i = 10% TIME VALUE OF MONEY Note: r = i/n A peso today is worth more than a peso promised in the future r = 5% FV = Php 200 x [1.05]6 FUTURE VALUE FV = Php 268.02 Refers to the amount of money an investment will grow to over some period of time at some given interest rate PRESENT VALUE The reverse of future value; instead of compounding the money forward into the future, we discount it back to the present 1. Investing in a Single Period 1.1 If you were to invest Php 100 in a time deposit that pays 10% per year, how much would you have in one year? Often referred to as the discounted cash flow technique Ans: Formula: FV = PV x (1+r) FV = 100 x 1.10 FORMULA: FV = Php 110 PV = FV X [1+ r]-t 2. Investing for More Than One Period 2.1 With a Php 100 investment, what will you have after two years, assuming the interest rate doesn’t change? 1. Calculating the Value of a Single Amount 1.1 Let’s assume we are to receive Php 100 at the end of two years. How do we calculate the present value of the amount, assuming the interest is 8% per year compounded annually? Ans: Formula: FV = PV x (1+r)t FV = 100 x 1.21 FV = Php 121 Ans: PV = 100 x (1.08)-2 3. Future Value and Compounding PV = Php 85.73 FORMULA 2. Present Value and Compounding FV = PV X [1+ r]t 2.1 What is the present value of receiving single amount of Php 5,000 at the end of 3 years, if the time value of money is 8% per year, compounded quarterly? FV = Future Value PV = Present Value Ans: PV = ? r = rate of return (r = i/n) FV = Php 5,000 t = number of periods t = 12 periods (3 years x 4 (quarterly)) r = 2% (r = 8% / 4) 3.1 You make a single deposit of Php 100 today. It will remain invested for 4 years at 8% per year compounded annually. What will be the FV of your single deposit at the end of 4 years? PV = FV x (1 + r)-t PV = Php 5,000(1.02)-t PV = Php 3,942.37 Ans: FV = Php 100 x [1 + (8%/1)]4 FV = 100 x [1.36] PRESENT VALUE OF ORDINARY ANNUITY FV= Php 136.04 series of equal payments made at the end of consecutive periods over a fixed length of time. 3.2 You make a single deposit today of Php 200. The deposit will be invested for 3 years at an interest rate of 10% per year compounded semi-annually. What will be the future value of your account at the end of 3 years? All payments are made at the same intervals of time (such as once a month or quarter, over a period of a year). FV = ? PV = Php 200 All payments are made at the end of each period t = 6 semi-annual periods The present value of an ordinary annuity is largely dependent on the prevailing interest rate. Because of n=2 1 zjrs All payments are the same the time value of money, rising interest rates reduce the present value of an ordinary annuity, while declining interest rates increase its present value. FORMULA: FORMULA: P = periodic payments 𝑃𝑉AD = 𝑃 1 − (1 + 𝑟)−𝑛 𝑃𝑉OA = 𝑃 𝑟 P = periodic payments 1 − (1 + 𝑟)−(𝑛−1) 𝑟 r = rate per period n = number of periods r = rate per period 1. Alan wants to deposit Php 300 into a fund at the beginning of each month. If he can earn 10% compounded interest monthly, how much amount will be there in the fund at the end of 6 years? n = number of periods 1. If an ordinary annuity pays Php 50,000 per year for five years and the interest rate is 7 percent, the present value would be: Ans: PVOA =Php 50,000 x PVOA = 50,000 x Ans: P = Php 300 r = 0.0083 (10% / 12) 1−(1+0.07)−5 n = 72 (6 years x 12 (monthly)) 0.07 1−0.713 𝑃𝑉AD = 𝑃ℎ𝑝 300 𝑥 0.07 PVOA = 50,000 x 4.1 PVOA = Php 205, 000 1 − (1 + 0.0083)−(72−1) 0.0083 𝑃𝑉AD = 𝑃ℎ𝑝 300 𝑥 53.48 𝑃𝑉AD = 𝑃ℎ𝑝 16,044.58 2. A friend asks you to help him determine the appropriate price to pay for an annuity offering a retirement income of Php 10,000 a month for 10 years. Assume the interest rate is 6% compounded monthly. Ans: P = Php10,000.00 R = 0.005 (6% / 12) n = 120 periods (10 x 12) PVOA =Php 10,000 x PVOA =Php 10,000 x 1−(1+0.005)−120 0.0042 0.4504 0.0042 PVOA =Php 10,000 x 107.24 PVOA =Php 1,072,380.95 Note: The present value of a series of payments, whether the payments are the same or not, is: PRESENT VALUE OF ANN UITY DUE the payments occur at the beginning of the payment period 2 zjrs ASSETS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS a resource with economic value that an individual, corporation or country owns or controls with the expectation that it will provide a future benefit, can generate cash flow, reduce expenses or improve sales CURRENT ASSETS Current assets are short-term economic resources that are expected to be converted into cash within one year Cash – most liquid; anything authorized by law as a medium of exchange at a given time and place Marketable securities – near cash; very liquid short-term investments, such as U.S. Treasury bills or certificates of deposit, held by the firm. Accounts receivable - owed to the concern by customers arising from sale of goods or services in the ordinary course of business Inventories - include raw materials, work in process (partially finished goods), and finished goods held by the firm FIXED ASSETS long-term resources, such as plants, equipment, and buildings FINANCIAL ASSETS represent investments in the assets and securities of other institutions. Financial assets include stocks, sovereign and corporate bonds, preferred equity, and other hybrid securities. INTANGIBLE ASSETS economic resources that have no physical presence. They include patents, trademarks, copyrights, and goodwill Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) the practice and procedure guidelines used to prepare and maintain financial records and reports; authorized by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) I. INCOME STATEMENT provides a financial summary of the firm’s operating results during a specified period Sales Revenue - the total dollar amount of sales during the period—from which the cost of goods sold is deducted. Gross profit - represents the amount remaining to satisfy operating, financial, and tax costs. Operating expenses - include selling expense, general and administrative expense, lease expense, and depreciation expense, are deducted from gross profits Operating profit - often called earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT. Represent the profits earned from producing and selling products; this amount does not consider financial and tax costs. Financial cost (interest expense) - subtracted from operating profits to find net profits (or earnings) before taxes. Taxes are calculated at the appropriate tax rates and deducted to determine net profits (or earnings) after taxes Any preferred stock dividends must be subtracted from net profits after taxes to arrive at earnings available for common stockholders Earnings per share (EPS) - represent the number of dollars earned during the period on behalf of each outstanding share of common stock LIABILITIES an obligation between one party and another not yet completed or paid for CURRENT LIABILITIES Short-term liabilities, expected to be paid within 1 year or less Accounts Payable - amounts owed for credit purchases by the firm Notes Payable - outstanding short-term loans, typically from commercial banks Wages Payable - The total amount of accrued income employees have earned but not yet received Interest Payable - Companies, just like individuals, often use credit to purchase goods and services to finance over short time periods Dividends Payable - For companies that have issued stock to investors and pay a dividend, this II. BALANCE SHEET presents a summary statement of the firm’s financial position at a given time 3 zjrs a summary of the cash flows over the period of concern. The statement provides insight into the firm’s operating, investment, and financing cash flows and reconciles them with changes in its cash and marketable securities during the period. represents the amount owed to shareholders after the dividend was declared. NON CURRENT LIABILITIES represents debt for which payment is not due in the current year STOCKHOLDER’S EQUITY represents the owners’ claims on the firm Preferred Stock - historical proceeds from the sale of preferred stock Common Stock - par value of common stock Paid-in capital in excess of par - represents the amount of proceeds in excess of the par value received from the original sale of common stock Retained earnings - represent the cumulative total of all earnings, net of dividends, that have been retained and reinvested in the firm since its inception IV. NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Explanatory notes keyed to relevant accounts in the statements; they provide detailed information on the accounting policies, procedures, calculations, and transactions underlying entries in the financial statement Bartlett Company’s balance sheets in Table 3.2 show that the firm’s total assets increased from $3,270,000 in 2011 to $3,597,000 in 2012. The $327,000 increase was due primarily to the $219,000 increase in current assets. The asset increase, in turn, appears to have been financed primarily by an increase of $193,000 in total liabilities FINANCIAL RATIOS Ratio Analysis Involves methods of calculating and interpreting financial ratios to analyze and monitorthe firm’s performance RATIO COMPARISONS CROSS-SECTIONAL ANALYSIS involves the comparison of different firms’ financial ratios at the same point in time. Benchmarking - A type of cross-sectional analysis in which the firm’s ratio values are compared to those of a key competitor or group of competitors that it wishes to emulate. III.STATEMENT OF CASH FL OWS 4 zjrs TIME SERIES ANALYSIS 1. LIQUIDITY RATIOS Liquidity - ability to satisfy its short-term obligations as they come due. It refers to the solvency of the firm’s overall financial position—the ease with which it can pay its bills Evaluation of the firm’s financial performance over time using financial ratio analysis COMBINED ANALYSIS the most informative approach to ratio analysis combines cross-sectional and time-series analyses. A combined view makes it possible to assess the trend in the behavior of the ratio in relation to the trend for the industry 1.1 CURRENT RATIO One of the most commonly cited financial ratios, measures the firm’s ability to meet its short-term obligations FORMULA : 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 The current ratio for Bartlett Company in 2012 is $1,223,000 , $620,000 = 1.97 CAUTIONS ABOUT USING RATIO ANALYSIS 1. Ratios that reveal large deviations from the norm merely indicate the possibility of a problem. INDICATION: 2. A single ratio does not generally provide sufficient information from which to judge the overall performance of the firm. However, if an analysis is concerned only with certain specific aspects of a firm’s financial position, one or two ratios may suffice A higher current ratio indicates a greater degree of liquidity. 1.2 QUICK (ACID-TEST) RATIO 3. The ratios being compared should be calculated using financial statements dated at the same point in time during the year similar to the current ratio except that it excludes inventory, which is generally the least liquid current asset ability to pay the more current obligation from the more current liquid asset The generally low liquidity of inventory results from two primary factors: 1. Many types of inventory cannot be easily sold because they are partially completed items, specialpurpose items 2. inventory is typically sold on credit, which means that it becomes an account receivable before being converted into cash 4. It is preferable to use audited financial statements for ratio analysis. 5. The financial data being compared should have been developed in the same way. The use of differing accounting treatments—especially relative to inventory and depreciation—can distort the results of ratio comparisons, regardless of whether cross-sectional or time-series analysis is used. 6. Results can be distorted by inflation, which can cause the book values of inventory and depreciable assets to differ greatly from their replacement values FORMULA : 𝑄𝑢𝑖𝑐𝑘 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = CATEGORIES OF FINANC IAL RATIOS The quick ratio for Bartlett Company in 2012 is: Financial ratios can be divided for convenience into five basic categories: liquidity, activity, debt, profitability, and market ratios. Liquidity, activity, and debt ratios primarily measure risk. Profitability ratios measure return. Market ratios capture both risk and return. Financial ratios can be divided for convenience into five basic categories: liquidity, activity, debt, profitability, and market ratios. Liquidity, activity, and debt ratios primarily measure risk. Profitability ratios measure return. Market ratios capture both risk and return 𝑄𝑢𝑖𝑐𝑘 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 5 zjrs 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 − 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 1,223,000 − 289,000 = 1.51 620,000 extends 30-day credit terms to customers, an average collection period of 59.7 days may indicate a poorly managed credit or collection department, or both 1.3 CASH RATIO FORMULA : 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ + 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 + 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑆𝑒𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 2.2.2 ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE TURNOVER RATIO FORMULA: 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 = 2. ACTIVITY RATIOS 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐶𝑟𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑡 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐴𝑅 Measure the speed with which various accounts are converted into sales or cash—inflows or outflows Average AR = (Beg. AR + Ending AR) / 2 2.1 INVENTORY TURNOVER commonly measures the activity, or liquidity, of a firm’s inventory 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝐺𝑜𝑜𝑑𝑠 𝑆𝑜𝑙𝑑 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 = 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦 Net Credit Sales = 2.3 AVERAGE PAYMENT PERIOD The average amount of time needed to pay accounts payable Applying this relationship to Bartlett Company in 2012 yields: 2,088,000 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 = = 7.2 289,000 FORMULA: Note: The resulting turnover is meaningful only when it is compared with that of other firms in the same industry or to the firm’s past inventory turnover. An inventory turnover of 20 would not be unusual for a grocery store, whose goods are highly perishable and must be sold quickly, whereas an aircraft manufacturer might turn its 𝐴𝑣𝑒. 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = 𝐴𝑣𝑒. 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = inventory just four times per year. =7.2 / 365days =50.7 days 2.2.1 AVERAGE COLLECTION PERIOD or average age of accounts receivable, is useful in evaluating credit and collection policies The average amount of time needed to collect accounts receivable = 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑑𝑎𝑦 The average collection period for Bartlett Company in 2012 is 503,000 3,074,000/365 2.4. TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER 503,000 = 8,422 = 59.7days indicates the efficiency with which the firm uses its assets to generate sales Indication: The average collection period is meaningful only in relation to the firm’s credit terms. If Bartlett Company FORMULA: 6 zjrs 382,000 = 95.4 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠 (0.70 𝑥 2,088,000)/365 INDICATIONS: This figure is meaningful only in relation to the average credit terms extended to the firm. If Bartlett Company’s suppliers have extended, on average, 30-day credit terms, an analyst would give Bartlett a low credit rating because it was taking too long to pay its bills. FORMULA : = 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑢𝑟𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑠/365 The difficulty in calculating this ratio stems from the need to find annual purchases, a value not available in published financial statements. Ordinarily, purchases are estimated as a given percentage of cost of goods sold. If we assume that Bartlett Company’s purchases equalled 70 percent of its cost of goods sold in2012, its average payment period is: Average Age of Inventory - The average amount of time needed to collect accounts receivable 𝐴𝑣𝑒. 𝐶𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑃𝑢𝑟𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑑𝑎𝑦 INDICATIONS: The times interest earned ratio for Bartlett 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 The value of Bartlett Company’s total asset turnover in 2012 is: 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 = Company seems acceptable. A value of at least 3.0—and preferably closer to 5.0—is often suggested. The firm’s earnings before interest and taxes could shrink by as much as 78 percent [(4.5 - 1.0) / 4.5] and the firm would still be able to pay the $93,000 in interest it owes. Thus it has a large margin of safety 3,074,000 = 0.85 3,597,000 INDICATIONS: This means the company turns over its assets 0.85 times per year. Generally, the higher a firm’s total asset turnover, the more efficiently its assets have been used. This measure is probably of greatest interest to management because it indicates whether the firm’s operations have been financially efficient. 3.3 FIXED PAYMENT COVERAGE RATIO 3. DEBT RATIOS FORMULA: measures the firm’s ability to meet all fixed payment obligations, such as loan interest and principal, lease payments, and preferred stock dividends The debt position of a firm indicates the amount of other people’s money being used to generate profits Financial Leverage - The magnification of risk and return through the use of fixed cost financing, such as debt and preferred stock the more debt a firm uses in relation to its total assets, the greater its financial leverage INDICATIONS: Like the times interest earned ratio, the fixedpayment coverage ratio measures risk. The lower the ratio, the greater the risk to both lenders and owners, and the greater the ratio, the lower the risk. This ratio allows interested parties to assess the firm’s ability to meet additional fixed-payment obligations without being driven into bankruptcy 3.1 DEBT RATIO measures the proportion of total assets financed by the firm’s creditors The higher this ratio, the greater the amount of other people’s money being used to generate profits. 4. PROFITABILITY RATIO FORMULA: these measures enable analysts to evaluate the firm’s profits with respect to a given level of sales, a certain level of assets, or the owners’ investment 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 The debt ratio for Bartlett Company in 2012 is: 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 1,643,000 = 45.7% 3,597,000 4.1 GROSS PROFIT MARGIN measures the percentage of each sales dollar remaining after the firm has paid for its goods. INDICATIONS: This value indicates that the company has financed close to half of its assets with debt. The higher this ratio, the greater the firm’s degree of indebtedness and the more financial leverage it has FORMULA: 3.2 TIMES INTEREST EARNED RATIO Bartlett Company’s gross profit margin for 2012 is 𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 = sometimes called the interest coverage ratio, measures the firm’s ability to make contractual interest payments 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 − 𝐶𝑂𝐺𝑆 𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 = 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 = = 986,000 3,074,000 3,074,000 − 2,088,000 3,074,000 = 32.1% FORMULA 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇 𝑇𝑎𝑥𝑒𝑠 418,000 𝑇𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = = 4.5 93,000 𝑇𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 4.2 OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN measures the percentage of each sales dollar remaining after all costs and expenses other than interest, taxes, and preferred stock dividends are deducted. 7 zjrs It represents the “pure profits” represents the number of dollars earned during the period on behalf of each outstanding share of common stock FORMULA: 𝑂𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑂𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 = 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 Bartlett Company’s operating profit margin for 2012 is: = 418,000 3,074,000 FORMULA: 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙. 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘ℎ𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝐸𝑃𝑆 = 𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 = 13.6% 4.3 NET PROFIT MARGIN 𝐸𝑃𝑆 = measures the percentage of each sales dollar remaining after all costs and expenses, including interest, taxes, and preferred stock dividends have been deducted 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 = INDICATION: This figure represents the dollar amount earned on behalf of each outstanding share of common stock. 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝐴𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙. 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑆𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 Bartlett Company’s net profit margin for 2012 is: 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 = 221,000 = $2.90 76,262 5. MARKET RATIO 221,000 = 7.2% 3,074,000 relate the firm’s market value, as measured by its current share price, to certain accounting values. INDICATIONS: The higher the firm’s net profit margin, the better. 4.4 RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS (ROA) 5.1 PRICE EARNING RATIO (P/E RATIO) often called the return on investment (ROI), measures the overall effectiveness of management in generating profits with its available assets Measures the amount that investors are willing to pay for each dollar of a firm’s earnings; the higher the P/E ratio, the greater the investor confidence. FORMULA: FORMULA: 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑅𝑂𝐴 = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 221,000 𝑅𝑂𝐴 = = 6.1% 3,597,000 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑃𝐸 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 𝐸𝑃𝑆 If Bartlett Company’s common stock at the end of 2012 was selling at $32.25, using the EPS of $2.90, the P/E ratio at year-end 2012 is INDICATION: The higher the firm’s return on total assets the better. This value indicates that the company earned 6.1 cents on each dollar of asset investment. 32.25 = 11.1 2.90 INDICATION: This figure indicates that investors were paying $11.10 for each $1.00 of earnings. 𝑃𝐸 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 4.5 RETURN ON TOTAL EQUITY (ROE) measures the return earned on the common stockholders’ investment in the firm 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑆𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 5.2 MARKET BOOK (M/B) RATIO provides an assessment of how investors view the firm’s performance 221,000 = 12.6% 1,754,000 To calculate the firm’s M/B ratio, we first need to find the book value per share of common stock INDICATION: Generally, the owners are better off the higher is this return. The calculated ROE of 12.6 percent indicates that during 2012 Bartlett earned 12.6 cents on each dollar of common stock equity 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 = 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑁𝑜.𝑜𝑓 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 = 1,754,000 = $23.00 76,262 FORMULA: 4.6 EARNINGS PER SHARE 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑀𝐵 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 8 zjrs 𝑀𝐵 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = ability to pay debts in 2012 compensates for its increased degree of indebtedness. $32.25 = $1.40 $23.00 MARKET INDICATION: Investors are currently paying $1.40 for each $1.00 of book value of Bartlett Company’s stock. Clearly, Bartlett’s future prospects are being viewed favorably by investors, who are willing to pay more than their book value for the firm’s shares Investors have greater confidence in the firm in 2012 than in the prior 2 years, as reflected in the price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.1. However, this ratio is below the industry average. The P/E ratio suggests that the firm’s risk has declined but remains above that of the average firm in its industry. The firm’s market/book (M/B) ratio has increased over the 2010–2012 period, and in 2012 it exceeds the industry average. This implies that investors are optimistic about the firm’s future performance. The P/E and M/B ratios reflect the firm’s increased profitability over the 2010–2012 period: Investors expect to earn high future returns as compensation for the firm’s above-average risk. A COMPLETE RATIO ANALYSIS SUMMARIZING ALL RATI OS LIQUIDITY In summary, the firm appears to be growing and has recently undergone an expansion in assets, financed primarily through the use of debt. The 2011–2012 period seems to reflect a phase of adjustment and recovery from the rapid growth in assets. Bartlett’s sales, profits, and other performance factors seem to be growing with the increase in the size of the operation. In addition, the market response to these accomplishments appears to have been positive. In short, the firm seems to have done well in 2012. The overall liquidity of the firm seems to exhibit a reasonably stable trend, having been maintained at a level that is relatively consistent with the industry average in 2012. The firm’s liquidity seems to be good. ACTIVITY Bartlett Company’s inventory appears to be in good shape. Its inventory management seems to have improved, and in 2012 it performed at a level above that of the industry. The firm may be experiencing some problems with accounts receivable. The average collection period seems to have crept up above that of the industry. Bartlett also appears to be slow in paying its bills; it pays nearly 30 days slower than the industry average. This could adversely affect the firm’s credit standing. Although overall liquidity appears to be good, the management of receivables and payables should be examined. Bartlett’s total asset turnover reflects a decline in the efficiency of total asset utilization between 2010 and 2011. Although in 2012 it rose to a level considerably above the industry average, it appears that the pre2011 level of efficiency has not yet been achieved. DUPONT SYSTEM OF ANA LYSIS used to dissect the firm’s financial statements and to assess its financial condition. It merges the income statement and balance sheet into two summary measures of profitability, return on total assets (ROA) and return on common equity (ROE) DEBT COMMON SIZE STATEMEN TS Bartlett Company’s indebtedness increased over the 2010–2012 period and is currently above the industry average. Although this increase in the debt ratio could be cause for alarm, the firm’s ability to meet interest and fixed-payment obligations improved, from 2011 to 2012, to a level that outperforms the industry. The firm’s increased indebtedness in 2011 apparently caused deterioration in its ability to pay debt adequately. However, Bartlett has evidently improved its income in 2012 so that it is able to meet its interest and fixed-payment obligations at a level consistent with the average in the industry. In summary, it appears that although 2011 was an off year, the company’s improved ability to pay debts in 2012 compensates for its increased degree of indebtedness. A statement wherein each item is expressed in terms of a percentage of a common base number. PROFITABILITY Bartlett Company’s indebtedness increased over the 2010 2012 period and is currently above the industry average. Although this increase in the debt ratio could be cause for alarm, the firm’s ability to meet interest and fixed-payment obligations improved, from 2011 to 2012, to a level that outperforms the industry. The firm’s increased indebtedness in 2011 apparently caused deterioration in its ability to pay debt adequately. However, Bartlett has evidently improved its income in 2012 so that it is able to meet its interest and fixedpayment obligations at a level consistent with the average in the industry. In summary, it appears that although 2011 was an off year, the company’s improved COMPARATIVE STATEMEN T Show the increases or decreases in account balances and their corresponding percentages. 9 zjrs ANALYZING THE FIRM’S CASH FLOW OPERATING CASH FLOW Cash Flow - the lifeblood of the firm the cash flow it generates from its normal operations—producing and selling its output of goods or services Depreciation - A portion of the costs of fixed assets charged against annual revenues over time FORMULA: depreciation deductions increase a firm’s cash flow because they reduce a firm’s tax bill 𝑂𝐶𝐹 = 𝑁𝑂𝑃𝐴𝑇 + 𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 Depreciable Life of an Asset - Time period over which an asset is depreciated CATEGORIES OF CASH FLOW During 2012, Baker Corporation generated $322,000 of cash flow from producing and selling its output. Therefore, we can conclude that Baker’s operations are generating positive cash flows. Operating flows – cash inflows and outflows directly related to the sale and production of the firm’s products and services. Investment Flows - are cash flows associated with the purchase and sale of both fixed assets and equity investments in other firms FREE CASH FLOW represents the cash available to investors—the providers of debt (creditors) and equity (owners)—after the firm has met all operating needs and paid for net investments in fixed assets and current assets. Financing flows - Cash flows that result from debt and equity financing transactions; include incurrence and repayment of debt, cash inflow from the sale of stock, and cash outflows to repurchase stock or pay cash dividends FORMULA: 𝐹𝐶𝐹 = 𝑂𝐶𝐹 − 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 (𝑁𝐹𝐴𝐼) − 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡(𝑁𝐶𝐴𝐼) 𝑁𝐹𝐴𝐼 = 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 + 𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑁𝐶𝐴𝐼 = 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 + 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 (𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 + 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑟𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑠) 10 zjrs THE FINANCIAL PLANNING PROCESS it provides road maps for guiding, coordinating, and controlling the firm’s actions to achieve its objectives Planning that begins with long term, or strategic, financial plans that in turn guide the formulation of shortterm, or operating, plans and budget Two key aspects: 1. Cash Planning - involves preparation of the firm’s cash budget 2. Profit Planning - involves preparation of pro forma statements LONG-TERM (STRATEGIC) FINANCIAL PLANS Plans that lay out a company’s planned financial actions and the anticipated impact of those actions over periods ranging from 2 to 10 years Those long term plans consider proposed outlays for fixed assets, research and development activities, marketing and product development actions, capital structure, and major sources of financing. Also included would be termination of existing projects, product lines, or lines of business; repayment or retirement of outstanding debts; and any planned acquisitions SHORT-TERM (OPERATING) FIN ANCIAL PLANS specify short-term financial actions and the anticipated impact of those actions These plans most often cover a 1- to 2-year period 11 zjrs INTEREST RATES AND REQUIRED RETURNS TERM STRUCTURE OF IN TEREST RATES Interest rate - Usually applied to debt instruments such as bank loans or bonds; the compensation paid by the borrower of funds to the lender; from the borrower’s point of view, the cost of borrowing funds the relationship between the maturity and rate of return for bonds with similar levels of risk Required return - Usually applied to debt instruments such as bank loans or bonds; the compensation paid by the borrower of funds to the lender; from the borrower’s point of view, the cost of borrowing funds Yield to Maturity (YTM) - represents the compound annual rate of return that an investor earns on the bond assuming that the bond makes all promised payments and the investor holds the bond to maturity Yield curve - A graphic depiction of the term structure of interest rates. FACTORS THAT CAN AFFECT INTEREST RATE Inflation - a rising trend in the prices of most goods and services. Typically, savers demand higher returns (that is, higher interest rates) when inflation is high because they want their investments to more than keep pace with rising prices Risk - When people perceive that a particular investment is riskier, they will expect a higher return on that investment as compensation for bearing the risk Inverted Yield Curve - A downward-sloping yield curve indicates that short-term interest rates are generally higher than long-term interest rates Liquidity preference - the general tendency of investors to prefer short-term securities (that is, securities that are more liquid) Normal Yield Curve - A yield curve that indicates that interest rates do not vary much at different maturities Normal Yield Curve - An upward-sloping yield curve indicates that long-term interest rates are generally higher than short-term interest rates Real Rate of Interest - The rate that creates equilibrium between the supply of savings and the demand for investment funds in a perfect world, without inflation, where suppliers and demanders of funds have no liquidity preferences and there is no risk THEORIES OF TERM STRUCTURE 1. Expectations Theory - The theory that the yield curve reflects investor expectations about future interest rates; an expectation of rising interest rates results in an upward sloping yield curve, and an expectation of declining rates results in a downward-sloping yield curve 2. Liquidity Preference Theory - Theory suggesting that long term rates are generally higher than short-term rates (hence, the yield curve is upward sloping) because investors perceive short-term investments to be more liquid and less risky than long-term investments. Borrowers must offer higher rates on long-term bonds to entice investors away from their preferred short-term securities Nominal or Actual Rate of Interest - the actual rate of interest charged by the supplier of funds and paid by the demander. Inflation Premium - investors will demand a higher nominal rate of return if they expect inflation 2. Market Segmentation Theory - Theory suggesting that the market for loans is segmented on the basis of maturity and that the supply of and demand for loans within each segment determine its prevailing interest rate; the slope of the yield curve is determined by the general relationship between the prevailing rates in each market segment Risk Premium - additional rate of return. Investors generally demand higher rates of return on risky investments as compared to safe ones Deflation - A general trend of falling prices 12 zjrs bondholders if the terms of the indenture are violated COST OF BONDS TO THE ISSUER Impact of Bond Maturity - the longer the maturity of a bond, the less accuracy there is in predicting future interest rates, and therefore the greater the bondholders’ risk of giving up an opportunity to lend money at a higher rate. - Impact of Offering Size - because larger offerings result in greater risk of default CORPORATE BONDS Impact of Issuer’s Risk - greater the issuer’s default risk, the higher the interest rate long-term debt instrument indicating that a corporation has borrowed a certain amount of money and promises to repay it in the future under clearly defined terms. years The greater the chance that the issuer might default Impact of the cost of money - cost of money in the capital market is the basis for determining a bond’s coupon interest rate Most bonds are issued with maturities of 10 to 30 Sinking fund requirement - A restrictive provision often included in a bond indenture, providing for the systematic retirement of bonds prior to their maturity Coupon interest rate - represents the percentage of the bond’s par value that will be paid annually, typically in two equal semi-annual payments, as interest GENERAL FEATURES OF A BOND ISSUE Bondholders - who are the lenders, are promised the semiannual interest payments and, at maturity, repayment of the principal amount Conversion feature - allows bondholders to change each bond into a stated number of shares of common stock Bond indenture - A legal document that specifies both the rights of the bondholders and the duties of the issuing corporation Call Feature - gives the issuer the opportunity to repurchase bonds prior to maturity Call Price - is the stated price at which bonds may be repurchased prior to maturity. Sometimes the call feature can be exercised only during a certain period Standard Debt Provisions - Provisions in a bond indenture specifying certain recordkeeping and general business practices that the bond issuer must follow; normally, they do not place a burden on a financially sound business Call premium - The amount by which a bond’s call price exceeds its par value Restrictive covenants - Provisions in a bond indenture that place operating and financial constraints on the borrower 1. minimum level of liquidity 2. Prohibit the sale of accounts receivable 3. fixed-asset restrictions 4. Constrain subsequent borrowing 5. Limit the firm’s annual cash dividend payments Stock purchase warrants - instruments that give their holders the right to purchase a certain number of shares of the issuer’s common stock at a specified price over a certain period of time BOND YIELDS used to assess a bond’s performance over a given period of time the three most widely cited bond yields are (1) current yield, (2) yield to maturity (YTM), and (3) yield to call (YTC) Sinking-Fund Requirements - A restrictive provision often included in a bond indenture, providing for the systematic retirement of bonds prior to their maturity Security Interest - The bond indenture identifies any collateral pledged against the bond and specifies how it is to be maintained Current yield - A measure of a bond’s cash return for the year; calculated by dividing the bond’s annual interest payment by its current price. Trustee - A paid individual, corporation, or commercial bank trust department that acts as the third party to a bond indenture and can take specified actions on behalf of the Example: 1,000 par value bond with an 8 percent coupon interest rate that currently sells for $970 would have a current yield of 8.25% [(0.08x$1,000)/$970] 13 zjrs BOND RATINGS Floating-rate bonds - Stated interest rate is adjusted periodically within stated limits in response to changes in specified money market or capital market rates Extendible notes - Short maturities, typically 1 to 5 years, that can be renewed for a similar period at the option of holders Putable bonds - Bonds that can be redeemed at par (typically, $1,000) at the option of their holder either at specific dates after the date of issue and every 1 to 5 years thereafter or when and if the firm takes specified actions, such as being acquired, acquiring another company, or issuing a large amount of additional debt. VALUATION FUNDAMENTALS COMMON TYPES OF BONDS Valuation - the process that links risk and return to determine the worth of an asset. Unsecured Bonds Debentures – Unsecured bonds that only creditworthy firms can issue. Convertible bonds are usually debentures THREE KEY INPUTS IN THE VALUATION PROCESS Subordinated debentures – Claims are not satisfied until those of the creditors holding certain (senior) debts have been successfully satisfied 1. Cash Flow (Returns) - The value of any asset depends on the cash flow(s) it is expected to provide over the ownership period Income bonds – payments of interest is required only when earnings are available. Commonly issued in reorganization of a failing firm 2. Timing 3. Risk and Required Return - The level of risk associated with a given cash flow can significantly affect its value. In general, the greater the risk of (or the less certain) a cash flow, the lower its value Secured bonds Mortgage bonds – Secure by real estate or buildings Collateral trust bonds – secured by stock and (or) bonds that are owned by the issuer. Collateral value is generally 25% to 35% greater than bond value BASIC VALUATION MODE L the value of any asset is the present value of all future cash flows it is expected to provide over the relevant time period Equipment trust certificates – Used to finance “rolling stock” – airplanes, truck, boats and railroad cars. A trustee buys the asset with funds raised through the sale of trust certificates and then leases it to the firm; after making the final scheduled lease payment, the firm receives title to the asset. A type of leasing. FORMULA: 𝑉0 = Where: V0= value of the asset at time zero CFt= cash flow expected at the end of year t CHARACTERISTICS OF C ONTEMPORARY TYPES OF BONDS r = appropriate required return (discount rate) n = relevant time period Zero (or low) coupon bonds - Issued with no (zero) or a very low coupon (stated interest) rate and sold at a large discount from par. A significant portion (or all) of the investor’s return comes from gain in value (that is, par value minus purchase price) Junk bonds - Debt rated Ba or lower by Moody’s or BB or lower by Standard & Poor’s. Commonly used by rapidly growing firms to obtain growth capital, most often as a way to finance mergers and takeovers the value of a bond is the present value of the payments its issuer is contractually obligated to make, from the current time until it matures 14 zjrs 𝐶𝐹1 𝐶𝐹2 𝐶𝐹𝑛 + +⋯+ (1 + 𝑟)1 (1 + 𝑟)2 (1 + 𝑟)𝑛 Interest rate risk - The chance that interest rates will change and thereby change the required return and bond value BOND VALUE BEHAVIOR In practice, the value of a bond in the marketplace is rarely equal to its par value The required return is likely to differ from the coupon interest rate because either (1) economic conditions have changed, causing a shift in the basic cost of long-term funds; or (2) the firm’s risk has changed STOCK VALUATION Differences between Debt and Equity Increases in the basic cost of long-term funds or in risk will raise the required return; decreases in the cost of funds or in risk will lower the required return Debt - includes all borrowing incurred by a firm, including bonds, and is repaid according to a fixed schedule of payments Equity - consists of funds provided by the firm’s owners (investors or stockholders) and is repaid subject to the firm’s performance Discount – the amount by which a bond sells at a value that is less than its par value Premium – the amount by which a bond sells at a value that is greater than it When the required return is greater than the coupon interest rate, the bond value, B0, will be less than its par value, M When the required return falls below the coupon interest rate, the bond value will be greater than par value COMMON AND PREFERRED STOCK COMMON STOCK The true owners of a corporate business are the common stockholders The true owners of a corporate business are the common stockholders They are assured of only one thing: that they cannot lose any more than they have invested in the firm OWNERSHIP Privately owned stock - The common stock of a firm is owned by private investors; this stock is not publicly traded Publicly owned stock - The common stock of a firm is owned by public investors; this stock is publicly traded Constant Required Returns When the required return is different from the coupon interest rate and is constant until maturity, the value of the bond will approach its par value as the passage of time moves the bond’s value closer to maturity Closely owned stock - The common stock of a firm is owned by an individual or a small group of investors (such as a family); these are usually privately owned companies Widely owned stock - The common stock of a firm is owned by many unrelated individual or institutional investors PAR VALUE An arbitrary value established for legal purposes in the firm’s corporate charter and which can be used to find the total number of shares outstanding by dividing it into the book value of common stock 15 zjrs PREEMPTIVE RIGHT VOTING RIGHTS Allows common stockholders to maintain their proportionate ownership in the corporation when new shares are issued, thus protecting them from dilution of their ownership each share of common stock entitles its holder to one vote in the election of directors and on special issues Proxy statement - A statement transferring the votes of a stockholder to another party Dilution of ownership - A reduction in each previous shareholder’s fractional ownership resulting from the issuance of additional shares of common stock Proxy battle - The attempt by a nonmanagement group to gain control of the management of a firm by soliciting a sufficient number of proxy votes Dilution of earnings - A reduction in each previous shareholder’s fractional claim on the firm’s earnings resulting from the issuance of additional shares of common stock Supervoting shares - Stock that carries with it multiple votes per share rather than the single vote per share typically given on regular shares of common stock Nonvoting common stock - Common stock that carries no voting rights; issued when the firm wishes to raise capital through the sale of common stock but does not want to give up its voting control Rights - Financial instruments that allow stockholders to purchase additional shares at a price below the market price, in direct proportion to their number of owned shares DIVIDENDS AUTHORIZED, OUTSTANDING AND ISSUED SHARE The payment of dividends to the firm’s shareholders is at the discretion of the company’s board of directors. Authorized share - Shares of common stock that a firm’s corporate charter allows it to issue Outstanding shares - Issued shares of common stock held by investors, including both private and public investors Treasury stock - Issued shares of common stock held by the firm; often these shares have been repurchased by the firm Issued shares - Shares of common stock that have been put into circulation; the sum of outstanding shares and treasury stock PREFERRED STOCK gives its holders certain privileges that make them senior to common stockholders Preferred stockholders are promised a fixed periodic dividend, which is stated either as a percentage or as a dollar amount Par-value preferred stock - Preferred stock with a stated face value that is used with the specified dividend percentage to determine the annual dollar dividend Example: No-par preferred stock - Preferred stock with no stated face value but with a stated annual dollar dividend FEATURES OF PREFERRED STOCK How many shares of additional common stock can Golden sell without gaining approval from its shareholders? The firm has 35 million authorized shares, 15 million issued shares, and 1 million shares of treasury stock. Thus 14 million shares are outstanding (15 million issued shares minus 1 million shares of treasury stock), and Golden can issue 21 million additional shares (35 million authorized shares minus 14 million outstanding shares) without seeking shareholder approval. This total includes the treasury shares currently held, which the firm can reissue to the public without obtaining shareholder approval 16 zjrs Cumulative preferred stock - Preferred stock for which all passed (unpaid) dividends in arrears, along with the current dividend, must be paid before dividends can be paid to common stockholders Noncumulative preferred stock - Preferred stock for which passed (unpaid) dividends do not accumulate Callable feature - A feature of callable preferred stock that allows the issuer to retire the shares within a certain period of time and at a specified price Convertible feature - A feature of convertible preferred stock that allows holders to change each share into a stated number of shares of common stock Zero-growth model - An approach to dividend valuation that assumes a constant, nongrowing dividend stream. VENTURE CAPITAL Privately raised external equity capital used to fund early stage firms with attractive growth prospects 𝑃𝑜 = Venture capitalists - Providers of venture capital; typically, formal businesses that maintain strong oversight over the firms they invest in and that have clearly defined exit strategies 𝐷1 𝑟𝑠 Constant-growth model (Gordon-growth model) - A widely cited dividend valuation approach that assumes that dividends will grow at a constant rate, but a rate that is less than the required return Angel capitalists - Wealthy individual investors who do not operate as a business but invest in promising early-stage companies in exchange for a portion of the firm’s equity 𝑃𝑜 = 𝐷1 𝑟𝑠 − 𝑔 GOING PUBLIC Variable growth model - A dividend valuation approach that allows for a change in the dividend growth rate When a firm wishes to sell its stock in the primary market, it has three alternatives: 1. Initial public offering - The first public sale of a firm’s stock 2. Rights offering - new shares are sold to existing stockholders 3. Private placement - the firm sells new securities directly to an investor or group of investors Investment banker - Financial intermediary that specializes in selling new security issues and advising firms with regard to major financial transactions Underwriting - The role of the investment banker in bearing the risk of reselling, at a profit, the securities purchased from an issuing corporation at an agreed-on price Underwriting syndicate - A group of other bankers formed by an investment banker to share the financial risk associated with underwriting new securities Selling group - A large number of brokerage firms that join the originating investment banker(s); each accepts responsibility for selling a certain portion of a new security issue on a commission basis Book value per share - The amount per share of common stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their exact book (accounting) value and the proceeds remaining after paying all liabilities (including preferred stock) were divided among the common stockholders Liquidation value per share - the actual amount per share of common stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their market value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were paid, and any remaining money were divided among the common stockholders COMMON STOCK VALUATION Basic valuation model: 17 zjrs RISK AND RETURN Risk - A measure of the uncertainty surrounding the return that an investment will earn or, more formally, the variability of returns associated with a given asset Investment risk- probability of earning less than the expected return Total rate of return - The total gain or loss experienced on an investment over a given period of time; calculated by dividing the asset’s cash distributions during the period, plus change in value, by its beginning-of period investment value Investment 1- Treasury Bills which offer an 8% rate of return. The T-bills would be bought at a discount and would return their par value at maturity. Investment 2- A corporate bond selling at par which have a 9% coupon and a 10-year maturity. In this case, your firm will sell the bond at the end of one year. Therefore, the rate of return will depend by the rate of interest rate level by the time of selling. A strong economy will cause rising of interest rates and will decrease the market value of the bond, while the opposite would be true if the economy is weak. Investment 3- Capital budgeting Project 1 has zero cash flows during the year and the payoff at the end of the year will depend at the state of the economy. Investment 4- Project 2 is an alternative capital project but with different payoff distribution with Project 1. Where: r = actual, expected, or required rate of return during period t Ct = cash (flow) received from the asset investment in the time period t-1 to t Pt = price (value) of asset at time t Pt-1 = price (value) of asset at time t-1 TOTAL RISK AND MARKE T RISK TOTAL RISK - the riskiness of an asset held in isolation RISK PREFERENCES Risk averse - The attitude toward risk in which investors would require an increased return as compensation for an increase in risk Risk neutral - The attitude toward risk in which investors choose the investment with the higher return regardless of its risk PROBABILITY DISTRIBU TION Here is a sample scenario for probability distribution with the same initial investment of P100,000 each. 18 zjrs Variance & Standard Deviation Since variance is measured in the same units as the outcomes, in this case percentages, but squared. To attach meaning to the squared percentage of variance, Standard Deviation is used to measure dispersion of an asset. Measures of Portfolio Risk A. Covariance of Portfolio Risk Historical Data: TIME Thus, the standard deviation of Project 2 (in previous data) is: 1 RETURN A rA 0.50 RETURN B rB 0.25 2 3 4 0.40 -0.07 0.09 0.15 0.32 -0.20 Additional Data: Sample Mean for Stock A = 0.23 MARKET RISK - an asset’s relevant, or effective risk, if it is held as one of a large number of assets in a portfolio Sample Mean for Stock B = 0.13 Sample Standard Deviation of Stock A = 0.2655 Combining stocks in portfolio reduces risk because when there are stocks with less-than-expected returns, the loss/es will be offset to some degree of stocks whose returns are greater than expected Sample Standard Deviation of Stock b = 0.2308 COVAB = ∑(rA - rA)( (rB – rB) n–1 = (0.5-0.23)(0.25-0.13)+(0.40-.023)(0.15-.013)+(-.0.07.23)(-0.32-0.13)+(0.09-0.23)(-0.2-0.13) EXPECTED RETURN ON A PORTFOLIO 4-1 = 0.0250/ 3 STOCK EXPECTED RETURN STANDARD DEVIATION AMOUNT INVESTED INVESTM ENT PROPORT ION A 0.23 0.27 50,000.00 0.5 B 0.13 0.23 30,000.00 0.3 C 0.10 0.09 20,000.00 0.2 Expected Portfolio Return = 0.5(0.23)+.3(0.13)+0.2(0.10) B. Correlation Coefficient = 0.174 or 17.4% r = COVAB/ (SA)(SB) PORTFOLIO RISK Factors affecting Portfolio Risk 1. Individual Security Risk- Each stock kind of risk affects your Portfolio Risk 2. Investment Proportion- Your Portfolio Risk is related to what kind of risk of each stock you chose to invest and include in your portfolio 3. Degree of Diversification between stocks – High diversification means lower Portfolio Risk = 0.00833/(0.2655)(0.2308) = 0.14, r=-1 < r < 1 19 zjrs = 0.00833* If zero, there are stocks that moves in the same direction one or more another stocks If negative, it means it is diversified portfolio because it shows that stock move irrelevant with each other If positive, stocks are not properly diversified because they move together in the same way most of the time. CAPM EQUATION RISK AND RETURN: THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL The basic theory that links risk and return for all assets Thus far we have observed a tendency for riskier investments to earn higher returns, and we have learned that investors can reduce risk through diversification. Now we want to quantify the relationship between risk and return. In other words, we want to measure how much additional return an investor should expect from taking a little extra risk beta coefficient (b) - a relative measure of nondiversifiable risk. An index of the degree of movement of an asset’s return in response to a change in the market return market return - The return on the market portfolio of all traded securities NOTE: Other things being equal, the higher the beta, the higher the required return, and the lower the beta, the lower the required return COST OF CAPITAL Represents the firm’s cost of financing and is the minimum rate of return that a project must earn to increase firm value SOURCES OF LONG TERM CAPITAL 1. COST OF LONG TERM DEBT The financing cost associated with new funds raised through long-term borrowing Net proceeds - Funds actually received by the firm from the sale of a security Flotation costs - The total costs of issuing and selling a security Underwriting cost - compensation earned by investment bankers for selling the security Administrative cost – issuer expenses such as legal, accounting, and printing BEFORE-TAX COST OF DEBT The before-tax cost of debt, rd, is simply the rate of return the firm must pay on new borrowing 20 zjrs 3. COST OF COMMON STOCK the rate at which investors discount the expected common stock dividends of the firm to determine its share value USING THE CONSTANT-GROWTH VALUATION MODEL Assumes that the value of a share of stock equals the present value of all future dividends (assumed to grow at a constant rate) that it is expected to provide over an infinite time horizon AFTER-TAX COST OF DEBT Unlike the dividends paid to equity holders, the interest payments paid to bondholders are tax deductible for the firm, so the interest expense on debt reduces the firm’s taxable income and, therefore, the firm’s tax liability. USING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL describes the relationship between the required return, rs, and the nondiversifiable risk of the firm as measured by the beta coefficient, b 2. COST OF PREFERRED STOCK is the ratio of the preferred stock dividend to the firm’s net proceeds from the sale of the preferred stock 4. COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS to the firm is the same as the cost of an equivalent fully subscribed issue of additional common stock 21 zjrs COST OF NEW ISSUES O F COMMON STOCK determined by calculating the cost of common stock, net of underpricing and associated flotation costs underpriced – stock sold at a price below its current market price, Po CAPITAL BUDGETING The process of evaluating and selecting long-term investments that are consistent with the firm’s goal of maximizing owners’ wealth MOTIVES FOR CAPITAL EX PENDITURE Capital Expenditure - an outlay of funds by the firm that is expected to produce benefits over a period of time greater than 1 year WEIGHTED AVERAGE COS T OF CAPITAL reflects the expected average future cost of capital over the long run. It is found by weighting the cost of each specific type of capital by its proportion in the firm’s capital structure Operating expenditure - An outlay of funds by the firm resulting in benefits received within 1 year CAPITAL BUDGETING PROCESS 1.Proposal generation 2. Review and analysis 3. Decision making 4. Implementation 5. Follow-up BASIC TERMINOLOGY AP PROACH 22 zjrs Independent projects - those whose cash flows are unrelated to (or independent of) one another; the acceptance of one project does not eliminate the others from further consideration Mutually exclusive projects - those that have the same function and therefore compete with one another so that the acceptance of one eliminates from further consideration all other projects that serve a similar function Unlimited Funds - The financial situation in which a firm is able to accept all independent projects that provide an acceptable return Capital rationing - The financial situation in which a firm has only a fixed number of dollars available for capital expenditures, and numerous projects compete for these dollar Accept-reject approach - The evaluation of capital expenditure proposals to determine whether they meet the firm’s minimum acceptance criterion. Ranking approach - The ranking of capital expenditure projects on the basis of some predetermined measure, such as the rate of return Decision Criteria If the NPV is greater than $0, accept the project If the NPV is less than $0, reject the project CAPITAL BUDGETING TE CHNIQUES NPV AND THE PROFITABILITY INDEX For a project that has an initial cash outflow followed by cash inflows, the profitability index (PI) is simply equal to the present value of cash inflows divided by the initial cash outflow: PAYBACK PERIOD the amount of time required for the firm to recover its initial investment in a project, as calculated from cash inflows the payback period is generally viewed as an unsophisticated capital budgeting technique, because it does not explicitly consider the time value of money Decision Criteria If the payback period is less than the maximum acceptable payback period, accept the project If the payback period is greater than the maximum acceptable payback period, reject the project Decision Criteria: Note: The length of the maximum acceptable payback period is determined by management. This value is set subjectively. When companies evaluate investment opportunities using the PI, the decision rule they follow is to invest in the project when the index is greater than 1.0 NPV and PI methods will always come to the same conclusion regarding whether a particular investment is worth doing or not INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN one of the most widely used capital budgeting techniques. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that equates the NPV of an investment opportunity with $0 (because the present value of cash inflows equals the initial investment). It is the rate of return that the firm will earn if it invests in the project and receives the given cash inflows. NET PRESENT VALUE A sophisticated capital budgeting technique; found by subtracting a project’s initial investment from the present value of its cash inflows discounted at a rate equal to the firm’s cost of capital Mathematically, the IRR is the value of r in that causes NPV to equal $0 23 zjrs Financial leverage - concerned with the relationship between the firm’s EBIT and its common stock earnings per share (EPS). Taxes are clearly variable, rising and falling with the firm’s profits, but interest expense and preferred dividends are usually fixed. When these fixed items are large (that is, when the firm has a lot of financial leverage), small changes in EBIT produce larger changes in EPS. Decision Criteria: If the IRR is greater than the cost of capital, accept the project If the IRR is less than the cost of capital, reject the project Total Leverage - is the combined effect of operating and financial leverage. It is concerned with the relationship between the firm’s sales revenue and EPS. BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS also called cost-volume-profit analysis, (1) to determine the level of operations necessary to cover all costs and (2) to evaluate the profitability associated with various levels of sales. Operating breakeven point - level of sales necessary to cover all operating costs. At that point, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) equals $0 FORMULA for Operating breakeven point: LEVERAGE AND CAPITAL STRUCTURE Leverage - refers to the effects that fixed costs have on the returns that shareholders earn Capital Structure - The mix of long-term debt and equity maintained by the firm Operating leverage - use of fixed operating costs to magnify the effects of changes in sales on the firm’s earnings before interest and taxes Degree of Operating Leverage - a numerical measure of the firm’s operating leverage. It can be derived using the following equation Operating Leverage - is concerned with the relationship between the firm’s sales revenue and its earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) or operating profits. When costs of operations (such as cost of goods sold and operating expenses) are largely fixed, small changes in revenue will lead to much larger changes in EBIT Whenever the percentage change in EBIT resulting from a given percentage change in sales is greater than the percentage change in sales, operating leverage exists. This means that as long as DOL is greater than 1, there is operating leverage. 24 zjrs 25 zjrs