /0 By Habib M. 44 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: d . The function Y tan X is one - to - one and the range space of Y is (, ) For any y, x tan 1 y h( y ) is the principal solution dx dh( y ) 1 dy dy 1 y2 dx dh y 1/ f Y ( y) f X ( x) f X h( y ) f Y ( y ) dy dy 1 y2 1 f Y ( y) , 2 (1 y ) Semester-I, 2017 y By Habib M. 45 Examples on Functions of One Random Variable….. Solutions: Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 46 Assignment-II 1. The continuous random variable X has the pdf given by: k (2 x x 2 ) , 0 x 2 f X ( x) 0 , otherwise whe re k is a constant. Find : a. the value of k . b. the cdf of X . c. P ( X 1) d . the mean and variance of X . Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 47 Assignment-II Cont’d….. 2. The cdf of continuous random variable X is given by: x0 0 , F ( x ) k x , 0 x 1 X x 1 1, whe re k is a constant. Determine : a. the value of k . b. the pdf of X . c. the mean and variance of X . Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 48 Assignment-II Cont’d….. 3. The random variable X is uniform in the interval [0, 1]. Find the pdf of the random variable Y if Y=-lnX. Semester-I, 2017 By Habib M. 49