Sot. Sri. & Med. Vol. 16. pp. 85 to 90. 1982 Printed in Great Britam. All rights reserved ‘kwlght 0277-9536/82/010085-06803.00,0 0 1982 Pergamon Press Ltd MEASURING POTENTIAL PHYSICAL ACCESSIBILITY TO GENERAL PRACTITIONERS IN RURAL AREAS: A METHOD AND CASE STUDY ALUN E. JOSEPH and PETER R. BANTOCK Department of Geography, University of Guelph. Guelph, Ontario, Canada Abstract-The general practitioner is the key element within most rural health care delivery systems, virtually controlling referral to higher levels of care as well as providing basic care. In consequence of the progressive urban-based centralization of health care facilities and specialized personnel encouraged by the desire to take advantage of economies of scale in supply, the role of the general practitioner within rural health care delivery has become increasingly crucial. However, the supply of general practitioners in rural areas has not kept pace with demands, and accessibility to physicians has become a pressing issue in many rural areas. Although ‘accessibility’ is not taken to be synonymous with physical or geographical accessibility, the dispersed settlement characteristic of most rural areas elevates the latter to a position of primary importance. Following a discussion of the merits of measures of accessibility based upon utilization versus measures based upon the relative location of population and physicians, a measure on potential physical accessibility is presented and applied to a Canadian data set. The results Suggest that although considerable differences in potential accessibility exist between rural areas near and far from urban centres, the smaller catchment populations of most rural general practitioners may partly compensate for isolation from major, urban concentrations of physicians. INTRODUCTION The importance of the general practitioner within advanced health care delivery systems is widely recognized [l]. The general practitioner provides not only basic care but also acts as a referral agent or filter to higher levels of care [Z]. Thus, accessibility to general practitioners is an issue of considerable importance within any consideration of the effectiveness of health care delivery. Although accessibility has been shown to be a function of aspatial factors (e.g. intake policy, perceived status of facility, etc.) [3] as well as of spatial ones (namely, distance of potential client from source of treatment), the enduring importance of the latter is reflected in the persistence of distance decay effects in the utilization patterns of most health care facilities [4]. The focus here is upon physical accessibility to general practitioners in rural areas, or, to be more precise, upon its measurement. It would be naive to suggest that the physical accessibility or nearness of general practitioners to potential clients is the sole issue of importance in rural health care delivery. There exist serious problems, too, in terms of the quality of rural facilities [S] and the availability of emergency treatment [6]. Nevertheless, the general question of physical accessibility has always been a pressing one in the rural context because the low density and- high dispersion of most rural populations means that greater average separation between potential client and source of treatment in rural areas compared to urban areas is inevitable if supply thresholds are similar. Moreover, this problem of intrinsically inferior physical accessibility to health care services in rural areas stemming from settlement conditions has been made more acute by recent developments in health care delivery systems. In the early decades of this century medical care in advanced societies was provided almost entirely by the general practitioner and, given the relatively limited sophistication of treatment, most of the resources needed for the administration of care could be carried with the individual physician. With the passage of time the practice of medicine has advanced to levels at which treatment often involves swift and frequent access by the general practitioner to a wellequipped office, clinic or hospital, as well as to a host of ancillary or specialized medical personnel [7]. Health care delivery has evolved from being homebased to being facility-based, with the hospital becoming an increasingly vital element within health care systems. Thus, in the United States, the annual rate of admission to hospitals, which stood at 59 per loo0 in 1935, had risen to 130 per 1000 during the 1960s [S]. Through increasing the need for sophisticated and costly equipment, advances in medical technology have pushed considerations of economies of scale to the forefront of health care planning [9]. Increasingly large catchment populations are required to ensure maximum return on investment in equipment and personnel. In geographic terms, this translates into a need to progressively centralize services into larger facilities. Such tendencies toward centralization at best aggravate existing problems of physical accessibility to services in rural areas, at worst they can mean the disappearance of certain types of services from areas with populations below critical thresholds. Invariably, the centralization of services puts the general practitioner into a crucial position within the rural health care delivery picture, not only as the main provider of care in the growing absence of alternative sources such as clinics and hospitals, but also as the access point to an increasingly complex health care system. However, the supply of general practitioners in rural areas may not always be sufficient for these functions to be performed properly. Spatial inequality in the supply of general practi85 ALUN E. JOSEPHand PETER R. BANTOCK 86 tioners has long been regarded as an important health care delivery problem [lo], particularly in rural areas [I I]. Historically, the shortfall in rural physicians has developed in parallel with, and as a Primary consequence of, the overall developments in health care delivery discussed above. In the United States, for instance, rural areas with 53% of the total national population had 41% of all physicians in 1906 but, by 1926, the corresponding percentages were 48 and 31. indicating a marked decline in the availability of rural physicians [ 121. Broadly speaking, the rural-urban imbalance in physician supply reflects the increasing urban-orientation of medical education and the attractiveness of practices located within easy reach of a wide range of support facilities and personnel [13]. It has been suggested that inequalities in supply would be reduced if the overall supply of doctors was increased [14]; underserviced areas, rural or otherwise, would gradually see an increase in their supply of doctors as the absolute number of physicians increased [lS]. However, this has not always occurred [16]. Indeed, increases in the supply of physicians has often exacerbated problems of maldistribution. This was particularly evident in Ontario, Canada during the 1960s. Physician supply increased by 45% during the decade, while the province’s population increased by only 25%. Although most areas increased their number of doctors, distribution disparities actually increased, with rural areas being the most negatively affected c171. Given the importance of physical accessibility to general practitioners within the functioning of rural health care systems, there is a clear need to be able to measure accessibility conditions in a simple and unambiguous manner. In this way ‘black spots’ could be identified and steps taken to ameliorate adverse conditions. The remainder of this paper is devoted to the presentation of a simple measure on physical accessibility and the consideration of results from a trial application. relative importance of which will be time and space specific. The second approach to the measurement of accessibility to general practitioners focuses upon the physical or geographical accessibility of the population to general practitioners and is thus much more specific than the measure based upon utilization. Such a measure is best termed ‘potential’ physical accessibility because no actual interaction between the two sides of the demand-supply equation is implied. Although examples of potential accessibility measures are common in other areas of geography. most notably in economic geography, applications in medical geography are rare. Indeed. the only one we are familiar with in the general practitioner context is that reported on by Barnett [23], who examined potential accessibility to general practitioners in two New Zealand urban areas. Unfortunately the measure used by Barnett has several shortcomings. which have been discussed by Joseph [24], so a different measure is used here. A measure on potential physical accessibility to general practitioners Given a maximum range for the service offered by a general practitioner and assuming that each and every member of the population is a potential user of general practitioner services. the pattern over space of physical accessibility will depend only upon the relative location of population and physicians. Research on the utilization of health care services suggests a continuous but progressive impact of distance from facility or personnel on the probability of utilization [25]. Thus a simple measure on potential physical accessibility would be Aj = c GP,Id$ (1) where: Ai = potential physical accessibility of area i to general practitioners; MEASURING ACCESSIBILITY TO GENERAL PRA~ITIONERS There are two basic approaches to measuring accessibility to general practitioners: the first involves the measuring of actual or revealed accessibility through analysis of utilization data; and, the second, the measurement of potential physical accessibility based upon the location of population relative to that of physicians. Geographical analyses of health care utilization PatternS are numerous [lf?]. Examples with an emphasis on the utilization of genera1 practitioner services are presented by Phillips [19] and by Girt 1201. Although work such as this is critical in demonstrating basic regularities, both spatial and aspatial. in utilization patterns, post facto measures of accessibility based upon utilization are constrained in their usefulness by the complexity of utilization behaviour. Such behaviour. although strongly influenced by sup ply-demand locational relationships [21], is a function also of other. less well-understood factors such as territoriality, action space and intake policy [22]. the GPj = general practitioner at j within the range of area i; dij = distance between i and j: and b = exponent on distance. However, this formulation does not take into account the differential availability of physicians, in that those with heavily populated catchment areas will, in all likelihood, be effectively less available than those with less heavily populated ones. This differential availability can be estimated as follows: Dj = 1 Pi/dTi. i That is. the potential demand on a doctor at j, Dj is a function of the magnitude of the population within the range of the service offered (i.e. within the doctor’s catchment area), modified by their distance away. By combining equations (1) and (2), we arrive at a dimensionless but internally consistent measure on potential physical accessibility to general practitioners, At. that combines a realistic assumption of utilization behav- Physical accessibilityto general practitionersin rural areas iour with a weighted estimate of physician availability. The merit of this measure on physical accessibility lies not only in its uniimbiguous focus on the poten- tial impact of locational relationships on the functioning of the general practitioner component of the rural health care delivery system, but also in its conservative data requirements. As opposed to measures on revealed accessibility based upon utilization, which demand reliable and detailed information over reasonably long time periods [26], the potential physical accessibility measure can be calculated with data on population distribution and physician location only, which are usually available in published form. A CASE STUDY The case study was carried out in Wellington County in Southern Ontario (Fig. 1). Population data were obtained at the enumeration area level from the 1976 census [27], while the location of general practitioners (Fig. 1) was taken from a survey carried out in 1978 by the local District Health Council 1281. It should be noted that several general practitioners located . _- -outside the county boundary are known to serve the population of the study area-[29]. These physicians are included in the calculation of potential physical accessibility and their availability is estimated in the normal fashion (equation (2)). Distances are measured between enumeration area centroids. Before applying the measure of potential physical accessibility to the Wellington County data, values for the exponent on distance, b, and for the range of the service offered by general practitioners were set. The former was set always ai 2.0 in light of empirical work on various types of interaction [30], while three values, 5, 10 and 15 miles, were used in turn for the latter. The reluctance to set a single value for one constant but not the other reflects the degree to which their roles in this sort of .measurement are understood. The impact of varying the exponent on distance has been investigated elsewhere [31]; in short, an increase in the exponent reduces the measured accessibility of distant places, whereas a reduction in its value will increase the measured accessibility of those same places. Conversely, the impact of altering the range of service limit has not been investigated empirically. RtWh Calculated values for the potential physical accessibility measure with the service range set, in turn, at 5, 10 and 15 miles are mapped in Figs 2a, 2b and 2c respectively. Note that scores have been raised by a constant of 10’ to help interpretation. Although the dimensionless nature of the measure makes it impossible to compare absolute enumeration area scores produced with different range of service values. changes in the relative pattern of potential physical accessibility are noticeable. With a service range of 5 miles, a stark contrast 87 exists between the potential physical accessibility of rural areas near to urban centres, the location of genera1 practitioners, and those less so (Fig. 2a). Indeed, Se%%ralenumeration areas are beyond the range of the nearest general practitioner and have a score of 0.0. When the service range is extended to 10 miles (Fig. 2b), only one enumeration area has a potential physical atissibiTiiy score of 0.0 and, as would be expected, the overall pattern displays a systematic, though minor, reduction of the disparity between rural areas near and far from urban centres. Extension of the service range to 15 miles has only a minor impact on the pattern of potential physical accessibility (Fig. 24. Indeed, it appears that the measure is not very sensitive to change in the service range beyond that distance at which most or all areas are within the range of the service. This limited sensitivity stems of course from the progressive impact of the exponent on distance in equation (3), which exponentially reduces the contribution to potential accessibility of physicians at increasing distances away. As a final step in the analysis, potential physical accessibility scores were re-calculated for a service range of 10 miles using equation (1) instead of equation (3) (Fig. 2d). Comparison of the two patterns (Figs 2b and 2d) underlines the importance of weighting the availability of doctors, as represented by equation (2). The unweighted pattern is dominated by the concentration of general practitioners in Guelph, 52 of the 89 in the study; thus, only one enumeration area in the four most northerly townships away from Guelph has a score above the lowest category. In contrast, the pattern produced by the weighted measure is more complex; in the same four northern townships six enumeration areas have scores above the lowest category. By assuming each physician to be fully available regardless of the size of his catchment area population, the unweighted measure makes the disparity between rural areas near to urban centres and those further away appear worse than it may actually be. In all probability, although physicians in more isolated rural areas may be at some distance from potential clients, they are likely to be more available to them, which serves to compensate in part for the inherent disadvantage of isolation from major, urban concentrations of general practitioners. CONCLUSIONS This paper has considered the nature and importance of physical accessibility to general practitioners as a problem in rural health care delivery and has presented and applied a method for measuring such accessibility. Although the results produced in the case study are in many ways specific to the conditions prevalent in Wellington County, they suggest that in areas where the settlement pattern and associated distribution of general practitioners is reasonably well developed, the underservicing of more remote rural areas may not be as pronounced as suggested by gross locational relationships. namely distance between potential clients and major concentrations of physicians. However. despite the relatively greater ‘availability’ of general practitioners in some rural areas. considerable disparities do exist between areas near and far from urban centres, and will continue to AWN E. JOSEPHand PETERR. BANTOCK 88 SO"THERN“‘““I- TOWN!JlilP BOUNDARY _--- ENUMERATION AREA BOUNDARY !33lLEMENT NUMBER Of GENERAL PRACTlTlONERS Fig. 1. The study area: administrative boundaries and location of general practitioners. Physical accessibility to general practitioners in rural areas b) 10 a) 5 Miles Miles , ban Scwe g = Mean Score--Z.52 2.04 0.00 r-J 0.00 0.01 - 1.02 m 0.01 - 156 m 137-2.52 1.03 -2.04 2.05 -3.07 2.53 - 3.70 > > 3.07 Settlemenh Sefflements C) 15 3.78 d) Miles 10 Miles LJean score-2.57 m 0.01 -1.26 m 1.29 - 2.57 f-?j 0.01 - 0.56 2.56 -3.66 m 0.57 - 1.12 fggj > kss! 1.13 -1.66 3.66 > 1.66 SettlCWWltS k Fig, 2. Potential physical accessibility to general practitioners: trial results. 89 ALUN 90 E. JOSEPHand PETERR. do so as long as the centralization of health care services and personnel continues and distance still acts as a deterrent to utilization. The solution to major rural health care delivery issues, amongst which physical accessibility to general practitioners must rank as one of the most important, lies with those who determine health care priorities and strategies. The intention of this paper has been the modest one of suggesting a method for measuring disparities in potential physical accessibility to the key element within the rural health care delivery system, the general practitioner. The measure developed is simple yet realistic and uses data readily available in most health care systems. Hopefully, it will prove useful to others interested in rural health care delivery. perhaps in conjunction with detailed investigation of the role of the general practitioner. 7. Hassinger E. W. Pathways of rural people to health services. 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