Hypotheses and Variables OBJECTIVES Example Research problem A survey carried out s ress level in a teaching hospital OBJECTIVES FOR THE STUDY: •To identify the numbers of patients with arthiritis •To identify the type of t •To discover the treatments being used •To discover if the sores were improving, deteriorating or static •To discover when the sores had occurred, i.e. prior to admission or on the ward •To list any support systems in use •To identify the degree of risk of pressure sore development of all patients in the hospital •To identify any factors which are of particular relevance to tissue breakdown. Hypothesis HYPOTHESIS IS NOT A QUESTION, BUT RATHER IT IS A STATEMENT ABOUT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TWO OR MORE VARIABLES. To be complete a hypothesis must include three components: The variables The population The relationship between the variables Hypothesis • Characteristics of Hypothesis: A hypothesis must be precise and clear. If it is not precise and clear, then the inferences drawn on its basis would not be reliable. A hypothesis must be capable of being put to test. Quite often, the research programmes fail owing to its incapability of being subject to testing for validity. Therefore, some prior study may be conducted by the researcher in order to make a hypothesis testable. A hypothesis “is tested if other deductions can be made from it, which in turn can be confirmed or disproved by observation” (Kothari, 1988). Hypothesis Characteristics of Hypothesis: A hypothesis must state relationship between two variables, in the case of relational hypotheses. A hypothesis must be specific and limited in scope. This is because a simpler hypothesis generally would be easier to test for the researcher. And therefore, he/she must formulate such hypotheses. As far as possible, a hypothesis must be stated in the simplest language, so as to make it understood by all concerned. However, it should be noted that simplicity of a hypothesis is not related to its significance. A hypothesis must be consistent and derived from the most known facts. In other words, it should be consistent with a substantial body of established facts. That is, it must be in the form of a statement which is most likely to occur. A hypothesis must be amenable to testing within a stipulated or reasonable period of time. No matter how excellent a hypothesis, a researcher should not use it if it cannot be tested within a given period of time, as no one can afford to spend a lifetime on collecting data to test it. Hypothesis Testing of hypothesis: 1. As a part of investigation, samples are drawn from the population and results are derived to help in taking the decisions. But such decisions involve an element of uncertainty causing wrong decisions. 2. Hypothesis is an assumption which may or may not be true about a population parameter. For example, if we toss a coin 200 times, we may get 110 heads and 90 tails. 3. At this instance, we are interested in testing whether the coin is unbiased or not. Therefore, we may conduct a test to judge the significance of the difference of sampling or otherwise. To carry out a test of significance, the following procedure has to be followed: Hypothesis Framing the Hypothesis: To verify the assumption, which is based on sample study, we collect data and find out the difference between the sample value and the population value. If there is no difference found or the difference is very small then the hypothetical value is correct. Generally two hypotheses complementary to each offer are constructed, and if one is found correct, the other is rejected. Null Hypothesis: The random selection of the samples from the given population makes the tests of significance valid for us. For applying any test of significance we first set up a hypothesis- a definite statement about the population parameter/s. Such a statistical hypothesis, which is under test, is usually a hypothesis of no difference and hence is called null hypothesis. It is usually denoted by Ho. In the words of Prof. R.A.Fisher “Null Hypothesis is the hypothesis which is tested for possible rejection under the assumption that it is true.” Alternative Hypothesis:Any hypothesis which is complementary to the null hypothesis is called an alternative hypothesis. It is usually denoted by H1. It is very important to explicitly state the alternative hypothesis in respect of any null hypothesis H0 because the acceptance or rejection of Ho is meaningful only if it is being tested against an opposite hypothesis. . POPULATION A population is what we call the entire group of individuals or elements who meet the sampling criteria. A sample is representative of that population. Example: If we were interested in looking at the number of childhood cancers in 2006 in the United Kingdom (i.e. population), we obviously could not survey the entire population of children with cancer in that year who live in the United Kingdom, and so consequently we would look at a smaller sample taken from all the children with cancer in 2006 who live in the United Kingdom. •The individual units of a population are what we call the elements. •Now an element can be anything that we are studying, for example it could be a person, an event, their behaviour, or indeed any other single unit of a study. •However, when elements are actually human beings, then rather than calling them elements, we call them subjects. CORRELATION CORRELATIONS The degree of relationship between two or more variables, or between two or more sets of data, is called linear correlation. The degree of relationship is expressed by the coefficient of correlation, and is symbolised by r. The closer r is to 1.00 (either negative or positive) the stronger the relationship. RELATIONSHIP This means the relationship between one variable and another, for example, smoking and lung cancer. Characteristics & Qualities of a good Hypothesis Predict a relationship between two or more variables Observable testable Be justifiable (based on rationale/theory) Simple Clear Relevant to the problem Specific Relevant to the existing techniques Fruitful Consistent TYPES OF ERRORS IN TESTING HYPOTHESIS Types of errors in testing of hypothesis: The inductive inference consists in arriving at a decision to accept or reject a null hypothesis (Ho) after inspecting only a sample from it. As such an element of risk – the risk of taking wrong decision is involved. In any test procedure, the four possible mutually disjoint and exhaustive decisions are: Reject Ho when actually it is not true i.e., when Ho is false. Accept Ho when it is true. Reject Ho when it is true. Accept Ho when it is false. TYPES OF HYPOTHESIS A hypothesis can be classified into six types: simple, complex, associative and causal, directional, non-directional and null. In research, a hypothesis is characterized by three essential elements: variables, population and the correlation between the variables. Associative hypothesis Casual hypothesis Simplex hypothesis Complex hypothesis Logical hypothesis Statistical hypothesis Causal vs Associative Hypothesis Associative hypotheses Propose relationships between variables - when one variable changes, the other changes. Do not indicate cause and effect. Causal hypothesis Propose a cause and effect interaction between two or more variables. Causal :Dieting women participating in a formal exercise regimen will have greater weight loss than dieting women without an exercise program Associative:There is a positive relationship between amount of exercise and weight loss among dieting women Simple vs. Complex Simple vs. Complex Simple hypothesis – There exists relationship between the two variables ( independent variable and dependent variable) Eg: Smoking leads to cancer Complex hypothesis There exists relationship among variables ( independent variable and dependent variables are more than two) Eg: Smoking and other drugs leads to cancer Infants born to heroin-addicted mothers have lower birth weight than infants of non-addicted mothers Infants born to heroin-addicted mothers have lower birthweight, more neurologic complications, and higher mortality than infants of non-addicted mothers Logical and Statistical hypothesis Logical hypothesis Hypothesis is verified logically.Eg.agreement, difference etc. Statistical hypothesis Hypothesis is verified statistically Directional Hypothesis VS Non-Directional Hypothesis Directional Hypothesis One can access the direction of or effect of one variable on the other. There will be a difference between the performance of children based on their age. Non-Directional Hypothesis One does predict kind of effect of one variable on the other but can state the relationship between variable 1 and variable 2. There will be a difference between the performance of elder children than younger children Empirical Hypothesis Vs Null hypothesis Empirical Hypothesis Working hypothesis is applied in field . during formulation it is as assumption after testing in the field it becomes a working hypothesis Null hypothesis It is contrary to the working hypothesis and states there is no relationship between the independent and dependent variable. Example There is no relationship between gender and knowledge of transmitted diseases among teenagers Teenage boys are better informed about transmitted diseases than teenage girls Variables Variables are'qualities, properties, and or characteristics of persons, things, or situations that change or vary, and that can be manipulated, measured, or controlled in a research study.' (Burns & Groves 2005:755) There are different types of variables, namely: Dependent variables; Independent variables. A dependent variable is the response, the behaviour, or the outcome that is predicted and measured in research.Changes in the dependent variable are presumed to be caused by the independent variables.An independent variable is the treatment, the intervention, or the experimental activity that is manipulated or varied by the researcher during the research study in order to create an effect (i.e. change) on the dependent variable. Types of Variables? Qualities or characteristics that vary between individuals, things, or situations Independent Dependent ◦ Cause ◦ Action ◦ Intervention Effect, outcome Reaction Response Same Variable Can Be Independent or Dependent depending on the research design and question Influence of a nurse’s experience with Influence of a nurse’s FAITH in death and dying religious activity nurse’s degree of FAITH religious activity Nurses attitude towards death and dying IV=Death experience IV=Religious activity DV=Religious activity DV=Death experience It Takes All Kinds Research variables (which could be independent or dependent or neither) are those being studied Demographic variables describe the population (and may be confounding variables) Extraneous (confounding) variables influence relationships being studied Hypothesis Testing Is also called significance testing Tests a claim about a parameter using evidence (data in a sample The technique is introduced by considering a one-sample z test The procedure is broken into four steps Each element of the procedure must be understood Hypothesis Testing Steps A. Null and alternative hypotheses B. Test statistic C. P-value and interpretation D. Significance level (optional) Questionnaire Development & Validation QUESTIONNAIRE DEVELOPMENT Questionnaire is a formalized set of questions to obtain certain information from certain respondents. Developing a good questionnaire is NOT EASY! •It takes time, time, and more time. •You may end up writing multiple drafts. •It helps to work with others when developing a questionnaire. 2 5 Types of Questionnaire 1 Self-administrated Computer assisted and Web-based Paper and pencil 2 Interviewer- administrated •Face to face •Telephone 2 6 Self-administered Questionnaire Advantages: 1. Cheap and easy to Disadvantages: 1.Low response rate administer 2. Preserves confidentiality 2.Questions can be misunderstood 3. Completed at any time 4. No influence by interviewer 5. Allow for instant data coding 2 7 3.No control by interviewer Interviewer administered Questionnaire Advantages: Disadvantages: • Interviewer bias 2 8 Participation of illiterate people • Needs more resources Clarification • Only short questionnaires possible especially on telephone Quick answers • Difficult for sensitive issues Designing Questionnaire 29 Types of questions ? 1 Open-ended question 2 Closed-ended question 3 Contingency questions. 30 1- Closed questions . You ask the respondent to choose, among a possible number of answers, the response that most closely represents his/her viewpoint Advantages: •The respondent is restricted to a certain set of responses, •They are easy to answer ( no hesitations), •Less time consuming, •Easy to code Disadvantages : •You will force the respondent to choose between specific answers … BIAS •You offer answers that otherwise would not have come to his mind, •They don’t allow for creativity and generating ideas, •They do not permit the respondent to qualify the chosen response or express a more complex or subtle meaning, •There is may a tendency for the respondent to tick systematically either the first or last answer, •To answer all items in a list in the same way •May Select what may be considered as the most socially desirable response, 31 Open ended questions Free-response questions are not followed by any choices and the respondent must answer by supplying a response, usually by entering a number, a word, or a short text. Advantages: They allow respondents to express their ideas spontaneously in their own language. They are less likely to guide the answer than closed questions . They can add new information when there is very little existing information available about a topic. Disadvantages : They may be difficult to answer They require effort and time from the respondent, They require the development of a system of coded categories with which to classify the responses..! Can’t be coded ! They require the respondent to have some degree of writing ability 32 3- Contingency questions Is a special case of a closed-ended question because it applies only to a subgroup of respondents…! 33 Types of closed questions ? Scales ? 34 Do’s and Don'ts in framing a Questionnaire Wording of the question Logic flow of the questions Simple language Mother language /tongue is the best Use concise and clear words And Avoid ….. 35 Don'ts in framing a Questionnaire Double-barreled questions Single questions that ask for two things and therefore require two answers. 1. Do you have your own table or your own room to do your homework? 2. Do you think it is good idea for children to study geography and history in primary school? 36 2- Double negatives Either in questions or answers 1.All the following aren’t used in the TTT of … Except ? :D 37 3- Avoid overlapping response categories Under 20 1 20-30 2 30-40 40-50 50-60 3 How old are you? 4 5 QUESTIONNAIRE Under 20 21-30 2 31-40 3 41-50 4 51-60 5 38 1 4- Leading questions Would you say that you are not in favour of school on Saturday morning?? 39 5- Overload the respondent’s memory Would you say that you are not in favour of school on Saturday morning?? 40 6- Long questions Generally, it is recommended to hold questions to 25 words or less. If a longer sentence is used then it should be broken up so that there will be several shorter sentences. 41 Avoid Hypothetical questions 1. Prediction of behavior and future 2. “Would you use this resource in your class if it were available..?” 3. People are generally poor predictors. 42 Testing 44 1. Informal tests 2. Experts review 3. Small-scale tests (pre test) 4.Functional or technical testing 5.Large-scale pilots and trials Informal Testing 45 Informal testing, also called pretesting, is a fundamental step in the process of developing a questionnaire. Because it is a relatively easy and inexpensive technique, it is used frequently to detect and correct problems in a proposed questionnaire. Testing 47 2. Experts review Pre-testing the questionnaire Pre-pilot Focusing group 46 Pre-testing the questionnaire a.Is each item producing the kind of information needed? b.What role is the item going to play in the proposed analysis? c.Are the questions meaningful to the respondents? d.Are respondents easily able to understand the items? e.Can respondents use the response format for each item? f.Was the question order logical and did the interview flow smoothly? h. Did some parts of the questionnaire arouse suspicion? I. Did other parts of the questionnaire seem repetitive or boring? j.Were interviewers able to read the questions without difficulty? k.Were respondents able to follow all instructions? l.Was the questionnaire too long? 47 Character of this group: Select a sample similar in socio-economic background and geographic location to the one that will be used in the main study. This sample will not be included in the final survey. Not to be a convenience sample. 48 Reliability and validity Validity: Concerns the degree to which a question measures what it was intended to measure and not something else. •Content (or face) validity •Empirical (or predictive) validity •Concurrent validity 49 Reliability: concerns the consistency of a measure. That is, the tendency to obtain the same results if the measure was to be repeated by using the same subjects under the same conditions. Kappa coefficient ! 50 Covering letters and introductory paragraphs You must explain the objectives of the survey, In an interview, one of the tasks of the interviewer is to persuade the respondent to co-operate. In a self-administered questionnaire, the covering letter is the only instrument for overcoming resistance. 61 Covering letter Items Identify the organization conducting the study. Explain the purpose of the study. Assure the respondent that information provided will be managed in a strictly confidential manner. QUESTIONNAIRE 52 Covering letter Items Explain WHY it is important that the respondent should complete the questionnaire. Brief detail on how the respondent was selected (for example, ‘Your name was randomly selected ....’). Expression of appreciation for the respondent’s help. 53 Covering letter Items Estimate of questionnaire completion time. Provide the name and contact numbers of the Principal Researcher(PI). 54 Check the Validity and Reliability of Questionnaires 65 •Types of Questionnaires • Structured Questionnaires • Unstructured Questionnaires •Qualities of a good Questionnaire • Questionnaire Reliability • Test-retest reliability • Inter-rater reliability • Parallel form reliability • Split-half reliability • Questionnaire Validity • Establish face validity • Conduct a pilot test • Enter the pilot test in a spreadsheet • Use principal component analysis (PCA) • Check the internal consistency of questions loading onto the same factors • Revise the questionnaire based on information received Contact Me THANK YOU UNIT 2 MEASUREMENT, SCALING AND SAMPLING TECHNIQUES AND RESEARCH REPORT PRESENTATION Validity and Reliability-Definition, importance, types of validity, types of reliability-- Construction and Validation of questionnaire, Cronbach alpha test, Measurement – definition- significance – types Nominal, Ordinal, Interval and Ratio, Scaling techniques. Sampling methods- Probability sampling methods and Non - Probability sampling methods, Report writing – importance , guideline to write an academic report, Basics of report presentation- Content of an Academic Research report, Content on a Research Article, Steps to publish an article, Research Metrics: Significance of Journal Impact Factor, SNIP, SJR, , Cite Score, Metrics: h-index, g index, i10 index Intellectual property