Assessment Task 2 Template: Fuel hazard and slope assessment Surface fuel photo Near-surface fuel photo Bark fuel photo Elevated fuel photo Overall vegetation structure 1. Estimate the surface fuel hazard using the hazard score method outlined in the Module activity. Complete the table provided with the depth, percent cover, horizontal connectivity and hazard score of the surface fuels. Depth (cm) % cover Horizontal connectivity Surface fuel hazard rating 5 98 Complete. Almost no gaps between fuel Extreme 2. Estimate the near-surface hazard using the hazard-score method outlined in the Module activity. Complete the table provided with percent dead material, percent cover, horizontal connectivity and hazard score of the near-surface layer. % dead material % cover Horizontal connectivity Near surface fuel hazard rating 10 20 Gaps many time the size of fuel patches Moderate 3. Estimate the elevated fuel hazard using the hazard-score method detailed in the Module activity. Complete the table provided with the percent cover, percent dead, vertical continuity, vegetation density and hazard score of the bark layer. % cover % dead Vertical continuity Vegetation density Elevate fuel hazard rating 20 5 Hardly any Easy to walk through. Moderate 4. Estimate the bark fuel hazard using the simplified hazard-score method detailed in the Module activity. Complete the table provided with the bark type and hazard score of the bark layer. Bark type Bark hazard rating Smooth and free from loose bark Low 5. Estimate the overall fuel hazard score using the tables overleaf. Surface + Near Surface: Extreme + Moderate = Extreme Bark + Elevated + Combined Surface: Low + Moderate + Extreme = High Write your answer here: High Tables from Hines et al. (2011) 9. Fuel hazard type Your rating Surface fuel hazard Extreme Near surface fuel hazard Elevated fuel hazard Bark fuel hazard Moderate Occasionally increases flame height. Moderate Does not sustain flame readily. Low No bark present that can contribute to fire behaviour. Your rating Effect on the likely success of first attack at FFDI 25 (see table on p. 36) High Between 95% and 50% Overall fuel hazard score Effect on fire behaviour at FFDI 25 (see tables for each fuel hazard type) Surface fires spread easily. Increasing flame depth and residence time. 10. Method used Stake, string and bubble Rise 87mm Run 1000mm (10m) Slope 1038mm (10.4m) (5 degrees) House position relative to vegetation (upslope/downslope/flat) upslope 11. i. Three of your six fuel hazard ratings and implication on fire behaviour: Surface: The surface fuel is composed of fine fuels such a dry leaves, twigs and bark. It contributes to the rate of spread and carries the fire front. In this assessment there were few gaps horizontally, equalling a higher risk of fire spread. Mass of fuel was very high (wet eucalypt 14t/hectare) with a high fuel load. This means there is a potential for bigger flames, higher heat, faster spread and higher impact severity. The time since the last fire was a long time ago, so fuel biomass is very high. In the area surveyed (and all adjacent areas) the surface fuel was almost complete in it horizontal spread, and almost completely evenly covered at a depth of 5cm. This would mean there would be no pause in a fire, and it could potentially spread in any direction. The depth of the fuel would mean taller flames, giving opportunity for fuel higher up to catch fire more readily. Elevated: The elevated fuel is less flammable but contributes to total heat release in a fire. The more gaps horizontally, such as in this case, can mean a slower spread of fire. In this case there were very few instances of elevated fuel, living or dead. There were almost no dead/erect branches/tree, and very few living small trees or bushes. Had there have been more elevate fuel, there would have been potential for a longer burning fire, with more heat release and more potential for the upper canopy to catch fire. Bark: Bark is a ladder fuel to the higher canopy and is highly flammable. For the area being assessed, there was no attached bark (it had become surface fuel), and the trees were smooth. A different time of year (when bark is present), would see a higher risk of elevated fire and increase the spread risk. Bark can become air-borne embers (light fibres) increasing the spread, especially with ribbon/candle bark. These can produce spotting at distances over 2kms. Quantity of spotting from such fires, makes it very difficult to control, if not impossible. Ribbon bark hazards never exceed Very High. A fire can climb any tree that has attached bark, with the risk increasing dramatically with bark that is previously uncharred, thick, and easily loosened by hand. Thicker fibrous/stringy bark can burn for up to 10 minutes and contributes to high canopy burning. Other bark type (ironbark, coarse, papery, flake) hazards never exceed High. ii. Implications on slope findings for fire behaviour: Slope has critical impact on fire behaviour, especially speed of spread. The slope of the assessed area was 5 degrees heading uphill towards buildings. The slope would increase the rate of spread of the fire, as unburnt material would more easily catch fire on the upslope. On average, fire spreads faster by double per 10 degrees upslope. Hypothetically if on the flat the fire was spreading at 10km/h, then at 5 degrees upslope it is possible it could travel at 15km/h up-slope. This would decrease the time available to prepare for an evacuation of building positioned up-slope, compared to a fire that was travelling on a flat or down slope. iii. My perspective: Factors such as high surface fuel load make the area assessed is a HIGH risk area. Contribution factors such as upwards slope to housing also makes any potential fire faster spreading compared to one travelling over flat areas, giving less time for the occupants to leave. As someone who has lived in a fire prone area before, my plan (when living in an at-risk area), has always been to go. Not only for my own safety, but for those around me who would take my actions into consideration when reflecting on their own. It is slightly easier to make the hard decision to go, when you know others who you are close to, are making the same decision. I think a rating that was LOW or MODERATE would potentially see me defend the property in this scenario. However, if I was told by authorities that leaving was recommended, then I would leave. LIVING WITH FIRE – AT2 ILOS: Describe the effect of fire behaviour drivers on fire management and emergency response (criterion 5) Criterion 1. Quantify surface, near surface, elevated, bark and overall hazard and slope (30%) High Distinction (HD) You have accurately quantified all relevant types of fuel hazard and the slope, providing all details required by the template. Distinction (DN) You have accurately quantified all but one of the relevant types of fuel hazard and the slope, providing all details required by the template. Credit (CR) You have accurately quantified at least three of the relevant types of fuel hazard and the slope, providing most of the details required by the template. Pass (PP) You have accurately quantified at least two of the relevant types of hazard or one type of fuel and the slope, but the others are missing or inaccurate and/or many details are missing from the template. Fail (NN) Did not meet standards for a pass 2. Provide photographs to support your fuel hazard assessment (10%) The content of all of the images is clear and they provide strong supporting evidence for the fuel hazard assessment The content of most of the images is clear and they provide supporting evidence for the fuel hazard assessment The content of some the images is unclear or their relevance for the fuel hazard assessment is unclear The content of some of the images is unclear and their relevance for the fuel hazard assessment is unclear Supporting evidence is missing 3. Explain how each component of fuel hazard would affect fire behaviour (25%) You have clearly, accurately and concisely explained how all three chosen components of fuel hazard would affect fire behaviour. You have accurately explained how all three chosen components of fuel hazard would affect fire behaviour. You have accurately explained how at least two of the components of fuel hazard would affect fire behaviour. You have accurately explained how at least one of the components of fuel hazard would affect fire behaviour. Did not meet standards for a pass 4. Explain how the slope would affect rate of spread of a fire moving towards your home (or relevant building) (10%) You have clearly, accurately and concisely explained how slope would affect rate of spread. You have clearly and accurately explained how slope would affect rate of spread. You have accurately explained how slope would affect rate of spread but some element of your explanation is unclear. Your explanation is inaccurate but shows some evidence of understanding the underlying concepts. Did not meet standards for a pass 5. Explain whether and why your assessment has altered your perspective on whether to stay and defend your home (or the perspective of the relevant person) (25%) You have clearly, concisely and thoughtfully explained whether and why your assessment has altered your perspective. Your answer clearly and explicitly relates back to your fuel hazard and slope assessment results. You have clearly explained whether and why your assessment has altered your perspective. Your answer clearly relates back to your fuel hazard and slope assessment results. You have explained whether and why your assessment has altered your perspective. You have explained whether your assessment has altered your perspective. However you have not justified your answer or linked it back to your fuel hazard and slope results. Did not meet standards for a pass