Foundations of Research Methods Week 1 EPPS 2301: Research in the Social and Policy Sciences Factors that compromise our ability to understand the world around us • Traditions • Authority • Inaccurate observations • Overgeneralizations • Selective observation • Illogical reasoning EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Cognitive Bias A cognitive bias is a systematic error in thinking that occurs when people are processing and interpreting information in the world around them and affects the decisions and judgments that they make. EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Cognitive Bias “Four widespread cognitive biases and how doctors can overcome them” (American Medical Association) 1. Confirmation bias: selectively gathering and interpretation evidence to conform with one’s beliefs 2. Anchoring bias: prioritizing information and data that support one’s initial impressions of evidence 3. Affect heuristic: actions are swayed by emotional reactions instead of rational deliberation 4. Outcomes bias: believing that clinical results—good or bad—are always attributable to prior decision https://www.ama-assn.org/delivering-care/ethics/4-widespread-cognitive-biases-and-how-doctors-can- EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The Research Enterprise Modern society relies on research Research allows us to: Universe Cosmos • Explore our universe • Explore our environment • Use and create new technology • Understand ourselves Contexts Tools US EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences What is research? • Research is systematic investigation • Research is empirical • Research is transparent and open to criticism • Research is a public effort The Research Enterprise: The macro-level effort to accumulate knowledge across multiple empirical systematic public research projects EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Social Research • Regarding our societies, things we do, how we interact, how we live, how we feel, how we see ourselves • Sociology, education, public health, criminology, housing, public welfare, psychology, etc. EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The Research to Practice Continuum Translational Research: The systemic effort to move research from initial discovery to practice and ultimately to impacts on our lives. EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The Research to Practice Continuum EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Basic and Applied Research Basic Research: Designed to generate discoveries and to understand how the discoveries work Applied Research: Projects where a discovery is tested under increasingly controlled conditions in real-world contexts EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The Research to Practice Continuum EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Implementation research Research that examines how well can a discovery be implemented in and disseminated in a broader range of contexts that extend beyond the original controlled studies EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The Research to Practice Continuum EPPS 2301: Research in the Social and Policy Sciences Policy and Impact Research Policy research: Research that is designed to investigate existing policies or develop and test new ones Impact research: Research that assesses the broader effects of a discovery or innovation on society EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Where do research ideas come from? Seeing practical problems in the field Reviewing the literature or existing evidence Requests for research proposals [RFPs] Generating your own research ideas Reading the news from reputable outlets (e.g. The Economist, WSJ, NY Times, etc.) EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Literature Review A systematic compilation and written summary of the literature published in scientific journals that is related to a research topic of interest The literature included should be peer reviewed and conducted early in the research process Peer review is a system for ensuring the accuracy and methodological integrity of published research articles EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The Language of Research THEORETICAL: Social research is concerned with developing, exploring, or testing the theories or ideas that researchers have about how the world operates EMPIRICAL: Based on observations and measurements of reality PROBABILISTIC: Based on probabilities CAUSAL: Pertaining to a cause-effect relationship EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Descriptive Research Answers who, what, when, why, where or so what? Documents what is going on or what exists There is no manipulation of behaviors Quantitative or qualitative in nature EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Relational Research Looks at relationships between two or more variables Does not examine how one variable impacts another Example: Positive relationship between studying for a test and test performance • Results will not indicate that studying for a longer period of time will automatically lead to improved performance or a higher grade • What other factors may impact how well you perform on that test? EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Challenge for Correlational Research: The Third Variable Problem In a correlational relationship, it is often a third variable that is causing the synchronization between two correlated variables Z An example: Cities with a greater number of churches have a higher crime rate. What factor may A B explain this relationship? Is it only through Z that there is a relationship between A and B EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Types of Relationships EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Causal Studies The goal of causal research is to provide evidence of the effectiveness of a program, intervention, or policy change on one or more desired outcomes. Causal studies are also called, experiments, randomized control trials (RCTs) or quasiexperimental studies X Y EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Baseline Equivalence: A defining feature of causal studies Key characteristic: equivalence across observable and unobservable characteristics between groups affected and not affected by intervention, policy, or program Only statistical difference between these two groups is that one received an intervention the other did not; otherwise they look the same EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences How Time Factors in Research Studies Cross-sectional studies –Take place at a single point in time • Repeated measures designs –Uses two or a few waves of measurement • Time series designs –Uses many waves of measurement (more than 20) Longitudinal studies –Follow the same individuals over multiple measurement waves EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences What kind of research study is this? EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences What kind of research study is this? EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Types of Data Qualitative data • Data that are in the form of text, pictures, sounds, etc. Quantitative data • Data that are in numeric form EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Variables: What are they? VARIABLE: Anything that can vary can be a variable • Income, individual’s sex • Variables are made of attributes, which are specific values of a variable (Individual’s sex = male or female) Two types of variables: • Independent variable (X): the variable you manipulate • Dependent variable (Y): the variable that is affected by the independent variable. EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Attribute Requirements Exhaustive: Variables should include all possible answerable responses Mutually exclusive: No respondent should be able to have two attributes simultaneously Both English Spanish EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Units of Analysis Unit of Analysis: The entity you are analyzing in your analysis • Individuals • Groups • Artifacts (e.g., traffic intersections, books, photos, newspapers, etc., etc.….) • Geographical units (e.g., towns, counties, states) • Social Interactions (e.g., dyadic relations, divorces, arrests) Unit of Analysis: It is the analysis you do in your study that determines what the unit is. Comparing two children’s test scores vs. Comparing two classrooms test averages EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Let’s say we are interested in understanding how race/ethnicity influences income. • What would be my independent and dependent variables? • How would ensure that your variable capturing race/ethnicity was mutually exclusive and exhaustive? EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences What is a hypothesis? Hypothesis: a specific statement of prediction Describes in concrete terms what you expect to happen in your study Informed by a theoretical or conceptual framework Found in quantitative research EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Developing a hypothesis Let’s say that we want to examine the relationship between juvenile delinquency and social class 1. How you will measure social class, delinquency? Social class = “family income” Delinquency = “number of arrests” 2. Second, measure the specified variables Social class = “Family income” (measured on a continuum in dollars) Delinquency = “Number of arrests” (a count of arrests) Social Class EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Alternative and Null Hypotheses Alternative hypothesis (H1A) –A specific statement of prediction stating what you expect will happen in your study –Delinquency is negatively associated with social class Null hypothesis (H0) –A specific statement that predicts there will be no effect of a program or treatment you are studying –Delinquency is not associated with social class EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences One or Two-Tailed Hypotheses Tests One-tailed hypothesis test –A hypothesis that specifies a direction Two-tailed hypothesis test –A hypothesis that does not specify a direction EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Deductive Reasoning EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences An example of deductive reasoning All mammals nurse their young. Whales are mammals. Therefore whales nurse their young. EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Inductive Reasoning EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences An example of inductive reasoning Being black must be a distinguishing feature of crows. All the crows I have seen are black. EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences The structure of research Begin with broad questions Narrow down focus Operationalize: “the act of translating a construct into its manifestation” Observe Analyze data Reach conclusions Generalize back to questions EPPS 2301: Research Design in the Social and Policy Sciences Validity: Making sound inferences