ON THE IMPERFECTION SENSITIVITY AND DESIGN OF BUCKLING CRITICAL COMPOSITE CONICAL SHELLS UNDER AXIAL COMPRESSION H.N.R. Wagnera,b, T. Ludwiga and R. Khakimovac a Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Adaptronics and Function Integration, Langer Kamp 6, 38106 Braunschweig, Germany ro.wagner@tu-braunschweig.de b Siemens Mobility GmbH, MO MM R&D SYS ITV IXL, Ackerstr. 22, 38126 Braunschweig, Germany c Fraunhofer institute, Open Hybrid LabFactory e.V., Hermann-Münch-Straße 2, 38440 Wolfsburg, Germany Regina.Khakimova@iwu.fraunhofer.de Keywords: Buckling, conical shells, new proposed design rules, experimental results, imperfection Abstract A major loading scenario for conical shells is axial compression. The buckling load of these shells is very sensitive to imperfections (geometry, loading conditions) which results in a critical disagreement between theoretical and experimental results for axially loaded conical shells. The design of these stability critical shells is based on classical buckling loads obtained by a linear analysis which are corrected by a single knockdown factor (0.33 - NASA SP-8019) for all cone geometries. This practice is well established among designers and hasn’t changed for the past 50 years because the buckling behavior is till today not very well understood. Within this paper a numerical lower-bound analysis for composite conical shells under axial compression is performed. The laminate stacking sequence of the shell lead to a low imperfection sensitivity which is verified by using a detailed reduced stiffness analysis. The results are validated by buckling experiments and show that even in the absolute worst case the shell buckling knockdown factors is about 50 % higher compared to the NASA SP-8019. The new design recommendation for composite conical shell structures result in increased knockdown factors for the buckling load which in turn may lead to a significant weight reduction potential. Abbreviations and glossary Exp. Experiment F Axial load H Height of a truncated cone KDF Knockdown factor L Free slant length of a truncated cone N Buckling load r Small radius of a truncated cone R Large radius of a truncated cone Ra Average radius of curvature t TH u Wall thickness of a cylinder, truncated cone Threshold Axial displacement 1 Introduction Conical shells are important structural elements in aerospace industry (e.g. helicopter tailboom, airplane fuselage, launch-vehicle adapters). One of the major load cases for conical shells is axial compression which may lead to buckling. The main geometry parameters of conical shells are shown in Fig. 1. Fig. 1: Geometry of a conical shell. Multiple numerical and experimental studies for isotropic cones under axial load are for example given by Blachut et al. [1], [2], [3] and Ifayefunmi et al. [4]. [5], [6]. However, studies for composite cones under axial compression are very rare. An experimental study on buckling of composite conical shells under axial compression is given by Long et al. [7]. The corresponding test specimen have a semi-vertex angle of 9° (see Fig. 2 - left). Shadmehri [8] published recently a PhD thesis which covers numerical and experimental studies on the buckling of a composite cone under pure bending. The composite cone is representative for a helicopter tailboom and has a small semi vertex angle (<5 °). Khakimova et al. published experimental results for undisturbed [9] and disturbed [10] composite conical shells under axial compression which have a semi-vertex angle of 35 °, see Fig. 2. The disturbed specimen were additionally loaded with a lateral perturbation load [11] and the results show that the different between minimum disturbed and undisturbed test is about 17 %, see Fig. 3. The experimental buckling loads are represented by a knockdown factor (KDF) which is the ratio of experimental buckling load Nexp to the theoretical buckling load Nper, see equation (1). The KDFs are plotted versus the radius of curvature to thickness ratio (Rc/t) which can be calculated using equation (2). πππ₯π ππ₯ππππππππ‘ππ π΅π’ππππππ πΏπππ (1) πΎπ·πΉ = = ππ₯π π‘βπππππ‘ππππ π΅π’ππππππ πΏπππ Rc = r cos(π½) ππππ (2) Fig. 2: Composite cone with ß = 9° from Tong [7] (left) composite cone with ß = 35° from Khakimova [9] (middle) composite cone with ß = 2° from Shadmehri [8] Weingarten et al. [1968] Khakimova [2016] - disturbed test Arbocz [1968] Khakimova [2016] - undisturbed test 1 Knockdown Factor 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Radius of Curvature-to-Thickness ratio, Rc/t Fig. 3: Experimental KDF for conical shells under axial compression. L/Ra <= 0.5 TH - Cone L/Ra <= 0.5 LRSM - Cone L/Ra > 0.5 NASA SP-8019 - Compression L/Ra > 0.5 NASA SP-8019 - Bending 1 1 0.9 0.9 Knockdown Factor Knockdown Factor There is a deviation between expected theoretical buckling loads and measured experimental buckling loads. However, the deviation is not as severe as in the case of isotropic cones. The minimum KDF for the buckling load of the composite conical shells equals to 0.62 which is 87 % higher compared to the minimum KDF of the isotropic cones [12] under axial compression as shown in Fig. 3. These results indicate that composite conical shells may be less imperfection sensitive than isotropic conical shells. 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 Batdorf Parameter Z 5000 6000 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 Batdorf Parameter Z Fig. 4: Comparison of experimental KDFs and design lower-bounds for conical shells: compression (left) pure bending (right) For the design of conical shells the NASA SP-8019 [13] proposes a single KDF of 0.33 for all cone geometries for the axial compression case and a KDF of 0.41 for the pure bending case. Wagner et al. developed improved lower-bound curves for conical shells under axial compression [14] and pure bending [15] which depend on the Batdorf parameter Z as shown in Fig. 4. The corresponding lower-bound curves deliver higher KDF than the NASA SP-8019 if the shells have L/Ra > 0.5. Z= L2 β √(1 − π£ 2 ) π π β π‘ (3) (R + r) Ra = 2 β cos(π½) The difference between analytical and experimental results is (like in the case of cones under axial compression) caused by the presence of imperfections [16], [17]. First studies which link the influence of geometric imperfections (shape deviations from the ideal shell geometry) to the buckling load reduction were given by Koiter [18]. Over the years different concepts to consider the influence of imperfection on the buckling load have been developed [19], [20]. One of these concepts is Koiter’s asymptotic analysis which can be used to consider the influence of geometric imperfections for the design of slender structures [21], [22]. The most commonly used approach is based on the application of KDFs like the NASA SP guideline and Eurocode guidelines [23], [24]. Then there are concepts which are based on measured geometric imperfections as proposed by for example Hilburger et al. [25], [26] or equivalent geometric imperfections as proposed by Khakimova et al. [27] and Castro et al. [28]. Advanced probabilistic methods which treat geometric imperfections as a random variable in order to design thin-walled shells were proposed by Arbocz et al. [29], [30] Elishakoff [31], [32], [33] and Kriegesman et al. [34], [35], [36]. Then there are lower-bound concepts [37], [38] which should in theory deliver a buckling load which is equal or smaller than every buckling load caused by multiple or large amplitude imperfections. One of the first lower-bound concepts was proposed by Croll et al. [39]. The reduced stiffness method by Croll is based on the assumption that imperfections lead to a degradation of the membrane stiffness or membrane energy of a shell. By reducing the complete membrane stiffness of a shell, a lower-bound with respect to imperfections can be determined [40]. Improved lower-bound methods were proposed by Hühne et al. [41], Hao et al. [42], Meurer et al. [43], Tian et al. [44], Wang et al. [45], [46], Wagner et al. [47], [48], [20], [49], [50]. However, most of the lower-bound methods were only be applied to cylindrical shells [51], [52] or conical shells [53], [14] under axial compression. A further development of the RSM was recently proposed, the localized reduced stiffness (LRSM) from [54] which was applied to cylindrical shells under pure bending and axial compression, spherical shells under external pressure [55], [56] and may be also suitable to study the imperfection sensitivity of composite conical shells under axial compression. The purpose of this article is to study the lower-bound buckling load of composite conical shells under axial compression. The corresponding numerical model is described in section 2. Afterwards a lowerbound study with the LRSM is given in section 3. The lower-bound results of section 3 are afterwards validated with experimental results from a buckling test. The results of this article are summarized in the last section. 2 Imperfection sensitivity of composite conical shells under axial compression 2.1 Test specimen and numerical model At the German aerospace center in Braunschweig a composite conical shell (see Fig. 6 – right) was manufactured and tested [9]. Fig. 5: The real test specimen K8 The geometry and material parameters of the composite shell are summarized in Table 1. A detailed report regarding manufacturing, experimental tests and test evaluation of the conical shells can be found in [57], [11]. MESH – S4R – 5 mm Fig. 6: Numerical model of the composite cone K8 The conical shell was modeled by using linear shell elements (S4R in ABAQUS [58]) as shown in Fig. 6 (left) and the equivalent cylinder is shown in Fig. 6 (right). The element length for the meshing process is estimated with the large cone radius R and the wall thickness t according to 0.5√π β π‘ after [59]. The mechanical boundary conditions on both cones edges are defined as clamped by using rigidbody interactions (Tie) which are coupled with a reference point. The displacement in axial direction is free at the top cylinder edge for load application. Within the testing program of the composite cone a thin equalizing layer of epoxy concrete, i.e. epoxy reinforced with a mixture of sand and quartz power, was applied between the end plates of the test specimens and the adjacent part of the testing rig in order to enable a uniform load introduction into the test specimen. However, in the first test of K8, the equalizing layer was faulty and lead to an unexpected low buckling load as shown in Fig. 7 (left). Unfortunately, no strain and ARAMIS measurements were performed for this first buckling test and the buckling test was also not repeated due to fear of damaging the test specimen. Table 1: Material and geometry parameters for cones K8 [9]. Shell Material parameter Ply Layup Elasticity modulus πΈ11 – [MPa] Elasticity modulus πΈ22 – [MPa] Poisson’s ratio ν12 Shear modulus πΊ12 – [MPa] Geometry parameter ß = 35° Large radius R – [mm] Small radius r – [mm] Average radius of curvature Ra – [mm] Slant Length L – [mm] Height H – [mm] Ply thickness tp – [mm] Nominal Thickness t – [mm] Average measured thickness ta – [mm] Ra/t L/ Ra Cone K8 [40,0,-40,-40,0,40] 152400 8800 0.31 4900 400 190 360.12 366.23 300.0 0.125 0.75 0.73 480 1.01 A comparison with the results of a geometrically nonlinear analysis (GNA) for the perfect shell show that the first buckling load in the test results to Nexp = 22.83 kN and the corresponding KDF results to ~ 0.48. Note, that this KDF is even higher than the design KDF proposed by the NASA SP-8019 (0.33). The equalizing layers were modified and the test specimen was tested again which resulted in a much better agreement between the axial stiffness of simulation and test as shown in Fig. 7 (right). The buckling load of the test resulted in this case to Nexp = 35.10 kN (KDF = 0.73) which is an improvement of the buckling load by 53.7 % in comparison to the first test. FEA, GNA for perfect shell - K8 Exp. - K8 - good equalizing layer 60 50 50 Axial Force F [N] Axial Force F [N] Exp. - K8 - faulty equalizing layer 60 40 30 20 10 0 FEA, GNA for perfect shell - K8 40 30 20 10 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 Axial Displacement u [mm] 0.3 0.35 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 Axial Displacement u [mm] Fig. 7: Load-displacement curves of cone K8: Tests from [9] and GNA results. The remaining difference between test buckling load and the buckling load of the perfect shell according to the GNA (NGNA = 47.78 kN) are mainly caused by the geometric imperfections and the deviation from the nominal wall thickness of the shell which are visualized in Fig. 8. [mm] [mm] 0.9 0.7 0.6 -0.7 Fig. 8: Thickness deviation - Ultrasonic scan results for K8 (left) Geometric deviation - ATOS measurement results of K8 (right). 2.2 Reduced Stiffness method (RSM) The reduced stiffness method (RSM) was developed by Croll et al. [40], [39] and its main purpose is to determine a lower-bound for the buckling load of thin-walled shells. The main hypothesis of the RSM is that stabilizing membrane energy components may be lost in the shell due to the presence of imperfections. The RSM is a simplified energy approach in which stabilizing membrane energy (UM) components are eliminated from the shell and only the bending energy (Ub) remains. Sosa et al. [60] developed steps to implement the RSM in Abaqus. For a conical shell, the first step of the RSM requires the calculation of the 1st linear buckling eigenmode by means of a linear buckling analysis (LBA). The corresponding nodal coordinates are then extracted for the next step (in Visualization Module ο Report ο Field Output ο Variable (Position: Unique Nodal ο U1, U2 and U3). Then, in the second step, the stiffness of the shell is represented by means of the ABD shell stiffness matrix (in Property Module ο Section Manager ο Shellο General Shell Stiffness) which allows controlling the membrane and bending components of the shell stiffness. Also, in this second step, the coordinates of the first eigenmode extracted in the first step are applied as a prescribed displacement field to the shell. A simple method to apply the coordinates as a displacement field can be achieved by adding the nodal coordinates into the input file (.inp) as shown in Table 2. These two steps of this procedure are illustrated in Figure 4. Reduced Stiffness Analysis ABD Stiffness Matrix ο· ο· ο· ο· Geometrical parameter material data Load Mechanical boundary conditions Create numerical model: ο· ο· ο· ο· ο· Shell geometry Material definition by means of ABD stiffness matrix for whole shell Axial compressive load Clamping as mechanical boundary conditions Mesh – ABAQUS – STRI3 shell elements Mesh – STRI3 – 10 mm Perform Linear Bifuraction Analysis (LBA): ο· ο· ο· Determine first linear buckling load Determine first linear buckling eigenmode Extract nodal coordinates from buckling eigenmode Perform Linear Static Analysis (LSA): ο· ο· ο· No axial load and same mechanical boundary conditions as in LBA Apply nodal coordinates of first linear buckling mode as prediscribed displacement field (load for this step) Determine strain energy – ABAQUS – History Output variable ο ALLSE Perform RSM Iteration using multiple Linear Static Analysis (LSA): ο· ο· ο· ο· Reduction of A-matrix – divide all 9 components of A-matrix by membrane stiffness reduction factor ο‘ Reduction of B-matrix – Set all 9 components of B-matrix to zero (to prevent singular siffness matrix) Determine strain energy – ABAQUS – History Output variable ο ALLSE with respect to ο‘ Calculate Knockdown Factor ο Divide strain energy (ο‘) by strain energy (reference) from process 3 Knockdown Factor ο min. ? Yes Knockdown Factor 1 No, increase ο‘ by factor 10 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 1 10 100 1000 10000 Membrane Stiffness Reduction Factor ο‘ Result Fig. 9: Sequence of steps for implementation of the RSM in Abaqus. Also, as part of Step 2, the displacement field needs to be scaled by a factor (the amplitude of the factor is unimportant as the strain energy is proportional to this factor). In this study a factor equal to the shell thickness t = 0.75 mm was used. In a subsequent linear static analysis (LSA) (Static, General, Nlgeom = OFF) the strain energy of the shell (History Output variable – ALLSE) based on the prescribed displacement field is determined and used to compute the KDF. In the RSM, the buckling knockdown factor is defined by the ratio between the strain energy obtained from the reduced stiffness calculations (Step 2) and the reference strain energy (ππ + 1 ππ ). The reduced membrane energy (ππ + ππ ) is obtained by reducing all the components of πΌ π ππ the A (membrane stiffness) of the ABD matrix with the scaling factor ο‘RSM > 1. For the cylinder Z36, when ο‘RSM = 1000, the KDF is calculated according to equation (2). 1 π ) 1572 πππ πΌπ ππ π = = 0.481 (ππ + ππ ) 3265 πππ (ππ + KDFRSM = (4) The variation of the knockdown factor as the values of the scaling factor ο‘RSM increases for the composite cone K8 is shown in Fig. 10. From the results, it can be seen that the KDF decreases as ο‘ increases and that the KDF approaches a plateau or lower-bound for ο‘ > 100. Table 2: Example of input file for importing nodal coordinates as a prescribed displacement field. **MATERIAL DEFINITION-ABD MATRIX *Shell General Section, Elset = Cone A/alpha, B B, D *Amplitude, name=FMODAL ** The thickness of the conical shell (0.75) is used as scaling factor 0., 0., 1., 0.75 ** STEP: Step-1 ** *Step, name=Step-1, nlgeom = NO *Static ** *Boundary, type = displacement, amplitude=FMODAL **Component U1 ‘node id’,1,1,’U1 for node id’ (…) **Component U2 ‘node id’,2,2,’U2 for node id’ (…) **Component U3 ‘node id’,3,3,’U3 for node id’ (…) ** ** OUTPUT REQUESTS *Output, history, variable=ALLSE Knockdown Factor 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 10 100 1000 Membrane Stiffness Reduction Factor ο‘ Fig. 10: Results of RSM iteration for the cone K8 10000 2.3 On nonlinear buckling of axially loaded cones The plateau or lower-bound buckling behavior of conical shells under axial compression was also observed in experimental testing campaigns and in comprehensive nonlinear numerical studies. For example Khakimova [11] realized the single perturbation load approach (SPLA) in experiments by applying lateral perturbation loads to the composite cone K8 which was subsequently loaded by axial compression. Perturbation loads PL = 1…5 N lead to a negligible reduction of the buckling load as shown in Fig. 11. However, if PL is further increased the buckling load is reduced by about 20 % until a plateau for the buckling load can be determined. Note, that the test setup of the test specimen K8 (black line in Fig. 11) had a misalignment of the loading plates (loading imperfection) which lead to an additional average 21 % reduction of the buckling load in comparison to the perfect shell (red line in Fig. 11). global buckling load - FEA, SPLA global buckling load - Test (average) local buckling load - FEA, SPLA 55 Buckling Load N [kN] 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Perturbation Load PL [N] Fig. 11: Buckling load N vs. Perturbation Load PL: test [11] and simulation results The transition from the reduction range to the plateau range is accompanied by a change in the structural behavior of the cone, namely local snap-through buckling as shown in Fig. 12 for PL = 8 N. The local snap-through leads to a reduction of the reaction force and a degradation of the axial cone stiffness. In addition, a characteristic diamond dimple forms and the cone can be further loaded until global collapse occurs. The local snap-through effect within buckling experiments is described as clearly audible and visible. Consequently, the local snap-through is highly dynamic and may already cause total collapse of the shell. The results of a nonlinear dynamic analysis for K8 with PL = 8 N and very small time increments (i = 1E-4) are shown in Fig. 12 (right). The shell collapses due to the snap-through and the corresponding global buckling load is about 3 % smaller (38.11 kN / 39.14 kN) than the collapse load of the same shell in a nonlinear static analysis. In comparison to the nonlinear static analysis, the shell in the nonlinear dynamic analysis exhibits an additional large diamond dimple next to the initial dimple. Consequently, the load carrying surface of the shell is reduced by factor two in comparison to the shell in the static analysis; hence the cone collapses already by the snap-through. Note, that the snap-through effect occurs more gradually as the perturbation load is increased and for PL = 10 N local and global buckling coincide as shown in Fig. 11. 60 50 Axial Force N [kN] Axial Force N [kN] 60 40 30 20 10 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0 0.3 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 Axial Displacement u [mm] Axial Displacement u [mm] Fig. 12: Load-shortening curve for K08 with PL = 8 N: nonlinear static analysis (left) nonlinear dynamic analysis (right) The post-buckling mode in the plateau range is characterized by a specific diamond shaped dimple. The plateau behavior remains even if the perturbation load is further increased and is based on a specific distribution of the membrane stresses in the cone. In the case of P = 1 N, there is a sligthly disturbed membrane stress state if the shell collapses as shown in Fig. 13. As the perturbation load increases the membrane stress state becomes more and more disturbed. F 48 kN F 42 kN F F F 38.6 kN 39 kN 38 kN u PL = 1 N u PL = 5 N -70 MPa u PL = 8 N 35 MPa u PL = 8 N u PL = 15 N 0 MPa Fig. 13: Membrane stresses of the cone K8 (right before buckling) for different PL For PL = 8 N, right before snap-through buckling occurs (39 kN), there are still residual membrane stresses during axial compression. However, after the snap-through has occurred (38 kN), the shell surface below and above the diamond dimple has nearly no membrane stresses. Consequently, if the perturbation or imperfection measure in this area is further increased, there is no further reduction of the buckling load, because the membrane stresses in this area are already approximately zero as shown in Fig. 13 for PL = 15 N. In summary, imperfections may lead to local snap-through buckling in a cone under axial compression. The snap-through reduces the membrane stresses above and below its origin to approximately zero, hence a further increase of imperfections in this region doesn’t reduce the buckling load additionally. This structural behavior is associated with the plateau or lower-bound buckling load. Furthermore, the snap-through is a highly dynamic event and may lead already to global collapse of the shell. 2.4 Localized Reduced Stiffness Method (LRSM) In this section, a variant of the reduced stiffness method (RSM) is introduced. This variant is defined as localized reduced stiffness method (LRSM) and based on geometrically nonlinear analyses (GNA) which as opposed to the RSM does not require the use of the first buckling eigenmode. Similarly to the RSM presented in Section 2.1.1, the membrane stiffness components are eliminated from the shell, and only the bending stiffness remains. However, unlike the RSM, the membrane stiffness in the LRSM is reduced in a localized fashion rather than globally. The purpose of this localized reduction is to induce the specific membrane stress state which is associated with the plateau for the buckling load as described in Section 2.1.2. Main Shell Surface Rs Rs Reduced Membrane Stiffness Surface Fig. 14: Schematic of the LRSM surface for thin walled shells A schematic representation of the region considered for reducing the membrane stiffness in a conical and cylindrical shell is shown in Fig. 14. The conical shell has two sections, the main shell surface, and a reduced membrane stiffness surface. On one side, the main shell stiffness is modeled in Abaqus by using the general shell stiffness matrix (ABD – matrix). On the other side, the reduced membrane stiffness surface, the components of the membrane stiffness matrix (Amatrix) are reduced significantly (by a factor of 1000). Also, the area of the reduced membrane stiffness surface in incrementally increased by increasing the radius Rs so its influence on the buckling load can be studied. Simulation results corresponding to the implantation of the LRSM are shown in Fig. 15. In Fig. 15 (left), the buckling load versus Rs/R ratio diagram has 2 zones. In the first zone, for Rs/R ≤ 0.04, a reduction of the buckling load occurs. In the second zone, a local snap-through occurs near the reduced membrane stiffness surface for Rs/R > 0.05 as shown in Fig. 15 (left). The global buckling load (red + in Fig. 15-left) approaches a plateau as the Rs radius is increased. However, the local buckling load (black diamond in Fig. 15-left) reduces and the minimum buckling load ~ 30.9 kN. Both, local and global buckling load coincide after the Rs/R ratio exceeds 0.07. Local Buckling Load 50 45 45 40 40 Axial Force F [kN] Buckling Load N [kN] Global Buckling Load 50 35 30 25 20 15 10 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 5 0 0 0 0,02 0,04 0,06 0,08 0,1 LRSM radius-to-shell radius ratio, Rs/R 0 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2 0,25 Axial Displacement u [mm] Fig. 15: First local and final global buckling loads of the LRSM iteration (left) and corresponding load-displacement curve (right). For design purposes, the minimum local buckling load is used which is conservative with respect to the undisturbed test result (compare with Fig. 7 - right) and also the disturbed test (compare with Fig. 11). The LRSM delivers KDFs for the buckling load which are about 33% higher compared to the RSM. The corresponding KDFs are also 93 % above the NASA SP-8019 recommendations. Table 3 summarizes the KDFs obtained with different methods for the composite cone K8. Table 3: Buckling load and KDFs for the composite conical shell K8. Shell GNA Post-buckling load of perfect shell Experiment (good equalizing layer) Experiment (faulty equalizing layer) GNIA (geometric imperfections) GNIA (geometric and thickness imperfections) RSM LRSM NASA SP-8019 [13] K8 Buckling Load [kN] 47.78 26.08 35.10 22.82 37.72 33.46 22.93 30.91 15.76 KDF 1.00 0.54 0.73 0.48 0.79 0.70 0.48 0.64 0.33 3 Conclusion and Outlook This article presents a detailed analysis regarding the imperfection sensitivity of a composite conical shell under axial compression. The composite cone K8 considered has a semi-vertex angle of 35 °, Ra/t ~480 and L/Ra ~ 1.01. The experimental KDF of the cone K8 was measured as 0.73 which is significantly higher (more than double) compared to the design KDFs of the NASA SP-8019 (0.33). A variant of the reduced stiffness method (RSM) is introduced for the design of composite conical shells under axial compression, the localized reduced stiffness method (LRSM). Within the framework of the LRSM, the membrane stiffness is reduced in a localized fashion rather than globally. The purpose of this localized reduction is to induce a localized dimple on the surface of the shells which may lead to snap-through buckling. It was shown that snap-through buckling reduces the membrane stresses above and below its origin to approximately zero. Hence a further increase of imperfections in this region does not reduce the buckling load additionally. This structural behavior is associated with the plateau or lower-bound buckling load and corresponds well the assumptions of the RSM in its original definition. For finite element implementation, and in contrast with RSM, the LRSM does not require the application of the first buckling eigenmode as a possible geometric imperfection. The composite cone was analyzed with the RSM and the LRSM and the resulting lower-bound KDFs are conservative with respect to the experimental result and deliver improved design KDFs (45-92 % higher) when compared with the NASA SP-8019. The results of this article show that there is potential to increase the KDF for the buckling of composite conical shells under axial compression which in turn results in structural weight reduction potential. 4 References [1] J. BΕachut, "Buckling of truncated cones with localized imperfections," American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Pressure Vessels and Piping Division, Toronto, ON; Canada; vol. 3, 2012, pp. 3-11. [2] J. BΕachut, "Combined stability of geometrically imperfect conical shells," Thin-Walled Structures, vol. 67, 2013, 121-128.. [3] J. BΕachut, "Interactive plastic buckling of cones subjected to axial compression and external pressure," Ocean Engineering, vol. 48, 2012, 10-16. [4] O. Ifayefunmi and J. 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