“Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed” - Mao Zedong A deep quote from a deeply troubled man is extremely important in today’s round, because when we understand the point at which war and politics collide, we understand the weight that this conflict carries. Because the proposition understands that a bloody conflict between China and Taiwan shouldn’t be furthered by the United States that we are proud to stand in proposition of today’s resolution: This House would not support US military intervention in the Taiwan Strait. Standard: Morality Framework: Mitigate potential violence. Understand the burden of this round isn’t to solve the conflict between China and Taiwan, the purpose of the round is to weigh the effects of full scale military intervention in Taiwan. 1. Status Quo a. We have ships and military personnel there and China said they don’t care Status Quo cards on Military presence in Taiwan https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-troops-have-been-deployed-in-taiwan-for-at-least-a-year-11633 614043 US Warships in Taiwan https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/us-canadian-warships-sailed-through-taiwan-strait-la st-week-2021-10-17/ -“China’s Foreign Ministry said in a statement that it urged the U.S. to adhere to prior agreements and to cease military aid to Taiwan. “China will take all necessary steps to protect its sovereignty and territorial integrity,” it said.” --”China sent around 150 aircraft into the zone over a four-day period beginning on Oct. 1 in a further heightening of tension between Beijing and taiwan that has sparked concern internationally.” -“Taiwan’s overall military spending was similar to that of Singapore, which has a quarter of Taiwan’s population and doesn’t have China breathing down its neck.” --US special operations forces and the marines have been deployed in Taiwan for over a year with the goal of building defenses against China. -“Taiwan’s defense minister, Chiu Kuo-cheng, warned Wednesday that China would be able to launch a full-scale attack on Taiwan with minimal losses by 2025.” --“U.S. Navy ships have been transiting the strait roughly monthly, to the anger of Beijing, which has accused Washington of stoking regional tensions. U.S. allies occasionally also send ships through the strait, including Britain last month.” Overall, the military contributions from the US are heightening tensions while providing essentially 0 support to Taiwan. 2. We don’t uphold democracy Purpose of having military in Taiwan in the first place (could also be a substantive for 2nd speech) a. The fundamental goal of supporting Taiwan in the first place is to promote democracy. The US is in 0 position to maintain that. *Challenge negation to come up with a singular example of military intervention from the US leading to a promotion of democratic ideals (ie Afghanistan, Korea, Vietnam)* They can’t accomplish it. They only serve to further the division between China and Taiwan and promote violence. 3. Other nations are there and we should emphasize global intervention, If we rally the western world in an effort to hurt China where it matters to them, aka the economy, we’d actually have a chance at preventing China from continuing their aggressions against Taiwan. a. If we continue to keep our ships there, we don’t solve a single problem regarding the aggression. World's top exports In 2020 china's top trading partners including The US, Japan, South Korea, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK, Australia, and more make up 38.6% Political intervention THE ARCHIVES We are proud to stand in proposition of today's motion. This House would not support US military intervention in the Taiwan Strait. We are proud to represent the proposition for today’s motion: This House would not support US military intervention in the Taiwan Strait. Policy and change- value real change Politically Intervention While each case is clearly different, the failure of most of these interventions to achieve the desired stability and accountable governance implies a need for a serious rethink about how interventions are conducted. In some quarters, this has revolved around debates over the effectiveness of counterinsurgency methods. This discussion largely misses the point. Military effectiveness has very little bearing on the success of interventions. Instead, inherently political factors pose nearly insurmountable obstacles to the success of ‘stabilizing interventions’, regardless of the quality and doctrine of intervening forces. Indeed, most such interventions feature a recurring series of obstacles. Essentially military interventions fail because of a lack of focus on political issues